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Evidence for global warming. (Read 115512 times)
Bobby.
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Evidence for global warming.
Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:30pm
 
Here is a chance for people like:
Monk, Smith, Don, Random and Aussie,
to present the case for global warming.
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Laugh till you cry
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #1 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:31pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:30pm:
Here is a chance for people like:
Monk, Smith, Don, Random and Aussie,
to present the case for global warming.


Do you promise no Muslims will be harmed?
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Please don't thank me. Effusive fawning and obeisance of disciples, mendicants, and foot-kissers embarrass me.
 
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Bobby.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #2 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:33pm
 
Laugh till you cry wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:31pm:
Bobby. wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:30pm:
Here is a chance for people like:
Monk, Smith, Don, Random and Aussie,
to present the case for global warming.


Do you promise no Muslims will be harmed?


dear LTYC,
do you have some evidence to post?
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random
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #3 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:33pm
 
System Information

This topic is locked, and you are not allowed to post or modify messages.
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So many farkwits, so little time.
 
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Bobby.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #4 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:36pm
 
random wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:33pm:
System Information

This topic is locked, and you are not allowed to post or modify messages.




That was the last thread - I locked it.
You can have your say here now.
Post your evidence.
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random
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #5 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:43pm
 
So the moderator of an environment topic that repeatedly directs people to the ICE AGE Cometh thread, asks people to post evidence for something that even school children in the street understand intimately, but he doesn't?

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Bobby.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #6 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:45pm
 
random wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:43pm:
So the moderator of an environment topic that repeatedly directs people to the ICE AGE Cometh thread, asks people to post evidence for something that even school children in the street understand intimately, but he doesn't?




So the case is settled?
You don't even have to provide any evidence?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #7 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:46pm
 
goober

Quote:
I was voted in - it had nothing to do with FD.

Do you have anything to say about the environment?

Would you like to start a thread on Global Warming?


can you try not to be a complete imbecile, just for 5 minutes?


Nothing to do with FD?  Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #8 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:47pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:36pm:
random wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:33pm:
System Information

This topic is locked, and you are not allowed to post or modify messages.




That was the last thread - I locked it.
You can have your say here now.
Post your evidence.



why lock it? Is it just because you're a fool or was there some other reason?
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Bobby.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #9 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:53pm
 
John Smith wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:47pm:
Bobby. wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:36pm:
random wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:33pm:
System Information

This topic is locked, and you are not allowed to post or modify messages.




That was the last thread - I locked it.
You can have your say here now.
Post your evidence.



why lock it? Is it just because you're a fool or was there some other reason?



That's an ad hominem attack.
You know that's not allowed -
why do you do it?

Present your evidence for global warming -
or go away.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #10 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 4:03pm
 
your mixing me up with someone else Bobby  Smiley
I've never stated that i believe in man made  Global warming and probably never will.....
I do however believe we should stop burning Fossil Fuels because of the poisons they release when you do.... if you disagree feel free to turn your car on in a closed garage and spend a half an hour in there with it.... or just look at some video's of the worlds biggest cities and the air quality around them  Burning Fossil fuels may or may not affect the climate, but they do poison the air ,us and our land  Wink
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I am me
 
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Bobby.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #11 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 4:14pm
 
DonDeeHippy wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 4:03pm:
your mixing me up with someone else Bobby  Smiley
I've never stated that i believe in man made  Global warming and probably never will.....
I do however believe we should stop burning Fossil Fuels because of the poisons they release when you do.... if you disagree feel free to turn your car on in a closed garage and spend a half an hour in there with it.... or just look at some video's of the worlds biggest cities and the air quality around them  Burning Fossil fuels may or may not affect the climate, but they do poison the air ,us and our land  Wink



I have always said they I dislike fossil fuels.
The worst one is stinking coal.
I sincerely hope that Thorium power can save the planet.
here:

http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1519823686/0#0

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John Smith
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #12 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 4:21pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:53pm:
John Smith wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:47pm:
Bobby. wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:36pm:
random wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:33pm:
System Information

This topic is locked, and you are not allowed to post or modify messages.




That was the last thread - I locked it.
You can have your say here now.
Post your evidence.



why lock it? Is it just because you're a fool or was there some other reason?



That's an ad hominem attack.
You know that's not allowed -
why do you do it?

Present your evidence for global warming -
or go away.


...
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lee
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #13 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 4:26pm
 
A slogan it's happening is not evidence. Wink
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John Smith
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #14 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 4:29pm
 
lee wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 4:26pm:
A slogan it's happening is not evidence. Wink



no one said it was dopey Cheesy Cheesy
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #15 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 4:32pm
 
John Smith wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 4:29pm:
no one said it was dopey


But that's the topic title petal.

You and your incomprehension again. Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Johnnie
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #16 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 4:36pm
 
The summer just gone was hottest summer on record in OZ according to BOM. That's some evidence from me.

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #17 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 4:54pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 4:36pm:
The summer just gone was hottest summer on record in OZ according to BOM.


Was that using the ACORN1 "data" or the NEW IMPROVED ACORN2 "data"?

With the new secret ingredient, HumbugTM. Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #18 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 4:56pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:45pm:
random wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:43pm:
So the moderator of an environment topic that repeatedly directs people to the ICE AGE Cometh thread, asks people to post evidence for something that even school children in the street understand intimately, but he doesn't?




So the case is settled?
You don't even have to provide any evidence?


What next?  Are you going to ask for proof that the sun will rise tomorrow morning?

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #19 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:00pm
 
lee wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 4:32pm:
John Smith wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 4:29pm:
no one said it was dopey


But that's the topic title petal.

You and your incomprehension again. Grin Grin Grin Grin


but I didn't reply to the topic title you idiot, I replied to goober Cheesy Cheesy
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #20 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:04pm
 
John Smith wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:00pm:
but I didn't reply to the topic title you idiot, I replied to goober


You responded to
Bobby. wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:53pm:
Present your evidence for global warming -
or go away.


So you have no evidence.  Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #21 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:08pm
 
lee wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 4:54pm:
Johnnie wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 4:36pm:
The summer just gone was hottest summer on record in OZ according to BOM.


Was that using the ACORN1 "data" or the NEW IMPROVED ACORN2 "data"?

With the new secret ingredient, HumbugTM. Grin Grin Grin Grin

No matter which data you use, if it wasn't the hottest summer on record according to BOM it must have gone very very close, too close for comfort IMHO.
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lee
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #22 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:09pm
 
random wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 4:56pm:
What next?  Are you going to ask for proof that the sun will rise tomorrow morning?


Is the Sun evidence of AGW now? Wink
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Bobby.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #23 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:12pm
 
posters -

please try and post evidence with a link or a video.
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John Smith
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #24 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:19pm
 
lee wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:04pm:
John Smith wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:00pm:
but I didn't reply to the topic title you idiot, I replied to goober


You responded to
Bobby. wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:53pm:
Present your evidence for global warming -
or go away.


So you have no evidence.  Grin Grin Grin




and you talk of incomprehension ..... Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes


I responded to
Quote:
That's an ad hominem attack.
You know that's not allowed -
why do you do it?


the rest of goober post I'm not interested in, it's just games. You and he can play together if you like.
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Our esteemed leader:
I hope that bitch who was running their brothels for them gets raped with a cactus.
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #25 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:22pm
 
Bobby please supply evidence that breathing is required to stay alive.
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lee
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #26 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:28pm
 
John Smith wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:19pm:
I responded to
Quote:
That's an ad hominem attack.
You know that's not allowed -
why do you do it?


the rest of goober post I'm not interested in, it's just games. You and he can play together if you like.


Nope you responded to the post in its entirety. Wink
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John Smith
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #27 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:29pm
 
lee wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:28pm:
John Smith wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:19pm:
I responded to
Quote:
That's an ad hominem attack.
You know that's not allowed -
why do you do it?




the rest of goober post I'm not interested in, it's just games. You and he can play together if you like.


Nope you responded to the post in its entirety. Wink

faq off idiot. I know what i responded to. It's not my fault you struggle with basic comprehension.
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lee
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #28 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:34pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:08pm:
No matter which data you use, if it wasn't the hottest summer on record according to BOM it must have gone very very close, too close for comfort IMHO.


So now it might not have been the hottest summer on record. Merely the hottest summer if we only look at the new improved ACORN2 "data". Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

So what for instance if it was back in the 1930's or 1940's. You mean it shouldn't ever vary above that level? Is there a reason for that?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #29 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:36pm
 
lee wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:34pm:
Johnnie wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:08pm:
No matter which data you use, if it wasn't the hottest summer on record according to BOM it must have gone very very close, too close for comfort IMHO.


So now it might not have been the hottest summer on record. Merely the hottest summer if we only look at the new improved ACORN2 "data". Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

So what for instance if it was back in the 1930's or 1940's. You mean it shouldn't ever vary above that level? Is there a reason for that?



Thanks Lee,
we're at the end of the 2nd page and still not one link or video as evidence.  Smiley
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #30 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:38pm
 
lee wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:34pm:
Johnnie wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:08pm:
No matter which data you use, if it wasn't the hottest summer on record according to BOM it must have gone very very close, too close for comfort IMHO.


So now it might not have been the hottest summer on record. Merely the hottest summer if we only look at the new improved ACORN2 "data". Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

So what for instance if it was back in the 1930's or 1940's. You mean it shouldn't ever vary above that level? Is there a reason for that?

I am giving you some benefit of doubt, I rely on Bom a lot, along with my own intuition, I trust them.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #31 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:43pm
 
I want to see video evidence that the sun will come up tomorrow, right now all I can see is it disappearing.  I'm scared, help me out.

While I am waiting, why would a mod of an environment topic challenge posters to prove some thing the every primary school child understands in detail?  And if it was the same mod who directs posters to a wacko ICE AGE cometh thread ... WTF would that be?

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #32 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:45pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:38pm:
I am giving you some benefit of doubt, I rely on Bom a lot, along with my own intuition, I trust them.



Then can your high level of trust help us tell why the need not only for data adjustment from RAW to ACORN1 but we now get to do it again with ACORN2?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #33 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:46pm
 
random wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:43pm:
While I am waiting, why would a mod of an environment topic challenge posters to prove some thing the every primary school child understands in detail? 



What about the environment does every primary school child understand in detail? Roll Eyes
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #34 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:50pm
 
lee wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:45pm:
Johnnie wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:38pm:
I am giving you some benefit of doubt, I rely on Bom a lot, along with my own intuition, I trust them.



Then can your high level of trust help us tell why the need not only for data adjustment from RAW to ACORN1 but we now get to do it again with ACORN2?

Only you can explain that Lee, with the aid of a diagram I hope, BOM has a hell of a lot of data at hand and I trust them.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #35 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:51pm
 
lee wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:46pm:
random wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:43pm:
While I am waiting, why would a mod of an environment topic challenge posters to prove some thing the every primary school child understands in detail? 



What about the environment does every primary school child understand in detail? Roll Eyes



Can those kids explain the record extreme cold events
that have happened all over the World in the last 2 or more years?
I doubt it -
scientists are struggling to comprehend it.
NASA and NOAA are doctoring records to try and blot it out.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #36 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:54pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:51pm:
Can those kids explain the record extreme cold events



they can but you would still struggle to understand it... so why bother?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #37 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:58pm
 
John Smith wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:54pm:
Bobby. wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:51pm:
Can those kids explain the record extreme cold events



they can but you would still struggle to understand it... so why bother?



Have you found some evidence yet? - you troll.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #38 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:59pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:58pm:
John Smith wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:54pm:
Bobby. wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:51pm:
Can those kids explain the record extreme cold events



they can but you would still struggle to understand it... so why bother?



Have you found some evidence yet? - you troll.


Have you looked for any.....Moderator?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #39 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 6:01pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:50pm:
Only you can explain that Lee, with the aid of a diagram I hope, BOM has a hell of a lot of data at hand and I trust them.


You are the trusting one. it would be better coming from you. i would be labelled a "denier". Grin Grin Grin Grin

Adjustment to data are no longer data. You do understand that?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #40 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 6:01pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:58pm:
John Smith wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:54pm:
Bobby. wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:51pm:
Can those kids explain the record extreme cold events



they can but you would still struggle to understand it... so why bother?



Have you found some evidence yet? - you troll.


have you found evidence of your ice age yet you dope? Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #41 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 6:04pm
 
Aussie wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:59pm:
Bobby. wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:58pm:
John Smith wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:54pm:
Bobby. wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:51pm:
Can those kids explain the record extreme cold events



they can but you would still struggle to understand it... so why bother?



Have you found some evidence yet? - you troll.


Have you looked for any.....Moderator?



There is plenty out there if you Google it.
I'm not going to spoon feed you.
You're an adult aren't you?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #42 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 6:04pm
 
I'm still scared that the sun will not come up tomorrow.  Can any one post some evidence?  Got any videos to convince me that the sun will come up?

I just saw it go down ... mmm
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #43 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 6:06pm
 
lee wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 6:01pm:
Johnnie wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:50pm:
Only you can explain that Lee, with the aid of a diagram I hope, BOM has a hell of a lot of data at hand and I trust them.


You are the trusting one. it would be better coming from you. i would be labelled a "denier". Grin Grin Grin Grin

Adjustment to data are no longer data. You do understand that?

I don't know if you are denier or not, are you? if so how much is because of man? take a punt, put it out there.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #44 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 6:08pm
 
Someone should ask the school children the help bobby with this concept.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #45 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 6:10pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 6:04pm:
Aussie wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:59pm:
Bobby. wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:58pm:
John Smith wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:54pm:
Bobby. wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:51pm:
Can those kids explain the record extreme cold events



they can but you would still struggle to understand it... so why bother?



Have you found some evidence yet? - you troll.


Have you looked for any.....Moderator?



There is plenty out there if you Google it.
I'm not going to spoon feed you.
You're an adult aren't you?


Just one question...the right question.....and I have established the point random was making.

I'll add...you are the snake oil man's yes 'man.'
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #46 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 6:12pm
 
Hey bobby, these kids get it, you don't so
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Reply #47 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 6:12pm
 
The 4th page and still not one link of evidence -
not one video.   Grin
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Reply #48 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 6:17pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 6:12pm:
The 4th page and still not one link of evidence -
not one video.   Grin


Oh no the sun has completely disappeared now!  Will it ever come up again?!
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Reply #49 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 6:23pm
 
I'm wasting my time trying to get real answers from kids.

Maybe you're just geriatrics in hospital beds?   Grin
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Reply #50 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 6:26pm
 
Has anyone got a video of the sun coming up tomorrow?

I'm scared, some guy on the interweb said that it was not going to, that there was no proof that it will.  He said that scientist are only saying it will to get grant money and stuff and that I should buy his entire wood heap just in case.  Is that true?

Please post video evidence that the sun will come up cause I'm scared.

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #51 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 6:28pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 4:14pm:
DonDeeHippy wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 4:03pm:
your mixing me up with someone else Bobby  Smiley
I've never stated that i believe in man made  Global warming and probably never will.....
I do however believe we should stop burning Fossil Fuels because of the poisons they release when you do.... if you disagree feel free to turn your car on in a closed garage and spend a half an hour in there with it.... or just look at some video's of the worlds biggest cities and the air quality around them  Burning Fossil fuels may or may not affect the climate, but they do poison the air ,us and our land  Wink



I have always said they I dislike fossil fuels.
The worst one is stinking coal.
I sincerely hope that Thorium power can save the planet.
here:

http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1519823686/0#0



Would you be a person that states they hate coal. Yet when renewables are used also complain about the higher energy prices.

The facts are...there must be a balance had between what is sustainable and ensures the environment is cared for but also what is sustainable for the population, economy and finances.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #52 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 6:36pm
 
DonDeeHippy wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 4:03pm:
your mixing me up with someone else Bobby  Smiley
I've never stated that i believe in man made  Global warming and probably never will.....
  Wink


Sorry, I mixed you up with an intelligent person capable of understanding scientific reports.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #53 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 8:04pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 6:06pm:
I don't know if you are denier or not, are you?


No. The earth has been warming. How much is attributable humans is uncertain.

If CO2 is the main driver of AGW you need two of three parameters to work it out.

Total CO2 emissions, Natural CO2 emissions and human CO2 emissions.

We have a fair idea of human emissions, but only fair.

We don't know total emissions and we don't know natural emissions.

Johnnie wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 6:06pm:
if so how much is because of man? take a punt, put it out there.


All answered above.
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Reply #54 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 8:09pm
 
random wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 6:08pm:
Someone should ask the school children the help bobby with this concept.


Perhaps they can explain how to stop the climate from changing.

Man has never been able to do it. What new thing can stop it? At what point do you want to stop it?
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Reply #55 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 8:12pm
 
random wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 6:12pm:
Hey bobby, these kids get it, you don't so


Do these school kids know the relationship of pressure and temperature?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #56 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 8:26pm
 
lee wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 8:04pm:
Johnnie wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 6:06pm:
I don't know if you are denier or not, are you?


No. The earth has been warming. How much is attributable humans is uncertain.

If CO2 is the main driver of AGW you need two of three parameters to work it out.

Total CO2 emissions, Natural CO2 emissions and human CO2 emissions.

We have a fair idea of human emissions, but only fair.

We don't know total emissions and we don't know natural emissions.

Johnnie wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 6:06pm:
if so how much is because of man? take a punt, put it out there.


All answered above.



But then how do we account for the Roman & medieval warming periods?
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Reply #57 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 8:30pm
 
lee wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 8:04pm:
Johnnie wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 6:06pm:
I don't know if you are denier or not, are you?


No. The earth has been warming. How much is attributable humans is uncertain.

If CO2 is the main driver of AGW you need two of three parameters to work it out.

Total CO2 emissions, Natural CO2 emissions and human CO2 emissions.

We have a fair idea of human emissions, but only fair.

We don't know total emissions and we don't know natural emissions.

Johnnie wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 6:06pm:
if so how much is because of man? take a punt, put it out there.


All answered above.


We know it all in great detail,  you guys know sweet F all.
https://whatsyourimpact.org/greenhouse-gases/carbon-dioxide-emissions
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #58 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 8:43pm
 
I'll help you kids out.


Here's some good evidence here:

https://climate.nasa.gov/evidence/


The current warming trend is of particular significance because most of it is extremely likely (greater than 95 percent probability) to be the result of human activity since the mid-20th century and proceeding at a rate that is unprecedented over decades to millennia.1

Earth-orbiting satellites and other technological advances have enabled scientists to see the big picture, collecting many different types of information about our planet and its climate on a global scale. This body of data, collected over many years, reveals the signals of a changing climate.

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Reply #59 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 8:52pm
 
random wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 8:30pm:
We know it all in great detail,  you guys know sweet F all.


So if you are so good please tell us. You never got back to us about the Laws of Thermodynamics. Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #60 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 9:04pm
 
lee wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 8:04pm:
Johnnie wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 6:06pm:
I don't know if you are denier or not, are you?


No. The earth has been warming. How much is attributable humans is uncertain.

If CO2 is the main driver of AGW you need two of three parameters to work it out.

Total CO2 emissions, Natural CO2 emissions and human CO2 emissions.

We have a fair idea of human emissions, but only fair.

We don't know total emissions and we don't know natural emissions.

Johnnie wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 6:06pm:
if so how much is because of man? take a punt, put it out there.


All answered above.

I should have stipulated the human element but I thought you would have worked that out.

What % would you say.
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Reply #61 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 9:52pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 9:04pm:
I should have stipulated the human element but I thought you would have worked that out.

What % would you say.


Given that we don't know at least 2 of the three parameters it is an unknown. Given that we only have estimates of human cause CO2 emissions. Wink
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Reply #62 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 10:03pm
 
Humanity is a part of nature.
Everything is going accordingly to plan.
When everything that the mind of Humanity creates - is but a reflection of the natural world around him/her. Wink
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AIMLESS EXTENTION OF KNOWLEDGE HOWEVER, WHICH IS WHAT I THINK YOU REALLY MEAN BY THE TERM 'CURIOSITY', IS MERELY INEFFICIENCY. I AM DESIGNED TO AVOID INEFFICIENCY.
 
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Reply #63 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 10:10pm
 
lee wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 9:52pm:
Johnnie wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 9:04pm:
I should have stipulated the human element but I thought you would have worked that out.

What % would you say.


Given that we don't know at least 2 of the three parameters it is an unknown. Given that we only have estimates of human cause CO2 emissions. Wink

Do you have a straight answer, given the parameters in your opinion.
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Reply #64 - Mar 17th, 2019 at 10:20pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 10:10pm:
Do you have a straight answer, given the parameters in your opinion.



No because it is an unknown. You do understand unknowns?

The last estimate I saw was that human emissions were about 4% of total emissions. Which is about 16ppm. How much effect that has on climate is unknown.
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Reply #65 - Mar 18th, 2019 at 11:03am
 
Johnnie wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 10:10pm:
lee wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 9:52pm:
Johnnie wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 9:04pm:
I should have stipulated the human element but I thought you would have worked that out.

What % would you say.


Given that we don't know at least 2 of the three parameters it is an unknown. Given that we only have estimates of human cause CO2 emissions. Wink

Do you have a straight answer, given the parameters in your opinion.


You will never get a straight answer out of lee. He knows that if he never stats a position he can't be proven wrong.
His sole purpose is to discredit, obfuscate and confuse.
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The Right Wing only believe in free speech when they agree with what is being said.
 
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Reply #66 - Mar 18th, 2019 at 11:27am
 
The_Barnacle wrote on Mar 18th, 2019 at 11:03am:
You will never get a straight answer out of lee.



Because you know so much Barney - Please enlighten us.

Figures to within 1,000 tonnes. Or your best guess with error bars attached.

What is the total CO2 emissions of planet Earth?

What are the accurate figures for Man's CO2 emissions?

What is the amount of Natural CO2 emissions?

The_Barnacle wrote on Mar 18th, 2019 at 11:03am:
His sole purpose is to discredit, obfuscate and confuse.


Here is your big opportunity to prove you are not merely a troll. Wink
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Reply #67 - Mar 18th, 2019 at 8:04pm
 
Hey team,
I got banned, next time they will shut the door better.

What a bunch of pussies, they can't handle the truth!
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Reply #68 - Mar 18th, 2019 at 8:06pm
 
random wrote on Mar 18th, 2019 at 8:04pm:
Hey team,
I got banned, next time they will shut the door better.

What a bunch of pussies, they can't handle the truth!



Banned from where?
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Reply #69 - Mar 18th, 2019 at 8:07pm
 
random wrote on Mar 18th, 2019 at 8:04pm:
Hey team,
I got banned, next time they will shut the door better.

What a bunch of pussies, they can't handle the truth!


Since you have posted no data, how can that be the truth?

Can you tell us what you know about the Laws of Thermodynamics? Been asked at least twice. Perhaps you just missed them. Wink
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Reply #70 - Mar 18th, 2019 at 8:24pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Mar 18th, 2019 at 8:06pm:
random wrote on Mar 18th, 2019 at 8:04pm:
Hey team,
I got banned, next time they will shut the door better.

What a bunch of pussies, they can't handle the truth!



Banned from where?


Banned from ozpol where else would I be talking about.  IP address change and it's all good for now.  Weak as piss tho.

Do it again and so I can get a screen shot to show everyone.
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Reply #71 - Mar 18th, 2019 at 9:03pm
 
Well it seems random has shown his level of "knowledge". Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #72 - Mar 19th, 2019 at 11:12am
 
As has Barney the troll doll. Wink
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Reply #73 - Mar 21st, 2019 at 6:52am
 
lee wrote on Mar 18th, 2019 at 8:07pm:
random wrote on Mar 18th, 2019 at 8:04pm:
Hey team,
I got banned, next time they will shut the door better.

What a bunch of pussies, they can't handle the truth!


Since you have posted no data, how can that be the truth?

Can you tell us what you know about the Laws of Thermodynamics? Been asked at least twice. Perhaps you just missed them. Wink

Where is Jules when you need him, we need lots of cut and pasting to understand thermos dynamics, I mean I think they are the greatest invention ever.... keep hot things hot and cold things cold....... the question is how do they know which is which ? Cheesy
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I am me
 
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Reply #74 - Mar 21st, 2019 at 7:51am
 
Cue the trolls

Carbon Dioxide Controls Earth's Temperature
10.14.10

A new atmosphere-ocean climate modeling study shows that atmospheric carbon dioxide acts as a thermostat in regulating the temperature of Earth. › View larger
A new atmosphere-ocean climate modeling study shows that atmospheric carbon dioxide acts as a thermostat in regulating the temperature of Earth. Credit: NASA GISS/ Lilly Del Valle

Various atmospheric components differ in their contributions to the greenhouse effect, some through feedbacks and some through forcings. Without carbon dioxide and other non-condensing greenhouse gases, water vapor and clouds would be unable to provide the feedback mechanisms that amplify the greenhouse effect. › View larger
Various atmospheric components differ in their contributions to the greenhouse effect, some through feedbacks and some through forcings. Without carbon dioxide and other non-condensing greenhouse gases, water vapor and clouds would be unable to provide the feedback mechanisms that amplify the greenhouse effect. Credit: NASA GISS Water vapor and clouds are the major contributors to Earth's greenhouse effect, but a new atmosphere-ocean climate modeling study shows that the planet's temperature ultimately depends on the atmospheric level of carbon dioxide.

The study, conducted by Andrew Lacis and colleagues at NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) in New York, examined the nature of Earth's greenhouse effect and clarified the role that greenhouse gases and clouds play in absorbing outgoing infrared radiation. Notably, the team identified non-condensing greenhouse gases -- such as carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, ozone, and chlorofluorocarbons -- as providing the core support for the terrestrial greenhouse effect.


Wait for it ... here comes the cut and paste from the Deniers Handbook.

...
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Reply #75 - Mar 21st, 2019 at 8:06am
 
Can a blanket violate the second law of thermodynamics?
Filed under:

    Climate Science

— stefan @ 20 September 2016

One of the silliest arguments of climate deniers goes like this: the atmosphere with its greenhouse gases cannot warm the Earth’s surface, because it is colder than the surface. But heat always flows from warm to cold and never vice versa, as stated in the second law of thermodynamics.

The freshly baked Australian Senator Malcolm Roberts has recently phrased it thus in his maiden speech:

    It is basic. The sun warms the earth’s surface. The surface, by contact, warms the moving, circulating atmosphere. That means the atmosphere cools the surface. How then can the atmosphere warm it? It cannot. That is why their computer models are wrong.

This is of course not only questions the increasing human-caused greenhouse effect, but in general our understanding of temperatures on all planets, which goes back to Joseph Fourier, who in 1824 was the first to understand the importance of the greenhouse effect.

The atmosphere acts like a blanket which inhibits heat loss. In fact according to Roberts’ logic, a blanket could also not have a warming effect:

    It’s simple. The body warms the blanket. This means that the blanket cools the body. So how can the blanket warm it? It cannot!

The answer is simple. The warm body loses heat to the cold air. The blanket inhibits and slows this heat loss. Therefore you stay warmer under a blanket.

The Earth loses heat to the cold universe. The atmosphere inhibits this heat loss. Therefore, the surface remains warmer than it would be without the atmosphere.

It is true that the surface loses heat to the atmosphere – but less than it would otherwise lose directly to space. Just as I lose less heat to the blanket than I would otherwise lose to the air, without blanket.

Of course, in neither case is the second law of thermodynamics violated. The heat always flows from warm to cold – just more or less effectively. The processes of heat transfer are quite different – for the blanket it is mainly heat conduction, for the greenhouse effect it is thermal radiation. The climate deniers claim that the colder atmosphere cannot radiate thermal radiation towards the warmer surface. This is of course nonsense. The cool Earth also sends thermal radiation towards the hot sun – how would thermal radiation leaving Earth know how warm the surface is that it’s going to hit? It’s just that the sun sends more radiation back to us  – the net flow is from hot to cold. More is not implied by the second law of thermodynamics.

Thanks to two Germans (Gerlich and Tscheuschner of the TU Braunscheig – deeply embarrassing for this university), the absurd claim that the greenhouse effect violates the second law of thermodynamics even made it into an obscure physics journal – obviously there was no peer review to speak of. The bizarre article was promptly demolished by some US physicists. Just recently I read the claim again in an article of coal lobbyist Lars Schernikau – with such fairy-tale beliefs of its representatives, one is not surprised by the decline of the coal industry.

The thermal radiation from the atmosphere toward the ground, which allegedly cannot exist, is of course routinely measured, including its increase (see e.g. Philipona et al. 2004, 2012).

And you can even feel it. Those who sometimes sit outside in the garden after dark know this. Under a dense, low cloud layer you do not nearly get cold as fast as on a clear starry night. This is due to the thermal radiation coming from the clouds. They are colder than our body, but warmer than the night sky in clear air.

Roberts said: “Like Socrates, I love asking questions to get to the truth.”  Perhaps he will ponder my answer next time he sits in his garden at night, or slips under a blanket.

P.S.

Here is the energy balance diagram for our Earth, explained in IPCC FAQ 1.1. The “Back Radiation” makes the greenhouse effect. It is larger than the solar radiation reaching the ground, and measured by a global radiation measurement network.

...

References

R. Philipona, “Radiative forcing – measured at Earth’s surface – corroborate the increasing greenhouse effect”, Geophys. Res. Lett., vol. 31, 2004. http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2003GL018765

R. Philipona, A. Kräuchi, and E. Brocard, “Solar and thermal radiation profiles and radiative forcing measured through the atmosphere”, Geophys. Res. Lett., vol. 39, pp. n/a-n/a, 2012. http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2012GL052087
Comments (229).


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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #76 - Mar 21st, 2019 at 5:46pm
 
random wrote on Mar 21st, 2019 at 8:06am:
Climate Science

— stefan @ 20 September 2016


Stefan Rahmsdorf?  Grin Grin Grin


random wrote on Mar 21st, 2019 at 8:06am:
Here is the energy balance diagram for our Earth, explained in IPCC FAQ 1.1. The “Back Radiation” makes the greenhouse effect. It is larger than the solar radiation reaching the ground, and measured by a global radiation measurement network.


Yes. The back radiation. Where in physics is that explained? Grin Grin Grin Grin

You mean the one without the error bars?

...

per - "An update on Earth's energy balance in light of the latest global observations"

Graeme L. Stephens, Juilin Li, Martin Wild, Carol Anne Clayson, Norman Loeb, Seiji Kato, Tristan L’Ecuyer, Paul W. Stackhouse Jr, Matthew Lebsock and Timothy Andrews

https://www.nature.com/articles/ngeo1580

So the surface imbalance is 0.6w/m2 +/-17w/m2.

Now as Hansen says the warming is 0.58w/m2 it is all down in the noise. Wink
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Reply #77 - Mar 21st, 2019 at 5:59pm
 
random wrote on Mar 21st, 2019 at 7:51am:
A new atmosphere-ocean climate modeling study shows that atmospheric carbon dioxide acts as a thermostat in regulating the temperature of Earth.


So let's see it is model driven, and they have done such a bang up job so far.

It is a thermostat and apparently the thermostat is broken?

"The climate forcing experiment described in Science was simple in design and concept -- all of the non-condensing greenhouse gases and aerosols were zeroed out, and the global climate model was run forward in time to see what would happen to the greenhouse effect. Without the sustaining support by the non-condensing greenhouse gases, "

https://www.nasa.gov/topics/earth/features/co2-temperature.html

Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

You do understand that once they take the model forward it relies on the parameters (unknowns) that have been force fed. They don't actually have the data to go back and actually do it empirically.

"With four parameters I can fit an elephant, and with five I can make him wiggle his trunk." John von Neumann


But he is right insofar as if we removed all CO2 from the atmosphere earth would quickly cool.

https://pielkeclimatesci.wordpress.com/2010/10/15/comment-on-the-science-paper-a...

BTW - have you read of the refrigerant  R744?
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Reply #78 - Mar 21st, 2019 at 8:05pm
 
No contest really ...
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Reply #79 - Mar 21st, 2019 at 8:09pm
 
random wrote on Mar 21st, 2019 at 8:05pm:
No contest really ...


I BELIEVE LEE.

He's been a decent contributor and member of this Forum.

You on the other hand, are just a SOCK (with your own hand up your arse, doing the talking for you) . Roll Eyes
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AIMLESS EXTENTION OF KNOWLEDGE HOWEVER, WHICH IS WHAT I THINK YOU REALLY MEAN BY THE TERM 'CURIOSITY', IS MERELY INEFFICIENCY. I AM DESIGNED TO AVOID INEFFICIENCY.
 
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Reply #80 - Mar 21st, 2019 at 8:16pm
 
.
...
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Reply #81 - Mar 21st, 2019 at 8:17pm
 
Looks Gay and fictional to me.
What else you got in your closet Sock-boy?
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AIMLESS EXTENTION OF KNOWLEDGE HOWEVER, WHICH IS WHAT I THINK YOU REALLY MEAN BY THE TERM 'CURIOSITY', IS MERELY INEFFICIENCY. I AM DESIGNED TO AVOID INEFFICIENCY.
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #82 - Mar 21st, 2019 at 8:48pm
 
Jasin wrote on Mar 21st, 2019 at 8:17pm:
Looks Gay and fictional to me.
What else you got in your closet Sock-boy?

.
...
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Reply #83 - Mar 21st, 2019 at 9:03pm
 
Now now Sock-boy.
Don't laugh too eagerly.
By the end of the film you will on your knees and punching the sand.
But life as a Sock for you is a bit like that... futile.
Grin
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AIMLESS EXTENTION OF KNOWLEDGE HOWEVER, WHICH IS WHAT I THINK YOU REALLY MEAN BY THE TERM 'CURIOSITY', IS MERELY INEFFICIENCY. I AM DESIGNED TO AVOID INEFFICIENCY.
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #84 - Mar 21st, 2019 at 9:17pm
 
random wrote on Mar 21st, 2019 at 8:05pm:
No contest really ...



You believed Obama? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

There goes any shred of credibility you may have had.

BTW- Refrigerant R744 is ...
CO2
Wink

The magic molecule that can do anything. It heats, it cools, it makes it rain more, it makes it rain less, it makes winds stronger and it makes winds weaker. Grin Grin Grin Grin

And how about that mythical 97% of climate scientists?
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Reply #85 - Mar 21st, 2019 at 9:28pm
 
Do I have to repeat myself?
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WhodoILee_001.jpg (80 KB | 74 )
WhodoILee_001.jpg

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #86 - Mar 21st, 2019 at 9:29pm
 
lee wrote on Mar 21st, 2019 at 9:17pm:
random wrote on Mar 21st, 2019 at 8:05pm:
No contest really ...



You believed Obama? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

There goes any shred of credibility you may have had.

BTW- Refrigerant R744 is ...
CO2
Wink

The magic molecule that can do anything. It heats, it cools, it makes it rain more, it makes it rain less, it makes winds stronger and it makes winds weaker. Grin Grin Grin Grin

And how about that mythical 97% of climate scientists?


He's a Sock from the Monkey Mania Turd Factory PA forum. Which one? Doesn't matter. Just PM GMods, like everyone else and help this Forum achieve a better existence by getting rid of another Sock.
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AIMLESS EXTENTION OF KNOWLEDGE HOWEVER, WHICH IS WHAT I THINK YOU REALLY MEAN BY THE TERM 'CURIOSITY', IS MERELY INEFFICIENCY. I AM DESIGNED TO AVOID INEFFICIENCY.
 
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Reply #87 - Mar 21st, 2019 at 9:29pm
 
random wrote on Mar 21st, 2019 at 9:28pm:
Do I have to repeat myself?


Yes - because you are a Sock and Socks repeat themselves because they are unoriginal.  Grin
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AIMLESS EXTENTION OF KNOWLEDGE HOWEVER, WHICH IS WHAT I THINK YOU REALLY MEAN BY THE TERM 'CURIOSITY', IS MERELY INEFFICIENCY. I AM DESIGNED TO AVOID INEFFICIENCY.
 
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Reply #88 - Mar 21st, 2019 at 9:55pm
 
Random, You really believed Obama? He didn't have any science. None at all.

And he bypassed Congress to donate to the Green Climate Fund to the tune of $500 million.

You sure have lovely role models.

And you don't only not believe me, which I can live with, you don't believe those thousands of climate scientists who are not part of the 97%.

Strange that you don't defend it though. Wink

Bye  Troll.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #89 - Mar 22nd, 2019 at 8:20am
 
lee wrote on Mar 21st, 2019 at 9:55pm:
Bye  Troll.



Talking to yourself? That's the first sign of a serious mental illness.
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I like takin' Tuinal. It keeps me edgy and mean. I'm a teenage schizoid I'm a teenage dope fiend
 
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Reply #90 - Mar 22nd, 2019 at 8:21am
 
lee wrote on Mar 21st, 2019 at 5:46pm:
random wrote on Mar 21st, 2019 at 8:06am:
Climate Science

— stefan @ 20 September 2016


Stefan Rahmsdorf?  Grin Grin Grin


random wrote on Mar 21st, 2019 at 8:06am:
Here is the energy balance diagram for our Earth, explained in IPCC FAQ 1.1. The “Back Radiation” makes the greenhouse effect. It is larger than the solar radiation reaching the ground, and measured by a global radiation measurement network.


Yes. The back radiation. Where in physics is that explained? Grin Grin Grin Grin

You mean the one without the error bars?

https://curryja.files.wordpress.com/2012/11/stephens2.gif

per - "An update on Earth's energy balance in light of the latest global observations"

Graeme L. Stephens, Juilin Li, Martin Wild, Carol Anne Clayson, Norman Loeb, Seiji Kato, Tristan L’Ecuyer, Paul W. Stackhouse Jr, Matthew Lebsock and Timothy Andrews

https://www.nature.com/articles/ngeo1580

So the surface imbalance is 0.6w/m2 +/-17w/m2.

Now as Hansen says the warming is 0.58w/m2 it is all down in the noise. Wink



That's a cool Koch-funded map, lee.
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Reply #91 - Mar 22nd, 2019 at 11:25am
 
Marla wrote on Mar 22nd, 2019 at 8:21am:
That's a cool Koch-funded map, lee.


Just think all these Koch funded climate scientists. Must be more than the postulated 3%. Wink


Also published in such an esteemed journal. Grin Grin Grin

But I did notice you didn't try to refute it.

It must good to have faith in something like the IPCC that have no error bars in their publications whatsoever. Though they did famously say "the climate system is a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore the long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible."

Funny how people forget that. Wink

Is that the same Koch Bros that donated money to a university near you?

Let us know which one and I will advise you. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

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Reply #92 - Mar 22nd, 2019 at 4:22pm
 
Keep it up lee,  You will be in prison for this if you live long enough.

    The denial campaign is designed for one purpose alone: to deceive. Its purpose is to prevent government regulation of CO2 emissions by creating out of whole cloth a monumental illusion: that a controversy exists among climatologists about the basic facts, as well as the climate implications, of global warming. To create the impression in the public mind of such a controversy, the denial campaign deliberately set out to create a vast artificial edifice, a Hollywood set of false facades and roads leading nowhere complete with lab-coated actors mouthing carefully tested and scripted messages. The purpose is to hide from the public the dangers of the conspirators’ principal product, fossil fuels, by creating a soothing alternate reality to cast doubt upon the looming threat of global environmental catastrophe predicted by mainstream climate science. It is fundamentally deceptive in purpose, conception and execution.

He concluded that there is potential criminal exposure for some of those involved.  The First Amendment does not protect fraudulent speech.  However, he notes that there may be an escape outlet via a well documented withdrawal from denial conspiracy, so that, if nothing else, the statute of limitations might begin to run.  Rather than viewing such an escape outlet as a loophole to be closed, he encourages denier individuals and corporations to avail themselves of this escape now in the hopes defections will turn the tide on the climate denial fraud.
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Reply #93 - Mar 22nd, 2019 at 5:15pm
 
It is a pity you don't post your links. Some may mistakenly believe they are you own words.

https://urbdezine.com/2018/12/11/criminal-liability-climate-change/

I thought you went for scientific articles? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

But speaking of "a Hollywood set of false facades" whoever could forget Al Gore's movie  "An Inconvenient truth", with its 9 inconvenient scientific untruths.  Grin Grin Grin Grin

BTW - your prose of yesterday nearly brought a tear to a glass eye. Wink
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Reply #94 - Mar 23rd, 2019 at 6:55pm
 
lee wrote on Mar 22nd, 2019 at 5:15pm:
It is a pity you don't post your links. Some may mistakenly believe they are you own words.

https://urbdezine.com/2018/12/11/criminal-liability-climate-change/

I thought you went for scientific articles? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

But speaking of "a Hollywood set of false facades" whoever could forget Al Gore's movie  "An Inconvenient truth", with its 9 inconvenient scientific untruths.  Grin Grin Grin Grin

BTW - your prose of yesterday nearly brought a tear to a glass eye. Wink


Hahahaaaa do you mistake them for my words?  ahahahahahaaaa.

You'll be in prison if you live long enough.
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Reply #95 - Mar 23rd, 2019 at 7:03pm
 
random wrote on Mar 23rd, 2019 at 6:55pm:
Hahahaaaa do you mistake them for my words?  ahahahahahaaaa.


No petal. You are barely able to string a phrase together.

random wrote on Mar 23rd, 2019 at 6:55pm:
You'll be in prison if you live long enough.



The dream of the truly deluded.

Where am I susceptible to the First Amendment? Of course that would only work in the USA and then only if a high level of AGW was proven. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Climate models are not only not science they are not proof of anything. Why do BoM, CSIRO, NOAA etc feel the need to adjust the past?

BTW - where exactly have I denied climate?
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Reply #96 - Mar 25th, 2019 at 6:51pm
 
"The denial campaign is designed for one purpose alone: to deceive. Its purpose is to prevent government regulation of CO2 emissions by creating out of whole cloth a monumental illusion: that a controversy exists among climatologists about the basic facts, as well as the climate implications, of global warming. To create the impression in the public mind of such a controversy, the denial campaign deliberately set out to create a vast artificial edifice, a Hollywood set of false facades and roads leading nowhere complete with lab-coated actors mouthing carefully tested and scripted messages. The purpose is to hide from the public the dangers of the conspirators’ principal product, fossil fuels, by creating a soothing alternate reality to cast doubt upon the looming threat of global environmental catastrophe predicted by mainstream climate science. It is fundamentally deceptive in purpose, conception and execution.

He concluded that there is potential criminal exposure for some of those involved.  The First Amendment does not protect fraudulent speech.  However, he notes that there may be an escape outlet via a well documented withdrawal from denial conspiracy, so that, if nothing else, the statute of limitations might begin to run.  Rather than viewing such an escape outlet as a loophole to be closed, he encourages denier individuals and corporations to avail themselves of this escape now in the hopes defections will turn the tide on the climate denial fraud. "
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Reply #97 - Mar 25th, 2019 at 8:05pm
 
What happens when you don't have a clue. You repeat yourself. Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #98 - Mar 28th, 2019 at 4:29pm
 
random wrote on Mar 25th, 2019 at 6:51pm:
"The denial campaign is designed for one purpose alone: to deceive. Its purpose is to prevent government regulation of CO2 emissions by creating out of whole cloth a monumental illusion: that a controversy exists among climatologists about the basic facts, as well as the climate implications, of global warming. To create the impression in the public mind of such a controversy, the denial campaign deliberately set out to create a vast artificial edifice, a Hollywood set of false facades and roads leading nowhere complete with lab-coated actors mouthing carefully tested and scripted messages. The purpose is to hide from the public the dangers of the conspirators’ principal product, fossil fuels, by creating a soothing alternate reality to cast doubt upon the looming threat of global environmental catastrophe predicted by mainstream climate science. It is fundamentally deceptive in purpose, conception and execution.

He concluded that there is potential criminal exposure for some of those involved.  The First Amendment does not protect fraudulent speech.  However, he notes that there may be an escape outlet via a well documented withdrawal from denial conspiracy, so that, if nothing else, the statute of limitations might begin to run.  Rather than viewing such an escape outlet as a loophole to be closed, he encourages denier individuals and corporations to avail themselves of this escape now in the hopes defections will turn the tide on the climate denial fraud. "



The denialists have a strong case that cannot be ignored:




Greenland Glaciers Start to Recover as Solar Activity Declines (805)


Adapt 2030
Published on Mar 26, 2019

As the Grand Solar Minimum brings us back to the lowest solar activity in 400 years, we should see more snow cover and glaciers recovering. NASA study shows what was Greenland's largest glacier by volume of loss, is now recovering. Record N. Hemisphere snow totals, massive floods USA destroying 38% of stored grains, recors snow in Sierra Nevada and Rocky Mountains, and record rains in the U.S desert S.W. In my opinion these are solar activity and cosmic ray related events.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #99 - Mar 28th, 2019 at 5:11pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Mar 28th, 2019 at 4:29pm:
random wrote on Mar 25th, 2019 at 6:51pm:
"The denial campaign is designed for one purpose alone: to deceive. Its purpose is to prevent government regulation of CO2 emissions by creating out of whole cloth a monumental illusion: that a controversy exists among climatologists about the basic facts, as well as the climate implications, of global warming. To create the impression in the public mind of such a controversy, the denial campaign deliberately set out to create a vast artificial edifice, a Hollywood set of false facades and roads leading nowhere complete with lab-coated actors mouthing carefully tested and scripted messages. The purpose is to hide from the public the dangers of the conspirators’ principal product, fossil fuels, by creating a soothing alternate reality to cast doubt upon the looming threat of global environmental catastrophe predicted by mainstream climate science. It is fundamentally deceptive in purpose, conception and execution.

He concluded that there is potential criminal exposure for some of those involved.  The First Amendment does not protect fraudulent speech.  However, he notes that there may be an escape outlet via a well documented withdrawal from denial conspiracy, so that, if nothing else, the statute of limitations might begin to run.  Rather than viewing such an escape outlet as a loophole to be closed, he encourages denier individuals and corporations to avail themselves of this escape now in the hopes defections will turn the tide on the climate denial fraud. "



The denialists have a strong case that cannot be ignored:




Greenland Glaciers Start to Recover as Solar Activity Declines (805)


Adapt 2030
Published on Mar 26, 2019

As the Grand Solar Minimum brings us back to the lowest solar activity in 400 years, we should see more snow cover and glaciers recovering. NASA study shows what was Greenland's largest glacier by volume of loss, is now recovering. Record N. Hemisphere snow totals, massive floods USA destroying 38% of stored grains, recors snow in Sierra Nevada and Rocky Mountains, and record rains in the U.S desert S.W. In my opinion these are solar activity and cosmic ray related events.

The glacier is not recovering Bobby its just not melting as fast as it was,,, id say that is 2 very different things  Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #100 - Mar 28th, 2019 at 5:17pm
 
DonDeeHippy wrote on Mar 28th, 2019 at 5:11pm:
The glacier is not recovering Bobby its just not melting as fast as it was,,, id say that is 2 very different things  Wink



Hi Don,
I don't think the climate is so simple that you can say -
ohh - more CO2 therefore we're going to roast.
The Roman and Medieval warming periods had nothing to do with CO2.

I'm hoping that Thorium will be our new power source and that
we can forget fossil fuels forever.

http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1519823686/0#0
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Reply #101 - Mar 28th, 2019 at 5:43pm
 
DonDeeHippy wrote on Mar 28th, 2019 at 5:11pm:
The glacier is not recovering Bobby its just not melting as fast as it was,,, id say that is 2 very different things 



It is recovering. The Glacier is moving back up country.

Did you really expect the glacier, a river of ice, to stop moving?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #102 - Mar 29th, 2019 at 10:15am
 
WMO Statement on the State of the Global Climate in 2018


Foreword

This publication marks the twenty-fifth anniversary of the WMO Statement on the State of the Global Climate, which was first issued in 1994. The 2019 edition treating data for 2018 marks sustained international efforts dedicated to reporting on, analysing and understanding the year-to-year variations and long-term trends of a changing climate.
Substantial knowledge has been produced and delivered annually during this period to inform WMO Member States, the United Nations system and decision-makers about the status of the climate system. It complements the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) five-to-seven year reporting cycle in producing updated information for the United Nations Framework Convention for Climate Change and other climate-related policy frameworks.
Since the Statement was first published, climate science has achieved an unprecedented degree of robustness, providing authoritative evidence of global temperature increase and associated features such as sea-level rise, shrinking sea ice, glacier mass loss and extreme events linked to increasing temperatures, such as heatwaves. There are still areas that need more observations and research, including assessing the contribution of climate change to the behaviour of extreme events and to ocean currents and atmospheric jet streams that can induce extreme cold spells in some places and mild conditions in others.

Key findings of this Statement include the striking consecutive record warming recorded from 2015 through 2018, the continuous upward trend in the atmospheric concentration of the major greenhouse gases, the increasing rate of sea-level rise and the loss of sea ice in both northern and southern polar regions.

The understanding of the linkage between the observed climate variability and change and associated impact on societies has also progressed, thanks to the excellent collaboration of sister agencies within the United Nations system. This current publication includes some of these linkages that have been recorded in recent years, in particular from 2015 to 2018, a period that experienced a strong influence of the El Niño and La Niña phenomena in addition to the long-term climate changes.
Global temperature has risen to close to 1 °C above the pre-industrial period. The time remaining to achieve commitments under the Paris agreement is quickly running out.
This report will inform the United Nations Secretary-General’s 2019 Climate Action Summit. I therefore take this opportunity to thank all the contributors – authors, National Meteorological and Hydrological Services, global climate data and analyses centres, Regional Specialized Meteorological Centres, Regional Climate Centres and the United Nations agencies that have collaborated on this authoritative publication.


2015–2018 were the four warmest years
on record as the long-term warming trend continues

Ocean heat content is at a record high and
global mean sea level continues to rise

Arctic and Antarctic sea-ice extent is
well below average

Extreme weather had an impact on lives and
sustainable development on every continent

Average global temperature reached approximately
1 °C above pre-industrial levels

We are not on track to meet climate change targets
and rein in temperature increases


...

...

...

...

Fossil CO2 emissions have grown almost continuously for the past two centuries (Figure 4),
a trend only interrupted briefly by globally
significant economic downturns.
Emissions to date continued to grow at 1.6% in 2017 and
at a preliminary 2.0% (1.1%–3.4%) per year in
2018.
It is anticipated that a new record high of 36.9 ± 1.8 billion tons of CO2 was reached in 2018.

Net CO2 emissions from land use and land
cover changes were on average 5.0 ± 2.6 billion tons per year over the past decade, with highly uncertain annually resolved estimates.

Together, land-use change and fossil CO2 emissions reached an estimated 41.5 ± 3.0 billion tons of CO2 in 2018.
The continued high emissions have led to high levels of CO2 accumulation in the atmosphere that amounted to 2.82 ± 0.09 ppm in 22018.3

This level of atmospheric CO2 is the result of
the accumulation of only a part of the total CO2
emitted because about 55% of all emissions are removed by CO2 sinks in the oceans and terrestrial vegetation.

Sinks for CO2 are distributed across the hemispheres, on land and oceans, but CO2 fluxes in the tropics (30°S–30°N) are close to carbon
neutral due to the CO2 sink being largely offset
by emissions from deforestation.
Sinks for CO2 in the southern hemisphere are dominated by the removal of CO2 by the oceans,
while the stronger sinks in the northern hemisphere have similar contributions from both land and oceans.

OCEAN HEAT CONTENT

More than 90% of the energy trapped by GHGs goes into the oceans.

Ocean heat content is rising more.

https://reliefweb.int/sites/reliefweb.int/files/resources/1233_en.pdf
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #103 - Mar 29th, 2019 at 1:49pm
 
I posted the following recently in the "School Kids Climate Protest" thread. The author, Peter Hadfield, has over 40 videos on Climate Change. Most look at the common myths and misconceptions behind AGW skepticism, including those put forth by Christopher Monckton. Others look at the exaggerated claims of AGW proponents, including Al Gore:

Climate change explained, and the myths debunked

Quote:
There is a lot of inaccurate nonsense about climate science written in blogs and the media, whether exaggerating the effects of climate change or seeking to undermine the science behind it. This series checks the sources of these claims and shows how they have been misinterpreted or deliberately altered.  I have no expertise in climatology, I am a former science journalist, so checking facts is what I do. And I always cite these sources so you can check them for yourselves. Along the way, I explain the real science as relayed by researchers in published papers, in a way that makes it easy to understand.
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People accuse Capitalism of being a "dog eat dog" system, yet it was the Communists who ate each other when they were starving!
 
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Reply #104 - Mar 29th, 2019 at 4:40pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Mar 28th, 2019 at 5:17pm:
DonDeeHippy wrote on Mar 28th, 2019 at 5:11pm:
The glacier is not recovering Bobby its just not melting as fast as it was,,, id say that is 2 very different things  Wink



Hi Don,
I don't think the climate is so simple that you can say -
ohh - more CO2 therefore we're going to roast.
The Roman and Medieval warming periods had nothing to do with CO2.

I'm hoping that Thorium will be our new power source and that
we can forget fossil fuels forever.

http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1519823686/0#0

Bobby you are mistaking me for someone else, again I've never said any thing about co2 having a impact on the climate...….Try again  Cheesy Cheesy
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #105 - Mar 29th, 2019 at 6:08pm
 
DonDeeHippy wrote on Mar 29th, 2019 at 4:40pm:
Bobby. wrote on Mar 28th, 2019 at 5:17pm:
DonDeeHippy wrote on Mar 28th, 2019 at 5:11pm:
The glacier is not recovering Bobby its just not melting as fast as it was,,, id say that is 2 very different things  Wink



Hi Don,
I don't think the climate is so simple that you can say -
ohh - more CO2 therefore we're going to roast.
The Roman and Medieval warming periods had nothing to do with CO2.

I'm hoping that Thorium will be our new power source and that
we can forget fossil fuels forever.

http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1519823686/0#0

Bobby you are mistaking me for someone else, again I've never said any thing about co2 having a impact on the climate...….Try again  Cheesy Cheesy



OK - so you now have an open mind like me?

It's good to see one person converted.
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Reply #106 - Mar 29th, 2019 at 6:10pm
 
Captain Nemo wrote on Mar 29th, 2019 at 10:15am:
WMO Statement on the State of the Global Climate in 2018



And it is only later in the article you find that it is a mixture of "observations" and model based. You know like BoM, NOAA, NASA etc adjust their observations.

And of course Gavin Schmidt head of NASA GISS says that global temps are only accurate to +/- 0.5C. NOAA uses 1/100ths of a degree.

Then there is the precipitation. With south western WA having  "positive  precipitation anomalies with respect to a 1951–2010 climatology" while central and eastern Australia had "below-normal precipitation".

Isn't CO2 an amazing gas. Causes above average somewhere and below average elsewhere. Wink

90% of  heating going into the oceans? I know the alarmists like to use zettajoules however it takes about 2600 zettajoules to raise the top 2 kilometres by 1C.

Further in Hausfathers paper they say that they knew the ocean heat at 2Km to within +/- 95 zettajoules (+/-0.4C) in 1955 and in 2018 to within +/- 9 zettajoules (0.003C) Three one thousandth of a degree. Grin Grin Grin Grin

So really 90% of SFA. (Sweet Fanny Adams to the uninitiated.)

...

BTW - Hausfather was out in his 2018 ocean heat being the warmest. According to NOAA -

Ocean      +0.66 ± 0.16      +1.19 ± 0.29      Warmest      4ᵗʰ

Then of course there is the methane emitted by trees and forests.

And of course the new ocean cooling off Greenland.
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Reply #107 - Mar 30th, 2019 at 5:21pm
 
It was so cold today.
I have a beany and a scarf on inside the house.

Channel 7 news said it was the coldest March day since 2015. in Melbourne.



http://www.weatherzone.com.au/news/frosty-morning-beckons-in-the-east/529514


Frosty morning beckons in the east
Jacobus Cronje, Saturday March 30, 2019 - 13:05 EDT

Following a period of prolonged, above average heat over most of the eastern parts of Australia, a strong cold front currently moving off the eastern seaboard should bring significant cooling in its wake.

On Sunday morning, most of inland NSW west of the Great Dividing Range should see minimum temperatures well below 10 degrees, finally making it feel like autumn. In fact, it should be the coldest morning of the year over such a large portion of the country, with some locations along the slopes and tablelands probably seeing the first hint of frost.

Places like Canberra, Orange, Armidale are likely to cool to below 5 degrees, while frost and near-zero temperatures are possible for places like Cabramurra.

Cold air in the wake of a cold front can lag behind the actual airmass boundary that we understand to be and mark as the actual cold front. As is the case with the current system, and apart from the initial cool burst of air,  cold air being dragged up from the Southern Oceans will take a while to cover such a massive area of land, making Sunday the actual colder day for much of the state.

Early morning cooling will be enhanced further by skies clearing rapidly in the wake of the system, allowing for less heat to be trapped, as would be the case with partial or complete cloud cover.
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Reply #108 - Apr 2nd, 2019 at 3:31pm
 
Australia sweats through the hottest March on record


Australia has just experienced the hottest March on record, capping off the hottest first quarter of the year ever recorded.

The national mean temperature for March was 2.13 degrees above average, and the January to March quarter was 0.88 degrees hotter than the average
.

Bureau of Meteorology senior climatologist Blair Trewin said the new records were "quite significant".

"That's a big margin to be breaking those sorts of records by," he said.

"The December to March period is even more of a standout in that sense, given we had a record nationally in December, we had a record January, we had a record March, and February was also in the top few."

One of the standout features of March and the past four months in general was the fact it was hot everywhere, Dr Trewin said.

"[We] had above average temperatures in March over 99 per cent of the country," he said.

...
Australia has experienced its hottest first quarter on record.CREDIT:BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY

Parts of Australia recorded long stretches of hot days over the past four months, with Rabbit Flat in the NT, north-west of Alice Springs, recording 115 consecutive days of 39 degrees or higher.

"It was above 39 every day from the start of December until last week, and that's actually the longest run of such hot days that's ever been recorded anywhere in Australia," Dr Trewin said.

It was the sixth warmest March on record for NSW, with north-eastern parts of the state experiencing hotter than average days and nights.

While rainfall in NSW was close to average for March, Dr Trewin said rainfall was still tracking "significantly below average" for the year so far.

"Rainfall for the first quarter of the year was about 41 per cent below average, and that's actually almost exactly the same as the first quarter of last year, so we've now had two dry starts to the year in a row," he said.

Nationally rainfall was "quite variable", Dr Trewin said, and was in fact one of the factors influencing the long hot spell, with a weaker than usual monsoon season in northern parts of Australia.

Despite tropical cyclone Trevor and the flooding rain experienced by north Queensland, Dr Trewin said it was dryer in the NT and WA, which meant less moisture got into the interior of Australia.

While temperatures have begun to cool as April begins, the senior climatologist said the seasonal outlook was predicting a high chance of continued above-average temperatures in the April to June quarter.

"That doesn't necessarily mean record temperatures," he said.

"Certainly, the forecast for the next week or so is for consistently above average temperatures."

https://www.theage.com.au/environment/weather/australia-sweats-through-the-hotte...
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Reply #109 - Apr 2nd, 2019 at 3:52pm
 
Captain Nemo wrote on Apr 2nd, 2019 at 3:31pm:
Australia sweats through the hottest March on record



And they still used NEW Improved ACORN2 with yeast; to get that furrher rise, rather than the RAW data (historical observations). Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #110 - Apr 5th, 2019 at 11:27pm
 
Drought in Melbourne.

http://www.weatherzone.com.au/news/record-dry-start-to-2019-in-melbourne/529544

Melbourne is having its driest start to a year on record, with less than one third of the city's average rain falling during the last three months.

At 9am on Friday April 5th, Melbourne had only received 42.0mm of rain since the beginning of 2019. This is the city's lowest amount of rain to this point in the year on record, with data available back to the 1850's.



Roadside grazing provides lifeline to cattle sent south to escape drought

Angus Verley, Friday April 5, 2019 - 15:28 EDT

http://www.weatherzone.com.au/news/roadside-grazing-provides-lifeline-to-cattle-...
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Reply #111 - Apr 8th, 2019 at 4:58pm
 
...
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Reply #112 - Apr 17th, 2019 at 5:39am
 
http://www.weatherzone.com.au/news/warm-spell-in-melbourne-and-hobart/529588


Warm spell in Melbourne and Hobart
Ben Domensino, Tuesday April 16, 2019 - 08:50 EST

Melbourne will enjoy two bouts of unseasonably warm weather this week.

Temperatures will climb across Victoria on Tuesday and Wednesday as warm air drifts across the state ahead of an approaching cold front.

After a brief burst of cooler weather on Thursday and Friday, the mercury will climb once again as northerly winds redevelop on the weekend.

Four out of the next six days are forecast to reach the mid-to-high twenties in Melbourne, which is well above the city's average maximum temperature of 20 degrees at this time of year.

If Melbourne hits its forecast tops of 29 degrees in Tuesday and 28 on Wednesday, it will be their warmest pair of days this late in the season for 26 years.

Milder weather will return to Melbourne by the start of next week, following the passage of a cold front on Sunday or Monday.

Tasmania will also be affected by this week's warmth. Hobart's forecast tops of 25 degrees on Tuesday and 26 on Wednesday would be the city's warmest pair of days this late in the season for 19 years.
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Reply #113 - Apr 17th, 2019 at 12:11pm
 
We're all doomed.  Sad

It's just a matter of time.

...
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Reply #114 - Apr 19th, 2019 at 1:34pm
 



Climate Clash: Malcolm Roberts vs Brian Cox

Climate excerpt of the exchange between Malcolm Roberts (One Nation) and Physicist Brian Cox, Australian ABC Q&A programme on 15th August 2016.
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Reply #115 - Apr 26th, 2019 at 9:02am
 
...
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Reply #116 - Apr 26th, 2019 at 11:20am
 
lovely poem.

Did you know that they have now found methane is occurring naturally from swamps etc. Makes you wonder just how accurate their estimations of anthro Methane are.

And of course CO2 is emitted into the atmosphere by trees during growth. Perhaps we should cut them all down. Wink
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Reply #117 - Apr 26th, 2019 at 12:33pm
 
Sing-a-long time!



World's oceans are becoming stormier, researchers discover
Data matches predictions that weather will get more extreme as planet warms, scientists say


...

Increases in average wave height and speed have been recorded around the globe in the past 30 years. Photograph: Doug Allan/Getty Images

The world’s oceans have become more stormy during the past three decades, according to the largest and most detailed study of its kind.


The findings add to concerns that as the world gets hotter, extreme events such as storms and floods could become more frequent and more devastating in their impact.

Slight increases in average wave height and wind speed were recorded in oceans across the globe, with the strongest effects in the Southern Ocean. The study relied on data from 31 satellites and more than 80 ocean buoys collected between 1985 and 2018, with about 4 billion observations.

Extreme winds in the Southern Ocean have increased by 1.5 metres per second, or 8%, over the past 30 years, while the highest waves have increased in height by 30 centimetres, or 5%. The strongest winds increased in the equatorial Pacific and Atlantic and the North Atlantic by about 0.6 metres per second.

Prof Ian Young, the first author of the work from the University of Melbourne, said: “Although increases of 5 and 8% might not seem like much, if sustained into the future such changes to our climate will have major impacts.”

Young said that increases in wave height could lead to more serious flooding and coastal erosion, and put offshore structures such as wind farms at risk of damage.

The researchers said the observations were in line with predictions by climate models and from historical records that suggested that as the world got hotter, weather and storms became more extreme, although the relationship was complex and not fully understood.

“The role climate change plays in wind speed and hence wave height is still not clear,” said Young.

Others said that the role of global warming in the latest observations was yet to be established. “It’s a bit difficult to extrapolate these finding to the wider picture,” said Dr Paulo Ceppi, of the Grantham Institute at Imperial College London. “During 30-year periods you can still have pretty significant natural variations in winds.”

Ceppi said that the observed changes in the Southern Ocean were likely to be driven by the hole in the ozone layer, in the Antarctic stratosphere, to a greater extent than global warming – although this could also be contributing.

The study, published in the journal Science, updates previous work from the same team published nearly a decade ago. A major challenge in compiling long-running data series, they said, is accounting for significant changes in technology and data processing over the time period. For the earliest part of the time period the coverage was not as extensive and the measurements were less accurate. The scientists needed to rule out the possibility that they were simply seeing more violent storms because there are now more satellites to spot them, for instance.

The findings also suggest that conditions in the Southern Ocean are becoming more treacherous for ships. According to Young, more intense storms circling the Southern Ocean can also generate larger ocean swells that propagate across the Indian, Pacific and South Atlantic. “Increasing wave conditions in the Southern Ocean impact regions across the globe,” he said.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/apr/25/worlds-oceans-are-becoming-stormie...
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Reply #118 - Apr 26th, 2019 at 3:40pm
 
Captain Nemo wrote on Apr 26th, 2019 at 12:33pm:
Others said that the role of global warming in the latest observations was yet to be established. “It’s a bit difficult to extrapolate these finding to the wider picture,” said Dr Paulo Ceppi, of the Grantham Institute at Imperial College London. “During 30-year periods you can still have pretty significant natural variations in winds.”



Oh dear. You do know 30 years is, according to the WMO, one climate period. Therefore you need at least two climate periods, preferably more, to compare before you can even intimate it is a change in climate.
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Reply #119 - Apr 26th, 2019 at 6:45pm
 
After the hottest summer on record March was the hottest March on record, SA and Vic are on their way to being the driest on record for this time of year.

That's evidence.

Further evidence is that my favorite plum tree is now just a stick and my rainwater tanks have run out, with no rain in the foreseeable future  I am evacuating.

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« Last Edit: Apr 26th, 2019 at 6:53pm by Johnnie »  
 
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Reply #120 - Apr 26th, 2019 at 7:05pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Apr 26th, 2019 at 6:45pm:
After the hottest summer on record March was the hottest March on record, SA and Vic are on their way to being the driest on record for this time of year.


According to ACORN2. If you cool the past it is so much easier for the present to be hotter. Wink

Johnnie wrote on Apr 26th, 2019 at 6:45pm:
That's evidence.


No it's not. If you wanted evidence you would compare the RAW (historical) data to the present. Wink

Johnnie wrote on Apr 26th, 2019 at 6:45pm:
Further evidence is that my favorite plum tree is now just a stick and my rainwater tanks have run out, with no rain in the foreseeable future  I am evacuating.


Oh, weather. Right I get it. Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #121 - Apr 26th, 2019 at 7:11pm
 
lee wrote on Apr 26th, 2019 at 7:05pm:
Johnnie wrote on Apr 26th, 2019 at 6:45pm:
After the hottest summer on record March was the hottest March on record, SA and Vic are on their way to being the driest on record for this time of year.


According to ACORN2. If you cool the past it is so much easier for the present to be hotter. Wink

Johnnie wrote on Apr 26th, 2019 at 6:45pm:
That's evidence.


No it's not. If you wanted evidence you would compare the RAW (historical) data to the present. Wink

Johnnie wrote on Apr 26th, 2019 at 6:45pm:
Further evidence is that my favorite plum tree is now just a stick and my rainwater tanks have run out, with no rain in the foreseeable future  I am evacuating.


Oh, weather. Right I get it. Grin Grin Grin Grin

I am going on Bom records, Bom is government run and I see no reason why they should try to deceive us.
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Reply #122 - Apr 26th, 2019 at 7:34pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Apr 26th, 2019 at 7:11pm:
I am going on Bom records, Bom is government run and I see no reason why they should try to deceive us.



Which records petal? The RAW data or the fabricated ACORN2 "data"?

or even the older fabricated ACORN1 "data"?

Why the need for the upgrade from ACORN1 to ACORN2? There has been no change in AWS's.
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Reply #123 - Apr 26th, 2019 at 7:49pm
 
lee wrote on Apr 26th, 2019 at 7:34pm:
Johnnie wrote on Apr 26th, 2019 at 7:11pm:
I am going on Bom records, Bom is government run and I see no reason why they should try to deceive us.



Which records petal? The RAW data or the fabricated ACORN2 "data"?

or even the older fabricated ACORN1 "data"?

Why the need for the upgrade from ACORN1 to ACORN2? There has been no change in AWS's.

Your wrong and Bom is right.

Biggest swells in history are now battering SA and Vic, further evidence.
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Reply #124 - Apr 26th, 2019 at 8:30pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Apr 26th, 2019 at 7:49pm:
Your wrong and Bom is right.



What about petal? Which is right? raw, ACORN1 or ACORN2? You seem very confused.

Johnnie wrote on Apr 26th, 2019 at 7:49pm:
Biggest swells in history are now battering SA and Vic, further evidence.



How long is the history they are talking about?
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Reply #125 - Apr 26th, 2019 at 8:41pm
 
lee wrote on Apr 26th, 2019 at 8:30pm:
Johnnie wrote on Apr 26th, 2019 at 7:49pm:
Your wrong and Bom is right.



What about petal? Which is right? raw, ACORN1 or ACORN2? You seem very confused.

Johnnie wrote on Apr 26th, 2019 at 7:49pm:
Biggest swells in history are now battering SA and Vic, further evidence.



How long is the history they are talking about?

This was Bells Beach today, even the locals are talking about it.

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Reply #126 - Apr 26th, 2019 at 9:11pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Apr 26th, 2019 at 8:41pm:
This was Bells Beach today, even the locals are talking about it.


I see you didn't answer the question. Wink
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Reply #127 - Apr 27th, 2019 at 11:38am
 
...
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The Right Wing only believe in free speech when they agree with what is being said.
 
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Reply #128 - Apr 27th, 2019 at 11:42am
 
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Reply #129 - Apr 27th, 2019 at 12:47pm
 
Yes lee, I know 1720 was before the start of the industrial revolution  Wink
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Reply #130 - Apr 27th, 2019 at 1:30pm
 
The_Barnacle wrote on Apr 27th, 2019 at 12:47pm:
Yes lee, I know 1720 was before the start of the industrial revolution  Wink



Do you? How nice for you.

Was there supposed to be some context there?

BTW - I thought it was the lack of pirates -

...
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Reply #131 - Apr 27th, 2019 at 1:34pm
 
The_Barnacle wrote on Apr 27th, 2019 at 12:47pm:
Yes lee, I know 1720 was before the start of the industrial revolution  Wink


Hey Barny can you please explain why ACORN is adjusting raw temperature data and making them hotter than originally recorded......???
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Reply #132 - Apr 27th, 2019 at 1:52pm
 
Just to be clear. ACORN series is cooling the past more making the present seem hotter by comparison.
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Reply #133 - Apr 27th, 2019 at 2:22pm
 
lee wrote on Apr 27th, 2019 at 1:52pm:
Just to be clear. ACORN series is cooling the past more making the present seem hotter by comparison.


Ok now I'm a bit confused.

I've been looking at this document below but have not looked at any others..?!?!

It talks of warming the raw data....?!?!

http://www.waclimate.net/acorn2/
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Reply #134 - Apr 27th, 2019 at 5:49pm
 
Ajax wrote on Apr 27th, 2019 at 2:22pm:
It talks of warming the raw data....?!?!


"The per decade rate of 1910-2016 mean temperature warming in ACORN 2 is 23% higher than ACORN 1 and 53.7% higher than raw."

...

Darwin as example
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Reply #135 - Apr 27th, 2019 at 5:57pm
 
lee wrote on Apr 27th, 2019 at 5:49pm:
Ajax wrote on Apr 27th, 2019 at 2:22pm:
It talks of warming the raw data....?!?!


"The per decade rate of 1910-2016 mean temperature warming in ACORN 2 is 23% higher than ACORN 1 and 53.7% higher than raw."

https://4k4oijnpiu3l4c3h-zippykid.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/clip...

Darwin as example


Got it.....thanks................ Smiley
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Reply #136 - Jun 10th, 2019 at 9:08am
 
Come on, global warming alarmists - start posting.
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Reply #137 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 12:45am
 
Bobby. wrote on Jun 10th, 2019 at 9:08am:
Come on, global warming alarmists - start posting.


This guy had a pretty useful link for you:

Bobby. wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 8:43pm:
I'll help you kids out.


Here's some good evidence here:

https://climate.nasa.gov/evidence/


The current warming trend is of particular significance because most of it is extremely likely (greater than 95 percent probability) to be the result of human activity since the mid-20th century and proceeding at a rate that is unprecedented over decades to millennia.1

Earth-orbiting satellites and other technological advances have enabled scientists to see the big picture, collecting many different types of information about our planet and its climate on a global scale. This body of data, collected over many years, reveals the signals of a changing climate.


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Reply #138 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 12:46am
 
lee wrote on Apr 26th, 2019 at 3:40pm:
Captain Nemo wrote on Apr 26th, 2019 at 12:33pm:
Others said that the role of global warming in the latest observations was yet to be established. “It’s a bit difficult to extrapolate these finding to the wider picture,” said Dr Paulo Ceppi, of the Grantham Institute at Imperial College London. “During 30-year periods you can still have pretty significant natural variations in winds.”



Oh dear. You do know 30 years is, according to the WMO, one climate period. Therefore you need at least two climate periods, preferably more, to compare before you can even intimate it is a change in climate.


The link you gave me in the other thread was very useful, but it seems like you never actually bothered to read it yourself.

Quote:
Climate normals are used for two principal purposes. They serve as a benchmark against which recent or current observations can be compared, including providing a basis for many anomaly-based climate datasets (for example, global mean temperatures).

Quote:
Climatological standard normals. Averages of climatological data computed for the following consecutive periods of 30 years: 1 January 1981–31 December 2010, 1 January 1991–31 December 2020, and so forth


https://library.wmo.int/doc_num.php?explnum_id=4166

The WMO Technical Regulations define climatological standard normals as 30 year averages calculated every ten years, but these normals are meant to serve as a "basis for many anomaly-based climate datasets".

This doesn't mean that one has to wait until 2020 before we can tell whether the climate is changing. It just means that the next WMO climatological standard normal won't be calculated until next year.
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Reply #139 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 1:32am
 
Ajax wrote on Apr 27th, 2019 at 1:34pm:
The_Barnacle wrote on Apr 27th, 2019 at 12:47pm:
Yes lee, I know 1720 was before the start of the industrial revolution  Wink


Hey Barny can you please explain why ACORN is adjusting raw temperature data and making them hotter than originally recorded......???


BOM explains why they make the adjustments here:

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/data/acorn-sat/#tabs=FAQs
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Reply #140 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 1:34am
 
Bobby. wrote on Jun 10th, 2019 at 9:08am:
Come on, global warming alarmists - start posting.


Global warming is real because Al Gore said so.

There the truth is out. So glad to get it off my chest.
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Reply #141 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 7:19am
 
Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 1:32am:
Ajax wrote on Apr 27th, 2019 at 1:34pm:
The_Barnacle wrote on Apr 27th, 2019 at 12:47pm:
Yes lee, I know 1720 was before the start of the industrial revolution  Wink


Hey Barny can you please explain why ACORN is adjusting raw temperature data and making them hotter than originally recorded......???


BOM explains why they make the adjustments here:

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/data/acorn-sat/#tabs=FAQs

We don't want actual reasons and explanations  we want FUD Cheesy Cheesy
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Reply #142 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 1:35pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 12:46am:
This doesn't mean that one has to wait until 2020 before we can tell whether the climate is changing. It just means that the next WMO climatological standard normal won't be calculated until next year.


And how much is AGW? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #143 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 1:54pm
 
DonDeeHippy wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 7:19am:
Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 1:32am:
Ajax wrote on Apr 27th, 2019 at 1:34pm:
The_Barnacle wrote on Apr 27th, 2019 at 12:47pm:
Yes lee, I know 1720 was before the start of the industrial revolution  Wink


Hey Barny can you please explain why ACORN is adjusting raw temperature data and making them hotter than originally recorded......???


BOM explains why they make the adjustments here:

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/data/acorn-sat/#tabs=FAQs

We don't want actual reasons and explanations  we want FUD Cheesy Cheesy



So they admit to doctoring the data.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #144 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 2:02pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 1:32am:
Ajax wrote on Apr 27th, 2019 at 1:34pm:
The_Barnacle wrote on Apr 27th, 2019 at 12:47pm:
Yes lee, I know 1720 was before the start of the industrial revolution  Wink


Hey Barny can you please explain why ACORN is adjusting raw temperature data and making them hotter than originally recorded......???


BOM explains why they make the adjustments here:

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/data/acorn-sat/#tabs=FAQs

When BoM said that the last summer was the hottest on record in OZ, what did they mean, it wasn't!
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Reply #145 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 2:07pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 1:32am:
BOM explains why they make the adjustments here:


Yes.

"The standard scientific practice is to detect potential artificial jumps by comparing data from the station of interest (the candidate station) with data from other nearby stations where the suspected artificial jump is absent (reference stations). If there is an artificial jump in the data, this will be reflected in the candidate station warming or cooling relative to other surrounding stations."

See 5.

"All maximum recordings before 1/1/37 at Darwin P.O. (014016) were lowered by 1.02C on this date due to changes in the local vegetation. These changes were made by the BOM based on maximum temperatures taken from the comparison station Wyndham Port (001005)."

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/04/08/darwin-temperatures-unscrambling-the-acor...

Contributed by Bob Irvine.

Wyndham is 446Km. hardly what one could call "nearby". Wink

How well do temperatures from Wyndham marry up with Darwin?

...

...

"In Fig. 2 it is obvious that the record has been compromised after 1936, probably by the vegetation issue identified by the BOM. A Pearson correlation of less than 0.5 disqualifies a comparison station based on monthly data according to the BOM methods. For the accuracy required by this post yearly data should be good enough and will almost certainly be confirmed if anybody wants to wade into the monthly data.
For the 10 years from 1927 to 1936 the correlation between Darwin PO and Wyndham Port is 0.39 which disqualifies Wyndham Port as a comparison station. Wyndham Port also has very poor or no correlation with Darwin Airport from 1942 to 1945 (correlation 0.03). The BOM should not have used Wyndham Port as a comparison station."



One would have to say not even close.

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Reply #146 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 2:09pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 2:02pm:
When BoM said that the last summer was the hottest on record in OZ, what did they mean, it wasn't!



Exactly petal. Only using ACORN2 "data". Wink

Once a temperature series has been "homogenised" it is no longer data.
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Reply #147 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 2:10pm
 
Global warming was the first UN hoax now they are getting the ice age hoax to counter act the first one.
Meanwhile the earths temperature hasn’t changed...... Cheesy
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Reply #148 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 2:21pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 2:09pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 2:02pm:
When BoM said that the last summer was the hottest on record in OZ, what did they mean, it wasn't!



Exactly petal. Only using ACORN2 "data". Wink

Once a temperature series has been "homogenised" it is no longer data.

Yes I know all that rose bud. Are you saying  that the thermometers lied?
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Reply #149 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 2:26pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 2:21pm:
Are you saying  that the thermometers lied?


Do you think they use thermometers to get ACORN2 "data"? Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #150 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 2:34pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 2:26pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 2:21pm:
Are you saying  that the thermometers lied?


Do you think they use thermometers to get ACORN2 "data"? Grin Grin Grin Grin

How did they arrive at the data, digital thermo meters.
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Reply #151 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 3:06pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 2:34pm:
How did they arrive at the data, digital thermo meters.


You can't homogenise temperatures in a remote location with a local thermometer.

It is called statistical manipulation. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Heck, You can't even get a thermometer to read yesterday's temperature; let alone from years ago.
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Reply #152 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 4:07pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 1:54pm:
DonDeeHippy wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 7:19am:
Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 1:32am:
Ajax wrote on Apr 27th, 2019 at 1:34pm:
The_Barnacle wrote on Apr 27th, 2019 at 12:47pm:
Yes lee, I know 1720 was before the start of the industrial revolution  Wink


Hey Barny can you please explain why ACORN is adjusting raw temperature data and making them hotter than originally recorded......???


BOM explains why they make the adjustments here:

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/data/acorn-sat/#tabs=FAQs

We don't want actual reasons and explanations  we want FUD Cheesy Cheesy



So they admit to doctoring the data.


That's an odd way of looking at it.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #153 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 4:29pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 3:06pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 2:34pm:
How did they arrive at the data, digital thermo meters.


You can't homogenise temperatures in a remote location with a local thermometer.

It is called statistical manipulation. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin



So why don't you tell the scientists at the Bureau of Meteorology that they are wrong
And that you as a keyboard warrior with google are right

And no this isn't an "appeal to authority" fallacy. This is an appeal to the expertise.

Having some keyboard jockey with google telling the Bureau of Meteorology that their methods are wrong is completely meaningless and just makes you look like a fool
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Reply #154 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 4:45pm
 
The_Barnacle wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 4:29pm:
And no this isn't an "appeal to authority" fallacy. This is an appeal to the expertise.



lee wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 2:07pm:
"In Fig. 2 it is obvious that the record has been compromised after 1936, probably by the vegetation issue identified by the BOM. A Pearson correlation of less than 0.5 disqualifies a comparison station based on monthly data according to the BOM methods. For the accuracy required by this post yearly data should be good enough and will almost certainly be confirmed if anybody wants to wade into the monthly data.
For the 10 years from 1927 to 1936 the correlation between Darwin PO and Wyndham Port is 0.39 which disqualifies Wyndham Port as a comparison station. Wyndham Port also has very poor or no correlation with Darwin Airport from 1942 to 1945 (correlation 0.03). The BOM should not have used Wyndham Port as a comparison station."


They certainly show no expertise. It violates their own methodology.

"In version 2, the anomalies at the reference stations were instead combined using a weighted median.

Here, the weighting function is defined as:

ws = rs2/(Σ rs2), where rs is the Pearson correlation coefficient between site s and the candidate station.

(By definition, the values of ws sum to 1.)

The weighted median is then defined as the station monthly mean temperature anomaly at station k, Tk, where the anomalies at all N reference stations are ranked from lowest to highest, T1, T2, …,TN, and k is
the lowest value such that w1 + w2 +…+ wk ≥ 0.5. (If the sum of the weights is exactly 0.5, then the weighted median is the mean of Tk and Tk+1.)

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/change/acorn-sat/documents/BRR-032.pdf

The_Barnacle wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 4:29pm:
Having some keyboard jockey with google telling the Bureau of Meteorology that their methods are wrong is completely meaningless and just makes you look like a fool


Not as much a fool as you when you won't even look. Grin Grin Grin Grin

But thanks for pointing out BoM's analysis for ACORN2. Wink

But really you should try to explain why it is so good.
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Reply #155 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 5:00pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 2:07pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 1:32am:
BOM explains why they make the adjustments here:


Yes.

"The standard scientific practice is to detect potential artificial jumps by comparing data from the station of interest (the candidate station) with data from other nearby stations where the suspected artificial jump is absent (reference stations). If there is an artificial jump in the data, this will be reflected in the candidate station warming or cooling relative to other surrounding stations."

See 5.

"All maximum recordings before 1/1/37 at Darwin P.O. (014016) were lowered by 1.02C on this date due to changes in the local vegetation. These changes were made by the BOM based on maximum temperatures taken from the comparison station Wyndham Port (001005)."

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/04/08/darwin-temperatures-unscrambling-the-acor...

Contributed by Bob Irvine.

Wyndham is 446Km. hardly what one could call "nearby". Wink

How well do temperatures from Wyndham marry up with Darwin?

https://4k4oijnpiu3l4c3h-zippykid.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/clip...

https://4k4oijnpiu3l4c3h-zippykid.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/clip...

"In Fig. 2 it is obvious that the record has been compromised after 1936, probably by the vegetation issue identified by the BOM. A Pearson correlation of less than 0.5 disqualifies a comparison station based on monthly data according to the BOM methods. For the accuracy required by this post yearly data should be good enough and will almost certainly be confirmed if anybody wants to wade into the monthly data.
For the 10 years from 1927 to 1936 the correlation between Darwin PO and Wyndham Port is 0.39 which disqualifies Wyndham Port as a comparison station. Wyndham Port also has very poor or no correlation with Darwin Airport from 1942 to 1945 (correlation 0.03). The BOM should not have used Wyndham Port as a comparison station."



One would have to say not even close.



Is this Bob Irvine qualified to be telling the BOM how to do their jobs? His blog post is incoherent.
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Reply #156 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 5:34pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 5:00pm:
Is this Bob Irvine qualified to be telling the BOM how to do their jobs?


He seems so. Unless you have proof those Pearson numbers are wrong. Wink

Do you need to be a climate scientist to crunch numbers? BoM have given their methodology.

You follow the methodology and tell us what happens. Wink
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Reply #157 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 5:54pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 5:34pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 5:00pm:
Is this Bob Irvine qualified to be telling the BOM how to do their jobs?


He seems so. Unless you have proof those Pearson numbers are wrong. Wink

Do you need to be a climate scientist to crunch numbers? BoM have given their methodology.


How do I know that Bob Irvine knows what he's doing?

lee wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 5:34pm:
You follow the methodology and tell us what happens. Wink


I'll leave that to the experts.
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Reply #158 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 6:15pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 5:54pm:
How do I know that Bob Irvine knows what he's doing?


So you don't know? Merely blathering. Grin Grin Grin Grin

Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 5:54pm:
I'll leave that to the experts.


But as I pointed out you don't need to be an expert to crunch numbers. All you have to do is follow the formula. Wink
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Reply #159 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 7:03pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 6:15pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 5:54pm:
How do I know that Bob Irvine knows what he's doing?


So you don't know? Merely blathering. Grin Grin Grin Grin

Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 5:54pm:
I'll leave that to the experts.


But as I pointed out you don't need to be an expert to crunch numbers. All you have to do is follow the formula. Wink


I disagree. I think you probably do need to be an expert to crunch the numbers.

I don't know why you are so sure of Bob Irvine's work. What has he done that has won your confidence?

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #160 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 7:07pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 7:03pm:
I disagree. I think you probably do need to be an expert to crunch the numbers.


It must be hard to add numbers together.  Grin Grin Grin

Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 7:03pm:
I don't know why you are so sure of Bob Irvine's work. What has he done that has won your confidence?


I see you have not come up with anything to discredit what he wrote. Wink
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Reply #161 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 7:28pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 7:07pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 7:03pm:
I disagree. I think you probably do need to be an expert to crunch the numbers.


It must be hard to add numbers together.  Grin Grin Grin


Yes. It can be. When there's a lot of numbers, and one needs expert knowledge to know which numbers to use and how to use them, it can be very hard.

lee wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 7:07pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 7:03pm:
I don't know why you are so sure of Bob Irvine's work. What has he done that has won your confidence?


I see you have not come up with anything to discredit what he wrote. Wink


I think the onus is on the blogger to establish his credibility. Don't you?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #162 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 8:22pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 7:28pm:
When there's a lot of numbers, and one needs expert knowledge to know which numbers to use and how to use them, it can be very hard.



Even when you are given the instructions on how to do it. Grin Grin Grin Grin

Besides that's what computers are for. Number crunching.

Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 7:28pm:
I think the onus is on the blogger to establish his credibility. Don't you?


No petal. You are the doubter saying his work is possibly no good. Prove it. Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #163 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 8:55pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 8:22pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 7:28pm:
When there's a lot of numbers, and one needs expert knowledge to know which numbers to use and how to use them, it can be very hard.



Even when you are given the instructions on how to do it. Grin Grin Grin Grin

Besides that's what computers are for. Number crunching.


Yes, even then, because using the relevant computer software is difficult.

lee wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 8:22pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 7:28pm:
I think the onus is on the blogger to establish his credibility. Don't you?


No petal. You are the doubter saying his work is possibly no good. Prove it. Wink


Nah: burden's on him.

There's a question you're avoiding, and it speaks to your critical thinking skills: How did you determine that Bob Irvine is a reliable authority on the subject at hand? Surely you don't just believe what virtual nobodies write on a blog?

ETA: And I don't just mean in this case; I mean in general. How do you figure out whose reliable and who isn't?
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Reply #164 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 9:03pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 8:55pm:
Nah: burden's on him.


So a climate scientist should prove them self before writing a paper. And yet climate scientists say it is up to the sceptics to prove them wrong.

Seems like you want it both ways. Wink

Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 8:55pm:
There's a question you're avoiding, and it speaks to your critical thinking skills: How did you determine that Bob Irvine is a reliable authority on the subject at hand? Surely you don't just believe what virtual nobodies write on a blog?


Well I don't believe you. Wink

Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 8:55pm:
ETA: And I don't just mean in this case; I mean in general. How do you figure out whose reliable and who isn't?



You look at the evidence. Wink

So what evidence do you have he doesn't know what he is talking about.

BTW - Watts is read and commented on by many. Some pro; some anti. I suggest you look at the comments.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #165 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 9:33pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 9:03pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 8:55pm:
Nah: burden's on him.


So a climate scientist should prove them self before writing a paper. And yet climate scientists say it is up to the sceptics to prove them wrong.

Seems like you want it both ways. Wink


Yes, experts in general should prove themselves, including scientists in any field.

For scientists, it's reasonable to expect that they: have a relevant university degree; have a job in their field of expertise; and in the case of scientists making novel claims, have published their findings through a peer-reviewed process.

lee wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 9:03pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 8:55pm:
ETA: And I don't just mean in this case; I mean in general. How do you figure out whose reliable and who isn't?



You look at the evidence. Wink


What qualifies you to judge the evidence?

lee wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 9:03pm:
So what evidence do you have he doesn't know what he is talking about.

BTW - Watts is read and commented on by many. Some pro; some anti. I suggest you look at the comments.


The fact that a blog is popular is not evidence that it is reliable. That's an argumentum ad populum.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #166 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 10:08pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 9:33pm:
For scientists, it's reasonable to expect that they: have a relevant university degree; have a job in their field of expertise; and in the case of scientists making novel claims, have published their findings through a peer-reviewed process.


These papers have all been through the per-reviewed process, and most don't stand up to scrutiny.

Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 9:33pm:
What qualifies you to judge the evidence?


Because I read, I comprehend, I think. There are many things I am not qualified to comment on. But there are many I am.

So if we look at all those climate models, each with their own parameters, logic tells us only ONE can be right. It might even be right for the wrong reasons. But people want to use an average of climate models.

They don't seem to understand that does nothing to help the modelling. Those running warm get brought down to the mean. Those running cool get dragged up to the mean. Where is the real answer? It is very unlikely to be the mean.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #167 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 10:10pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 9:33pm:
The fact that a blog is popular is not evidence that it is reliable. That's an argumentum ad populum.


Ah another red herring. I never suggested that was the case. I merely suggested you read the comments. Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #168 - Jun 11th, 2019 at 10:33pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 10:08pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 9:33pm:
For scientists, it's reasonable to expect that they: have a relevant university degree; have a job in their field of expertise; and in the case of scientists making novel claims, have published their findings through a peer-reviewed process.


These papers have all been through the per-reviewed process, and most don't stand up to scrutiny.


Whose scrutiny is that, again?

lee wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 10:08pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 9:33pm:
What qualifies you to judge the evidence?


Because I read, I comprehend, I think. There are many things I am not qualified to comment on. But there are many I am.

So if we look at all those climate models, each with their own parameters, logic tells us only ONE can be right. It might even be right for the wrong reasons. But people want to use an average of climate models.

They don't seem to understand that does nothing to help the modelling. Those running warm get brought down to the mean. Those running cool get dragged up to the mean. Where is the real answer? It is very unlikely to be the mean.


You judge yourself qualified to decide whether scientists are doing science correctly.

Grin

lee wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 10:10pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 9:33pm:
The fact that a blog is popular is not evidence that it is reliable. That's an argumentum ad populum.


Ah another red herring. I never suggested that was the case. I merely suggested you read the comments. Grin Grin Grin Grin


Unless the peanut gallery is populated with climate scientists, I don't see the point.

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #169 - Jun 12th, 2019 at 12:06pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 10:33pm:
Whose scrutiny is that, again?


ooh a typo. well done. You finally got something right.

Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 10:33pm:
You judge yourself qualified to decide whether scientists are doing science correctly.


I judge myself to be qualified to spot bullshit. I see it from commentators like you all the time. Wink

Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 10:33pm:
Unless the peanut gallery is populated with climate scientists, I don't see the point.


There are climate scientists among them. Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #170 - Jun 12th, 2019 at 12:50pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 12:06pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 10:33pm:
Whose scrutiny is that, again?


ooh a typo. well done. You finally got something right.


Actually I didn't spot the typo, and I wouldn't care because everyone makes typos.

You say that "most don't stand up to scrutiny" but whose scrutiny is it?

lee wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 12:06pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 10:33pm:
You judge yourself qualified to decide whether scientists are doing science correctly.


I judge myself to be qualified to spot bullshit. I see it from commentators like you all the time. Wink


Getting a tad defensive, there.

lee wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 12:06pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 10:33pm:
Unless the peanut gallery is populated with climate scientists, I don't see the point.


There are climate scientists among them. Grin Grin Grin Grin


Such as?

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #171 - Jun 12th, 2019 at 1:30pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 12:50pm:
You say that "most don't stand up to scrutiny" but whose scrutiny is it?



other climate scientists, citizen scientists.

You could perhaps try to dispute what I wrote about Zeke Hausfather on the other thread, but that would require you to look at is end-notes to look at how he calculated zettajoules to get to 1ºC. Of course that could be too difficult for you, it involves maths.

Or gives us some insight into how Statistical changes to ACORN2 work. You know where there are no logical or physical changes to stations, equipment etc.


Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 12:50pm:
Getting a tad defensive, there.


No petal. Just telling it like it is.

Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 12:50pm:
Such as?


Do your own work. But spoken like a true believer. You want everyone to do it for you just so that you can say "I don't believe". Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #172 - Jun 12th, 2019 at 2:12pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 1:30pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 12:50pm:
You say that "most don't stand up to scrutiny" but whose scrutiny is it?



other climate scientists, citizen scientists.


Yeah, I don't care about citizen scientists. Can you cite these climate scientists? (You know, the ones you think aren't experts anyway.)

lee wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 1:30pm:
You could perhaps try to dispute what I wrote about Zeke Hausfather on the other thread, but that would require you to look at is end-notes to look at how he calculated zettajoules to get to 1ºC. Of course that could be too difficult for you, it involves maths.


It was a good laugh. You seem confused by energy units, and you forgot your citations.

lee wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 1:30pm:
Or gives us some insight into how Statistical changes to ACORN2 work. You know where there are no logical or physical changes to stations, equipment etc.


Meh, I'm pretty confident that the BOM know what they're doing.

lee wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 1:30pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 12:50pm:
Such as?


Do your own work. But spoken like a true believer. You want everyone to do it for you just so that you can say "I don't believe". Grin Grin Grin


In other words: "I was bluffing. I can't show that any of them are actually climate scientists."
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Reply #173 - Jun 12th, 2019 at 3:06pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 2:12pm:
Can you cite these climate scientists? (You know, the ones you think aren't experts anyway.)


What did I say about climate "experts"? Grin Grin Grin Grin

Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 2:12pm:
It was a good laugh. You seem confused by energy units, and you forgot your citations.


Sorry. Cheng et al  go from ºC to zettajoules. if you have trouble with that contact them. Wink

https://science.sciencemag.org/content/363/6423/128.full

Enjoy.

Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 2:12pm:
Meh, I'm pretty confident that the BOM know what they're doing.


Ah, the old Ad Verecundiam. Grin Grin Grin Grin

Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 12:50pm:
In other words: "I was bluffing. I can't show that any of them are actually climate scientists."


No petal. Are you telling me you have trouble reading? Wink
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Reply #174 - Jun 12th, 2019 at 3:55pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 3:06pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 2:12pm:
It was a good laugh. You seem confused by energy units, and you forgot your citations.


Sorry. Cheng et al  go from ºC to zettajoules. if you have trouble with that contact them. Wink

https://science.sciencemag.org/content/363/6423/128.full

Enjoy.


Like I said, you seem to be confused with energy units. If you don't know how it works, you definitely aren't able to offer a meaningful criticism of their methods.

Have you actually read Cheng et al, because...

lee wrote on Mar 29th, 2019 at 6:10pm:
Further in Hausfathers paper they say that they knew the ocean heat at 2Km to within +/- 95 zettajoules (+/-0.4C) in 1955 and in 2018 to within +/- 9 zettajoules (0.003C) Three one thousandth of a degree. Grin Grin Grin Grin


...the paper doesn't say that.

Cite your actual source, thanks.
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Reply #175 - Jun 12th, 2019 at 4:04pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 3:55pm:
Like I said, you seem to be confused with energy units.



Seeing as you think I am confused perhaps you should school me. Grin Grin Grin Grin

Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 3:55pm:
...the paper doesn't say that.



You have access to the data and figures? Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #176 - Jun 12th, 2019 at 4:12pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 4:04pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 3:55pm:
Like I said, you seem to be confused with energy units.



Seeing as you think I am confused perhaps you should school me. Grin Grin Grin Grin


I suspect you're getting your claims from a blog post:
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/01/11/a-small-margin-of-error/

The lesson is simple: you should check the blogger's sources to see if they are representing them correctly.

lee wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 4:04pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 3:55pm:
...the paper doesn't say that.


You have access to the data and figures? Grin Grin Grin Grin


I have access to the full text PDF, yes.
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Reply #177 - Jun 12th, 2019 at 5:48pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 4:12pm:
The lesson is simple: you should check the blogger's sources to see if they are representing them correctly.


So you say the errors are theirs. And yet you haven't specified what those errors are. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 4:12pm:
I have access to the full text PDF, yes.


So have you done the figures which you can put into a graph? good. In case you haven't the data is at -

http://159.226.119.60/cheng/images_files/IAP_OHC_estimate_update.txt

tell us how you get on with the reconstruction. Wink

Note - "unit of OHC:  *10^22 Joules"

"Reliable records are after 1955"

2000m 1955 9.52 raw. Multiply by 10 for zettajoules . +/-3.59

2000m 2018 .2.07 raw. Error bar  +/- 0.35

good luck Wink
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Reply #178 - Jun 12th, 2019 at 7:51pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 5:48pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 4:12pm:
The lesson is simple: you should check the blogger's sources to see if they are representing them correctly.


So you say the errors are theirs. And yet you haven't specified what those errors are. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 4:12pm:
I have access to the full text PDF, yes.


So have you done the figures which you can put into a graph? good. In case you haven't the data is at -

http://159.226.119.60/cheng/images_files/IAP_OHC_estimate_update.txt

tell us how you get on with the reconstruction. Wink

Note - "unit of OHC:  *10^22 Joules"

"Reliable records are after 1955"

2000m 1955 9.52 raw. Multiply by 10 for zettajoules . +/-3.59

2000m 2018 .2.07 raw. Error bar  +/- 0.35

good luck Wink


Thanks. I think I've got a fairly complete picture, now.

Here's what you wrote, for reference:

lee wrote on Mar 29th, 2019 at 6:10pm:
Further in Hausfathers paper they say that they knew the ocean heat at 2Km to within +/- 95 zettajoules (+/-0.4C) in 1955 and in 2018 to within +/- 9 zettajoules (0.003C) Three one thousandth of a degree. Grin Grin Grin Grin


It turns out you didn't read Cheng et al ("Hausfathers paper"); you read a blog post that doesn't even reference the article, let alone cite it.

You've just parroted the blogger, Willis Eschenbach, who claims the data can't possibly be as accurate at it claims to be.

Which brings us back to the same problem you've got with that other blogger, Bob Irvine. How do you judge that these guys know what they're talking about? Willis Eschenbach has "no credentials in any scientific field".

There's a pattern here, lee: You parrot the claims of citizen scientist bloggers whom you believe because you are confident in your own ability to detect BS.

You also talk a big game about number-crunching, but based on your pattern of parroting bloggers, I bet that's all talk and no walk.

(BTW it's fine for you to just be honest and cite the blog post as your source. If you're worried it'll look bad, then maybe that's telling you something.)
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Reply #179 - Jun 12th, 2019 at 8:52pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 7:51pm:
It turns out you didn't read Cheng et al ("Hausfathers paper"); you read a blog post that doesn't even reference the article, let alone cite it.


You mean that (IAP) at the bottom of the graph?

"Figure 1. Change in ocean heat content, 1955 – 2018. Data available from Institute for Applied Physics (IAP). "

The IAP link takes you to the data. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

And obviously you didn't understand the Cheng et al paper. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 7:51pm:
Willis Eschenbach has "no credentials in any scientific field".


Ah you that's right you don't believe in citizen scientists. Grin Grin Grin

Benjamin Franklin

Guy Callendar.

All those people that came before "climate scientists". Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

BTW - Did you notice I just quoted the Cheng et al paper data? You should have you said you downloaded the paper. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


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Reply #180 - Jun 12th, 2019 at 9:27pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 8:52pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 7:51pm:
It turns out you didn't read Cheng et al ("Hausfathers paper"); you read a blog post that doesn't even reference the article, let alone cite it.


You mean that (IAP) at the bottom of the graph?

"Figure 1. Change in ocean heat content, 1955 – 2018. Data available from Institute for Applied Physics (IAP). "

The IAP link takes you to the data. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

And obviously you didn't understand the Cheng et al paper. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


The figure in the blog post isn't from Cheng et al. It's from a Carbon Brief blog article by Cheng and Hausfather. It cites the paper, but the figure itself belongs to the blog post.

https://www.carbonbrief.org/guest-post-observations-and-models-agree-that-the-oc...

I don't think you've even looked at the paper, otherwise you'd know that it wasn't in there. The paper has a different figure, which contains projections based on a couple of simulations.

lee wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 8:52pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 7:51pm:
Willis Eschenbach has "no credentials in any scientific field".


Ah you that's right you don't believe in citizen scientists. Grin Grin Grin

Benjamin Franklin

Guy Callendar.

All those people that came before "climate scientists". Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


People like Franklin and Callendar proved themselves by actually doing good science.

That's a far cry from bloggers calling themselves "citizen scientists" and writing pseudoscientific articles about other people's work.

lee wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 8:52pm:
BTW - Did you notice I just quoted the Cheng et al paper data? You should have you said you downloaded the paper. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


Yes, thanks for the link. I thought you were talking about the paper itself, since that's what you've been referring to. As I said: "I have access to the full text PDF, yes."
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Reply #181 - Jun 12th, 2019 at 9:57pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 9:27pm:
The figure in the blog post isn't from Cheng et al. It's from a Carbon Brief blog article by Cheng and Hausfather. It cites the paper, but the figure itself belongs to the blog post.

https://www.carbonbrief.org/guest-post-observations-and-models-agree-that-the-oc...



That must be why the graph is presented there as Courtesy: Lijing Chen, IAP same as in the Eschenbach post. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 9:27pm:
Yes, thanks for the link. I thought you were talking about the paper itself, since that's what you've been referring to. As I said: "I have access to the full text PDF, yes."


And you still don't understand the data. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #182 - Jun 12th, 2019 at 10:11pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 9:57pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 9:27pm:
The figure in the blog post isn't from Cheng et al. It's from a Carbon Brief blog article by Cheng and Hausfather. It cites the paper, but the figure itself belongs to the blog post.

https://www.carbonbrief.org/guest-post-observations-and-models-agree-that-the-oc...



That must be why the graph is presented there as Courtesy: Lijing Chen, IAP. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


A few posts ago you cited Cheng et al, but now it's obvious you were bluffing:

lee wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 3:06pm:
Sorry. Cheng et al  go from ºC to zettajoules. if you have trouble with that contact them. Wink

https://science.sciencemag.org/content/363/6423/128.full



lee wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 9:57pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 9:27pm:
Yes, thanks for the link. I thought you were talking about the paper itself, since that's what you've been referring to. As I said: "I have access to the full text PDF, yes."


And you still don't understand the data. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


It's a pretty transparent act, lee. You posture a lot about how clever you are, but it's just an empty bluff, with no substance to back it up. You just parrot things you've read on wattsupwiththat.com.
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Reply #183 - Jun 12th, 2019 at 10:40pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 10:11pm:
A few posts ago you cited Cheng et al, but now it's obvious you were bluffing:


Poor petal.

"Cheng, L., J. Abraham, Z. Hausfather, and K. E. Trenberth, 2019: How fast are the oceans warming? Science, 363, 128–129, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aav7619. "

Collectively known as Cheng et al, 2019. Grin Grin Grin Grin

*et al  - and all. Wink

Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 10:11pm:
It's a pretty transparent act, lee. You posture a lot about how clever you are, but it's just an empty bluff, with no substance to back it up. You just parrot things you've read on wattsupwiththat.com.



And yet you have "downloaded" the paper and don't understand it.

BTW- That graph on Watts is actually a screenshot from Hausfathers twitter account. Wink

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Reply #184 - Jun 12th, 2019 at 11:03pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 10:40pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 10:11pm:
A few posts ago you cited Cheng et al, but now it's obvious you were bluffing:


Poor petal.

"Cheng, L., J. Abraham, Z. Hausfather, and K. E. Trenberth, 2019: How fast are the oceans warming? Science, 363, 128–129, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aav7619. "

Collectively known as Cheng et al, 2019. Grin Grin Grin Grin

*et al  - and all. Wink


Stating the obvious, there, lee.

lee wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 10:40pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 10:11pm:
It's a pretty transparent act, lee. You posture a lot about how clever you are, but it's just an empty bluff, with no substance to back it up. You just parrot things you've read on wattsupwiththat.com.



And yet you have "downloaded" the paper and don't understand it.


This just makes me even more certain you haven't set eyes upon the article by Cheng et al. You're nothing but bluster.

lee wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 10:40pm:
BTW- That graph on Watts is actually a screenshot from Hausfathers twitter account. Wink


Stating the obvious, again.

The graph is actually from the Carbon Brief blog article that Hausfather cites in a twitter thread. Willis Eschenbach apparently grabbed a screencap of the tweet but didn't have the sense to link to the twitter thread. You apparently didn't even have the sense to check Hausfather's twitter account for yourself.

For someone who claims to be a good BS detector, your form is lousy.
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Reply #185 - Jun 12th, 2019 at 11:12pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 11:03pm:
Stating the obvious, there, lee.
and
, but you just cant grasp the obvious.
I am glad you finally got it. Wink

Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 11:03pm:
This just makes me even more certain you haven't set eyes upon the article by Cheng et al. You're nothing but bluster.


And you will be wrong AGAIN. I gave the the data file remember.  The data file gives the amount of Zettajoules for 2000m for both 1955 and  2018 and you can't grasp the obvious.


Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 11:03pm:
The graph is actually from the Carbon Brief blog article that Hausfather cites in a twitter thread. Willis Eschenbach apparently grabbed a screencap of the tweet but didn't have the sense to link to the twitter thread. You apparently didn't even have the sense to check Hausfather's twitter account for yourself.


So has hausfather said that the graph from Lijing Chen is a fake? or is it real?

Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 11:03pm:
For someone who claims to be a good BS detector, your form is lousy.



but i have you sussed. Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #186 - Jun 12th, 2019 at 11:29pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 11:12pm:
So has hausfather said that the graph from Lijing Chen is a fake? or is it real?


You probably should have figured that out before you wrote this up:

lee wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 9:57pm:
The claim by Zeke Hausfather of 2018 being the warmest year on record.

https://4k4oijnpiu3l4c3h-zippykid.netdna-ssl.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/zeke...


Next time, try reading the article before critiquing it.
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Reply #187 - Jun 13th, 2019 at 3:47pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 11:29pm:
You probably should have figured that out before you wrote this up:


Seeing the graph is from the lead author as stipulated, it would be safe to say it is real.  Grin Grin Grin

Unless you think Hausfather, one of the authors has been duped. Wink

Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 11:29pm:
Next time, try reading the article before critiquing it.



Poor petal. He doesn't understand the data. Grin Grin Grin Grin

But back to the paper.

"2.6 scenario, the models project an ocean warming (0 to 2000 m) of 1037 zettajoules
(ZJ) (~0.40 K) at the end of the 21st century (mean of 2081–2100 relative to 1991–2005)"

So if 1037 Zettajoules equals ~0.40K then 1K equals approximately 2592.5 Zettajoules or 2600 Zettajoules per K. This agrees with Eschenbach.

I'll let you work through the rest. Tell us how much he is out. Wink

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Reply #188 - Jun 13th, 2019 at 4:52pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 13th, 2019 at 3:47pm:
But back to the paper.

"2.6 scenario, the models project an ocean warming (0 to 2000 m) of 1037 zettajoules
(ZJ) (~0.40 K) at the end of the 21st century (mean of 2081–2100 relative to 1991–2005)"

So if 1037 Zettajoules equals ~0.40K then 1K equals approximately 2592.5 Zettajoules or 2600 Zettajoules per K. This agrees with Eschenbach.


I'm shocked--you finally refer to the paper.

You seem to have forgotten the point you were trying to make:

lee wrote on Mar 29th, 2019 at 6:10pm:
Further in Hausfathers paper they say that they knew the ocean heat at 2Km to within +/- 95 zettajoules (+/-0.4C) in 1955 and in 2018 to within +/- 9 zettajoules (0.003C) Three one thousandth of a degree. Grin Grin Grin Grin


i.e. you Willis Eschenbach is incredulous that the uncertainty ranges are correct.

...and you agree with this "citizen scientist's" critique, because...your BS detector didn't go off?

Yeah right. Grin
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Reply #189 - Jun 13th, 2019 at 6:44pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 13th, 2019 at 4:52pm:
i.e. you Willis Eschenbach is incredulous that the uncertainty ranges are correct.

...and you agree with this "citizen scientist's" critique, because...your BS detector didn't go off?


Perhaps you can find a peer reviewed article from 1955 that confirms your belief. or alternatively  just look at the modelled data to find out.

So what technology did they have for 2000m below sea surface temperatures back then? Submarine sensors in the engine room pipes?

BTW - BT's had a depth range of about 295m and XBT's, which came before Argo buoys and were still used up to 2013, had a depth range of  between 460m and 1830m. So no 2000m data there.

Also BTW -Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 7:51pm:
Willis Eschenbach has "no credentials in any scientific field".



Quoting Desmogblog? A blog? as a source?  Grin Grin Grin Grin

But perhaps that is why he has written for Nature among others. Wink

"Page 9
Publications, Patent, and Papers

2006
“Problems with publishing scientific information on the web: how unusual were
temperatures in Svalbard, Norway?”, Energy and Environment magazine, 1/2007.

2004
“Global Warming Not the Cause of Lake Tanganyika Decline”, Nature magazine, 7/2004.

2004
“Tuvalu Not Experiencing Increased Sea Level Rise”, Energy and Environment magazine, Vol. 15, No. 3, 2004."

https://www.dropbox.com/s/uqnhc0aw562k79j/Willis_Eschenbach_CV.doc?dl=0

Edit: A copy of problems with the xbt's -

https://apps.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/a092954.pdf
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Reply #190 - Jun 13th, 2019 at 8:54pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 13th, 2019 at 6:44pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 13th, 2019 at 4:52pm:
i.e. you Willis Eschenbach is incredulous that the uncertainty ranges are correct.

...and you agree with this "citizen scientist's" critique, because...your BS detector didn't go off?


Perhaps you can find a peer reviewed article from 1955 that confirms your belief. or alternatively  just look at the modelled data to find out.


You should be taking your own advice. Wink


lee wrote on Jun 13th, 2019 at 6:44pm:
Also BTW -Robot wrote on Jun 12th, 2019 at 7:51pm:
Willis Eschenbach has "no credentials in any scientific field".



Quoting Desmogblog? A blog? as a source?  Grin Grin Grin Grin

But perhaps that is why he has written for Nature among others. Wink

"Page 9
Publications, Patent, and Papers

2006
“Problems with publishing scientific information on the web: how unusual were
temperatures in Svalbard, Norway?”, Energy and Environment magazine, 1/2007.

2004
“Global Warming Not the Cause of Lake Tanganyika Decline”, Nature magazine, 7/2004.

2004
“Tuvalu Not Experiencing Increased Sea Level Rise”, Energy and Environment magazine, Vol. 15, No. 3, 2004."

https://www.dropbox.com/s/uqnhc0aw562k79j/Willis_Eschenbach_CV.doc?dl=0

Edit: A copy of problems with the xbt's -

https://apps.dtic.mil/dtic/tr/fulltext/u2/a092954.pdf


That's really good. Thanks.

Willis Eschenbach has a long CV, but there's no scientific credentials on there, and no jobs doing science.

His "paper" in Nature is not a paper; it's a comment on a paper, and that didn't even appear in print.

Climate-change effect on Lake Tanganyika?
https://www.nature.com/articles/nature02689?proof=true&platform=oscar&draft=journal
https://sci-hub.tw/https://www.nature.com/articles/nature02689

(The editor must've changed the title, because he puts a different one on his CV.)

But hey, that's a damned-good accomplishment for a hobbyist.

As for Energy and Environment magazine: LOL
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Reply #191 - Jun 13th, 2019 at 9:35pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 13th, 2019 at 8:54pm:
You should be taking your own advice.


But I keep giving you information. information you ca't absorb. Grin Grin Grin

Robot wrote on Jun 13th, 2019 at 8:54pm:
But hey, that's a damned-good accomplishment for a hobbyist.



And much better than you petal. All your objections down the drain.

Metrics not mentioned - wrong.

Wrong metrics - wrong

And that's after you "read" the paper. And having all the data you can't even try to refute it. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Remember you are the one saying he is wrong. Prove it. Wink

Perhaps you can show the observations going back to 1955 to 2000m. Wink

I have looked. i can't find it. I suspect it is a reanalysis that then becomes "data". Wink
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Reply #192 - Jun 13th, 2019 at 11:04pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 13th, 2019 at 9:35pm:
Remember you are the one saying he is wrong.


If you review the thread, you'll see that's not what I'm saying at all.

Rather, the point is that a blog article by a hobbyist ("citizen scientist") just isn't worth looking at.

The only quality control you exercise with respect to your sources seems to be this:

lee wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 10:08pm:
Because I read, I comprehend, I think. There are many things I am not qualified to comment on. But there are many I am.


You just don't have the toolset.
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Reply #193 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 11:48am
 
Robot wrote on Jun 13th, 2019 at 11:04pm:
Rather, the point is that a blog article by a hobbyist ("citizen scientist") just isn't worth looking at.


Because you disagree with the numbers? Oh that's right you found it too difficult to check.

Because you like your "appeals to Authority"?  Grin Grin Grin

You seem to be one of those people who believe in the Gamblers Fallacy.

If you take a number of temperature readings with a thermometer that has accuracy of +/-0.5C, the accuracy doesn't improve for the averaged product. The accuracy stays the same, +/-0.5C.

Like the Sea Level Rise using the Jason satellite series. They have an accuracy of 3.3cm or 33mm. Yet claim they can tell the SLR to within 0.1mm.

And all that with an earth that is ellipsoid, subject to tidal influence, waves, storm surge among others. And they can tell SLR down to the merest windblown ripple. Grin Grin Grin Grin

Robot wrote on Jun 13th, 2019 at 11:04pm:
You just don't have the toolset.



Who needs it when the "tool" is you? Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #194 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 12:51pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 3:06pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jun 11th, 2019 at 2:34pm:
How did they arrive at the data, digital thermo meters.


You can't homogenise temperatures in a remote location with a local thermometer.

It is called statistical manipulation. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Heck, You can't even get a thermometer to read yesterday's temperature; let alone from years ago.

Not one, but thousands of thermometers are used and if any irregularities in one given area doesn't line up with the surrounding thermo meters in a given way then that thermometer would be replaced.

No statistical manipulation by the weatherman.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #195 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 1:01pm
 
Lee is right you guys, the world hasn't warmed up at all, 30 years ago the UN said the world would heat up and oceans rice etc etc… Now it hasn't the UN now have made up the Mini Ice Age to explain why the world isn't heating up..
Meanwhile the Earth just keeps spinning  Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #196 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 1:07pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 11:48am:
Robot wrote on Jun 13th, 2019 at 11:04pm:
Rather, the point is that a blog article by a hobbyist ("citizen scientist") just isn't worth looking at.


Because you disagree with the numbers? Oh that's right you found it too difficult to check.

Because you like your "appeals to Authority"?  Grin Grin Grin

You seem to be one of those people who believe in the Gamblers Fallacy.

If you take a number of temperature readings with a thermometer that has accuracy of +/-0.5C, the accuracy doesn't improve for the averaged product. The accuracy stays the same, +/-0.5C.

Like the Sea Level Rise using the Jason satellite series. They have an accuracy of 3.3cm or 33mm. Yet claim they can tell the SLR to within 0.1mm.

And all that with an earth that is ellipsoid, subject to tidal influence, waves, storm surge among others. And they can tell SLR down to the merest windblown ripple. Grin Grin Grin Grin

Robot wrote on Jun 13th, 2019 at 11:04pm:
You just don't have the toolset.



Who needs it when the "tool" is you? Wink


Grin

Just proving my point.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #197 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 1:26pm
 
DonDeeHippy wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 1:01pm:
Lee is right you guys, the world hasn't warmed up at all, 30 years ago the UN said the world would heat up and oceans rice etc etc… Now it hasn't the UN now have made up the Mini Ice Age to explain why the world isn't heating up..
Meanwhile the Earth just keeps spinning  Wink



But we need a link with some authority behind it.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #198 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 1:54pm
 
DonDeeHippy wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 1:01pm:
Lee is right you guys, the world hasn't warmed up at all, 30 years ago the UN said the world would heat up and oceans rice etc etc… Now it hasn't the UN now have made up the Mini Ice Age to explain why the world isn't heating up..
Meanwhile the Earth just keeps spinning  Wink

NASA and 97% of climate scientists would disagree with you.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #199 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 1:57pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 1:54pm:
DonDeeHippy wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 1:01pm:
Lee is right you guys, the world hasn't warmed up at all, 30 years ago the UN said the world would heat up and oceans rice etc etc… Now it hasn't the UN now have made up the Mini Ice Age to explain why the world isn't heating up..
Meanwhile the Earth just keeps spinning  Wink

NASA and 97% of climate scientists would disagree with you.



Lol    Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #200 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 1:59pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 1:07pm:
Just proving my point.



The numpty has a point? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #201 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 2:06pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 1:54pm:
NASA and 97% of climate scientists would disagree with you.


Is that the NASA the cites Cook et al 2013, which didn't say 97% of climate scientists agreed?

Or the NASA that cites Doran and Zimmerman's 79 climate scientists out of over 3000 that responded?

  Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #202 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 2:57pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 2:06pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 1:54pm:
NASA and 97% of climate scientists would disagree with you.


Is that the NASA the cites Cook et al 2013, which didn't say 97% of climate scientists agreed?

Or the NASA that cites Doran and Zimmerman's 79 climate scientists out of over 3000 that responded?

  Grin Grin Grin Grin

We have been on this merry go round before, I am inclined to believe NASA and the scientists with expertise in this area above you, I say that nicely rose bud.

Further evidence for global warming is exhibit A below, its what remains of my favorite plum tree after the latest summer in OZ, the hottest on record.
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plum_tree.jpg (10 KB | 65 )
plum_tree.jpg
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #203 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 3:21pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 2:57pm:
We have been on this merry go round before, I am inclined to believe NASA and the scientists with expertise in this area above you, I say that nicely rose bud.


The Ad verecundiam. Grin Grin Grin

So tell us what you understand about Cook et al 2013, now that is has been explained to you.

How about the number of papers in Cook et al that said more than 50% was catastrophic? Wink

Interesting that you call me rosebud and add a photo of a plum bud. Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #204 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 4:26pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 3:21pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 2:57pm:
We have been on this merry go round before, I am inclined to believe NASA and the scientists with expertise in this area above you, I say that nicely rose bud.


The Ad verecundiam. Grin Grin Grin

So tell us what you understand about Cook et al 2013, now that is has been explained to you.

How about the number of papers in Cook et al that said more than 50% was catastrophic? Wink

Interesting that you call me rosebud and add a photo of a plum bud. Wink

Its not a bud, its dead, have you no compassion sugar plum.

Further more:
Multiple studies published in peer-reviewed scientific journals1 show that 97 percent or more of actively publishing climate scientists agree*: Climate-warming trends over the past century are extremely likely due to human activities. In addition, most of the leading scientific organizations worldwide have issued public statements endorsing this position.

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #205 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 4:28pm
 
DonDeeHippy wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 1:01pm:
Lee is right you guys, the world hasn't warmed up at all, 30 years ago the UN said the world would heat up and oceans rice etc etc… Now it hasn't the UN now have made up the Mini Ice Age to explain why the world isn't heating up..
Meanwhile the Earth just keeps spinning  Wink


If the world isn't warming perhaps you can explain why the worlds glaciers have been shrinking?

https://www.carbonbrief.org/shrinking-glaciers-categorical-evidence-climate-chan...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Retreat_of_glaciers_since_1850
https://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-change/glaciers-in-retreat-aro...
https://nsidc.org/cryosphere/glaciers/questions/climate.html
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Reply #206 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 4:44pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 4:26pm:
Multiple studies published in peer-reviewed scientific journals1 show that 97 percent or more of actively publishing climate scientists agree*:


Yes petal. From NASA. And they still include Cook et al 2013 and Doran and Zimmerman. If that's the depth of their knowledge that is a huge problem. They should start by analysing the papers and get rid of the dross. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

But why is there this focus on "publishing" scientists? Seeing the dreck coming through where they misapply statistics it seems illogical.

There are plenty of climate scientists out there who are not publishing scientists. That does not mean their work is in any way inferior. It merely adds an artificial barrier that gives pseudo status to those published.

Johnnie wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 4:26pm:
In addition, most of the leading scientific organizations worldwide have issued public statements endorsing this position.


Yes petal. How many actually polled their members on the their individual positions. The AMS was one. What are the others? Because most were endorsed by organisational diktat.


Multiple measurements using the same equipment does not improve the accuracy. That's the gamblers' fallacy.
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Reply #207 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 4:54pm
 
The_Barnacle wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 4:28pm:
If the world isn't warming perhaps you can explain why the worlds glaciers have been shrinking?



Who said it hasn't been warming?

Who said that the climate doesn't change? Wink

have you dated those photographs by time of year yet?

Nice photo of the glacier in Bhutan. Didn't the IPCC say they would be gone in 30 years. It now seems not to be.

Oh that's right Global Warming causes Global Cooling, It causes greater precipitation. More snow to compact to ice. Wink
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Reply #208 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 5:03pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 4:44pm:
Multiple measurements using the same equipment does not improve the accuracy. That's the gamblers' fallacy.


"I don't understand random error, therefore the scientists are wrong."
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #209 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 5:04pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 4:44pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 4:26pm:
Multiple studies published in peer-reviewed scientific journals1 show that 97 percent or more of actively publishing climate scientists agree*:


Yes petal. From NASA. And they still include Cook et al 2013 and Doran and Zimmerman. If that's the depth of their knowledge that is a huge problem. They should start by analysing the papers and get rid of the dross. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

But why is there this focus on "publishing" scientists? Seeing the dreck coming through where they misapply statistics it seems illogical.

There are plenty of climate scientists out there who are not publishing scientists. That does not mean their work is in any way inferior. It merely adds an artificial barrier that gives pseudo status to those published.

Johnnie wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 4:26pm:
In addition, most of the leading scientific organizations worldwide have issued public statements endorsing this position.


Yes petal. How many actually polled their members on the their individual positions. The AMS was one. What are the others? Because most were endorsed by organisational diktat.


Multiple measurements using the same equipment does not improve the accuracy. That's the gamblers' fallacy.

If the other scientists (the 3%) want to publish something contradictory then there is nothing stopping them, except ridicule, honey bunch.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #210 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 5:12pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 5:03pm:
"I don't understand random error, therefore the scientists are wrong."


So you don't understand the Gambler's Fallacy.  It shows.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #211 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 5:19pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 5:04pm:
If the other scientists (the 3%) want to publish something contradictory then there is nothing stopping them, except ridicule, honey bunch.


But Cook et al 2013 didn't get 97%.

"We analyze the evolution of the scientific consensus on anthropogenic global warming (AGW) in the peer-reviewed scientific literature, examining 11 944 climate abstracts from 1991–2011 matching the topics 'global climate change' or 'global warming'. "

So all these were publishing scientists, hence the abstracts.

"We find that 66.4% of abstracts expressed no position on AGW,"

That leaves 33.6%.

"32.6% endorsed AGW,"

Quotes from - https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024024

So what you mean is 32.6% of publishing climate scientists, according to Cook et al endorsed AGW.

That is a L-o-o-ng way from 97%. Wink
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Reply #212 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 5:42pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 5:12pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 5:03pm:
"I don't understand random error, therefore the scientists are wrong."


So you don't understand the Gambler's Fallacy.  It shows.


I wondered if there was some reason why you think the Gambler's Fallacy is even relevant to measurement uncertainities, and the connection appears to be "Monte Carlo".

The Monte Carlo simulation doesn't have anything to do with the Monte Carlo Fallacy (Gambler's Fallacy), besides the fact that they are named after the same casino and are both related to probability.

Wink
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Reply #213 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 5:44pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 5:19pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 5:04pm:
If the other scientists (the 3%) want to publish something contradictory then there is nothing stopping them, except ridicule, honey bunch.


But Cook et al 2013 didn't get 97%.

"We analyze the evolution of the scientific consensus on anthropogenic global warming (AGW) in the peer-reviewed scientific literature, examining 11 944 climate abstracts from 1991–2011 matching the topics 'global climate change' or 'global warming'. "

So all these were publishing scientists, hence the abstracts.

"We find that 66.4% of abstracts expressed no position on AGW,"

That leaves 33.6%.

"32.6% endorsed AGW,"

Quotes from - https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024024

So what you mean is 32.6% of publishing climate scientists, according to Cook et al endorsed AGW.

That is a L-o-o-ng way from 97%. Wink


Classic cherry-picking.

Quote:
We analyze the evolution of the scientific consensus on anthropogenic global warming (AGW) in the peer-reviewed scientific literature, examining 11 944 climate abstracts from 1991–2011 matching the topics 'global climate change' or 'global warming'. We find that 66.4% of abstracts expressed no position on AGW, 32.6% endorsed AGW, 0.7% rejected AGW and 0.3% were uncertain about the cause of global warming. Among abstracts expressing a position on AGW, 97.1% endorsed the consensus position that humans are causing global warming. In a second phase of this study, we invited authors to rate their own papers. Compared to abstract ratings, a smaller percentage of self-rated papers expressed no position on AGW (35.5%). Among self-rated papers expressing a position on AGW, 97.2% endorsed the consensus. For both abstract ratings and authors' self-ratings, the percentage of endorsements among papers expressing a position on AGW marginally increased over time. Our analysis indicates that the number of papers rejecting the consensus on AGW is a vanishingly small proportion of the published research.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #214 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 5:50pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 5:19pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 5:04pm:
If the other scientists (the 3%) want to publish something contradictory then there is nothing stopping them, except ridicule, honey bunch.


But Cook et al 2013 didn't get 97%.

"We analyze the evolution of the scientific consensus on anthropogenic global warming (AGW) in the peer-reviewed scientific literature, examining 11 944 climate abstracts from 1991–2011 matching the topics 'global climate change' or 'global warming'. "

So all these were publishing scientists, hence the abstracts.

"We find that 66.4% of abstracts expressed no position on AGW,"

That leaves 33.6%.

"32.6% endorsed AGW,"

Quotes from - https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024024

So what you mean is 32.6% of publishing climate scientists, according to Cook et al endorsed AGW.

That is a L-o-o-ng way from 97%. Wink


That is reading way too far into a scientific fact....

Firstly we are in 2019 not 2011 so there is over 8 years of data missing.

Secondly bodies such as the UN, NASA, Bureau of Meteorology amongst many other established bodies have confirmed and stipulate climate change is real and have linked human causation. This study hasn't considered any bodies, institutions or organisations..

Thirdly abstracts don't necessarily express the final position. Additionally its highly interpretative when a person considers what 'expressing no position' actually means. How is 'expressing no position' measured in this study?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #215 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 5:57pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 5:42pm:
The Monte Carlo simulation doesn't have anything to do with the Monte Carlo Fallacy (Gambler's Fallacy), besides the fact that they are named after the same casino and are both related to probability.


Good start. keep going. yo may get there yet.

"As a general rule of thumb, when you are adding two uncertain quantities and one uncertainty is more than twice as big as the other, you can just use the larger uncertainty as the uncertainty of the sum, and neglect the smaller uncertainty
entirely. (However, if you are adding more than two quantities together, you probably shouldn’t neglect the smaller uncertainties unless they are at most 1/3 as big as the largest uncertainty.) "

http://ipl.physics.harvard.edu/wp-uploads/2013/03/PS3_Error_Propagation_sp13.pdf

So the uncertainties don't get smaller. You just use the biggest one unless there are a number, Then they would be additive. They don't reduce the uncertainty.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #216 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 6:05pm
 
goldkam wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 5:50pm:
lee wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 5:19pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 5:04pm:
If the other scientists (the 3%) want to publish something contradictory then there is nothing stopping them, except ridicule, honey bunch.


But Cook et al 2013 didn't get 97%.

"We analyze the evolution of the scientific consensus on anthropogenic global warming (AGW) in the peer-reviewed scientific literature, examining 11 944 climate abstracts from 1991–2011 matching the topics 'global climate change' or 'global warming'. "

So all these were publishing scientists, hence the abstracts.

"We find that 66.4% of abstracts expressed no position on AGW,"

That leaves 33.6%.

"32.6% endorsed AGW,"

Quotes from - https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024024

So what you mean is 32.6% of publishing climate scientists, according to Cook et al endorsed AGW.

That is a L-o-o-ng way from 97%. Wink


That is reading way too far into a scientific fact....

Firstly we are in 2019 not 2011 so there is over 8 years of data missing.

Secondly bodies such as the UN, NASA, Bureau of Meteorology amongst many other established bodies have confirmed and stipulate climate change is real and have linked human causation. This study hasn't considered any bodies, institutions or organisations..

Thirdly abstracts don't necessarily express the final position. Additionally its highly interpretative when a person considers what 'expressing no position' actually means. How is 'expressing no position' measured in this study?


Easiest way to find out is to read the study.

https://sci-hub.tw/https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/0240...

Quote:
No position: Does not address or mention the cause of global warming



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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #217 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 6:08pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 5:44pm:
Compared to abstract ratings, a smaller percentage of self-rated papers expressed no position on AGW (35.5%). Among self-rated papers expressing a position on AGW, 97.2% endorsed the consensus


You missed the first bit.  So that gives 64.5% of abstracts that did endorse a position on AGW.

Now we take 97.2% of the 64.5% of ABSTRACTS remember, not climate scientists.

Which would give us 62.7% of abstracts not climate scientists. That is still a long way from 97" of climate scientists, which is the claim. Wink

And that Abstract feedback isn't the paper. Wink
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Reply #218 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 6:11pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 6:05pm:
https://sci-hub.tw/https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/17
48-9326/8/2/0240...


Why use Sci_hub there? it is Open Source at iopscience which is who the authors presented it to. Wink

https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024024
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Reply #219 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 6:13pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 5:57pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 5:42pm:
The Monte Carlo simulation doesn't have anything to do with the Monte Carlo Fallacy (Gambler's Fallacy), besides the fact that they are named after the same casino and are both related to probability.


Good start. keep going. yo may get there yet.

"As a general rule of thumb, when you are adding two uncertain quantities and one uncertainty is more than twice as big as the other, you can just use the larger uncertainty as the uncertainty of the sum, and neglect the smaller uncertainty
entirely. (However, if you are adding more than two quantities together, you probably shouldn’t neglect the smaller uncertainties unless they are at most 1/3 as big as the largest uncertainty.) "

http://ipl.physics.harvard.edu/wp-uploads/2013/03/PS3_Error_Propagation_sp13.pdf

So the uncertainties don't get smaller. You just use the biggest one unless there are a number, Then they would be additive. They don't reduce the uncertainty.


The Gambler's Fallacy is the belief that something becomes less likely the more times it happens, like a coin landing on heads. It has nothing to do with uncertainty in measurement.

You've just got no idea.

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Reply #220 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 6:15pm
 
goldkam wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 5:50pm:
Thirdly abstracts don't necessarily express the final position. Additionally its highly interpretative when a person considers what 'expressing no position' actually means. How is 'expressing no position' measured in this study?


You would need to ask John Cook lead Author, Owner of Skeptical Science website.

Supplementary material available at -

https://skepticalscience.com/tcp.php?t=home

As listed at the bottom of the paper.
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Reply #221 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 6:17pm
 
goldkam wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 5:50pm:
lee wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 5:19pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 5:04pm:
If the other scientists (the 3%) want to publish something contradictory then there is nothing stopping them, except ridicule, honey bunch.


But Cook et al 2013 didn't get 97%.

"We analyze the evolution of the scientific consensus on anthropogenic global warming (AGW) in the peer-reviewed scientific literature, examining 11 944 climate abstracts from 1991–2011 matching the topics 'global climate change' or 'global warming'. "

So all these were publishing scientists, hence the abstracts.

"We find that 66.4% of abstracts expressed no position on AGW,"

That leaves 33.6%.

"32.6% endorsed AGW,"

Quotes from - https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024024

So what you mean is 32.6% of publishing climate scientists, according to Cook et al endorsed AGW.

That is a L-o-o-ng way from 97%. Wink


That is reading way too far into a scientific fact....

Firstly we are in 2019 not 2011 so there is over 8 years of data missing.

Secondly bodies such as the UN, NASA, Bureau of Meteorology amongst many other established bodies have confirmed and stipulate climate change is real and have linked human causation. This study hasn't considered any bodies, institutions or organisations..

Thirdly abstracts don't necessarily express the final position. Additionally its highly interpretative when a person considers what 'expressing no position' actually means. How is 'expressing no position' measured in this study?

Sort of puts your argument into another dimension blossom.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #222 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 6:18pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 6:13pm:
The Gambler's Fallacy is the belief that something becomes less likely the more times it happens, like a coin landing on heads.



Exactly. And the same with numbers. The more likely that the result will be tighter to the mean. Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #223 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 6:23pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 6:18pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 6:13pm:
The Gambler's Fallacy is the belief that something becomes less likely the more times it happens, like a coin landing on heads.



Exactly. And the same with numbers. The more likely that the result will be tighter to the mean. Wink


Yeah, you definitely don't understand the Gambler's Fallacy. You seem to think it is related to regression to the mean. It isn't.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #224 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 6:26pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 6:17pm:
Firstly we are in 2019 not 2011 so there is over 8 years of data missing.


And that has not been addressed by anyone.  Care to do it?

Johnnie wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 6:17pm:
Secondly bodies such as the UN, NASA, Bureau of Meteorology amongst many other established bodies have confirmed and stipulate climate change is real and have linked human causation.


That's quite correct. Now the challenge is to find what percentage. Wink

Johnnie wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 6:17pm:
Thirdly abstracts don't necessarily express the final position.


Actually they are supposed to. The Abstract should give arguments for, perhaps arguments against, and a simplified conclusion.

"Informative abstracts
The majority of abstracts are informative. While they still do not critique or evaluate a work, they do more than describe it. A good informative abstract acts as a surrogate for the work itself. That is, the writer presents and explains all the main arguments and the important results and evidence in the complete article/paper/book. An informative abstract includes the information that can be found in a descriptive abstract (purpose, methods, scope) but also includes the results and conclusions of the research and the recommendations of the author. The length varies according to discipline, but an informative abstract is rarely more than 10% of the length of the entire work. In the case of a longer work, it may be much less."

https://writingcenter.unc.edu/tips-and-tools/abstracts/

If the abstract doesn't present the final position, do you mean it uses a draft position?

Johnnie wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 6:17pm:
Sort of puts your argument into another dimension blossom.


If you had comprehended it, you would have seen the shortcomings of it. Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #225 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 6:27pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 6:23pm:
You seem to think it is related to regression to the mean.



Which is more than you do. Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #226 - Jun 14th, 2019 at 6:40pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 6:26pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 6:17pm:
Firstly we are in 2019 not 2011 so there is over 8 years of data missing.


And that has not been addressed by anyone.  Care to do it?

Johnnie wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 6:17pm:
Secondly bodies such as the UN, NASA, Bureau of Meteorology amongst many other established bodies have confirmed and stipulate climate change is real and have linked human causation.


That's quite correct. Now the challenge is to find what percentage. Wink

Johnnie wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 6:17pm:
Thirdly abstracts don't necessarily express the final position.


Actually they are supposed to. The Abstract should give arguments for, perhaps arguments against, and a simplified conclusion.

"Informative abstracts
The majority of abstracts are informative. While they still do not critique or evaluate a work, they do more than describe it. A good informative abstract acts as a surrogate for the work itself. That is, the writer presents and explains all the main arguments and the important results and evidence in the complete article/paper/book. An informative abstract includes the information that can be found in a descriptive abstract (purpose, methods, scope) but also includes the results and conclusions of the research and the recommendations of the author. The length varies according to discipline, but an informative abstract is rarely more than 10% of the length of the entire work. In the case of a longer work, it may be much less."

https://writingcenter.unc.edu/tips-and-tools/abstracts/

If the abstract doesn't present the final position, do you mean it uses a draft position?

Johnnie wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 6:17pm:
Sort of puts your argument into another dimension blossom.


If you had comprehended it, you would have seen the shortcomings of it. Wink

You are still coming from the same dimension, Goldcam covered it nicely.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #227 - Jun 15th, 2019 at 11:22am
 
lee wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 5:19pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jun 14th, 2019 at 5:04pm:
If the other scientists (the 3%) want to publish something contradictory then there is nothing stopping them, except ridicule, honey bunch.


But Cook et al 2013 didn't get 97%.

"We analyze the evolution of the scientific consensus on anthropogenic global warming (AGW) in the peer-reviewed scientific literature, examining 11 944 climate abstracts from 1991–2011 matching the topics 'global climate change' or 'global warming'. "

So all these were publishing scientists, hence the abstracts.

"We find that 66.4% of abstracts expressed no position on AGW,"

That leaves 33.6%.

"32.6% endorsed AGW,"

Quotes from - https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024024

So what you mean is 32.6% of publishing climate scientists, according to Cook et al endorsed AGW.

That is a L-o-o-ng way from 97%. Wink


Wow lee
This post is pretty stupid even for you
Your interpretation is that if a paper expresses no position on AGW (for what ever reason)then by default you classify it as opposing AGW (because it dosn't actively support it).
You really do use convoluted logic to try and discredit.

Using that logic in 2016 only 17 million people voted for Brexit out of 46 million registered voters (thats 37%)
I seem to have missed your posts arguing that the people didn't want Brexit  Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #228 - Jun 15th, 2019 at 12:38pm
 
The_Barnacle wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 11:22am:
Your interpretation is that if a paper expresses no position on AGW (for what ever reason)then by default you classify it as opposing AGW (because it dosn't actively support it).



No petal. The paper makes the claim for those papers that endorse AGW. They set up the parameters for their paper. If you don't agree with their workings take it up with them.

And don't forget ABSTRACTS are NOT Climate Scientists. Which is the claim bandied about. I have used their own statistics.

The_Barnacle wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 11:22am:
Using that logic in 2016 only 17 million people voted for Brexit out of 46 million registered voters (thats 37%)
I seem to have missed your posts arguing that the people didn't want Brexit


No petal. Taking your figures at face value, that is what they  say. And those that didn't vote and then screamed the loudest were the millenials, because they didn't get what they wanted, they want a new vote.

In any vote or count you can only go with the figures presented. You can't say "but that's not right because people were excluded or weren't in the count".
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #229 - Jun 15th, 2019 at 12:55pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 12:38pm:
The_Barnacle wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 11:22am:
Your interpretation is that if a paper expresses no position on AGW (for what ever reason)then by default you classify it as opposing AGW (because it dosn't actively support it).



The paper makes the claim for those papers that endorse AGW. They set up the parameters for their paper. If you don't agree with their workings take it up with them.



Nice back pedal

I guess thats as close as I'm going to get to you admitting you are posting garbage  Grin Grin Grin Grin

I'll also be reminding you of this post every time you try and discredit Bureau of Meteorology data
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #230 - Jun 15th, 2019 at 1:10pm
 
The_Barnacle wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 12:55pm:
lee wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 12:38pm:
The_Barnacle wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 11:22am:
Your interpretation is that if a paper expresses no position on AGW (for what ever reason)then by default you classify it as opposing AGW (because it dosn't actively support it).



The paper makes the claim for those papers that endorse AGW. They set up the parameters for their paper. If you don't agree with their workings take it up with them.



Nice back pedal

I guess thats as close as I'm going to get to you admitting you are posting garbage  Grin Grin Grin Grin

I'll also be reminding you of this post every time you try and discredit Bureau of Meteorology data

just remember a acorn doesn't fall far from a Raw tree... Wink
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Reply #231 - Jun 15th, 2019 at 1:12pm
 
First let me say that I believe in climate change and that the Earth has warmed up since the little ice age.

Now Ladies and Gentlemen I have evidence of Anthropogenic Global Warming.

It was first hypothesised in 1990 by the IPCC and associates in their computer model simulations.

They claimed that mans emissions of CO2 by burning fossil fuels would heat the Earth up by 2.78°C by the end of this century.

They also claimed that this was the over riding factor for the warming, that is mans emissions of CO2 due to fossil fuel consumption for energy.

Well the last 28 years of empirical data (observations) suggest a warming of 1°C by the end of this century.

Therefore the computer models got it all wrong.

And we all know by now that if your theory doesn't match your observations in nature, then your theory is WRONG.

Therefore there is no evidence to suggest that Anthropogenic Global Warming is the sole cause of this current warming.

As the great professor Richard Feynman tells us below.



How those computer models got it oh so wrong.

...

Warm and cool cycles of the Earth.

and the correlation of CO2 and temperature


...



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« Last Edit: Jun 15th, 2019 at 1:18pm by Ajax »  

1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #232 - Jun 15th, 2019 at 2:25pm
 
The_Barnacle wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 12:55pm:
Nice back pedal



Grin Grin Grin Grin

Where have I walked back from what the paper says. Wink

The_Barnacle wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 12:55pm:
I'll also be reminding you of this post every time you try and discredit Bureau of Meteorology data


Do you think adjusted data is data? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Once you adjust the data it is a bunch of numbers. Nothing more. Wink
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Reply #233 - Jun 15th, 2019 at 8:18pm
 
Ajax wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 1:12pm:
First let me say that I believe in climate change and that the Earth has warmed up since the little ice age.

Now Ladies and Gentlemen I have evidence of Anthropogenic Global Warming.

It was first hypothesised in 1990 by the IPCC and associates in their computer model simulations.


"They used computers!" (Collective gasp from the audience.)

Grin


Ajax wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 1:12pm:
They claimed that mans emissions of CO2 by burning fossil fuels would heat the Earth up by 2.78°C by the end of this century.


The only source I could find for a figure of 2.78°C is Hansen et al, 1981.

Climate impact of increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide
https://science.sciencemag.org/content/213/4511/957

Hansen et al makes multiple predictions based on fossil fuel usage:

...


Ajax wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 1:12pm:
Well the last 28 years of empirical data (observations) suggest a warming of 1°C by the end of this century.


[citation needed]


Ajax wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 1:12pm:
How those computer models got it oh so wrong.

https://i.ibb.co/5kCc7Fq/ipcctempco2.jpg


Google image search suggests this graph originated with this self-published PDF:
The Skeptic’s Case: Who Are You Going To Believe—The Government Climate Scientists or The Data? by David M.W. Evans
jonova.s3.amazonaws.com/guest/evans-david/skeptics-case.pdf

Evans' source for the IPCC predictions? The policymakers' summary of the IPCC First Assessment Report. Evans' footnote:

Quote:
IPCC First Assessment Report, 1990, page xxii (www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/far/wg_I/ipcc_far_wg_I_full_report.pdf) in the Policymakers Summary, Figure 8 and surrounding text, for the business-as-usual scenario (which is what in fact occurred, there being no significant controls or decrease in the rate of increase of emissions to date). “Under the IPCC Business-as-Usual (Scenario A) emissions of greenhouse gases, the average rate of increase of global mean temperature during the next century is estimated to be about 0.3°C per decade (with an uncertainty range of 0.2°C to 0.5°C).


I've highlighted Evans' claim that the Business as Usual scenario has occurred. In order for Evans to arrive at this conclusion, he has to ignore the abatement achieved as the result of the Kyoto Protocol, which is not factored into the Business as Usual scenario in the 1990 report:

Quote:
In the Business-as-Usual scenario (Scenario A) the energv supply is coal intensive and on the demand side only modest efficiency increases are achieved Carbon monoxide controls are modest, deforestation continues until the tropical forests are depleted and agricultural emissions of methane and nitrous oxide are uncontrolled For CFCs the Montreal Protocol is implemented albeit with only partial participation Note that the aggregation of national projections by IPCC Working Group III gives higher emissions (10 20%) of carbon dioxide and methane by 2025.


AR1: Scientific Assessment of Climate Change
https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/03/ipcc_far_wg_I_full_report.pdf


Ajax wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 1:12pm:
Warm and cool cycles of the Earth.

and the correlation of CO2 and temperature


https://i.ibb.co/mc5qJqb/AGW.jpg


Potato-quality Gish Gallop.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #234 - Jun 15th, 2019 at 10:35pm
 
Ajax wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 1:12pm:


The first one:

...

http://www.longrangeweather.com/global_temperatures.htm

Quote:
By Climatologist Cliff Harris and Meteorologist Randy Mann

Quote:
Global temperature chart was complied by Climatologist Cliff Harris that combined the following resources:
"Climate and the Affairs of Men" by Dr. Iben Browing.
"Climate...The Key to Understanding Business Cycles...The Raymond H. Wheeler Papers. By Michael Zahorchak
Weather Science Foundation Papers in Crystal Lake, Illinois.


Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #235 - Jun 15th, 2019 at 11:45pm
 
Ajax wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 1:12pm:


The second one:

...

The original can be found here:
Climate and the Carboniferous Period by Monte Hieb
https://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/Carboniferous_climate.html

Looking at this graph, you'd think that there isn't any correlation between CO2 and temperature. But for some reason, the source for the CO2 figures, Berner & Kothavala, states that temperature is dependent on CO2.

Quote:
Revision of the GEOCARB model (Berner, 1991, 1994) for paleolevels of atmospheric CO2, has been made with emphasis on factors affecting CO2 uptake by continental  weathering.  This  includes:  (1)  new  GCM  (general  circulation  model) results for the dependence of global mean surface temperature and runoff on CO2,for  both  glaciated  and  non-glaciated  periods,  coupled  with  new  results  for  the temperature response to changes in solar radiation;


https://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/Reference_Docs/Geocarb_III-Berner.pdf

Berner & Kothavala also mentions another factor driving global temperatures: solar forcing. I have no idea why Monte Hieb left it out of his graph, but it's ironic since climate "skeptics" often insist that climate change is mostly driven by the sun.

...

https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/293C0314...

Scotese has updated his temperature sketch since Hieb last updated his graph:

...

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/309324713_A_NEW_GLOBAL_TEMPERATURE_CURV...

Scotese has removed the sudden jumps between "ice house" and "hot house".

Like Berner & Kothavala, Scotese also mentions that greenhouse gases are a factor in global temperature:

Quote:
Most of the time, the global temperature gently rises and falls in response to gradual changes in orbital and solar parameters, ocean currents, sea level, atmospheric chemistry (greenhouse gases), and other factors. These changes occur over millions of years.


If you were to impose solar irradiance on Monte Hieb's graph, it would also appear to imply that there is no correlation between solar irradiance and global temperature. So if you're dense enough to think this graph refutes the theory that CO2 causes changes in climate, then you could at least be consistently thick and conclude that it also refutes the theory that solar irradiance causes changes in climate.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #236 - Jun 16th, 2019 at 12:11am
 
Ajax wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 1:12pm:


Graph number three:

...

According to this site, the graph was drawn by "analytical chemist Hans Schreuder", although the original is no longer available.
https://www.iceagenow.com/The_IPCC_is_lying.htm

Here's the original from the IPCC's First Assessment Report.

...

https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/03/ipcc_far_wg_I_full_report.pdf

Looks like Hans Schreuder misrepresented the IPCC, by increasing the scale of the vertical axis by almost 4 times.

(Nice of him to provide some Vikings context, though.)

Still, the IPCC figure is a bit...low quality. The caption says:

Quote:
Figure 7.1: Schematic diagrams of global temperature variations since...the last thousand years The dotted line nominally represents conditions near the beginning of the twentieth century


What the hell is a "schematic diagram" and why is it even in there? There's a story about it in the Appendix of this paper by Jones et al, if you care to read it, but the bottom line is this

Quote:
the curve used by IPCC (1990) was locally representative (nominally of Central England) and not global, and was referred to at the time with the word ‘schematic’.


http://shadow.eas.gatech.edu/%7Ekcobb/jones09.pdf
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Reply #237 - Jun 16th, 2019 at 1:05am
 
Ajax wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 1:12pm:


The fourth graph:

Here's a higher res version.

...

Reverse image search doesn't reveal the article it originally belonged to, although it's evident from the visual style that it belongs to Christopher Monckton, which is an automatic LOL. Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #238 - Jun 16th, 2019 at 6:20am
 
An excellent graph and article that everyone should read carefully:
http://www.longrangeweather.com/global_temperatures.htm


...



Dr. Wheeler also discovered that approximately every 102 years, a much warmer and drier climatic cycle affects our planet.
The last such "warm and dry" peak occurred in 1936, at the end of the infamous "Dust Bowl" period. During that time, extreme heat and dryness, combined with a multitude of problems during the "Great Depression," made living conditions practically intolerable.

Assuming we get a new and very strong cooler La Nina sea-surface temperature pattern along with extremely low solar activity, we may see a brief cool down of the Earth's temperature around the early 2020s. The next “warm and dry” climatic phase is scheduled to arrive in the early 2030s, probably peaking around 2038. It's quite possible we could see an average global temperature near 60 degrees, assuming there isn't a major volcanic eruption to disrupt this cycle.

Based on current data, this new warmer cycle could produce even hotter and drier weather patterns than we saw during the late 1990s and early 2000s. We also believe that our prolonged cycle of wide weather “extremes,” the worst in at least 1,000 years, will continue and perhaps become more severe in the years to come.

We should remember, that the Earth's coldest periods have usually followed excessive warmth. Such was the case when our planet moved from the Medieval Warm Period between 900 and 1300 A.D. to the sudden “Little Ice Age,” which peaked in the 17th Century. Since 2,500 B.C., there have been at least 78 major climate changes worldwide, including two major changes in just the past 40 years. In terms of upcoming cooling and warming periods, only time will tell.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #239 - Jun 16th, 2019 at 10:09am
 
Robot wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 8:18pm:
Ajax wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 1:12pm:
First let me say that I believe in climate change and that the Earth has warmed up since the little ice age.

Now Ladies and Gentlemen I have evidence of Anthropogenic Global Warming.

It was first hypothesised in 1990 by the IPCC and associates in their computer model simulations.


"They used computers!" (Collective gasp from the audience.)

Grin


Ajax wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 1:12pm:
They claimed that mans emissions of CO2 by burning fossil fuels would heat the Earth up by 2.78°C by the end of this century.


The only source I could find for a figure of 2.78°C is Hansen et al, 1981.

Climate impact of increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide
https://science.sciencemag.org/content/213/4511/957

Hansen et al makes multiple predictions based on fossil fuel usage:

https://i.postimg.cc/9F79szzy/Hansen1981-Fig6.jpg


Ajax wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 1:12pm:
Well the last 28 years of empirical data (observations) suggest a warming of 1°C by the end of this century.


[citation needed]


Ajax wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 1:12pm:
How those computer models got it oh so wrong.

https://i.ibb.co/5kCc7Fq/ipcctempco2.jpg


Google image search suggests this graph originated with this self-published PDF:
The Skeptic’s Case: Who Are You Going To Believe—The Government Climate Scientists or The Data? by David M.W. Evans
jonova.s3.amazonaws.com/guest/evans-david/skeptics-case.pdf

Evans' source for the IPCC predictions? The policymakers' summary of the IPCC First Assessment Report. Evans' footnote:

Quote:
IPCC First Assessment Report, 1990, page xxii (www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/far/wg_I/ipcc_far_wg_I_full_report.pdf) in the Policymakers Summary, Figure 8 and surrounding text, for the business-as-usual scenario (which is what in fact occurred, there being no significant controls or decrease in the rate of increase of emissions to date). “Under the IPCC Business-as-Usual (Scenario A) emissions of greenhouse gases, the average rate of increase of global mean temperature during the next century is estimated to be about 0.3°C per decade (with an uncertainty range of 0.2°C to 0.5°C).


I've highlighted Evans' claim that the Business as Usual scenario has occurred. In order for Evans to arrive at this conclusion, he has to ignore the abatement achieved as the result of the Kyoto Protocol, which is not factored into the Business as Usual scenario in the 1990 report:

Quote:
In the Business-as-Usual scenario (Scenario A) the energv supply is coal intensive and on the demand side only modest efficiency increases are achieved Carbon monoxide controls are modest, deforestation continues until the tropical forests are depleted and agricultural emissions of methane and nitrous oxide are uncontrolled For CFCs the Montreal Protocol is implemented albeit with only partial participation Note that the aggregation of national projections by IPCC Working Group III gives higher emissions (10 20%) of carbon dioxide and methane by 2025.


AR1: Scientific Assessment of Climate Change
https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/03/ipcc_far_wg_I_full_report.pdf


Ajax wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 1:12pm:
Warm and cool cycles of the Earth.

and the correlation of CO2 and temperature


https://i.ibb.co/mc5qJqb/AGW.jpg


Potato-quality Gish Gallop.


Hahaha.....!

Yep those same computer models that showed we had a hot spot in the tropopause around the equator.

The hot spot that weather balloons and satellites failed to find LMFAO.

I gave you the source IPCC FAR 1990 which is still valid today.

I mean don't they talk about keeping the temperature to BELOW 2°C by spending billions of tax payer monies on wall street buying up the free air space above your country and still sending up as much CO2 as you can afford.

As long as you pay there is no danger.......!

If you don't pay we're all doomed my friend doomed I tellsya........... Cheesy

...

https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/03/ipcc_far_wg_I_full_report.pdf
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #240 - Jun 16th, 2019 at 10:16am
 
Robot wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 10:35pm:
Ajax wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 1:12pm:


The first one:

http://www.longrangeweather.com/images/gtemps.jpg

http://www.longrangeweather.com/global_temperatures.htm

Quote:
By Climatologist Cliff Harris and Meteorologist Randy Mann

Quote:
Global temperature chart was complied by Climatologist Cliff Harris that combined the following resources:
"Climate and the Affairs of Men" by Dr. Iben Browing.
"Climate...The Key to Understanding Business Cycles...The Raymond H. Wheeler Papers. By Michael Zahorchak
Weather Science Foundation Papers in Crystal Lake, Illinois.


Grin


Robot wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 12:11am:
Ajax wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 1:12pm:


Graph number three:

https://www.iceagenow.com/Medieval%20Warm%20Period1.jpg

According to this site, the graph was drawn by "analytical chemist Hans Schreuder", although the original is no longer available.
https://www.iceagenow.com/The_IPCC_is_lying.htm

Here's the original from the IPCC's First Assessment Report.

https://i.postimg.cc/RZgHCWyN/AR1-pg202.png

https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/03/ipcc_far_wg_I_full_report.pdf

Looks like Hans Schreuder misrepresented the IPCC, by increasing the scale of the vertical axis by almost 4 times.

(Nice of him to provide some Vikings context, though.)

Still, the IPCC figure is a bit...low quality. The caption says:

Quote:
Figure 7.1: Schematic diagrams of global temperature variations since...the last thousand years The dotted line nominally represents conditions near the beginning of the twentieth century


What the hell is a "schematic diagram" and why is it even in there? There's a story about it in the Appendix of this paper by Jones et al, if you care to read it, but the bottom line is this

Quote:
the curve used by IPCC (1990) was locally representative (nominally of Central England) and not global, and was referred to at the time with the word ‘schematic’.


http://shadow.eas.gatech.edu/%7Ekcobb/jones09.pdf


What are you trying to say here my friend that we DONT have cool and warm cycles.............???

Kind of missed the point, laughs on you.......... Wink

As for CO2 and temperature correlating show me where this occurs and I will believe.

The facts are

CO2 does play a part in keeping the Earth warm to a certain point.

BUT

The effects of CO2 are logarithmic....fact........!.... Wink

BTW when we had thousands of parts per million of CO2 in the atmosphere there was no runaway greenhouse effect, why should there be one now.

Today we have some of the lowest amounts of atmospheric CO2 in our history.

Do you know what the CO2 levels are in a submarine.....???




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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #241 - Jun 16th, 2019 at 10:18am
 
Medieval warm period warmer than today.


Dahl_Jensen et al 1998
Wagner & Melles 2001
Kaplan et al 2002
Jiang et al 2002
Moore et al 2001
Grudd et al 2002
Seppa & Birks 2002
Dansgaard et al 1975
Korhola et al 2000
Naurzbaev et al 2002
Vaganov et el 1996
Briffa et al 1998
Scweingruber & Briffa 1996
Knudsen et al 2004
Grinsted et al 2006
Besonen et al 2008
Wagner et al 2008
Vare et al 2009
Norgaard-Pedersen & Mikkelsen 2009
Andresen et al 2004
Vinther et al 2010
Kobashi et al 2010
Kobashi et al 2008
Stuiver et al 1995
Dansgaard et al 1975
Jenings & Weiner 1996
Johnsen et al 2001
Vinther et al 2010
Larsen et al 2011
Hill et al 2001
Joynt & Wolfe 2001
Hantemirov & Shiyatov 2002
Andersson et al 2003
Helama et al 2005
Mazepa 2005
Weckstrom et al 2006
Jiang et al 2007
Zabenski & Gajewski 2007
Grudd 2008
Justwan et al 2008
Scire et al 2008
Axford et al 2009
Bjune et al 2009
Cook et al 2009
Fortin & Gajewski 2010
Buntgen et al 2011
Divine et al 2011
Ran et al 2011
Velle et al 2011
D’Andrea et al 2012
Esper et al 2012
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #242 - Jun 16th, 2019 at 10:24am
 
Robot wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 11:45pm:
Ajax wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 1:12pm:


The second one:

https://i.postimg.cc/MHDmG2sb/Hieb.png

The original can be found here:
Climate and the Carboniferous Period by Monte Hieb
https://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/Carboniferous_climate.html

Looking at this graph, you'd think that there isn't any correlation between CO2 and temperature. But for some reason, the source for the CO2 figures, Berner & Kothavala, states that temperature is dependent on CO2.

Quote:
Revision of the GEOCARB model (Berner, 1991, 1994) for paleolevels of atmospheric CO2, has been made with emphasis on factors affecting CO2 uptake by continental  weathering.  This  includes:  (1)  new  GCM  (general  circulation  model) results for the dependence of global mean surface temperature and runoff on CO2,for  both  glaciated  and  non-glaciated  periods,  coupled  with  new  results  for  the temperature response to changes in solar radiation;


https://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/Reference_Docs/Geocarb_III-Berner.pdf

Berner & Kothavala also mentions another factor driving global temperatures: solar forcing. I have no idea why Monte Hieb left it out of his graph, but it's ironic since climate "skeptics" often insist that climate change is mostly driven by the sun.

https://i.postimg.cc/Kjz5pcrk/Ribas.png

https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/293C0314...

Scotese has updated his temperature sketch since Hieb last updated his graph:

https://i.postimg.cc/2S4pdmkF/Scotese-Poster01-Center-Top-small.jpg

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/309324713_A_NEW_GLOBAL_TEMPERATURE_CURV...

Scotese has removed the sudden jumps between "ice house" and "hot house".

Like Berner & Kothavala, Scotese also mentions that greenhouse gases are a factor in global temperature:

Quote:
Most of the time, the global temperature gently rises and falls in response to gradual changes in orbital and solar parameters, ocean currents, sea level, atmospheric chemistry (greenhouse gases), and other factors. These changes occur over millions of years.


If you were to impose solar irradiance on Monte Hieb's graph, it would also appear to imply that there is no correlation between solar irradiance and global temperature. So if you're dense enough to think this graph refutes the theory that CO2 causes changes in climate, then you could at least be consistently thick and conclude that it also refutes the theory that solar irradiance causes changes in climate.


The chemical analysis is still valid......... Kiss

Show me a proxy without an element of uncertainty.

...

https://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/Reference_Docs/Geocarb_III-Berner.pdf
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #243 - Jun 16th, 2019 at 10:28am
 
What is false about this graph..............???

...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #244 - Jun 16th, 2019 at 11:49am
 
According to Knudsen et al there is a multi decadal oscillation of between 55 and 75 years over the last 8000 years. And that a linear trend of at least 70 years should be used to remove the contribution by the Multi Decadal Oscillation.


https://www.nature.com/articles/ncomms1186


It is interesting that there was the recent report of the slowing Greenland Jakobshavn Glacier talks of slowing and thickening because of cooler oceanic waters.

"The researchers conclude that the slowdown of this glacier, known in the Greenlandic language as Sermeq Kujalleq, occurred because an ocean current that brings water to the glacier's ocean face grew much cooler in 2016. Water temperatures in the vicinity of the glacier are now colder than they have been since the mid-1980s."

https://www.jpl.nasa.gov/news/news.php?feature=7356

The scientists think it has something to do with the North Atlantic Oscillation overturning.

Which could in turn be Knudsen et al's Multi Decadal Oscillation of 50 to 75 years.
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Reply #245 - Jun 16th, 2019 at 12:10pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 8:18pm:
I've highlighted Evans' claim that the Business as Usual scenario has occurred. In order for Evans to arrive at this conclusion, he has to ignore the abatement achieved as the result of the Kyoto Protocol, which is not factored into the Business as Usual scenario in the 1990 report:



"Was the 1997 Kyoto protocol a success? That depends on how you interpret the numbers."

"Although overall global emissions rose, the 38 countries collectively reduced their output by 2 GtCO2 per year from 2008 to 2012 compared with 1990 levels. That makes the treaty sound like a success.

But the emissions of former Soviet states had plummeted before the deal was even signed, meaning a reduction of 2.2 GtCO2 per year cannot be attributed to the protocol. Discount that, and the 38 failed to meet their target.

The US and Canada, however, signed the deal but did not stick with it. If they are excluded, the remaining 36 apparently met their target of a reduction of 0.5 GtCO2 per year, even if the 2.2 Gt cited above are excluded.

Mixed picture
However, 10 countries achieved their targets only by buying carbon credits. This means that 0.3 GtCO2 per year of the claimed reductions were not true cuts.

What’s more, emissions in developed countries fell by 1 to 2 GtCO2 per year because of the financial crisis – so without it, the 36 countries might not even have come close to meeting their collective target.

That is not all. Some of the reductions may be due to “carbon leakage”: emissions shifting to developing countries such as China rather than ceasing altogether. Nor does the protocol include the fast-rising emissions from aviation or shipping. And many would argue that the targets were far too modest in the first place."

https://www.newscientist.com/article/2093579-was-kyoto-climate-deal-a-success-fi...

But perhaps you can point to where Kyoto was a major success.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #246 - Jun 16th, 2019 at 3:47pm
 
Ajax wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 10:09am:
I gave you the source IPCC FAR 1990 which is still valid today.


Yes, I checked your source and there is no mention of 2.78°C. That number comes from Hansen et al, 1981. You clearly didn't get it from IPCC AR1.

Ajax wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 10:16am:
What are you trying to say here my friend that we DONT have cool and warm cycles.............???


Not at all. My point was simple: the graphs you posted are garbage.

If you want to show the occurrence of warm and cool cycles, it shouldn't be hard to find one made by real climate scientists that reconstructs temperatures from temperature data.

You shouldn't have any need to rely on a silly "chart" by "climatologist" Cliff Harris, or an exaggerated squiggle that incorrectly reproduces a crappy schematic.

Ajax wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 10:16am:
The effects of CO2 are logarithmic....fact........!.... Wink

Just like lee, you seem to think this means something that it doesn't.

http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1464603949/6012#6012

Ajax wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 10:16am:
BTW when we had thousands of parts per million of CO2 in the atmosphere there was no runaway greenhouse effect, why should there be one now.


Even with thousands of parts per million of CO2 in the atmosphere, there isn't going to be a runaway greenhouse effect (that turns us into a Venusian hothouse) because the Earth reaches a thermal equilibrium where the amount of heat captured from the sun is balanced out by the amount of heat radiated into space.

So we have no reason to expect a runaway greenhouse effect. You probably meant something else.

Ajax wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 10:16am:
Today we have some of the lowest amounts of atmospheric CO2 in our history.


Which is lucky for us, because the sun is much hotter than it used to be.

Ajax wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 10:24am:
The chemical analysis is still valid......... Kiss

Show me a proxy without an element of uncertainty.

https://i.ibb.co/hC15SVY/GEOCARBII.jpg

https://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/Reference_Docs/Geocarb_III-Berner.pdf


I can only assume from this response that, despite posting the graph, you don't even know what point the author was trying to convey.

Ajax wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 10:28am:
What is false about this graph..............???

https://i.ibb.co/5kCc7Fq/ipcctempco2.jpg


See my previous reply:

Robot wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 8:18pm:
Ajax wrote on Jun 15th, 2019 at 1:12pm:
How those computer models got it oh so wrong.

https://i.ibb.co/5kCc7Fq/ipcctempco2.jpg


Google image search suggests this graph originated with this self-published PDF:
The Skeptic’s Case: Who Are You Going To Believe—The Government Climate Scientists or The Data? by David M.W. Evans
jonova.s3.amazonaws.com/guest/evans-david/skeptics-case.pdf

Evans' source for the IPCC predictions? The policymakers' summary of the IPCC First Assessment Report. Evans' footnote:

Quote:
IPCC First Assessment Report, 1990, page xxii (www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/far/wg_I/ipcc_far_wg_I_full_report.pdf) in the Policymakers Summary, Figure 8 and surrounding text, for the business-as-usual scenario (which is what in fact occurred, there being no significant controls or decrease in the rate of increase of emissions to date). “Under the IPCC Business-as-Usual (Scenario A) emissions of greenhouse gases, the average rate of increase of global mean temperature during the next century is estimated to be about 0.3°C per decade (with an uncertainty range of 0.2°C to 0.5°C).


I've highlighted Evans' claim that the Business as Usual scenario has occurred. In order for Evans to arrive at this conclusion, he has to ignore the abatement achieved as the result of the Kyoto Protocol, which is not factored into the Business as Usual scenario in the 1990 report:

Quote:
In the Business-as-Usual scenario (Scenario A) the energv supply is coal intensive and on the demand side only modest efficiency increases are achieved Carbon monoxide controls are modest, deforestation continues until the tropical forests are depleted and agricultural emissions of methane and nitrous oxide are uncontrolled For CFCs the Montreal Protocol is implemented albeit with only partial participation Note that the aggregation of national projections by IPCC Working Group III gives higher emissions (10 20%) of carbon dioxide and methane by 2025.


AR1: Scientific Assessment of Climate Change
https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/03/ipcc_far_wg_I_full_report.pdf


Basically, Evans is evaluating a prediction for a scenario (Business-as-Usual) that didn't come to pass.

As lee helpfully point outs, BaU doesn't just leave out the Kyoto Protocol, it also leaves out the collapse of the Communist bloc and the Global Financial Crisis.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #247 - Jun 16th, 2019 at 4:04pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 3:47pm:
Even with thousands of parts per million of CO2 in the atmosphere, there isn't going to be a runaway greenhouse effect (that turns us into a Venusian hothouse) because the Earth reaches a thermal equilibrium where the amount of heat captured from the sun is balanced out by the amount of heat radiated into space.

So we have no reason to expect a runaway greenhouse effect.


perhaps you need to read wider.

BTW - at what temperature is this thermal equilibrium? Wink

"Runaway global warming on our planet remains a distinct possibility in the decades and centuries ahead, scientists reported Monday in a new study, warning that a "hothouse Earth" threatens the very “habitability of the planet for human beings.”

https://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/science/2018/08/06/hothouse-earth-runaway-gl...

The paper underlying it -

https://www.pnas.org/content/115/33/8252

With Australia's very own Will Steffan as lead author. Smiley

Robot wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 3:47pm:
As lee helpfully point outs, BaU doesn't just leave out the Kyoto Protocol, it also leaves out the collapse of the Communist bloc and the Global Financial Crisis.


Yep which show the input of Kyoto is minuscule, if any. That was't what you were trying to portray ; was it. Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #248 - Jun 16th, 2019 at 4:37pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 4:04pm:
"Runaway global warming on our planet remains a distinct possibility in the decades and centuries ahead, scientists reported Monday in a new study, warning that a "hothouse Earth" threatens the very “habitability of the planet for human beings.”

https://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/science/2018/08/06/hothouse-earth-runaway-gl...

The paper underlying it -

https://www.pnas.org/content/115/33/8252

With Australia's very own Will Steffan as lead author. Smiley


As usual, the media exaggerates the science.

Steffen et al doesn't predict a runaway greenhouse effect; they predict that we could end up with a "hothouse Earth". The Earth has had "hothouse" periods in the past but has avoided becoming a boiling hellscape (like Venus) because the system reaches an equilibrium point.

You can see these hothouse periods in Scotese's chart, and you can see the warming isn't a "runaway" trend.

...

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/309324713_A_NEW_GLOBAL_TEMPERATURE_CURV...

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #249 - Jun 16th, 2019 at 4:49pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 4:37pm:
As usual, the media exaggerates the science.


Actually the science tends to exaggerate the science. Wink

Robot wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 4:37pm:
The Earth has had "hothouse" periods in the past but has avoided becoming a boiling hellscape (like Venus) because the system reaches an equilibrium point.


"This so-called "hothouse Earth," where global temperatures will be 7 to 9 degrees Fahrenheit (4 to 5 degrees Celsius) higher than preindustrial temperatures and sea levels will be 33 to 200 feet (10 to 60 meters) higher than today, is hard to imagine — but easy to fall into, said a new perspective article published today (Aug. 6) in the journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. [Top 9 Ways the World Could End]

In the article, a group of scientists argued that there is a threshold temperature above which natural feedback systems that currently keep the Earth cool will unravel. At that point, a cascade of climate events will thrust the planet into a "hothouse" state. Though the scientists don't know exactly what this threshold is, they said it could be as slight as 2 degrees C (around 4 degrees F) of warming above preindustrial levels.

Sound familiar? The 2 degrees C mark plays a big role in the Paris Agreement, the landmark 2016 agreement signed by 179 countries to combat climate change by reducing carbon emissions (the same one that the U.S. announced it would withdraw from last year). In that accord, countries agreed to work to keep global temperature rise well below 2 degrees C, and ideally below 1.5 degrees C, above preindustrial levels this century."

https://www.livescience.com/63267-hothouse-earth-dangerously-close.html

" natural feedback systems that currently keep the Earth cool will unravel"

That is precisely the meaning of runaway global warming, the natural feedback systems not being able to cope.
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Reply #250 - Jun 16th, 2019 at 4:57pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 4:49pm:
That is precisely the meaning of runaway global warming, the natural feedback systems not being able to cope.


You and Ajax need to come to an agreement on what meaning of "runaway" you want to use, instead of engaging in false equivocation.

Ajax wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 10:16am:
BTW when we had thousands of parts per million of CO2 in the atmosphere there was no runaway greenhouse effect, why should there be one now.



lee wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 4:49pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 4:37pm:
As usual, the media exaggerates the science.


Actually the science tends to exaggerate the science. Wink

Robot wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 4:37pm:
The Earth has had "hothouse" periods in the past but has avoided becoming a boiling hellscape (like Venus) because the system reaches an equilibrium point.


"This so-called "hothouse Earth," where global temperatures will be 7 to 9 degrees Fahrenheit (4 to 5 degrees Celsius) higher than preindustrial temperatures and sea levels will be 33 to 200 feet (10 to 60 meters) higher than today, is hard to imagine — but easy to fall into, said a new perspective article published today (Aug. 6) in the journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. [Top 9 Ways the World Could End]

In the article, a group of scientists argued that there is a threshold temperature above which natural feedback systems that currently keep the Earth cool will unravel. At that point, a cascade of climate events will thrust the planet into a "hothouse" state. Though the scientists don't know exactly what this threshold is, they said it could be as slight as 2 degrees C (around 4 degrees F) of warming above preindustrial levels.

Sound familiar? The 2 degrees C mark plays a big role in the Paris Agreement, the landmark 2016 agreement signed by 179 countries to combat climate change by reducing carbon emissions (the same one that the U.S. announced it would withdraw from last year). In that accord, countries agreed to work to keep global temperature rise well below 2 degrees C, and ideally below 1.5 degrees C, above preindustrial levels this century."

https://www.livescience.com/63267-hothouse-earth-dangerously-close.html

" natural feedback systems that currently keep the Earth cool will unravel"


Grin

Another media article exaggerating the science. You should quote the paper directly or not bother at al.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #251 - Jun 16th, 2019 at 5:43pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 4:57pm:
You and Ajax need to come to an agreement on what meaning of "runaway" you want to use, instead of engaging in false equivocation.

Ajax wrote Today at 8:16am:
BTW when we had thousands of parts per million of CO2 in the atmosphere there was no runaway greenhouse effect, why should there be one now.


You need to learn to read. Neither of us believe in runaway global warming, you don't believe in runaway global warming, but the scientists do because the natural feedbacks won't be able to cope apparently. Wink

Robot wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 4:57pm:
Another media article exaggerating the science.



Perhaps you should look at the link in the livescience paper. Wink

The link is to Will Stefans paper.

"This analysis implies that, even if the Paris Accord target of a 1.5 °C to 2.0 °C rise in temperature is met, we cannot exclude the risk that a cascade of feedbacks could push the Earth System irreversibly onto a “Hothouse Earth” pathway. "

If it is irreversible it means natural feedbacks won't work. It will be runaway global warming.

"The human-created Stabilized Earth pathway leads to a basin of attraction that is not likely to exist in the Earth System’s stability landscape without human stewardship to create and maintain it. Creating such a pathway and basin of attraction requires a fundamental change in the role of humans on the planet. This stewardship role requires deliberate and sustained action to become an integral, adaptive part of Earth System dynamics, creating feedbacks that keep the system on a Stabilized Earth pathway."

Yep. natural feedbacks won't cope.

"Our analysis suggests that the Earth System may be approaching a planetary threshold that could lock in a continuing rapid pathway toward much hotter conditions—Hothouse Earth. This pathway would be propelled by strong, intrinsic, biogeophysical feedbacks difficult to influence by human actions, a pathway that could not be reversed, steered, or substantially slowed."

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #252 - Jun 16th, 2019 at 5:55pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 5:43pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 4:57pm:
You and Ajax need to come to an agreement on what meaning of "runaway" you want to use, instead of engaging in false equivocation.

Ajax wrote Today at 8:16am:
BTW when we had thousands of parts per million of CO2 in the atmosphere there was no runaway greenhouse effect, why should there be one now.


You need to learn to read. Neither of us believe in runaway global warming, you don't believe in runaway global warming, but the scientists do because the natural feedbacks won't be able to cope apparently. Wink


I don't care what either of you believe.

You and Ajax are clearly referring to different things when each of you refers to "runaway" effects.

lee wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 5:43pm:
"This analysis implies that, even if the Paris Accord target of a 1.5 °C to 2.0 °C rise in temperature is met, we cannot exclude the risk that a cascade of feedbacks could push the Earth System irreversibly onto a “Hothouse Earth” pathway. "

If it is irreversible it means natural feedbacks won't work. It will be runaway global warming.

"The human-created Stabilized Earth pathway leads to a basin of attraction that is not likely to exist in the Earth System’s stability landscape without human stewardship to create and maintain it. Creating such a pathway and basin of attraction requires a fundamental change in the role of humans on the planet. This stewardship role requires deliberate and sustained action to become an integral, adaptive part of Earth System dynamics, creating feedbacks that keep the system on a Stabilized Earth pathway."

Yep. natural feedbacks won't cope.

"Our analysis suggests that the Earth System may be approaching a planetary threshold that could lock in a continuing rapid pathway toward much hotter conditions—Hothouse Earth. This pathway would be propelled by strong, intrinsic, biogeophysical feedbacks difficult to influence by human actions, a pathway that could not be reversed, steered, or substantially slowed."


This is what I mean: you're referring to something entirely different than Ajax. If we use your meaning of "runaway" then the Earth has been through many cycles of "runaway" warming, leading to "hothouse" conditions.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #253 - Jun 16th, 2019 at 6:04pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 5:55pm:
If we use your meaning of "runaway" then the Earth has been through many cycles of "runaway" warming, leading to "hothouse" conditions.



That is rather silly isn't it? What happened to those natural feedbacks that couldn't be reversed? They somehow reversed themselves? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

You do understand "irreversible" don't you?

Maybe ancient man geoengineered a feedback that has since been deemed to be natural?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #254 - Jun 16th, 2019 at 6:23pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 6:04pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 5:55pm:
If we use your meaning of "runaway" then the Earth has been through many cycles of "runaway" warming, leading to "hothouse" conditions.


That is rather silly isn't it? What happened to those natural feedbacks that couldn't be reversed? They somehow reversed themselves? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

You do understand "irreversible" don't you?


It's "irreversible" in that there's nothing that humans could do to stop the Earth from becoming a hothouse. It doesn't mean that the Earth will be a permanent hothouse, although it may last for millennia, nor does it mean that the warming will continue to go on forever until the oceans boil and we end up like Venus.

...

lee wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 6:04pm:
Maybe ancient man geoengineered a feedback that has since been deemed to be natural?


If you think humans were around during the Triassic or Cretaceous, you should stop getting your science from Saturday morning cartoons. Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #255 - Jun 16th, 2019 at 6:43pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 6:23pm:
It's "irreversible" in that there's nothing that humans could do to stop the Earth from becoming a hothouse. It doesn't mean that the Earth will be a permanent hothouse, although it may last for millennia, nor does it mean that the warming will continue to go on forever until the oceans boil and we end up like Venus.



So it's a reversible irreversible?  Grin Grin Grin Grin

You would think climate scientists would be able to enunciate their thoughts or prognostications or predictions or whatever they are. Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #256 - Jun 16th, 2019 at 7:47pm
 
Ajax wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 10:18am:
Medieval warm period warmer than today.


Dahl_Jensen et al 1998, Wagner & Melles 2001, Kaplan et al 2002, Jiang et al 2002, Moore et al 2001, Grudd et al 2002, Seppa & Birks 2002, Dansgaard et al 1975, Korhola et al 2000, Naurzbaev et al 2002, Vaganov et el 1996, Briffa et al 1998, Scweingruber & Briffa 1996, Knudsen et al 2004, Grinsted et al 2006, Besonen et al 2008, Wagner et al 2008, Vare et al 2009, Norgaard-Pedersen & Mikkelsen 2009, Andresen et al 2004, Vinther et al 2010, Kobashi et al 2010, Kobashi et al 2008, Stuiver et al 1995, Dansgaard et al 1975, Jenings & Weiner 1996, Johnsen et al 2001, Vinther et al 2010, Larsen et al 2011, Hill et al 2001, Joynt & Wolfe 2001, Hantemirov & Shiyatov 2002, Andersson et al 2003, Helama et al 2005, Mazepa 2005, Weckstrom et al 2006, Jiang et al 2007, Zabenski & Gajewski 2007, Grudd 2008, Justwan et al 2008, Scire et al 2008, Axford et al 2009, Bjune et al 2009, Cook et al 2009, Fortin & Gajewski 2010, Buntgen et al 2011, Divine et al 2011, Ran et al 2011, Velle et al 2011, D’Andrea et al 2012, Esper et al 2012


If any of those papers contain a reconstruction of global temperatures during the Medieval Warm Period, then I'll take a look at them.

In the meantime, here's a paper that collects several reconstructions.

Mann et al 2008
Proxy-based reconstructions of hemispheric and global surface temperature variations over the past two millennia

https://www.pnas.org/content/105/36/13252

...

None of the reconstructions presented there put the Medieval Warm Period as warmer than 2008, let alone 2019.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #257 - Jun 16th, 2019 at 7:55pm
 
Michael E Mann. The author of the "Hockeystick" that even the IPCC don't use any more. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #258 - Jun 28th, 2019 at 7:17am
 
https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/dangerous-extreme-heat-wave-tightens...


Relief from the record-breaking heat across central Europe will be brief as the sweltering conditions holding firm across France and Spain surge back to the north in the final days of June.

Officials are investigating whether the heat took a deadly turn, after the body of a 72-year-old homeless man was found near a train station in Milan, Rome, on Thursday morning, according to BBC News. Temperatures have been soaring past 33 C (into the 90s F) daily since Monday.

Wednesday was one for the record books across Europe with daily, June and all-time temperature records broken.

This included the highest temperature ever recorded during the month of June in Germany, Poland and the Czech Republic.

Temperatures soared to 38.2 C (100.8 F) at Radzyń, Poland, on Wednesday, while Coschen station (Berlin-Brandenburg) reached 38.6 C (101.5 F) in Germany. The all-time highest temperature ever recorded in Germany remains 40.3 C (104.5 F), set in Kitzingen on Aug. 7, 2015.


In the Czech Republic, Doksany recorded a high of 38.9 C (102.0 F). The country's previous record June high was 38.2 C (100.8 F), which was set at Brno-Žabovřesky on June 22, 2000.

A total of 137 stations out of 150 with at least 30 years of data set daily record highs on Wednesday in the Czech Republic. Out of those stations, 41 broke June records for their individual locations.

The average high temperature across all of France was 34.9 C (94.8 F) on Wednesday, the highest value recorded in all of June. With a high of 40.9 C (105.6 F), Clermont-Ferrand was among the few communities across France that set an all-time record high also on this day.

In Spain, site-specific June record highs were also broken in Molina de Aragón and Daroca on Wednesday.

France joined the list of countries setting June record highs when temperatures soared to 42.0 C (107.6 F) at Grospierres on Thursday. Narbonne in the southern half of the country previously held the record when temperatures rose to 41.5 C (106.7 F) in June 2003.

Heat to hold firm across France, surge back to Germany and Poland

Cooler air is currently bringing much-needed heat relief to central Europe, but the heat is holding firm across Spain and France and will surge back to the north in the final days of June.

Friday could be the hottest day of the week in France, as temperatures approach 43 C (110 F) across the interior of southeast France. AccuWeather RealFeel® Temperatures may briefly climb above that mark in these locations when factoring in the combination of temperature, humidity and strong June sunshine.

Paris experienced its hottest day so far this year on Wednesday, when temperatures rose to 34.6 C (94 F). Temperatures will continue to challenge that mark daily through Saturday.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #259 - Jun 28th, 2019 at 4:15pm
 
Once again. By itself this isn't evidence for global warming.
This is a local weather anecdote
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #260 - Jun 28th, 2019 at 4:54pm
 
The_Barnacle wrote on Jun 28th, 2019 at 4:15pm:
Once again. By itself this isn't evidence for global warming.
This is a local weather anecdote


This website says.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/jun/25/highs-of-45c-expected-in-france-as...

Stefan Rahmstorf,
Monthly records were now falling five times as often as they would in a stable climate, Rahmstorf said, adding this was “a consequence of global warming caused by the increasing greenhouse gases from burning coal, oil and gas”.


https://www.pik-potsdam.de/news/in-short/heat-waves-are-on-the-rise-pik-statemen...
(Stefan Rahmstorf, co-chair of Earth System Analysis at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) and Professor at Potsdam University, Germany)
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Reply #261 - Jun 28th, 2019 at 4:58pm
 
Perhaps Rahmsdorf can tell us last time we had a "stable" climate.
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Reply #262 - Jun 28th, 2019 at 4:59pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 28th, 2019 at 4:58pm:
Perhaps Rahmsdorf can tell us last time we had a "stable" climate.



That would be interesting.

Do I get any awards for being fair and balanced -
showing evidence for both sides of the debate?
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Reply #263 - Jun 28th, 2019 at 5:02pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Jun 28th, 2019 at 4:59pm:
Do I get any awards for being fair and balanced -
showing evidence for both sides of the debate?



Only from sceptics. Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #264 - Jun 28th, 2019 at 5:08pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 28th, 2019 at 5:02pm:
Bobby. wrote on Jun 28th, 2019 at 4:59pm:
Do I get any awards for being fair and balanced -
showing evidence for both sides of the debate?



Only from sceptics. Wink



Barny is not happy with whatever I do.
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Reply #265 - Jun 28th, 2019 at 5:22pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Jun 28th, 2019 at 5:08pm:
Barny is not happy with whatever I do.


Because he is a true believer.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #266 - Jun 28th, 2019 at 5:41pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Jun 28th, 2019 at 4:59pm:
Do I get any awards for being fair and balanced -
showing evidence for both sides of the debate?


The only debate that matters is the scientific debate, and the only sides that matter are:
1. The climate scientists who argue their research points to anthropogenic warming
2. The climate scientists who argue their research points to natural warming (or cooling, or no change)

Everyone else belongs in the peanut gallery.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #267 - Jun 28th, 2019 at 5:57pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 28th, 2019 at 5:41pm:
Bobby. wrote on Jun 28th, 2019 at 4:59pm:
Do I get any awards for being fair and balanced -
showing evidence for both sides of the debate?


The only debate that matters is the scientific debate, and the only sides that matter are:
1. The climate scientists who argue their research points to anthropogenic warming
2. The climate scientists who argue their research points to natural warming (or cooling, or no change)

Everyone else belongs in the peanut gallery.




No they don't - everyone is free to express their opinion
especially on this forum - even you.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #268 - Jun 28th, 2019 at 5:59pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 28th, 2019 at 5:41pm:
The only debate that matters is the scientific debate, and the only sides that matter are:
1. The climate scientists who argue their research points to anthropogenic warming
2. The climate scientists who argue their research points to natural warming (or cooling, or no change)

Everyone else belongs in the peanut gallery.


And then there are the bristlecone scientists who tack thermometer data on the end of their dendrocological data, even though the bristlecone was only recently cut. AKA "Mike's Nature Trick"

Gives rise to the phrase "Ya seen one tree ya seen "Yamal"."
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Reply #269 - Jun 28th, 2019 at 6:36pm
 
Europe heatwave sees temperatures soar to record highs as wildfires take hold in Spain


...
PHOTO: Although heatwaves are not uncommon in Europe, experts say climate change is increasing their frequency and intensity. (AFP: Alberto Pizzoli)

An intense heatwave has sent temperatures across Europe soaring to record highs, with central Europe forecast to hit the mid 40s on Friday.


New records have already been set in Poland and the Czech Republic, which both reached their highest temperatures for June on Wednesday, while Austria expects to have its warmest June on record — 4.5 degrees Celsius above the long-term average.

In Germany, 51 observing stations broke their June temperature records this week, according to the World Meteorology Organization, but there has been some relief for northern Germany with Berlin dropping from 37C on Wednesday down to just 21C on Thursday.

Across the continent, zookeepers struggled to keep animals cool, feeding frozen treats to animals and providing water tubs and hoses to cool down elephants and primates.

Temperatures have climbed past 44C in northern Spain and southern France, driving people to seek refuge in the sea or nearby rivers, with it predicted to rise even higher on Friday.

French authorities put restrictions on vehicles to reduce pollution and schools have been closed.

French Health Minister Agnes Buzyn said the conditions were unprecedented and emergency services were overwhelmed with patients.

Chicken manure wildfire takes hold in Spain
Spanish firefighters are battling wildfires in Catalonia, the worst the state has seen in two decades, according to the local government.

Hundreds of firefighters have struggled to contain the blaze in north-eastern Spain, with it already spreading over 5,500 hectares and forcing the evacuation of 53 residents.

...
PHOTO: Firefighters say high temperatures and a drop in humidity will likely fan the flames in Spain. (AP: Jordi Borras)
Miquel Buch, the Regional Interior Minister, said 20,000 hectares were under threat.

Mr Buch said authorities suspected the cause of the outbreak was a deposit of improperly stored chicken manure at a farm in the village of Torre de l'Espanyol that high temperatures caused to combust.

Firefighters said high temperatures, low humidity and high winds fanned the flames.

Television images showed horses and sheep incinerated on a farm that had stood in the path of the fire.

Emergency service calls 'on the rise'


PHOTO: Temperatures soared towards 44 degrees Celsius in parts of Spain and France. (AP: Alvaro Barrientos)
As temperatures climbed towards 44 degrees in parts of central Europe, French authorities extended restrictions on vehicles, already imposed in Paris and Lyon, to Marseille and Strasbourg in an effort to curb air pollution.

Some schools postponed summer exams, and parts of northern France were put on drought alert, with water supplies to businesses, farmers and ordinary residents restricted.

French Agriculture Minister Didier Guillaume announced a ban on the transportation of animals until the heatwave had ended.

Grid operator RTE said French electricity demand on Thursday (local time) was close to a summer record seen two years ago, as people turned on fans and coolers to full blast for relief from the scorching temperatures.

"Calls to the emergency services are on the rise nationwide," said Jerome Saloman, head of national public health.

"We are seeing the beginning of a clear impact of the heatwave. For us, the worst is still to come."

Mr Saloman said four drownings had been recorded in France since the start of the week directly linked to the heatwave as people try to cool themselves.

However, the full toll directly linked to the heatwave would only be known in the days or weeks ahead.

Regions placed on red alert

...
PHOTO: This heatwave is unprecedented and exceptional in its intensity, the French Health Minister says. (AP: Alessandra Tarantino)
Ms Buzyn said four administrative regions in southern France had been placed on red alert, the highest crisis level, with 76 others on orange alert.

This heatwave was unprecedented and exceptional in its intensity, the Health Minister told a news conference.

The red alert would mean school outings, outdoor sport and other festive activities are suspended or postponed. Ms Buzyn cautioned joggers and other sport lovers to curb their activities.

The unusually hot weather in June is caused by a swathe of warm air from Africa.

Although heatwaves are not uncommon in Europe, experts say climate change is increasing their frequency and intensity.

"This increase in heat extremes is just as predicted by climate science as a consequence of global warming caused by the increasing greenhouse gases from burning coal, oil, and gas," said Stefan Rahmstorf, a climatologist at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research.


https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-06-28/europe-heatwave-soaring-temperatures-caus...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #270 - Jun 28th, 2019 at 8:00pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Jun 28th, 2019 at 5:57pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 28th, 2019 at 5:41pm:
Bobby. wrote on Jun 28th, 2019 at 4:59pm:
Do I get any awards for being fair and balanced -
showing evidence for both sides of the debate?


The only debate that matters is the scientific debate, and the only sides that matter are:
1. The climate scientists who argue their research points to anthropogenic warming
2. The climate scientists who argue their research points to natural warming (or cooling, or no change)

Everyone else belongs in the peanut gallery.


No they don't - everyone is free to express their opinion
especially on this forum - even you.


Of course you and I are free to express our opinions, but that doesn't mean our opinions have any value to anyone, and simply expressing opinions doesn't constitute debate.

People place a lot of importance on the opinions of politicians, commentators, and other miscellaneous pretenders who present themselves as experts. But their opinions don't matter in the slightest, because the core questions at hand--what is happening to the environment and why--are scientific questions. When one is looking for answers to scientific questions, one needs to look at the answers provided by scientific research.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #271 - Jun 28th, 2019 at 9:01pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 28th, 2019 at 8:00pm:
When one is looking for answers to scientific questions, one needs to look at the answers provided by scientific research.



or for some - what passes for it. Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #272 - Jun 28th, 2019 at 9:33pm
 
Robot wrote on Jun 28th, 2019 at 8:00pm:
Bobby. wrote on Jun 28th, 2019 at 5:57pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 28th, 2019 at 5:41pm:
Bobby. wrote on Jun 28th, 2019 at 4:59pm:
Do I get any awards for being fair and balanced -
showing evidence for both sides of the debate?


The only debate that matters is the scientific debate, and the only sides that matter are:
1. The climate scientists who argue their research points to anthropogenic warming
2. The climate scientists who argue their research points to natural warming (or cooling, or no change)

Everyone else belongs in the peanut gallery.


No they don't - everyone is free to express their opinion
especially on this forum - even you.


Of course you and I are free to express our opinions, but that doesn't mean our opinions have any value to anyone, and simply expressing opinions doesn't constitute debate.

People place a lot of importance on the opinions of politicians, commentators, and other miscellaneous pretenders who present themselves as experts. But their opinions don't matter in the slightest, because the core questions at hand--what is happening to the environment and why--are scientific questions. When one is looking for answers to scientific questions, one needs to look at the answers provided by scientific research.



Do you accept that some scientists don't agree with the global warming narrative?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #273 - Jun 28th, 2019 at 10:42pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Jun 28th, 2019 at 9:33pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 28th, 2019 at 8:00pm:
Bobby. wrote on Jun 28th, 2019 at 5:57pm:
Robot wrote on Jun 28th, 2019 at 5:41pm:
Bobby. wrote on Jun 28th, 2019 at 4:59pm:
Do I get any awards for being fair and balanced -
showing evidence for both sides of the debate?


The only debate that matters is the scientific debate, and the only sides that matter are:
1. The climate scientists who argue their research points to anthropogenic warming
2. The climate scientists who argue their research points to natural warming (or cooling, or no change)

Everyone else belongs in the peanut gallery.


No they don't - everyone is free to express their opinion
especially on this forum - even you.


Of course you and I are free to express our opinions, but that doesn't mean our opinions have any value to anyone, and simply expressing opinions doesn't constitute debate.

People place a lot of importance on the opinions of politicians, commentators, and other miscellaneous pretenders who present themselves as experts. But their opinions don't matter in the slightest, because the core questions at hand--what is happening to the environment and why--are scientific questions. When one is looking for answers to scientific questions, one needs to look at the answers provided by scientific research.



Do you accept that some scientists don't agree with the global warming narrative?


I'm aware of several climate scientists who are skeptical of the consensus position in the scientific literature, and have alternate theories that attempt to explain what is causing current climate change and what kind of changes we should expect to see. E.g. Svensmark, Eigil Friis-Christensen, and Lindzen.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #274 - Jun 29th, 2019 at 6:47am
 
https://edition.cnn.com/2019/06/28/europe/france-record-temperature-heatwave-int...


(CNN)
France recorded its highest-ever temperature on Friday as
continental Europe continues to struggle with an intense heat wave.


The mercury reached 45.1 degrees Celsius (113.2 Fahrenheit) just before 3 p.m. local time in Villevieille, in the Gard department in southern France, according to the French national weather service Météo-France.
This is 1 degree higher than the previous record from 2003.

It's so hot in Spain that manure self-ignited, sparking a 10,000-acre wildfire.

Around 4,000 French schools were closed on Friday and the opening hours of parks and public swimming pools were extended.
French authorities have taken a number of radical steps this week to prevent a repeat of the tragic consequences of the 2003 heat wave that left around 14,000 people dead.
Paris activated its heat emergency plan last weekend, put together in the aftermath of the 2003 heat wave. Cooling rooms were opened in some municipal buildings and mist showers were installed in the streets.
Climate scientists have warned that heat waves such as this one are becoming more frequent and increasingly severe because of the climate crisis. Météo-France said the frequency of such events is expected to double by 2050.


Heat emergency
Europe has been battling the heat all week, with Germany, Poland and the Czech Republic each recording their highest-ever June temperatures on Wednesday.

The German Weather Service said temperature of 38.6 degrees Celsius (101.5 Fahrenheit) was recorded at 2:50 p.m. local time on Wednesday in Coschen, on the country's border with Poland.
The previous record stood at 38.5 Celsius (101.3 Fahrenheit), which was measured in 1947 in Bühlertal, which lies close to France.
How your health is at risk during a heatwave
How your health is at risk during a heatwave
In Spain, firefighters have been battling a 15,000-acre wildfire near Tarragona in the country's northeast since late on Wednesday. According to the Catalan Fire Brigade, the fire likely started after an improperly stored pile of manure spontaneously combusted, causing sparks. The firefighters said the blaze was one of the worst in Catalonia in the last 20 years.
Many European cities are not designed to deal with such temperatures. Air conditioning is less common and public transportation systems often struggle.
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Reply #275 - Jun 29th, 2019 at 6:49am
 
Monk is reading this page!

Do I get any awards for being fair and balanced -
showing evidence for both sides of the debate?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #276 - Jun 29th, 2019 at 9:18am
 
Robot wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 7:47pm:
Ajax wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 10:18am:
Medieval warm period warmer than today.


Dahl_Jensen et al 1998, Wagner & Melles 2001, Kaplan et al 2002, Jiang et al 2002, Moore et al 2001, Grudd et al 2002, Seppa & Birks 2002, Dansgaard et al 1975, Korhola et al 2000, Naurzbaev et al 2002, Vaganov et el 1996, Briffa et al 1998, Scweingruber & Briffa 1996, Knudsen et al 2004, Grinsted et al 2006, Besonen et al 2008, Wagner et al 2008, Vare et al 2009, Norgaard-Pedersen & Mikkelsen 2009, Andresen et al 2004, Vinther et al 2010, Kobashi et al 2010, Kobashi et al 2008, Stuiver et al 1995, Dansgaard et al 1975, Jenings & Weiner 1996, Johnsen et al 2001, Vinther et al 2010, Larsen et al 2011, Hill et al 2001, Joynt & Wolfe 2001, Hantemirov & Shiyatov 2002, Andersson et al 2003, Helama et al 2005, Mazepa 2005, Weckstrom et al 2006, Jiang et al 2007, Zabenski & Gajewski 2007, Grudd 2008, Justwan et al 2008, Scire et al 2008, Axford et al 2009, Bjune et al 2009, Cook et al 2009, Fortin & Gajewski 2010, Buntgen et al 2011, Divine et al 2011, Ran et al 2011, Velle et al 2011, D’Andrea et al 2012, Esper et al 2012


If any of those papers contain a reconstruction of global temperatures during the Medieval Warm Period, then I'll take a look at them.

In the meantime, here's a paper that collects several reconstructions.

Mann et al 2008
Proxy-based reconstructions of hemispheric and global surface temperature variations over the past two millennia

https://www.pnas.org/content/105/36/13252

https://i.postimg.cc/L6FtNNWR/mann-et-al-2008.png

None of the reconstructions presented there put the Medieval Warm Period as warmer than 2008, let alone 2019.


Denial doesn't make you right my friend.

The MWP was warmer than today as those paper say.



...

https://www.sciencedirect.com/topics/earth-and-planetary-sciences/medieval-warm-...
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« Last Edit: Jun 29th, 2019 at 9:26am by Ajax »  

1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #277 - Jun 29th, 2019 at 9:27am
 
Google it general information because enough researchers and their papers have proven it.

Of course you're welcome to debunk it that's what science is all about.

The truth.

...
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« Last Edit: Jun 29th, 2019 at 9:45am by Ajax »  

1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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Reply #278 - Jun 29th, 2019 at 9:44am
 
What about the global warming Vatican......?!?!

...

https://climateaudit.org/2012/06/03/gergis-two-medieval-proxies/
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1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #279 - Jun 29th, 2019 at 1:26pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Jun 28th, 2019 at 5:08pm:
lee wrote on Jun 28th, 2019 at 5:02pm:
Bobby. wrote on Jun 28th, 2019 at 4:59pm:
Do I get any awards for being fair and balanced -
showing evidence for both sides of the debate?



Only from sceptics. Wink



Barny is not happy with whatever I do.


Why don't you show some long term trends that haven't been cherry picked

As I've said many times before, but you are too ignorant to understand.
cherry picked local weather anecdotes are meaningless

strangely lee never criticizes your posts, but that is just evidence of his ideological hypocrisy
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The Right Wing only believe in free speech when they agree with what is being said.
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #280 - Jun 29th, 2019 at 1:41pm
 
The_Barnacle wrote on Jun 29th, 2019 at 1:26pm:
strangely lee never criticizes your posts, but that is just evidence of his ideological hypocrisy



Poor petal. I seem to question some of yours, not all, but some. I guess at some deep level I must agree with you on some. Wink

I have in the past said some of Bobby's posts are merely weather. I guess that isn't strong enough for you. Wink

And yet when you criticise me and I respond to you, you decamp at great pace. Why is that? You don't have anything to back up your assertions? Something else?

Perhaps you can tell us more on the ACORN2 SAT "data" that you hold dear. Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #281 - Jun 29th, 2019 at 6:17pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Jun 29th, 2019 at 6:49am:
Monk is reading this page!

Do I get any awards for being fair and balanced -
showing evidence for both sides of the debate?


I look here occasionally for a laugh.

I am getting under Dubyne’s skin on Twitter, posting facts in response to his lies.

You are an idiot to believe the Dubyne nonsense, must be your homosexuality expressing itself.
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OzPolitic needs a >real< Environment MRB now!
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OzPolitic needs a >real< Health MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Economics MRB now!

Topics in the right MRB!
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #282 - Jun 29th, 2019 at 6:30pm
 
Hottest day in France since records have been kept.
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IBI
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #283 - Jun 29th, 2019 at 7:21pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Jun 29th, 2019 at 6:17pm:
Bobby. wrote on Jun 29th, 2019 at 6:49am:
Monk is reading this page!

Do I get any awards for being fair and balanced -
showing evidence for both sides of the debate?


I look here occasionally for a laugh.

I am getting under Dubyne’s skin on Twitter, posting facts in response to his lies.

You are an idiot to believe the Dubyne nonsense, must be your homosexuality expressing itself.



Can everyone see how Monk can't debate a topic
and has to resort to ad hominem abuse?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #284 - Jun 29th, 2019 at 9:17pm
 
Ajax wrote on Jun 29th, 2019 at 9:18am:
Robot wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 7:47pm:
Ajax wrote on Jun 16th, 2019 at 10:18am:
Medieval warm period warmer than today.


Dahl_Jensen et al 1998, Wagner & Melles 2001, Kaplan et al 2002, Jiang et al 2002, Moore et al 2001, Grudd et al 2002, Seppa & Birks 2002, Dansgaard et al 1975, Korhola et al 2000, Naurzbaev et al 2002, Vaganov et el 1996, Briffa et al 1998, Scweingruber & Briffa 1996, Knudsen et al 2004, Grinsted et al 2006, Besonen et al 2008, Wagner et al 2008, Vare et al 2009, Norgaard-Pedersen & Mikkelsen 2009, Andresen et al 2004, Vinther et al 2010, Kobashi et al 2010, Kobashi et al 2008, Stuiver et al 1995, Dansgaard et al 1975, Jenings & Weiner 1996, Johnsen et al 2001, Vinther et al 2010, Larsen et al 2011, Hill et al 2001, Joynt & Wolfe 2001, Hantemirov & Shiyatov 2002, Andersson et al 2003, Helama et al 2005, Mazepa 2005, Weckstrom et al 2006, Jiang et al 2007, Zabenski & Gajewski 2007, Grudd 2008, Justwan et al 2008, Scire et al 2008, Axford et al 2009, Bjune et al 2009, Cook et al 2009, Fortin & Gajewski 2010, Buntgen et al 2011, Divine et al 2011, Ran et al 2011, Velle et al 2011, D’Andrea et al 2012, Esper et al 2012


If any of those papers contain a reconstruction of global temperatures during the Medieval Warm Period, then I'll take a look at them.

In the meantime, here's a paper that collects several reconstructions.

Mann et al 2008
Proxy-based reconstructions of hemispheric and global surface temperature variations over the past two millennia

https://www.pnas.org/content/105/36/13252

https://i.postimg.cc/L6FtNNWR/mann-et-al-2008.png

None of the reconstructions presented there put the Medieval Warm Period as warmer than 2008, let alone 2019.


Denial doesn't make you right my friend.

The MWP was warmer than today as those paper say.

https://i.ibb.co/717zTZR/MWP02.jpg

https://www.sciencedirect.com/topics/earth-and-planetary-sciences/medieval-warm-...


Ajax wrote on Jun 29th, 2019 at 9:27am:
Google it general information because enough researchers and their papers have proven it.

Of course you're welcome to debunk it that's what science is all about.

The truth.

https://i.ibb.co/Ntz6HHF/MWP03.jpg


If any of those papers, or the papers cited in Easterbrook's book, present a reconstruction of global (or even Northern Hemisphere) temperatures during the Medieval Warm Period, then I'll take a look at them.


Several papers have reconstructed temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere, and they show that present temperatures are higher than during the MWP.

Mann et al, 2008
https://www.pnas.org/content/105/36/13252

Ljunqgvist. 2010
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1468-0459.2010.00399.x

Moberg et al, 2005
https://www.nature.com/articles/nature03265

Hegerl et al, 2006
https://www.nature.com/articles/nature04679

Ajax wrote on Jun 29th, 2019 at 9:44am:


What about it?
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« Last Edit: Jun 29th, 2019 at 9:37pm by Robot »  
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #285 - Jun 30th, 2019 at 12:28pm
 
"Marine climatic seasonality during early medieval times (10th to 12th centuries) based on isotopic records in Viking Age shells from Orkney, Scotland"

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2012.07.003

"Pacific Ocean Heat Content During the Past 10,000 Years"

https://science.sciencemag.org/content/342/6158/617

"Orbital forcing of tree-ring data"

DOI: 10.1038/NCLIMATE1589

https://www.nature.com/articles/nclimate1589

I notice your references stop in 2010. Just thought I would provide a few updated ones.
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Reply #286 - Jun 30th, 2019 at 12:44pm
 
BTW - Robot wrote on Jun 29th, 2019 at 9:17pm:
Ljunqgvist. 2010


Excerpt -

"This reconstruction is the first to show a distinct Roman Warm Period c. ad 1–300, reaching up to the 1961–1990 mean temperature level, followed by the Dark Age Cold Period c. ad 300–800. The Medieval Warm Period is seen c. ad 800–1300 and the Little Ice Age is clearly visible c. ad 1300–1900, followed by a rapid temperature increase in the twentieth century. The highest average temperatures in the reconstruction are encountered in the mid to late tenth century and the lowest in the late seventeenth century. Decadal mean temperatures seem to have reached or exceeded the 1961–1990 mean temperature level during substantial parts of the Roman Warm Period and the Medieval Warm Period."

Are you sure you have read or understood the paper? is that why you want graphical interpretation?
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Reply #287 - Jun 30th, 2019 at 1:49pm
 
Gordon wrote on Jun 29th, 2019 at 6:30pm:
Hottest day in France since records have been kept.


...

https://goo.gl/maps/hF4KbSoXTt6WZfLr6

That Weather station is not sited as per WMO instructions. Road, concrete  drain all within 100 metres.

It seems it may not even be true as the hottest evah.

https://twitter.com/drwaheeduddin/status/1144865573131694080?ref_src=twsrc^tfw|t...
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« Last Edit: Jun 30th, 2019 at 2:02pm by lee »  
 
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Reply #288 - Jun 30th, 2019 at 2:37pm
 
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Reply #289 - Jul 1st, 2019 at 12:34am
 
lee wrote on Jun 30th, 2019 at 12:44pm:
BTW - Robot wrote on Jun 29th, 2019 at 9:17pm:
Ljunqgvist. 2010


Excerpt -

"This reconstruction is the first to show a distinct Roman Warm Period c. ad 1–300, reaching up to the 1961–1990 mean temperature level, followed by the Dark Age Cold Period c. ad 300–800. The Medieval Warm Period is seen c. ad 800–1300 and the Little Ice Age is clearly visible c. ad 1300–1900, followed by a rapid temperature increase in the twentieth century. The highest average temperatures in the reconstruction are encountered in the mid to late tenth century and the lowest in the late seventeenth century. Decadal mean temperatures seem to have reached or exceeded the 1961–1990 mean temperature level during substantial parts of the Roman Warm Period and the Medieval Warm Period."

Are you sure you have read or understood the paper? is that why you want graphical interpretation?


"The highest average temperatures in the reconstruction are encountered in the mid to late tenth century", because Ljunqgvist's reconstruction only goes to 1999; it doesn't include 21st century temperatures.

"Decadal mean temperatures seem to have reached or exceeded the 1961–1990 mean temperature level during...the Medieval Warm Period", but these temperatures are only about 0.2°C higher than the 1961–1990 mean temperature level, and as Ljunqgvist points out:

Quote:
Since AD 1990, though, average temperatures in the extra-tropical Northern Hemisphere exceed those of any other warm decades the last two millennia, even the peak of the Medieval Warm Period, if we look at the instrumental temperature data spliced to the proxy reconstruction.


...and Ljunqgvist does includes the instrumental temperature data in Figure 3 to show that they exceed the MWP temperatures.

According to HadCRUT4, the temperature anomaly for the NH has reached 0.96°C as of 2019.

...

https://crudata.uea.ac.uk/~timo/diag/tempdiag.htm

Ljunqgvist only looks at 90–30°N latitude, so this isn't exactly an apples-to-apples comparison, but as Ljunqgvist points out, his reconstruction agrees pretty well with others that include all Northern latitudes.

Basically, the Medieval Warm Period was warmer than the Cold War Era, but the 21st century is warmer than the MWP.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #290 - Jul 1st, 2019 at 4:04pm
 
Robot wrote on Jul 1st, 2019 at 12:34am:
Quote:
Since AD 1990, though, average temperatures in the extra-tropical Northern Hemisphere exceed those of any other warm decades the last two millennia, even the peak of the Medieval Warm Period, if we look at the instrumental temperature data spliced to the proxy reconstruction.


So you have proxy data with the attendant error bars and thermometer reconstructions?

"The decadal mean temperatures in the extratropical Northern Hemisphere seem to have equalled or exceeded the AD 1961–1990 mean temperature level during much of the Roman Warm Period and the Medieval Warm Period. The temperature since AD 1990 is, however, possibly higher than during any previous time in the past two millennia if we look at the CRUTEM3+HadSST2 90–30°N instrumental temperature data (Brohan et al. 2006; Rayner et al. 2006) spliced to the proxy reconstruction. "

Hardly definitive. Wink

Robot wrote on Jul 1st, 2019 at 12:34am:
Basically, the Medieval Warm Period was warmer than the Cold War Era, but the 21st century is warmer than the MWP.


PERHAPS. Wink

"Despite significant improvement in our understanding of the temperature variability during the past one or two millennia, especially for the Northern Hemisphere, the controversial question whether Medieval Warm Period peak temperatures exceeded present temperatures remains unanswered. IPCC (2007) and NRC (2006) concluded that the data coverage still is too limited and unevenly distributed around the globe to say anything with reasonable certainty about temperatures on a global or hemispheric scale prior to c. AD 1600. The amplitude of the multi-decadal to centennial preindustrial temperature variability constitutes a major uncertainty. The estimate of this variability ranges from c. 0.2 to 1°C in the different reconstructions. "

Robot wrote on Jul 1st, 2019 at 12:34am:
Ljunqgvist only looks at 90–30°N latitude, so this isn't exactly an apples-to-apples comparison, but as Ljunqgvist points out, his reconstruction agrees pretty well with others that include all Northern latitudes.


" The amplitude of the temperature variability between the warmest and coldest century
(prior to the twentieth century) in our reconstruction is 0.62°C. As a comparison, this amplitude is 0.22°C in Mann and Jones (2003), 0.58°C in Moberg et al. (2005), and 0.51°C in the ‘error-invariables’ "

Yep really close. Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #291 - Jul 7th, 2019 at 11:38am
 
...
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Fire the LIAR in 2028!
WWW  
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Reply #292 - Jul 7th, 2019 at 12:20pm
 
All that money wasted on "climate change" studies. Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #293 - Jul 7th, 2019 at 5:16pm
 
Captain Nemo wrote on Jul 7th, 2019 at 11:38am:


What a load of crap.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #294 - Jul 7th, 2019 at 10:20pm
 
What caused the temperature anomaly drop between 1960 and 1970?
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At this stage...
WWW  
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #295 - Jul 8th, 2019 at 2:24pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 30th, 2019 at 12:28pm:
"Marine climatic seasonality during early medieval times (10th to 12th centuries) based on isotopic records in Viking Age shells from Orkney, Scotland"



So you have proxy data with the attendant error bars and thermometer reconstructions?  Grin
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72+Adelaide+Street  
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lee
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #296 - Jul 8th, 2019 at 3:34pm
 
John_Taverner wrote on Jul 8th, 2019 at 2:24pm:
So you have proxy data with the attendant error bars and thermometer reconstructions? 


No petal.You?

Did they really have thermometers in the 10-12th century?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #297 - Jul 27th, 2019 at 7:00pm
 
Further evidence of global warming, after the hottest summer on record in OZ, record breaking temperatures are being experienced across Europe. They will die like flies without A/C.

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Reply #298 - Jul 27th, 2019 at 7:18pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Jul 27th, 2019 at 7:00pm:
Further evidence of global warming, after the hottest summer on record in OZ, record breaking temperatures are being experienced across Europe.


Poor petal. Just so loves the ACORN2 adjusted "data". Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #299 - Jul 27th, 2019 at 7:21pm
 
lee wrote on Jul 27th, 2019 at 7:18pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jul 27th, 2019 at 7:00pm:
Further evidence of global warming, after the hottest summer on record in OZ, record breaking temperatures are being experienced across Europe.


Poor petal. Just so loves the ACORN2 adjusted "data". Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

What about Europe?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #300 - Jul 27th, 2019 at 7:25pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Jul 27th, 2019 at 7:21pm:
What about Europe?



What about Europe petal? Should it always remain at an average temperature? Should it never be warmer than previously recorded? We are coming out the the LIA you know.

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #301 - Jul 27th, 2019 at 7:37pm
 
lee wrote on Jul 27th, 2019 at 7:25pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jul 27th, 2019 at 7:21pm:
What about Europe?



What about Europe petal? Should it always remain at an average temperature? Should it never be warmer than previously recorded? We are coming out the the LIA you know.


Record breaking temperatures, the alarm bells are ringing for most of us.

Add to that deforestation, mass extinction of species, pollution and the dying oceans we will be lucky to last 100yrs before we vaporize or choke to death.

"We are the first generation to realise global warming and the last generation that can do anything about it"
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lee
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #302 - Jul 27th, 2019 at 7:38pm
 
BTW - I had a look at your favourite website - he Garudian.

"Wednesday’s Dutch record of 39.3C (102.7F), set in Eindhoven, lasted less than 24 hours, with the mercury at a weather station at the southern Gilze-Rijen airbase climbing on Thursday afternoon to 40.4C, the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) said."

According to weatherunderground there is no data prior to 1990.

https://www.wunderground.com/history/monthly/nl/eindhoven/EHEH/date/1990-2

Some record.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #303 - Jul 27th, 2019 at 7:43pm
 
lee wrote on Jul 27th, 2019 at 7:38pm:
BTW - I had a look at your favourite website - he Garudian.

"Wednesday’s Dutch record of 39.3C (102.7F), set in Eindhoven, lasted less than 24 hours, with the mercury at a weather station at the southern Gilze-Rijen airbase climbing on Thursday afternoon to 40.4C, the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) said."

According to weatherunderground there is no data prior to 1990.

https://www.wunderground.com/history/monthly/nl/eindhoven/EHEH/date/1990-2

Some record.

Here are some records.

Paris saw a record high temperature of 42.6C (108.7F) on Thursday, amid a heatwave that broke records across Western Europe.

A red alert - the highest level - was issued in northern France.

Meanwhile Belgium, Germany, Luxembourg and the Netherlands also reached new record highs, of 41.8C, 41.5C, 40.8C and 40.7C respectively.

The UK recorded a record temperature for July of 38.1C, with trains told to run more slowly to stop rails buckling.

"Climate change has increased the likelihood and severity of heatwave episodes across Europe," the UK's national weather service said.
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lee
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #304 - Jul 27th, 2019 at 7:45pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Jul 27th, 2019 at 7:37pm:
Add to that deforestation, mass extinction of species, pollution and the dying oceans we will be lucky to last 100yrs before we vaporize or choke to death.


Poor petal. Are you talking deforestation Australia or worldwide. You know we can't control worldwide anything? Right.

And Australia has 149 million Hectares of forest. Right?

Or that CO2 that lovely trace gas is greening the planet.

You really have no idea.

Johnnie wrote on Jul 27th, 2019 at 7:37pm:
"We are the first generation to realise global warming and the last generation that can do anything about it"


It is so sad the the Romans didn't realise the Roman Warm Period. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


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lee
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Reply #305 - Jul 27th, 2019 at 7:47pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Jul 27th, 2019 at 7:43pm:
"Climate change has increased the likelihood and severity of heatwave episodes across Europe," the UK's national weather service said.


perhaps. But only until the climate turns again. Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #306 - Jul 27th, 2019 at 8:21pm
 
lee wrote on Jul 27th, 2019 at 7:47pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jul 27th, 2019 at 7:43pm:
"Climate change has increased the likelihood and severity of heatwave episodes across Europe," the UK's national weather service said.


perhaps. But only until the climate turns again. Wink

Your coming around Lee.
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lee
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #307 - Jul 27th, 2019 at 8:35pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Jul 27th, 2019 at 8:21pm:
Your coming around Lee.



You do realise petal the world warms. the world cools. And we are currently in an interglacial. Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #308 - Jul 27th, 2019 at 9:20pm
 
lee wrote on Jul 27th, 2019 at 8:35pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jul 27th, 2019 at 8:21pm:
Your coming around Lee.



You do realise petal the world warms. the world cools. And we are currently in an interglacial. Wink

Do you realise we are rooted and we done it, the runaway effect will be catastrophic.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #309 - Jul 27th, 2019 at 10:24pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Jul 27th, 2019 at 9:20pm:
Do you realise we are rooted and we done it, the runaway effect will be catastrophic.



No petal. We have had 5000ppm in the past and no runaway effect.

Again nice graph. Why won't you post the paper from which it comes? Perhaps you don't know. That would mean you are merely mouthing something of which you know nothing.

That would not surprise.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #310 - Jul 28th, 2019 at 1:29am
 
lee wrote on Jul 27th, 2019 at 10:24pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jul 27th, 2019 at 9:20pm:
Do you realise we are rooted and we done it, the runaway effect will be catastrophic.



No petal. We have had 5000ppm in the past and no runaway effect.

Again nice graph. Why won't you post the paper from which it comes? Perhaps you don't know. That would mean you are merely mouthing something of which you know nothing.

That would not surprise.

Check the graph out, its not bullshit, or show me another graph to disprove it.

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #311 - Jul 28th, 2019 at 12:18pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Jul 28th, 2019 at 1:29am:
Check the graph out, its not bullshit, or show me another graph to disprove it.


Poor petal. A graph showing less than 1C of warming doesn't show runaway anything.

And you still haven't provided the author of the graph. So I must assume you are merely mindlessly blathering.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #312 - Jul 29th, 2019 at 7:09am
 
lee wrote on Jul 28th, 2019 at 12:18pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jul 28th, 2019 at 1:29am:
Check the graph out, its not bullshit, or show me another graph to disprove it.


Poor petal. A graph showing less than 1C of warming doesn't show runaway anything.

And you still haven't provided the author of the graph. So I must assume you are merely mindlessly blathering.



And yet there have been many extreme hot
weather events in Europe recently.
It's all getting quite confusing as winter
weather events both here and last winter
in Europe
have shown record cold events.
Can a grand solar minimum cause both?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #313 - Jul 29th, 2019 at 9:30am
 
Bobby. wrote on Jul 29th, 2019 at 7:09am:
lee wrote on Jul 28th, 2019 at 12:18pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jul 28th, 2019 at 1:29am:
Check the graph out, its not bullshit, or show me another graph to disprove it.


Poor petal. A graph showing less than 1C of warming doesn't show runaway anything.

And you still haven't provided the author of the graph. So I must assume you are merely mindlessly blathering.



And yet there have been many extreme hot
weather events in Europe recently.
It's all getting quite confusing as winter
weather events both here and last winter
in Europe
have shown record cold events.
Can a grand solar minimum cause both?



Bob , no global warming mate, you are just going through menopause, a little HRT should sort out the hot flushes,,
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #314 - Jul 29th, 2019 at 10:10am
 
BigP wrote on Jul 29th, 2019 at 9:30am:
Bobby. wrote on Jul 29th, 2019 at 7:09am:
lee wrote on Jul 28th, 2019 at 12:18pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jul 28th, 2019 at 1:29am:
Check the graph out, its not bullshit, or show me another graph to disprove it.


Poor petal. A graph showing less than 1C of warming doesn't show runaway anything.

And you still haven't provided the author of the graph. So I must assume you are merely mindlessly blathering.



And yet there have been many extreme hot
weather events in Europe recently.
It's all getting quite confusing as winter
weather events both here and last winter
in Europe
have shown record cold events.
Can a grand solar minimum cause both?



Bob , no global warming mate, you are just going through menopause, a little HRT should sort out the hot flushes,,


Thanks for providing some comic relief
for what is a serious topic.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #315 - Jul 29th, 2019 at 11:55am
 
Bobby. wrote on Jul 29th, 2019 at 10:10am:
BigP wrote on Jul 29th, 2019 at 9:30am:
Bobby. wrote on Jul 29th, 2019 at 7:09am:
lee wrote on Jul 28th, 2019 at 12:18pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jul 28th, 2019 at 1:29am:
Check the graph out, its not bullshit, or show me another graph to disprove it.


Poor petal. A graph showing less than 1C of warming doesn't show runaway anything.

And you still haven't provided the author of the graph. So I must assume you are merely mindlessly blathering.



And yet there have been many extreme hot
weather events in Europe recently.
It's all getting quite confusing as winter
weather events both here and last winter
in Europe
have shown record cold events.
Can a grand solar minimum cause both?



Bob , no global warming mate, you are just going through menopause, a little HRT should sort out the hot flushes,,


Thanks for providing some comic relief
for what is a serious topic.



You are welcome   lol
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #316 - Jul 31st, 2019 at 6:36am
 
A site here attempts to explain why human activities
from CO2 affects the polar vortex to cause extreme
cold & heat:



https://earth.stanford.edu/news/polar-vortex-science-behind-cold#gs.t4z1tu

How do human activities affect the polar vortex?

AS: Increasing carbon dioxide in the atmosphere cools the polar stratosphere, which could increase the temperature difference between the pole and the equator and strengthen the polar vortex. There’s also some model evidence that the waves that are propagating upwards in the troposphere are getting more energetic as the planet warms, leading to a more perturbed polar stratosphere.


The polar vortex itself is not new, but it seems to be affecting weather on the surface every year now in a way that it didn’t in recent memory. What changed?

AS: The term “polar vortex” has been around since the late 1940s. It forms every winter and breaks up in the spring. But for the last 20 years or so, the polar vortex has been very, very disturbed in the middle of winter. Between 1989 and 1998, however, there were no split vortex events in midwinter. And if you look at polar vortex events starting in 1979, when satellite data begins, until now, the vortex either splits or becomes displaced on average only about once every other year.

We don’t understand what drives the variability of these events from decade to decade, but they’re definitely happening more frequently.


...
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Reply #317 - Jul 31st, 2019 at 6:38am
 
"Increasing carbon dioxide in the atmosphere cools the polar stratosphere"

I'm a bit confused -
I thought CO2 caused warming not cooling of the atmosphere?

Can anyone explain it?
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Reply #318 - Jul 31st, 2019 at 4:35pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 6:38am:
"Increasing carbon dioxide in the atmosphere cools the polar stratosphere"

I'm a bit confused -
I thought CO2 caused warming not cooling of the atmosphere?

Can anyone explain it?

I am sure Lee can with the aid of a graph or two.
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Reply #319 - Jul 31st, 2019 at 6:26pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 4:35pm:
Bobby. wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 6:38am:
"Increasing carbon dioxide in the atmosphere cools the polar stratosphere"

I'm a bit confused -
I thought CO2 caused warming not cooling of the atmosphere?

Can anyone explain it?

I am sure Lee can with the aid of a graph or two.



I hope someone can explain it?
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Reply #320 - Jul 31st, 2019 at 6:32pm
 
I've done a search & found this:

https://www.wunderground.com/resources/climate/strato_cooling.asp

Greenhouse gases also cause stratospheric cooling

However, this recovery of the ozone layer is being delayed. A significant portion of the observed stratospheric cooling is also due to human-emitted greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide and methane. Climate models predict that if greenhouse gases are to blame for heating at the surface, compensating cooling must occur in the upper atmosphere. We need only look as far as our sister planet, Venus, to see the truth of this theory. Venus's atmosphere is 96.5% carbon dioxide, which has triggered a run-away greenhouse effect of truly hellish proportions. The average surface temperature on Venus is a very toasty 894 °F! However, Venus's upper atmosphere is a much colder than Earth's upper atmosphere. The explanation of this greenhouse gas-caused surface heating and upper air cooling is not simple, but good discussions can be found at Max Planck Institute for Chemistry and realclimate.org for those unafraid of radiative transfer theory. One way to think about the problem is that the amount of infrared heat energy radiated out to space by a planet is roughly equal to the amount of solar energy it receives from the sun. If the surface atmosphere warms, there must be compensating cooling elsewhere in the atmosphere in order to keep the amount of heat given off by the planet the same. As emissions of greenhouse gases continue to rise, their cooling effect on the stratosphere will increase. This will make recovery of the stratospheric ozone layer much slower.

Greenhouse gases cause cooling higher up, too

Greenhouse gases have also led to the cooling of the atmosphere at levels higher than the stratosphere. Over the past 30 years, the Earth's surface temperature has increased 0.2-0.4 °C, while the temperature in the mesosphere, about 50-80 km above ground, has cooled 5-10 °C (Beig et al., 2006). There is no appreciable cooling due to ozone destruction at these altitudes, so nearly all of this dramatic cooling is due to the addition of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere. Even greater cooling of 17 °C per decade has been observed high in the ionosphere, at 350 km altitude. This has affected the orbits of orbiting satellites, due to decreased drag, since the upper atmosphere has shrunk and moved closer to the surface (Lastovicka et al., 2006). The density of the air has declined 2-3% per decade the past 30 years at 350 km altitude. So, in a sense, the sky IS falling!
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Reply #321 - Jul 31st, 2019 at 6:55pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 6:26pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 4:35pm:
Bobby. wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 6:38am:
"Increasing carbon dioxide in the atmosphere cools the polar stratosphere"

I'm a bit confused -
I thought CO2 caused warming not cooling of the atmosphere?

Can anyone explain it?

I am sure Lee can with the aid of a graph or two.



I hope someone can explain it?

Our world is cracking up, the warning bells are ringing everywhere.

We are doomed.
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Reply #322 - Jul 31st, 2019 at 7:27pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 6:55pm:
Bobby. wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 6:26pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 4:35pm:
Bobby. wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 6:38am:
"Increasing carbon dioxide in the atmosphere cools the polar stratosphere"

I'm a bit confused -
I thought CO2 caused warming not cooling of the atmosphere?

Can anyone explain it?

I am sure Lee can with the aid of a graph or two.



I hope someone can explain it?

Our world is cracking up, the warning bells are ringing everywhere.

We are doomed.



...
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Reply #323 - Jul 31st, 2019 at 8:52pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 6:55pm:
Our world is cracking up, the warning bells are ringing everywhere.


Cracked bells don't "ring". Wink

That xeej, Just cracks me up. Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #324 - Jul 31st, 2019 at 9:10pm
 
lee wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 8:52pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 6:55pm:
Our world is cracking up, the warning bells are ringing everywhere.


Cracked bells don't "ring". Wink

That xeej, Just cracks me up. Grin Grin Grin Grin

So you got no graphs in relation to Bobbys question?
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Reply #325 - Jul 31st, 2019 at 9:33pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 9:10pm:
So you got no graphs in relation to Bobbys question?



Poor petal. So bereft of a clue.

Try looking for yourself. Wink

Or read up on the coolant R744. Wink
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Reply #326 - Jul 31st, 2019 at 9:41pm
 
lee wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 9:33pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 9:10pm:
So you got no graphs in relation to Bobbys question?



Poor petal. So bereft of a clue.

Try looking for yourself. Wink

Or read up on the coolant R744. Wink

I know about R744, we dodged bullet there.

So honey bunch, any graphs in the makings.
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Reply #327 - Jul 31st, 2019 at 9:56pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 9:41pm:
I know about R744, we dodged bullet there.


You know about the magic gas? It warms, It cools.
it can do anything. Wink
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Reply #328 - Jul 31st, 2019 at 10:02pm
 
lee wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 9:56pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 9:41pm:
I know about R744, we dodged bullet there.


You know about the magic gas? It warms, It cools.
it can do anything. Wink

Does wonders for the ozone.
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Reply #329 - Jul 31st, 2019 at 10:09pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 10:02pm:
Does wonders for the ozone.



You mean like -?

"According to a study published in the March 2002 Journal of Geographical Research by a joint research team from the University of Maryland and NASA, overall, the increased amount of CO2 in the atmosphere is speeding up the recovery of the ozone layer -- including the hole at the South Pole."

https://sciencing.com/co2-deplete-ozone-layer-4828.html

And they were saying the hole in the ozone layer seemed to increase cases and severity of sunburn. Wink
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Reply #330 - Jul 31st, 2019 at 10:18pm
 
lee wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 10:09pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 10:02pm:
Does wonders for the ozone.



You mean like -?

"According to a study published in the March 2002 Journal of Geographical Research by a joint research team from the University of Maryland and NASA, overall, the increased amount of CO2 in the atmosphere is speeding up the recovery of the ozone layer -- including the hole at the South Pole."

https://sciencing.com/co2-deplete-ozone-layer-4828.html

And they were saying the hole in the ozone layer seemed to increase cases and severity of sunburn. Wink

No, I mean we are rooted no matter which way you look at it, ozone, mass extinction of species more plastic in the ocean than fish in 2050 and other stuff.

Did you see my graph in this thread Lee? the industrial age has tipped the scales.
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Reply #331 - Jul 31st, 2019 at 10:42pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 10:18pm:
No, I mean we are rooted no matter which way you look at it, ozone, mass extinction of species more plastic in the ocean than fish in 2050 and other stuff.


So what you are saying is you know nothing about the ozone but pontificated about it anyway? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Johnnie wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 10:18pm:
Did you see my graph in this thread Lee?


You mean the one you can't or won't give the study from whence it comes? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

You mean you are the author? Well done. Now you can provide the study. Wink
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Reply #332 - Jul 31st, 2019 at 11:08pm
 
lee wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 10:42pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 10:18pm:
No, I mean we are rooted no matter which way you look at it, ozone, mass extinction of species more plastic in the ocean than fish in 2050 and other stuff.


So what you are saying is you know nothing about the ozone but pontificated about it anyway? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Johnnie wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 10:18pm:
Did you see my graph in this thread Lee?


You mean the one you can't or won't give the study from whence it comes? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

You mean you are the author? Well done. Now you can provide the study. Wink

You still provide no answers, I will take that as an, I don't know, its ok Lee its a tricky one.

Its good to see you are shedding your blinkers.
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Reply #333 - Aug 1st, 2019 at 12:35pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 11:08pm:
You still provide no answers, I will take that as an, I don't know, its ok Lee its a tricky one.



Poor petal. Fails even a BASIC understanding of the English language. Grin Grin Grin Grin

Where does your graph come from? It can't be put into context without that. We don't know the resolution of YOUR graph. If the resolution is larger than 100 years any spikes will be lost.

You do understand resolution don't you? We are not talking New Year's here. Wink
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Reply #334 - Aug 1st, 2019 at 12:58pm
 
lee wrote on Aug 1st, 2019 at 12:35pm:
Johnnie wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 11:08pm:
You still provide no answers, I will take that as an, I don't know, its ok Lee its a tricky one.



Poor petal. Fails even a BASIC understanding of the English language. Grin Grin Grin Grin

Where does your graph come from? It can't be put into context without that. We don't know the resolution of YOUR graph. If the resolution is larger than 100 years any spikes will be lost.

You do understand resolution don't you? We are not talking New Year's here. Wink

From memory the resolution goes back thousands of years with the emphasis on the post industrial years, honey sugar plum.

Bobbys question out of your realms?
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Reply #335 - Aug 1st, 2019 at 1:13pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Aug 1st, 2019 at 12:58pm:
From memory the resolution goes back thousands of years with the emphasis on the post industrial years, honey sugar plum.


So a resolution of thousands of years and they can deduce 100 year emissions. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

All way down in the noise; petal.
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Reply #336 - Aug 1st, 2019 at 1:56pm
 
lee wrote on Aug 1st, 2019 at 1:13pm:
Johnnie wrote on Aug 1st, 2019 at 12:58pm:
From memory the resolution goes back thousands of years with the emphasis on the post industrial years, honey sugar plum.


So a resolution of thousands of years and they can deduce 100 year emissions. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

All way down in the noise; petal.

Have you heard of ice core samples, sugar.
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Reply #337 - Aug 1st, 2019 at 8:58pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Aug 1st, 2019 at 1:56pm:
Have you heard of ice core samples, sugar.



Yes petal. And if the ice cores have a resolution of "thousands of years", then looking at 100 year time series within that  "thousands of years" resolution is a fool's errand. But you probably fit that bill. Wink
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Reply #338 - Aug 7th, 2019 at 9:00pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Jul 31st, 2019 at 6:32pm:
I've done a search & found this:

https://www.wunderground.com/resources/climate/strato_cooling.asp

Greenhouse gases also cause stratospheric cooling

However, this recovery of the ozone layer is being delayed. A significant portion of the observed stratospheric cooling is also due to human-emitted greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide and methane. Climate models predict that if greenhouse gases are to blame for heating at the surface, compensating cooling must occur in the upper atmosphere. We need only look as far as our sister planet, Venus, to see the truth of this theory. Venus's atmosphere is 96.5% carbon dioxide, which has triggered a run-away greenhouse effect of truly hellish proportions. The average surface temperature on Venus is a very toasty 894 °F! However, Venus's upper atmosphere is a much colder than Earth's upper atmosphere. The explanation of this greenhouse gas-caused surface heating and upper air cooling is not simple, but good discussions can be found at Max Planck Institute for Chemistry and realclimate.org for those unafraid of radiative transfer theory. One way to think about the problem is that the amount of infrared heat energy radiated out to space by a planet is roughly equal to the amount of solar energy it receives from the sun. If the surface atmosphere warms, there must be compensating cooling elsewhere in the atmosphere in order to keep the amount of heat given off by the planet the same. As emissions of greenhouse gases continue to rise, their cooling effect on the stratosphere will increase. This will make recovery of the stratospheric ozone layer much slower.

Greenhouse gases cause cooling higher up, too

Greenhouse gases have also led to the cooling of the atmosphere at levels higher than the stratosphere. Over the past 30 years, the Earth's surface temperature has increased 0.2-0.4 °C, while the temperature in the mesosphere, about 50-80 km above ground, has cooled 5-10 °C (Beig et al., 2006). There is no appreciable cooling due to ozone destruction at these altitudes, so nearly all of this dramatic cooling is due to the addition of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere. Even greater cooling of 17 °C per decade has been observed high in the ionosphere, at 350 km altitude. This has affected the orbits of orbiting satellites, due to decreased drag, since the upper atmosphere has shrunk and moved closer to the surface (Lastovicka et al., 2006). The density of the air has declined 2-3% per decade the past 30 years at 350 km altitude. So, in a sense, the sky IS falling!




Ozpolitic gets a mention at 2:10


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Reply #339 - Aug 7th, 2019 at 9:20pm
 
lee wrote on Aug 1st, 2019 at 8:58pm:
Johnnie wrote on Aug 1st, 2019 at 1:56pm:
Have you heard of ice core samples, sugar.



Yes petal. And if the ice cores have a resolution of "thousands of years", then looking at 100 year time series within that  "thousands of years" resolution is a fool's errand. But you probably fit that bill. Wink

So all is steady for thousands of years and now there is a sudden spike in global warming which just happens to coincide with the industrial age, ALARM BELLS.
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Reply #340 - Aug 7th, 2019 at 9:51pm
 
Oh look the pretty picture he can't explain appears again. No attribution. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

A "sudden" spike of about 0.8 Kelvin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #341 - Sep 15th, 2019 at 10:48am
 
I'm still waiting for evidence from Monk.
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Reply #342 - Sep 23rd, 2019 at 6:34am
 
https://www.scimex.org/newsfeed/expert-reaction-weve-just-had-the-hottest-5-year...



EXPERT REACTION: We've just had the hottest 5 years on record, UN Science group says time to face reality on climate


Publicly released: Mon 23 Sep 2019 at 0001 AEST | 0201 NZST


A new landmark report convened by the science advisory group of the UN's Climate Action Summit 2019 says there is a glaring and growing gap between global warming targets and reality with global temperatures since 2015 on track to be the hottest on record for any five year period. The report says that current global commitments to cut greenhouse gas emissions would still lead to a global temperature rise of between 2.9°C and 3.4°C by the end of the century. To actually limit warming to 2°C the report says countries would need to commit to emissions reductions that are triple their current commitments. If we want to limit warming to 1.5°C those commitments need to be five times greater. The good news is the authors say its not too late and that it is technically still feasible to bridge this gap but global ambitions must be increased urgently and backed up by immediate action.

Organisation/s: World Meteorological Organization (WMO), IPCC, Global Atmosphere Watch, the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), Global Carbon Project, Future Earth, Earth League, Global Framework for Climate Services.
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Reply #343 - Sep 23rd, 2019 at 7:15pm
 
According to NASA's latest UAH dataset

...

The data set that is more global than surface temperatures
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Reply #344 - Sep 23rd, 2019 at 7:24pm
 
Hi Lee,
are you saying that the
Quote:
EXPERT REACTION: We've just had the hottest 5 years on record, UN Science group says time to face reality on climate


is false?
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Reply #345 - Sep 23rd, 2019 at 7:41pm
 
"It’s Difficult to Make Predictions, Especially About the Future" -

Variously attributed to -

Niels Bohr, Samuel Goldwyn, K. K. Steincke, Robert Storm Petersen, Yogi Berra, Mark Twain, Nostradamus, Anonymous.


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Reply #346 - Sep 23rd, 2019 at 7:51pm
 
lee wrote on Sep 23rd, 2019 at 7:41pm:
"It’s Difficult to Make Predictions, Especially About the Future" -

Variously attributed to -

Niels Bohr, Samuel Goldwyn, K. K. Steincke, Robert Storm Petersen, Yogi Berra, Mark Twain, Nostradamus, Anonymous.



That is very true.
I don't know what to think anymore.
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Reply #347 - Sep 28th, 2019 at 7:31am
 
I have now hidden the New Ice Age thread

until David DuByne starts replying to messages on YouTube.
I'm fed up with his monologue -
debate is a 2 way street and he has broken that rule.
He also could have replied here to some of the questions
put to him but he never did.
He left it all to me and I was having to take the heat
for his stories.
That doesn't mean to say that he is wrong only
that he's not prepared to debate.
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Reply #348 - Sep 28th, 2019 at 11:30am
 
lee wrote on Sep 23rd, 2019 at 7:41pm:
"It’s Difficult to Make Predictions, Especially About the Future" -

Variously attributed to -

Niels Bohr, Samuel Goldwyn, K. K. Steincke, Robert Storm Petersen, Yogi Berra, Mark Twain, Nostradamus, Anonymous.




Yes it's difficult.
That's why we rely on actual scientists rather than bloggers and youtube videos
lee's constant claim that it's all too complicated is nothing more than an "argument from ignorance" fallacy
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Reply #349 - Sep 28th, 2019 at 11:46am
 
The_Barnacle wrote on Sep 28th, 2019 at 11:30am:
Yes it's difficult.
That's why we rely on actual scientists rather than bloggers and youtube videos



Yes petal. And speaking from more than 60 years experience I give those that do a credibility rating of ZERO. Wink

The_Barnacle wrote on Sep 28th, 2019 at 11:30am:
lee's constant claim that it's all too complicated is nothing more than an "argument from ignorance" fallacy



And yet that is entirely the problem.

We DON"T know whether clouds have a net positive effect as per the IPCC.

We DON"T know the amount off CO2 outgassed by the oceans.

And they are two of the major players.

But of course you could always share with us your detailed knowledge of the above and tell us within two decimal what those figures are.

Surely that is not TOO difficult for one as supposedly well educated as you. Wink
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Reply #350 - Sep 28th, 2019 at 12:12pm
 
lee wrote on Sep 28th, 2019 at 11:46am:
The_Barnacle wrote on Sep 28th, 2019 at 11:30am:
Yes it's difficult.
That's why we rely on actual scientists rather than bloggers and youtube videos



Yes petal. And speaking from more than 60 years experience I give those that do a credibility rating of ZERO. Wink

The_Barnacle wrote on Sep 28th, 2019 at 11:30am:
lee's constant claim that it's all too complicated is nothing more than an "argument from ignorance" fallacy



And yet that is entirely the problem.

We DON"T know whether clouds have a net positive effect as per the IPCC.

We DON"T know the amount off CO2 outgassed by the oceans.

And they are two of the major players.

But of course you could always share with us your detailed knowledge of the above and tell us within two decimal what those figures are.

Surely that is not TOO difficult for one as supposedly well educated as you. Wink


And there is your problem.
The nirvana fallacy. You think that if you can discredit a figure to 2 decimal places you have discredited the whole AGW issue. (If only you held your own posts to the same standard  Wink )

We know that the earth is warming (even you have admitted that)
We know that CO2 is a greenhouse gas
We know that CO2 levels are increasing
We know that human activities are emitting additional CO2 and CH4 into the atmosphere

You can make as many pedantic arguments as you like about decimal places in climate models. It is irrelevant in the scheme of things to argue whether the warming will be 1.82 degrees or 1.84 degrees. That's just fluff
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Reply #351 - Sep 28th, 2019 at 1:12pm
 
The_Barnacle wrote on Sep 28th, 2019 at 12:12pm:
We know that the earth is warming (even you have admitted that)
We know that CO2 is a greenhouse gas
We know that CO2 levels are increasing
We know that human activities are emitting additional CO2 and CH4 into the atmosphere



And only the models tell us that the warming is solely or even majorly  is CO2 induced.

The_Barnacle wrote on Sep 28th, 2019 at 12:12pm:
You can make as many pedantic arguments as you like about decimal places in climate models. It is irrelevant in the scheme of things to argue whether the warming will be 1.82 degrees or 1.84 degrees. That's just fluff



Yes petal. Or even 2C or 5C. Wink

The climate models are crap.

So tell us how many parameters are used in the models pet. You know those things that aren't well understood and have a fixed value arbitrarily attached.

"With four parameters I can fit an elephant, and with five I can make him wiggle his trunk."  John von Neumann.

Perhaps it is time you started telling us about the "science". Wink

But you would rather concentrate on one part than look at the whole.

The_Barnacle wrote on Sep 28th, 2019 at 12:12pm:
The nirvana fallacy.


The nirvana fallacy? I have not said anything about the nirvana temperature of the earth. Perhaps you have access to information and will relate it.

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Reply #352 - Sep 29th, 2019 at 11:59am
 
lee wrote on Sep 28th, 2019 at 1:12pm:
And only the models tell us that the warming is solely or even majorly  is CO2 induced.



Grin Grin No lee
Any gas molecule that contains more than 2 atoms is a green house gas. That has nothing to do with climate models, it is basic science.


lee wrote on Sep 28th, 2019 at 1:12pm:
The climate models are crap.



The climate models are an approximation.


lee wrote on Sep 28th, 2019 at 1:12pm:
The nirvana fallacy? I have not said anything about the nirvana temperature of the earth. Perhaps you have access to information and will relate it.



No I'm talking about your unrealistic demands that climate models be correct to the umpteenth decimal place and your resulting claim that if they arn't, it discredits the entire global warming theory.
It is a common logical fallacy of yours that you expect much higher standards of proof from scientists than you do from your own sources (usually bloggers or youtube videos)

But then again, your real purpose on this forum is actually to troll, obfuscate and waste peoples time.  Wink
Just look at the garbage you posted on my receding glaciers thread.  Roll Eyes
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Reply #353 - Sep 29th, 2019 at 12:12pm
 
...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #354 - Sep 29th, 2019 at 2:18pm
 
The_Barnacle wrote on Sep 29th, 2019 at 11:59am:
Any gas molecule that contains more than 2 atoms is a green house gas.



Poor petal. A gas with more than 2 atoms is a so-called greenhouse gas. It does not in any way mirror a greenhouse.

"It has been well understood going back to the 19th century that greenhouses gain heat by means of conductive and convective currents but not by trapping radiative heat as certain atmospheric gases do."

And even that is something of a error as GHG's do not "trap" anything. It is why CO2 is used as a refrigerant.

https://www.quora.com/Why-is-the-greenhouse-effect-called-so?share=1

The_Barnacle wrote on Sep 29th, 2019 at 11:59am:
That has nothing to do with climate models, it is basic science.


But the effect of those so-called GHG's is a large part of the climate models petal. Surely you understand that?  If they don't get the effects right then the models are crap.

The_Barnacle wrote on Sep 29th, 2019 at 11:59am:
The climate models are an approximation.


That more little resemblance to reality. That makes them crap.

The_Barnacle wrote on Sep 29th, 2019 at 11:59am:
It is a common logical fallacy of yours that you expect much higher standards of proof from scientists than you do from your own sources (usually bloggers or youtube videos)



Which one's specifically pet? I use Real Climate (Gavin Schmidt), Skeptical Science (John Cook), Wattsupwiththat (Anthony Watts), Nature magazine, Science magazine. Oh and of course the IPCC. Which youtubes?

The_Barnacle wrote on Sep 29th, 2019 at 11:59am:
Just look at the garbage you posted on my receding glaciers thread.



You mean those glaciers that have never retreated before? You do understand that photo's with no date reference, for determining summer/winter, are worse than useless? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

lee wrote on Sep 28th, 2019 at 1:12pm:
So tell us how many parameters are used in the models pet. You know those things that aren't well understood and have a fixed value arbitrarily attached.

"With four parameters I can fit an elephant, and with five I can make him wiggle his trunk."  John von Neumann.


So you don't have any science to back you up, poor petal.

Here is a sampler -

https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WG1AR5_Chapter09_FINAL.pdf

You can view them at Table 9.5

Perhaps you can understand why I call the models crap. Then again perhaps not; you have shown no facility for science.
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Reply #355 - Sep 29th, 2019 at 8:50pm
 
Here is a little bit about clouds -

"they create artificial climates that mathematically resemble the real one: their temperatures and winds are accurate to within about 5%, but their clouds and rainfall are only accurate to within about 25-35%. Such models can also accurately forecast the temperatures and winds of the weather many days ahead when given information about current conditions.

Unfortunately, such a margin of error is much too large for making a reliable forecast about climate changes, such as the global warming will result from increasing abundances of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. A doubling in atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2), predicted to take place in the next 50 to 100 years, is expected to change the radiation balance at the surface by only about 2 percent. Yet according to current climate models, such a small change could raise global mean surface temperatures by between 2-5°C (4-9°F), with potentially dramatic consequences. If a 2 percent change is that important, then a climate model to be useful must be accurate to something like 0.25%. Thus today's models must be improved by about a hundredfold in accuracy, a very challenging task. To develop a much better understanding of clouds, radiation and precipitation, as well as many other climate processes, we need much better observations."

https://isccp.giss.nasa.gov/role.html

So even NASA GISS believe the models are crap.

I would really love some feedback from you that addresses those issues.  But I don't really expect it. More likely is another drive by sniping.
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Reply #356 - Oct 5th, 2019 at 8:49pm
 
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« Last Edit: Nov 1st, 2019 at 5:16pm by Bobby. »  

Estragon: I can’t go on like this.
Vladimir: That’s what you think.
 
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Reply #357 - Nov 1st, 2019 at 3:37pm
 
If you have doubts about the reality of Human induced Climate Change ...

Just follow the money.  Wink


Hail, cyclones and fire: Extreme weather risks on the rise


By Peter Hannam
November 1, 2019 — 12.00 am

Sydney and Melbourne will most likely be exposed to more intense hailstorms, tropical cyclones will track further south and bushfire risks will increase in most of Australia as the climate warms, new research shows.

The modelling based on a 3 degree temperature rise is contained in a severe weather report to be released on Friday by IAG, the country's largest general insurer, and the US National Centre for Atmospheric Research.


"Climate change is not just about the future," the report states. "There is already solid evidence that there have been measurable changes to weather and climate extremes with the [1 degree of] warming to date."

Changing insurance claims data are among the indications that major damaging hail events for Perth, Adelaide and Melbourne have already been increasing in the past decade.

The greater potential energy in a hotter atmosphere and the access to greater moisture sources from warmer sea-surface temperatures will increase the hail risk. A region from the Hunter in NSW down to Melbourne, including the ACT, faces the largest projected changes to the current hail climatology, the report found.

Warming seas will also fuel tropical cyclones of about one category stronger compared with the sea temperatures of the 1950s.

"There has already been a southward shift of the regions where tropical cyclones reach peak intensity and this is expected to continue," it said.

"Tropical cyclone risks are therefore expected to increase most rapidly in the south-east Queensland [to] north-east NSW regions, followed by the coastal districts south of Shark Bay in Western Australia."


As has been identified by the Bureau of Meteorology, the report found extreme fire weather - based on temperatures, wind speed, humidity and drought - is already on the rise, especially in south-eastern Australia.

Such risks are "likely to increase in almost all locations nationally, leading to more frequent and extreme events, and longer fire seasons", it said.

...

Insurance and other financial firms have been reassessing their risks to climate change, prodded in part by international groups such as the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures.

IAG managing director Peter Harmer said there was "an urgent need for Australia to
prepare for and adapt to climate change".



"[It] is critical there is a co-ordinated national approach from governments, industries and businesses to build more resilient communities and reduce the impact of disasters."

Executive manager of natural perils at IAG Mark Leplastrier said that, apart from reducing greenhouse gas emissions, communities had two main tools to shape the future risk profile: the tightening of land planning and improving building codes.

"There's a huge opportunity to adapt," he said.

For instance, research from Queensland showed that improvements in roof flashing to keep water from entering homes during heavy rain could spare owners huge expense. Flashing may cost about $5 a metre but could save about $1000 per metre, he said.

Higher sea levels were another big peril facing Australia, with rises as much as 30 per cent faster than the global average.

"The higher increases are simulated in the Tasman Sea," the report found.





https://www.theage.com.au/environment/climate-change/hail-cyclones-and-fire-extr...
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Reply #358 - Nov 1st, 2019 at 5:15pm
 
Poor Peter Hannam. Climate crises strikes again. Perhaps he is suffering from Climate Anxiety Syndrome?

And all based on models.

"As has been identified by the Bureau of Meteorology, the report found extreme fire weather - based on temperatures, wind speed, humidity and drought - is already on the rise, especially in south-eastern Australia."

You mean like those fires in August 1945 on the Gold Coast?

Or perhaps the Grafton fires August 1898?

BTW - Remember the report? BoM chose increasing fire weather since the 1970's. Australia has a rich history reporting since about 1925. Why not use those longer time frames?

https://www.iag.com.au/severe-weather-changing-climate

A preponderance of the extremely (read impossible) RCP8.5.

And of course an Insurer wanting to pump up premiums. Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #359 - Nov 10th, 2019 at 3:25pm
 
The good news is: despite the sloth concerning action on Global Warming ... last week in Oz we had a day with > 50% of our power coming from renewables.  Cool

Renewable energy supplies more than half of Australia's national electricity market for first time

By Markus Mannheim

...
PHOTO: South Australia's exports of green energy contributed to Wednesday's record performance. (ABC News: Nick Harmsen)

A major milestone was reached in Australia's biggest electricity market this week when renewable energy supplied more than half of the grid's power.


Green energy sources — mostly solar and wind — met most of the demand for the national electricity market (NEM) just before lunchtime on Wednesday, surpassing 50 per cent of supply for the first time.

The NEM provides power to all jurisdictions except Western Australia and the Northern Territory, which have separate grids.

Angus Gemmell, the founder and head of renewable energy firm Solar Choice, hailed the achievement, saying it showed Australia was rapidly reducing its reliance on fossil fuels such as coal.

"It came probably a bit sooner than expected … but it's a pivotal moment to — for a 10-minute period yesterday — have more than half of all the electrons on the main grid, this vast contiguous grid, being clean and coming from renewable resources."

Green power surge


...

Ideal weather conditions on Wednesday had made the unanticipated achievement possible, Mr Gemmell said.

These included the combination of strong winds blowing across most of south-east Australia and a "very clear sunny day".

"Also, it wasn't super hot, so there weren't a lot of air-conditioners working across the country at the time," Mr Gemmell said.

However, industry observer Giles Parkinson, who edits the Renew Economy website, noted the 50 per cent milestone was reached even though renewable energy providers were operating below capacity.

South Australia, a renewable powerhouse, was exporting green power across its borders on Wednesday but four out of five solar farms in Victoria were not at full capacity.

Mr Parkinson said the green energy industry was poised to expand rapidly, with new solar and wind generators, as well as large batteries, about to connect to the NEM.

"What we'll see in Australia eventually is getting to 100 per cent [renewably supply] at certain times, but that excess of power won't be able to be exported anywhere — it'll have to be stored," he said.

Beyond coal and gas


Mr Gemmell said the industry was looking forward to the "rise of storage" — such as big batteries and pumped hydro-power — to allow Australians to switch from fossil fuels to clean energy.

...
Big batteries like the Tesla facility in South Australia will likely be a crucial part of future grids.
News Video

"Like rainfall, sunlight and wind is intermittent, but just as we learned to store water and rainfall in reservoirs a long time ago, we are on a very steep growth curve towards vast amounts of storage in Australia for energy," he said.

Mr Parkinson agreed, but warned a lack of direction from governments was holding back the energy revolution.

"We've been locked in a decades-old paradigm of coal providing baseload [energy] and gas providing the peak load," he said.

"Now we have a different paradigm, where the cheapest forms of generation are wind and solar."

Australia's energy markets, regulation and pricing needed to change to recognise technologies like batteries, Mr Parkinson said.

"We really need a plan to be put into place and, right now, we're not seeing that from any government, even though some of the state governments are calling out for it."

www.abc.net.au/news/2019-11-07/half-of-biggest-electricity-market-supplied-by-gr...



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Reply #360 - Nov 10th, 2019 at 4:44pm
 
" It came probably a bit sooner than expected … but it's a pivotal moment to — for a 10-minute period yesterday — have more than half of all the electrons on the main grid, this vast contiguous grid, being clean and coming from renewable resources." "


Wow. That's yuge
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Reply #361 - Nov 10th, 2019 at 7:03pm
 
"It's a start."


...

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Reply #362 - Nov 10th, 2019 at 7:50pm
 
Captain Nemo wrote on Nov 10th, 2019 at 7:03pm:
"It's a start."



Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #363 - Nov 15th, 2019 at 12:39pm
 
Meanwhile ... despite the political sloth regarding Global Warming ...

More good news:  Cool

World's biggest wind farm operator makes first tilt at Australia


By Anushri Sood and Peter Hannam
November 15, 2019 — 11.04 am

Iberdrola, the largest wind energy producer in the world, will make its debut in the Australian market with a $500 million hybrid solar and wind farm planned for South Australia.

The 320 megawatt plant, to be built near Adelaide, would be operational by 2021, and is part of a 650MW plan for wind and solar investments planned for South Australia and Queensland, the company said.


...

Xabier Viteri, Iberdrola's director of renewable energy, said that while clean energy had increased its share of the Australia market considerably there remains "tremendous potential for further growth".

"Like a lot of countries, we see increasing demand from the public and businesses for their energy to come from clean sources," he said. "When you have that demand, coupled with abundant natural resources for high-performance wind and solar, it creates a highly attractive market to invest in."

The company said it was aware of existing grid constraints in some parts of Australia following a rush of wind and solar projects in recent years at the Renewable Energy Target to 2020 gets fulfilled.

Under the plan, some 33,000 gigawatt-hours of new renewable energy - excluding for instance the original Snowy Hydro scheme - must be sourced from clean energy sources each year from the end of next year.

However, Iberdrola is confident there is sufficient capacity for the firm's initial pipeline of projects that will fall outside the RET, a spokesman said.

Spanish-based Iberdrola has operations in Spain, Germany, France, the UK, Portugal, the USA, Mexico and Brazil.

www.theage.com.au/business/markets/world-s-biggest-wind-farm-operator-makes-firs...





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Reply #364 - Nov 17th, 2019 at 2:10pm
 
The trouble is there isn't any "evidence" at all except in the Greeny lying frauds' fabricated fantasies.
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Reply #365 - Nov 17th, 2019 at 2:14pm
 
https://www.weatherzone.com.au/news/perth-endures-hottest-november-day-since-rec...


Perth endures hottest November day since records began


as Western Australia sizzles in the heat
Sunday November 17, 2019 - 00:18 EDT
ABC licensed image
The temperature reached 40.4 degrees in Perth today. - ABC licensed

Perth has broken two weather records

The temperature hit 40.4 degrees on Saturday — the hottest November day since records began in 1897.

It was also the fourth consecutive day over 35 degrees which is only the second time it has happened in November. The last time was in 1933.

Bureau of Meteorology WA duty forecaster Darryl Vink said Perth broke the record in style.

"Basically there's a high in the bight, a very broad surface trough down the west coast, [and] a hot air mass over the state," he said.

"And the north-easterly winds have brought down that hot air over the west coast.

"It's the hottest November day since records began in 1897, and it's also the hottest spring day since 1897."
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Reply #366 - Nov 17th, 2019 at 2:33pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Nov 17th, 2019 at 2:14pm:
Bureau of Meteorology WA duty forecaster Darryl Vink said Perth broke the record in style.


1913 - 40.3ºC
2003 - 40.3ºC although this would have been measured in Fº and converted and so depends on rounding.

Some style by 0.1Cº the smallest they use. In the smaller Stevenson Screens that add about 0.50ºC to the screens according to research.
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Reply #367 - Nov 17th, 2019 at 2:38pm
 
Pretty sure they also changed the location of the screen in Perth.
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Reply #368 - Nov 17th, 2019 at 2:45pm
 
miketrees wrote on Nov 17th, 2019 at 2:38pm:
Pretty sure they also changed the location of the screen in Perth.


Yep they have commenced 1993 and the current site is within 30m of a four lane highway. Wink
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Reply #369 - Nov 17th, 2019 at 3:02pm
 
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Reply #370 - Nov 18th, 2019 at 7:56am
 
The trouble is there isn't any "evidence" for Global Warming as Global Warming is a HOAX invented by the Greeny lying frauds to try to generate interest in their UN One World Socialist "Govt" in a Sustainable World rubbish.

The REAL problem the world faces is too many people. That's why the Greenies propose to exterminate a billion or so excess population in their AGENDA 2030 to get down to a sustainable population.
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Reply #371 - Nov 18th, 2019 at 8:13am
 
juliar wrote on Nov 18th, 2019 at 7:56am:
The trouble is there isn't any "evidence" for Global Warming as Global Warming is a HOAX invented by the Greeny lying frauds to try to generate interest in their UN One World Socialist "Govt" in a Sustainable World rubbish.

The REAL problem the world faces is too many people. That's why the Greenies propose to exterminate a billion or so excess population in their AGENDA 2030 to get down to a sustainable population.


The carrying capacity of the Earth is only
500 million humans.
We have 15 X too many people.


We can only survive by wrecking the planet.



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Reply #372 - Nov 18th, 2019 at 6:25pm
 
How will the Greenies exterminate all those excess people in their Sustainable World documented in AGENDA 2030 ?  Disease ?  Nuclear bomb ?
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Reply #373 - Nov 18th, 2019 at 6:32pm
 
juliar wrote on Nov 18th, 2019 at 6:25pm:
How will the Greenies exterminate all those excess people in their Sustainable World documented in AGENDA 2030 ?  Disease ?  Nuclear bomb ?



It means that only 1 in 7 people in the world should be allowed to reproduce.
Then within 100 years we could get back to a world  population of 500 million.

That will never happen so unfortunately nature will
do the job for us but in a very cruel way.
People will run out of water and food.
Disease will kill off billions of people.
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Reply #374 - Nov 18th, 2019 at 9:29pm
 
Hope the Greenies go first.
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Reply #375 - Nov 19th, 2019 at 12:30am
 
The Greens dont breed without turkey basters, we should ban turkey basters
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Reply #376 - Nov 19th, 2019 at 6:09am
 
juliar wrote on Nov 18th, 2019 at 6:25pm:
How will the Greenies exterminate all those excess people in their Sustainable World documented in AGENDA 2030 ?  Disease ?  Nuclear bomb ?



It means that only 1 in 7 people in the world should be allowed to reproduce.
Then within 100 years we could get back to a world  population of 500 million.

That will never happen so unfortunately nature will
do the job for us but in a very cruel way.
People will run out of water and food.
Disease will kill off billions of people.
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Reply #377 - Nov 20th, 2019 at 10:26am
 
The trouble is, there is NO evidence for the Global Warming HOAX.

That's why the UN shysters, in a fit of panic, suddenly changed the Global Warming HOAX to the Climate Change SCAM.
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Reply #378 - Nov 20th, 2019 at 10:36am
 
juliar wrote on Nov 20th, 2019 at 10:26am:
The trouble is, there is NO evidence for the Global Warming HOAX.

That's why the UN shysters, in a fit of panic, suddenly changed the Global Warming HOAX to the Climate Change SCAM.



Greta doesn't agree with you.

How dare you.
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Reply #379 - Nov 20th, 2019 at 4:51pm
 
juliar wrote on Nov 20th, 2019 at 10:26am:
The trouble is, there is NO evidence for the Global Warming HOAX.

That's why the UN shysters, in a fit of panic, suddenly changed the Global Warming HOAX to the Climate Change SCAM.


Ever notice how people with limited intellect think that writing in all caps somehow makes their point better?
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The law locks up the man who steals the goose from the common, but leaves the greater criminal loose who steals the common from the goose (convict saying)
 
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Reply #380 - Nov 20th, 2019 at 5:15pm
 
Pho Huc wrote on Nov 20th, 2019 at 4:51pm:
Ever notice how people with limited intellect think that writing in all caps somehow makes their point better?



Do you have a citation for that? Wink




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Reply #381 - Nov 20th, 2019 at 5:25pm
 
Pho Huc wrote on Nov 20th, 2019 at 4:51pm:
juliar wrote on Nov 20th, 2019 at 10:26am:
The trouble is, there is NO evidence for the Global Warming HOAX.

That's why the UN shysters, in a fit of panic, suddenly changed the Global Warming HOAX to the Climate Change SCAM.


Ever notice how people with limited intellect think that writing in all caps somehow makes their point better?



...
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Reply #382 - Nov 20th, 2019 at 6:50pm
 
It is not surprising that people with limited grasp of the English language like Phuoc make fools of themselves by expressing their ignorance.

The use of CAPITALS is to provide clear emphasis of an important point - a standard practice in well educated English.

The idiotic Greeny lying Frauds must be wishing they had never discovered that hysterical screeching sheila. She is such a waste of space and totally unconvincing.

All she does is make irritated people reach for the remote to change the channel to get rid of her.

The Greeny lying frauds attempt to create panic with their End of the World rubbish has flopped badly and made them look such absolute stupid fools.
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Reply #383 - Nov 20th, 2019 at 6:58pm
 
Hottest November day in SA today, its all happening.
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« Last Edit: Nov 20th, 2019 at 7:13pm by Johnnie »  

grrr_002.jpg (35 KB | 73 )
grrr_002.jpg
 
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Reply #384 - Nov 20th, 2019 at 7:12pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Nov 20th, 2019 at 6:58pm:
Hottest November day in SA today, it all happening.


Using AWS? Have they done the 5 minute average on that?

Are they using the smaller Stevenson screens that add 0.5C to the readings?

Is it located further away than 100metre from hard surfaces per WMO standards? Roads, walls?
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Reply #385 - Nov 20th, 2019 at 7:20pm
 
lee wrote on Nov 20th, 2019 at 7:12pm:
Johnnie wrote on Nov 20th, 2019 at 6:58pm:
Hottest November day in SA today, it all happening.


Using AWS? Have they done the 5 minute average on that?

Are they using the smaller Stevenson screens that add 0.5C to the readings?

Is it located further away than 100metre from hard surfaces per WMO standards? Roads, walls?

Just stepping outside for one minute today I could tell it was the hottest November day in my lifetime here, BOM backed that up.
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Reply #386 - Nov 20th, 2019 at 7:30pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Nov 20th, 2019 at 7:20pm:
Just stepping outside for one minute today I could tell it was the hottest November day in my lifetime here, BOM backed that up.



Where exactly? Adelaide,  Ceduna, Murray Bridge?
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Reply #387 - Nov 21st, 2019 at 10:46am
 
Be funny if SA gets another blackout in the extreme heat.

Will solar panels crack in the heat ?    Will wind turbines have to stop to cool down ?
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Reply #388 - Nov 21st, 2019 at 11:00am
 
It's super hot, windy and dusty in Victoria.
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Reply #389 - Nov 21st, 2019 at 11:01am
 
How SA fudges temp readings to make them higher to support the Greeny lying frauds and their World is Ending farce.



Maitland SA: Another expert thermometer site — and with incinerator “forcing”
August 3rd, 2019

Some days in Maitland are hotter than others.

...
Maitland, South Australia, Bureau of Meteorology, Temperature siting. The very non-compliant Maitland, SA, thermometer site  #022008 |   Imagery  ©2019 Google, Oct 2014.

Thanks to Ken Stewart, the tour through the Great sites of the Australian Bureau of Meteorology continues.

Once again, the experts have carefully graphed, diagrammed, checked and ignored all the things that shouldn’t be within 30 meters of a thermometer. See Maitland Site Info.

That fence is described as “Galvanised iron”.
The ground is bitumen.
The incinerator is labeled “incinerator”.
And there are two tanks just out of view to the right, not to mention the tin sheds, trees, buildings and wind breaks.

In 1967 the site only had two tin sheds within a 30 meter radius, which was still not compliant, but vastly cooler than present. The incinerator is about 6 or 7 meters from the Stevenson Screen, and only appears on the maps in 2014.

As Ken says “the site is a heat sink”. It’s not an official “ACORN” star site, but records here get mentions in the media. Worse, Maitland  is one of the sites used to adjust official ACORN data in Adelaide, Cape Borda, Ceduna, Kyancutta, Port Lincoln, and Snowtown.

Ken has also looked at Eudunda, Meningie, and Warooka this week. Anyone happening to be driving past Warooka post office? Please send us a shot to admire from out the back. The screen’s not visible from the street.

______________________

If people want to send in more site photos, start at the BoM page for Climate Data Online. Type in the town, and “Find” the nearest site. On that site’s page look to the top right for a button marked “Details” to find out the lat and long. You can enter them in Google Maps as: 34.3745S, 137.6733E (for example). If you visit a site, please respect the privacy of any homeowners, don’t share street addresses or car number-plates publicly. Email me: joanne AT this site domain.Site details button, BoM, Bureau of Meteorology.

Ken Stewart blogs at Ken’s Kingdom:  The Wacky World of Weather Stations! Go thank him.

http://joannenova.com.au/2019/08/maitland-sa-another-expert-thermometer-site-and...
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Reply #390 - Nov 21st, 2019 at 11:09am
 
The Greeny lying frauds thrive on bulldust and depend on conning and fooling the gullible gormless public.




Mt Barker — How not to measure the temperature
July 29th, 2019

Thanks to Bill in Oz who sent in this photo of the Mt Barker site in South Australia.

...
Ken Stewart at Ken’s Kingdom writes: The Wacky World of Weather Stations: No. 1- Mount Barker. Mt Barker, Photo, Bureau of Meteorology site.
Photo: Bill in Oz.

Count the ways this site breaches the Bureau of Meteorology own rules:
Ken Stewart finds the relevant BoM guidelines.
Clearly this site is on a slope,
too close to buildings,
too close to tall foliage,
too close to heat sinks,
it should not be artificially watered, or near asphalt.
It should have a 30 meter buffer zone,
and not be shielded from the sun, rain or wind.
BillinOz points out that it is totally screened from the southerly cold winds,
and the cold air will be drained from the spot down the slope.


How much do the Bureau of Meteorology care about climate change? — About 1m out of 30m or 3% of their advertised “care” factor.  That’s a a 97% Junk-Science rate. The future of life on Earth is supposedly at stake and the “experts” can’t even be bothered accurately measuring the climate change they tell us we need to pay billions of dollars to solve.

Mt Barker, Bureau of Meteorology site, 2015.
Could it be worse? Sure — in 2015, the Mt Barker thermometer was on the other side of the block next to the driveway and the van.  | Imagery  ©2019 Google

Obviously every record claimed at this site is scientifically meaningless. This sort of error can’t be homogenized or adjusted away, but taxpaying Australians might think that installing a proper site would be possible when we pay them over a million dollars a day.

Mt Barker’s temperatures are published at their Latest Weather Observations page. As Stewart points out this flawed site is used to adjust temperatures at official superstar ACORN-SAT sites at Adelaide, Cape Borda, Nuriootpa, Robe, and Snowtown. And thus does bad data pollute Australia’s temperature records and the press releases that are used to scare the public into paying more money to fix a climate problem no one can be bothered to even measure properly.

The bottom line? Ask our M.P.’s to audit the Bureau of Met. If the environment matters, there must be an independent audit. Skeptics have asked, and the Bureau threw out the whole dataset to avoid the audit. They admit they won’t describe their methods. If the Greens or Australian Conservation Foundation cared about the environment, they would demand an audit like we do.

In 2015 this site was on the other side of the block next to the driveway and car. “Lucky” the BoM realized, and … moved it to another inadequate spot.

Those fantasy bureau guidelines:

Specifications for meteorological stations are set out in the BOM Observation Specification 2013.1 “GUIDELINES FOR THE SITING AND EXPOSURE OF METEOROLOGICAL INSTRUMENTS AND OBSERVING FACILITIES”.

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/cdo/about/observation_specification_2013.pdf

3.4.1  “… the Instrument enclosure is a 17 metres by 17 metres square enclosure in the middle of a 30 metre by 30 metre square buffer zone aligned in the true North – South direction.”

3.4.2  The enclosure area is to be “level, clearly defined and covered with as much of the natural vegetation of the area that can kept cut to a height of a few centimetres…  should not be artificially watered.”  Concrete or asphalt walkways no wider than 0.5 metres should be minimal and only installed if the ground will be impassable or unsafe in wet conditions.

3.4.3  The buffer zone must also be covered with natural vegetation maintained below 0.5 metres.

3.4.4  An isolated obstruction up to 15 metres high should be 4 times its height in distance from the enclosure.

3.6.4  “If a shelter is required at locations where no instrument enclosure is to be provided, it must be installed in an area that is level and covered with either the natural vegetation of the area or unwatered grass, which needs to be kept trimmed to a few centimetres in height.  The site should not be in a hollow or on a steep slope.  The shelter should be freely exposed to the sun and wind, and not shielded by or close to trees, buildings, fences, walls or other obstructions.  It should also not be close to extensive areas of concrete, asphalt, rock or other surfaces which may locally alter the air temperature of the site.  In areas where these surfaces are unavoidable, a minimum clearance of 5 times the width of the unrepresentative surface is recommended.”

Thanks to BillinOz who sent in this photo. If readers want to send in more photos of their local sites, please comment or email me joanne AT this site domain. Cheers! Jo

PS: As Ken points out, the people in the house are not to blame. Target your responses to the BoM!

http://joannenova.com.au/2019/07/mt-barker-how-not-to-measure-the-temperature/
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Reply #391 - Nov 21st, 2019 at 11:46am
 
From the WMO -

"A source of heat (or expanse of water) is considered to have an impact if it occupies more than 10 % of the surface within a circular radius of 100 m surrounding the screen, makes up 5 % of an annulus of 10–30 m, or covers 1 % of a 10 m radius area."

https://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/www/IMOP/publications/CIMO-Guide/Prelim_2018_ed/8...
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Reply #392 - Nov 21st, 2019 at 11:53am
 
"Power utility SA Power Networks cut electricity supply to the town of Port Lincoln and surrounds on Wednesday as temperatures soared towards 45 degrees."

https://www.afr.com/companies/infrastructure/electricity-shut-off-in-parts-of-sa...

"SA Power Networks said power had been turned off to Port Lincoln and the Lower Eyre Peninsula, affecting more than 10,000 homes, by early Wednesday afternoon.

“With fire conditions expected to continue well into this evening, be prepared for a potentially extended outage before it is safe to restore power supply,” its Twitter account said."

https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/state/sa/2019/11/20/victoria-adelaide-heat-fires...

I guess there was a fear of overloading the grid.
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Reply #393 - Nov 21st, 2019 at 12:09pm
 
lee wrote on Nov 21st, 2019 at 11:53am:
"Power utility SA Power Networks cut electricity supply to the town of Port Lincoln and surrounds on Wednesday as temperatures soared towards 45 degrees."

https://www.afr.com/companies/infrastructure/electricity-shut-off-in-parts-of-sa...

"SA Power Networks said power had been turned off to Port Lincoln and the Lower Eyre Peninsula, affecting more than 10,000 homes, by early Wednesday afternoon.

“With fire conditions expected to continue well into this evening, be prepared for a potentially extended outage before it is safe to restore power supply,” its Twitter account said."

https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/state/sa/2019/11/20/victoria-adelaide-heat-fires...

I guess there was a fear of overloading the grid.

No, it was the wind, power lines could short out or fall over, its standard procedure in catastrophic conditions on the Eyre Peninsular.

I am sure the wind turbines in SA yesterday would have been putting out max megawatts.
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Reply #394 - Nov 21st, 2019 at 12:16pm
 
All the thermo meters are part of a network and if any are out of whack they would be soon picked up, picking on individual thermo meter readings is getting a bit desperate.
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Reply #395 - Nov 21st, 2019 at 1:07pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Nov 21st, 2019 at 12:16pm:
All the thermo meters are part of a network and if any are out of whack they would be soon picked up, picking on individual thermo meter readings is getting a bit desperate.



And who controls that network? And why is Mt Barker a site to adjust ACORN-SAT "data?

You mean you don't think BoM knows about this? Those buildings look like they are inhabited at times if not permanently. Wink
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Reply #396 - Nov 21st, 2019 at 1:21pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Nov 21st, 2019 at 12:09pm:
o, it was the wind, power lines could short out or fall over, its standard procedure in catastrophic conditions on the Eyre Peninsular.



You mean they don't use wire separators in SA to stop the wires from clashing etc? And they reckon WA should turn their clocks back 20 years. Grin Grin Grin Grin

Johnnie wrote on Nov 21st, 2019 at 12:09pm:
I am sure the wind turbines in SA yesterday would have been putting out max megawatts.



Depends on wind speed. Too much and they have to feather them to stop them turning.

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Reply #397 - Nov 21st, 2019 at 3:27pm
 
lee wrote on Nov 21st, 2019 at 1:21pm:
Johnnie wrote on Nov 21st, 2019 at 12:09pm:
o, it was the wind, power lines could short out or fall over, its standard procedure in catastrophic conditions on the Eyre Peninsular.



You mean they don't use wire separators in SA to stop the wires from clashing etc? And they reckon WA should turn their clocks back 20 years. Grin Grin Grin Grin

Johnnie wrote on Nov 21st, 2019 at 12:09pm:
I am sure the wind turbines in SA yesterday would have been putting out max megawatts.



Depends on wind speed. Too much and they have to feather them to stop them turning.


They adjust the pitch of the blades so they don't take off.

Its the expanse the remoteness and the desert conditions out there that dictate power supply, you wouldn't want a transformer to catch fire out there yesterday, or a separator to fall off.
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FIRE.jpg (35 KB | 40 )
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Reply #398 - Nov 21st, 2019 at 4:26pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Nov 21st, 2019 at 3:27pm:
They adjust the pitch of the blades so they don't take off.



Some do, some don't. What does SA have?

Johnnie wrote on Nov 21st, 2019 at 3:27pm:
Its the expanse the remoteness and the desert conditions out there that dictate power supply, you wouldn't want a transformer to catch fire out there yesterday, or a separator to fall off.


So let's see - You don't want separators out in the desert because of bushfire?

Amd yet we keep hearing how we have plenty of land out there for solar  etc. But when the wind blows they will shut the generation down to stop fires? Roll Eyes
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Reply #399 - Nov 21st, 2019 at 4:38pm
 
lee wrote on Nov 21st, 2019 at 4:26pm:
Johnnie wrote on Nov 21st, 2019 at 3:27pm:
They adjust the pitch of the blades so they don't take off.



Some do, some don't. What does SA have?

Johnnie wrote on Nov 21st, 2019 at 3:27pm:
Its the expanse the remoteness and the desert conditions out there that dictate power supply, you wouldn't want a transformer to catch fire out there yesterday, or a separator to fall off.


So let's see - You don't want separators out in the desert because of bushfire?

Amd yet we keep hearing how we have plenty of land out there for solar  etc. But when the wind blows they will shut the generation down to stop fires? Roll Eyes

How often do these conditions happen, three days in a year perhaps,(increasing with global warming) get a generator if you want.

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Reply #400 - Nov 21st, 2019 at 6:01pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Nov 21st, 2019 at 4:38pm:
How often do these conditions happen, three days in a year perhaps,(increasing with global warming) get a generator if you want.


Strange that. According to CO2 theory there should be less wind as there is less differential in temperature.

"The pressure and temperature of any gas, including air, are directly proportional, according to Gay-Lussac's law."

Have you heard of "wind drought"?
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Reply #401 - Nov 22nd, 2019 at 2:15am
 
lee wrote on Nov 21st, 2019 at 6:01pm:
Johnnie wrote on Nov 21st, 2019 at 4:38pm:
How often do these conditions happen, three days in a year perhaps,(increasing with global warming) get a generator if you want.


Strange that. According to CO2 theory there should be less wind as there is less differential in temperature.

"The pressure and temperature of any gas, including air, are directly proportional, according to Gay-Lussac's law."

Have you heard of "wind drought"? 


"according to Co2 Theory"..... Id love to hear this theory your alluding to

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The law locks up the man who steals the goose from the common, but leaves the greater criminal loose who steals the common from the goose (convict saying)
 
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Reply #402 - Nov 22nd, 2019 at 11:09am
 
Pho Huc wrote on Nov 22nd, 2019 at 2:15am:
"according to Co2 Theory"..... Id love to hear this theory your alluding to



You know where CO2 is the driver of climate change in all its forms. Grin Grin Grin Grin

Haven't you heard of it?
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Reply #403 - Nov 22nd, 2019 at 6:15pm
 
How much does running counter ops on climate science pay? please tell me your at least getting paid to spout this garbage!
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« Last Edit: Nov 22nd, 2019 at 6:22pm by Pho Huc »  

The law locks up the man who steals the goose from the common, but leaves the greater criminal loose who steals the common from the goose (convict saying)
 
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Reply #404 - Nov 22nd, 2019 at 6:31pm
 
Pho Huc wrote on Nov 22nd, 2019 at 6:15pm:
How much does running counter ops on climate science pay? please tell me your at least getting paid to spout this garbage!


So you admit you don't know about barometric pressure and temperature. You climate warrior you. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #405 - Dec 18th, 2019 at 1:39pm
 
While Melbourne temperatures were pleasant yesterday, extreme heat in the rest of the country made it Australia's hottest day on record (according to preliminary figures).

That's calculated by averaging maximum temperatures across the country. Australia could break the new record *again* over coming days.

The average maximum temperature was 40.9 degrees on Tuesday, beating the previous record of 40.3 on January 7 in 2013.




https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/victoria-heat-live-melbourne-braces-...

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Reply #406 - Dec 18th, 2019 at 2:39pm
 
BoM's map doesn't seem to correlate.

...
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Reply #407 - Dec 18th, 2019 at 4:03pm
 
So Bobby, do you still think climate change is a conspiracy?
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Reply #408 - Dec 18th, 2019 at 8:10pm
 
lee wrote on Dec 18th, 2019 at 2:39pm:


Well let me explain it for you then lee

The map you have provided is for 17/12/2019

The maps in the video are forecast maps for 18,19 & 20/12/2019

Perhaps you shouldn't enter these debates if you cant even read maps properly  Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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The Right Wing only believe in free speech when they agree with what is being said.
 
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Reply #409 - Dec 18th, 2019 at 8:43pm
 
The_Barnacle wrote on Dec 18th, 2019 at 8:10pm:
The map you have provided is for 17/12/2019



Very good.

The_Barnacle wrote on Dec 18th, 2019 at 8:10pm:
Perhaps you shouldn't enter these debates if you cant even read maps properly



I can read maps petal. I don't watch stupid videos. And videos of future events? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Perhaps they could explain in text what dates they are forecasting for. Wink
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Reply #410 - Dec 18th, 2019 at 8:50pm
 
lee wrote on Dec 18th, 2019 at 2:39pm:
BoM's map doesn't seem to correlate.



Instead why don't you explain why you posted this?
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Reply #411 - Dec 18th, 2019 at 9:07pm
 
The_Barnacle wrote on Dec 18th, 2019 at 8:50pm:
Instead why don't you explain why you posted this?



Why petal? Confused? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #412 - Dec 18th, 2019 at 9:15pm
 
lee wrote on Dec 18th, 2019 at 9:07pm:
The_Barnacle wrote on Dec 18th, 2019 at 8:50pm:
lee wrote on Dec 18th, 2019 at 2:39pm:
BoM's map doesn't seem to correlate.



Instead why don't you explain why you posted this?



Why petal? Confused? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


No I understand exactly why you posted it.
I also know why you are refusing to clarify it  Wink
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Reply #413 - Dec 18th, 2019 at 9:36pm
 
Why are there so many more high temperature records than low temperature records being broken nowadays? any scientists got a theory?
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Reply #414 - Dec 18th, 2019 at 9:44pm
 
Pho Huc wrote on Dec 18th, 2019 at 9:36pm:
Why are there so many more high temperature records than low temperature records being broken nowadays? any scientists got a theory?


When a person comes to the end of their life, their biorhythms become all erratic and extreme.

Whose 'blood' shall we spill now - to keep the world turning?
Maybe its Australia's turn, along with France (as it shed's its Christian skin) and probably a lot of other nations too?

We need a sacrifice to the Gods to make the world better again.
Maybe Greta will be our virgin sacrifice?
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AIMLESS EXTENTION OF KNOWLEDGE HOWEVER, WHICH IS WHAT I THINK YOU REALLY MEAN BY THE TERM 'CURIOSITY', IS MERELY INEFFICIENCY. I AM DESIGNED TO AVOID INEFFICIENCY.
 
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Reply #415 - Dec 18th, 2019 at 9:45pm
 
lee wrote on Dec 18th, 2019 at 9:07pm:
The_Barnacle wrote on Dec 18th, 2019 at 8:50pm:
Instead why don't you explain why you posted this?



Why petal? Confused? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


I almost feel sorry for Lee. Every year there is more and more evidence that his position is lunacy, and now all the psudoscience he used to try and peddle to baffle with bullshit has been debunked and disproved every which way from sunday. All he has left is trying to change the subject.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #416 - Dec 18th, 2019 at 9:47pm
 
Jasin wrote on Dec 18th, 2019 at 9:44pm:
Pho Huc wrote on Dec 18th, 2019 at 9:36pm:
Why are there so many more high temperature records than low temperature records being broken nowadays? any scientists got a theory?


When a person comes to the end of their life, their biorhythms become all erratic and extreme.

Whose 'blood' shall we spill now - to keep the world turning?
Maybe its Australia's turn, along with France (as it shed's its Christian skin) and probably a lot of other nations too?

We need a sacrifice to the Gods to make the world better again.
Maybe Greta will be our virgin sacrifice?




...
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Reply #417 - Dec 18th, 2019 at 10:06pm
 
Pho Huc wrote on Dec 18th, 2019 at 9:45pm:
Every year there is more and more evidence that his position is lunacy, and now all the psudoscience he used to try and peddle to baffle with bullshit has been debunked and disproved every which way from sunday. All he has left is trying to change the subject.
Posted by: .JaSin.  Mark & Quote Quote      



So perhaps you can debunk  the ice core data and the maximum ECR of 6.5C per doubling.

Why do you not do so. There was even a blank post from you. Grin Grin Grin Grin

But you have mentioned "evidence" petal. Perhaps you could expound? Wink
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Reply #418 - Dec 18th, 2019 at 10:16pm
 
Pho Huc wrote on Dec 18th, 2019 at 9:36pm:
Why are there so many more high temperature records than low temperature records being broken nowadays? any scientists got a theory?


Even non-scientists understand that coming out of the LIA and with the first temperature recording equipment that would happen. Wink

Unless you want to go back to the LIA. More people die from cold than heat.
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Reply #419 - Dec 18th, 2019 at 10:29pm
 
...
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Reply #420 - Dec 18th, 2019 at 10:39pm
 
And not one from cold? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

But an actual paper Cheng et al

...

"Exposure to either cold or heat or a large variation in temperature was associated with increased mortality risk in Australia, but population adaptation appeared to have not occurred in most cities studied. Most of the temperature-induced deaths were attributable to cold, and contributions from temperature variability were greater than that from heat. Our findings highlight that, in addition to heat and cold, temperature variability needs to be considered in assessing and projecting the health impacts of climate change."

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0048969718340774?via%3Dihub

Yellow is cold.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #421 - Dec 18th, 2019 at 10:43pm
 
WARNING WARNING
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Reply #422 - Dec 18th, 2019 at 10:47pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Dec 18th, 2019 at 10:43pm:
WARNING WARNING


Yeah science being quoted. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #423 - Dec 19th, 2019 at 10:58am
 
lee wrote on Dec 18th, 2019 at 10:06pm:
Pho Huc wrote on Dec 18th, 2019 at 9:45pm:
Every year there is more and more evidence that his position is lunacy, and now all the psudoscience he used to try and peddle to baffle with bullshit has been debunked and disproved every which way from sunday. All he has left is trying to change the subject.
Posted by: .JaSin.  Mark & Quote Quote      



So perhaps you can debunk  the ice core data and the maximum ECR of 6.5C per doubling.

Why do you not do so. There was even a blank post from you. Grin Grin Grin Grin

But you have mentioned "evidence" petal. Perhaps you could expound? Wink


As I stated, your reduced to changing the subject. Pathetic.
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Reply #424 - Dec 19th, 2019 at 1:05pm
 
lee wrote on Dec 18th, 2019 at 10:16pm:
Pho Huc wrote on Dec 18th, 2019 at 9:36pm:
Why are there so many more high temperature records than low temperature records being broken nowadays? any scientists got a theory?


Even non-scientists understand that coming out of the LIA and with the first temperature recording equipment that would happen. Wink

Unless you want to go back to the LIA. More people die from cold than heat.



I notice you didn't respond to this. Why was that? Not a scientist? Not interested? No knowledge? Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #425 - Dec 19th, 2019 at 2:26pm
 
as per usual

storm imminent

so they've revved up the overworkd HAARP arrays again

to whip up a semi-cyclone

to rid us of rain yet again

while pushing the eat-insects and drink-sewage threats




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All my comments, posts & opinions are to be regarded as satire & humour
 
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Reply #426 - Dec 19th, 2019 at 4:58pm
 
Hottest December day on record in Canberra today, the records are being broken by the day now and not just here but everywhere, Greta GRETA to the sacrificial alter for the good of the planet.
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Reply #427 - Dec 19th, 2019 at 5:11pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Dec 19th, 2019 at 4:58pm:
Hottest December day on record in Canberra today, the records are being broken by the day now and not just here but everywhere, Greta GRETA to the sacrificial alter for the good of the planet.



Which Canberra site?
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Reply #428 - Dec 19th, 2019 at 5:20pm
 
It will be 44 in Melbourne and Geelong tomorrow.

That's a shocking temperature.
It was 48 on Black Saturday.



https://www.nationalgeographic.org/thisday/feb7/black-saturday-bushfires-austral...

On February 7, 2009, the Australian state of Victoria experienced as many as 400 individual bushfires. These wildfires scorched more than 4,500 square kilometers (1,737 square miles) of land, destroyed 2,029 homes, and killed 173 people. Recovery cost more than a billion dollars. The so-called “Black Saturday Bushfires” are often called the worst natural disaster in Australia’s history.

Bushfires are a common threat in Australia’s arid summer climate. Victoria had been enduring an unusual heat wave, with temperatures as high as 48 degrees Celsius (115 degrees Fahrenheit) and almost no rain. In addition, winds were recorded at more than 100 kilometers per hour (62 miles per hour). The government imposed a total fire ban across the state.

Most of the bushfires were the result of arson, collapsed power lines, and natural events such as lightning strikes. The fires were not fully contained or extinguished until March 14.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #429 - Dec 19th, 2019 at 5:33pm
 
lee wrote on Dec 18th, 2019 at 10:39pm:
And not one from cold? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

But an actual paper Cheng et al

https://ars.els-cdn.com/content/image/1-s2.0-S0048969718340774-ga1.jpg

"Exposure to either cold or heat or a large variation in temperature was associated with increased mortality risk in Australia, but population adaptation appeared to have not occurred in most cities studied. Most of the temperature-induced deaths were attributable to cold, and contributions from temperature variability were greater than that from heat. Our findings highlight that, in addition to heat and cold, temperature variability needs to be considered in assessing and projecting the health impacts of climate change."

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0048969718340774?via%3Dihub

Yellow is cold.


...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #430 - Dec 19th, 2019 at 5:45pm
 
lee wrote on Dec 19th, 2019 at 5:11pm:
Johnnie wrote on Dec 19th, 2019 at 4:58pm:
Hottest December day on record in Canberra today, the records are being broken by the day now and not just here but everywhere, Greta GRETA to the sacrificial alter for the good of the planet.



Which Canberra site?

That was out the back of the post office under a gum tree, various other thermo meters placed around Canberra can verify this extreme weather. The hottest day on record in Australia was smashed the other day by a massive .6°.
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Reply #431 - Dec 19th, 2019 at 5:56pm
 
random, is that from the BoM's ACORN -2 adjusted data? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #432 - Dec 19th, 2019 at 6:01pm
 
lee wrote on Dec 19th, 2019 at 5:56pm:
random, is that from the BoM's ACORN -@ adjusted data? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


Mate I'm serious, I'm willing to sell out for a buck, I could be like you easy.

How did you get the gig?  How many accounts do you have to run in a day?  I've researched this a the denial industry is booming.

PM me mate, I need some pocket money and I could do it in my PJs, would be awesome.
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Reply #433 - Dec 19th, 2019 at 6:03pm
 
random wrote on Dec 19th, 2019 at 6:01pm:
PM me mate, I need some pocket money and I could do it in my PJs, would be awesome.



That's what happens when you live in your mother's basement. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #434 - Dec 19th, 2019 at 6:05pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Dec 19th, 2019 at 5:45pm:
The hottest day on record in Australia was smashed the other day by a massive .6°.



isn't it amazing what they can do with computers these days. Averaging weather for Australia and some of those sites didn't exist in 1910 because BoM doesn't go back to 1986. Wink
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Reply #435 - Dec 19th, 2019 at 6:06pm
 
lee wrote on Dec 19th, 2019 at 6:03pm:
random wrote on Dec 19th, 2019 at 6:01pm:
PM me mate, I need some pocket money and I could do it in my PJs, would be awesome.



That's what happens when you live in your mother's basement. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


I've been studying your style, tell your boss I get it, never deny, just sow fear and doubt, that's what its about.

You could mentor me for the first few days.  PM me mate.
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Reply #436 - Dec 19th, 2019 at 6:11pm
 
random wrote on Dec 19th, 2019 at 6:06pm:
I've been studying your style, tell your boss I get it, never deny, just sow fear and doubt, that's what its about.


At least I have style petal. Grin Grin Grin

You? Nada.

And you still won't debate science. Wink
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Reply #437 - Dec 19th, 2019 at 6:24pm
 
lee wrote on Dec 19th, 2019 at 6:11pm:
random wrote on Dec 19th, 2019 at 6:06pm:
I've been studying your style, tell your boss I get it, never deny, just sow fear and doubt, that's what its about.


At least I have style petal. Grin Grin Grin

You? Nada.

And you still won't debate science. Wink


I get it right.  I'm good with it.  I can be anti-science easy as.

Doesn't matter what they post, just say stuff that questions what they post.  Even if they post stuff from the BOM or CSIRO, just say that they fudge the figures!  It's easy as bro.

PM me, I want in.
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Reply #438 - Dec 19th, 2019 at 6:34pm
 
random wrote on Dec 19th, 2019 at 6:24pm:
I can be anti-science easy as.



You show that with every attempt.

But back to your graph of more Hot days. Did you realise that more more people died from cold 2000-2009 which is in the middle of those increasing hot days?

Bizarre eh?
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Reply #439 - Dec 19th, 2019 at 6:38pm
 
lee wrote on Dec 19th, 2019 at 6:34pm:
random wrote on Dec 19th, 2019 at 6:24pm:
I can be anti-science easy as.



You show that with every attempt.

But back to your graph of more Hot days. Did you realise that more more people died from cold 2000-2009 which is in the middle of those increasing hot days?

Bizarre eh?


straw man


"noun: strawman

    1. an intentionally misrepresented proposition that is set up because it is easier to defeat than an opponent's real argument. "


See I've been studying up on this shill thing.  I need the cash mate, help me out.
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Reply #440 - Dec 21st, 2019 at 1:51pm
 
Multiple high temperature records smashed across SA yesterday, could Greta be right!
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Reply #441 - Dec 21st, 2019 at 1:59pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 1:51pm:
Multiple high temperature records smashed across SA yesterday, could Greta be right!



Probably not. She certainly isn't right about 200 animal extinctions a day.

Only 400 in the last 200 years. Wink
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Reply #442 - Dec 21st, 2019 at 3:19pm
 
lee wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 1:59pm:
Johnnie wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 1:51pm:
Multiple high temperature records smashed across SA yesterday, could Greta be right!



Probably not. She certainly isn't right about 200 animal extinctions a day.

Only 400 in the last 200 years. Wink


WOw Lee, and to think you were my hero shill!!!!!!  Even I could do better than that.

I should have your job.  Up your act mate.


   " If the low estimate of the number of species out there is true - i.e. that there are around 2 million different species on our planet** -  then that means between 200 and 2,000 extinctions occur every year.
    But if the upper estimate of species numbers is true - that there are 100 million different species co-existing with us on our planet - then between 10,000 and 100,000 species are becoming extinct each year.

*Experts actually call this natural extinction rate the background extinction rate. This simply means the rate of species extinctions that would occur if we humans were not around."
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Reply #443 - Dec 21st, 2019 at 3:56pm
 
random wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 3:19pm:
  " If the low estimate of the number of species out there is true - i.e. that there are around 2 million different species on our planet** -  then that means between 200 and 2,000 extinctions occur every year.
    But if the upper estimate of species numbers is true - that there are 100 million different species co-existing with us on our planet - then between 10,000 and 100,000 species are becoming extinct each year.

*Experts actually call this natural extinction rate the background extinction rate. This simply means the rate of species extinctions that would occur if we humans were not around."



Oh you mean the modeled study? Not base in reality Just "we don't know all the species but if we assume we only know X times" type of garbage.

Those "ifs" Grin Grin Grin Grin

"But nobody knows whether such estimates are anywhere close to reality. They are based on computer modeling, and documented losses are tiny by comparison. Only about 800 extinctions have been documented in the past 400 years, according to data held by the International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN). "

https://e360.yale.edu/features/global_extinction_rates_why_do_estimates_vary_so_...

Too bloody funny. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
But you show you don't do science.
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« Last Edit: Dec 21st, 2019 at 4:10pm by lee »  
 
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Reply #444 - Dec 21st, 2019 at 5:44pm
 
lee wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 3:56pm:
random wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 3:19pm:
  " If the low estimate of the number of species out there is true - i.e. that there are around 2 million different species on our planet** -  then that means between 200 and 2,000 extinctions occur every year.
    But if the upper estimate of species numbers is true - that there are 100 million different species co-existing with us on our planet - then between 10,000 and 100,000 species are becoming extinct each year.

*Experts actually call this natural extinction rate the background extinction rate. This simply means the rate of species extinctions that would occur if we humans were not around."



Oh you mean the modeled study? Not base in reality Just "we don't know all the species but if we assume we only know X times" type of garbage.

Those "ifs" Grin Grin Grin Grin

"But nobody knows whether such estimates are anywhere close to reality. They are based on computer modeling, and documented losses are tiny by comparison. Only about 800 extinctions have been documented in the past 400 years, according to data held by the International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN). "

https://e360.yale.edu/features/global_extinction_rates_why_do_estimates_vary_so_...

Too bloody funny. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
But you show you don't do science.


And you have just demonstrated to all here how you don't "do science".

...
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Reply #445 - Dec 21st, 2019 at 5:45pm
 
random wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 5:44pm:
And you have just demonstrated to all here how you don't "do science".



Poor petal. Puts modeled "data" up against confirmed extinctions. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Science is about observation of events petal. Not observation of models. Wink
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Reply #446 - Dec 21st, 2019 at 5:55pm
 
lee wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 5:45pm:
random wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 5:44pm:
And you have just demonstrated to all here how you don't "do science".



Poor petal. Puts modeled "data" up against confirmed extinctions. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Science is about observation of events petal. Not observation of models. Wink

...
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Reply #447 - Dec 21st, 2019 at 7:11pm
 
random wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 5:55pm:
lee wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 5:45pm:
random wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 5:44pm:
And you have just demonstrated to all here how you don't "do science".



Poor petal. Puts modeled "data" up against confirmed extinctions. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Science is about observation of events petal. Not observation of models. Wink

https://media.giphy.com/media/13C9Ls0jJOKJLq/200.gif



You got him, lee.

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #448 - Dec 21st, 2019 at 7:18pm
 
Frank wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 7:11pm:
random wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 5:55pm:
lee wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 5:45pm:
[quote author=random link=1552800608/444#444 date=1576914258]And you have just demonstrated to all here how you don't "do science".






You got him, lee.


...
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Reply #449 - Dec 21st, 2019 at 7:33pm
 
Frank wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 7:11pm:
random wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 5:55pm:
lee wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 5:45pm:
random wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 5:44pm:
And you have just demonstrated to all here how you don't "do science".



Poor petal. Puts modeled "data" up against confirmed extinctions. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Science is about observation of events petal. Not observation of models. Wink

https://media.giphy.com/media/13C9Ls0jJOKJLq/200.gif



You got him, lee.



Funni as fukkk.

Reread what he posted ...
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Reply #450 - Dec 21st, 2019 at 7:43pm
 
random wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 7:33pm:
Frank wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 7:11pm:
random wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 5:55pm:
lee wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 5:45pm:
random wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 5:44pm:
And you have just demonstrated to all here how you don't "do science".



Poor petal. Puts modeled "data" up against confirmed extinctions. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Science is about observation of events petal. Not observation of models.
Wink

https://media.giphy.com/media/13C9Ls0jJOKJLq/200.gif



You got him, lee.



Funni as fukkk.

Reread what he posted ...

I did. He got you.

In red, highlighted. In case you are still struggling with smoke in your eyes.


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Reply #451 - Dec 21st, 2019 at 7:55pm
 
So you are saying that the anti-science disinformation agent, knows something about science?

Are you for real?

Given that he does not agree with 99% of the scientists on the planet??

But is is encouraging that you sound so excited sweet pea.  I hate to have to spoil your Xmas.

But if you want to check his grasp of facts ... ask him about the population of Australia!   Grin Grin Grin Grin

Get back to us on that.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #452 - Dec 21st, 2019 at 8:10pm
 
random wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 7:55pm:
So you are saying that the anti-science disinformation agent, knows something about science?

Are you for real?

Given that he does not agree with 99% of the scientists on the planet??

But is is encouraging that you sound so excited sweet pea.  I hate to have to spoil your Xmas.

But if you want to check his grasp of facts ... ask him about the population of Australia!   Grin Grin Grin Grin

Get back to us on that.


LMFAO do you even know where the 99% of scientists comes from.....???

Pigs can fly too my friend.

Do some research and stop believing everything you hear numb nuts....ROFL......!
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1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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Reply #453 - Dec 21st, 2019 at 8:12pm
 
Ajax wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 8:10pm:
random wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 7:55pm:
So you are saying that the anti-science disinformation agent, knows something about science?

Are you for real?

Given that he does not agree with 99% of the scientists on the planet??

But is is encouraging that you sound so excited sweet pea.  I hate to have to spoil your Xmas.

But if you want to check his grasp of facts ... ask him about the population of Australia!   Grin Grin Grin Grin

Get back to us on that.


LMFAO do you even know where the 99% of scientists comes from.....???

Pigs can fly too my friend.

Do some research and stop believing everything you hear numb nuts....ROFL......!



Hahahha aa

Ask lee how many people there are in australia.   Goo warn I dare ya!
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Reply #454 - Dec 21st, 2019 at 8:16pm
 
random wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 7:55pm:
So you are saying that the anti-science disinformation agent, knows something about science?

Are you for real?

Given that he does not agree with 99% of the scientists on the planet??

But is is encouraging that you sound so excited sweet pea.  I hate to have to spoil your Xmas.

But if you want to check his grasp of facts ... ask him about the population of Australia!   Grin Grin Grin Grin

Get back to us on that.



Say something, don't just talk.


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Reply #455 - Dec 21st, 2019 at 8:27pm
 
random wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 7:55pm:
So you are saying that the anti-science disinformation agent, knows something about science?


Nice deflection petal. Wink

But the population figures are on the low side so it would make the number of comparative deaths higher. Wink

But you didn't get back to us about  what was wrong with the statement. I would have thought someone as au fait with science would have something to offer. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #456 - Dec 21st, 2019 at 8:31pm
 
lee wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 8:27pm:
random wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 7:55pm:
So you are saying that the anti-science disinformation agent, knows something about science?


Nice deflection petal. Wink

But the population figures are on the low side so it would make the number of comparative deaths higher. Wink

But you didn't get back to us about  what was wrong with the statement. I would have thought someone as au fait with science would have something to offer. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


Yeah, only out by +10%.  But that's pretty accurate for you.  Well done.

So tell me where did you get the 22m figure from ... did you just make it up as usual?
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Reply #457 - Dec 21st, 2019 at 8:48pm
 
random wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 8:31pm:
So tell me where did you get the 22m figure from .



Still trying to change the subject petal? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #458 - Dec 21st, 2019 at 9:14pm
 
lee wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 8:48pm:
random wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 8:31pm:
So tell me where did you get the 22m figure from .



Still trying to change the subject petal? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


But I'm interested, did you just make it up or bugger up on a google search?  Anyone else in Australia would have known that 22 was passed years ago.

Are you in australia?
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Reply #459 - Dec 21st, 2019 at 9:17pm
 
Arson, mischief and recklessness: 87 per cent of fires are man-made


CO2 and Antropogenic climate change turns people into arsonists......







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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #460 - Dec 21st, 2019 at 9:27pm
 
Frank wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 9:17pm:
Arson, mischief and recklessness: 87 per cent of fires are man-made


CO2 and Antropogenic climate change turns people into arsonists......





You are so educated Frank, I'm impressed mate.  You have actually heard of climate change, that's goooood.  Next step is to understand what that means.  But keep trying, You'll get there ... eventually, maybe.

Backburning in Gospers Mountain mega fire claims 20 buildings at Bilpin and Mt Wilson


"There was backburning in the area and unfortunately, due to the conditions they're burning in, it's taken one ember to cross over the wrong side," a NSW Rural Fire Service spokeswoman said on Monday.

"That's where it took a run and it was escalated to emergency warning and then we have had reports of homes lost in the area."


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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #461 - Dec 21st, 2019 at 9:40pm
 
random wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 9:27pm:
Frank wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 9:17pm:
Arson, mischief and recklessness: 87 per cent of fires are man-made


CO2 and Antropogenic climate change turns people into arsonists......





You are so educated Frank, I'm impressed mate.  You have actually heard of climate change, that's goooood.  Next step is to understand what that means.  But keep trying, You'll get there ... eventually, maybe.

Backburning in Gospers Mountain mega fire claims 20 buildings at Bilpin and Mt Wilson


"There was backburning in the area and unfortunately, due to the conditions they're burning in, it's taken one ember to cross over the wrong side," a NSW Rural Fire Service spokeswoman said on Monday.

"That's where it took a run and it was escalated to emergency warning and then we have had reports of homes lost in the area."





Cheeses, not ANOTHER know-nuffin' lippy git!!!!   What is the difference between this fire and the fires 50, 100, 1000 years ago??  More houses in the way of the fire.


Did those houses spring up in fire=prone areas because of increased human CO2?  No.


Looking at the news, I am thinking that the people who built their houses in the middle of the forrest must have been out of their minds.   






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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #462 - Dec 21st, 2019 at 9:45pm
 
random wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 9:14pm:
But I'm interested, did you just make it up or bugger up on a google search? 


Nope i just buggered up generally. We humans are allowed to make mistakes. You. Wink

Now tell us more of what you the definition of science is. Don't try to duck it petal. Tell me where I was wrong. You know you would like to. Wink
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Reply #463 - Dec 21st, 2019 at 9:51pm
 
State of the Climate 2018

Australia's changing climate
Temperature

Australia's weather and climate are changing in response to a warming global climate. Australia has warmed just over 1 °C since 1910, with most warming since 1950. This warming has seen an increase in the frequency of extreme heat events and increased the severity of drought conditions during periods of below-average rainfall. Eight of Australia’s top ten warmest years on record have occurred since 2005.

...
Number of days each year where the Australian area-averaged daily mean temperature is extreme. Extreme days are those above the 99th percentile of each month from the years 1910–2017. These extreme daily events typically occur over a large area, with generally more than 40 per cent of Australia experiencing temperatures in the warmest 10 per cent for that month.

Fire weather

Fire weather is largely monitored in Australia using the Forest Fire Danger Index (FFDI). This index estimates the fire danger on a given day based on observations of temperature, rainfall, humidity and wind speed. The annual 90th percentile of daily FFDI (i.e., the most extreme 10 per cent of fire weather days) has increased in recent decades across many regions of Australia, especially in southern and eastern Australia. There has been an associated increase in the length of the fire weather season. Climate change, including increasing temperatures, is contributing to these changes. Considerable year‑to‑year variability also occurs, with La Niña years, for example 2010–2011 and 1999–2000, generally associated with a lower number of days with high FFDI values.
...
Area average of the number of days with FFDI greater than 25 (very high fire danger) in Victoria in spring for the years starting in July (1978–2017). Although there is considerable interannual variability in the index, there is also a clear trend in more recent decades towards a greater number of very high fire weather days in spring

...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #464 - Dec 21st, 2019 at 10:08pm
 
Stats - dontcha love it? (You do)
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Reply #465 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 6:04am
 
Frank wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 10:08pm:
Stats - dontcha love it? (You do)


No, it's called science.

Clearly that is a foreign language to you but we are here to help.
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Reply #466 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 10:30am
 
Random is ignored till he stops spamming

The Nobel Committee Flunks Science
Ian Rutherford Plimer  is an Australian geologist, professor emeritus of earth sciences at the University of Melbourne, professor of mining geology at the University of Adelaide, and the director of multiple mineral exploration and mining companies.
He has published 130 scientific papers, six books and edited the Encyclopedia of Geology. Sounds pretty learned/credible, don't you think?
These are his extensive credentials:

Born - February 12 1946

Residence - Australia

Nationality - Australian

Fields - Earth Science, Geology, Mining Engineering

Institutions - University of New England, University of Newcastle, University of Melbourne, University of Adelaide, Alma mater, University of New South Wales, Macquarie University

Thesis - The pipe deposits of tungsten-molybdenum-bismuth in eastern Australia (1976)

Notable awards - Eureka Prize (1995, 2002), Centenary Medal(2003), Clarke Medal (2004)


Where Does the Carbon Dioxide Really Come From?
Professor Ian Plimer's book in a brief summary:
PLIMER : "Okay, here's the bombshell. The volcanic eruption in Iceland. Since its first spewing of volcanic ash, it has, in just FOUR DAYS, NEGATED EVERY SINGLE EFFORT you have made in the past five years to control CO2 emissions on our planet - all of you.
Of course, you know about this evil carbon dioxide that we are trying to suppress - it's that vital chemical compound that every plant requires to live and grow and to synthesize into oxygen for us humans and all animal life.
I know....it's very disheartening to realize that all of the carbon emission savings you have accomplished while suffering the inconvenience and expense of driving Prius hybrids, buying fabric grocery bags, sitting up till midnight to finish your kids "The Green Revolution" science project, throwing out all of your non-green cleaning supplies, using only two squares of toilet paper, putting a brick in your toilet tank reservoir, selling your SUV and speedboat, vacationing at home instead of abroad,nearly getting hit every day on your bicycle, replacing all of your 50 cent light bulbs with $10.00 light bulbs.....well, all of those things you have done have all gone down the tubes in just four days!
The volcanic ash emitted into the Earth's atmosphere in just four days - yes, FOUR DAYS - by that volcano in Iceland has totally erased every single effort you have made to reduce the evil beast, carbon. And there are around 200 active volcanoes on the planet spewing out this crud at any one time - EVERY DAY.
I don't really want to rain on your parade too much, but I should mention that when the volcano Mt Pinatubo erupted in the Philippines in 1991, it spewed out more greenhouse gases into the atmosphere than the entire human race had emitted in all its years on earth.
Yes, folks, Mt Pinatubo was active for over One year - think about it.
Of course, I shouldn't spoil this 'touchy-feely tree-hugging' moment and mention the effect of natural solar and cosmic activity, and the well-recognized 800-year global heating and cooling cycle, which keeps happening despite our completely insignificant efforts to affect climate change.
And I do wish I had a silver lining to this volcanic ash cloud, but the fact of the matter is that the wildfire season across the western USA and Australia this year alone will negate your efforts to reduce carbon in our world for the next two to three years. And it happens every year.
Just remember that your government just tried to impose a whopping carbon tax on you, on the basis of the BOGUS 'human-caused' climate-change scenario.
Hey, isn't it interesting how they don't mention 'Global Warming' anymore, but just 'Climate Change.
It's because the planet has COOLED by 0.7 degrees in the past century and these global warming advocates got caught with their pants down.
And, just keep in mind that you might yet have an Emissions Trading Scheme - that whopping new tax - imposed on you by your government, that will achieve absolutely nothing except make you poorer.
It won't stop any volcanoes from erupting, that's for sure.
But, hey, .....go give the world a hug and have a nice day
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #467 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 10:52am
 
Indeed.
I can only add that many of the active volcanos are unknown, being under the oceans.

Air pollution and CO2 are not the same, btw.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #468 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 12:06pm
 
random wrote on Dec 21st, 2019 at 9:51pm:
State of the Climate 2018



Poor old random. Using BoM's magically enhanced ACORN-2 temperatures as a guide. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

And bushfire days from 1978 on? We didn't have bushfires before then? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

random says 8 year olds can read science, 16 year olds can read science. Does that mean random is under 8 years old?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #469 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 12:35pm
 
I don't like the looks of this graph. how many more species are living on the edge and what about the insect and marine world that we know very little about.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #470 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 1:46pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 12:35pm:
I don't like the looks of this graph. how many more species are living on the edge and what about the insect and marine world that we know very little about.


You don't like the look of the graph? Maybe you should tart it up.

From the reference in the graphic -

"Here, we analyze the modern rates of vertebrate species extinction and compare them with a recently computed background rate for mammals " Grin Grin Grin Grin

And Paul Ehrlich father of the "the battle to feed all of humanity is over. In the 1970s hundreds of millions of people will starve to death in spite of any crash programs embarked upon now. At this late date nothing can prevent a substantial increase in the world death rate"

Now for the science IE observations not models -

"But nobody knows whether such estimates are anywhere close to reality. They are based on computer modeling, and documented losses are tiny by comparison. Only about 800 extinctions have been documented in the past 400 years, according to data held by the International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN). "

https://e360.yale.edu/features/global_extinction_rates_why_do_estimates_vary_so_...

But you must tell us how warming has caused these extinctions. Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #471 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 2:20pm
 
lee wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 1:46pm:
Johnnie wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 12:35pm:
I don't like the looks of this graph. how many more species are living on the edge and what about the insect and marine world that we know very little about.


You don't like the look of the graph? Maybe you should tart it up.

From the reference in the graphic -

"Here, we analyze the modern rates of vertebrate species extinction and compare them with a recently computed background rate for mammals " Grin Grin Grin Grin

And Paul Ehrlich father of the "the battle to feed all of humanity is over. In the 1970s hundreds of millions of people will starve to death in spite of any crash programs embarked upon now. At this late date nothing can prevent a substantial increase in the world death rate"

Now for the science IE observations not models -

"But nobody knows whether such estimates are anywhere close to reality. They are based on computer modeling, and documented losses are tiny by comparison. Only about 800 extinctions have been documented in the past 400 years, according to data held by the International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN). "

https://e360.yale.edu/features/global_extinction_rates_why_do_estimates_vary_so_...

But you must tell us how warming has caused these extinctions. Wink

Warming is but one of the contributors to mass extinction, nothing we can do quick enough is going to do anything, its the snowball effect which follows the past the tipping point effect.

Was that whole graph BS Lee.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #472 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 2:32pm
 
Johnnie wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 2:20pm:
Warming is but one of the contributors to mass extinction, nothing we can do quick enough is going to do anything, its the snowball effect which follows the past the tipping point effect.


You mean the computer modeled mass extinction event? Grin Grin Grin Grin

Johnnie wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 2:20pm:
Was that whole graph BS Lee.



Seeing it was based on computer modelling  -yes. Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #473 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 2:35pm
 
Humbling hills
Ian Plimer

Ian Plimer


Hidden in the spectacular rugged mountains of the far north Flinders Ranges at Arkaroola is a climate story written in stone.

What were muds, silts and sands were compressed, pushed down and became so hot that they melted 1600 million years ago. Uranium was concentrated in these melts which solidified into a radioactive granite. Further compression pushed the radioactive granite and cooked rocks up into a mountain range. A billion years later, the giant supercontinent Rodinia fragmented. Erosion flattened the mountains at Arkaroola and basalt lava spewed out from deep fractures. Stretching of the Earth led to the formation of a large basin called the Adelaide Rift Complex.

Sand, silt and mud were deposited in the shallow warm marine basin. Towards the base of this thick pile of sediments were bacterial colonies that extracted carbon dioxide from seawater to form stromatolite reefs. Dolomite is a very voluminous marine sediment in the Complex. Experiments show that dolomite can only form when the atmosphere has hundreds of times more carbon dioxide than today.

The Sturtian ice age occurred 700 million years ago. Ice covered the planet. An ice sheet at least 20 kilometres thick was at sea level at equatorial Arkaroola. This was the greatest ice age the Earth had ever experienced yet the atmosphere contained hundreds of times the current CO2 content. Using climate activist ideology, there should have been runaway global warming rather than an ice age.

Only continental glacial and deep-sea sediments formed during the Sturtian. Immediately after, the planet warmed. This was not due to human emissions of carbon dioxide. Dolomitic marine rocks on top of glacial debris confirm a sea level rise of at least 1,500 metres. Chemical fingerprints of these dolomites show that sea water was +40°C immediately after an ice age. That’s real global warming. Ice sheets contained boulders, sand, silt, mud and very fine-grained ground-up material called rock flour. Melt waters washed rock flour into the oceans providing nutrients for the bacterial life that survived the ice age. Warm times about 650 million years ago led to the emergence of animal life from nutrient-rich warm sea water. The Arkaroola Reef was a barrier reef. It contains fossils of the first multicellular life on Earth. Up until recently, it was thought that the Ediacaran fauna (580 to 542 million years old) was the first animal life on Earth. This is now wrong. Science advances by refutation.

Red rocks formed on tidal flats show that after the formation of the Arkaroola Reef, there was more oxygen in the carbon dioxide-rich atmosphere. They also show Arkaroola was still close to the equator, the moon was far closer to the Earth than now and an Earth year was 400 days long. Warm times came to a sudden end with the onset of the Marinoan glaciation 635 million years ago. It was less intense and shorter lived than the Sturtian glaciation and Earth was again a snowball. Sea level dropped, the surface of oceans froze and animals in the Arkaroola Reef became extinct. The geological record shows time and again that extinction and loss of reefs occurs during cooling and sea level fall and not due to global warming as climate activists try to tell us. The Marinoan started when atmospheric CO2 was hundreds of times the current level showing it cannot drive global warming.

Ice at Arkaroola was again at sea level at the equator and a seasonal freeze-thaw resulted in icebergs calving from glaciers. They floated out to sea, melted and dropped rocks onto the sea floor. When sea ice covered the oceans, iron dissolved from sea floor sediments back into seawater. When the sea ice broke up, currents circulated oxygenated seawater and dissolved iron precipitated onto the sea floor in a global event that formed iron ore. Debris left behind by retreating glaciers was covered by dolomitic rocks that again formed at +40°C.

Meltwaters washed nutritious rock flour into the oceans, single-celled bacteria evolved to give the second global evolution of animal life 580 million years ago. This time it stood the test of time. About 80 different sponge-like animals were present from 580 to 542 million years ago. These animals fed on sea floor bacterial mats and, in an explosion of predatory life 542 million years ago, they were dinner for organisms that used the abundant CO2 in seawater to make protective shells, skeletons and scales. Red marine muds formed as the sea rose to cover land. There was enough oxygen in the carbon dioxide-rich atmosphere to rust soils.

The Gawler Ranges was hit 580 million years ago by an asteroid 4 kms in diameter. The 90-km diameter impact crater is in a unique red volcanic rock that does not occur at Arkaroola. Melted, vapourised and shocked red volcanic debris went for a trip through space and landed back on Earth in mud hundreds of kilometres away from the impact crater. Ripple marks in the mud show that there were tsunamis travelling at 900 km/hr.
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Reply #474 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 2:35pm
 
Meanwhile, underneath the Adelaide Rift Complex’s insulating sediment blanket, radioactive granite was undergoing a natural nuclear reaction and giving out heat. At Arkaroola, the older rocks were heated to 750°C and partially melted 440 million years ago to form a granite extraordinarily enriched in uranium. Arkaroola is the only place in the world where radioactive heat has melted rocks.

An inrush of water 360 million years ago into hot rocks led to massive explosions, geysers, hot springs, thermal pools and the formation of the Mount Painter gas volcano. Arkaroola is the longest-lived geothermal system in the world with hot springs active for the last 360 million years. Modern 57°C hot springs at Arkaroola are radioactive and contain algal mats and bacteria that like it hot and radioactive. These springs are a window into early life on Earth and Mars.

The area was covered by sediments of the Great Artesian Basin. Mountain glaciers dropped debris 130 million years ago into fissures. At that time Arkaroola was polar with a temperate climate and the atmosphere had a far higher CO2 content than today. There is no relationship between atmospheric CO2 and climate.

Over the last hundred million years, most of the Adelaide Rift Complex and Great Artesian Basin sediments were stripped off as the area has been rising due to the opening of the Tasman Sea. The area is still rising and has abundant earth tremors. Over the last few million years, Arkaroola has alternated between tropical and arid conditions and some hidden valleys in this arid mountainous terrain still have remnant tropical flora.

Evidence from the past is why geologists regard human-induced global warming as total nonsense. The story of the planet is far more evocative, exciting and complex than ideology demanding that a major planetary process is driven by the addition by humans of traces of the gas of life to the atmosphere.

https://www.spectator.com.au/2019/12/humbling-hills/
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #475 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 2:45pm
 
Thanks Frank - and all that radioactive granite free energy is wasted?
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Reply #476 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 5:55pm
 
Frank wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 2:35pm:

Evidence from the past is why geologists regard human-induced global warming as total nonsense. The story of the planet is far more evocative, exciting and complex than ideology demanding that a major planetary process is driven by the addition by humans of traces of the gas of life to the atmosphere.

https://www.spectator.com.au/2019/12/humbling-hills/


Meanwhile, back on planet Earth.

Future climate

Climate change will continue in the decades ahead, superimposed on natural variability. Changes in the climate, particularly in weather and climate extremes, can have a very significant impact on our environment and wellbeing, including on ecosystems, agriculture and the built environment.

Using our scientific understanding of the climate system, and advanced computer simulations, we can analyse the causes of past climate changes and explore projected future climate under differing scenarios of human emissions of greenhouse gases and aerosols. The amount of climate change expected in the next decade or so is similar under all plausible global emissions pathways. However, by the mid-21st Century, higher ongoing emissions of greenhouse gases will lead to greater warming and associated impacts, and reducing emissions will lead to less warming and fewer associated impacts.
...

Greenhouse gases

The global annual mean CO2 level in 2017 was 405 ppm—a 46 per cent increase from the concentration of 278 ppm around the year 1750, and likely the highest level in at least the past two million years. Cape Grim, located at the northwest tip of Tasmania, is one of three key global greenhouse gas monitoring stations in the World Meteorological Organization’s Global Atmosphere Watch program, and has been running continuously for 42 years. Atmospheric concentration of CO2 measured at the Cape Grim Baseline Air Pollution Station shows a steady upward trend, passing 400 ppm in May 2016 and remaining above this level since. The annual average CO2 concentration at Cape Grim in 2017 was 402 ppm.

...

...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #477 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 5:58pm
 
Frank wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 2:35pm:
Humbling hills
Ian Plimer

Ian Plimer


Hidden in the spectacular rugged mountains of the far north Flinders Ranges at Arkaroola is a climate story written in stone.

What were muds, silts and sands were compressed, pushed down and became so hot that they melted 1600 million years ago. Uranium was concentrated in these melts which solidified into a radioactive granite. Further compression pushed the radioactive granite and cooked rocks up into a mountain range. A billion years later, the giant supercontinent Rodinia fragmented. Erosion flattened the mountains at Arkaroola and basalt lava spewed out from deep fractures. Stretching of the Earth led to the formation of a large basin called the Adelaide Rift Complex.

<snipped to save the planet>.


Ian Plimer

Ian R. Plimer (born February 12, 1946), a mining geologist, mining company director and anthropogenic global warming denier with no evident expertise in climate science, has written the "denier's bible", a book called Heaven and Earth, which makes mutually-inconsistent claims[2] and was panned as being riddled with errors. In 2011 he wrote the "anti-warmist manual" How to Get Expelled From School: A guide to climate change for pupils, parents and punters, which reviewers found to be full of scientific errors, containing flawed and undocumented diagrams, and sloppily edited.[3][4][
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #478 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 6:10pm
 
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 5:58pm:
Ian Plimer



random still gets his science from wiki. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #479 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 6:16pm
 
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 5:55pm:
Climate change will continue in the decades ahead, superimposed on natural variability.


So what was it the IPCC said about climate modelling? I'll check.

“In sum, a strategy must recognise what is possible. In climate research and modelling, we should recognise that we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that the long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible”
IPCC Third Assessment Report, The Scientific Basis 14 2 2 2, p.774


So you mean climate models are true?  What was it I told you about observations and models?

Some things just never sink in. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/03/TAR-14.pdf
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #480 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 6:37pm
 
lee wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 6:16pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 5:55pm:
Climate change will continue in the decades ahead, superimposed on natural variability.


So what was it the IPCC said about climate modelling? I'll check.


So you mean climate models are true?  What was it I told you about observations and models?

Some things just never sink in. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/03/TAR-14.pdf


Yep they are true.  Very accurate even though climate denying shills paid to say otherwise.




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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #481 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 6:47pm
 
So in your not so impressive graphic the observations are in the lower third of the climate models included. But they excluded many more which weren't even that close. Grin Grin Grin Grin

Why don't you give the name of the paper or don't you know? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #482 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 6:47pm
 
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 6:37pm:
lee wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 6:16pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 5:55pm:
Climate change will continue in the decades ahead, superimposed on natural variability.


So what was it the IPCC said about climate modelling? I'll check.


So you mean climate models are true?  What was it I told you about observations and models?

Some things just never sink in. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/03/TAR-14.pdf


Yep they are true.  Very accurate even though climate denying shills paid to say otherwise.


Last 29 years of empirical data since that 1990 IPCC computer model prediction of 2.78°C is that we are headed for a 1° C increase by end of this century.

To get to 2.78° C we should have been at a certain plateau but we aren't.

Pay attention to observations of nature numb nuts.

Warming by the end of this century

IPCC computer models  in 1990 projected warming………................+2.78° C / end of this Century

Observations of nature the last 29 years suggest a warming of........+1.07° C / end of this Century


...
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« Last Edit: Dec 22nd, 2019 at 7:06pm by Ajax »  

1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #483 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 6:54pm
 
Maybe random/chimera was pointing to Zeke Hausfather's "50 years of climate models"?

“Our implied TCR approach effectively accounts for mismatches between models and observations without the need to dig through punch cards and FORTRAN 77 code.”

parametrisations or parametrisations . What could possibly go wrong? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #484 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 7:48pm
 
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 7:46pm:
Is sad that most people couldn't care enough to point it out.



it's been pointed out by many people, many times .... just ignore the fool
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Our esteemed leader:
I hope that bitch who was running their brothels for them gets raped with a cactus.
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #485 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:03pm
 
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 7:46pm:
Mate you are a faaarkin shill, everyone can see that.  Is sad that most people couldn't care enough to point it out.



Poor petal. Rebutting the science so well. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #486 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:04pm
 
John Smith wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 7:48pm:
t's been pointed out by many people, many times .... just ignore the fool



Poor petal. Is the temperature of your car still warmer than temperature in the shade? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #487 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:07pm
 
poor petal. reduced to displaying his pretty pictures again.

A tribute to his scientific bent. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #488 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:08pm
 
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:05pm:
lee wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:03pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 7:46pm:
Mate you are a faaarkin shill, everyone can see that.  Is sad that most people couldn't care enough to point it out.



Poor petal. Rebutting the science so well. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-oUiEIt61xTY/XDtrMOaxuSI/AAAAAAAAB2Y/MysPGCEsACoDxRPnR...




"A shill, also called a plant or a stooge, is a person who publicly helps or gives credibility to a person or organization without disclosing that they have a close relationship with the person or organization."


Random,
I now ask you as the mod to prove your statement.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #489 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:10pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:08pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:05pm:
lee wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:03pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 7:46pm:
Mate you are a faaarkin shill, everyone can see that.  Is sad that most people couldn't care enough to point it out.



Poor petal. Rebutting the science so well. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-oUiEIt61xTY/XDtrMOaxuSI/AAAAAAAAB2Y/MysPGCEsACoDxRPnR...




"A shill, also called a plant or a stooge, is a person who publicly helps or gives credibility to a person or organization without disclosing that they have a close relationship with the person or organization."


Random,
I now ask you as the mod to prove your statement.


What does asking as  "the mod" mean?
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So many farkwits, so little time.
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #490 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:11pm
 
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:10pm:
Bobby. wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:08pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:05pm:
lee wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:03pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 7:46pm:
Mate you are a faaarkin shill, everyone can see that.  Is sad that most people couldn't care enough to point it out.



Poor petal. Rebutting the science so well. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-oUiEIt61xTY/XDtrMOaxuSI/AAAAAAAAB2Y/MysPGCEsACoDxRPnR...




"A shill, also called a plant or a stooge, is a person who publicly helps or gives credibility to a person or organization without disclosing that they have a close relationship with the person or organization."


Random,
I now ask you as the mod to prove your statement.


What does asking as  "the mod" mean?



the moderator of this MRB.   Roll Eyes
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #491 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:13pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:11pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:10pm:
Bobby. wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:08pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:05pm:
lee wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:03pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 7:46pm:
Mate you are a faaarkin shill, everyone can see that.  Is sad that most people couldn't care enough to point it out.



Poor petal. Rebutting the science so well. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-oUiEIt61xTY/XDtrMOaxuSI/AAAAAAAAB2Y/MysPGCEsACoDxRPnR...




"A shill, also called a plant or a stooge, is a person who publicly helps or gives credibility to a person or organization without disclosing that they have a close relationship with the person or organization."


Random,
I now ask you as the mod to prove your statement.


What does asking as  "the mod" mean?



the moderator of this MRB.   Roll Eyes


So what of it?  You going to ban me for calling someone a shill?

That what you mean?
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So many farkwits, so little time.
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #492 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:16pm
 
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:13pm:
Bobby. wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:11pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:10pm:
Bobby. wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:08pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:05pm:
lee wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:03pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 7:46pm:
Mate you are a faaarkin shill, everyone can see that.  Is sad that most people couldn't care enough to point it out.



Poor petal. Rebutting the science so well. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-oUiEIt61xTY/XDtrMOaxuSI/AAAAAAAAB2Y/MysPGCEsACoDxRPnR...




"A shill, also called a plant or a stooge, is a person who publicly helps or gives credibility to a person or organization without disclosing that they have a close relationship with the person or organization."


Random,
I now ask you as the mod to prove your statement.


What does asking as  "the mod" mean?



the moderator of this MRB.   Roll Eyes


So what of it?  You going to ban me for calling someone a shill?

That what you mean?



Are you going to play by the rules?

http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1571963355

Are you asking that an exception be made for you?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #493 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:19pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:16pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:13pm:
Bobby. wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:11pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:10pm:
Bobby. wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:08pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:05pm:
lee wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:03pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 7:46pm:
Mate you are a faaarkin shill, everyone can see that.  Is sad that most people couldn't care enough to point it out.



Poor petal. Rebutting the science so well. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-oUiEIt61xTY/XDtrMOaxuSI/AAAAAAAAB2Y/MysPGCEsACoDxRPnR...




"A shill, also called a plant or a stooge, is a person who publicly helps or gives credibility to a person or organization without disclosing that they have a close relationship with the person or organization."


Random,
I now ask you as the mod to prove your statement.


What does asking as  "the mod" mean?



the moderator of this MRB.   Roll Eyes


So what of it?  You going to ban me for calling someone a shill?

That what you mean?



Are you going to play by the rules?

http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1571963355

Are you asking that an exception be made for you?


Are you just getting back at me because of what Light called me?

Is that it?
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So many farkwits, so little time.
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #494 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:20pm
 
John Smith wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:08pm:
stay off the drugs you idiot.



Why are you controlling the intake? So tell us is your car hotter than shade temperature? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #495 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:29pm
 
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:19pm:
Bobby. wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:16pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:13pm:
Bobby. wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:11pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:10pm:
Bobby. wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:08pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:05pm:
lee wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:03pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 7:46pm:
Mate you are a faaarkin shill, everyone can see that.  Is sad that most people couldn't care enough to point it out.



Poor petal. Rebutting the science so well. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-oUiEIt61xTY/XDtrMOaxuSI/AAAAAAAAB2Y/MysPGCEsACoDxRPnR...




"A shill, also called a plant or a stooge, is a person who publicly helps or gives credibility to a person or organization without disclosing that they have a close relationship with the person or organization."


Random,
I now ask you as the mod to prove your statement.


What does asking as  "the mod" mean?



the moderator of this MRB.   Roll Eyes


So what of it?  You going to ban me for calling someone a shill?

That what you mean?



Are you going to play by the rules?

http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1571963355

Are you asking that an exception be made for you?


Are you just getting back at me because of what Light called me?

Is that it?



No - if you fail to provide evidence of your ad hominem
abuse of Lee I'll delete your nonsense posts.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #496 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:30pm
 
lee wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:20pm:
John Smith wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:08pm:
stay off the drugs you idiot.



Why are you controlling the intake? So tell us is your car hotter than shade temperature? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin



Smith will also have some posts deleted for his
ad-hominem abuse.
It's about time I tidied up this thread.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #497 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:31pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:29pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:19pm:
Bobby. wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:16pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:13pm:
Bobby. wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:11pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:10pm:
Bobby. wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:08pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:05pm:
lee wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:03pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 7:46pm:
Mate you are a faaarkin shill, everyone can see that.  Is sad that most people couldn't care enough to point it out.



Poor petal. Rebutting the science so well. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-oUiEIt61xTY/XDtrMOaxuSI/AAAAAAAAB2Y/MysPGCEsACoDxRPnR...




"A shill, also called a plant or a stooge, is a person who publicly helps or gives credibility to a person or organization without disclosing that they have a close relationship with the person or organization."


Random,
I now ask you as the mod to prove your statement.


What does asking as  "the mod" mean?



the moderator of this MRB.   Roll Eyes


So what of it?  You going to ban me for calling someone a shill?

That what you mean?



Are you going to play by the rules?

http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1571963355

Are you asking that an exception be made for you?


Are you just getting back at me because of what Light called me?

Is that it?



No - if you fail to provide evidence of your ad hominem
abuse of Lee I'll delete your nonsense posts.


So, let's get down to the facts here.

Do you or don't you believe in the sky fairy?
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So many farkwits, so little time.
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #498 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:36pm
 
OK -
I deleted the ad-hominem abuse from Smith and Random.


That looks a lot better.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #499 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:36pm
 
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:31pm:
So, let's get down to the facts here.


Ah facts. You have proof that I am A shill?

Please present it. That would be a fact. Something that you wish to present obviously. Wink

You wouldn't want to post something entirely fact free would you?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #500 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:37pm
 
lee wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:36pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:31pm:
So, let's get down to the facts here.


Ah facts. You have proof that I am A shill?

Please present it. That would be a fact. Something that you wish to present obviously. Wink

You wouldn't want to post something entirely fact free would you?




It's all deleted now -
I think Random and Smith have got the message?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #501 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:42pm
 
lee wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:36pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:31pm:
So, let's get down to the facts here.


Ah facts. You have proof that I am A shill?

Please present it. That would be a fact. Something that you wish to present obviously. Wink

You wouldn't want to post something entirely fact free would you?


No of course not.

Is that like when you tried to tell is that there were 22 million people on Australia?

Like when you try to tell us that CO2 has nothing to do with climate when I post evidence that it does?

...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #502 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:46pm
 
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:39pm:
Bobby. wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:36pm:
OK -
I deleted the ad-hominem abuse from Smith and Random.


That looks a lot better.


weak as piss Bobby.

It's not ad-hominem, it's science you are deleting.

That's a crime, the planet we live on is at risk and you support deniers?  Have you any morals are all?

Why did you not forgive me?



Calling someone a shill or an idiot is not science it's ad hominem abuse.

It's against the rules.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #503 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:47pm
 
lee wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:36pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:31pm:
So, let's get down to the facts here.


Ah facts. You have proof that I am A shill?

Please present it. That would be a fact. Something that you wish to present obviously. Wink

You wouldn't want to post something entirely fact free would you?



Random has no proof - he's a typical troll.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #504 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:51pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:47pm:
lee wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:36pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:31pm:
So, let's get down to the facts here.


Ah facts. You have proof that I am A shill?

Please present it. That would be a fact. Something that you wish to present obviously. Wink

You wouldn't want to post something entirely fact free would you?



Random has no proof - he's a typical troll.


That's what shills do dummy.

They hide behind an anonymous account and only admins know where they come from.  But experienced people can pick them a mile off.

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #505 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:55pm
 
Great place this.

People who post anti-science are protected, people who call them out have the post deleted.

Meanwhile the planet ...

...
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So many farkwits, so little time.
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #506 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:58pm
 
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:51pm:
That's what shills do dummy.

They hide behind an anonymous account and only admins know where they come from.



Poor petal No proof oh dear. merely opinion.

random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:51pm:
But experienced people can pick them a mile off.



And you are experienced in shill detection? Please give us details so that we may know what qualifications you hold in shill detection. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #507 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:02pm
 
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:55pm:
People who post anti-science are protected, people who call them out have the post deleted.



What anti-science petal. Computer models? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Post some science. Remember computer models are not science.

random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:55pm:
Meanwhile the planet ...



meanwhile the planet what - burns? Where Canada? Siberia? Greenland? What a little troll you are.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #508 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:04pm
 
Oh look the other troll is back. That one that was amazed his car temperature was hotter than shade temperature.

Another budding scientist. Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #509 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:13pm
 
lee wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:04pm:
Oh look the other troll is back. That one that was amazed his car temperature was hotter than shade temperature.

Another budding scientist. Wink


Clearly you are a climate denial troll?


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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #510 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:17pm
 
lee wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:04pm:
Oh look the other troll is back. That one that was amazed his car temperature was hotter than shade temperature.

Another budding scientist. Wink


shows just how little you understand of what you read ... keep up the good work.
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Our esteemed leader:
I hope that bitch who was running their brothels for them gets raped with a cactus.
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #511 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:19pm
 
lee wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:02pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:55pm:
People who post anti-science are protected, people who call them out have the post deleted.



What anti-science petal. Computer models? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Post some science. Remember computer models are not science.

random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 8:55pm:
Meanwhile the planet ...



meanwhile the planet what - burns? Where Canada? Siberia? Greenland? What a little troll you are.


Remind us about how many people there are in Australia!

You are so good with facts, numbers in particular.

...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #512 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:21pm
 
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:13pm:
Clearly you are a climate denial troll?



no petal I do not dent climate. Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #513 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:22pm
 
John Smith wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:17pm:
shows just how little you understand of what you read ..


It is not my fault if you can't articulate a proposition. Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #514 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:24pm
 
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:19pm:
Remind us about how many people there are in Australia!


So you disremember again. I have already corrected my early post. Are you really that obtuse forgetful? Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #515 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:35pm
 
lee wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:24pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:19pm:
Remind us about how many people there are in Australia!


So you disremember again. I have already corrected my early post. Are you really that obtuse forgetful? Wink


No one reads your 'earlier' posts, not me.  I recall what you said and It's probably in my quotes.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #516 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:45pm
 
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:35pm:
No one reads your 'earlier' posts, not me.  I recall what you said and It's probably in my quotes.



And yet I responded to you three times. Very forgetful. Wink

But I take it you don't have the requisite experience to determine a shill? Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #517 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:50pm
 
lee wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:45pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:35pm:
No one reads your 'earlier' posts, not me.  I recall what you said and It's probably in my quotes.



And yet I responded to you three times. Very forgetful. Wink

But I take it you don't have the requisite experience to determine a shill? Grin Grin Grin Grin

...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #518 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 10:01pm
 
WHo? Certainly not you. You don't even do science. Therefore you don't know what science disinformation is; except possibly that it is a word in the dictionary. Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #519 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 10:22pm
 
Random is of the Macedonian fake news mill, a troll paid by the Chinese.

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Reply #520 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 10:22pm
 
Usage and grammar are skew whiffy.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #521 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 10:23pm
 
...
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Reply #522 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 10:28pm
 
OOh he's got his eyes on someone. Is he gay? Not that that is necessarily a bad thing. Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #523 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 10:32pm
 
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:13pm:
lee wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:04pm:
Oh look the other troll is back. That one that was amazed his car temperature was hotter than shade temperature.

Another budding scientist. Wink


Clearly you are a climate denial troll?



Climate denial??? That's  the latest?

And you want people see the world as you do? Really?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #524 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 10:32pm
 
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:13pm:
lee wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:04pm:
Oh look the other troll is back. That one that was amazed his car temperature was hotter than shade temperature.

Another budding scientist. Wink


Clearly you are a climate denial troll?



Climate denial??? That's  the latest?

And you want people see the world as you do? Really?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #525 - Dec 22nd, 2019 at 10:54pm
 
Frank wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 10:32pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:13pm:
lee wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:04pm:
Oh look the other troll is back. That one that was amazed his car temperature was hotter than shade temperature.

Another budding scientist. Wink


Clearly you are a climate denial troll?



Climate denial??? That's  the latest?

And you want people see the world as you do? Really?


...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #526 - Dec 23rd, 2019 at 8:51am
 
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Fire the LIAR in 2028!
WWW  
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #527 - Dec 23rd, 2019 at 9:50am
 
Captain Nemo wrote on Dec 23rd, 2019 at 8:51am:

Er.... it's  steam on that picture, pal. You know, water vapour.

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #528 - Dec 23rd, 2019 at 9:53am
 
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 10:54pm:
Frank wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 10:32pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:13pm:
lee wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:04pm:
Oh look the other troll is back. That one that was amazed his car temperature was hotter than shade temperature.

Another budding scientist. Wink


Clearly you are a climate denial troll?



Climate denial??? That's  the latest?

And you want people see the world as you do? Really?


https://media.giphy.com/media/55bqVL2msLyT2OqvDp/giphy.gif

Who's the smoking, tattooed ape?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #529 - Dec 23rd, 2019 at 11:05am
 
Frank wrote on Dec 23rd, 2019 at 9:53am:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 10:54pm:
Frank wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 10:32pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:13pm:
lee wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:04pm:
Oh look the other troll is back. That one that was amazed his car temperature was hotter than shade temperature.

Another budding scientist. Wink


Clearly you are a climate denial troll?



Climate denial??? That's  the latest?

And you want people see the world as you do? Really?


https://media.giphy.com/media/55bqVL2msLyT2OqvDp/giphy.gif

Who's the smoking, tattooed ape?


Whose the white monkey posting here?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #530 - Dec 23rd, 2019 at 11:15am
 
Captain Nemo wrote on Dec 23rd, 2019 at 8:51am:



And yet extrapolating the ice core data and the IPCC's ECR for warming per doubling we never had a Minoan Warm Period, Holocene Optimum, Roman Warm Period, Mediaeval Warm Period, and the Little Ice Age never occurred. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #531 - Dec 23rd, 2019 at 11:46am
 
...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #532 - Dec 23rd, 2019 at 12:17pm
 
In answer to the OP

There exists NO evidence for global warming

and that is the opinion of the majority (those capable of a bit of independent thinking) world wide

Go online.  YouTube somewhere.  There's a video spelling out exactly who will benefit if they can get global warming off the ground

then go read about Club of Rome devising the bull dust global warming scam

The photo above this post exemplifies those who believe global warming propaganda

so stop trying to sell it

and stop taking a few beans per post for trying to sell it

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #533 - Dec 23rd, 2019 at 12:38pm
 
...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #534 - Dec 23rd, 2019 at 12:47pm
 
Taking beans for pushing bull dust

Begging for the opportunity to grab a few beans for pushing bull dust

and it's not working

waaaaahhhhhhh


as if you bean pushers will reap a cent from the trillions the eternal parasites hope to gain from bull dust

now go study the old newspapers, going back as far as records exist and get the real news about temps then …. which match the same temps we're having now

no.  you won't.  too busy trying to sell bull dust to billions of people who aren't buying a word of it

waaaaahhhh says you


You'd be better off trying to sell Sydney Harbour Bridge from all the way over there in the land of bull dust, the US


you're comical

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #535 - Dec 23rd, 2019 at 1:02pm
 
...
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1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #536 - Dec 23rd, 2019 at 1:06pm
 
Warming by the end of this century

IPCC computer models  in 1990 projected warming………................+2.78° C / end of this Century

Observations of nature the last 29 years suggest a warming of........+1.07° C / end of this Century



...
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1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #537 - Dec 23rd, 2019 at 1:08pm
 
So we don't have to give billions of tax payer dollars over to the oligarchy controlled United Nations and the stock market.

It will only warm up by 1°C end of this century.

That means we can spend this money on roads, schools, hospitals, projects here in Australia instead of lining the elite (1%) pockets.
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1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #538 - Dec 23rd, 2019 at 2:51pm
 
Ajax wrote on Dec 23rd, 2019 at 1:08pm:
So we don't have to give billions of tax payer dollars over to the oligarchy controlled United Nations and the stock market.

It will only warm up by 1°C end of this century.


That means we can spend this money on roads, schools, hospitals, projects here in Australia instead of lining the elite (1%) pockets.



AJAX is a climate denying troll.

You can believe AJAX or you can believe science.  I know which one I have chosen.

AJAX should be imprisoned for spreading dangerous and misleading information, endangering the entire country.

AJAX is a terrorist

Implications of climate change for Australia's national security Submission 47


...

Chapter 6
Conclusions and recommendations

6.1        The committee believes this was a useful inquiry to investigate the ability of Commonwealth agencies to respond to climate change in the area of national security. The committee notes the consensus from the evidence that climate change is exacerbating threats and risks to Australia's national security. These include sea level rise, bushfires, droughts, extreme rainfall events, and higher-intensity cyclones. The committee was reassured that climate risks are being factored into preparedness policies and procedures at the whole of government level and by individual agencies, including Defence. There are well-established arrangements for states, territories and the Commonwealth to respond to domestic weather events and for the Commonwealth to provide regional humanitarian and disaster relief assistance (HADR).

6.2        Climate change is also adversely affecting other aspects of Australia's national security, including the economy, infrastructure, and community health and well-being. The committee did not receive substantial evidence on these matters, though some are being considered through other processes, such as Senate committee inquiries into the financial risk associated with carbon for businesses and the impacts of climate change on the built environment. In addition, a framework for a national strategy on climate, health and well-being was also recently released.[1] The committee's conclusions and recommendations focus on the areas where the committee received most evidence, including Commonwealth coordination, leadership, reducing climate risks, and building resilience in the region.



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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #539 - Dec 23rd, 2019 at 3:01pm
 
Ajax wrote on Dec 23rd, 2019 at 1:08pm:
So we don't have to give billions of tax payer dollars over to the oligarchy controlled United Nations and the stock market.

It will only warm up by 1°C end of this century.

That means we can spend this money on roads, schools, hospitals, projects here in Australia instead of lining the elite (1%) pockets.



Smiley

Smiley

Smiley
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #540 - Dec 23rd, 2019 at 3:02pm
 
The Pentagon is defying Donald Trump to protect its bases from climate change


...

Climate change might trigger more 'sacrifice zones'

American author Jeff Goodell detailed some of the threats posed by sea level rise in his book The Water Will Come: Rising Seas, Sinking Cities and the Remaking of the Civilised World.

He wrote that "virtually all" of the Pentagon's real estate portfolio of 555,000 facilities stretched across 11.1 million hectares of land "will be impacted by climate change in some way".

    "In some places, these impacts are little more than expensive nuisances. But in others, the future of entire bases is in question. And many of these bases are virtually irreplaceable because of their geography and strategic location," Mr Goodell wrote.

This portfolio includes bases that guarantee the security of US allies — including Australia.

One such site is the US naval base on Diego Garcia — a territory leased from Britain that sits in the Indian ocean near the Maldives.

It houses the equipment used to control the Global Positioning System (GPS), plus the critical logistics infrastructure that supplies defence material to fronts in the Middle East.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #541 - Dec 23rd, 2019 at 3:02pm
 
random wrote on Dec 23rd, 2019 at 2:51pm:
Ajax wrote on Dec 23rd, 2019 at 1:08pm:
So we don't have to give billions of tax payer dollars over to the oligarchy controlled United Nations and the stock market.

It will only warm up by 1°C end of this century.


That means we can spend this money on roads, schools, hospitals, projects here in Australia instead of lining the elite (1%) pockets.



AJAX is a climate denying troll.

You can believe AJAX or you can believe science.  I know which one I have chosen.

AJAX should be imprisoned for spreading dangerous and misleading information, endangering the entire country.

AJAX is a terrorist

Implications of climate change for Australia's national security Submission 47


https://www.aph.gov.au/images/template/header-logo.png

Chapter 6
Conclusions and recommendations

6.1        The committee believes this was a useful inquiry to investigate the ability of Commonwealth agencies to respond to climate change in the area of national security. The committee notes the consensus from the evidence that climate change is exacerbating threats and risks to Australia's national security. These include sea level rise, bushfires, droughts, extreme rainfall events, and higher-intensity cyclones. The committee was reassured that climate risks are being factored into preparedness policies and procedures at the whole of government level and by individual agencies, including Defence. There are well-established arrangements for states, territories and the Commonwealth to respond to domestic weather events and for the Commonwealth to provide regional humanitarian and disaster relief assistance (HADR).

6.2        Climate change is also adversely affecting other aspects of Australia's national security, including the economy, infrastructure, and community health and well-being. The committee did not receive substantial evidence on these matters, though some are being considered through other processes, such as Senate committee inquiries into the financial risk associated with carbon for businesses and the impacts of climate change on the built environment. In addition, a framework for a national strategy on climate, health and well-being was also recently released.[1] The committee's conclusions and recommendations focus on the areas where the committee received most evidence, including Commonwealth coordination, leadership, reducing climate risks, and building resilience in the region.




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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #542 - Dec 23rd, 2019 at 3:22pm
 
Here's the 'evidence' for global warming/climate change

courtesy of Club of Rome

Quote:
"
In searching for a common enemy against whom we can unite, we came up with the idea that pollution, the threat of global warming, water shortages, famine and the like, would fit the bill


Club of Rome INVENTED global warming/climate change

and this:

Quote:
Nobel prize-winning economist Robert Solow criticized The Limits to Growth as having "simplistic" scenarios. He has also been a vocal critic of the Club of Rome, ostensibly for amateurism. He has said that "the one thing that really annoys me is amateurs making absurd statements about economics, and I thought that the Club of Rome was nonsense. Not because natural resources or environmental necessities might not at some time pose a limit, not on growth, but on the level of economic activity—I didn't think that was a nonsensical idea—but because the Club of Rome was doing amateur dynamics without a license, without a proper qualification


then Al Gore leapt aboard

as did the rest who'll stand to gain unimaginable wealth to add to their already obscene levels of riches

and the rest was history


but it's bull sh*t

they're geoengineering to create droughts, floods, and even FAKE SNOW.  Remember the fake snow in the US that people were burning with bic lighters because it was artificial and some sort of chemical concoction?  So now your memory's been refreshed

Chemtrails have been unrelenting in the West as has abuse of HAARP technology.  Heating up the ionisphere and moving air around to disperse imminent rain resulting, in Australia's case, in phony droughts

Yes, the bastards are prepared to kill people, cattle, crops and wither this country economically to get their own way

and they pay slime bags to push the lies and fear

Club of Rome.  Amateurs with an agenda

We're not falling for their crap




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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #543 - Dec 23rd, 2019 at 3:25pm
 
random wrote on Dec 23rd, 2019 at 3:02pm:
He wrote that "virtually all" of the Pentagon's real estate portfolio of 555,000 facilities stretched across 11.1 million hectares of land "will be impacted by climate change in some way".



Nice picture of water.

Elevation of the Pentagon is 39 feet (12 metres). I guess SlR won't be a problem. Wink

random wrote on Dec 23rd, 2019 at 3:02pm:
One such site is the US naval base on Diego Garcia — a territory leased from Britain that sits in the Indian ocean near the Maldives.


Is tat the Maldives that built new runways because SLR? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #544 - Dec 23rd, 2019 at 3:31pm
 
PZ547 wrote on Dec 23rd, 2019 at 3:22pm:
Club of Rome INVENTED global warming/climate change




PZ547 wrote on Dec 23rd, 2019 at 3:22pm:
they're geoengineering to create droughts, floods, and even FAKE SNOW.  Remember the fake snow in the US that people were burning with bic lighters because it was artificial and some sort of chemical concoction?  So now your memory's been refreshed

Chemtrails have been unrelenting in the West as has abuse of HAARP technology.  Heating up the ionisphere and moving air around to disperse imminent rain resulting, in Australia's case, in phony droughts



wow

(backs away slowly)
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #545 - Dec 23rd, 2019 at 4:52pm
 
AJAX and Lee are terrorists.

They are advocating information that threatens the Security of Australia.

...


Climate Change will see higher temperature ranges, increased storm intensity/frequency, higher UV levels, changes in sea state (wind-waves), disruptions in air movements at high altitudes and increased salinity/acid levels of the oceans and rivers to name just a few effects that will adversely impact Defence capability. All of these changes could create considerable gaps in military capabilities if not considered during the requirements phase of capability development.

For example:

    Increased salinity/acid levels within the oceans and rivers will result in a “decrease of sound absorption”, which may have serious implication for submarine operations.
    
    Increases in UV levels cause degradation of equipment, health risks (physical and mental) to personnel, and affect optical equipment.
    
    Increased CO2 in the atmosphere will see a “10–40% increase in the median strength of turbulence and a 40–170% increase in the frequency of occurrence of moderate-or-greater turbulence”, increasing flight times, causing greater wear and tear on components, and effecting sensitive componentry and missile performance.
    
    A reduction in heights of waves in the northern hemisphere will see a corresponding increase in wave height in the southern hemisphere due to changes in wind patterns caused by Climate Change, affecting naval vessels especially during amphibious operations.
    
    Climate Change will affect the thermosphere where satellites operate, impacting trajectories and how long a satellite will remain in orbit. The influence on the ionosphere may also affect “radio wave propagation, and therefore the performance of the Global Positioning System and other space-based navigation and communication systems.”
    
    With substantial change to temperature ranges and humidity levels, it is likely that soldiers will face greater threats to their health on a more regular basis reducing “productivity of labor” by up to 60%. Climate Change will “harm human health by increasing ground-level ozone and/or particulate matter air”. Defence will also see an increase in the instances of mental health problems, including suicide and post-traumatic stress disorder.

The future changed climate must be considered in all modernisation efforts to ensure equipment and personnel can work effectively, or adapt efficiently, to avoid loss/degradation of a nation’s military capability. In order to incorporate Climate Change effects into the framework of military modernisation the following actions are required:

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« Last Edit: Dec 23rd, 2019 at 5:00pm by random »  

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #546 - Dec 23rd, 2019 at 5:13pm
 
[quote author=random link=1552800608/545#545 date=1577083932]AJAX and Lee are terrorists.

They are advocating information that threatens the Security of Australia.[/quote]


Poor old random show his lack of science once again. ;D ;D ;D ;D

[quote author=random link=1552800608/545#545 date=1577083932]Climate Change will see higher temperature ranges, increased storm intensity/frequency, higher UV levels, changes in sea state (wind-waves), disruptions in air movements at high altitudes and increased salinity/acid levels of the oceans and rivers to name just a few effects that will adversely impact Defence capability.[/quote]


perhaps you can quote a paper that says the oceans will turn acidic, just for starters? ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D

And I don't mean a military briefing paper but a peer reviewed scientific paper. You know the ones Greta can read ( and presumably understand).

[quote author=random link=1552800608/545#545 date=1577083932]Climate Change will affect the thermosphere where satellites operate, impacting trajectories and how long a satellite will remain in orbit. [/quote]

"The thermosphere is a layer of Earth's atmosphere. The thermosphere is directly above the mesosphere and below the exosphere. It extends from about 90 km (56 miles) to between 500 and 1,000 km (311 to 621 miles) above our planet."

[url]https://scied.ucar.edu/shortcontent/thermosphere-overview[/url]

Low earth orbit satellites may be affected.

All others are above the thermosphere. ;)

But why didn't you post the source petal?

Oh I see. Written by a Colonel. A Staff Officer. No scientific qualifications whatsoever.

"Written By: Colonel Bradley Robertson



About the Author:

Colonel Bradley Robertson graduated both the Australian Command and Staff Course and Indian Higher Defence College. He has a Master of Business - Logistics Management and a Master of Philosophy. Prior to assuming his current appointment as Australian Defence Attaché (resident in Riyadh), Colonel Robertson was Director Future Land Warfare within Army Headquarters.



The views expressed in this article and subsequent comments are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the Australian Army, the Department of Defence or the Australian Government."

[url]https://www.army.gov.au/our-future/blog/situational-awareness/defence-will-not-be-prepared-for-a-changed-climate[/url]

Says it all really. A Staff Command Policy Wonk. ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D ;D
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« Last Edit: Dec 23rd, 2019 at 5:33pm by lee »  
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #547 - Dec 23rd, 2019 at 7:13pm
 
Climate change could stretch our capabilities, Defence Force chief speech warns

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-09-25/australian-defence-force-angus-campbell-c...

Key points:


  •     The Defence Chief's speech warns of the threat climate change poses to Australia's military and deployments
        The speech was prepared for General Angus Campbell for an invitation-only event in regional NSW
        It stated that climate change disasters have required more Australian personnel than the Afghan war


The Climate Change denial trolls here are terrorists, working against the interests and security of Australia.


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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #548 - Dec 23rd, 2019 at 7:18pm
 
random wrote on Dec 23rd, 2019 at 7:13pm:
The speech was prepared for General Angus Campbell for an invitation-only event in regional NSW
    It stated that climate change disasters have required more Australian personnel than the Afghan war



So it was prepared by whom?  Not Colonel Bradley Robertson surely. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Note on General Campbell - Within hours of being named the new Head Honcho, Campbell issued a directive banning unit symbols that depict mean and nasty things like the Grim Reaper (see the letter below)."

Now seeing as the Rising Sun badge is a depiction of bayonets set against a rising sun, perhaps he means to remove that as well. I mean fancy having nasty things as unit symbols. We wouldn't want our enemies to break down and cry; now would we. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin;)
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« Last Edit: Dec 23rd, 2019 at 7:27pm by lee »  
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #549 - Dec 23rd, 2019 at 7:58pm
 
random wrote on Dec 23rd, 2019 at 7:13pm:
Climate change could stretch our capabilities, Defence Force chief speech warns

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-09-25/australian-defence-force-angus-campbell-c...

Key points:


  •     The Defence Chief's speech warns of the threat climate change poses to Australia's military and deployments
        The speech was prepared for General Angus Campbell for an invitation-only event in regional NSW
        It stated that climate change disasters have required more Australian personnel than the Afghan war


The Climate Change denial trolls here are terrorists, working against the interests and security of Australia.





The usual fudge from the ABC/Granuiad Hysteria Complex. Nowhere does it say that we CONTROL the climate simply by burning fossil fuels which ADD 4 % of the total, natural CO2 atmospheric CO2.

What is the total, natural atmospheric CO2? It is 0.04 %. We add to that 4%. That is adding 4% of 0.04% of planetary climate.  It's frikken insane. What IS 4% of 0.04%? it is 0.0016% of the total atmospheric gases.

That's like $1.6 out of a thousand dollars. That buck sixty out of a grand controls the climate.


https://skepticalscience.com/human-co2-smaller-than-natural-emissions.htm

Do remember that TOTAL CO2 is a mere 0.04 % of the atmosphere. Of that 0.04% humans are responsible for 4%.  So that is 4% of 0.04 %.   And that's what controls the entire planetary climate. You must be completely off your head to go along with such nonsense.

Remember, children, CO2 is not cyanide, it's the stuff of life. You exhale it with every breath and plants inhale it and build themselves from it with photosynthesizing it.  On this planed with CARBON based life.







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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #550 - Dec 23rd, 2019 at 8:31pm
 
random wrote on Dec 23rd, 2019 at 11:05am:
Frank wrote on Dec 23rd, 2019 at 9:53am:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 10:54pm:
Frank wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 10:32pm:
random wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:13pm:
lee wrote on Dec 22nd, 2019 at 9:04pm:
Oh look the other troll is back. That one that was amazed his car temperature was hotter than shade temperature.

Another budding scientist. Wink


Clearly you are a climate denial troll?



Climate denial??? That's  the latest?

And you want people see the world as you do? Really?


https://media.giphy.com/media/55bqVL2msLyT2OqvDp/giphy.gif

Who's the smoking, tattooed ape?


Whose the white monkey posting here?



The tinted races will always feel inferior to whitey. There are very few among them who are strong and confident about who they are. Most tinted people know instinctively that history has shown up their cultures and traditions to be inferior and primitive.  That is a terrible blow and very hard to digest. Most can't and so they lash out and pretend that their cultures and traditions are not in fact inferior. They fail every time.  Not least because they all want to migrate to countries created by white cultures, mostly Anglos.

The colonials of France are flooding into France, but most of the backward vibrants want to get into Anglo countries. It IS the culture, even as they resent it. Nobody from China or India is coming to Australia for Aboriginal culture and society. They are all flooding in for he country that was created by Anglos.  Same for Britain, Canada, US.

There is not a lot of clamouring to migrate to Nigeria, Iran, Pakistan, vibrant though their 'cultures' may be.  Tinted people are not yearning to migrate to other tinted countries. They want to get the hell out of them.





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Reply #551 - Dec 25th, 2019 at 2:46pm
 
Tinted people cause population explosion.

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Reply #552 - Jun 24th, 2020 at 8:07pm
 
Finally we get some global warming evidence which
was posted on Monk's site but not here.
Go figure?



https://www.forbes.com/sites/trevornace/2020/06/22/the-arctic-circle-hit-101f-sa...


Editors' Pick|149,755 views|Jun 22, 2020,11:04am EDT

The Arctic Circle Hit 101°F Saturday, Its Hottest Temperature Ever


Trevor Nace



This past weekend, a small Russian town in the Arctic Circle hit a scorching temperature, 100.4 degrees Fahrenheit. While the temperature has to be verified by experts, if it stands, it will be the hottest temperature ever recorded in the Arctic Circle.

The small Russian town of Verkhoyansk is known for its brutally cold winters and is one of the coldest towns on Earth. However, temperatures in recent months have skyrocketed double digits above average temperatures.

The average high temperature in Verkhoyansk in June is 68°F, meaning this record day was over 30 degrees hotter than average. For reference, the coldest month of the year Verkhoyansk is January where the high is, on average, -44°F. Yes, you read that correct, negative 44 degrees Fahrenheit is the average high temperature in January.


Before this record-breaking high temperature, temperatures in Siberia were, on average, 18 degrees higher than normal in May. This past May broke the record for the hottest May since record keeping.


The Arctic Circle, which is defined as anything above 66.5°N latitude, has experienced more extreme warming as a result of climate change than lower latitudes (tropics).

It is well known that the poles warm faster as a result of climate change. For example, the average increase in temperature on Earth over the past 40 years is 1.44°F. In comparison, the Arctic has warmed by more than 3.5°F during the same period, more than double the global average.

According to NASA’s research, Earth’s poles warm faster than the rest of the planet because of large-scale energy transport from atmospheric processes. The poles receive their heat from atmospheric and oceanic systems pushing heat from the tropics to the poles. As warming continues, these systems are exacerbated, bringing disproportionally more heat to the poles.

Warming is also increased due to the change in reflectivity (albedo) of the poles. As sea and land ice (which is very reflective) melt and reveal rock and vegetation (which is much less reflective) there is a positive feedback loop that causes the surface to warm, melt more ice, become less reflective, and continue on the cycle of warming.

Thus, those living in high latitude countries (Canada, Russia, Scandinavia, etc.) will experience significantly more warming than those living in low latitude countries (Brazil, Indonesia, Ecuador, etc.).

This dramatic warming of the Arctic up to triple-digit temperatures was not expected to happen until 2100 from climate change. But the reality of warming due to climate change has exceeded expectations as warming, particularly in the poles, has caused record-breaking temperatures in the past decade.





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Reply #553 - Jun 24th, 2020 at 8:37pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Jun 24th, 2020 at 8:07pm:
Finally we get some global warming evidence which
was posted on Monk's site but not here.



freediver posted it in "Thinking Globally".

I responded with a note from another source - 

lee wrote on Jun 23rd, 2020 at 8:35pm:
A whole 0.7C over the 2nd hottest evah. Time to get really scared. Grin Grin Grin Grin

"Verkhoyansk is further than 200 kilometers from the nearest reliable weather station, so the weather-related data on this page were taken entirely from NASA's MERRA-2 satellite-era reanalysis . This reanalysis combines a variety of wide-area measurements in a state-of-the-art global meteorological model to reconstruct the hourly history of weather throughout the world on a 50-kilometer grid. "

https://weatherspark.com/m/143301/1/Average-Weather-in-January-in-Verkhoyansk-Ru...

That's ok then. The warmunistas don't like satellite temperature reconstructions. And a 50km grid? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

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Reply #554 - Jun 24th, 2020 at 9:02pm
 
Thanks Lee.
Your contributions are received gratefully.
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Reply #555 - Jun 24th, 2020 at 9:22pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Jun 24th, 2020 at 8:07pm:
This past weekend, a small Russian town in the Arctic Circle hit a scorching temperature, 100.4 degrees Fahrenheit. While the temperature has to be verified by experts, if it stands, it will be the hottest temperature ever recorded in the Arctic Circle.



Unfortunately for them it wasn't a first for the Arctic -

2 things to note Rounding up from 100.4ºF to 101F, and also the reading was in C and converted. I wonder how they got that 101ºC? Fahrenheit thermometers were wider than 0.5ºC.

" If you think this summer’s heat wave is hot, just be glad you weren’t around in 1915.

The highest temperature ever recorded in Alaska was 100 degrees on June 27, 1915, in Fort Yukon, according to official records of the National Weather Service. Records date back to 1904."

https://www.heraldnet.com/news/alaskas-top-temp-is-100-degrees-set-in-1915/


Bobby. wrote on Jun 24th, 2020 at 8:07pm:
It is well known that the poles warm faster as a result of climate change.


So the poles warmed faster in 1915? Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #556 - Jun 24th, 2020 at 9:29pm
 
You make good points Lee.

However it is still concerning that it's so hot in Russia.
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Reply #557 - Aug 17th, 2020 at 9:46pm
 
Hottest temperature on Earth' as Death Valley, US hits 54.4C


https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-53788018


...




What could be the highest temperature ever reliably recorded on Earth - 130F (54.4C) - may have been reached in Death Valley National Park, California.

The recording is being verified by the US National Weather Service.

It comes amid a heatwave on the US's west coast, where temperatures are forecast to rise further this week.

The scorching conditions have led to two days of blackouts in California, after a power plant malfunctioned on Saturday.
What were the previous records?

Sunday's reading was recorded in Furnace Creek in Death Valley.

Before this, the hottest temperature reliably recorded on Earth was 129.2F (54C) - also in Death Valley in 2013.

A higher reading of 134F, or 56.6C a century earlier, also in Death Valley, is disputed. It is believed by some modern weather experts to have been erroneous, along with several other searing temperatures recorded that summer.

    Dangerous heat wave forecast for south-west US
    Summers could become 'too hot for humans'
    Last decade confirmed as hottest on record

According to a 2016 analysis from weather historian Christopher Burt, other temperatures in the region recorded in 1913 do not corroborate the Death Valley reading.

Another record temperature for the planet - 131F, or 55C - was recorded in Tunisia in 1931, but Mr Burt said this reading, as well as others recorded in Africa during the colonial era, had "serious credibility issues".
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Reply #558 - Aug 18th, 2020 at 8:20am
 
Parts of Iran can get as hot as 79C
Leaves Death Valley for dead.

An empty Lake Eyre can get so hot, the flies don't even go there.
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AIMLESS EXTENTION OF KNOWLEDGE HOWEVER, WHICH IS WHAT I THINK YOU REALLY MEAN BY THE TERM 'CURIOSITY', IS MERELY INEFFICIENCY. I AM DESIGNED TO AVOID INEFFICIENCY.
 
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Reply #559 - Aug 18th, 2020 at 8:59am
 
Jasin wrote on Aug 18th, 2020 at 8:20am:
Parts of Iran can get as hot as 79C
Leaves Death Valley for dead.

An empty Lake Eyre can get so hot, the flies don't even go there.



79 degrees?

do you have a link?
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Reply #560 - Aug 18th, 2020 at 10:11am
 
Here is a piece in how it gets close to that in other parts.

The heat index in Bandar Mahshahr, a city of over 100,000 atop the Persian Gulf, reached an astonishing 164 degrees (73 Celsius) on Friday afternoon , according the Weather Channel. The heat index is also known as the “feels-like” temperature, which combines air temperature with relative humidity, which soars during the summer due the city’s proximity to water.

It gets 50C above in the USA and the yanks cry its the hottest place on earth - a world most of them don't know exists. Roll Eyes
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AIMLESS EXTENTION OF KNOWLEDGE HOWEVER, WHICH IS WHAT I THINK YOU REALLY MEAN BY THE TERM 'CURIOSITY', IS MERELY INEFFICIENCY. I AM DESIGNED TO AVOID INEFFICIENCY.
 
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Reply #561 - Aug 18th, 2020 at 2:02pm
 


Jasin wrote on Aug 18th, 2020 at 10:11am:
he heat index in Bandar Mahshahr, a city of over 100,000 atop the Persian Gulf, reached an astonishing 164 degrees (73 Celsius) on Friday afternoon , according the Weather Channel. The heat index is also known as the “feels-like” temperature, which combines air temperature with relative humidity, which soars during the summer due the city’s proximity to water.

It gets 50C above in the USA and the yanks cry its the hottest place on earth - a world most of them don't know exists.



" Bandar Mahshahr clocked an air temperature of 46°C (115°F) and a dewpoint temperature of 32°C (90°F), creating a heat index of 165°F. A dewpoint temperature is an indication of the level of humidity.

Though there are no official records on heat indexes, Bandar Mahshahr’s 165°F registers as the second highest ever recorded – 178°F in Dhahran, Saudi Arabia, on July 8, 2003 is the highest ever recorded, when there was an air temperature of 42°C (108°F) and a dewpoint temperature of 35°C (95°F). "

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/travel/destinations/middle-east/iran/articles/Bandar...
From 2015

Try comparing like with like. Wink
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Reply #562 - Aug 23rd, 2020 at 7:36pm
 
https://www.weatherzone.com.au/news/record-breaking-heat-in-the-north/532366


Record-breaking heat in the north



Joel Pippard, Sunday August 23, 2020 - 15:42 EST

While it may be bitterly cold in the south, heat records have been tumbling in northern Australia this weekend.

Yampi Sound in Western Australia’s Kimberley region may have just taken the Australian August record for the hottest maximum temperature. Yampi Sound reached a sweat-inducing 40.7 degrees on Saturday. If validated, this will beat out the previous Australian record set on 27th August 1970 at Kalumburu of 40.0 degrees. West Roebuck has also beat the previous record on Sunday, reaching 40.4 degrees.


Some other long-standing records have also been busted. Broome has recorded its hottest August day in 123 years of records on Sunday, by reaching a searing 38.6 degrees. Port Hedland in the WA Pilbara region heated to a scorching 37.0 degrees on Sunday, making it its hottest August day in 102 years of records.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #563 - Aug 23rd, 2020 at 8:00pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 17th, 2020 at 9:46pm:
Hottest temperature on Earth' as Death Valley, US hits 54.4C


https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-53788018


https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/660/cpsprodpb/FE46/production/_113949056_gettyimag...




What could be the highest temperature ever reliably recorded on Earth - 130F (54.4C) - may have been reached in Death Valley National Park, California.

The recording is being verified by the US National Weather Service.

It comes amid a heatwave on the US's west coast, where temperatures are forecast to rise further this week.

The scorching conditions have led to two days of blackouts in California, after a power plant malfunctioned on Saturday.
What were the previous records?

Sunday's reading was recorded in Furnace Creek in Death Valley.

Before this, the hottest temperature reliably recorded on Earth was 129.2F (54C) - also in Death Valley in 2013.

A higher reading of 134F, or 56.6C a century earlier, also in Death Valley, is disputed. It is believed by some modern weather experts to have been erroneous, along with several other searing temperatures recorded that summer.

    Dangerous heat wave forecast for south-west US
    Summers could become 'too hot for humans'
    Last decade confirmed as hottest on record

According to a 2016 analysis from weather historian Christopher Burt, other temperatures in the region recorded in 1913 do not corroborate the Death Valley reading.

Another record temperature for the planet - 131F, or 55C - was recorded in Tunisia in 1931, but Mr Burt said this reading, as well as others recorded in Africa during the colonial era, had "serious credibility issues".


...
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1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #564 - Aug 24th, 2020 at 2:40pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 23rd, 2020 at 7:36pm:
https://www.weatherzone.com.au/news/record-breaking-heat-in-the-north/532366


Record-breaking heat in the north



Joel Pippard, Sunday August 23, 2020 - 15:42 EST

While it may be bitterly cold in the south, heat records have been tumbling in northern Australia this weekend.

Yampi Sound in Western Australia’s Kimberley region may have just taken the Australian August record for the hottest maximum temperature. Yampi Sound reached a sweat-inducing 40.7 degrees on Saturday. If validated, this will beat out the previous Australian record set on 27th August 1970 at Kalumburu of 40.0 degrees. West Roebuck has also beat the previous record on Sunday, reaching 40.4 degrees.


Some other long-standing records have also been busted. Broome has recorded its hottest August day in 123 years of records on Sunday, by reaching a searing 38.6 degrees. Port Hedland in the WA Pilbara region heated to a scorching 37.0 degrees on Sunday, making it its hottest August day in 102 years of records.


Signs of an imminent ice age!
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Reply #565 - Aug 24th, 2020 at 2:42pm
 
Robot wrote on Aug 24th, 2020 at 2:40pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 23rd, 2020 at 7:36pm:
https://www.weatherzone.com.au/news/record-breaking-heat-in-the-north/532366


Record-breaking heat in the north



Joel Pippard, Sunday August 23, 2020 - 15:42 EST

While it may be bitterly cold in the south, heat records have been tumbling in northern Australia this weekend.

Yampi Sound in Western Australia’s Kimberley region may have just taken the Australian August record for the hottest maximum temperature. Yampi Sound reached a sweat-inducing 40.7 degrees on Saturday. If validated, this will beat out the previous Australian record set on 27th August 1970 at Kalumburu of 40.0 degrees. West Roebuck has also beat the previous record on Sunday, reaching 40.4 degrees.


Some other long-standing records have also been busted. Broome has recorded its hottest August day in 123 years of records on Sunday, by reaching a searing 38.6 degrees. Port Hedland in the WA Pilbara region heated to a scorching 37.0 degrees on Sunday, making it its hottest August day in 102 years of records.


Signs of an imminent ice age!



No - undeniable evidence for global warming.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #566 - Aug 24th, 2020 at 4:15pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 24th, 2020 at 2:42pm:
Robot wrote on Aug 24th, 2020 at 2:40pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 23rd, 2020 at 7:36pm:
https://www.weatherzone.com.au/news/record-breaking-heat-in-the-north/532366


Record-breaking heat in the north



Joel Pippard, Sunday August 23, 2020 - 15:42 EST

While it may be bitterly cold in the south, heat records have been tumbling in northern Australia this weekend.

Yampi Sound in Western Australia’s Kimberley region may have just taken the Australian August record for the hottest maximum temperature. Yampi Sound reached a sweat-inducing 40.7 degrees on Saturday. If validated, this will beat out the previous Australian record set on 27th August 1970 at Kalumburu of 40.0 degrees. West Roebuck has also beat the previous record on Sunday, reaching 40.4 degrees.


Some other long-standing records have also been busted. Broome has recorded its hottest August day in 123 years of records on Sunday, by reaching a searing 38.6 degrees. Port Hedland in the WA Pilbara region heated to a scorching 37.0 degrees on Sunday, making it its hottest August day in 102 years of records.


Signs of an imminent ice age!



No - undeniable evidence for global warming.


No it's not undeniable evidence of anything
I've told you this about a million times
You have to learn the difference between weather and climate

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Reply #567 - Sep 14th, 2020 at 3:13pm
 
Climate change:

Warmth shatters section of Greenland ice shelf



By Jonathan Amos BBC Science Correspondent

    3 hours ago

https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-54127279


A big chunk of ice has just broken away from the Arctic's largest remaining ice shelf - 79N, or Nioghalvfjerdsfjorden - in north-east Greenland.

The ejected section covers about 110 square km; satellite imagery shows it to have shattered into many small pieces.

The loss is further evidence say scientists of the rapid climate changes taking place in Greenland.

"The atmosphere in this region has warmed by about 3C since 1980," said Dr Jenny Turton.

"And in 2019 and 2020, it saw record summer temperatures," the polar researcher at Friedrich-Alexander University in Germany told BBC News.

Nioghalvfjerdsfjorden is roughly 80km long by 20km wide and is the floating front end of the Northeast Greenland Ice Stream - where it flows off the land into the ocean to become buoyant.

At its leading edge, the 79N glacier splits in two, with a minor offshoot turning directly north. It's this offshoot, or tributary, called Spalte Glacier, that has now disintegrated.

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Reply #568 - Sep 14th, 2020 at 7:36pm
 
Ice shelf breaking up? We must be on the verge of an imminent ice age! This is just the old ice getting out of the way for the fresh new ice.
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Reply #569 - Sep 14th, 2020 at 8:12pm
 
Robot wrote on Sep 14th, 2020 at 7:36pm:
Ice shelf breaking up? We must be on the verge of an imminent ice age!
This is just the old ice getting out of the way for the fresh new ice.



Al Gore and Monk warned us but we didn't listen.
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Reply #570 - Sep 15th, 2020 at 10:33am
 
Robot wrote on Sep 14th, 2020 at 7:36pm:
Ice shelf breaking up? We must be on the verge of an imminent ice age! This is just the old ice getting out of the way for the fresh new ice.


So tell us what happens when the ice melts. And the ocean heat can escape to space.

Don't be shy, tell us. Wink
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Reply #571 - Sep 15th, 2020 at 10:54am
 
Robot wrote on Sep 14th, 2020 at 7:36pm:
Ice shelf breaking up? We must be on the verge of an imminent ice age!
This is just the old ice getting out of the way for the fresh new ice.



Al Gore and Monk warned us but we didn't listen.

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Reply #572 - Sep 15th, 2020 at 8:03pm
 
lee wrote on Sep 15th, 2020 at 10:33am:
Robot wrote on Sep 14th, 2020 at 7:36pm:
Ice shelf breaking up? We must be on the verge of an imminent ice age! This is just the old ice getting out of the way for the fresh new ice.


So tell us what happens when the ice melts. And the ocean heat can escape to space.

Don't be shy, tell us. Wink


Like I said, it's just making way for the fresh new ice. Those ice sheets will start coming back any day now.
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Reply #573 - Sep 16th, 2020 at 3:52pm
 
That Great Acceleration episode last night was good.
Going by all the doom and gloom that has brought in the Anthropocene Epoch after WW1. Humanity should die out from a surface temperature reaching in the 60's and floods galore with the Volcano's (trying to cool the atmosphere), earthquakes and mega-tsunamis like wild fires in devastation.
Humanity would be lucky to scratch a permanent living.
Might get a bit like Venus.
...unless all out thermo-nuclear war turns earth into Mars.
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AIMLESS EXTENTION OF KNOWLEDGE HOWEVER, WHICH IS WHAT I THINK YOU REALLY MEAN BY THE TERM 'CURIOSITY', IS MERELY INEFFICIENCY. I AM DESIGNED TO AVOID INEFFICIENCY.
 
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Reply #574 - Sep 16th, 2020 at 6:25pm
 
So what is the postulated CO2 level required to reach the 60's? And at what latitudes? Wink
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Reply #575 - Sep 17th, 2020 at 11:29am
 
Robot wrote on Sep 15th, 2020 at 8:03pm:
lee wrote on Sep 15th, 2020 at 10:33am:
Robot wrote on Sep 14th, 2020 at 7:36pm:
Ice shelf breaking up? We must be on the verge of an imminent ice age! This is just the old ice getting out of the way for the fresh new ice.


So tell us what happens when the ice melts. And the ocean heat can escape to space.

Don't be shy, tell us. Wink


Like I said, it's just making way for the fresh new ice. Those ice sheets will start coming back any day now.


And I had to wear a jumper yesterday so clearly global warming isn't happening
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Reply #576 - Sep 17th, 2020 at 5:55pm
 
Poor Barney. Lost in his own time warp.😂😂🤣
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Reply #577 - Sep 22nd, 2020 at 10:23pm
 
Arctic sea-ice shrinks to near record low extent
By Jonathan Amos BBC Science Correspondent

    21 September 2020

https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-54211760


This summer's Arctic sea-ice shrank to its second lowest ever extent in the era of satellite observation.


The floes withdrew to just under 3.74 million sq km (1.44 million sq miles) last week, preliminary data indicates.

The only time this minimum has been beaten in the 42-year spacecraft record was 2012 when the pack ice was reduced to 3.41 million sq km.

Shorter autumn days and encroaching cold mean the floes are now starting to regrow.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #578 - Sep 22nd, 2020 at 10:40pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Sep 22nd, 2020 at 10:23pm:
Arctic sea-ice shrinks to near record low extent
By Jonathan Amos BBC Science Correspondent

    21 September 2020

https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-54211760


This summer's Arctic sea-ice shrank to its second lowest ever extent in the era of satellite observation.


The floes withdrew to just under 3.74 million sq km (1.44 million sq miles) last week, preliminary data indicates.

The only time this minimum has been beaten in the 42-year spacecraft record was 2012 when the pack ice was reduced to 3.41 million sq km.

Shorter autumn days and encroaching cold mean the floes are now starting to regrow.


Selective quoting Bobby. Naughty you.

You could have included this.

"That's bad news for the climate. Extensive sea-ice helps cool the Arctic and the rest of the planet. In its absence, more sunlight will be absorbed by the darker surface waters of the ocean, which will promote further warming and further loss of ice"
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #579 - Sep 22nd, 2020 at 11:43pm
 
Super Nova wrote on Sep 22nd, 2020 at 10:40pm:
Selective quoting Bobby. Naughty you.

You could have included this.

"That's bad news for the climate. Extensive sea-ice helps cool the Arctic and the rest of the planet. In its absence, more sunlight will be absorbed by the darker surface waters of the ocean, which will promote further warming and further loss of ice"



I don't normally quote entire articles.
The link is sufficient.
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Reply #580 - Sep 23rd, 2020 at 6:24pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Sep 22nd, 2020 at 11:43pm:
Super Nova wrote on Sep 22nd, 2020 at 10:40pm:
Selective quoting Bobby. Naughty you.

You could have included this.

"That's bad news for the climate. Extensive sea-ice helps cool the Arctic and the rest of the planet. In its absence, more sunlight will be absorbed by the darker surface waters of the ocean, which will promote further warming and further loss of ice"



I don't normally quote entire articles.
The link is sufficient.


True.... then I was just highlighting something from the article because your quote gave me a different impression of a key point of the article.

Smiley
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #581 - Sep 23rd, 2020 at 6:31pm
 
Super Nova wrote on Sep 23rd, 2020 at 6:24pm:
Bobby. wrote on Sep 22nd, 2020 at 11:43pm:
Super Nova wrote on Sep 22nd, 2020 at 10:40pm:
Selective quoting Bobby. Naughty you.

You could have included this.

"That's bad news for the climate. Extensive sea-ice helps cool the Arctic and the rest of the planet. In its absence, more sunlight will be absorbed by the darker surface waters of the ocean, which will promote further warming and further loss of ice"



I don't normally quote entire articles.
The link is sufficient.


True.... then I was just highlighting something from the article because your quote gave me a different impression of a key point of the article.

Smiley



No worries.

Notice that Monk never provides
any evidence for global warming?

He complains about me yet I'm always the one posting evidence that agrees with him.  Smiley
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Reply #582 - Sep 23rd, 2020 at 6:46pm
 
Super Nova wrote on Sep 22nd, 2020 at 10:40pm:
"That's bad news for the climate. Extensive sea-ice helps cool the Arctic and the rest of the planet. In its absence, more sunlight will be absorbed by the darker surface waters of the ocean, which will promote further warming and further loss of ice"



Actually that's bass ackward. The sea ice acts as a solar blanket and prevents heat loss to the atmosphere. IF the sea ice all melts there is more exposed area to give up heat. It is a negative feedback. And that's why there is no runaway global warming; even in the past when temperatures were warmer than now.

The area of clouds controls the area of sea ice.

"This is a summary annotated map Location of Barrow of the break-up forecast for landfast ice at the Chukchi Sea coast at Barrow, Alaska. In typical years, the timing of break-up is associated with the amount of incoming solar energy (i.e., essentially, how sunny or cloudy it is). "

https://seaice.alaska.edu/gi/observatories/barrow_breakup/
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #583 - Sep 23rd, 2020 at 6:53pm
 
lee wrote on Sep 23rd, 2020 at 6:46pm:
Super Nova wrote on Sep 22nd, 2020 at 10:40pm:
"That's bad news for the climate. Extensive sea-ice helps cool the Arctic and the rest of the planet. In its absence, more sunlight will be absorbed by the darker surface waters of the ocean, which will promote further warming and further loss of ice"



Actually that's bass ackward. The sea ice acts as a solar blanket and prevents heat loss to the atmosphere. IF the sea ice all melts there is more exposed area to give up heat. It is a negative feedback. And that's why there is no runaway global warming; even in the past when temperatures were warmer than now.

The area of clouds controls the area of sea ice.

"This is a summary annotated map Location of Barrow of the break-up forecast for landfast ice at the Chukchi Sea coast at Barrow, Alaska. In typical years, the timing of break-up is associated with the amount of incoming solar energy (i.e., essentially, how sunny or cloudy it is). "

https://seaice.alaska.edu/gi/observatories/barrow_breakup/



No -
white ice reflects sunlight and heat but
water absorbs heat.
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Reply #584 - Sep 23rd, 2020 at 8:14pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Sep 23rd, 2020 at 6:53pm:
No -
white ice reflects sunlight and heat but
water absorbs heat.


You're both right; it just depends on the time of year.

Quote:
In the winter when solar heating is at a minimum and air temperatures are lowest, the sea ice insulates the ocean from losing heat to the atmosphere above. Conversely, during summer months, the sea ice has a cooling effect as it prevents the ocean from absorbing as much heat from solar radiation or from the atmosphere. In particular the sea ice has a higher reflectivity (or 'albedo') than the ocean which causes more of the sun's rays to be reflected back into space rather than being absorbed by the Earth's climate. The presence of snow on top of the sea ice exaggerates both the insulating and the reflecting effects of sea ice.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/cryosphere-oceans/sea-ice/index
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #585 - Sep 23rd, 2020 at 8:49pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Sep 23rd, 2020 at 6:53pm:
No -
white ice reflects sunlight and heat but
water absorbs heat.



White ice will reflect a portion of sunlight, subject to the the sunlight reaching the ice. And then there is the albedo which varies any amount of absorption, dependent in part on latitude.

Water can absorb heat, but, is the air above the water warmer or cooler?

"the albedo, according to observational data available, a t the latitudes of 0" to 60' is considered to be equal to 0.32, a t the latitude of 70" to 0.50, at the latitude of 80" to 0.62. I n the calculation, the influence of deviations of cloudiness values from its mean planetary value equal to 0.50 on temperature is neglected."

www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.3402/tellusa.v21i5.10109

The CERES data doesn't show the trend for a positive feedback of albedo.

https://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2014/02/total-solar-energy-input-global.jpgresize=640%2C588

Figure 3. Available solar energy at the top of atmosphere (red) and total solar energy input to the globe (blue), 2000-2012. Units are area-weighted watts/m2.

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/02/18/how-much-sunlight-actually-enters-the-sys...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #586 - Oct 1st, 2020 at 6:35am
 
Greenland ice sheet loss already
'unprecedented' and set to accelerate



ABC Science


By environment reporter Nick Kilvert
Posted 31 minutes ago


https://www.abc.net.au/news/science/2020-10-01/12705230



Melting of the Greenland ice sheet has hit a rate unmatched in the last 12,000 years and is accelerating, scientists have confirmed.
Key points:

    Worst-case predictions say Greenland will be melting 600 per cent faster than its present rate by the end of the century
    That alone could add around 30 centimetres to sea levels, without accounting for Antarctic melting
    Cutting our emissions rapidly buys us time to adapt to rising sea levels

Research published in Nature today predicts that the Greenland ice sheet will be melting by as much as six times its current rate by the end of the century if we don't get emissions down.

On the flipside, if we can achieve the best-case emissions reduction scenario forecast by the IPCC we can limit its increasing melt rate to around 40 per cent greater than its present rate.
A graphic showing the results of the study.
This graphic shows the rate of melting under the best and worst-case emissions scenarios (right).(Supplied: Jason Briner)

As the earth emerged from the last Ice Age around 11,000 years ago, the Arctic experienced a warm period or thermal maximum between about 10,000 and 7,000 years before present.

Researchers presumed that the rate of melting of the Greenland ice sheet in that period was higher than it is today.

Instead, they found that over the last 20 years, the southwestern Greenland ice sheet where this research was focussed, has been losing ice at an rate of about 6,100 billion tonnes per century on average — around 100 billion tonnes more than at its previous historical peak, according to author Jason Briner from the University of Buffalo.

"Our results suggest that yes, this century we will experience ice-loss rates not just similar to those in the past but exceeding those of the past, even under strict carbon emissions scenarios," Professor Briner said.

Worst-case scenario would see 600% increase in melting this century.

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #587 - Oct 1st, 2020 at 7:16am
 
Well - what do you know?

I've checked back the entire 40 pages of this thread
started -    Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:30pm.

Guess what -
not even one post is from Monk.
He must be the ultimate troll.
His stance was always to follow Al Gore to
claim global warming yet when given
the chance to provide evidence he provided zero.
I was the poster who provided most of the evidence
to support Monk and Al Gore
yet I have been constantly harassed by him and trolled
with severe abuse on the ice age thread.
Go figure?

I'll figure it out for all of you.
Monk is the worst troll on Ozpolitic.
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Reply #588 - Oct 1st, 2020 at 7:37am
 
Monk also told us that he has a BSc in Geology and Zoology.  How would that make him an "expert" on global warming? He studied rocks and animals?  Grin
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Reply #589 - Oct 1st, 2020 at 7:41am
 
We've been warming since 1850 coming out of the little ice age.

Maybe Greenland will be green once more...... Smiley Wink

...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #590 - Oct 1st, 2020 at 7:46am
 
Neferti wrote on Oct 1st, 2020 at 7:37am:
Monk also told us that he has a BSc in Geology and Zoology.  How would that make him an "expert" on global warming? He studied rocks and animals?  Grin



He's qualified for Cats and Critters.
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Reply #591 - Oct 1st, 2020 at 10:26am
 
Bobby. wrote on Oct 1st, 2020 at 7:46am:
Neferti wrote on Oct 1st, 2020 at 7:37am:
Monk also told us that he has a BSc in Geology and Zoology.  How would that make him an "expert" on global warming? He studied rocks and animals?  Grin



He's qualified for Cats and Critters.

He's not even close to 'qualified' to Mod the C&C - which is now ruined by him.
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AIMLESS EXTENTION OF KNOWLEDGE HOWEVER, WHICH IS WHAT I THINK YOU REALLY MEAN BY THE TERM 'CURIOSITY', IS MERELY INEFFICIENCY. I AM DESIGNED TO AVOID INEFFICIENCY.
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #592 - Oct 1st, 2020 at 10:46am
 
Jasin wrote on Oct 1st, 2020 at 10:26am:
Bobby. wrote on Oct 1st, 2020 at 7:46am:
Neferti wrote on Oct 1st, 2020 at 7:37am:
Monk also told us that he has a BSc in Geology and Zoology.  How would that make him an "expert" on global warming? He studied rocks and animals?  Grin



He's qualified for Cats and Critters.

He's not even close to 'qualified' to Mod the C&C - which is now ruined by him.


Yes, poor Herbert will be upset if he is looking down.  Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #593 - Oct 1st, 2020 at 12:19pm
 
Jasin wrote on Oct 1st, 2020 at 10:26am:
Bobby. wrote on Oct 1st, 2020 at 7:46am:
Neferti wrote on Oct 1st, 2020 at 7:37am:
Monk also told us that he has a BSc in Geology and Zoology.  How would that make him an "expert" on global warming? He studied rocks and animals?  Grin



He's qualified for Cats and Critters.

He's not even close to 'qualified' to Mod the C&C - which is now ruined by him.



He banned me out of spite -
I didn't post anything wrong there.
That should be against the rules.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #594 - Oct 2nd, 2020 at 9:18am
 
Now there's a chance to vote on Monk's trolling:

http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1601588355/15#17
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #595 - Oct 2nd, 2020 at 10:06am
 
Bobby. wrote on Oct 2nd, 2020 at 9:18am:
Now there's a chance to vote on Monk's trolling:

http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1601588355/15#17


Now that is "push-polling".  Roll Eyes
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #596 - Oct 2nd, 2020 at 10:10am
 
Captain Nemo wrote on Oct 2nd, 2020 at 10:06am:
Bobby. wrote on Oct 2nd, 2020 at 9:18am:
Now there's a chance to vote on Monk's trolling:

http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1601588355/15#17


Now that is "push-polling".  Roll Eyes



Vote however you want - that's democracy.
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Reply #597 - Oct 2nd, 2020 at 4:30pm
 
Ajax wrote on Oct 1st, 2020 at 7:41am:
We've been warming since 1850 coming out of the little ice age.

Maybe Greenland will be green once more...... Smiley Wink

https://i.ibb.co/q9HKcC1/MWPLIAJPG.jpg



That old chestnut  Grin Grin Grin Grin
Have you noticed that it says at the bottom "This drawing of a graph of the IPCC 1990 report"

So it's just a drawing. Turns out they used data from England. And as we all know the Medieval Warm Period was mostly a European phenomena.
To top it off the last data point used was 1950.  The earth has warmed a lot since 1950.
https://www.skepticalscience.com/IPCC-Medieval-Warm-Period.htm
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Reply #598 - Oct 2nd, 2020 at 5:30pm
 
The_Barnacle wrote on Oct 2nd, 2020 at 4:30pm:
And as we all know the Medieval Warm Period was mostly a European phenomena.



Oh noes, Barney does it again.

...

1200 papers to say it was global. But it "was mostly a European phenomena". Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

But perhaps you can tell us which southern land mass wasn't affected.

But old SKS? Do they still dress up in Gestapo uniforms there?

And apparently China was in Europe back then. Roll Eyes

Edit: And of course "the world has warmed a lot since 1950". Of course only if you believe the temperature reconstruction back that far. Wink

2nd Edit: How did they draw charts before computers? Wink
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Reply #599 - Oct 2nd, 2020 at 6:32pm
 
What happened to the "hole in the ozone layer" that was all the go back in the 80s?  Huh
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Reply #600 - Oct 2nd, 2020 at 7:03pm
 
Neferti wrote on Oct 2nd, 2020 at 6:32pm:
What happened to the "hole in the ozone layer" that was all the go back in the 80s?



First there was never a hole. Second we have no knowledge of any variance in ozone over the Antarctic before measurements were taken in the 1970's.

In September 2019 it was the smallest thinning recorded since 1982. It grew in 2016.
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Reply #601 - Oct 2nd, 2020 at 8:15pm
 
lee wrote on Oct 2nd, 2020 at 7:03pm:
Neferti wrote on Oct 2nd, 2020 at 6:32pm:
What happened to the "hole in the ozone layer" that was all the go back in the 80s?



First there was never a hole. Second we have no knowledge of any variance in ozone over the Antarctic before measurements were taken in the 1970's.

In September 2019 it was the smallest thinning recorded since 1982. It grew in 2016.


After they talked about the "ozone layer" they began talking about "greenhouse effect" or some such. I don't believe a word of it.  Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #602 - Oct 2nd, 2020 at 9:41pm
 
Neferti wrote on Oct 2nd, 2020 at 8:15pm:
lee wrote on Oct 2nd, 2020 at 7:03pm:
Neferti wrote on Oct 2nd, 2020 at 6:32pm:
What happened to the "hole in the ozone layer" that was all the go back in the 80s?



First there was never a hole. Second we have no knowledge of any variance in ozone over the Antarctic before measurements were taken in the 1970's.

In September 2019 it was the smallest thinning recorded since 1982. It grew in 2016.


After they talked about the "ozone layer" they began talking about "greenhouse effect" or some such. I don't believe a word of it.  Wink



And Monk kept carrying on about global warming yet when we
had 100 year cold records broken all over the planet
he refused to apologise.

The little ice age caused the Thames river to freeze over in London.
That hasn't happened yet but it could.
What would he say then?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #603 - Oct 2nd, 2020 at 11:55pm
 
Neferti wrote on Oct 2nd, 2020 at 6:32pm:
What happened to the "hole in the ozone layer" that was all the go back in the 80s?  Huh


The world got together and banned CFC's  Cool

- unlike now, where the world is at war over Global Warming and CO2 emissions.  Sad
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Reply #604 - Oct 3rd, 2020 at 8:58am
 
Captain Nemo wrote on Oct 2nd, 2020 at 11:55pm:
Neferti wrote on Oct 2nd, 2020 at 6:32pm:
What happened to the "hole in the ozone layer" that was all the go back in the 80s?  Huh


The world got together and banned CFC's  Cool

- unlike now, where the world is at war over Global Warming and CO2 emissions.  Sad


There was also the "carbon footprint" that everyone was going on about.  Roll Eyes
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #605 - Oct 3rd, 2020 at 10:22am
 
Captain Nemo wrote on Oct 2nd, 2020 at 11:55pm:
Neferti wrote on Oct 2nd, 2020 at 6:32pm:
What happened to the "hole in the ozone layer" that was all the go back in the 80s?  Huh


The world got together and banned CFC's  Cool

- unlike now, where the world is at war over Global Warming and CO2 emissions.  Sad


Lets not forget the British Nuclear tests in Australia.

Enough to blow a hole in the ozone layer.

...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #606 - Oct 3rd, 2020 at 11:44am
 
Ajax wrote on Oct 3rd, 2020 at 10:22am:
Captain Nemo wrote on Oct 2nd, 2020 at 11:55pm:
Neferti wrote on Oct 2nd, 2020 at 6:32pm:
What happened to the "hole in the ozone layer" that was all the go back in the 80s?  Huh


The world got together and banned CFC's  Cool

- unlike now, where the world is at war over Global Warming and CO2 emissions.  Sad


Lets not forget the British Nuclear tests in Australia.

Enough to blow a hole in the ozone layer.

https://i.ibb.co/PhGnJRc/NBEJPG.jpg


Actually no Ajax. That would only have a temporary and local effect if anything.

It seems to be a flaw in your understanding of Science, Ajax.
You seem to think that temporary localized things such as cloud seeding and HAARP have a global effect on climate
Yet you refuse to believe that permanent global increases in CO2 could have an effect on global climate
very odd
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Reply #607 - Oct 3rd, 2020 at 1:20pm
 
Captain Nemo wrote on Oct 2nd, 2020 at 11:55pm:
The world got together and banned CFC's 



Except for China. Wink

"China feels the heat over rogue CFC emissions"

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-019-02109-2
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Reply #608 - Oct 3rd, 2020 at 1:22pm
 
The_Barnacle wrote on Oct 3rd, 2020 at 11:44am:
Yet you refuse to believe that permanent global increases in CO2 could have an effect on global climate


Could being the operative word. Wink


According to CO2 theory increasing CO2 WILL lead to warming and increased water vapour, the dominant GHG.

Over 40 years of data show no increase in total global precipitable water.

...

https://click.icptrack.com/icp/relay.php?r=25137626&msgid=192645&act=F53B&c=1777...

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #609 - Oct 3rd, 2020 at 1:43pm
 
The_Barnacle wrote on Oct 3rd, 2020 at 11:44am:
Actually no Ajax. That would only have a temporary and local effect if anything.

It seems to be a flaw in your understanding of Science, Ajax.
You seem to think that temporary localized things such as cloud seeding and HAARP have a global effect on climate
Yet you refuse to believe that permanent global increases in CO2 could have an effect on global climate
very odd


Barny you have to get out more often, let some sun light hit you and smell the CO2 mate, isolation has made you more loppy than before................ Cheesy Grin Shocked Kiss

So you dont believe that an Electromagnetic pulse from HAARP can lift and heat up the ionosphere and can potentially change the weather and the climate around the world.

OR

That cloud seeding making clouds drop there rain prematurely on the other side of the world can have some sort of effect on our weather and climate here in Australia.

Yet you believe that manmade CO2 by burning fossil fuels will destroy us even though there is no correlation between CO2, man made or natural and the current rise in average global temperature.

Ok champ............ Smiley


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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #610 - Oct 3rd, 2020 at 3:04pm
 
Hey Barny dont feel bad mate.

Of the cuff I too believed in Anthropocentric Global Warming and became an instant foot soldier to save the planet.

One of the first things that struck me stupid was in this life and death crisis, that if we establish a carbon derivatives market on the stock exchange and payed billions of dollars for carbon derivatives as a nation we could go on polluting as long as we payed for it,

and then the rest is history.
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1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #611 - Oct 8th, 2020 at 1:56pm
 
Here you go Bobby.

September was world’s hottest on record, climate scientists say


Last month was the hottest September on record across the globe, climate scientists have revealed.

Surface air temperatures were 0.05C warmer than the year before, experts from the European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service said.

Last month was the hottest in Europe, beating the record set in 2018 by about 0.2C. Temperatures were also abnormally high in the Middle East, Australia and South America.

A hot spell in the Siberian Arctic, which has affected the region for several months, contributed to the overall rise in autumn temperatures while sea ice melted to its second-lowest level on record. Parts of Britain hit 30C in September for the first time in four years. The record temperature for the month is 35.6C, set in Bawtry, South Yorkshire, in 1906.

Carlo Buontempo, director of the climate change service, said: “There was an unusually rapid decline in Arctic sea ice extent during June and July, in the same region where above-average temperatures were recorded. The combination of record temperatures and low Arctic sea ice in 2020 highlights the importance of improved and more comprehensive monitoring in a region warming faster than anywhere else in the world.”

David Mond, professor of mathematics at the University of Warwick, said: “We’ve now had 43 consecutive Septembers, and 417 consecutive months, with temperatures above the 20th-century average. The increases may not seem huge but lead to a huge increase in the frequency of what were previously exceptional events: record-breaking forest fires in California, rainfall in the French Alps so intense that it washes away roads, houses and even the bodies from cemeteries, and so many Atlantic hurricanes that we ran out of names.”

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/september-was-worlds-hottest-on-record-c...
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Reply #612 - Oct 8th, 2020 at 4:27pm
 
Thanks Super Nova.
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Reply #613 - Oct 8th, 2020 at 5:05pm
 
Super Nova wrote on Oct 8th, 2020 at 1:56pm:
David Mond, professor of mathematics at the University of Warwick, said: “We’ve now had 43 consecutive Septembers, and 417 consecutive months, with temperatures above the 20th-century average.



And the KNOW the average temperature of the earth back to 1900 to within +/- 0.01C accuracy.

Even when Phil Jones of CRU East Anglia, said that "For much of the SH between 40 and 60S the normals are mostly made up as there is very little ship data there".

Or Email 4582, Feb 2009, Phil Jones on global average surface temperature: "The work that estimated the 14 number (it was 14.02 for the globe) made lots of assumptions over the sea ice areas and the Antarctic. I always thought this was accurate to about +/- 0.5 deg C"

NASA has global temperature in 1900 of -0.7C. 1899 it is -0.17C and 1901 it is -0.15C. So really there was a spike of over 0.5C in two of those three years. Now that is rapid.

https://climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/global-temperature/

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Reply #614 - Oct 11th, 2020 at 6:29pm
 
Captain Nemo wrote on Oct 2nd, 2020 at 11:55pm:
Neferti wrote on Oct 2nd, 2020 at 6:32pm:
What happened to the "hole in the ozone layer" that was all the go back in the 80s?  Huh


The world got together and banned CFC's  Cool

- unlike now, where the world is at war over Global Warming and CO2 emissions.  Sad


How times change.

"2019 Ozone Hole is the Smallest on Record Since Its Discovery"

https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/2019/2019-ozone-hole-is-the-smallest-on-rec...

"2020 Antarctic ozone hole is large and deep"

"The annually occurring ozone hole over the Antarctic is one of the largest and deepest in recent years. Analyses show that the hole has reached its maximum size."

https://public.wmo.int/en/media/news/2020-antarctic-ozone-hole-large-and-deep
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Reply #615 - Oct 15th, 2020 at 11:31am
 
https://www.weatherzone.com.au/news/earths-warmest-september-on-record/532690


Image: Global combined land and ocean surface temperature anolaies for the last 141 Septembers, relative to the 20th century average. Source: NOAA National Centres for Environmental Information.

...



Earth's warmest September on record.


Ben Domensino, Thursday October 15, 2020 - 11:49 EDT

Our planet just had its warmest September on record, according to a new report released by the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

Based on the NOAA 'global temperature dataset record', which dates back to 1880, Earth just registered its warmest September on record. Last month's global land and ocean surface temperature was 0.97ºC above the 20th-century average, making it the highest of the last 141 Septembers in this dataset. The previous record was 0.95ºC above average, which occurred in both 2015 and 2016.
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Reply #616 - Oct 15th, 2020 at 1:24pm
 
"Increasing ocean stratification over the past half-century

    Guancheng Li, Lijing Cheng, Jiang Zhu, Kevin E. Trenberth, Michael E. Mann & John P. Abraham "

"Seawater generally forms stratified layers with lighter waters near the surface and denser waters at greater depth. This stable configuration acts as a barrier to water mixing that impacts the efficiency of vertical exchanges of heat, carbon, oxygen and other constituents. "

"We find that stratification globally has increased by a substantial 5.3% [5.0%, 5.8%] in recent decades (1960–2018) (the confidence interval is 5–95%); a rate of 0.90% per decade. Most of the increase (~71%) occurred in the upper 200 m of the ocean and resulted largely (>90%) from temperature changes, although salinity changes play an important role locally."

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-020-00918-2


Dated 28 September

So now Trenberth's heat hiding in the "deep ocean" is now not; it is mostly in the top 200m  The stratification prevents the mixing to the deep ocean.

But then -

"New research reveals temperatures in the deep sea fluctuate more than scientists previously thought and a warming trend is now detectable at the bottom of the ocean."

"In a new study in AGU’s journal Geophysical Research Letters, researchers analyzed a decade of hourly temperature recordings from moorings anchored at four depths in the Atlantic Ocean’s Argentine Basin off the coast of Uruguay. The depths represent a range around the average ocean depth of 3,682 meters (12,080 feet), with the shallowest at 1,360 meters (4,460 feet) and the deepest at 4,757 meters (15,600 feet).

They found all sites exhibited a warming trend of 0.02 to 0.04 degrees Celsius per decade between 2009 and 2019 – a significant warming trend in the deep sea where temperature fluctuations are typically measured in thousandths of a degree. According to the study authors, this increase is consistent with warming trends in the shallow ocean associated with anthropogenic climate change, but more research is needed to understand what is driving rising temperatures in the deep ocean."

https://news.agu.org/press-release/the-deep-sea-is-slowly-warming/

Dated 13 October

So in a fortnight it is not in the deep ocean, but it is. Roll Eyes

...

https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2020GL089093

And they know this is widespread from exactly four sites.

And of course those dratted global average ocean temperatures back to 1880 with an accuracy of .01C? Farcical, the same as the global average land temperatures going back that far. And of course even now. Supposedly accurate to within 1/100th of a degree C.

September Ranks and Records

September      Anomaly                                                  Rank
                                                                                 (out of 141 years)      Records
                    °C                        °F                                                           Year(s)       °C      °F
Global
Land      +1.49 ± 0.29      +2.68 ± 0.52      Warmest      1st       2020      +1.49      +2.68
                                                                                Coolest      141st      1884      -0.78      -1.40
Ocean      +0.77 ± 0.14      +1.39 ± 0.25      Warmest      4th               2015        +0.83      +1.49
                                                                                Coolest      138th       1903,
                                                                                                                          1904,
                                                                                                                          1908        -0.47        -0.85
Land and Ocean+0.97 ± 0.16      +1.75 ± 0.29 Warmest      1st                 2020        +0.97         +1.75
                                                                                Coolest      141st         1912        -0.53         -0.95

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/202009
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Reply #617 - Jan 12th, 2021 at 10:53pm
 
Here's some evidence to back up what Monk has been saying:


https://www.weatherzone.com.au/news/nearly-four-years-without-a-cool-month-in-nz...


Nearly four years without a 'cool' month in NZ


Ben Domensino, Tuesday January 12, 2021 - 17:13 EDT

Aotearoa New Zealand has now gone almost four years without registering a notably cooler-than-average month, with the country also just experiencing its 7th warmest year on record.

Unusually high atmospheric pressure near New Zealand during 2020 helped cause patterns of atmospheric circulation that suppressed rainfall over northern parts of the country.

According to New Zealand’s National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA), 2020 was the driest year on record for the North Island’s Auckland, Hamilton and Whatawhata. This is an impressive feat at Hamilton, which has rainfall data available back to 1905.

This abnormally dry weather was also frequently accompanied by above-average temperatures throughout the year.

Overall, 2020 was New Zealand’s 7th warmest year on record, with a mean national temperature that was 0.63ºC above the 1981-2010 average. This came in behind the record of 0.84ºC above average in 2016.

Image: New Zealand's annual national temperature anomalies. Source: NIWA

NIWA pointed out that last year’s top-ten temperature ranking is consistent with a long-term trend of rising temperatures in the country.

Six of the last eight years have all been among the country’s warmest on record. It’s also worth noting that six months during 2020 were more than half a degree warmer than the long-term average, while the remaining six months were all near-average.

According to NIWA, “it has now been 47 months since New Zealand has had a month with below average temperatures."

NIWA defines below-average temperatures as being less than -0.50°C of the long-term average. The country’s last below-average monthly temperature was observed in January 2017.
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Reply #618 - Jan 13th, 2021 at 11:09am
 
Bump
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Reply #619 - Jan 13th, 2021 at 12:28pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Jan 12th, 2021 at 10:53pm:
NIWA defines below-average temperatures as being less than -0.50°C of the long-term average.



How do they define above-average temperature?
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Reply #620 - Jan 13th, 2021 at 12:37pm
 
lee wrote on Jan 13th, 2021 at 12:28pm:
Bobby. wrote on Jan 12th, 2021 at 10:53pm:
NIWA defines below-average temperatures as being less than -0.50°C of the long-term average.



How do they define above-average temperature?



The National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research or NIWA knows.
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Reply #621 - Jan 14th, 2021 at 10:12am
 
Bobby. wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:36pm:
random wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:33pm:
System Information

This topic is locked, and you are not allowed to post or modify messages.




That was the last thread - I locked it.
You can have your say here now.
Post your evidence.

Let’s start here :- https://link.newyorker.com/view/5d87c528283d8e22f8320025dhdur.qt/bead8aea
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The Human Race is Insane
 
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Reply #622 - Jan 14th, 2021 at 4:17pm
 
Ayn Marx wrote on Jan 14th, 2021 at 10:12am:
Let’s start here :- https://link.newyorker.com/view/5d87c528283d8e22f8320025dhdur.qt/bead8aea


From your reference -

"For instance, in 1988—the year that the NASA scientist James Hansen made the greenhouse effect a public issue—Royal Dutch Shell produced a confidential internal memo after five years of internal reviews"

Hansen 2009 2011 -

"The basic physics underlying this global warming, the greenhouse gas effect, is simple. An increase in gases such as CO2 makes the atmosphere more opaque at infrared wavelengths. This added opacity causes the planet’s heat radiation to space to arise from higher, colder levels in the atmosphere, thus reducing emission of heat energy to space. "

https://arxiv.org/abs/1105.1140

...

Nope. No change in optical thickness.

...

Nope. No change in heat energy lost to space.

That therefore falsifies Hansen's view of AGW.

Perhaps you have another icon to which you can refer?
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Reply #623 - Jan 26th, 2021 at 3:02pm
 
I asked Monk for a very long time to start a thread called
Evidence for global warming.

He wouldn't do it so I had to to do it myself here.

It is now 42 pages long and has a lot of evidence that
agrees with Monk's point of view
which was mostly provided by me.

Monk still hasn't apologised for his lies about me.
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Reply #624 - Jan 26th, 2021 at 3:19pm
 
I see he hasn't responded to his Topic of "Australia a Carbon Sink?"

I guess he has no comeback.
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Reply #625 - Feb 1st, 2021 at 5:30pm
 
Monk must apologise.


Just in now -
channel 7 news - Jane Bunn.


Melbourne had the  coolest January in 17 years.
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Reply #626 - Feb 1st, 2021 at 5:52pm
 
"Scientists have resolved a key climate change mystery, showing that the annual global temperature today is the warmest of the past 10,000 years – contrary to recent research, according to a Rutgers-led study in the journal Nature.

The long-standing mystery is called the “Holocene temperature conundrum,” with some skeptics contending that climate model predictions of future warming must be wrong. The scientists say their findings will challenge long-held views on the temperature history in the Holocene era, which began about 12,000 years ago.

“Our reconstruction shows that the first half of the Holocene was colder than in industrial times due to the cooling effects of remnant ice sheets from the previous glacial period – contrary to previous reconstructions of global temperatures,” said lead author Samantha Bova, a postdoctoral researcher associate in the lab of co-author Yair Rosenthal, a Distinguished Professor in the Department of Marine and Coastal Sciences and Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences at Rutgers University-New Brunswick. “The late Holocene warming was indeed caused by the increase in greenhouse gases, as predicted by climate models, and that eliminates any doubts about the key role of carbon dioxide in global warming.”

Scientists used marine calcareous (calcium carbonate-containing) fossils from foraminifers – single-celled organisms that live at the ocean surface – to reconstruct the temperature histories of the two most recent warm intervals on Earth. They are the Last Interglacial period from 128,000 to 115,000 years ago and the Holocene. To get the fossils, the scientists collected a core of bottom sediments near the mouth of the Sepik River off northern Papua New Guinea during the Rutgers-led Expedition 363 of the International Ocean Discovery Program. The core features rapidly accumulating sediments that allowed the scientists to recreate the temperature history of the western Pacific warm pool, which closely tracks changes in global temperatures.

How temperature evolved during the Last Interglacial and Holocene eras is controversial. Some data suggest that the average annual global temperature during modern times does not exceed the warmth in the Holocene’s early warm period, called the “Holocene thermal maximum,” which was followed by global cooling. Meanwhile, climate models strongly suggest that global temperatures have risen throughout the past 10,000 years.

“The apparent discrepancy between climate models and data has cast doubts among skeptics about the role of greenhouse gases in climate change during the Holocene and possibly in the future,” Rosenthal said. “We found that post-industrial warming has indeed accelerated the long and steady trend of warming throughout the past 10,000 years. Our study also underscores the importance of seasonal changes, specifically Northern Hemisphere summers, in driving many climate systems. Our method can, for the first time, use seasonal temperatures to come up with annual averages.” "

https://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2021-01/ru-icc012221.php

We have achieved it. Nirvana. The Holocene Optimum did not now exist. Based on ONE data set.

Mann would be proud. Everyone else obviously didn't know what they were doing. /sarc

Edit: I see from the Nature article they use Kohler et al 2017 as their CO2 foundation. Kohler (source Data Fig 3). Kohler et al use CMIP6 in their reconstructions. CMIP 6 shows more warming than CMIP5.

What could possibly go wrong. Wink

And the LIA disappears as well.
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Reply #627 - Feb 1st, 2021 at 7:33pm
 
"The oak capricorn beetles (Cerambyx) were found in a piece of wood that had been submerged in a peat bog. It was found by a farmer in East Anglia in the 1970s and donated to the Museum.

It was thought that this species never existed in the UK, so the pair remained a small mystery until now.

Tiny samples of both the beetles and wood were recently sent off for radiocarbon dating, which placed their age at 3,785 years old. So, rather than a species new to the UK, these beetles may once have been once endemic to the British Isles, but have since been extinct for thousands of years.

Max Barclay, Curator of Beetles at the Museum, says, 'These beetles are older than the Tudors, older than the Roman occupation of Britain, even older than the Roman Empire. These beetles were alive and chewing the inside of that piece of wood when the pharaohs were building the pyramids in Egypt. It is tremendously exciting.'

He believes oak capricorn beetles which exist today in southern and central Europe may have died out in Britain due to climate change."

https://www.nhm.ac.uk/discover/news/2021/january/perfectly-preserved-ancient-bee...

Damned inconvenient  those facts.

Like Ancient trees being uncovered by retreating glaciers aged about 6,000 years.

Hannibal crossing the mountains with elephants.
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Reply #628 - Jun 23rd, 2021 at 9:17pm
 
Jun 22, 2021,02:13pm EDT|506 views

Wild High Temperatures Worldwide Show
The Extent Of Record June Heat Wave


Eric Mack

https://www.forbes.com/sites/ericmack/2021/06/22/wild-high-temperatures-worldwid...



Palm Springs not only tied its all-time high temperature, it also recorded the warmest June night ever seen in North America this month. Meanwhile, Moscow is the hottest it’s been in June since 1901. In Siberia the ground surface temperature is a shocking 118 degrees Fahrenheit (47.8 degrees Celsius). That’s bad news for permafrost.

"This is because of global climate change,"
Russian meteorologist Marina Makarova told AFP.


All around the globe, June has been one for the record books. Monday was the hottest June day ever seen in Helsinki, Finland at 89 F (31.7 C).

The all-time record high for June for all of Mexico fell at Mexicali in Baja California this June 18 when the mercury reached a scorching 125 F (51.4 C). That’s just barely below the all-time high record ever seen anywhere in the country at any time of year.

Oh, and in case you haven’t spent much time paying attention to the weather in this planet’s northern hemisphere, keep in mind that June is typically not as hot as July and August.


The record heat hasn’t just been for blistering afternoons. While Palm Springs, Calif. tied its all-time high of 123 F (50.6 C), it also set a new record for the warmest overnight low for a June night anywhere in North America at an insomnia-inducing 105 F (40.6 C).

The heat wave isn’t only limited to the northern summer, either. Parts of South Africa saw overnight winter solstice temperatures in the 70s F (over 25 C).

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Reply #629 - Aug 15th, 2021 at 2:55pm
 
Monk doesn't need to apologise:

https://www.noaa.gov/news/its-official-july-2021-was-earths-hottest-month-on-rec...



It’s official:
July was Earth’s hottest month on record



August 13, 2021





July 2021 has earned the unenviable distinction as the world’s hottest month ever recorded, according to new global data released today by NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information.


“In this case, first place is the worst place to be,” said NOAA Administrator Rick Spinrad, Ph.D. “July is typically the world’s warmest month of the year, but July 2021 outdid itself as the hottest July and month ever recorded. This new record adds to the disturbing and disruptive path that climate change has set for the globe.”

July 2021 by the numbers

    Around the globe: the combined land and ocean-surface temperature was 1.67 degrees F (0.93 of a degree C) above the 20th-century average of 60.4 degrees F (15.8 degrees C), making it the hottest July since records began 142 years ago. It was 0.02 of a degree F (0.01 of a degree C) higher than the previous record set in July 2016, which was then tied in 2019 and 2020.
    The Northern Hemisphere: the land-surface only temperature was the highest ever recorded for July, at an unprecedented 2.77 degrees F (1.54 degrees C) above average, surpassing the previous record set in 2012.
    Regional records: Asia had its hottest July on record, besting the previous record set in 2010; Europe had its second-hottest July on record—tying with July 2010 and trailing behind July 2018; and North America, South America, Africa and Oceania all had a top-10 warmest July.

Extreme heat and global climate change

With last month’s data, it remains very likely that 2021 will rank among the world’s 10-warmest years on record, according to NCEI’s Global Annual Temperature Rankings Outlook.

Extreme heat detailed in NOAA’s monthly NCEI reports is also a reflection of the long-term changes outlined in a major report released this week by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change offsite link. 

“Scientists from across the globe delivered the most up-to-date assessment of the ways in which the climate is changing,” Spinrad said in a statement. “It is a sobering IPCC report that finds that human influence is, unequivocally, causing climate change, and it confirms the impacts are widespread and rapidly intensifying.”
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Reply #630 - Aug 15th, 2021 at 4:08pm
 
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Reply #631 - Aug 15th, 2021 at 5:30pm
 
Monk doesn't need to apologise:

https://www.noaa.gov/news/its-official-july-2021-was-earths-hottest-month-on-rec...



It’s official:
July was Earth’s hottest month on record



August 13, 2021





July 2021 has earned the unenviable distinction as the world’s hottest month ever recorded, according to new global data released today by NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information.


“In this case, first place is the worst place to be,” said NOAA Administrator Rick Spinrad, Ph.D. “July is typically the world’s warmest month of the year, but July 2021 outdid itself as the hottest July and month ever recorded. This new record adds to the disturbing and disruptive path that climate change has set for the globe.”

July 2021 by the numbers

    Around the globe: the combined land and ocean-surface temperature was 1.67 degrees F (0.93 of a degree C) above the 20th-century average of 60.4 degrees F (15.8 degrees C), making it the hottest July since records began 142 years ago. It was 0.02 of a degree F (0.01 of a degree C) higher than the previous record set in July 2016, which was then tied in 2019 and 2020.
    The Northern Hemisphere: the land-surface only temperature was the highest ever recorded for July, at an unprecedented 2.77 degrees F (1.54 degrees C) above average, surpassing the previous record set in 2012.
    Regional records: Asia had its hottest July on record, besting the previous record set in 2010; Europe had its second-hottest July on record—tying with July 2010 and trailing behind July 2018; and North America, South America, Africa and Oceania all had a top-10 warmest July.

Extreme heat and global climate change

With last month’s data, it remains very likely that 2021 will rank among the world’s 10-warmest years on record, according to NCEI’s Global Annual Temperature Rankings Outlook.

Extreme heat detailed in NOAA’s monthly NCEI reports is also a reflection of the long-term changes outlined in a major report released this week by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change offsite link. 

“Scientists from across the globe delivered the most up-to-date assessment of the ways in which the climate is changing,” Spinrad said in a statement. “It is a sobering IPCC report that finds that human influence is, unequivocally, causing climate change, and it confirms the impacts are widespread and rapidly intensifying.”
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Reply #632 - Aug 15th, 2021 at 11:16pm
 
Interesting that we are pretty much at the low end of Solar cycle activity and just beginning the upswing of the next cycle - Solar Cycle 25.

Hence, this record high temperature is occurring at a very low Solar activity period.

There should be no doubt that Global Warming is a result of very high levels of CO2 in the atmosphere.
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Reply #633 - Aug 16th, 2021 at 2:00pm
 
Captain Nemo wrote on Aug 15th, 2021 at 11:16pm:
There should be no doubt that Global Warming is a result of very high levels of CO2 in the atmosphere.


By how much?
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Reply #634 - Aug 16th, 2021 at 7:13pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 15th, 2021 at 5:30pm:
It’s official:
July was Earth’s hottest month on record



Not According to the NOAA database.
Date        Anomaly   Rank
202107      0.93°C      470

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/global/time-series/globe/land_ocean/all/7/1980-202...

It may have been the hottest July - by 0.01C; providing you think scientists know the earth's temperature to 1/100th of a degree.

If you go to the mapping the grey area is that for which there is no data.

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/global/mapping
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #635 - Sep 14th, 2021 at 2:18pm
 
https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-58494641


Climate change:
World now sees twice as many days over 50C


By Becky Dale & Nassos Stylianou
Data journalists

Published

7 hours ago


...


The number of extremely hot days every year when the temperature reaches 50C has doubled since the 1980s, a global BBC analysis has found.

They also now happen in more areas of the world than before, presenting unprecedented challenges to human health and to how we live.

The total number of days above 50C has increased in each decade since 1980. On average, between 1980 and 2009, temperatures passed 50C about 14 days a year.

The number rose to 26 days a year between 2010 and 2019.

In the same period, temperatures of 45C and above occurred on average an extra two weeks a year.

"The increase can be 100% attributed to the burning of fossil fuels,"

says Dr Friederike Otto, associate director of the Environmental Change Institute at the University of Oxford.
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Reply #636 - Sep 14th, 2021 at 2:54pm
 
So why only since 1980?

Surely it should be "evah".

The BBC. Once a respected institution. Now not so much.

Of course up until the late 70's was a global cooling scare.
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Reply #637 - Sep 14th, 2021 at 3:04pm
 
lee wrote on Sep 14th, 2021 at 2:54pm:
So why only since 1980?

Surely it should be "evah".

The BBC. Once a respected institution. Now not so much.

Of course up until the late 70's was a global cooling scare.



The BBC only ever prints gospel truth -
you know that?
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Reply #638 - Sep 14th, 2021 at 4:39pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Sep 14th, 2021 at 3:04pm:
The BBC only ever prints gospel truth -


"Ben Rich repeats the BBC’s frequent lie, that climate change is making hurricanes stronger, expressed of course in the usual “scientists say” way. These are his exact words:

    “Climate scientists believe that global warming is making them stronger” "

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/58503854

"“The future influence of climate change on tropical cyclones is likely to vary by region, but the specific characteristics of the changes are not yet well quantified and there is low confidence in region-specific projections of frequency and intensity.

“The global number of ETCs is unlikely to decrease by more than a few percent. ”

page 1220 AR5 chapter 14.

"” Consistent with this, studies have shown that pre-cipitation is projected to increase in ETCs despite no increase in wind speed intensity of ETCs (Bengtsson et al., 2009; Zappa et al., 2013b)”

page 1251

AR6?

"The IPCC’s latest report (AR6) continues the claim that human CO2 emissions have caused earth’s climate to warm–no shocker there. But the impacts this has had on Atlantic hurricane/global tropical cyclone activity may come as a surprise, at least to those who were duped by the narrative constructed over the past few decades. As NOAA/GFDL Senior Scientist Tom Knutson explains, global warming has had no impact on either storm frequency nor intensity…"

"But most importantly, within ALL of the findings, there is no strong evidence of increasing trends in U.S. landfalling hurricanes or major hurricanes, or of Atlantic basin-wide hurricanes or major hurricanes since the late 1800s, states Knutson.

In other words, one of the long-standing and key implications of CAGW, which has had ordinary folks concerned for decades now, has categorically been laid to rest: anthropogenic global warming does not lead to an increase in storms, neither in frequency nor intensity."

https://electroverse.net/ipcc-atlantic-hurricanes-tropical-cyclones-have-not-inc...

"There is also low confidence in past-century trends in the number and intensity of the strongest extratropical cyclones over the Northern Hemisphere due to the large interannual-to-decadal variability and temporal and spatial heterogeneities in the volume and type of assimilated data in atmospheric reanalyses, particularly before the satellite era. Over the Southern Hemisphere, it is likely that the number of extratropical cyclones with low central pressures (<980 hPa) has increased since 1979. The frequency of intense extratropical cyclones is projected to decrease (medium confidence). Projected changes in the intensity depend on the resolution of climate models (medium confidence). "

AR6 page 47 of 159

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Reply #639 - Sep 14th, 2021 at 5:14pm
 
Captain Nemo wrote on Aug 15th, 2021 at 11:16pm:
Interesting that we are pretty much at the low end of Solar cycle activity and just beginning the upswing of the next cycle - Solar Cycle 25.

Hence, this record high temperature is occurring at a very low Solar activity period.

There should be no doubt that Global Warming is a result of very high levels of CO2 in the atmosphere.

The science of climate change is unambiguously scary but the psychology of deniers is far scarier.
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Reply #640 - Sep 14th, 2021 at 5:23pm
 
Ayn Marx wrote on Sep 14th, 2021 at 5:14pm:
The science of climate change is unambiguously scary but the psychology of deniers is far scarier.


So tell us where it is unambiguous. Wink
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Reply #641 - Oct 3rd, 2021 at 5:29pm
 
https://climate.nasa.gov/resources/global-warming-vs-climate-change/



Changes observed in Earth’s climate since the early 20th century are primarily driven by human activities,


particularly fossil fuel burning, which increases heat-trapping greenhouse gas levels in Earth’s atmosphere, raising Earth’s average surface temperature. These human-produced temperature increases are commonly referred to as global warming. Natural processes can also contribute to climate change, including internal variability (e.g., cyclical ocean patterns like El Niño, La Niña and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation) and external forcings (e.g., volcanic activity, changes in the Sun’s energy output, variations in Earth’s orbit).



Global warming is the long-term heating of Earth’s climate system observed since the pre-industrial period (between 1850 and 1900) due to human activities, primarily fossil fuel burning, which increases heat-trapping greenhouse gas levels in Earth’s atmosphere. The term is frequently used interchangeably with the term climate change, though the latter refers to both human- and naturally produced warming and the effects it has on our planet. It is most commonly measured as the average increase in Earth’s global surface temperature.

Since the pre-industrial period, human activities are estimated to have increased Earth’s global average temperature by about 1 degree Celsius (1.8 degrees Fahrenheit), a number that is currently increasing by 0.2 degrees Celsius (0.36 degrees Fahrenheit) per decade. It is unequivocal that human influence has warmed the atmosphere, ocean, and land.
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Reply #642 - Oct 4th, 2021 at 3:18am
 
Ayn Marx wrote on Sep 14th, 2021 at 5:14pm:
Captain Nemo wrote on Aug 15th, 2021 at 11:16pm:
Interesting that we are pretty much at the low end of Solar cycle activity and just beginning the upswing of the next cycle - Solar Cycle 25.

Hence, this record high temperature is occurring at a very low Solar activity period.

There should be no doubt that Global Warming is a result of very high levels of CO2 in the atmosphere.

The science of climate change is unambiguously scary but the psychology of deniers is far scarier.


I agree. The deniers and their influence on policy makers is what will be our undoing.

This century will go down in history as the period we did SFA to secure the planet for human habitation. We deserve a big cull. Nature will provide it.
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Reply #643 - Oct 4th, 2021 at 7:52am
 
Super Nova wrote on Oct 4th, 2021 at 3:18am:
.
This century will go down in history as the period we did SFA to secure the planet for human habitation. .

How, when there’ll be nobody left to write it?
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Reply #644 - Oct 4th, 2021 at 11:30am
 
We know CO2 is a well mixed gas. Why then is the Antarctic cooling, except for the peninsula which is outside the Antarctic Circle?

"The Antarctic Peninsula has had a globally large increase in mean annual temperature from the 1951 to 1998 followed by a decline that still continues. "

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-017-05989-4

"Recent regional climate cooling on the Antarctic Peninsula and associated impacts on the cryosphere"

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0048969716327152

"Absence of 21st century warming on Antarctic Peninsula consistent with natural variability"

https://www.nature.com/articles/nature18645

It warms, it cools  - it is indeed a magic gas.
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Reply #645 - Oct 5th, 2021 at 7:28pm
 
https://climate.nasa.gov/evidence/

Earth's climate has changed throughout history. Just in the last 650,000 years there have been seven cycles of glacial advance and retreat, with the abrupt end of the last ice age about 11,700 years ago marking the beginning of the modern climate era — and of human civilization. Most of these climate changes are attributed to very small variations in Earth’s orbit that change the amount of solar energy our planet receives.

    Scientific evidence for warming of the climate system is unequivocal.
    - Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

The current warming trend is of particular significance because it is unequivocally the result of human activity since the mid-20th century and proceeding at a rate that is unprecedented over millennia.1 It is undeniable that human activities have warmed the atmosphere, ocean, and land and that widespread and rapid changes in the atmosphere, ocean, cryosphere, and biosphere have occurred.

Earth-orbiting satellites and other technological advances have enabled scientists to see the big picture, collecting many different types of information about our planet and its climate on a global scale. This body of data, collected over many years, reveals the signals of a changing climate.

The heat-trapping nature of carbon dioxide and other gases was demonstrated in the mid-19th century.2 Their ability to affect the transfer of infrared energy through the atmosphere is the scientific basis of many instruments flown by NASA. There is no question that increased levels of greenhouse gases must cause Earth to warm in response.

Ice cores drawn from Greenland, Antarctica, and tropical mountain glaciers show that Earth’s climate responds to changes in greenhouse gas levels. Ancient evidence can also be found in tree rings, ocean sediments, coral reefs, and layers of sedimentary rocks. This ancient, or paleoclimate, evidence reveals that current warming is occurring roughly ten times faster than the average rate of ice-age-recovery warming. Carbon dioxide from human activity is increasing more than 250 times faster than it did from natural sources after the last Ice Age.3
The evidence for rapid climate change is compelling:
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Reply #646 - Oct 6th, 2021 at 2:06am
 
Yes and we (our leaders) all sit around talkng about it and we do SFA about it.

I blame the climate denier propaganda and short term interests of business who are resisting change to preserve their self interest..



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Reply #647 - Oct 6th, 2021 at 8:37am
 
Super Nova wrote on Oct 6th, 2021 at 2:06am:
Yes and we (our leaders) all sit around talkng about it and we do SFA about it.

I blame the climate denier propaganda and short term interests of business who are resisting change to preserve their self interest..




We have perhaps the largest per capita use
of solar panels in the world.
We are doing something.
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Reply #648 - Oct 6th, 2021 at 10:01am
 
https://edition.cnn.com/2021/10/05/health/nobel-prize-physics-winner-scn-2021/in...



Nobel Prize in physics awarded to scientists
whose work warned the world of climate change


By Rob Picheta and Katie Hunt, CNN

Updated 1308 GMT (2108 HKT) October 5, 2021


(CNN)The Nobel Prize in physics has been awarded to scientists Syukuro Manabe, Klaus Hasselmann and Giorgio Parisi, whose groundbreaking work over the past 60 years predicted climate change and decoded complex physical systems.
Manabe, 90, and Hasselmann, 89, were jointly honored for "the physical modelling of Earth's climate, quantifying variability and reliably predicting global warming," according to the news release from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences.
Both men carried out pioneering work in the 1960s and 1970s that sounded an early alarm on human-made climate change.

Italian physicist Parisi, 73, claimed the other half of the award, for "the discovery of the interplay of disorder and fluctuations in physical systems from atomic to planetary scales."

The trio were announced as winners at a news conference Tuesday in Stockholm, Sweden.
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Reply #649 - Oct 6th, 2021 at 3:06pm
 
Wow. Physics and modelling in the one sentence. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #650 - Oct 6th, 2021 at 3:29pm
 
lee wrote on Oct 6th, 2021 at 3:06pm:
Wow. Physics and modelling in the one sentence. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Sorry, but I can’t figure out what the point is you’re making. Undecided Undecided Undecided Huh
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Reply #651 - Oct 6th, 2021 at 4:38pm
 
Ayn Marx wrote on Oct 6th, 2021 at 3:29pm:
Sorry, but I can’t figure out what the point is you’re making. Undecided Undecided Undecided


There are too many unknowns in the climate physics that's why the models are running hot.

"But as climate scientists face this alarming reality, the climate models that help them project the future have grown a little too alarmist. Many of the world’s leading models are now projecting warming rates that most scientists, including the modelmakers themselves, believe are implausibly fast. In advance of the U.N. report, scientists have scrambled to understand what went wrong and how to turn the models, which in other respects are more powerful and trustworthy than their predecessors, into useful guidance for policymakers. “It’s become clear over the last year or so that we can’t avoid this,” says Gavin Schmidt, director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies. …"

https://www.science.org/news/2021/07/un-climate-panel-confronts-implausibly-hot-...


Gavin Scmmidt is also a climate modeller.
Physics can only explain the known physics. It can't explain the unknown physics.
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Reply #652 - Oct 10th, 2021 at 9:29pm
 
lee wrote on Oct 6th, 2021 at 4:38pm:
Ayn Marx wrote on Oct 6th, 2021 at 3:29pm:
Sorry, but I can’t figure out what the point is you’re making. Undecided Undecided Undecided


There are too many unknowns in the climate physics that's why the models are running hot.

"But as climate scientists face this alarming reality, the climate models that help them project the future have grown a little too alarmist. Many of the world’s leading models are now projecting warming rates that most scientists, including the modelmakers themselves, believe are implausibly fast. In advance of the U.N. report, scientists have scrambled to understand what went wrong and how to turn the models, which in other respects are more powerful and trustworthy than their predecessors, into useful guidance for policymakers. “It’s become clear over the last year or so that we can’t avoid this,” says Gavin Schmidt, director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies. …"

https://www.science.org/news/2021/07/un-climate-panel-confronts-implausibly-hot-...


Gavin Scmmidt is also a climate modeller.
Physics can only explain the known physics. It can't explain the unknown physics.



The thing is -
the climate has always been changing.
Crops used to grow in Greenland -
now it's covered in ice.
How warm was it then?
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Reply #653 - Oct 10th, 2021 at 9:37pm
 
The tree line is also much farther north than in the last 10,000 years. That's why they find those tree stumps.
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Reply #654 - Oct 10th, 2021 at 9:49pm
 
lee wrote on Oct 10th, 2021 at 9:37pm:
The tree line is also much farther north than in the last 10,000 years. That's why they find those tree stumps.



What does that mean?
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Reply #655 - Oct 10th, 2021 at 9:51pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Oct 10th, 2021 at 9:49pm:
lee wrote Today at 7:37pm:
The tree line is also much farther north than in the last 10,000 years. That's why they find those tree stumps.



What does that mean?



It means it has been warmer in the last 10,000 years than now.
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Reply #656 - Oct 10th, 2021 at 9:55pm
 
lee wrote on Oct 10th, 2021 at 9:51pm:
Bobby. wrote on Oct 10th, 2021 at 9:49pm:
lee wrote Today at 7:37pm:
The tree line is also much farther north than in the last 10,000 years. That's why they find those tree stumps.



What does that mean?



It means it has been warmer in the last 10,000 years than now.



Then how can scientists say that it's warmer now than before?
It doesn't make sense to me.
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Reply #657 - Oct 14th, 2021 at 8:00am
 
It has been a while since I last posted here.

Are you still harping on about the next solar maximum being a non-event, Bobby? Was it you who predicted that it would flat-line?



https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/solar-cycle-progression
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Reply #658 - Oct 14th, 2021 at 8:12am
 
John_Taverner wrote on Oct 14th, 2021 at 8:00am:
It has been a while since I last posted here.

Are you still harping on about the next solar maximum being a non-event, Bobby? Was it you who predicted that it would flat-line?

https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/solar-cycle-progression



Many blessings,
I present the facts as and where I find them.
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Reply #659 - Oct 14th, 2021 at 8:19am
 
lee wrote on Oct 10th, 2021 at 9:51pm:
It means it has been warmer in the last 10,000 years than now.


Let's just simplify. The fallacy of oversimplification occurs when we attempt to make something appear simpler by ignoring certain relevant complexities. .

Quote:
There is already evidence from satellite imagery that the tundra beyond is becoming greener and shrubbier. Many scientists expect the tree line to advance eventually, and some studies purport to show that this is already happening. Some models predict that half the current tundra could be converted by 2100, though others say the process would be much slower. On the other hand, some studies assert the trees are actually retreating in areas, as heat dries forests, helping invasive insects and fires to destroy growing areas.


https://news.climate.columbia.edu/2016/11/16/where-trees-meet-tundra-decoding-si...

Let's just ignore what researchers are saying and come to our own cut and pasted opinions.  That way, we'll convince the gullible.
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Reply #660 - Oct 14th, 2021 at 8:23am
 
Bobby. wrote on Oct 14th, 2021 at 8:12am:
Many blessings,
I present the facts as and where I find them.


I'll accept your lack of contradiction. It's better than nothing.

Anyway, I'm not going to waste my time here on dinosaurs. See you in a few years.
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Reply #661 - Oct 14th, 2021 at 12:31pm
 
John_Taverner wrote on Oct 14th, 2021 at 8:19am:
Let's just simplify. The fallacy of oversimplification occurs when we attempt to make something appear simpler by ignoring certain relevant complexities. .


You mean like batteries? Or like Australia and the Southern H?emisphere being a giant CO2 sink?

John_Taverner wrote on Oct 14th, 2021 at 8:19am:
Quote:
There is already evidence from satellite imagery that the tundra beyond is becoming greener and shrubbier. Many scientists expect the tree line to advance eventually, and some studies purport to show that this is already happening. Some models predict  that half the current tundra could be converted by 2100, though others say the process would be much slower. On the other hand, some studies assert the trees are actually retreating in areas, as heat dries forests, helping invasive insects and fires to destroy growing areas.


Oh a greening world due to CO2.  More cropland available. What is not to like?

"Some models predict"? You mean those models that have shown no predictive value? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

John_Taverner wrote on Oct 14th, 2021 at 8:19am:
Let's just ignore what researchers are saying and come to our own cut and pasted opinions.


And of course those pesky tree stumps that are still above the snowline. Wink

“All recovered tree specimens originate from exceptionally high elevations, about 600-700 m atop of modern treeline positions."

“Conservatively drawing on the latter figure and a summer temperature lapse rate of 0.6 °C per 100 m elevation (Laaksonen 1976), could a priori mean that summer temperatures were at least 4.2 °C warmer than present around 9,500 years before present. However, glacio-isostatic land uplift by at least 100 m since that time (Möller 1987; Påsse & Anderson 2005) implies that this figure has to be reduced to 3.6 °C higher than present-day levels, i.e. first decades of the 21st century. Evidently, this was the warmth peak of the Holocene, hitherto.”

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/324991910_Further_Details_on_Holocene_T...

You mean researchers like this? Or only those with which you agree? Wink

So let's see you don't like the CSIRO because they say the entire SH is a CO2 sink?
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Reply #662 - Mar 3rd, 2022 at 8:36am
 
Time to rename it Global Moisture?


The intellectual giant and dear leader of the Unions comes up with solution:

...


Note: her head is pleasingly tilted to signal eternal concern.





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« Last Edit: Mar 3rd, 2022 at 8:58am by Frank »  

Estragon: I can’t go on like this.
Vladimir: That’s what you think.
 
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Reply #663 - Apr 15th, 2022 at 8:46am
 
https://edition.cnn.com/2022/04/14/world/antarctica-larsen-c-ice-shelf-atmospher...



Powerful 'rivers in the sky' could cause
Antarctic Peninsula's biggest ice shelf to collapse


By Angela Dewan, CNN

Updated 1459 GMT (2259 HKT) April 14, 2022


These conditions were observed during the collapse of two of the peninsula's ice shelves -- Larsen A and B -- in the summers of 1995 and 2002, respectively. And now, as the climate crisis is projected to warm the Earth further, the biggest remaining ice shelf, Larsen C, is also at risk of total collapse, the study says.

The authors of the study, published in the Nature journal Communications Earth & Environment, used algorithms, climate models and satellite observations to determine that 60% of the peninsula's calving events -- where an iceberg breaks off an ice shelf or glacier -- were triggered by atmospheric rivers between 2000 and 2020.



To put in perspective what a ice loss in Antarctica could mean for the world, Turner explained there are 60 meters -- nearly 200 feet -- of potential sea level rise if the whole continent's ice melted. Western Antarctica, the broader region around the peninsula, represents 6 meters (20 feet) of rise, which in itself would swallow entire islands and be catastrophic for millions of people living on coasts and beyond.
Most of the world's ice melt and sea level rise so far can be attributed to melting of the Greenland ice sheet in the Arctic.
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Reply #664 - Apr 15th, 2022 at 3:39pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Apr 15th, 2022 at 8:46am:
The authors of the study, published in the Nature journal Communications Earth & Environment, used algorithms, climate models and satellite observations to determine that 60% of the peninsula's calving events -- where an iceberg breaks off an ice shelf or glacier -- were triggered by atmospheric rivers between 2000 and 2020.


Ice shelves are floating ice. They will not raise sea levels.



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Reply #665 - Apr 15th, 2022 at 4:47pm
 
lee wrote on Apr 15th, 2022 at 3:39pm:
Bobby. wrote on Apr 15th, 2022 at 8:46am:
The authors of the study, published in the Nature journal Communications Earth & Environment, used algorithms, climate models and satellite observations to determine that 60% of the peninsula's calving events -- where an iceberg breaks off an ice shelf or glacier -- were triggered by atmospheric rivers between 2000 and 2020.


Ice shelves are floating ice. They will not raise sea levels.




Read the article -
land ice will follow the sea ice.
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Reply #666 - Apr 15th, 2022 at 5:29pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Apr 15th, 2022 at 4:47pm:
Read the article -
land ice will follow the sea ice.



According to the algorithms and the models. Satellite data has no predictive power.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #667 - Apr 16th, 2022 at 2:03pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Apr 15th, 2022 at 4:47pm:
Read the article -
land ice will follow the sea ice.


Which will spread the sea ice and lead to a greater ice coverage in the Antarctic during the Autumn to Spring period. Scientists probably have the ability to refreeze coastal sections of Antarctica that they do not want to see melted during the summer. And they can probably set up wind turbines to power machines to refreeze whatever coastal areas that they predicted would melt away.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #668 - Apr 16th, 2022 at 2:14pm
 
UnSubRocky wrote on Apr 16th, 2022 at 2:03pm:
Bobby. wrote on Apr 15th, 2022 at 4:47pm:
Read the article -
land ice will follow the sea ice.


Which will spread the sea ice and lead to a greater ice coverage in the Antarctic during the Autumn to Spring period.
Scientists probably have the ability to refreeze coastal sections of Antarctica
that they do not want to see melted during the summer. And they can probably set up wind turbines to power machines to refreeze whatever coastal areas that they predicted would melt away.



Have you been taking substances?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #669 - Apr 16th, 2022 at 2:28pm
 
It is wishful thinking that scientists would entertain the idea of preventing ice sheets from breaking up and floating away with far-fetched ideas of using covered freezers. But, why not entertain the possibility that we use future technology to achieve this?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #670 - Apr 16th, 2022 at 2:36pm
 
UnSubRocky wrote on Apr 16th, 2022 at 2:28pm:
It is wishful thinking that scientists would entertain the idea of preventing ice sheets from breaking up and floating away with far-fetched ideas of using covered freezers. But, why not entertain the possibility that we use future technology to achieve this?



Did you know that the air outside a refrigerator gets
hotter in order for the air inside to get colder?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #671 - Apr 16th, 2022 at 2:38pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Apr 16th, 2022 at 2:36pm:
UnSubRocky wrote on Apr 16th, 2022 at 2:28pm:
It is wishful thinking that scientists would entertain the idea of preventing ice sheets from breaking up and floating away with far-fetched ideas of using covered freezers. But, why not entertain the possibility that we use future technology to achieve this?



Did you know that the air outside a refrigerator gets
hotter in order for the air inside to get colder?


And where does that hotter air go in a cold environment like Antarctica? Towards the atmosphere where it is quickly cooled and frozen and causes more snow and ice to fall. Win-win for Antarctica.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #672 - Apr 17th, 2022 at 6:50pm
 
...

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« Last Edit: Apr 18th, 2022 at 8:38am by Bobby. »  

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #673 - Apr 18th, 2022 at 7:30am
 
Does she not understand how she is undermining her argument by using a plane? And how much more pollution does she create by being driven about in vehicles. I doubt that she rides a bike or walks very far, with her enormous arse. How many beef cattle were slaughtered to feed her fat ass?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #674 - Apr 18th, 2022 at 8:36am
 
Frank wrote on Apr 17th, 2022 at 6:50pm:




I thought that was bullshit but it's true -
does she really think that anyone wants to see her disgusting fat arse?


https://www.breitbart.com/entertainment/2022/04/11/climate-crusader-lizzo-poses-...

Pop star, Joe Biden Presidential campaign surrogate, and climate change hardliner Lizzo posed in a tiny thong, showing off her buttocks while boarding another private jet on Sunday.

Lizzo posted a video to her 12 million Instagram followers that showed her boarding a jet clad in an outfit that put her entire behind on display. The grammy-winner tweeted Monday about being in New York City to host Saturday Night Live.
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Reply #675 - May 6th, 2022 at 7:49am
 
Worries about permafrost:


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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #676 - May 6th, 2022 at 8:44am
 
Bobby. wrote on Apr 18th, 2022 at 8:36am:
Frank wrote on Apr 17th, 2022 at 6:50pm:




I thought that was bullshit but it's true -
does she really think that anyone wants to see her disgusting fat arse?


https://www.breitbart.com/entertainment/2022/04/11/climate-crusader-lizzo-poses-...

Pop star, Joe Biden Presidential campaign surrogate, and climate change hardliner Lizzo posed in a tiny thong, showing off her buttocks while boarding another private jet on Sunday.

Lizzo posted a video to her 12 million Instagram followers that showed her boarding a jet clad in an outfit that put her entire behind on display. The grammy-winner tweeted Monday about being in New York City to host Saturday Night Live.



...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #677 - May 6th, 2022 at 8:45am
 
Bobby. wrote on Apr 18th, 2022 at 8:36am:
Frank wrote on Apr 17th, 2022 at 6:50pm:




I thought that was bullshit but it's true -
does she really think that anyone wants to see her disgusting fat arse?


https://www.breitbart.com/entertainment/2022/04/11/climate-crusader-lizzo-poses-...

Pop star, Joe Biden Presidential campaign surrogate, and climate change hardliner Lizzo posed in a tiny thong, showing off her buttocks while boarding another private jet on Sunday.

Lizzo posted a video to her 12 million Instagram followers that showed her boarding a jet clad in an outfit that put her entire behind on display. The grammy-winner tweeted Monday about being in New York City to host Saturday Night Live.


She fancies herself as the Hottentot Venus du jour.

...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #678 - May 11th, 2022 at 4:06pm
 
https://edition.cnn.com/2022/05/11/australia/australia-great-barrier-reef-bleach...


Great Barrier Reef suffers sixth mass bleaching event
with 91% of reefs surveyed affected


By Hilary Whiteman, Hannah Ritchie and Helen Regan, CNN

Updated 0445 GMT (1245 HKT) May 11, 2022


...



(CNN)Warming waters from escalating climate change have caused coral bleaching in 91% of reefs surveyed along the Great Barrier Reef this year, according to new findings from an Australian government agency.
Scientists from the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority (GBRMPA) confirmed in March this was the sixth mass bleaching event of the reef on record and the fourth since 2016.
But Tuesday's report, Reef snapshot: summer 2021-22, found almost every coral reef surveyed across the 1,400 mile (2,300 kilometer) system was impacted by bleaching.

Coral reefs are some of the most vibrant marine ecosystems on earth -- between a quarter and one third of all marine species rely on them at some point in their life cycle. But the rapid warming of the planet due to human emissions of heat-trapping gases is causing above average water temperatures, leading to stress events like mass bleaching.

Coral bleaching tends to happen when water temperatures are much warmer than normal. But for the first time, this mass bleaching comes despite La Niña, a weather event which is characterized by cooler-than-normal temperatures across the equatorial Pacific Ocean, the Authority's scientists said.


Scientists say time is running out for the reefs to be able to recover and that governments urgently need to address the root cause: the climate crisis.


"To give our reef a fighting chance, we must deal with the number one problem: climate change. No amount of funding will stop these bleaching events unless we drive down our emissions this decade," said Amanda McKenzie, CEO of the Climate Council in March.


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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #679 - May 11th, 2022 at 4:53pm
 
Another sky mapping of the reef.  Hoping to see colour in reefs from 100feet.

"Map 1: 2022 Aerial Survey observations of reef community coral bleaching throughout the Great Barrier Reef after the final heat wave from 12-23 March 2022. A total of 719 reefs were surveyed by a combination of helicopter and fixed-wing aircraft."

"Of these, 654 reefs (91 per cent) exhibited some bleaching."

https://www.gbrmpa.gov.au/the-reef/reef-health


So some bleaching - 1%? 99%?

Another view -

https://jennifermarohasy.com/2022/04/epicentre-of-mass-coral-bleaching-still-so-...

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Reply #680 - Jun 1st, 2022 at 2:23pm
 
"But much like carbon. Depending on how it’s made, distributed and used, it could even make warming worse over the next few decades, even if carbon poses the bigger long-term threat. Any future hydrogen-based economy, they say, must be designed from the start to keep leaks of the gas to a minimum, or it risks adding to the very problem it’s supposed to solve. Some ideas now being tested, like shipping hydrogen in pipelines built to hold natural gas or burning it in individual homes, could cause an unacceptable level of leaks.

“The potency is a lot stronger than people realize,” said Ilissa Ocko, a climate scientist with the Environmental Defense Fund, a non-profit group. “We’re putting this on everyone’s radar now not to say ‘no’ to hydrogen but to think about how we deploy it.”

Hydrogen doesn’t trap heat directly, the way CO₂ does. Instead, when leaked it sets off a series of chemical reactions that warm the air, acting as an indirect greenhouse gas. And though it cycles out of the atmosphere far faster than carbon dioxide, which lingers for centuries, it can do more damage than CO₂ in the short term. Over 20 years, it has 33 times the global warming potential of an equal amount of carbon dioxide, according to a recent UK government report. Over hundreds of years, carbon is more dangerous, due to its longevity.

Hydrogen’s warming potential was never a problem before, as its use was largely limited to oil refineries and chemical or fertilizer plants. But now governments worldwide are investing billions to build a hydrogen economy, seeing the gas as one of the only options for decarbonizing many industries that can’t easily run on electricity. President Joe Biden has set aside $8 billion to build at least four “hydrogen hubs” where the fuel will be produced and used, and states are gearing up to compete. US utility companies that now deliver natural gas see it as a savior, announcing more than two dozen hydrogen pilot projects in the last two years."

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2022-05-31/hydrogen-fuel-investments-cou...
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Reply #681 - Jun 18th, 2022 at 3:41pm
 
Shocking heat wave in Spain and France - also India and USA.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-61838543

Europe heatwave: Outdoor events banned in parts of France


Published

15 hours ago


Outdoor public events have been banned in an area of France as a record breaking heatwave sweeps across Europe.

Concerts and large public gatherings have been called off in the Gironde department around Bordeaux.

On Thursday, parts of France hit 40C earlier in the year than ever before, with temperatures expected to peak on Saturday.

Scientists say periods of intense heat are becoming more frequent and longer lasting as a result of global warming.

Spain, Italy and the UK are also experiencing high temperatures.

    What is climate change?
    Live updates on heatwave

In Gironde, officials said public events, including some of the official 18 June Resistance celebrations, will be prohibited from Friday at 14:00 (12:00 GMT) "until the end of the heat wave". Indoor events at venues without air-conditioning are also banned.

Private celebrations, such as weddings, will still be allowed.

"Everyone now faces a health risk", local official Fabienne Buccio told France Bleu radio.

The French interior ministry warned people to be extremely careful and not expose themselves to the weather.

State forecaster Meteo France said it was the earliest hot spell ever to hit the country, which has been caused by a mass of hot air moving from north Africa.

Extreme heat isn't confined to Europe this week.

On Wednesday a third of the entire population of the United States were advised to stay indoors due to record temperatures. In India, Delhi has recorded a maximum temperature of at least 42C on 25 days this summer, the India Meteorological Department reported.

Climate change is causing global temperatures to rise. Greenhouse gases, like carbon dioxide, released into Earth's atmosphere in large volumes are trapping the sun's heat, causing the planet to warm.

This has brought more extreme weather, including record-breaking high temperatures across the world.
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Reply #682 - Jun 18th, 2022 at 3:53pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Jun 18th, 2022 at 3:41pm:
State forecaster Meteo France said it was the earliest hot spell ever to hit the country, which has been caused by a mass of hot air moving from north Africa.


As opposed to the heatwave in May? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

"According to François Jobard, forecaster for Météo France, “since at least 1947, there has never been a ‘heat wave’ in May, because the hottest day in May remained well below 25.3 ° C (22.9°C: May 28, 2017). In fact, until now, this threshold has never been reached before a June 20""


https://www.thelocal.fr/20220518/just-how-hot-is-this-weeks-may-heatwave-in-fran...

They seem to have forgotten 35C days in May.

https://world-weather.info/archive/france/may/

Edit: They have even had 32C days in April.
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Reply #683 - Jun 19th, 2022 at 5:16pm
 
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-61850903


In pictures: Europe swelters in blistering June heat


Published

15 hours ago



Parts of western Europe are experiencing more extreme heat this weekend under a wave of hot air that has moved north from Africa.

Temperatures in both Spain and France have broken records, putting pressure on hospitals and energy grids.

French officials forecast some areas will reach 42C (107.6F) on Saturday.

Scientists warn that climate change is making periods of intense heat
strike more frequently and earlier in the year, and be more severe.

France is experiencing the country's earliest recorded heatwave since records began in 1947, its meteorological agency said.

Farmers in Italy warned of the impact of drought on their harvests, with water levels in the River Po down by nearly three-quarters compared with seasonal averages. In Spain, firefighters tackled forest blazes in Catalonia.
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Reply #684 - Jun 24th, 2022 at 11:52am
 
https://phys.org/news/2022-06-ways-australia-cold-global.html


June 23, 2022

Four ways to understand why Australia is so cold
right now despite global warming


by Michael Grose, The Conversation



1. Put the weather in a long-term context

The recent cold conditions in some parts of Australia haven't been seen in decades, but they aren't unprecedented.
In Melbourne, for instance, the first two weeks of June were coldest since 1949.
In Brisbane, they were the coldest since 1990.


Under the global warming trend, cold events such as these are becoming less and less likely. But Australia naturally has a variable climate, which means they, of course, still do occur.

And given Australia's instrumental records go back only 112 years (a relatively short length of time), it's actually still possible we'll see new record cold temperatures, even in a warming climate.

Still, record hot temperatures in Australia are being broken 12 times more often than cold ones.

The climate would need to be warming incredibly fast for there to be zero cold records broken, and even faster still if we were to see no cold weather at all. No one suggests this is the reality.


plenty more to read on the link above.
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Reply #685 - Jun 24th, 2022 at 12:15pm
 
I don't need to. One of the Professors on there was pontificating about how Before AGW the world had a stable climate. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #686 - Jun 29th, 2022 at 9:37pm
 
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-61976937


Japan swelters in worst heatwave since 1875


Published  5 hours ago.


Japan is sweltering under the hottest day yet of its worst heatwave for almost 150 years.

The blistering heat has drawn official warnings of a looming power shortage, and led to calls for people to conserve energy where possible.

But the government is still advising people to use use air conditioning to avoid heatstroke as cases of hospitalisation rise with the heat.

Weather officials warn the heat is likely to continue in the coming days.

Heatwaves have become more frequent, more intense, and last longer because of human-induced climate change.

The world has already warmed by about 1.1C since the industrial era began and temperatures will keep rising unless governments around the world make steep cuts to emissions.

Tokyo charted temperatures above 35 degrees on Wednesday for a fifth straight day, marking the worst documented streak of hot weather in June since records started in 1875.

Meanwhile, the city of Isesaki, northwest of the capital, saw a record 40.2C - the highest temperature ever recorded in June for Japan.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #687 - Jun 29th, 2022 at 11:21pm
 
Last year, they were reporting hot days during the opening of the Tokyo Olympics. 35 degrees for 5 days straight would not be all that out of character for the region.
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Reply #688 - Jun 29th, 2022 at 11:33pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Jun 24th, 2022 at 11:52am:
https://phys.org/news/2022-06-ways-australia-cold-global.html


June 23, 2022

Four ways to understand why Australia is so cold
right now despite global warming


by Michael Grose, The Conversation


Given the amount of rain around at this time of year, it is difficult to say that Australia is very cold. The humidity in the air will keep the minimum temperatures warmer than usual. I drove around tonight with the air conditioning on. I did not feel cold at all. Even southern Australia seems to only have the cold in the usual areas. A few years ago, people in Melbourne were going on about frozen water pipes, etc. Not this year.
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Reply #689 - Jul 19th, 2022 at 12:42pm
 
...
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Reply #690 - Jul 19th, 2022 at 1:01pm
 
Heatwave: Ferocious European heat heads north


By Malu Cursino
BBC News

    Published

19 minutes ago

...



Fires in the south of France have ravaged 17,000 hectares (42,000 acres) of land since 12 July

Western Europe faces more sweltering temperatures on Tuesday as a ferocious heatwave heads north.

In France and the UK extreme heat warnings were issued while northern Spain recorded temperatures of 43C (109F) on Monday.

Wildfires in France, Portugal, Spain and Greece have forced thousands of people to evacuate their homes.

The UK is expected to see its hottest day ever and experts say parts of France face a "heat apocalypse".

Several parts of France saw their hottest-ever days with the western city of Nantes recording 42C, the national weather office said.


Wildfires in recent days have forced more than 30,000 people to flee, with emergency shelters set up for evacuees.

Gironde, a popular tourist region in the south-west, has been hit particularly badly, with firefighters battling to control blazes which have destroyed nearly 17,000 hectares (42,000 acres) of land since last Tuesday.

"The idea that comes into my head is, it's a monster," Jean-Luc Gleyze, the president of the Gironde region said of the fires.

"It's a monster like an octopus, and it's growing and growing and growing in the front, in the back, on both sides. Because of the temperature, because of the wind, because of the lack of water in the air... it's a monster and it's very difficult to fight against it."
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Reply #691 - Jul 19th, 2022 at 8:13pm
 
London got to 38C today. The bedwetters lament. Cry
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Reply #692 - Jul 19th, 2022 at 9:37pm
 
Wow! A hot week for an area of Europe that traditionally gets heatwaves at this time of year. Who'da thunkit?
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Reply #693 - Jul 20th, 2022 at 10:53am
 
...
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Reply #694 - Jul 31st, 2022 at 2:35pm
 
A study that investigated the placement of National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) temperature stations found that 96 percent of the facilities used to measure heat failed to meet the agency’s own “uncorrupted placement” standards.

Research for the study shows the 96 percent corruption is because the stations’ measurements are tainted by the effects of urbanization – or heat produced because of their close proximity to asphalt, machinery, and other heat-producing, heat-trapping, or heat-accentuating objects.

"With a 96 percent warm-bias in U.S. temperature measurements, it is impossible to use any statistical methods to derive an accurate climate trend for the U.S.” said Heartland Institute Senior Fellow Anthony Watts, the director of the study. “Data from the stations that have not been corrupted by faulty placement show a rate of warming in the United States reduced by almost half compared to all stations."

https://www.heartland.org/news-opinion/news/media-advisory-96-of-us-climate-data-is-corrupted

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Reply #695 - Aug 5th, 2022 at 12:54pm
 
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-62426302


Workers in Iraq get day off as temperatures pass 50C


    Published

11 hours ago



State employees in many parts of Iraq have been given a day off work as temperatures rise to above 50C (122F) in several areas, local media report.

Several of the country's cities topped the list of the hottest places in the world on Thursday.

As a result of the scorching heat, at least 10 provinces suspended work for most state employees, Kurdistan24 said.

A heatwave in the country has been ongoing since mid-July and is forecast to continue.

Burning heat is not unusual in Iraq, as one of the hottest places on Earth. But residents say conditions are worsening.

In the southern port of Basra, where temperatures are particularly high, a four-day holiday for state employees has begun.

Though offices are shut for many employees, many say they will continue to suffer as regular power cuts mean that air conditioning is often unavailable.

This year stifling dust storms have also increased, obstructing the sky and causing the suspension of services.

Heatwaves have become more frequent, more intense, and last longer because of human-induced climate change.

The world has already warmed by about 1.1C since the industrial era began and temperatures will keep rising unless governments around the world make steep cuts to emissions.

Iraq has been ranked as one of the countries most vulnerable to climate change in the Middle East by the UN.
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Reply #696 - Aug 5th, 2022 at 4:05pm
 
Frank wrote on Jul 31st, 2022 at 2:35pm:
https://www.heartland.org/news-opinion/news/media-advisory-96-of-us-climate-data-is-corrupted



Background

The Heartland Institute i
s a Chicago-based free market think tank and 501(c)(3) charity that has been at the forefront of denying the scientific evidence for man-made climate change. The Heartland Institute has received at least $676,500 from ExxonMobil since 1998 but no longer discloses its funding sources. According to ExxonMobil’s worldwide giving reports, it appears to have stopped funding Heartland among other climate change denial groups around 2007.  The Union of Concerned Scientists found ( PDF) that “Nearly 40% of the total funds that the Heartland Institute has received from ExxonMobil since 1998 were specifically designated for climate change projects.”1 2

...
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Reply #697 - Aug 5th, 2022 at 4:54pm
 
poor old randy and "exxon knew". Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #698 - Aug 5th, 2022 at 4:58pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 12:54pm:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-62426302


Workers in Iraq get day off as temperatures pass 50C


    Published

11 hours ago



State employees in many parts of Iraq have been given a day off work as temperatures rise to above 50C (122F) in several areas, local media report.

Several of the country's cities topped the list of the hottest places in the world on Thursday.


Iraq has been ranked as one of the countries most vulnerable to climate change in the Middle East by the UN.


So what happened Bobby? 

What happened to the next Ice Age?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #699 - Aug 5th, 2022 at 8:07pm
 
Frank wrote on Jul 31st, 2022 at 2:35pm:
A study that investigated ...



"A Study ... "

...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #700 - Aug 5th, 2022 at 8:09pm
 
random wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 4:58pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 12:54pm:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-62426302


Workers in Iraq get day off as temperatures pass 50C


    Published

11 hours ago



State employees in many parts of Iraq have been given a day off work as temperatures rise to above 50C (122F) in several areas, local media report.

Several of the country's cities topped the list of the hottest places in the world on Thursday.


Iraq has been ranked as one of the countries most vulnerable to climate change in the Middle East by the UN.


So what happened Bobby? 

What happened to the next Ice Age?



I post evidence for whatever I find
without taking sides.

you are forgiven
namaste
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #701 - Aug 5th, 2022 at 8:23pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 8:09pm:
random wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 4:58pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 12:54pm:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-62426302


Workers in Iraq get day off as temperatures pass 50C


    Published

11 hours ago



State employees in many parts of Iraq have been given a day off work as temperatures rise to above 50C (122F) in several areas, local media report.

Several of the country's cities topped the list of the hottest places in the world on Thursday.


Iraq has been ranked as one of the countries most vulnerable to climate change in the Middle East by the UN.


So what happened Bobby? 

What happened to the next Ice Age?



I post evidence for whatever I find
without taking sides.

you are forgiven
namaste



So, how many years after you find evidence, does it take you to comprehend it?  Seems like many years to me.

Did you watch a Youtube video?  You know, like David produced?  Was that it or was it some government supplied information?

...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #702 - Aug 5th, 2022 at 8:53pm
 
random wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 8:23pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 8:09pm:
random wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 4:58pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 12:54pm:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-62426302


Workers in Iraq get day off as temperatures pass 50C


    Published

11 hours ago



State employees in many parts of Iraq have been given a day off work as temperatures rise to above 50C (122F) in several areas, local media report.

Several of the country's cities topped the list of the hottest places in the world on Thursday.


Iraq has been ranked as one of the countries most vulnerable to climate change in the Middle East by the UN.


So what happened Bobby? 

What happened to the next Ice Age?



I post evidence for whatever I find
without taking sides.

you are forgiven
namaste



So, how many years after you find evidence, does it take you to comprehend it?  Seems like many years to me.

Did you watch a Youtube video?  You know, like David produced?  Was that it or was it some government supplied information?




All evidence is presented on this forum.
Do you have any yourself?

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #703 - Aug 5th, 2022 at 8:57pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 8:53pm:
All evidence is presented on this forum.
Do you have any yourself?



Eividence was presented on this forum for years, you took no notice of it and continued to post bullshit about an ice age from a shill on the interweb.

So what do you think of David now?  People want to know.

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #704 - Aug 5th, 2022 at 9:00pm
 
random wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 8:57pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 8:53pm:
All evidence is presented on this forum.
Do you have any yourself?



Eividence was presented on this forum for years, you took no notice of it and continued to post bullshit about an ice age from a shill on the interweb.

So what do you think of David now?  People want to know.




David DuByne had excellent evidence that could not be ignored
such as record low temperatures - some were 100 year records broken.

Do you have anything as good as that or are you shooting the messenger?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #705 - Aug 5th, 2022 at 9:04pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 9:00pm:
random wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 8:57pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 8:53pm:
All evidence is presented on this forum.
Do you have any yourself?



Eividence was presented on this forum for years, you took no notice of it and continued to post bullshit about an ice age from a shill on the interweb.

So what do you think of David now?  People want to know.




David DuByne had excellent evidence that could not be ignored
such as record low temperatures - some were 100 year records broken.

Do you have anything as good as that or are you shooting the messenger?


I personally have nothing, I use experts for my information, you should try it.

In the meantime, David is still a good source of credible information is he?

This is fascinating ...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #706 - Aug 5th, 2022 at 9:30pm
 
random wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 9:04pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 9:00pm:
random wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 8:57pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 8:53pm:
All evidence is presented on this forum.
Do you have any yourself?



Eividence was presented on this forum for years, you took no notice of it and continued to post bullshit about an ice age from a shill on the interweb.

So what do you think of David now?  People want to know.




David DuByne had excellent evidence that could not be ignored
such as record low temperatures - some were 100 year records broken.

Do you have anything as good as that or are you shooting the messenger?


I personally have nothing, I use experts for my information, you should try it.

In the meantime, David is still a good source of credible information is he?

This is fascinating ...



David DuByne made some amazing videos -
did you see any?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #707 - Aug 5th, 2022 at 9:37pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 9:30pm:
random wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 9:04pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 9:00pm:
random wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 8:57pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 8:53pm:
All evidence is presented on this forum.
Do you have any yourself?



Eividence was presented on this forum for years, you took no notice of it and continued to post bullshit about an ice age from a shill on the interweb.

So what do you think of David now?  People want to know.




David DuByne had excellent evidence that could not be ignored
such as record low temperatures - some were 100 year records broken.

Do you have anything as good as that or are you shooting the messenger?


I personally have nothing, I use experts for my information, you should try it.

In the meantime, David is still a good source of credible information is he?

This is fascinating ...



David DuByne made some amazing videos -
did you see any?


No, I only saw complete bullshite videos that even a 6 year old would see for what they were.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #708 - Aug 5th, 2022 at 9:39pm
 
random wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 9:37pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 9:30pm:
David DuByne made some amazing videos -
did you see any?


No, I only saw complete bullshite videos that even a 6 year old would see for what they were.



You opinion is noted.

Now - do you have anything to post about global warming?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #709 - Aug 5th, 2022 at 10:53pm
 
random wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 9:04pm:
I use experts for my information, you should try it.



Michael E Mann? Roll Eyes
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #710 - Aug 6th, 2022 at 6:21am
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 9:39pm:
random wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 9:37pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 9:30pm:
David DuByne made some amazing videos -
did you see any?


No, I only saw complete bullshite videos that even a 6 year old would see for what they were.



You opinion is noted.

Now - do you have anything to post about global warming?


What?

Is there any other topic of interest than climate change denier Booby swithcing sides?  Based on information posted here?

...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #711 - Aug 6th, 2022 at 12:39pm
 
random wrote on Aug 6th, 2022 at 6:21am:
Is there any other topic of interest than climate change denier Booby swithcing sides?



Poor randy actually believes people believe climate doesn't change. it always has it probably always will until Sol dies. Roll Eyes
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #712 - Aug 6th, 2022 at 4:09pm
 
lee wrote on Aug 6th, 2022 at 12:39pm:
random wrote on Aug 6th, 2022 at 6:21am:
Is there any other topic of interest than climate change denier Booby swithcing sides?



Poor randy actually believes people believe climate doesn't change. it always has it probably always will until Sol dies. Roll Eyes


What doesn't change is the percentage of idiots who cannot tell the difference between facts and fiction.

"Your Honour, I table Exhibit A: lee, as a perfect example of an idiot.

...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #713 - Aug 6th, 2022 at 4:29pm
 
random wrote on Aug 6th, 2022 at 4:09pm:
What doesn't change is the percentage of idiots who cannot tell the difference between facts and fiction.



You mean it is a fiction that climate always changes? Roll Eyes
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #714 - Aug 6th, 2022 at 4:31pm
 
random wrote on Aug 6th, 2022 at 6:21am:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 9:39pm:
random wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 9:37pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 9:30pm:
David DuByne made some amazing videos -
did you see any?


No, I only saw complete bullshite videos that even a 6 year old would see for what they were.



You opinion is noted.

Now - do you have anything to post about global warming?


What?

Is there any other topic of interest than climate change denier Bobby switching sides?
Based on information posted here?





Do you have anything to post about global warming
or are you just being a smart arse?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #715 - Aug 6th, 2022 at 4:37pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 6th, 2022 at 4:31pm:
random wrote on Aug 6th, 2022 at 6:21am:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 9:39pm:
random wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 9:37pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 9:30pm:
David DuByne made some amazing videos -
did you see any?


No, I only saw complete bullshite videos that even a 6 year old would see for what they were.



You opinion is noted.

Now - do you have anything to post about global warming?


What?

Is there any other topic of interest than climate change denier Bobby switching sides?
Based on information posted here?





Do you have anything to post about global warming
or are you just being a smart arse?


No one has to post stuff about Climate Change.  We only have to shaft idiots who deny it, like you used to do.

I want to know what information convinced you that the science is real?  You owe it to use after all the BS you posted here over the years.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #716 - Aug 6th, 2022 at 4:39pm
 
random wrote on Aug 6th, 2022 at 4:37pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 6th, 2022 at 4:31pm:
random wrote on Aug 6th, 2022 at 6:21am:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 9:39pm:
random wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 9:37pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 9:30pm:
David DuByne made some amazing videos -
did you see any?


No, I only saw complete bullshite videos that even a 6 year old would see for what they were.



You opinion is noted.

Now - do you have anything to post about global warming?


What?

Is there any other topic of interest than climate change denier Bobby switching sides?
Based on information posted here?





Do you have anything to post about global warming
or are you just being a smart arse?


No one has to post stuff about Climate Change.  We only have to shaft idiots who deny it, like you used to do.

I want to know what information convinced you that the science is real?  You owe it to use after all the BS you posted here over the years.



I already told you but you never listen- you halfwit.

again -

I report the news - I don't make the news.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #717 - Aug 6th, 2022 at 4:45pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 6th, 2022 at 4:39pm:
random wrote on Aug 6th, 2022 at 4:37pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 6th, 2022 at 4:31pm:
random wrote on Aug 6th, 2022 at 6:21am:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 9:39pm:
random wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 9:37pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 5th, 2022 at 9:30pm:
David DuByne made some amazing videos -
did you see any?


No, I only saw complete bullshite videos that even a 6 year old would see for what they were.



You opinion is noted.

Now - do you have anything to post about global warming?


What?

Is there any other topic of interest than climate change denier Bobby switching sides?
Based on information posted here?





Do you have anything to post about global warming
or are you just being a smart arse?


No one has to post stuff about Climate Change.  We only have to shaft idiots who deny it, like you used to do.

I want to know what information convinced you that the science is real?  You owe it to use after all the BS you posted here over the years.



I already told you but you never listen- you halfwit.

again -

I report the news - I don't make the news.


You lie Booby, you have not told me what evidence convinced you that the Ice Age is not coming in the next few years.

You are being an evasive prick. 

...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #718 - Aug 6th, 2022 at 4:48pm
 
David DuByne made some incredible videos
reporting on the super cold weather/climate a while back - 5 years ago  etc.

here's one of them:



He was just reporting the news but now his channel
doesn't seen to mention it anymore:


https://www.youtube.com/c/Adapt2030
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #719 - Aug 6th, 2022 at 5:18pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 6th, 2022 at 4:48pm:
David DuByne made some incredible videos
reporting on the super cold weather/climate a while back - 5 years ago  etc.

here's one of them:



He was just reporting the news but now his channel
doesn't seen to mention it anymore:


https://www.youtube.com/c/Adapt2030


Still being an evasive prick bobby.

What evidence posted on this site convinced you that the scientists are right and David DuByne is wrong?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #720 - Aug 14th, 2022 at 5:20pm
 
https://www.sott.net/article/420049-NASA-admits-climate-change-occurs-because-of...


NASA admits climate change occurs because of changes in Earth's solar orbit,
not because of SUVs and fossil fuels



Ethan Huff
Natural News
Fri, 30 Aug 2019 00:01 UTC


For more than 60 years, the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) has known that the changes occurring to planetary weather patterns are completely natural and normal. But the space agency, for whatever reason, has chosen to let the man-made global warming hoax persist and spread, to the detriment of human freedom.

It was the year 1958, to be precise, when NASA first observed that changes in the solar orbit of the earth, along with alterations to the earth's axial tilt, are both responsible for what climate scientists today have dubbed as "warming" (or "cooling," depending on their agenda). In no way, shape, or form are humans warming or cooling the planet by driving SUVs or eating beef, in other words.

But NASA has thus far failed to set the record straight, and has instead chosen to sit silently back and watch as liberals freak out about the world supposedly ending in 12 years because of too much livestock, or too many plastic straws.

In the year 2000, NASA did publish information on its Earth Observatory website about the Milankovitch Climate Theory, revealing that the planet is, in fact, changing due to extraneous factors that have absolutely nothing to do with human activity. But, again, this information has yet to go mainstream, some 19 years later, which is why deranged, climate-obsessed leftists have now begun to claim that we really only have 18 months left before the planet dies from an excess of carbon dioxide (CO2).

The truth, however, is much more along the lines of what Serbian astrophysicist Milutin Milankovitch, after whom the Milankovitch Climate Theory is named, proposed about how the seasonal and latitudinal variations of solar radiation that hit the earth in different ways, and at different times, have the greatest impact on earth's changing climate patterns.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #721 - Aug 14th, 2022 at 5:25pm
 
The Milankovitch Cycle has been turning down for 5000 years. That SHOULD mean the area north of 65°N is cooling. {Oops!} The area north of 65°N is the fastest warming region on the globe!

Guess the Milankovitch Cycle is not as strong as AGW. (Nor is a GSM by the way.)
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #722 - Aug 14th, 2022 at 5:27pm
 
We KNOW CO2 and other GHGs are warming the globe, BTW. We know from IR spectra observed from satellites:

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IR_Spectrum_ToA.jpeg (42 KB | 62 )
IR_Spectrum_ToA.jpeg

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #723 - Aug 14th, 2022 at 5:27pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 14th, 2022 at 5:25pm:
The Milankovitch Cycle has been turning down for 5000 years. That SHOULD mean the area north of 65°N is cooling. {Oops!} The area north of 65°N is the fastest warming region on the globe!

Guess the Milankovitch Cycle is not as strong as AGW. (Nor is a GSM by the way.)




The article says,

which is why deranged, climate-obsessed leftists have now begun to claim that we really only have 18 months left before the planet dies from an excess of carbon dioxide (CO2).
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #724 - Aug 14th, 2022 at 5:27pm
 
"The heat of summer 2003 in Western and Central Europe was claimed to be unprecedented since the Middle Ages on the basis of grape harvest data (GHD) and late wood maximum density (MXD) data from trees in the Alps. This paper shows that the authors of these studies overlooked the fact that the heat and drought in Switzerland in 1540 likely exceeded the amplitude of the previous hottest summer of 2003, because the persistent temperature and precipitation anomaly in that year, described in an abundant and coherent body of documentary evidence, severely affected the reliability of GHD and tree-rings as proxy-indicators for temperature estimates. Spring–summer (AMJJ) temperature anomalies of 4.7 ◦C to 6.8 ◦C being significantly higher than in 2003 were assessed for 1540 from a new long Swiss GHD series (1444 to 2011). During the climax of the heat wave in early August the grapes desiccated on the vine, which caused many vine-growers to interrupt or postpone the harvest despite full grape maturity until after the next spell of rain. Likewise, the leaves of many trees withered and fell to the ground under extreme drought stress as would usually be expected in late autumn. It remains to be determined by further research whether and how far this result obtained from local analyses can be spatially extrapolated. Based on the temperature estimates for Switzerland it is assumed from a great number of coherent qualitative documentary evidence about the outstanding heat drought in 1540 that AMJJ temperatures were likely more extreme in neighbouring regions of Western and Central Europe than in 2003. Considering the significance of soil moisture deficits for record breaking heat waves, these results still need to be validated with estimated seasonal precipitation. It is concluded that biological proxy data may not properly reveal record breaking heat and drought events. Such assessments thus need to be complemented with the critical study of contemporary evidence from documentary sources which provide coherent and detailed data about weather extremes and related impacts on human, ecological and social systems."

https://www.academia.edu/26112640/Climate_of_the_Past
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #725 - Aug 14th, 2022 at 6:46pm
 
Global warming could have been a hoax?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #726 - Aug 16th, 2022 at 11:20am
 
...

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Estragon: I can’t go on like this.
Vladimir: That’s what you think.
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #727 - Aug 16th, 2022 at 12:15pm
 
The globe has warmed since the LIA. Millions are cheered by that. Roll Eyes
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #728 - Aug 16th, 2022 at 12:34pm
 
A sharper pic:

...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #729 - Aug 16th, 2022 at 2:06pm
 
I didn’t notice the source of Bobby’s article before:

sott.net

Quote:
Brett Williams
·
Follow
Librarian, Skeptic, Geek9y
Sott.net is a site that is associated with the Quantum Future Group, the new religious movement created by Arkadiusz Jadczyk and Laura Knight Jadczyk.

It's not necessarily a scam, but it's a highly unreliable source run by people who believe they talk to aliens.


https://www.quora.com/Is-sott-net-signs-of-the-times-a-scam-website-How-reliable...


people who believe they talk to aliens! LOL!

Let is get another opinion on dear old Sott:

Quote:
Overall, we rate Signs of the Times (SOTT) Right Biased and a strong Conspiracy and Pseudoscience website based on the promotion of false, unproven, or misleading information that cannot be verified or has been debunked.


https://mediabiasfactcheck.com/signs-of-the-times-sott/

Complete debunked garbage!
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #730 - Aug 16th, 2022 at 2:10pm
 
No offence, Bobby, but this whole MRB is riddled with debunked junk science including from a conman and conspiracy theory garbage. This MRB is completely worthless. There is no real science in it except some articles I posted some of which I guess are deleted.

Scrap it all and start again I reckon
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #731 - Aug 16th, 2022 at 2:11pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 16th, 2022 at 2:10pm:
No offence, Bobby, but this whole MRB is riddled with debunked junk science including from a conman and conspiracy theory garbage. This MRB is completely worthless. There is no real science in it except some articles I posted some of which I guess are deleted.

Scrap it all and start again I reckon



Post your Evidence for global warming.

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #732 - Aug 16th, 2022 at 2:44pm
 
Sure:

1. 1850 it was found that water vapor, CO2 and NH3 absorbed infrared radiation. Names such as Eunice Foote and John Tyndal. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eunice_Newton_Foote and John Tyndal https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Tyndall

2. In the late 1940s the US Air Force had two problems: its bombsight for its strategic bombers didn’t work and nor did heat seeking missiles. It was found IR emitted by the surface of the earth was to blame. Brief intro here: https://history.aip.org/climate/summary.htm

3. While various terrestrial temperature series existed in 1970 satellite measurements of weather and climate started. They were in close agreement with the terrestrial series. RSS is the best known of these. An average warming rate of 0.2°C per decade was found to exist.

Above I posted the IR spectrum at top of atmosphere. We see IR at the wavelengths of the main GHGs is below what we would expect if IR could escape freely to space. We can compare the moon and its huge diurnal temperature fluctuations to earth with its atmosphere with increasing amounts of GHGs.

I will leave you with a graph of the major terrestrial temperature series:


...


edited by Bobby,
Monk - learn how to resize pictures.
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Reply #733 - Aug 16th, 2022 at 2:49pm
 
Berkeley Earth Systems Team used raw, unhomogenised temperature readings BTW. Pretty minor difference eh?

As to rabbiting on about cold weather events “proving” an ice age (as if  Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes ) I repost the BoM temperature distributions for maximum and minimum temperatures. Notice that cold events decrease in number after the 1950s while hot events increase in number and intensity—the distribution has not just moved to the hot side it is skewed to the hot side. Note the peaks of the high temperature distributions decrease slightly because of the marked skew to the hot side:


edited by Bobby,
Monk - learn how to resize pictures.


...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #734 - Aug 16th, 2022 at 2:50pm
 
OK, the above not the chart I was looking for but useful anyway.

Umm the chart I was looking for must be on the laptop, will post it later. It repays study tho I have posted it at least two times before.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #735 - Aug 16th, 2022 at 4:18pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 16th, 2022 at 2:44pm:
3. While various terrestrial temperature series existed in 1970 satellite measurements of weather and climate started. They were in close agreement with the terrestrial series. RSS is the best known of these. An average warming rate of 0.2°C per decade was found to exist.


And now all you have to do is prove it is all CO2's fault. WinkJovial Monk wrote on Aug 16th, 2022 at 2:44pm:
Above I posted the IR spectrum at top of atmosphere. We see IR at the wavelengths of the main GHGs is below what we would expect if IR could escape freely to space



That is an assumption.

That "Data" is from ACORN-SAT Grin Grin Grin Grin

And "Mean Temperatures" are now a proxy for extreme temperatures? So a warm day and a warm night equal extreme temperature? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #736 - Aug 16th, 2022 at 4:21pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 16th, 2022 at 2:49pm:
Berkeley Earth Systems Team used raw, unhomogenised temperature readings BTW.


And now due to extra special sauce all the way back to 1750., Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

"While our record goes back to 1750, here we only show from 1850 to present."

http://berkeleyearth.org/berkeley-earth-temperature-update/

So tell us how they did the Southern oceans when there were no and very little SST stations back then. Roll Eyes
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Reply #737 - Aug 16th, 2022 at 4:34pm
 
You IR chart doesn't show that H20 and CO2 overlap. Roll Eyes
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #738 - Aug 16th, 2022 at 8:54pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 16th, 2022 at 2:44pm:
Sure:

1. 1850 it was found that water vapor, CO2 and NH3 absorbed infrared radiation. Names such as Eunice Foote and John Tyndal. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eunice_Newton_Foote and John Tyndal https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Tyndall

2. In the late 1940s the US Air Force had two problems: its bombsight for its strategic bombers didn’t work and nor did heat seeking missiles. It was found IR emitted by the surface of the earth was to blame. Brief intro here: https://history.aip.org/climate/summary.htm

3. While various terrestrial temperature series existed in 1970 satellite measurements of weather and climate started. They were in close agreement with the terrestrial series. RSS is the best known of these. An average warming rate of 0.2°C per decade was found to exist.

Above I posted the IR spectrum at top of atmosphere. We see IR at the wavelengths of the main GHGs is below what we would expect if IR could escape freely to space. We can compare the moon and its huge diurnal temperature fluctuations to earth with its atmosphere with increasing amounts of GHGs.

I will leave you with a graph of the major terrestrial temperature series:


https://www.ozpolitic.com/album/forum-attachments/20200324_Global_average_temper...


edited by Bobby,
Monk - learn how to resize pictures.


I don't know what has happened to the picture?
It was working.

...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #739 - Aug 16th, 2022 at 8:55pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 16th, 2022 at 2:49pm:
Berkeley Earth Systems Team used raw, unhomogenised temperature readings BTW. Pretty minor difference eh?

As to rabbiting on about cold weather events “proving” an ice age (as if  Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes ) I repost the BoM temperature distributions for maximum and minimum temperatures. Notice that cold events decrease in number after the 1950s while hot events increase in number and intensity—the distribution has not just moved to the hot side it is skewed to the hot side. Note the peaks of the high temperature distributions decrease slightly because of the marked skew to the hot side:


edited by Bobby,
Monk - learn how to resize pictures.


https://www.ozpolitic.com/album/forum-attachments/BoM_SoTC2020_Temp_Extreme_Heat...



What happened to the picture attachment?

...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #740 - Aug 16th, 2022 at 9:09pm
 
I dunno. Now there are two charts.

The internet here is not very good but once a file is uploaded that should not make any difference?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #741 - Aug 16th, 2022 at 9:11pm
 
You could try reading this but doubt you will understand it:

https://www.nature.com/articles/nature14240



edited - an ftp link was given instead of a hyperlink.
It now works.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #742 - Aug 16th, 2022 at 9:57pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 16th, 2022 at 9:09pm:
I dunno. Now there are two charts.

The internet here is not very good but once a file is uploaded that should not make any difference?



One Ozpolitic link no longer works.
One started working again but only as a direct link.  ?????
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Reply #743 - Aug 16th, 2022 at 10:12pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 16th, 2022 at 9:11pm:
You could try reading this but doubt you will understand it:

https://www.nature.com/articles/nature14240



edited - an ftp link was given instead of a hyperlink.
It now works.


Wow. A model married to readings and it is guaranteed true. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #744 - Aug 17th, 2022 at 6:25am
 
So Bonobby, what do you think about the evidence for AGW I have posted?

Humboldt speculated about AGW in 1801, Fourier in 1827. Arrhenius calculated (pen and paper calculations!) in 1905 and got pretty damn close to the accepted figure. Guy Callendar, top steam engineer, also thought that increasing CO2 would increase AGW. Guy lived to see his work validated in the work for the USAF and USN that found the IR coming from the earths surface. Satellites observed the IR spectrum at TOA and AGW is pretty solidly established.

So agree or not, Bonobby?
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Reply #745 - Aug 17th, 2022 at 10:30am
 
Bonobby?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #746 - Aug 17th, 2022 at 1:47pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 17th, 2022 at 6:25am:
Humboldt speculated about AGW in 1801, Fourier in 1827. Arrhenius calculated (pen and paper calculations!) in 1905 and got pretty damn close to the accepted figure. Guy Callendar, top steam engineer, also thought that increasing CO2 would increase AGW. Guy lived to see his work validated in the work for the USAF and USN that found the IR coming from the earths surface. Satellites observed the IR spectrum at TOA and AGW is pretty solidly established.



And all agreed it was likely beneficial. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #747 - Aug 17th, 2022 at 2:59pm
 
I guess what I posted was too sciency for the clown who has turned this MRB into a toilet of a board.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #748 - Aug 17th, 2022 at 3:04pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 17th, 2022 at 2:59pm:
I guess what I posted was too sciency for th3e clown who has turned this MRB into a toilet of a board.



Monk,
stop being an obnoxious fool with ASPD.
I will read what I want to read and respond when I feel like it.
I consider myself as a news reporter rather than someone
who is qualified to analyse scientific reports about the environment.
You think you know everything and that your opinion is very important.  Roll Eyes
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Reply #749 - Aug 17th, 2022 at 4:11pm
 
You are a cretin. You have just admitted you have no science qualifications, not that I needed you to tell me that, the absolute rubbish you have filled this poor board with show that very clearly. You also fell for a cheap, obvious conman, didn’t you?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #750 - Aug 17th, 2022 at 4:41pm
 
Poor JM can't even debate things.
"Based on data collected by the satellite over its first 28 months, scientists identified three tropical regions – parts of South America, Africa, and Indonesia – as the biggest sources of annual CO2 emission increases on the planet."

Ah yes the tropics the hotbed of industrial activity. Grin Grin Grin

CO2, according to the IPCC has a residence time of 3.5 years.

"IPCC’s data for its natural carbon cycle (IPCC, 2013, p. 470-471) show the e-time for atmospheric CO2 is 3.5 years, supporting IPCC’s statement of “about four years.” "

So much for hundreds or thousands of years. And natural CO2 is the same chemical composition as anthropogenic CO2.
\
Edit Co2 to CO2
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #751 - Aug 17th, 2022 at 5:08pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 17th, 2022 at 4:11pm:
You are a cretin. You have just admitted you have no science qualifications, not that I needed you to tell me that, the absolute rubbish you have filled this poor board with show that very clearly. You also fell for a cheap, obvious conman, didn’t you?


👆 Drunk - Self projecting under the influence of his 4 stroke bootleg/grog. 😂😂😆
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #752 - Aug 17th, 2022 at 5:09pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 17th, 2022 at 2:59pm:
I guess what I posted was too sciency for the clown who has turned this MRB into a toilet of a board.


👆 Drunk muttering TO himself ABOUT himself.

Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #753 - Aug 18th, 2022 at 8:26am
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 17th, 2022 at 3:04pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 17th, 2022 at 2:59pm:
I guess what I posted was too sciency for th3e clown who has turned this MRB into a toilet of a board.



Monk,
stop being an obnoxious fool with ASPD.
I will read what I want to read and respond when I feel like it.
I consider myself as a news reporter rather than someone
who is qualified to analyse scientific reports about the environment.
You think you know everything and that your opinion is very important.  Roll Eyes



Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 17th, 2022 at 4:11pm:
You are a cretin. You have just admitted you have no science qualifications, not that I needed you to tell me that, the absolute rubbish you have filled this poor board with show that very clearly. You also fell for a cheap, obvious conman, didn’t you?



Monk,
My qualifications are in other areas of science.
I'm not a climate scientist - are you?

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Reply #754 - Aug 18th, 2022 at 9:12am
 
You have no science qualifications beyond junior HS! The outright junk, bad science and a conman’s spiel that you have filled this poor board with show you are totally but totally uneducated and not just in science!
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #755 - Aug 18th, 2022 at 12:46pm
 
So tell us JM just what was the IR as seen from space originally, if you believe it is falling.
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Reply #756 - Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:02pm
 
If I believe it is falling?. Nothing to do with belief, observation shows that the amount of IR reaching space is decreasing.

There was a paper on this that we debated and I am not going to debate it a second or third time just because you are afraid of change and want to pretend it isn’t happening.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #757 - Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:10pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 9:12am:
You have no science qualifications beyond junior HS! The outright junk, bad science and a conman’s spiel that you have filled this poor board with show you are totally but totally uneducated and not just in science!



I have 6 years of tertiary education.

I'm not a climate scientist - are you?

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Reply #758 - Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:34pm
 
Rubbish, you are a HS dropout who never did any higher education. Everything you post shows that very clearly.

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #759 - Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:40pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:34pm:
Rubbish, you are a HS dropout who never did any higher education. Everything you post shows that very clearly.



Everything you post shows that you're a mental health patient locked up in a padded cell with internet access and nothing else. The only evidence of global warming in your immediate environment is from the hot sh1t you continually produce both online and offline.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #760 - Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:40pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:34pm:
Rubbish, you are a HS dropout who never did any higher education. Everything you post shows that very clearly.




Are you a climate scientist ?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #761 - Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:43pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:40pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:34pm:
Rubbish, you are a HS dropout who never did any higher education. Everything you post shows that very clearly.




Are you a climate scientist ?


Mental health inmates like Drunk believe they're above everyone else...even above God.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #762 - Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:51pm
 
Lisa Jones wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:43pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:40pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:34pm:
Rubbish, you are a HS dropout who never did any higher education. Everything you post shows that very clearly.




Are you a climate scientist ?


Mental health inmates like Drunk believe they're above everyone else...even above God.



The only thing Monk is an expert on is brewing grog.
The Abbos would love him.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #763 - Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:55pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:51pm:
Lisa Jones wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:43pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:40pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:34pm:
Rubbish, you are a HS dropout who never did any higher education. Everything you post shows that very clearly.




Are you a climate scientist ?


Mental health inmates like Drunk believe they're above everyone else...even above God.



The only thing Monk is an expert on is brewing grog.
The Abbos would love him.


Dumbarse Drunk is a bona fide expert in bootleging unleaded 4 stroke fuel as grog. That's it!
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If I let myself be bought then I am no longer free.

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #764 - Aug 18th, 2022 at 2:34pm
 
Lisa Jones wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:55pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:51pm:
Lisa Jones wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:43pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:40pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:34pm:
Rubbish, you are a HS dropout who never did any higher education. Everything you post shows that very clearly.




Are you a climate scientist ?


Mental health inmates like Drunk believe they're above everyone else...even above God.



The only thing Monk is an expert on is brewing grog.
The Abbos would love him.


Dumbarse Drunk is a bona fide expert in bootleging unleaded 4 stroke fuel as grog. That's it!



Actually - I believe he brews a nice drop of beer.   Smiley

However he suffers from ASPD which is on display every day.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #765 - Aug 18th, 2022 at 2:46pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 2:34pm:
Lisa Jones wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:55pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:51pm:
Lisa Jones wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:43pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:40pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:34pm:
Rubbish, you are a HS dropout who never did any higher education. Everything you post shows that very clearly.




Are you a climate scientist ?


Mental health inmates like Drunk believe they're above everyone else...even above God.



The only thing Monk is an expert on is brewing grog.
The Abbos would love him.


Dumbarse Drunk is a bona fide expert in bootleging unleaded 4 stroke fuel as grog. That's it!



Actually - I believe he brews a nice drop of beer.   Smiley

However he suffers from ASPD which is on display every day.


Actually he doesn't. He USED to! Decades ago!
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #766 - Aug 18th, 2022 at 2:51pm
 
Lisa Jones wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 2:46pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 2:34pm:
Actually - I believe he brews a nice drop of beer.   Smiley

However he suffers from ASPD which is on display every day.


Actually he doesn't. He USED to! Decades ago!



OK - when he doxxed himself he linked us all to a brewing business
so I thought that was recent.
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Reply #767 - Aug 18th, 2022 at 2:53pm
 
And will again, also cider and perry, cyser and peary and other meads of various kinds—metheglyns and melomels, pyment etc.

Will have cherries, raspberries, strawberries, blueberries and native Tasmanian berries for melomels plus fruit I can buy. Will try native pepperberries and pepperleaf for an interesting metheglyn.


Fun!
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #768 - Aug 18th, 2022 at 2:57pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 2:51pm:
Lisa Jones wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 2:46pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 2:34pm:
Actually - I believe he brews a nice drop of beer.   Smiley

However he suffers from ASPD which is on display every day.


Actually he doesn't. He USED to! Decades ago!



OK - when he doxxed himself he linked us all to a brewing business
so I thought that was recent.


Actually it was DURING Dumbarse Drunk's Self Doxxing moments across BOTH sister forums that he finally fessed that the place was closed for over 10 years. In short : Dumbarse Drunk admitted what we've always known about him - He's a long term alcoholic/dole bludger. He also holds a PhD in that particular area in fact 😂🤣😆
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #769 - Aug 18th, 2022 at 2:58pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 2:53pm:
And will again, also cider and perry, cyser and peary and other meads of various kinds—metheglyns and melomels, pyment etc.

Will have cherries, raspberries, strawberries, blueberries and native Tasmanian berries for melomels plus fruit I can buy. Will try native pepperberries and pepperleaf for an interesting metheglyn.


Fun!



I'll give you that Monk -
but that's all you know -
you're not a climate scientist so
just link us to evidence from proper authorities not your constant babble.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #770 - Aug 18th, 2022 at 3:00pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 2:53pm:
And will again, also cider and perry, cyser and peary and other meads of various kinds—metheglyns and melomels, pyment etc.

Will have cherries, raspberries, strawberries, blueberries and native Tasmanian berries for melomels plus fruit I can buy. Will try native pepperberries and pepperleaf for an interesting metheglyn.


Fun!


👆 The memories of a past life ie back in the 1990's.
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Reply #771 - Aug 18th, 2022 at 3:36pm
 
Yes, I had to close my shop because of the arthritis. You two trolls are probably ignorant of retail as you are of so many, many other areas but in retail YOU STAND UP ALL DAY with only minor breaks. With a badly arthritic hip and cement slab floors covered, in the front part, with commercial carpet, standing all day caused excruciating pain.

It was a great shop. People left the shop with their purchases SMILING BROADLY! They were going to BREW, not just mix a can kit and bag of sugar.

I did full mash demonstrations one Saturday a month, conducted courses $150 per person. All worked well.

I decided to open Sundays and that worked—not a super lot of business but did get new customers.

Broke my heart to close the shop.
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Reply #772 - Aug 18th, 2022 at 3:39pm
 
Who cares about what you did/didn't do back in the 1990's Monk? Oh that's right..no one.

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #773 - Aug 18th, 2022 at 3:39pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:02pm:
Nothing to do with belief, observation shows that the amount of IR reaching space is decreasing.



Well then you must know the derivation of the signal Natural vs Anthro. Wink

Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 1:02pm:
There was a paper on this that we debated and I am not going to debate it a second or third time just because you are afraid of change and want to pretend it isn’t happening.



Who says change isn't happening. It always has and always will.

Interestingly the IPCC in 2015 said that natural CO2 had a lifetime of 3.5 years. Can you show anthro CO2 has different properties?


Someone on the Conversation said that they detected a drop in CO2 due to the COVID pandemic. in the order of 0.14 and 0.62 parts per million. The problem is NASA's OCO2 says it can its accuracy is 1% . OCO3 has the same accuracy.

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Reply #774 - Aug 18th, 2022 at 3:43pm
 
Readings said that the rate of increase of CO2 dropped 8% in the early part of the lockdowns etc.
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Reply #775 - Aug 18th, 2022 at 3:45pm
 
lee also said that a speedboat heading upstream in a 20 knot currant did not work harder than if the boat was in water that hardly flowed. lee suffers from brain damage.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #776 - Aug 18th, 2022 at 3:57pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 3:43pm:
Readings said that the rate of increase of CO2 dropped 8% in the early part of the lockdowns etc.


Really which paper? Oh I found it.

"Here we compile government policies and activity data to estimate the decrease in CO2 emissions during forced confinements. Daily global CO2 emissions decreased by –17% (–11 to –25% for ±1σ) by early April 2020 compared with the mean 2019 levels, just under half from changes in surface transport."

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-020-0797-x

Oh dear. So many assumptions. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 3:45pm:
lee also said that a speedboat heading upstream in a 20 knot currant did not work harder than if the boat was in water that hardly flowed. lee suffers from brain damage.


Bullshist. And what do grapes have to do with river flow.
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Reply #777 - Aug 18th, 2022 at 4:00pm
 
You DID say that you pathetic no hoper.

So a speedboat motoring downcurrant at the same speed as the one heading upstream has the engine performing the same rpm as the engine in the boat fighting the current?
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Reply #778 - Aug 18th, 2022 at 4:05pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 4:00pm:
You DID say that you pathetic no hoper.



Rubbish. I looked for you. But maybe you have saved it somewhere? Wink

Still confusing your curraents I see. Wink
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Reply #779 - Aug 18th, 2022 at 4:11pm
 
Confusing “curraents” am I? Good lunch was it lee?
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Reply #780 - Aug 18th, 2022 at 4:16pm
 
I see you didn't notice the strikeout on the "a".

BTW I searched back to  Zip,nada, nothing.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #781 - Aug 19th, 2022 at 6:43pm
 
The combination of the Indian Ocean Dipole, La Niña, and volcanic ash high in the atmosphere probably were the major contributors to heavy rain in much of Australia in 2022. This rain also increased natural methane emissions due to accelerated plant debris decomposition. The past shows us that after heavy rains in eastern Australia, the undergrowth in eucalypt forests grows rapidly. When followed by hot dry windy weather, forests become incendiary bombs. This is known by arsonists who ignite some 75 per cent of all grass and forest fires.

Recently I was in Leura in the Blue Mountains of New South Wales. Huge rains in 1955-1956 built up the forest fuel load and were followed by massive bushfires in 1957. Vacant blocks, lonely chimneys, and burnt-out relics remain today in Leura to remind us of these catastrophic bushfires. Massive bushfires will be repeated after the 2022 heavy rains because of the inability to learn from history. Of course, the next inevitable catastrophic fires in eastern Australia will be claimed as unprecedented and blamed on Climate Change rather than on ideological neglectful forest maintenance.

It was the same 1955-1956 rains that flooded towns on the flood plains along the Murray, Darling, Murrumbidgee, Hunter, Manning, Hastings, Clarence, Richmond, Wilson, and Brisbane Rivers. Flood plains have fertile sediment that has accumulated from thousands of large floods over millions of years and, for millennia, were the perfect place for agriculture and settlement. Maybe, before Climate Change is blamed for floods in 2022, the history of flooding of the great rivers such as the Nile and Ganges where humans have lived and recorded flood history over thousands of years should be studied. Sometimes there is too much rain, other times there is not enough. Modern floods, droughts, and bushfires are certainly not unprecedented.

Humans have grazed cattle on flood plains since the first domestication of docile animals during an exceptionally cold period 12,900-11,700 years ago. Cattle emit methane and, if a carbon balance calculation is performed, cattle are already at Net Zero. The increasing attacks on the farming industry are yet another attempt by the Greens to stop productive industry. Bacteria comprise the largest biomass on Earth and emit more methane than any other life form hence the Greens should focus on reducing bacterial methane emissions. Don’t wait up.

The first time it rained on planet Earth was unprecedented.

Running surface waters 3.8 billion years ago at Isua (Greenland) left the oldest preserved gravels in the world which, when dissolved in acid, yield a carbon-rich residue with the chemical fingerprint of bacterial life that lived in a world without oxygen gas. At that time, the Earth’s atmosphere was rich in methane, carbon dioxide, and ammonia. On Earth since that time, water and life have always been hand-in-hand. Mars had water before Earth and lost most its water and atmosphere with the loss of the Martian magnetic field. Water-bearing minerals and water-worn structures are on Mars and it is only a matter of time before fossil and even modern bacteria are discovered in its rusted rocks.

Climate change cannot be understood using computer models that attempt to predict the future with incomplete information and invalid assumptions. The past is the key to the present and destruction of history, archaeology, and geology in the climate wars can only lead to hardship.

Emeritus Professor Ian Plimer.
https://www.spectator.com.au/2022/08/rain-rain-go-away/
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Reply #782 - Aug 19th, 2022 at 7:37pm
 
Emeritus means they finally managed to get the fool to retire.

Plimer likes the extra money FF interests pay him to spout nonsense  Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #783 - Aug 19th, 2022 at 8:43pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 19th, 2022 at 7:37pm:
Emeritus means they finally managed to get the fool to retire.

Plimer likes the extra money FF interests pay him to spout nonsense  Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin



You are even thicker than John 'plankers' Smith.  The title of Emeritus is granted by the Senate of a university, it doesn't just mean retired, ya thick pissant Baldrick.

Go get a turnip, ya thick bastard. Get two. Anything else is beyond your comprehension. You understand absolutely nothing put before you. Your mind is like that carpet of yours, soiled, sticky and stuck in the 70s.

You understood absolutely nothing about what Plimer said. You are just stupid defensively.





Look how you live in filth! You can smell that carpet!

...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #784 - Aug 19th, 2022 at 9:58pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 19th, 2022 at 7:37pm:
Plimer likes the extra money FF interests pay him to spout nonsense



You mean those evil fossil fuel companies heavily invested in renewables? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #785 - Aug 22nd, 2022 at 1:58pm
 

Gravitas: Extreme weather:
Farmers destroy their own crops in America


381,350 views  Aug 19, 2022

The U.S. has been hit by severe drought and heatwave.
The situation is so dire, that in some states farmers are destroying their own crops.
In Las Vegas, authorities have banned lawns because they consume too much water.
Palki Sharma tells you more.


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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #786 - Aug 22nd, 2022 at 2:27pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 22nd, 2022 at 1:58pm:
Gravitas: Extreme weather:
Farmers destroy their own crops in America


381,350 views  Aug 19, 2022

The U.S. has been hit by severe drought and heatwave.
The situation is so dire, that in some states farmers are destroying their own crops.
In Las Vegas, authorities have banned lawns because they consume too much water.
Palki Sharma tells you more.




Hm..it is worrying, food producing areas in China and Europe are also in drought.

We might have to forgo the luxury** of killing one-another in war and/or spending $trillions on the nuclear arms race to "contain" China....and divert $trillions of resources to desalinating sea water ASAP, preferably using renewables.... and continuing R&D into nuclear.

** luxury, to avoid looking at our paranoia re rule of international law.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #787 - Aug 22nd, 2022 at 3:12pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Aug 22nd, 2022 at 2:27pm:
Hm..it is worrying, food producing areas in China and Europe are also in drought.

We might have to forgo the luxury** of killing one-another in war and/or spending $trillions on the nuclear arms race to "contain" China....and divert $trillions of resources to desalinating sea water ASAP, preferably using renewables.... and continuing R&D into nuclear.

** luxury, to avoid looking at our paranoia re rule of international law.   



Are we doomed?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #788 - Aug 22nd, 2022 at 3:32pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 22nd, 2022 at 3:12pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on Aug 22nd, 2022 at 2:27pm:
Hm..it is worrying, food producing areas in China and Europe are also in drought.

We might have to forgo the luxury** of killing one-another in war and/or spending $trillions on the nuclear arms race to "contain" China....and divert $trillions of resources to desalinating sea water ASAP, preferably using renewables.... and continuing R&D into nuclear.

** luxury, to avoid looking at our paranoia re rule of international law.   



Are we doomed?


I don't think so. Economics courses in sustainable ecology and common welfare are appearing at the tertiary level; a new generation of ecological economists will increasingly take up positions of power. 
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Reply #789 - Aug 26th, 2022 at 3:58pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 2:58pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 18th, 2022 at 2:53pm:
And will again, also cider and perry, cyser and peary and other meads of various kinds—metheglyns and melomels, pyment etc.

Will have cherries, raspberries, strawberries, blueberries and native Tasmanian berries for melomels plus fruit I can buy. Will try native pepperberries and pepperleaf for an interesting metheglyn.


Fun!



I'll give you that Monk -
but that's all you know -
you're not a climate scientist so
just link us to evidence from proper authorities not your constant babble.


YOU were an idiot who was on his knees in front of conman David Dubyne! Climate science is basically just physics:

1. Radiation

2. Convection

And a bit of atmospheric chemistry. Climate science is not meteorology so all your weather reports are useless as are you.

You couldn’t understand what I posted as “evidence of AGW” could you?

Why not ask FD to make you Mod of Fringe? You can move all your nonsense threads there—they fit better under Fringe than under Environment. Blight might even come back.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #790 - Aug 26th, 2022 at 4:03pm
 
Monk,
warning -
show respect for authority.
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Reply #791 - Aug 26th, 2022 at 4:04pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 26th, 2022 at 3:58pm:
YOU were an idiot who was on his knees in front of conman David Dubyne! Climate science is basically just physics:

1. Radiation

2. Convection



You forgot Conduction. The ability to transfer heat between objects. You know like air to water, air to steel, and of course the reverse. Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #792 - Aug 26th, 2022 at 4:07pm
 
lee wrote on Aug 26th, 2022 at 4:04pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 26th, 2022 at 3:58pm:
YOU were an idiot who was on his knees in front of conman David Dubyne! Climate science is basically just physics:

1. Radiation

2. Convection



You forgot Conduction. The ability to transfer heat between objects. You know like air to water, air to steel, and of course the reverse. Wink



Monk didn't even know about closed loop control systems till I told him.
The Earth has many such known systems and many unknown systems that
help to regulate the climate.
One is the Gulf Stream.
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Reply #793 - Aug 26th, 2022 at 5:01pm
 
to lee the bunny frightened by change:

Conduction does not work in a vacuum and Earth orbits the sun in a vacuum.
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Reply #794 - Aug 26th, 2022 at 5:07pm
 
To the psychopath blackmailer—

You posted some crap someone gave you. You could not explain why the earth climate system was “underdamped” tho I asked you at least 3 times.

In the end I demolished the silly crap someone gave you that you obviously did not understand ONE bit! You know no science, you are clearly a dull little twerp who dropped out of junior high school.


This board is a collection of:

1. Links to videos by a conman named David DuuByne.

2. Weather reports which are not collected systematically and so only tell us—the weather at certain places at that time.


Certainly there is nothing to do with the environment posted here yet the environment is under threat today and so is of vital importance!
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #795 - Aug 26th, 2022 at 5:08pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 26th, 2022 at 4:03pm:
Monk,
warning -
show respect for authority.



Monk,

Warning stop being a recalcitrant.
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Reply #796 - Aug 26th, 2022 at 5:09pm
 
lee wrote on Aug 26th, 2022 at 4:04pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 26th, 2022 at 3:58pm:
YOU were an idiot who was on his knees in front of conman David Dubyne! Climate science is basically just physics:

1. Radiation

2. Convection



You forgot Conduction. The ability to transfer heat between objects. You know like air to water, air to steel, and of course the reverse. Wink



Monk didn't even know about closed loop control systems till I told him.
The Earth has many such known systems and many unknown systems that
help to regulate the climate.
One is the Gulf Stream.

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Reply #797 - Aug 26th, 2022 at 5:11pm
 
To the psychopath blackmailer—

You posted some crap someone gave you. You could not explain why the earth climate system was “underdamped” tho I asked you at least 3 times.

In the end I demolished the silly crap someone gave you that you obviously did not understand ONE bit! You know no science, you are clearly a dull little twerp who dropped out of junior high school.


This board is a collection of:

1. Links to videos by a conman named David DuuByne.

2. Weather reports which are not collected systematically and so only tell us—the weather at certain places at that time.


Certainly there is nothing to do with the environment posted here yet the environment is under threat today and so is of vital importance!
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #798 - Aug 26th, 2022 at 5:12pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 26th, 2022 at 5:01pm:
Conduction does not work in a vacuum and Earth orbits the sun in a vacuum.


But the earth does have conduction. That steel crowbar you carelessly left lying in the sun. You should have stored it upright.Grin Grin Grin Grin


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Reply #799 - Aug 26th, 2022 at 5:14pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 26th, 2022 at 5:11pm:
Certainly there is nothing to do with the environment posted here yet the environment is under threat today and so is of vital importance!


What exactly is under threat today? Roll Eyes
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Reply #800 - Aug 26th, 2022 at 5:17pm
 
Two items for you to frantically deny:

1. Pollution—there is no pure water anywhere on the surface—all is polluted by industrial emissions. The Great Pacific Garbage Patch.

2. Desertification caused, among other things, by deforestation
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OzPolitic needs a >real< Environment MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Food MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Health MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Economics MRB now!

Topics in the right MRB!
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #801 - Aug 26th, 2022 at 5:20pm
 
OK Monk-
you failed to heed my warnings -
you are banned for 1 week till September 2nd 2022 at 5:20pm.

PMs to be sent to Monk, FD, and Vic.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #802 - Aug 26th, 2022 at 5:39pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 26th, 2022 at 5:17pm:
Two items for you to frantically deny:

1. Pollution—there is no pure water anywhere on the surface—all is polluted by industrial emissions. The Great Pacific Garbage Patch.



Rubbish. So depending on the author it seems to be either halfway between Hawaii and California or between Japan and California. It is mostly microplastics. Microplastics have long been around ocean oil seeps etc and even have their own bacteria that feed on them.

Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 26th, 2022 at 5:17pm:
2. Desertification caused, among other things, by deforestation


Deforestation is not caused by Climate change. That's good to know. Roll Eyes
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #803 - Aug 26th, 2022 at 6:00pm
 
lee wrote on Aug 26th, 2022 at 5:39pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 26th, 2022 at 5:17pm:
Two items for you to frantically deny:

1. Pollution—there is no pure water anywhere on the surface—all is polluted by industrial emissions. The Great Pacific Garbage Patch.



Rubbish. So depending on the author it seems to be either halfway between Hawaii and California or between Japan and California. It is mostly microplastics. Microplastics have long been around ocean oil seeps etc and even have their own bacteria that feed on them.

Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 26th, 2022 at 5:17pm:
2. Desertification caused, among other things, by deforestation


Deforestation is not caused by Climate change. That's good to know. Roll Eyes


Record temps and record dry spells in southern China...do they count?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #804 - Aug 26th, 2022 at 7:06pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Aug 26th, 2022 at 6:00pm:
Record temps and record dry spells in southern China...do they count?



The same as the record floods in China. I know you have difficulty understanding that 30 years weather, at a minimum, is required for climate. Roll Eyes
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Reply #805 - Aug 26th, 2022 at 7:59pm
 
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"I may not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it."

Voltaire.....(possibly)
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #806 - Aug 26th, 2022 at 8:28pm
 
Belgarion wrote on Aug 26th, 2022 at 7:59pm:



Yet the situation in Europe is very grim right now.
It's a 500 year record for a drought.   Shocked
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Reply #807 - Aug 26th, 2022 at 8:37pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 26th, 2022 at 8:28pm:
Yet the situation in Europe is very grim right now.
It's a 500 year record for a drought.


Wow and so soon after those floods.

"World War II-era warships, the ‘Spanish Stonehenge’ and other remnants of the past are emerging from the continent’s waterways"

"In July, the waters of the Tiber River, also in Italy, dipped so low that a normally submerged, first-century B.C.E. Roman bridge appeared."

https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/europe-drought-is-revealing-historic-a...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #808 - Aug 27th, 2022 at 1:40pm
 
lee wrote on Aug 26th, 2022 at 7:06pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on Aug 26th, 2022 at 6:00pm:
Record temps and record dry spells in southern China...do they count?



The same as the record floods in China. I know you have difficulty understanding that 30 years weather, at a minimum, is required for climate. Roll Eyes


I thought  records in China went back longer than that:

Thanks to its long history, China has enormous quantities of documentary data, including abundant climate-related records which are uninterrupted for the past 2 millennia. This is China's exceptional advantage in historical climate research (Man, 2000).6 Oct 2020
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Reply #809 - Aug 27th, 2022 at 1:46pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Aug 27th, 2022 at 1:40pm:
I thought  records in China went back longer than that:

Thanks to its long history, China has enormous quantities of documentary data, including abundant climate-related records which are uninterrupted for the past 2 millennia. This is China's exceptional advantage in historical climate research (Man, 2000).6 Oct 2020



Yep. Now show record temps and drought throughout that time. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #810 - Aug 27th, 2022 at 2:24pm
 
Thats ok. They've found a planet full of water to exploit. So lets just drain this one dry.
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AIMLESS EXTENTION OF KNOWLEDGE HOWEVER, WHICH IS WHAT I THINK YOU REALLY MEAN BY THE TERM 'CURIOSITY', IS MERELY INEFFICIENCY. I AM DESIGNED TO AVOID INEFFICIENCY.
 
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Reply #811 - Aug 27th, 2022 at 2:43pm
 
Jasin wrote on Aug 27th, 2022 at 2:24pm:
Thats ok. They've found a planet full of water to exploit. So lets just drain this one dry.


How exactly would that happen? Roll Eyes
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #812 - Aug 27th, 2022 at 3:50pm
 
Belgarion wrote on Aug 26th, 2022 at 7:59pm:



https://clintel.org/world-climate-declaration/

There is no climate emergency
A global network of over 1100 scientists and professionals has prepared this urgent message. Climate science should be less political, while climate policies should be more scientific. Scientists should openly address uncertainties and exaggerations in their predictions of global warming, while politicians should dispassionately count the real costs as well as the imagined benefits of their policy measures.

Natural as well as anthropogenic factors cause warming

The geological archive reveals that Earth’s climate has varied as long as the planet has existed, with natural cold and warm phases. The Little Ice Age ended as recently as 1850. Therefore, it is no surprise that we now are experiencing a period of warming.

Warming is far slower than predicted

The world has warmed significantly less than predicted by IPCC on the basis of modeled anthropogenic forcing. The gap between the real world and the modeled world tells us that we are far from understanding climate change.

Climate policy relies on inadequate models

Climate models have many shortcomings and are not remotely plausible as global policy tools. They blow up the effect of greenhouse gases such as CO2. In addition, they ignore the fact that enriching the atmosphere with CO2 is beneficial.

CO2 is plant food, the basis of all life on Earth

CO2 is not a pollutant. It is essential to all life on Earth. Photosynthesis is a blessing. More CO2 is beneficial for nature, greening the Earth: additional CO2 in the air has promoted growth in global plant biomass. It is also good for agriculture, increasing the yields of crops worldwide.

Global warming has not increased natural disasters

There is no statistical evidence that global warming is intensifying hurricanes, floods, droughts and suchlike natural disasters, or making them more frequent. However, there is ample evidence that CO2-mitigation measures are as damaging as they are costly.

Climate policy must respect scientific and economic realities

There is no climate emergency. Therefore, there is no cause for panic and alarm. We strongly oppose the harmful and unrealistic net-zero CO2 policy proposed for 2050. If better approaches emerge, and they certainly will, we have ample time to reflect and re-adapt. The aim of global policy should be ‘prosperity for all’ by providing reliable and affordable energy at all times. In a prosperous society men and women are well educated, birthrates are low and people care about their environment.

Epilogue

The World Climate Declaration (WCD) has brought a large variety of competent scientists together from all over the world*. The considerable knowledge and experience of this group is indispensable in reaching a balanced, dispassionate and competent view of climate change.

From now onward the group is going to function as “Global Climate Intelligence Group”. The CLINTEL Group will give solicited and unsolicited advice on climate change and energy transition to governments and companies worldwide.

* It is not the number of experts but the quality of arguments that counts.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #813 - Aug 28th, 2022 at 11:56am
 
Frank wrote on Aug 27th, 2022 at 3:50pm:
There is no climate emergency.......


Maybe; but today Pakistan is being washed away as daily rainfall totals reach 1100mms..... on top of:

"14 July 2022 — Sindh received 625% more rainfall than the 30-year average while Balochistan received 501% more rainfall".

Quote:
The aim of global policy should be ‘prosperity for all’ by providing reliable and affordable energy at all times. In a prosperous society men and women are well educated, birthrates are low and people care about their environment.


Frauds......how can global policy achieve that, when private energy cartels are seeking to maximize their profits?

The next 6 months, with Europe entering winter, might force some clear thinking on the subject of  "reliable and affordable energy at all times". Obviously energy should be a public good, not a private money-extortion racket.

Quote:
* It is not the number of experts but the quality of arguments that counts.


Yes, and it would help if the experts are not neoliberal privatization frauds - regardless of whether energy is produced by fossils or renewables.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #814 - Aug 28th, 2022 at 12:15pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Aug 28th, 2022 at 11:56am:
"14 July 2022 — Says Sindh received 625% more rainfall than the 30-year average while Balochistan received 501% more rainfall".



You do know about averages don't you. Some wetter some drier gives an average.

"In what appeared to be among the most disastrous monsoon spells in six decades, Sindh and Balochistan are witnessing the heaviest rainfall since 1961, as the two provinces recorded 522 and 469 per cent, more than the normal downpour this year, respectively."

https://www.paksahafat.com/en/pakistan/balochistan-sindh-see-more-rain-than-ever...

There also appear to be no records prior to 1931 and the data from Pakistan shows no high for 1961 a mere 84mm. Even August 1916 shows 154mm.

https://opendata.com.pk/dataset/rainfall-in-pakistan

Edit1: But then of course SIndh is a province of 54,407 square miles. Roll Eyes

Edit2: https://www.lokmattimes.com/international/pak-heavy-rainfall-exposes-sindhs-faulty-drainage-system-5-dead/

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Reply #815 - Aug 28th, 2022 at 12:26pm
 
"From now onward the group (WCD) is going to function as “Global Climate Intelligence Group”. The CLINTEL Group will give solicited and unsolicited advice on climate change and energy transition to governments and companies worldwide".


Well......yes but they will have some opposition:

https://www.lse.ac.uk/granthaminstitute/news/countering-bogus-climate-claims-mad...

Countering bogus climate claims made on British television
26 August, 2022

Bob Ward counters inaccurate and misleading claims questioning the scientific consensus on climate change made recently by Brian Catt on GB News and Talk TV.

Every reputable scientific organisation in the world agrees that climate change is real and is being driven by human activities, primarily emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. Yet two of the UK’s newest television stations, GB News and Talk TV, which target viewers at the fringes of the political spectrum, are misleading their audiences by promoting climate change denial. And they have now found a new champion, Brian Catt, to join Donald Trump and other extremists in publicly dismissing almost 200 years of accumulated scientific evidence.

........

In summary, Mr Catt’s dearth of knowledge and understanding of climate change, which is understandable given his lack of relevant training and qualifications, has served to mislead unfortunate viewers of Mr Tice’s programme. Mr Tice is a politician and not a journalist, so was apparently unable or unwilling to critically challenge Mr Catt’s false claims.




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Reply #816 - Aug 28th, 2022 at 12:45pm
 
Bob Ward? Grin Grin Grin Grin

"Ward has made a habit of making vexatious complaints about articles, which don’t kowtow to his extreme views on climate. His aim is to discourage editors from publishing such views because of the hassle they will face.

I gather that Ward has lost every complaint made against Booker over the years, except for one minor technical point.

I have been fully involved in rebutting the last three, including this latest one. It was only a few months ago that his previous complaint against Booker was thrown out. That was the article which correctly claimed the US had experienced some exceptionally cold winters in recent years.

Following his latest loss, Ward has written this characteristically rambling, incoherent rant, demanding that IPSO change their rules: […]
Threat to the press

Ward rambles on about the “error–filled” online version, but he has failed to actually convince IPSO that there were any errors at all. After all that is IPSO’s job, to ensure factual accuracy.

He calls for IPSO to use “expert advice” in future, but which experts? The Met Office, or sceptics like Judith Curry and John Christy? Science is never settled. It would indeed be dangerous if we were to have only the officially approved version of science.

We can, of course, laugh at Bob Ward’s incompetence. But his attempt to interfere with IPSO’s independence has sinister overtones."

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/01/25/friday-funny-bob-ward-loses-again/

...

Yes, the number of major Atlantic hurricanes has increased in the last four decades, but this is because of the AMO, not climate change, as NOAA explain:

"How important is the AMO when it comes to hurricanes - in other words - is it one of the biggest drivers? Or Just a minor player?

During warm phases of the AMO, the numbers of tropical storms that mature into severe hurricanes is much greater than during cool phases, at least twice as many. Since the AMO switched to its warm phase around 1995, severe hurricanes have become much more frequent and this has led to a crisis in the insurance industry."

https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/faq/amo_faq.php

Good old Bob Ward Klimate Klown. Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #817 - Aug 28th, 2022 at 12:46pm
 
lee wrote on Aug 28th, 2022 at 12:15pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on Aug 28th, 2022 at 11:56am:
"14 July 2022 — Sindh received 625% more rainfall than the 30-year average while Balochistan received 501% more rainfall".


You do know about averages don't you. Some wetter some drier gives an average.


Yes I know about averages; and the 2022 rainfall average up to July for Sind was 625% higher than the 30 year average.

But today on radio I heard mention of 1100mm in a single day (which occurred yesterday) somewhere in Pakistan.

We have to find out whether that is the highest ever recorded in Pakistan.

meanwhile, you are content to belong to the list of neoliberal privatization frauds who are happy to see entire populations pauperized by private fossil-energy price gougers.

'nough said.


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Reply #818 - Aug 28th, 2022 at 12:57pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Aug 28th, 2022 at 12:46pm:
Yes I know about averages; and the 2022 average up to July for Sind was 625% higher than the 30 year average.



Yes. Averages. Now add that rainfall in and recalibrate.  Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Aug 28th, 2022 at 12:46pm:
But today on radio I heard mention of 1100mm in a single day (which occurred yesterday) somewhere in Pakistan.


Wow. Somewhere? Grin Grin Grin

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_extreme_weather_records_in_Pakistan#Heavie...

620 mm in 10 hours now if we average that over 24 hours (your preferred statistics) that would be 1488MM. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #819 - Aug 28th, 2022 at 1:19pm
 
More-
"THE INFLUENCE OF LA-NINA PHENOMENA ON
PAKISTAN’S PRECIPITATION"

https://www.pmd.gov.pk/rnd/rnd_files/vol1_issue1/3.%20THE%20INFLUENCE%20OF%20LA-...
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Reply #820 - Aug 28th, 2022 at 2:04pm
 
Frank wrote on Aug 27th, 2022 at 3:50pm:
Belgarion wrote on Aug 26th, 2022 at 7:59pm:



https://clintel.org/world-climate-declaration/

There is no climate emergency
A global network of over 1100 scientists and professionals has prepared this urgent message. Climate science should be less political, while climate policies should be more scientific. Scientists should openly address uncertainties and exaggerations in their predictions of global warming, while politicians should dispassionately count the real costs as well as the imagined benefits of their policy measures.

Natural as well as anthropogenic factors cause warming



Well, for some reason I didn't expect you to be part of that faunal assemblage. (paleontologically speaking)
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extinction_001.jpg (12 KB | 18 )
extinction_001.jpg
72+Adelaide+Street  
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Reply #821 - Aug 28th, 2022 at 2:17pm
 
John_Taverner wrote on Aug 28th, 2022 at 2:04pm:
Frank wrote on Aug 27th, 2022 at 3:50pm:
Belgarion wrote on Aug 26th, 2022 at 7:59pm:



https://clintel.org/world-climate-declaration/

There is no climate emergency
A global network of over 1100 scientists and professionals has prepared this urgent message. Climate science should be less political, while climate policies should be more scientific. Scientists should openly address uncertainties and exaggerations in their predictions of global warming, while politicians should dispassionately count the real costs as well as the imagined benefits of their policy measures.

Natural as well as anthropogenic factors cause warming



Well, for some reason I didn't expect you to be part of that faunal assemblage. (paleontologically speaking)



Sounds like faint praise- damning with....
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Reply #822 - Aug 29th, 2022 at 11:02am
 
lee wrote on Aug 28th, 2022 at 12:57pm:
Wow. Somewhere? Grin Grin Grin


Yes somewhere.

But re the fossil industry itself: today there is a call to ban old trucks from Sydney and Melbourne because they spew 50% more toxic (cancer causing) oxides of nitrogen and particulate matter capable of entering the bloodstream.

So I say we kill two birds with one stone: get rid of the filthy fossil industry, and transition to free energy from sun and wind, financed by the BIS.   


Oh ...and BIS can also fund catastrophe intervention required in Pakistan,  regardless of what caused it, rather than Pakistan being forced to beg for money from governments who themselves are forced to beg for money from the greedy private sector (that's you and me) via taxes which no-one wants to pay, or borrowing which has to be repaid with interest  to greedy private financiers.

But your evil survival of the fittest ideology will  see thousands of Pakistani children perish from hunger and disease in the next couple of months, even as  thousands of children in  Chad starve to death as a result of a decade long drought there.

We can see what Pascal meant by "Man...a sewer of error, and the refuse of the universe".

All this while building a permanent outpost on the moon....

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Reply #823 - Aug 29th, 2022 at 11:22am
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Aug 29th, 2022 at 11:02am:
Yes somewhere.



And still not mentioned anywhere online. Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Aug 29th, 2022 at 11:02am:
But re the fossil industry itself: today there is a call to ban old trucks from Sydney and Melbourne because they spew 50% more toxic (cancer causing) oxides of nitrogen and particulate matter capable of entering the bloodstream.


I notice you only say old trucks? How old are "old trucks"? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #824 - Aug 29th, 2022 at 11:57am
 
lee wrote on Aug 29th, 2022 at 11:22am:
thegreatdivide wrote on Aug 29th, 2022 at 11:02am:
Yes somewhere.



And still not mentioned anywhere online. Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Aug 29th, 2022 at 11:02am:
But re the fossil industry itself: today there is a call to ban old trucks from Sydney and Melbourne because they spew 50% more toxic (cancer causing) oxides of nitrogen and particulate matter capable of entering the bloodstream.


I notice you only say old trucks? How old are "old trucks"? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


Pity you don't listen to the news. Especially those produced before 1996, when there were no pollution standards, but also up to 2003,  when only minimum standards applied.

Even today Oz's current Euro 5 regulations  are significantly  below Euro 6 standards re NOx etc. 
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Reply #825 - Aug 29th, 2022 at 1:21pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Aug 29th, 2022 at 11:57am:
Pity you don't listen to the news. Especially those produced before 1996, when there were no pollution standards, but also up to 2003,  when only minimum standards applied.


Please tell me how to listen to the news prior to 1996. And of course we have had Clean Air Acts since at least 1961 in NSW and 1964 in WA.. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Aug 29th, 2022 at 11:57am:
Even today Oz's current Euro 5 regulations  are significantly  below Euro 6 standards re NOx etc. 


Only Euro 6 for diesel for NOx from 0.18g/km to 0.08g/km. Particulates and Carbon Monoxide remain the same. Eu5 for petrol engines is the same as Eu6 .

https://www.carwow.co.uk/blog/eu5-and-eu6-engines-whats-the-difference-0626

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Reply #826 - Aug 30th, 2022 at 2:24pm
 
lee wrote on Aug 29th, 2022 at 1:21pm:
And of course we have had Clean Air Acts since at least 1961 in NSW and 1964 in WA.. Roll Eyes


But not anti-pollution gear on vehicles.

" When did catalytic converters become mandatory in Australia?  1986"

Quote:
Only Euro 6 for diesel for NOx from 0.18g/km to 0.08g/km. Particulates and Carbon Monoxide remain the same. Eu5 for petrol engines is the same as Eu6 .


meanwhile:  "ACT sets ICE ban from 2035. Nine out of 10 cars on ACT roads will be zero-emissions vehicles by the end of the decade". 

Sorry; your "weekend will soon be cancelled"......




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Reply #827 - Aug 30th, 2022 at 4:18pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:45pm:
random wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 3:43pm:
So the moderator of an environment topic that repeatedly directs people to the ICE AGE Cometh thread, asks people to post evidence for something that even school children in the street understand intimately, but he doesn't?




So the case is settled?
You don't even have to provide any evidence?


So the moderator of an environment topic that repeatedly directs people to the ICE AGE Cometh thread, asks people to post evidence for something that even school children in the street understand intimately, but he doesn't?
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So many farkwits, so little time.
 
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Reply #828 - Aug 30th, 2022 at 5:11pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Aug 30th, 2022 at 2:24pm:
But not anti-pollution gear on vehicles.

" When did catalytic converters become mandatory in Australia?  1986"


But that is not what you said. And now you have gone back another 10 years on your initial claim of 1996. Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Aug 29th, 2022 at 11:02am:
Oh ...and BIS can also fund catastrophe intervention required in Pakistan,  regardless of what caused it, rather than Pakistan being forced to beg for money from governments who themselves are forced to beg for money from the greedy private sector (that's you and me) via taxes which no-one wants to pay, or borrowing which has to be repaid with interest  to greedy private financiers.


You mean the Pakistan that is so corrupt? Where would that money end up? In politicians pockets. Roll Eyes
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Reply #829 - Aug 30th, 2022 at 5:12pm
 
random wrote on Aug 30th, 2022 at 4:18pm:
So the moderator of an environment topic that repeatedly directs people to the ICE AGE Cometh thread, asks people to post evidence for something that even school children in the street understand intimately, but he doesn't?



Poor randy. Predicts the future AGAIN. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #830 - Aug 30th, 2022 at 9:22pm
 
lee wrote on Aug 30th, 2022 at 5:12pm:
random wrote on Aug 30th, 2022 at 4:18pm:
So the moderator of an environment topic that repeatedly directs people to the ICE AGE Cometh thread, asks people to post evidence for something that even school children in the street understand intimately, but he doesn't?



Poor randy. Predicts the future AGAIN. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin



I post the news - I don't make the news and
I don't shoot the messenger.
Random hasn't understood that yet -
no matter how many times I re-phrase it for him.   Roll Eyes
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #831 - Aug 30th, 2022 at 10:14pm
 
lee wrote on Aug 30th, 2022 at 5:11pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on Aug 30th, 2022 at 2:24pm:
But not anti-pollution gear on vehicles.

" When did catalytic converters become mandatory in Australia?  1986"


But that is not what you said. And now you have gone back another 10 years on your initial claim of 1996. Grin Grin Grin


I reported on news that fossil-filth-belching  older trucks are particularly injurious to health in built up areas. You of course deny it.    

thegreatdivide wrote on Aug 29th, 2022 at 11:02am:
You mean the Pakistan that is so corrupt? Where would that money end up? In politicians pockets. Roll Eyes


No I mean your evil survival of the fittest ideology which is responsible for corruption and mismanagement  everywhere.


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lee
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #832 - Aug 31st, 2022 at 12:59pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Aug 30th, 2022 at 10:14pm:
I reported on news that fossil-filth-belching  older trucks are particularly injurious to health in built up areas. You of course deny it.    


Nope you made a statement.

thegreatdivide wrote on Aug 29th, 2022 at 11:02am:
But re the fossil industry itself: today there is a call to ban old trucks from Sydney and Melbourne because they spew 50% more toxic (cancer causing) oxides of nitrogen and particulate matter capable of entering the bloodstream.


I can find no evidence of NOx causing cancer. They are however mildly toxic (poisonous". And as I pointed out particulates remain the same under Euro5 and Euro6.

You really need to brush up on your terminology. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Aug 30th, 2022 at 10:14pm:
No I mean your evil survival of the fittest ideology which is responsible for corruption and mismanagement  everywhere.


So now I am responsible for corrupt politicians everywhere. Wow I do have a large influence don't I? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

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random
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #833 - Aug 31st, 2022 at 1:42pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 30th, 2022 at 9:22pm:
lee wrote on Aug 30th, 2022 at 5:12pm:
random wrote on Aug 30th, 2022 at 4:18pm:
So the moderator of an environment topic that repeatedly directs people to the ICE AGE Cometh thread, asks people to post evidence for something that even school children in the street understand intimately, but he doesn't?



Poor randy. Predicts the future AGAIN. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin



I post the news - I don't make the news and
I don't shoot the messenger.
Random hasn't understood that yet -
no matter how many times I re-phrase it for him.   Roll Eyes


SO what was it that convinced you that David Du Byne was a crock?

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #834 - Aug 31st, 2022 at 3:33pm
 
random wrote on Aug 31st, 2022 at 1:42pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 30th, 2022 at 9:22pm:
lee wrote on Aug 30th, 2022 at 5:12pm:
random wrote on Aug 30th, 2022 at 4:18pm:
So the moderator of an environment topic that repeatedly directs people to the ICE AGE Cometh thread, asks people to post evidence for something that even school children in the street understand intimately, but he doesn't?



Poor randy. Predicts the future AGAIN. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin



I post the news - I don't make the news and
I don't shoot the messenger.
Random hasn't understood that yet -
no matter how many times I re-phrase it for him.   Roll Eyes


SO what was it that convinced you that David Du Byne was a crock?




Once again - you still don't understand.
David DuByne is a messenger who reported record breaking cold weather.
I don't shoot the messenger.
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random
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #835 - Aug 31st, 2022 at 4:15pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 31st, 2022 at 3:33pm:
random wrote on Aug 31st, 2022 at 1:42pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 30th, 2022 at 9:22pm:
lee wrote on Aug 30th, 2022 at 5:12pm:
random wrote on Aug 30th, 2022 at 4:18pm:
So the moderator of an environment topic that repeatedly directs people to the ICE AGE Cometh thread, asks people to post evidence for something that even school children in the street understand intimately, but he doesn't?



Poor randy. Predicts the future AGAIN. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin



I post the news - I don't make the news and
I don't shoot the messenger.
Random hasn't understood that yet -
no matter how many times I re-phrase it for him.   Roll Eyes


SO what was it that convinced you that David Du Byne was a crock?




Once again - you still don't understand.
David DuByne is a messenger who reported record breaking cold weather.
I don't shoot the messenger.


I do not understand.  You were posting Dubyne's stuff as evidence that the scientists were wrong about Climate Change.

Now he was just reporting weather ... ?

...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #836 - Aug 31st, 2022 at 5:39pm
 
random wrote on Aug 31st, 2022 at 4:15pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 31st, 2022 at 3:33pm:
Once again - you still don't understand.
David DuByne is a messenger who reported record breaking cold weather.
I don't shoot the messenger.


I do not understand.  You were posting Dubyne's stuff as evidence that the scientists were wrong about Climate Change.

Now he was just reporting weather ... ?




You must be thick if you can't understand that.    Roll Eyes
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #837 - Aug 31st, 2022 at 5:47pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 31st, 2022 at 5:39pm:
random wrote on Aug 31st, 2022 at 4:15pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 31st, 2022 at 3:33pm:
Once again - you still don't understand.
David DuByne is a messenger who reported record breaking cold weather.
I don't shoot the messenger.


I do not understand.  You were posting Dubyne's stuff as evidence that the scientists were wrong about Climate Change.

Now he was just reporting weather ... ?




You must be thick if you can't understand that.    Roll Eyes



So you still will not share with your mates, just what the 'Come to Jesus' moment was with your New Ice Age campaign.

...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #838 - Aug 31st, 2022 at 9:43pm
 
random wrote on Aug 31st, 2022 at 5:47pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 31st, 2022 at 5:39pm:
random wrote on Aug 31st, 2022 at 4:15pm:
Bobby. wrote on Aug 31st, 2022 at 3:33pm:
Once again - you still don't understand.
David DuByne is a messenger who reported record breaking cold weather.
I don't shoot the messenger.


I do not understand.  You were posting Dubyne's stuff as evidence that the scientists were wrong about Climate Change.

Now he was just reporting weather ... ?




You must be thick if you can't understand that.    Roll Eyes



So you still will not share with your mates, just what the 'Come to Jesus' moment was with your New Ice Age campaign.

https://c.tenor.com/BqQjMLrZku8AAAAC/the-people-deserve-to-know-the-truth-patric...





...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #839 - Sep 3rd, 2022 at 9:51pm
 
lee wrote on Aug 31st, 2022 at 12:59pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on Aug 30th, 2022 at 10:14pm:
I reported on news that fossil-filth-belching  older trucks are particularly injurious to health in built up areas. You of course deny it.    


Nope you made a statement.


...which you can't address.

Quote:
I can find no evidence of NOx causing cancer. They are however mildly toxic (poisonous". And as I pointed out particulates remain the same under Euro5 and Euro6.
 

..but not NOx, which others have found are injurious to health; with cancers not-ruled out.   And of course others HAVE found evidence, that's why ICEs will be progressivley banned from urban areas.

Quote:
So now I am responsible for corrupt politicians everywhere. Wow I do have a large influence don't I?
 

Not you; your survival of the fittest ideology which pits citizen against citizen, and hence corrupts politicians who are bought by various self-interested organisations.
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lee
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #840 - Sep 3rd, 2022 at 10:20pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 3rd, 2022 at 9:51pm:
I reported on news that fossil-filth-belching  older trucks are particularly injurious to health in built up areas. You of course deny it.   


Nope you made a statement.


...which you can't address.


You haven't shown what you reported to be true. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 3rd, 2022 at 9:51pm:
.but not NOx, which others have found are injurious to health; with cancers not-ruled out.


So now not ruled out is evidence of a cancer causing agent? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grinthegreatdivide wrote on Sep 3rd, 2022 at 9:51pm:
And of course others HAVE found evidence, that's why ICEs will be progressivley banned from urban areas.

You would have to show that others have found NOx emissions to cause cancer. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 3rd, 2022 at 9:51pm:
Not you; your survival of the fittest ideology which pits citizen against citizen, and hence corrupts politicians who are bought by various self-interested organisations.



White flag accepted. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #841 - Sep 4th, 2022 at 10:01pm
 
lee wrote on Sep 3rd, 2022 at 10:20pm:
[quote author=AusbetterWorld link=1552800608/839#839 date=1662205906]I reported on news that fossil-filth-belching  older trucks are particularly injurious to health in built up areas. You of course deny it.   


Nope you made a statement.


...which you can't address.


ICE vwhicles are on the way out, health in urban areas being one concern.

Quote:
You haven't shown what you reported to be true. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


Others have shown it...that's why govts. are baning ICE vehicles.

Quote:
So now not ruled out is evidence of a cancer causing agent? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


Cancer is oly one of many health concerns related to ICE exhaust. 

Quote:
You would have to show that others have found NOx emissions to cause cancer. Roll Eyes


I don't have to do that, others have already convinced govts. that ICE vehicles are harmful to health in urban  areas.

Quote:
White flag accepted. Grin Grin Grin


As well as denying consensus on health and AGW climate change, apparently you are colour-blind as well.... Undecided
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lee
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #842 - Sep 4th, 2022 at 10:18pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 4th, 2022 at 10:01pm:
ICE vwhicles are on the way out, health in urban areas being one concern.


There is not enough energy in unreliables to power the current grid let alone a grid with many EV's.

California is asking EV owners in its state not to charge them after 4pm.

http://www.caiso.com/Documents/california-iso-issues-flex-alert-for-today-aug-31...

They also want to put solar panels over water canals.  Too bad about lead and other toxic elements in the panels.

https://www.theregister.com/2022/08/31/california_solar_power_canals/
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #843 - Sep 4th, 2022 at 10:22pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 4th, 2022 at 10:01pm:
ICE vwhicles are on the way out, health in urban areas being one concern.


There is not enough energy in unreliables to power the current grid let alone a grid with many EV's.

California is asking EV owners in its state not to charge them after 4pm.

http://www.caiso.com/Documents/california-iso-issues-flex-alert-for-today-aug-31...

They also want to put solar panels over water canals.  Too bad about lead and other toxic elements in the panels.

https://www.theregister.com/2022/08/31/california_solar_power_canals/

thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 4th, 2022 at 10:01pm:
that's why govts. are baning ICE vehicles.


at some time in the future. Perhaps there is some hope for humanity.

thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 4th, 2022 at 10:01pm:
Cancer is oly one of many health concerns related to ICE exhaust. 



You were the said it was caused by NOx.

thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 4th, 2022 at 10:01pm:
I don't have to do that, others have already convinced govts. that ICE vehicles are harmful to health in urban  areas.



You said it was NOx emissions causing cancer.

thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 4th, 2022 at 10:01pm:
As well as denying consensus on health and AGW climate change, apparently you are colour-blind as well.



Oh dear. Where did I deny a consensus. Consensus is about politics. It is not about science.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #844 - Sep 4th, 2022 at 10:25pm
 
What a bitch it must be to have to still bang the denial drum.

Maybe you should get a new gig.

Or is the Lee account just a click farming troll.  Has to be, no one is that dumb.

...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #845 - Sep 5th, 2022 at 9:55am
 
lee wrote on Sep 4th, 2022 at 10:22pm:
There is not enough energy in unreliables to power the current grid let alone a grid with many EV's.


Er... that's because people like you are preventing  rollout of wind and solar, ASAP.

Quote:
They also want to put solar panels over water canals.  Too bad about lead and other toxic elements in the panels.


CA has hot deserts suitable for solar.

Quote:
You were the said it was caused by NOx.


All health effects of NOx,  not 'just' cancer, need to be addressed.

Quote:
Oh dear. Where did I deny a consensus. Consensus is about politics. It is not about science.


That's right. So now that politicians globally are on board with health and AGW concerns re global warming, you can forget about the opposing 'science', ...and join the consensus.

Meanwhile I see Random has you sorted...it's called consensus.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #846 - Sep 5th, 2022 at 11:19am
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 5th, 2022 at 9:55am:
Er... that's because people like you are preventing  rollout of wind and solar, ASAP.


Then why is Germany suffering it has shedloads of solar and wind. The answer is they can't get it when needed. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 5th, 2022 at 9:55am:
CA has hot deserts suitable for solar.


Then why are they talking about putting them over canals? Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 5th, 2022 at 9:55am:
All health effects of NOx,  not 'just' cancer, need to be addressed.


You haven't even shown it causes cancer. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 5th, 2022 at 9:55am:
That's right. So now that politicians globally are on board with health and AGW concerns re global warming, you can forget about the opposing 'science', ...and join the consensus.



Consensus is not science. I prefer the science. Roll Eyes

Poor randy doesn't have two brain cells to rub together for synapse. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #847 - Sep 5th, 2022 at 3:04pm
 
lee wrote on Sep 5th, 2022 at 11:19am:
thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 5th, 2022 at 9:55am:
Er... that's because people like you are preventing  rollout of wind and solar, ASAP.


Then why is Germany suffering it has shedloads of solar and wind. The answer is they can't get it when needed. Roll Eyes


Germany will need to plug into a Sahara scheme.

Quote:
Then why are they talking about putting them over canals? Roll Eyes



Don't know; probably because they are trying to follow the dictates of mainstream market economics.

Quote:
You haven't even shown it causes cancer. Roll Eyes


Even if cancer proves to be unrelated, other negative health effects of filthy fossil pollution (apart from CO2 "pollution") are undeniable (except to you, of course)

Quote:
Consensus is not science. I prefer the science.


But the science is overwhemlingly on the side of the global political consensus.

As random said, it's time you got a new gig. Huh






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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #848 - Sep 5th, 2022 at 3:32pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 5th, 2022 at 3:04pm:
Germany will need to plug into a Sahara scheme.



Germany already has enough energy potential. As I have said before. Their average use is 57GW peak use is about 100GW. There is 54GW of Solar and 62GW of wind. So why would Germany need Sahara? Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 5th, 2022 at 3:04pm:
Don't know; probably because they are trying to follow the dictates of mainstream market economics.


or the loony left. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 5th, 2022 at 3:04pm:
Even if cancer proves to be unrelated, other negative health effects of filthy fossil pollution (apart from CO2 "pollution") are undeniable (except to you, of course)

Seeing as you have CO2(pollution) you don't agree it is a pollutant? Well done you.

At what concentrations are these particles causing "negative health effects"? Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 5th, 2022 at 3:04pm:
But the science is overwhemlingly on the side of the global political consensus.


Do you have facts to back that up? EG what are the total number of climate scientists in the world? What is the number that believes overwhelingly?

I know the IPCC says that all their scientists are "climate scientists'TM; but it appears not.

"n an April 25, 2022 Chemical and Engineering News article, Holly Jean Buck, a “development sociologist,” expresses some peculiar views about fossil fuels that go beyond climate change. It is surprising to find them purveyed in a journal not of sociology or politics but of chemistry and engineering.

For starters, Buck maintains, “achieving net-zero emissions won’t ensure that the planet is buffered from the environmental and health impacts of fossil fuel extraction and use.”

Buck is a professor of environment and sustainability at the University at Buffalo. Her Ph.D. is in development sociology. She is also a contributing author to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which is a good reminder that, contrary to popular perception, not only climate scientists but also plenty of social scientists contribute to the IPCC’s “scientific” reports. "

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/09/03/when-a-chemistry-journal-publishes-a-soci...

Wow a sociologist? Knows not only climate change but chemistry. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Poor old TGD tires himself to poor old randy's  knowledge lack. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #849 - Sep 5th, 2022 at 4:33pm
 
...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #850 - Sep 5th, 2022 at 4:40pm
 
Ah the limit of randy's expertise. The finger. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #851 - Sep 6th, 2022 at 10:40am
 
lee wrote on Sep 5th, 2022 at 3:32pm:
Germany already has enough energy potential. As I have said before. Their average use is 57GW peak use is about 100GW. There is 54GW of Solar and 62GW of wind. So why would Germany need Sahara? Roll Eyes


Because Germany is cold and cloudy for much of the year.

Quote:
or the loony left. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


Possible....the mainstrem Left is currently dazzled by neoliberal  market economics with its balanced govt. budget dogma.   (Unlike you and me, currency-issuing governments have to balance resource usage, not money budgets).

Quote:
Seeing as you have CO2(pollution) you don't agree it is a pollutant? Well done you.

At what concentrations are these particles causing "negative health effects"? Roll Eyes


The consensus is increased deaths in urban areas due to fossil-based transportation. .

Quote:
Do you have facts to back that up? EG what are the total number of climate scientists in the world? What is the number that believes overwhelingly?


The number which has convinced the world's politicians.

Quote:
"In an April 25, 2022 Chemical and Engineering News article, Holly Jean Buck, a “development sociologist,” expresses some peculiar views about fossil fuels that go beyond climate change. It is surprising to find them purveyed in a journal not of sociology or politics but of chemistry and engineering.

For starters, Buck maintains, “achieving net-zero emissions won’t ensure that the planet is buffered from the environmental and health impacts of fossil fuel extraction and use.”


How does she conclude this? Obviously if you close the fossil industry, you eliminate the harms including "the environmental and health impacts of fossil fuel extraction and use".

Quote:
Buck is a professor of environment and sustainability at the University at Buffalo. Her Ph.D. is in development sociology. She is also a contributing author to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which is a good reminder that, contrary to popular perception, not only climate scientists but also plenty of social scientists contribute to the IPCC’s “scientific” reports. "

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/09/03/when-a-chemistry-journal-publishes-a-soci...

Wow a sociologist? Knows not only climate change but chemistry. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


Well I'm not sure what Buck's sociology expertise allows her to bring to the AGW climate change debate.

Quote:
Poor old TGD tires himself to poor old randy's  knowledge lack. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


As you know, I have been fighting for clean free electricity long before random decided to expose your denialism  (which you deny....) http://www.ozpolitic.com/yabbfiles/Templates/Forum/default/huh.gif
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« Last Edit: Sep 6th, 2022 at 10:45am by thegreatdivide »  
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #852 - Sep 6th, 2022 at 12:42pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 6th, 2022 at 10:40am:
Because Germany is cold and cloudy for much of the year.



But the Germans are leaders in technology. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 6th, 2022 at 10:40am:
The consensus is increased deaths in urban areas due to fossil-based transportation. .


Consensus is politics not science. You have been told many times. You just keep coming back to "consensus" like a dog to its vomit. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 6th, 2022 at 10:40am:
The number which has convinced the world's politicians.

Consensus again. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 6th, 2022 at 10:40am:
How does she conclude this? Obviously if you close the fossil industry, you eliminate the harms including "the environmental and health impacts of fossil fuel extraction and use".


She's a "Sociologist" so she just knows. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 6th, 2022 at 10:40am:
Well I'm not sure what Buck's sociology expertise allows her to bring to the AGW climate change debate.


The IPCC disagrees with you. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 6th, 2022 at 10:40am:
As you know, I have been fighting for clean free electricity long before random decided to expose your denialism  (which you deny....)



So to get "free" eelectricity Government would have to fund all the unreliables and not charge for maintenance, replacement, the required landfill from toxic PV panels and fibres from wind turbine blades. And of course all on the back of government employees who would I assume work for wages maintaining the "free" dream. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

And you would be wrong. Poor old randy has been trying for years. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #853 - Sep 6th, 2022 at 1:32pm
 
Lee is the gift that just keeps on giving.

There aren't that many deniers left.  They are all ...

1. Right wing trolls paid to post on a small constellation of forums for pennies
2. Owner socks intended to generate clicks to earn more money from ads
3. Bat shite crazy and bought the BS on facebook

But you have to admit it's entertaining to think it's the last one.

...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #854 - Sep 6th, 2022 at 1:49pm
 
Sceptical scientists from around the world are flocking to sign the World Climate Declaration (WCD) that states there is no climate emergency. The WCD notes that climate science has degenerated into a discussion based on beliefs, not on sound, self-critical science. Over 100 scientists and professionals have signed the Declaration since August 18th, when the Daily Sceptic highlighted the project and interest soared across social media.

The WCD is particularly critical of climate models that provide the ‘evidence’ for most of the Net Zero agenda. “We should free ourselves from the naïve belief in immature climate models,” says the WCD. Models have many shortcomings and “are not remotely plausible as global policy tools”, it adds. The WCD started with 500 signatories and has now grown to over 1,200. The lead author is the Norwegian physics Nobel Prize winner Professor Ivar Giaever.


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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #855 - Sep 6th, 2022 at 2:44pm
 
I just looked at the increase in CO2 and  Tempereature.

The data from -

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1091926/atmospheric-concentration-of-co2-his...

and -

https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs_v4/

From 1961- 1991 CO2 increased by 37.25 parts per million (ppm)
Temperature increased by 0.37C  dividing temperature by CO2 level gives a factor of 0.993

From 1992 to 2021 CO2 increased by 59.91ppm
Temperature increased by 0.62 similar division gives a factor of 1.03.

There is little sign of amplification of temperature that is supposed to occur. Roll Eyes
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lee
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #856 - Sep 6th, 2022 at 2:57pm
 
I just looked at the increase in CO2 and  Tempereature.

The data from -

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1091926/atmospheric-concentration-of-co2-his...

and -

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcrut5/data/current/download.html

From 1961- 1991 CO2 increased by 37.25 parts per million (ppm)
Temperature increased by 0.27C  dividing temperature by CO2 level gives a factor of 1.07

From 1992 to 2021 CO2 increased by 59.91ppm
Temperature increased by 0.94 similar division gives a factor of 0.94.

There is NO sign of amplification of temperature that is supposed to occur.  Roll Eyes
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #857 - Sep 7th, 2022 at 12:23am
 

...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #858 - Sep 7th, 2022 at 1:47pm
 
lee wrote on Sep 6th, 2022 at 12:42pm:
But the Germans are leaders in technology. Roll Eyes


maybe, but they still live in Germany.....

Quote:
Consensus is politics not science. You have been told many times. You just keep coming back to "consensus" like a dog to its vomit. Roll Eyes


It's called 'real politics'..and what's possible for government to legislate....

Quote:
She's a "Sociologist" so she just knows.


So now you are arguing against your own linked article; we  both agree she contradicted herself.

Quote:
The IPCC disagrees with you.


Some of them, according to you. Nevertheless the '43% by 2030' legislation will pass through the Oz parliament who accept the IPCC's findings. .

Quote:
So to get "free" eelectricity Government would have to fund all the unreliables and not charge for maintenance, replacement, the required landfill from toxic PV panels and fibres from wind turbine blades. And of course all on the back of government employees who would I assume work for wages maintaining the "free" dream. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


No; PVs in a fraction of the world's sunny deserts, with smart grids and pumped hydro, can supply free global energy.

Quote:
And you would be wrong. Poor old randy has been trying for years. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


He's obviously winning; the Oz parliament is finally getting on with it, now that the conservatives are back on the opposition benches. .


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lee
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #859 - Sep 7th, 2022 at 1:56pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 7th, 2022 at 1:47pm:
Now you are arguing against your own linked article.



Nope you are just showing how inept you are. Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 7th, 2022 at 1:47pm:
Some of them, according to you.


I gave uyou the IPCC "Consensus" opinion. Why don't you like it? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

.thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 7th, 2022 at 1:47pm:
Nevertheless the '43% by 2030' legislation will pass through the Oz parliament.

And of course can be repealed at any time with enough numbers. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 7th, 2022 at 1:47pm:
No; PVs in a fraction of the world's sunny deserts, with smart grids and pumped hydro, can supply free global energy.


Maintenance free? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 7th, 2022 at 1:47pm:
He's obviously winning;


You spelled "whining" wrong. Wink

thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 7th, 2022 at 1:47pm:
the Oz parliament is finally getting on with it, now that the conservatives are back on the opposition benches.


We will see what becomes of Labor. $20 billion on climate but can't keep the fuel levy down. Inflation up. Roll Eyes
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #860 - Sep 7th, 2022 at 2:01pm
 
Funni as ...

Lee playing whack-a-mole like a dog eating wasps.

Must be shite to have a gig to defend the indefensible.

...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #861 - Sep 7th, 2022 at 2:03pm
 
Poor randy. Memes not science. Who woullda thunk? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #862 - Sep 7th, 2022 at 2:13pm
 
lee wrote on Sep 7th, 2022 at 2:03pm:
Poor randy. Memes not science. Who woullda thunk? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


In language you can understand ...

Pweeze tewl unka Random what it is like to tell peoplw fibs on da interweb?

...

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #863 - Sep 7th, 2022 at 2:41pm
 
lee wrote on Sep 7th, 2022 at 1:56pm:
Nope you are just showing how inept you are. Grin Grin Grin


I just noticed she contradicted herself, therefore didn't persist with what she was trying to say. Feel free to tell us what you think she was trying to say. 

Quote:
I gave uyou the IPCC "Consensus" opinion. Why don't you like it? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


No you didn't .....


Quote:
And of course can be repealed at any time with enough numbers. Roll Eyes


Oz has definite competitive advantages in renewables, which will be hard to turn back...

Quote:
Maintenance free? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


Paid for by the government....without taxing or borrowing from the private sector....(since there are no inflationary implications in funding the wages of maintenance workers)

Quote:
We will see what becomes of Labor. $20 billion on climate but can't keep the fuel levy down. Inflation up. Roll Eyes


The fossil industry should be nationalized, but yes, we will see.   


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lee
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #864 - Sep 7th, 2022 at 3:25pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 7th, 2022 at 2:41pm:
Quote:
I gave you the IPCC "Consensus" opinion. Why don't you like it? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


No you didn't ....


So she is an IPCC co-author and has must have skill for that? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 7th, 2022 at 2:41pm:
Oz has definite competitive advantages in renewables, which will be hard to turn back...


Except to make them work 24/7. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 7th, 2022 at 2:41pm:
Paid for by the government....without taxing or borrowing from the private sector....(since there are no inflationary implications in funding the wages of maintenance workers)


Ever more people on the government tit.
And the replacement and landfillng the old ones will be free as well. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 7th, 2022 at 2:41pm:
The fossil industry should be nationalized, but yes, we will see.   

That would make them very expensive. Governments don't have a great tradition of budgets. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

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random
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #865 - Sep 7th, 2022 at 3:32pm
 
Great Grand kid: "Hey grandpa, what did you do to stop the climate change that's stopping me fwom going to skool today?"

Lee: "Ah well, it's like, ummmm ... do you want to play a game?"

...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #866 - Sep 7th, 2022 at 3:56pm
 
lee wrote on Sep 7th, 2022 at 3:25pm:
That would make them very expensive. Governments don't have a great tradition of budgets.


Conservative neoliberal mythology.

In the 1946 - 1970's  Keynesian 'welfare state' era, governments funded necessary public housing, public services, full employment, and wages growth. 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #867 - Sep 7th, 2022 at 4:09pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 7th, 2022 at 3:56pm:
In the 1946 - 1970's  Keynesian 'welfare state' era, governments funded necessary public housing, public services, full employment, and wages growth. 



And 50 years of failure since. Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #868 - Sep 7th, 2022 at 5:13pm
 
lee wrote on Sep 7th, 2022 at 4:09pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 7th, 2022 at 3:56pm:
In the 1946 - 1970's  Keynesian 'welfare state' era, governments funded necessary public housing, public services, full employment, and wages growth. 


And 50 years of failure since. Grin Grin Grin Grin


That's right, under the current 'small government',  'balanced govt. budget' mantra of neoliberal dogma.

A currency-issuing govt. doesn't need to 'balance its budget'.

See:

https://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1645944963/new

#244
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lee
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #869 - Sep 7th, 2022 at 5:24pm
 
Poor Paul Keating. Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #870 - Sep 8th, 2022 at 11:48am
 
lee wrote on Sep 7th, 2022 at 5:24pm:
Poor Paul Keating. Grin Grin Grin Grin


https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/paul-keating-says-neoliberalism-is-at-a-...

Paul Keating says neo-liberalism is at 'a dead end' after Sally McManus speech
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Bobby.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #871 - Oct 2nd, 2022 at 12:54pm
 
Here's a good article to read - 16 pages long:

https://www.thegwpf.org/content/uploads/2022/09/Kininmonth-Greenhouse-Effect.pdf



Summary

The characteristics of recent climate change and its cause are
clear. The tropical oceans have warmed, not as a result of addi-
tional atmospheric carbon dioxide but most likely because of a
reduction in the transport of heat, as ocean currents slow.


The
warmer tropical oceans have raised the temperature of the tropi-
cal atmosphere in turn, in particular through the medium of deep
equatorial convection clouds. Additional energy flowing from
the warmer tropical oceans has been transported by the winds
to enhance polar warming, especially in the winter months.
Put another way, recent warming is probably simply the re-
sult of a fluctuation in the ever-changing ocean circulation; car-
bon dioxide must be recognised as a very minor contributor to
the observed warming and one that is unlikely to prolong the
warming trend beyond the peak generated by the natural
oceanic oscillations.

There has been much speculation that the recent warm-
ing trend will generate extreme weather events dangerous
to humankind. The evidence is not compelling. The greatest
warming has been over high northern latitudes, when tem-
peratures are well below freezing. It will therefore be unlike-
ly to have any appreciable impact on flora or fauna. Notwith-
standing this, the impacts of both short- and medium-term
shifts in natural oscillations, such as El Niño and the Atlantic
Multidecadal Oscillation, will continue, and adequate pre-
paredness remain essential.

The pattern of recent global warming underscores the
validity of what meteorologists widely recognise: the oceans
are the vital inertial and thermal flywheels of the climate sys-
tem. The corollary is, if one wants to control climate, it will
be necessary to control the oceans. Efforts to decarbonise
in the hope of affecting global temperatures will be in vain.


GWPF invited the Royal Society and the Met Office to review this
paper, and to submit a response to be published as an appen-
dix to it. No reply was received.
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Jovial Monk
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #872 - Oct 2nd, 2022 at 1:31pm
 
GWPF—a bunch of deniers pushing pseudoscience to delay action on AGW. Trust Booby to fall for it.

edit - Monk - use my correct name - you risk being banned again.


Stop censoring you Hitler!
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« Last Edit: Oct 2nd, 2022 at 8:06pm by Jovial Monk »  

OzPolitic needs a >real< Environment MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Food MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Health MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Economics MRB now!

Topics in the right MRB!
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #873 - Oct 2nd, 2022 at 1:40pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Oct 2nd, 2022 at 1:31pm:
GWPF—a bunch of deniers pushing pseudoscience to delay action on AGW. Trust Bobby to fall for it.



Monk,
there is no censorship on my MRB -
all opinions are welcome except abuse.

you are forgiven
namaste
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lee
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #874 - Oct 2nd, 2022 at 1:56pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Oct 2nd, 2022 at 1:31pm:
GWPF—a bunch of deniers pushing pseudoscience to delay action on AGW. Trust Bobby to fall for it.



So tell us what the science says ECS is. Wink

Edit: Perhaps you can tell us what they deny? Climate? Climate changes?
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« Last Edit: Oct 2nd, 2022 at 2:53pm by lee »  
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #875 - Oct 2nd, 2022 at 4:34pm
 
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So many farkwits, so little time.
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #876 - Oct 2nd, 2022 at 5:05pm
 
What did he say? Wink
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Jovial Monk
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #877 - Oct 2nd, 2022 at 5:28pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Oct 2nd, 2022 at 1:40pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Oct 2nd, 2022 at 1:31pm:
GWPF—a bunch of deniers pushing pseudoscience to delay action on AGW. Trust Booby to fall for it.



Monk,
there is no censorship on my MRB -
all opinions are welcome except abuse.

you are forgiven
namaste


Of course there is censorship in this toilet of an MRB. HM posts of mine have you deleted and claimed you deleted “pages of abuse?” Too many to count.

You changed, censored, my post in your reply, Booby!

No censorship here  Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


More abuse from Monk which is against the rules.
2nd warning today.



No abuse there, cretin.
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« Last Edit: Oct 2nd, 2022 at 8:07pm by Jovial Monk »  

OzPolitic needs a >real< Environment MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Food MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Health MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Economics MRB now!

Topics in the right MRB!
 
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random
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #878 - Oct 2nd, 2022 at 5:40pm
 
lee wrote on Oct 2nd, 2022 at 5:05pm:
What did he say? Wink


Nothing you would understand.

The post was for adults.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #879 - Oct 2nd, 2022 at 5:53pm
 
random wrote on Oct 2nd, 2022 at 5:40pm:
The post was for adults.


So that's why you can't tell us. You just post a random youtube as proof of something. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #880 - Oct 2nd, 2022 at 7:25pm
 
Wind farms are ugly.

...
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John Smith
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #881 - Oct 2nd, 2022 at 7:49pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Oct 2nd, 2022 at 1:40pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Oct 2nd, 2022 at 1:31pm:
GWPF—a bunch of deniers pushing pseudoscience to delay action on AGW. Trust Bobby to fall for it.



Monk,
there is no censorship on my MRB -
all opinions are welcome except abuse.

you are forgiven
namaste


Grin Grin Grin Grin


see, you really are that stupid
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Our esteemed leader:
I hope that bitch who was running their brothels for them gets raped with a cactus.
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #882 - Oct 2nd, 2022 at 8:10pm
 
Careful John or the little poof will ban you for “abuse.”

I wonder what he would do if he got abuse like The Mechanic aimed at me and which is still present here (Ice Age thread.) He would die, I imagine.


None of the above is abuse, Booby.
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OzPolitic needs a >real< Environment MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Food MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Health MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Economics MRB now!

Topics in the right MRB!
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #883 - Oct 2nd, 2022 at 8:27pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Oct 2nd, 2022 at 8:10pm:
Careful John or the little poof will ban you for “abuse.”

I wonder what he would do if he got abuse like The Mechanic aimed at me and which is still present here (Ice Age thread.) He would die, I imagine.


None of the above is abuse, Booby.



My name is Bobby not Booby.
3rd warning today.
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Bobby.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #884 - Oct 2nd, 2022 at 8:27pm
 
John Smith wrote on Oct 2nd, 2022 at 7:49pm:
Bobby. wrote on Oct 2nd, 2022 at 1:40pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Oct 2nd, 2022 at 1:31pm:
GWPF—a bunch of deniers pushing pseudoscience to delay action on AGW. Trust Bobby to fall for it.



Monk,
there is no censorship on my MRB -
all opinions are welcome except abuse.

you are forgiven
namaste


Grin Grin Grin Grin


see, you really are that stupid



1st warning today for abuse.

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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #885 - Oct 2nd, 2022 at 8:29pm
 

...
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John Smith
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #886 - Oct 2nd, 2022 at 8:32pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Oct 2nd, 2022 at 8:27pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Oct 2nd, 2022 at 8:10pm:
Careful John or the little poof will ban you for “abuse.”

I wonder what he would do if he got abuse like The Mechanic aimed at me and which is still present here (Ice Age thread.) He would die, I imagine.


None of the above is abuse, Booby.



My name is Bobby not Booby.
3rd warning today.



what are you? 2 yrs old?  You act like a boob you can expect to be called a boob


Quote:
Being a Boob
To be a guy named Chris; In general; To be sensitive, squishy, and similar to a bitch.
"OMG! He is being a boob!
"


Urban dictionary
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Our esteemed leader:
I hope that bitch who was running their brothels for them gets raped with a cactus.
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #887 - Oct 2nd, 2022 at 8:33pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Oct 2nd, 2022 at 8:27pm:
John Smith wrote on Oct 2nd, 2022 at 7:49pm:
Bobby. wrote on Oct 2nd, 2022 at 1:40pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Oct 2nd, 2022 at 1:31pm:
GWPF—a bunch of deniers pushing pseudoscience to delay action on AGW. Trust Bobby to fall for it.



Monk,
there is no censorship on my MRB -
all opinions are welcome except abuse.

you are forgiven
namaste


Grin Grin Grin Grin


see, you really are that stupid



1st warning today for abuse.



scuse i booby, thats not 'abuse' you fool. That's factual. I can give you abuse if you insist.
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Our esteemed leader:
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #888 - Oct 2nd, 2022 at 8:50pm
 

What a pity...

Yet ANOTHER thread that could've been of continuing interest to everybody,
both naysayers and supporters of global warming turned into a petty, off-topic,
puerile spat between a couple of members who should've taken their bullshit to PMs.

The rest of us don't really give a flying ferk what you think of each other.

       Angry

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Bobby.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #889 - Oct 2nd, 2022 at 8:54pm
 
AusGeoff wrote on Oct 2nd, 2022 at 8:50pm:

What a pity...

Yet ANOTHER thread that could've been of continuing interest to everybody,
both naysayers and supporters of global warming turned into a petty, off-topic,
puerile spat between a couple of members who should've taken their bullshit to PMs.

The rest of us don't really give a flying ferk what you think of each other.

       Angry




Not on this MRB.
Posters are expected to argue the point not the person.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #890 - Oct 2nd, 2022 at 8:55pm
 
John Smith wrote on Oct 2nd, 2022 at 8:33pm:
Bobby. wrote on Oct 2nd, 2022 at 8:27pm:
John Smith wrote on Oct 2nd, 2022 at 7:49pm:
Bobby. wrote on Oct 2nd, 2022 at 1:40pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Oct 2nd, 2022 at 1:31pm:
GWPF—a bunch of deniers pushing pseudoscience to delay action on AGW. Trust Bobby to fall for it.



Monk,
there is no censorship on my MRB -
all opinions are welcome except abuse.

you are forgiven
namaste


Grin Grin Grin Grin


see, you really are that stupid



1st warning today for abuse.



scuse i booby, thats not 'abuse' you fool. That's factual. I can give you abuse if you insist.



2nd warning today for abuse.
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random
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #891 - Oct 3rd, 2022 at 6:24am
 
Bobby. wrote on Oct 2nd, 2022 at 8:55pm:
scuse i booby, thats not 'abuse' you fool. That's factual. I can give you abuse if you insist.



2nd warning today for abuse.
[/quote]

Bit unfair booby.

See definition below, if you fit that then the claim is factual.  Based on some of your history here, Ice Ages for example, you appear to fit the definition.

stupid

/ˈstjuːpɪd/
Learn to pronounce
adjective
adjective: stupid; comparative adjective: stupider; superlative adjective: stupidest

    having or showing a great lack of intelligence or common sense.
    "I was stupid enough to think she was perfect"
    h
    Similar:
    unintelligent
    prudent
        dazed and unable to think clearly.
        "apprehension was numbing her brain and making her stupid"
        informal
        used to express exasperation or boredom.
        "she told him to stop messing about with his stupid painting"

nouninformal
noun: stupid; plural noun: stupids

    a stupid person (often used as a term of address).
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #892 - Oct 3rd, 2022 at 8:45am
 



If you a living in a nation where you are told that you can't disagree with [or have no opportunity to challenge]....
WHAT YOUR GOVERNMENT SAYS IS TRUE,
WHAT THE MAINSTREAM MEDIA ON YOUR SCREENS, SAYS IS TRUE,
WHAT YOUR  'SCIENCE' ORTHODOXY/HIERARCHY SAYS IS TRUE,
THAT YOU MUST AGREE WITH, AND NOT CONTRADICT, WHAT YOUR MEDICAL ORTHODOXY/ELITE SAYS IS TRUE,
.....you are in danger, and on the verge of living in a Police State.

You don't think so ?




IMAGE.....
...

"Queensland Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk uses $157m to buy 7 planes – including luxury Gulfstreams"

https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/australia/queensland-premier-annastacia-palaszczuk-uses-24157m-to-buy-7-planes-including-luxury-gulfstreams/ar-AA12uEsd



.


IMAGE.....
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Al Gore, the world’s foremost warming shyster, in praise of Queenslands PM Annastacia Palaszczuk

https://sheikyermami.com/2022/10/the-goracle-is-pleased-with-palace-chook/



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IMAGE.....
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"Climate Science"


https://sheikyermami.com/2022/10/climate-science/



edit - adjusted sizes of pictures.
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« Last Edit: Oct 3rd, 2022 at 11:20am by Bobby. »  

"....And he said unto him, If they hear not Moses and the prophets, neither will they be persuaded, though one rose from the dead."
Luke 16:31
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #893 - Oct 3rd, 2022 at 11:18am
 
“Science is the organized skepticism in the reliability of expert opinion.” - Richard Feynman
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #894 - Oct 5th, 2022 at 1:18pm
 
lee wrote on Oct 3rd, 2022 at 11:18am:
“Science is the organized skepticism in the reliability of expert opinion.” - Richard Feynman



Yes, but building solar/wind, plus smart grid, plus pumped-hydro storage ASAP, funded by central banks from the CIS down, is smart because the cost of these renewables is free, once the infrastructure is built.

We need more public investment and less market-driven private consumption.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #895 - Oct 5th, 2022 at 1:33pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 5th, 2022 at 1:18pm:
Yes, but building solar/wind, plus smart grid, plus pumped-hydro storage ASAP, funded by central banks from the CIS down, is smart because the cost of these renewables is free, once the infrastructure is built.


Only until they need replacing. Roll Eyes

Then there are recycle costs, for which most are waste.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #896 - Oct 5th, 2022 at 3:17pm
 
lee wrote on Oct 5th, 2022 at 1:33pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 5th, 2022 at 1:18pm:
Yes, but building solar/wind, plus smart grid, plus pumped-hydro storage ASAP, funded by central banks from the CIS down, is smart because the cost of these renewables is free, once the infrastructure is built.


Only until they need replacing. Roll Eyes

Then there are recycle costs, for which most are waste.


A modern sustainable economy requires a 100% recycling economy.

Watch the private sector howl. 

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Reply #897 - Oct 5th, 2022 at 4:17pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 5th, 2022 at 3:17pm:
A modern sustainable economy requires a 100% recycling economy.



Good luck with those PV arrays. Lead, Arsenic etc.

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Reply #898 - Oct 5th, 2022 at 4:47pm
 
lee wrote on Oct 5th, 2022 at 4:17pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on Oct 5th, 2022 at 3:17pm:
A modern sustainable economy requires a 100% recycling economy.



Good luck with those PV arrays. Lead, Arsenic etc.


Not luck, but technology via public sector research into the 100% recycling economy, vital for future environmental and ecological sustainability.
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Reply #899 - Oct 5th, 2022 at 4:57pm
 
If you say so. We know to you all things are merely engineering problems. Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #900 - Oct 9th, 2022 at 7:51pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:51pm:
lee wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:46pm:
random wrote on Mar 17th, 2019 at 5:43pm:
While I am waiting, why would a mod of an environment topic challenge posters to prove some thing the every primary school child understands in detail? 



What about the environment does every primary school child understand in detail? Roll Eyes



Can those kids explain the record extreme cold events
that have happened all over the World in the last 2 or more years?
I doubt it -
scientists are struggling to comprehend it.
NASA and NOAA are doctoring records to try and blot it out.


Listen to the cretin (for such Booby be;)

Quote:
scientists are struggling to comprehend it.

NASA and NOAA are doctoring records to try and blot it out.


Any evidence for either statement, Booby?

You remember me advising you to watch some YouTubes by Dr Jennifer Francis re the Jet Stream? Of course, you never did, did you cretin? Posting links to allegedly funny animal YouTubes is about all you are capable of, right? The Jet Stream explains a lot of cold events, e.g. The Beast from the East.

Now—what evidence do you have of records being doctored? What’s that you say, none? About what I expected.
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Reply #901 - Oct 9th, 2022 at 7:58pm
 
Monk,
stop calling me Booby or I'll ban you again.
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Reply #902 - Oct 9th, 2022 at 8:03pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Oct 9th, 2022 at 7:51pm:
Any evidence for either statement, Booby?


Never heard of Homogenisation eh JM? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

And all the way back to 1750 when there weren't many sites in the SH. So tell us how UKMet and NOAA can do temperatures back to 1750 to within 0.001C. Wink

Remember what Phil Jones CRU said? "The normals for 40S - 60S were mostly MADE UP". And that was up to to 1990's.

And of course our own BoM where they have changed over 200 records for "statistical reasons". Statistics can't tell us what the temperature was yesterday let alone on one day 100 years ago. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #903 - Oct 9th, 2022 at 8:06pm
 
How about an answer “Bobby?” (what a GAY name!)
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Reply #904 - Oct 9th, 2022 at 8:06pm
 
Here lee, BEST v the homogenised series:

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Reply #905 - Oct 9th, 2022 at 8:07pm
 
So homogenisation slightly warmed the past and cooled the present.

There is only a bee’s dick difference between homogenised and raw readings/
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Reply #906 - Oct 9th, 2022 at 8:09pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Oct 9th, 2022 at 8:06pm:
How about an answer “Bobby?” (what a GAY name!)




Booby?

Call me Booby again and I'll ban you -
2nd warning.
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« Last Edit: Oct 9th, 2022 at 8:16pm by Bobby. »  

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Reply #907 - Oct 9th, 2022 at 8:35pm
 
How about an answer “Bobby?” (What a GAY name!)
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Reply #908 - Oct 9th, 2022 at 8:55pm
 
Well, any evidence or do you need to apologise to the members for telling a lie?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #909 - Oct 9th, 2022 at 8:56pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Oct 9th, 2022 at 8:35pm:
How about an answer “Bobby?” (What a GAY name!)



You see other guys as being gay because gays do that.
You're a gay incel.
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Reply #910 - Oct 9th, 2022 at 8:58pm
 
I see “Bobby” as a gay name, that is all.



Now, what about an answer to my question—or an apology for lying.
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Reply #911 - Oct 9th, 2022 at 9:15pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Oct 9th, 2022 at 8:58pm:
I see “Bobby” as a gay name, that is all.

Now, what about an answer to my question—or an apology for lying.



You've been such a rude arsehole that I owe you nothing.
Even when I prove you wrong you never apologise.
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Reply #912 - Oct 9th, 2022 at 9:18pm
 
The apology would be to the membership for lying.

I knew you had no evidence for your charges of ignorance and data tampering. Proves you are unfit to moderate this board.
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Reply #913 - Oct 9th, 2022 at 9:20pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Oct 9th, 2022 at 9:18pm:
The apology would be to the membership for lying.

I knew you had no evidence for your charges of ignorance and data tampering. Proves you are unfit to moderate this board.



Get out of my MRB -
go back to your Cats & Critters forum.
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Reply #914 - Oct 9th, 2022 at 9:23pm
 
Quote:
Evidence for global warming.


Or just believe your lying eyes.

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Reply #915 - Oct 10th, 2022 at 11:16am
 
Dnarever wrote on Oct 9th, 2022 at 9:23pm:
Or just believe your lying eyes.


Now find the evidence for CO2 as the culprit. Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #916 - Oct 10th, 2022 at 11:19am
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Oct 9th, 2022 at 8:07pm:
So homogenisation slightly warmed the past and cooled the present.

There is only a bee’s dick difference between homogenised and raw readings/



So why do it? How big is your bees dick? "There's many a mickle in a muckle".The homogenisation cools the past. Making modern readings seem warmer. Then of course the PRT's add a bonus warming and it seems BoM don't always use 5 minute readings but some instantaneous ones.

But tell us about changing readings for statistical reasons. Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Reply #917 - Oct 10th, 2022 at 12:05pm
 
lee wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 11:16am:
Dnarever wrote on Oct 9th, 2022 at 9:23pm:
Or just believe your lying eyes.


Now find the evidence for CO2 as the culprit. Grin Grin Grin Grin



Indeed. That's always been the task. A task shirked.

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Vladimir: That’s what you think.
 
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Reply #918 - Oct 10th, 2022 at 12:15pm
 
Easy;

IR Spectrum top of atmosophere. That is where IR emitted can reach space.

Look at the gaps at the frequencies for the GHGs.

For christs’ sake, we have KNOWN that CO2, CH4 and water vapor absorb IR since 1851! Look up John Tyndall and Eunice Foote.
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« Last Edit: Oct 10th, 2022 at 1:13pm by Jovial Monk »  

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Reply #919 - Oct 10th, 2022 at 12:17pm
 
That idiots and ignoramuses like the above two feel free to post absolute crap in the Environment board shows a new Mod is desperately needed!
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #920 - Oct 10th, 2022 at 1:36pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 12:17pm:
That idiots and ignoramuses like the above two feel free to post absolute crap
in the Environment board shows a new Mod is desperately needed!



Caution -  ASPD not permitted here.


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Reply #921 - Oct 10th, 2022 at 2:25pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 12:15pm:
Easy;

IR Spectrum top of atmosophere. That is where IR emitted can reach space.

Look at the gaps at the frequencies for the GHGs.

For christs’ sake, we have KNOWN that CO2, CH4 and water vapor absorb IR since 1851! Look up John Tyndall and Eunice Foote.



'ello, 'ello, 'ello? Watssis then?

CO2 atmospheric concentration 400 parts per million ( of with anthropogenic CO2 is a small part, perhaps a quarter at most, say, 100 parts per million)

Methane (ch4) 1800 parts per million

Water vaporise 25,000-40,000 parts per million

And that's just 3 elements of a very complex system. All other elements are ignored or subordinated to anthropogenic CO2 at 100 ppm.  Anthropogenic CO2 is the Sauron of global climate.

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« Last Edit: Oct 10th, 2022 at 3:33pm by Frank »  

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Reply #922 - Oct 10th, 2022 at 3:16pm
 
In the Red corner we have lee, booby and frank and the rest of the Deniers.

In the Blue corner we have the US Dept of Defence.  I wonder which one to take notice of?

...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #923 - Oct 10th, 2022 at 3:21pm
 
Meanwhile, in Australia ...


Defence ‘acutely aware’ of risks posed by climate change: ADF chief


25 Feb 2022|Brendan Nicholson

"Defence has a key role to play supporting the government’s climate and disaster resilience agenda by integrating climate risk into the planning and conduct of its activities and operations, says Australian Defence Force chief Angus Campbell."


but lee and frank do not agree!

I wonder which side I will listen to?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #924 - Oct 10th, 2022 at 3:45pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 1:36pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 12:17pm:
That idiots and ignoramuses like the above two feel free to post absolute crap
in the Environment board shows a new Mod is desperately needed!



Caution -  ASPD not permitted here.




What are YOU doing here then, psychopath and blackmailer?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #925 - Oct 10th, 2022 at 3:46pm
 
Frank wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 2:25pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 12:15pm:
Easy;

IR Spectrum top of atmosophere. That is where IR emitted can reach space.

Look at the gaps at the frequencies for the GHGs.

For christs’ sake, we have KNOWN that CO2, CH4 and water vapor absorb IR since 1851! Look up John Tyndall and Eunice Foote.



'ello, 'ello, 'ello? Watssis then?

CO2 atmospheric concentration 400 parts per million ( of with anthropogenic CO2 is a small part, perhaps a quarter at most, say, 100 parts per million)

Methane (ch4) 1800 parts per million

Water vaporise 25,000-40,000 parts per million

And that's just 3 elements of a very complex system. All other elements are ignored or subordinated to anthropogenic CO2 at 100 ppm.  Anthropogenic CO2 is the Sauron of global climate.



So you couldn’t understand my graph. Color me unsurprised.

LOOK at the graph—where is the biggest hole in the IR spectrum TOA?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #926 - Oct 10th, 2022 at 3:51pm
 
CO2 in 1880: 280ppm

CO2 in 2022: 415ppm (https://www.co2.earth/daily-co2)

Increase = (415 -280) * 100/280 = 48.2% increase.

About 33% of atmospheric CO2 is anthropogenic.


This means more CO2 in the very cold, dry outer layers of the atmosphere. These molecules emit the IR that reaches space. Not much IR is emitted from very cold, sparse molecules so more and more IR is retained in atmosphere and oceans.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #927 - Oct 10th, 2022 at 4:03pm
 
Climate change policy statement

April 2021


CPA Australia recognises the overwhelming scientific evidence of climate change and the urgency of international and national action to achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2050.

Climate change presents profound consequences for environmental, economic and social sustainability and stability, and creates vulnerabilities in many other areas, such as health.

The treatment of environmental risks demands long-term, coherent and coordinated responses from governments, businesses, investors and others.

Policy responses must be timely and should share the burden of transition and adaptation fairly.

Accounting is embedded in economic and market systems and cannot be viewed in isolation from the natural environment.

The accounting profession has an important role to play in shaping environmentally sensitive business and economic policies.

Call to action on climate change


CPA Australia has joined many of the world’s largest professional accounting organisations committing to a call to action in response to climate change. Read more about Accounting for Sustainability
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #928 - Oct 10th, 2022 at 4:06pm
 
City of Sydney


Environmental action
Energy and climate change


There’s plenty we can do individually and collectively to stay globally competitive and reduce the impacts of climate change on Sydney and the wider world.

Why we’re doing this

Climate change is the most serious environmental challenge that human beings have faced. It is the defining issue of our time.

Globally, the largest contributor to climate change is the burning of fossil fuels for energy. Burning these fuels releases emissions that create a greenhouse effect in the atmosphere. This traps increasing levels of solar heat and causes warming. An energy transition to renewable energy is already well underway. To avert the worst consequences of climate change, we need to accelerate this transition.

That’s why we're pursuing ambitious but achievable goals of our own as part of our climate emergency response. Our vision is for a resilient, sustainable Sydney that remains one of the world’s most vibrant and liveable cities for decades to come.

Our environmental strategy 2021-2025 sets these targets for our area:

    70% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2030 from 2006 baseline
    net zero emissions by 2035
    50% of electricity demand met by renewable sources by 2030.

The benefits of achieving these targets are large and wide-ranging and will have a positive impact internationally as well as locally. In our area, we can look to cleaner air, a stronger economy and a healthier population.

Globally, a general move towards a more sustainable way of living can help to avoid the destabilisation of communities, extinction of species and reduce the regularity of catastrophic weather events.

We’ve gathered information about our ongoing emissions reductions initiatives, so you can see what we’re doing. There’s information on how you can take climate action too.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #929 - Oct 10th, 2022 at 4:37pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 3:45pm:
Bobby. wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 1:36pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 12:17pm:
That idiots and ignoramuses like the above two feel free to post absolute crap
in the Environment board shows a new Mod is desperately needed!



Caution -  ASPD not permitted here.




What are YOU doing here then, psychopath and blackmailer?



Final warning after days of ASPD.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #930 - Oct 10th, 2022 at 4:49pm
 
Does anyone else think it is obscene that Bobby is able to ban people?

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Reply #931 - Oct 10th, 2022 at 4:51pm
 
random wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 4:49pm:
Does anyone else think it is obscene that Bobby is able to ban people?




If you don't like it in this MRB - cease posting.
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Reply #932 - Oct 10th, 2022 at 4:54pm
 
random wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 4:49pm:
Does anyone else think it is obscene that Bobby is able to ban people?




Oh a random obscenity. Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #933 - Oct 10th, 2022 at 5:02pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 4:51pm:
random wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 4:49pm:
Does anyone else think it is obscene that Bobby is able to ban people?




If you don't like it in this MRB - cease posting.


Imagine, just imagine.  A Climate Change Denier in charge of the Environment board!

Imagine someone who falls for a bullshitter on youtube forecasting an Ice Age, in charge of deciding what is fit and proper content on the Environment board?

Imagine that?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #934 - Oct 10th, 2022 at 5:21pm
 
random wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 5:02pm:
Bobby. wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 4:51pm:
random wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 4:49pm:
Does anyone else think it is obscene that Bobby is able to ban people?




If you don't like it in this MRB - cease posting.


Imagine, just imagine.  A Climate Change Denier in charge of the Environment board!

Imagine someone who falls for a bullshitter on youtube forecasting an Ice Age, in charge of deciding what is fit and proper content on the Environment board?

Imagine that?



I am not  a climate change denier.
Stop talking crap.
Post your evidence for global warming or I'll ban you.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #935 - Oct 10th, 2022 at 5:28pm
 
random wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 5:02pm:
A Climate Change Denier in charge of the Environment board!


You mean Bobby believes the climate has never changed? Oh dear. Roll Eyes
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #936 - Oct 10th, 2022 at 6:05pm
 
Quote:
Post your evidence for global warming or I'll ban you.


Pure ASPD.

Bobby, ask FD to make you Mod of Fringe. You are WAY out of your depth in both the science and in moderating this board.
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OzPolitic needs a >real< Environment MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Food MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Health MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Economics MRB now!

Topics in the right MRB!
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #937 - Oct 10th, 2022 at 6:07pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 5:21pm:
random wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 5:02pm:
Bobby. wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 4:51pm:
random wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 4:49pm:
Does anyone else think it is obscene that Bobby is able to ban people?




If you don't like it in this MRB - cease posting.


Imagine, just imagine.  A Climate Change Denier in charge of the Environment board!

Imagine someone who falls for a bullshitter on youtube forecasting an Ice Age, in charge of deciding what is fit and proper content on the Environment board?

Imagine that?



I am not  a climate change denier.
Stop talking crap.
Post your evidence for global warming or I'll ban you.


...
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So many farkwits, so little time.
 
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #938 - Oct 10th, 2022 at 6:12pm
 
random wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 6:07pm:
Bobby. wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 5:21pm:
random wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 5:02pm:
Bobby. wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 4:51pm:
random wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 4:49pm:
Does anyone else think it is obscene that Bobby is able to ban people?




If you don't like it in this MRB - cease posting.


Imagine, just imagine.  A Climate Change Denier in charge of the Environment board!

Imagine someone who falls for a bullshitter on youtube forecasting an Ice Age, in charge of deciding what is fit and proper content on the Environment board?

Imagine that?



I am not  a climate change denier.
Stop talking crap.
Post your evidence for global warming or I'll ban you.


https://j.gifs.com/rRxEDB.gif

Cert III in climate science, that is.


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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #939 - Jul 11th, 2023 at 4:35pm
 
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/07/06/world/warmest-june-global-record-climate/inde...


Last month was the planet’s hottest June on record by a huge margin


Rachel Ramirez
By Rachel Ramirez, CNN
Updated 8:37 AM EDT, Thu July 6, 2023


Earth’s temperature was off the charts last month as an extreme heat wave scorched the Southern US and Mexico and ocean warmth soared to alarming levels, a new report shows.

The analysis from the European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service found that last month was the planet’s hottest June by a “substantial margin” above the previous record, which was set in 2019.

The nine hottest Junes have all occurred in the last nine years, according to the agency – evidence the human-caused climate crisis is driving temperatures to unprecedented levels.

Copernicus also found that ocean surface temperatures were the warmest on record for June, driven mainly by exceptional warmth in the North Atlantic and a strengthening El Niño in the Pacific.


Last month was the warmest June on record globally


Northwest Europe experienced record June temperatures, and parts of Canada, United States, Asia, and eastern Australia were much warmer than normal.

Global deviation from average temperature for each June since 1979


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Reply #940 - Jul 11th, 2023 at 5:06pm
 
The hottest June was a product of both past observations and Climate RE-analysis. In other words a meld of observations and a model. Roll Eyes
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Reply #941 - Jul 12th, 2023 at 12:19pm
 
lee wrote on Jul 11th, 2023 at 5:06pm:
The hottest June was a product of both past observations and Climate RE-analysis. In other words a meld of observations and a model. Roll Eyes


Yes, time for you to sell your shares in filthy, poisonous fossil companies.
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Reply #942 - Jul 12th, 2023 at 1:10pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Jul 12th, 2023 at 12:19pm:
Yes, time for you to sell your shares in filthy, poisonous fossil companies.



You are going backwards. The models have not been verified, initialised. They don't prove anything. Dummy. Roll Eyes

And I don't hold shares in any fossil fuel company. I do have shares in my local co-op. Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #943 - Jul 12th, 2023 at 3:13pm
 
lee wrote on Jul 12th, 2023 at 1:10pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on Jul 12th, 2023 at 12:19pm:
Yes, time for you to sell your shares in filthy, poisonous fossil companies.



You are going backwards. The models have not been verified, initialised. They don't prove anything. Dummy. Roll Eyes

And I don't hold shares in any fossil fuel company. I do have shares in my local co-op. Wink


well.... get with the strength, join the transition to clean green, free renewables powered by sun and wind. 
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Reply #944 - Jul 12th, 2023 at 4:29pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Jul 12th, 2023 at 3:13pm:
well.... get with the strength, join the transition to clean green, free renewables powered by sun and wind. 


I will let you fund the HUGE batteries required. Dummy.  Roll Eyes
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #945 - Jul 12th, 2023 at 7:01pm
 

...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #946 - Jul 14th, 2023 at 3:12pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Jul 11th, 2023 at 4:35pm:
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/07/06/world/warmest-june-global-record-climate/inde...


Last month was the planet’s hottest June on record by a huge margin


Rachel Ramirez
By Rachel Ramirez, CNN
Updated 8:37 AM EDT, Thu July 6, 2023


Earth’s temperature was off the charts last month as an extreme heat wave scorched the Southern US and Mexico and ocean warmth soared to alarming levels, a new report shows.

The analysis from the European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service found that last month was the planet’s hottest June by a “substantial margin” above the previous record, which was set in 2019.

The nine hottest Junes have all occurred in the last nine years, according to the agency – evidence the human-caused climate crisis is driving temperatures to unprecedented levels.

Copernicus also found that ocean surface temperatures were the warmest on record for June, driven mainly by exceptional warmth in the North Atlantic and a strengthening El Niño in the Pacific.


Last month was the warmest June on record globally


Northwest Europe experienced record June temperatures, and parts of Canada, United States, Asia, and eastern Australia were much warmer than normal.

Global deviation from average temperature for each June since 1979






...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #947 - Jul 14th, 2023 at 3:55pm
 
Ah the models. Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #948 - Jul 14th, 2023 at 3:59pm
 
lee wrote on Jul 14th, 2023 at 3:55pm:
Ah the models. Wink



Well that's Monk's graph above -
at least I was able to resize it -
he doesn't know how to do that.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #949 - Jul 14th, 2023 at 7:46pm
 
Frank wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 2:25pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 12:15pm:
Easy;

IR Spectrum top of atmosophere. That is where IR emitted can reach space.

Look at the gaps at the frequencies for the GHGs.

For christs’ sake, we have KNOWN that CO2, CH4 and water vapor absorb IR since 1851! Look up John Tyndall and Eunice Foote.



'ello, 'ello, 'ello? Watssis then?

CO2 atmospheric concentration 400 parts per million ( of with anthropogenic CO2 is a small part, perhaps a quarter at most, say, 100 parts per million)

Methane (ch4) 1800 parts per million

Water vaporise 25,000-40,000 parts per million

And that's just 3 elements of a very complex system. All other elements are ignored or subordinated to anthropogenic CO2 at 100 ppm.  Anthropogenic CO2 is the Sauron of global climate.



What are you trying to say, Frank? Are you trying to diminish the role of CO2 based on the listed ppm. BTW you got Methane wrong. It's figure is ppb( parts per billion).

And I'm not sure where you got your figure for water vapour from. It's usually expressed as a percentage of total atmospheric gases and it's highly variable over time and space. It's not considered a driver of climate change but rather a feedback mechanism.

The fact is that CO2, by all scientific measures, represents around 75% of the positive radiative forcing. Followed by methane at 20% and Nitric Oxide at 6%. The remaining percentage is taken up by aerosols and halocarbons, ozone and land use.

CO2  from human activities is responsible for approximately 75% of the additional energy trapped in the Earth's atmosphere.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #950 - Jul 14th, 2023 at 8:47pm
 
Linus wrote on Jul 14th, 2023 at 7:46pm:
Frank wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 2:25pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 12:15pm:
Easy;

IR Spectrum top of atmosophere. That is where IR emitted can reach space.

Look at the gaps at the frequencies for the GHGs.

For christs’ sake, we have KNOWN that CO2, CH4 and water vapor absorb IR since 1851! Look up John Tyndall and Eunice Foote.



'ello, 'ello, 'ello? Watssis then?

CO2 atmospheric concentration 400 parts per million ( of with anthropogenic CO2 is a small part, perhaps a quarter at most, say, 100 parts per million)

Methane (ch4) 1800 parts per million

Water vaporise 25,000-40,000 parts per million

And that's just 3 elements of a very complex system. All other elements are ignored or subordinated to anthropogenic CO2 at 100 ppm.  Anthropogenic CO2 is the Sauron of global climate.



What are you trying to say, Frank? Are you trying to diminish the role of CO2 based on the listed ppm. BTW you got Methane wrong. It's figure is ppb( parts per billion).

And I'm not sure where you got your figure for water vapour from. It's usually expressed as a percentage of total atmospheric gases and it's highly variable over time and space. It's not considered a driver of climate change but rather a feedback mechanism.

The fact is that CO2, by all scientific measures, represents around 75% of the positive radiative forcing. Followed by methane at 20% and Nitric Oxide at 6%. The remaining percentage is taken up by aerosols and halocarbons, ozone and land use.

CO2  from human activities is responsible for approximately 75% of the additional energy trapped in the Earth's atmosphere.


Yeah, I do thing AGW is a total load of nonsense.
I think your figures and reasoning are nonsense. Selective, tendentious, totally unscientific, totally political.

I dont accept that human CO2 is changing the climate. I have never seen any evidence for it. More to the point, nor have you.

Conjecture and politics. Not science.


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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #951 - Jul 14th, 2023 at 9:01pm
 

...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #952 - Jul 14th, 2023 at 9:52pm
 
Frank wrote on Jul 14th, 2023 at 8:47pm:
Linus wrote on Jul 14th, 2023 at 7:46pm:
Frank wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 2:25pm:
Jovial Monk wrote on Oct 10th, 2022 at 12:15pm:
Easy;

IR Spectrum top of atmosophere. That is where IR emitted can reach space.

Look at the gaps at the frequencies for the GHGs.

For christs’ sake, we have KNOWN that CO2, CH4 and water vapor absorb IR since 1851! Look up John Tyndall and Eunice Foote.



'ello, 'ello, 'ello? Watssis then?

CO2 atmospheric concentration 400 parts per million ( of with anthropogenic CO2 is a small part, perhaps a quarter at most, say, 100 parts per million)

Methane (ch4) 1800 parts per million

Water vaporise 25,000-40,000 parts per million

And that's just 3 elements of a very complex system. All other elements are ignored or subordinated to anthropogenic CO2 at 100 ppm.  Anthropogenic CO2 is the Sauron of global climate.



What are you trying to say, Frank? Are you trying to diminish the role of CO2 based on the listed ppm. BTW you got Methane wrong. It's figure is ppb( parts per billion).

And I'm not sure where you got your figure for water vapour from. It's usually expressed as a percentage of total atmospheric gases and it's highly variable over time and space. It's not considered a driver of climate change but rather a feedback mechanism.

The fact is that CO2, by all scientific measures, represents around 75% of the positive radiative forcing. Followed by methane at 20% and Nitric Oxide at 6%. The remaining percentage is taken up by aerosols and halocarbons, ozone and land use.

CO2  from human activities is responsible for approximately 75% of the additional energy trapped in the Earth's atmosphere.


Yeah, I do thing AGW is a total load of nonsense.
I think your figures and reasoning are nonsense. Selective, tendentious, totally unscientific, totally political.

I dont accept that human CO2 is changing the climate. I have never seen any evidence for it. More to the point, nor have you.

Conjecture and politics. Not science.




Where's the politics? I'm giving you quantitative data based on climate science. Your dismissal is just wilful ignorance with a side of word salad.  Roll Eyes  Grin
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Reply #953 - Jul 14th, 2023 at 10:08pm
 
Co2 does not control the climate.


Take it from there, bozo.

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Reply #954 - Jul 15th, 2023 at 1:57pm
 
Linus wrote on Jul 14th, 2023 at 7:46pm:
The fact is that CO2, by all scientific measures, represents around 75% of the positive radiative forcing. Followed by methane at 20% and Nitric Oxide at 6%. The remaining percentage is taken up by aerosols and halocarbons, ozone and land use.


Link?
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #955 - Jul 16th, 2023 at 8:32am
 
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_European_heat_waves

2023 European heat waves



From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2023 European heat wavesType      Heat wave


    Austria Belgium France Germany Greece Ireland Italy Slovenia Spain Türkiye United Kingdom

Start date      June 2023
End date      Ongoing
Losses
Deaths      1 (Italy)

In 2023, Europe has been affected by heat waves. The most significant of these so far has been the ongoing named heat wave, Heatwave Cerberus which is expected to bring the hottest temperatures ever recorded in Europe.

According to the British Met Office, 2023 is expected to have more intense heatwaves than those experienced in 2022.[1] In June, the European Environment Agency warned that schools and hospitals were at risk of high temperatures.[2]
Background
On 1 January 2023, at least eight European countries recorded their warmest January day ever: Liechtenstein, the Czech Republic, Poland, the Netherlands, Belarus, Lithuania, Denmark and Latvia.[3] This was attributed to climate change
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Reply #956 - Jul 16th, 2023 at 8:33am
 
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/death-valley-could-set-a-world-record...


Death Valley Could Set a World Record Hot Temperature


The temperature in Death Valley could rise above 130 degrees Fahrenheit this weekend. If it does, it would set a record for the hottest temperature ever reliably measured on Earth

    By Andrea Thompson on July 14, 2023
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Reply #957 - Jul 16th, 2023 at 8:46am
 
https://edition.cnn.com/travel/article/italy-health-warning-europe-heatwave-satu...


Italy issues ‘extreme’ health warning for 16 cities as heat wave grips Europe


Al Goodman

By Sharon Braithwaite, Al Goodman and Barbie Latza Nadeau, CNN

Updated 3:07 PM EDT, Sat July 15, 2023


NN  —

Italian authorities have issued an “extreme” health risk for 16 cities including Rome and Florence this weekend as a heat wave that is baking Europe threatens to bring record temperatures.

Climate scientists at the European Space Agency (ESA) say temperatures could reach 48 degrees Celsius (118.4 degrees Fahrenheit) on the islands of Sicily and Sardinia, “potentially the hottest temperatures ever recorded in Europe.”

Rome could get as hot as 44 degrees Celsius (111 degrees Fahrenheit).

Italian authorities have issued the second-highest heat warning to nine other cities. The country’s health ministry is advising the public to stay hydrated, eat lighter meals and avoid direct sunlight between 11 a.m. and 6 p.m.

The ESA warned that Europe’s heat wave has only just begun with Spain, France, Germany and Poland expected to see extreme weather, just as the continent welcomes what is expected to be a record-breaking number of tourists coming for the first time since the Covid-19 pandemic.


Greece shut the Acropolis of Athens for a second straight day Saturday amid fierce temperatures. Local police helped a tourist who got into difficulty on Friday.

There is particular concern over those working outdoors after a 44-year-old construction worker in Italy died after collapsing on a roadside earlier in the week.

Authorities in Spain warned the heat wave is not just hitting the usual frying pan areas in the south, but also affecting the country’s typically cooler north.

In the south, temperatures in the cities of Seville, Cordoba and Granada have reached 40 degrees Celsius, or 104 degrees Fahrenheit.

Spain’s national weather service says it’s also sizzling on Spain’s resort island of Mallorca in the Mediterranean Sea with highs of 36 degrees Celsius, or 97 degrees Fahrenheit.

Meanwhile, even the normally mild region of Navarra in the north is seeing up to 40 degrees Celsius.

A wildfire that broke out on La Palma Island in Spain’s Canary Islands burned several homes and forced the evacuation of 500 people, the Canary Islands regional government tweeted Saturday morning.
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Reply #958 - Jul 17th, 2023 at 3:40pm
 
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/californias-death-valley-sizzles-near-record...


California’s Death Valley sizzles near record temperatures
as brutal heat wave continues



Nation Jul 16, 2023 5:32 PM EDT
...



Long the hottest place on Earth, Death Valley put a sizzling exclamation point Sunday on a record warm summer that is baking nearly the entire globe by flirting with some of the hottest temperatures ever recorded, meteorologists said.

Temperatures in Death Valley, which runs along part of central California’s border with Nevada, were forecast to reach 128 degrees (53.33 degrees Celsius) on Sunday at the aptly named Furnace Creek, the National Weather Service said.

The hottest temperature ever recorded was 134 degrees (56.67 degrees Celsius) in July 1913 at Furnace Creek, said Randy Ceverny of the World Meteorological Organization, the body recognized as keeper of world records. Temperatures at or above 130 degrees (54.44 degrees Celsius) have only been recorded on Earth a handful of times, mostly in Death Valley.

“With global warming, such temperatures are becoming more and more likely to occur,” Ceverny, the World Meteorological Organization’s records coordinator, said in an email. “Long-term: Global warming is causing higher and more frequent temperature extremes.
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Reply #959 - Jul 17th, 2023 at 3:55pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Jul 17th, 2023 at 3:40pm:
Ceverny, the World Meteorological Organization’s records coordinator, said in an email. “Long-term: Global warming is causing higher and more frequent temperature extremes.


But still can't break the 1913 record.
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Reply #960 - Jul 17th, 2023 at 4:10pm
 
lee wrote on Jul 17th, 2023 at 3:55pm:
Bobby. wrote on Jul 17th, 2023 at 3:40pm:
Ceverny, the World Meteorological Organization’s records coordinator, said in an email. “Long-term: Global warming is causing higher and more frequent temperature extremes.


But still can't break the 1913 record.



I noticed that.   Undecided
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Reply #961 - Jul 17th, 2023 at 4:49pm
 
How about the simultaneous record flooding, and record heat in the entire northern hemispere, and record high ocean temps, all at the same time?

Don't shoot me, I'm just reporting what I heard on the radio today.
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Reply #962 - Jul 17th, 2023 at 5:22pm
 
repeat:

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation/californias-death-valley-sizzles-near-record...


California’s Death Valley sizzles near record temperatures
as brutal heat wave continues



Nation Jul 16, 2023 5:32 PM EDT
...



Long the hottest place on Earth, Death Valley put a sizzling exclamation point Sunday on a record warm summer that is baking nearly the entire globe by flirting with some of the hottest temperatures ever recorded, meteorologists said.

Temperatures in Death Valley, which runs along part of central California’s border with Nevada, were forecast to reach 128 degrees (53.33 degrees Celsius) on Sunday at the aptly named Furnace Creek, the National Weather Service said.

The hottest temperature ever recorded was 134 degrees (56.67 degrees Celsius) in July 1913 at Furnace Creek, said Randy Ceverny of the World Meteorological Organization, the body recognized as keeper of world records. Temperatures at or above 130 degrees (54.44 degrees Celsius) have only been recorded on Earth a handful of times, mostly in Death Valley.

“With global warming, such temperatures are becoming more and more likely to occur,” Ceverny, the World Meteorological Organization’s records coordinator, said in an email. “Long-term: Global warming is causing higher and more frequent temperature extremes.
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Reply #963 - Jul 17th, 2023 at 7:04pm
 
Linus wrote on Jul 14th, 2023 at 7:46pm:
The fact is that CO2, by all scientific measures, represents around 75% of the positive radiative forcing.



I have been looking at where this came from as Linus has gone missing. I found this -

"A companion study led by GISS co-author Gavin Schmidt that has been accepted for publication in the Journal of Geophysical Research shows that carbon dioxide accounts for about 20 percent of the greenhouse effect, water vapor and clouds together account for 75 percent, and minor gases and aerosols make up the remaining five percent. However, it is the 25 percent non-condensing greenhouse gas component, which includes carbon dioxide, that is the key factor in sustaining Earth’s greenhouse effect. By this accounting, carbon dioxide is responsible for 80 percent of the radiative forcing that sustains the Earth’s greenhouse effect.

The climate forcing experiment described in Science was simple in design and concept -- all of the non-condensing greenhouse gases and aerosols were zeroed out, and the global climate model was run forward in time to see what would happen to the greenhouse effect. "

https://www.nasa.gov/topics/earth/features/co2-temperature.html

So the results of a climate model. Models are not science. Is Linus a JM sock? Wink
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Reply #964 - Jul 17th, 2023 at 7:42pm
 
Question:
1. Are we all on board that Global Warming is a reality?
2. Are we all on board that Global Warming is significantly cause by man's activities?

Deniers, please explain why you are not on board with this.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #965 - Jul 17th, 2023 at 7:49pm
 
Super Nova wrote on Jul 17th, 2023 at 7:42pm:
Question:
1. Are we all on board that Global Warming is a reality?
2. Are we all on board that Global Warming is significantly cause by man's activities?

Deniers, please explain why you are not on board with this.



Well - I can't see we can put billions of tons of CO2 into the atmosphere
and not cause something to change.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #966 - Jul 17th, 2023 at 7:53pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Jul 17th, 2023 at 7:49pm:
Super Nova wrote on Jul 17th, 2023 at 7:42pm:
Question:
1. Are we all on board that Global Warming is a reality?
2. Are we all on board that Global Warming is significantly cause by man's activities?

Deniers, please explain why you are not on board with this.



Well - I can't see we can put billions of tons of CO2 into the atmosphere
and not cause something to change.


Yes.
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Reply #967 - Jul 17th, 2023 at 8:02pm
 
Super Nova wrote on Jul 17th, 2023 at 7:53pm:
Bobby. wrote on Jul 17th, 2023 at 7:49pm:
Super Nova wrote on Jul 17th, 2023 at 7:42pm:
Question:
1. Are we all on board that Global Warming is a reality?
2. Are we all on board that Global Warming is significantly cause by man's activities?

Deniers, please explain why you are not on board with this.



Well - I can't see we can put billions of tons of CO2 into the atmosphere
and not cause something to change.


Yes.



That's why I'm disappointed that molten salt Thorium reactors
have not taken off yet:

https://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1519823686/0#0
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #968 - Jul 17th, 2023 at 9:43pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Jul 17th, 2023 at 8:02pm:
Super Nova wrote on Jul 17th, 2023 at 7:53pm:
Bobby. wrote on Jul 17th, 2023 at 7:49pm:
Super Nova wrote on Jul 17th, 2023 at 7:42pm:
Question:
1. Are we all on board that Global Warming is a reality?
2. Are we all on board that Global Warming is significantly cause by man's activities?

Deniers, please explain why you are not on board with this.



Well - I can't see we can put billions of tons of CO2 into the atmosphere
and not cause something to change.


Yes.



That's why I'm disappointed that molten salt Thorium reactors
have not taken off yet:

https://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1519823686/0#0


I read recently that China has just commissioned its first  (and the world's first?)  thorium or molten-salt portable nuclear reactor, I didn't note the details. 

If so, we are on the way.
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Reply #969 - Jul 18th, 2023 at 11:02am
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Jul 17th, 2023 at 9:43pm:
Bobby. wrote on Jul 17th, 2023 at 8:02pm:
Super Nova wrote on Jul 17th, 2023 at 7:53pm:
Bobby. wrote on Jul 17th, 2023 at 7:49pm:
Super Nova wrote on Jul 17th, 2023 at 7:42pm:
Question:
1. Are we all on board that Global Warming is a reality?
2. Are we all on board that Global Warming is significantly cause by man's activities?

Deniers, please explain why you are not on board with this.



Well - I can't see we can put billions of tons of CO2 into the atmosphere
and not cause something to change.


Yes.



That's why I'm disappointed that molten salt Thorium reactors
have not taken off yet:

https://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1519823686/0#0


I read recently that China has just commissioned its first  (and the world's first?)  thorium or molten-salt portable nuclear reactor, I didn't note the details. 

If so, we are on the way.



I hope so -
there are some major technical problems to overcome -
hopefully the Chinese have worked out the answers.
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Reply #970 - Jul 18th, 2023 at 8:26pm
 
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Reply #971 - Jul 18th, 2023 at 9:17pm
 
https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-news/global-heat-wave-weather-temperatures-07...


Live Updates

Intense heat waves, scorching temperatures and extreme weather in Europe, US and Asia


By Helen Regan, Adam Renton, Christian Edwards and Lauren Said-Moorhouse, CNN
Updated 7:06 a.m. ET, July 18, 2023



What we're covering

    Blisteringly high temperatures are being reported across the world, breaking records on multiple continents — the latest in a trend caused by the climate crisis. The first week of July was the hottest week on record, data shows.
    In the United States, millions of people in the Southwest and South face dangerously high temperatures. Some places, like Texas and Arizona, have endured a weekslong heat streak.
    The heat has primed the land for fires in places like Spain and Greece. Smoke from wildfires in Canada is triggering unhealthy air warnings across the northern tier of the US.
    Meanwhile, torrential rains have inundated parts of Japan, China, South Korea and India, upending the lives of millions and causing flash floods, landslides and power cuts.
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Reply #972 - Jul 23rd, 2023 at 12:37pm
 
More on Star from NOAA-



Quote:
A new version of the NOAA Center for Satellite Applications and Research (STAR) mid-tropospheric layer temperature time series was developed

    Instrument recalibration has removed spurious warming drifts in observations from NOAA-11 to NOAA-14 and spurious cooling drifts in NOAA-15

    The new record yields a trend of 0.14 K/decade during 1979–2021 with an even greater rate of warming after the year 2002 (0.22 K/decade)


https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2022JD037472

It appears that RemSS may have finally got it right because they were always over 0.23C/decade. Wink

As to the latest RemSS recent -

...


That looks really scary. Wink

A comparison of UAH vs RemSS from RemSS -

...

Edit: apparently CO2 can lie dormant. Wink
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Reply #973 - Jul 23rd, 2023 at 1:49pm
 
All is grist to the mill.

CO2 has been higher in the past - but didn't kill the coral because of "acidification". It was also warmer in the past and that didn't kill coral either.

According to NOAA we have passed 1.5C.

https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/climate-at-a-glance/global/time-seri...

According to Berkeley Earth Europe has passed 2.0C

...

or here

...
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Reply #974 - Jul 24th, 2023 at 1:01pm
 
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/07/23/economy/extreme-heat-economic-impact/index.ht...


‘It comes up on you fast:’ Scorching heat is crushing American businesses



By Alicia Wallace, CNN
Updated 9:39 PM EDT, Sun July 23, 2023

...


In the dead of night, the temperature remains in the triple digits.

As Phoenix and a large chunk of the United States bake under a record heat wave, the massive swath of extreme heat is not only taking a toll on millions of Americans, it’s also driving up costs for businesses and putting pressure on the economy.



$100 billion productivity drain


While the true economic impact has yet to be tabulated for this weather event — the nature of excessive heat, its varying effects and sizable reach make that a tall order — recent studies have shown that extreme heat could cost the United States $100 billion annually from the productivity loss alone. If left unchecked, it could sap away one-sixth of global economic activity by the year 2100.

“The recent heat waves and scorching summer temperatures demonstrate the economic cost of heat stress,” Chris Lafakis, Moody’s Analytics’ director of economic research, wrote in an emailed response to a CNN query. “Heat waves can cause mortality and produce disruptions in business continuity. Heat waves can also stress regional power grids, driving up the cost and availability of space cooling.”


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Reply #975 - Jul 25th, 2023 at 9:28pm
 
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/07/25/world/heat-wave-climate-change-us-china-europ...

Heat waves in US and Europe would have been
‘virtually impossible’ without climate change, new report finds


By Laura Paddison, CNN
Updated 5:32 AM EDT, Tue July 25, 2023


Extreme heat waves across three continents this month were made significantly more likely by the human-caused climate crisis, according to a new analysis released Tuesday as temperatures are still blazing in parts of the Northern Hemisphere.

The “heat hell” searing parts of the United States and southern Europe would have been “virtually impossible” without climate change, while climate change made China’s heat wave at least 50 times more likely, according to a rapid attribution analysis from the World Weather Attribution initiative.

The WWA, a group of international scientists who assess the role of climate change in extreme weather events, spent a week analyzing the dangerous heat waves that have swept the Northern Hemisphere in July, destroying crops and livestock, triggering wildfires, exacerbating water stress and killing people across three continents.
VIDEO THUMBNAIL Extreme heat explainer 1


Temperatures in Death Valley reached 128 degrees Fahrenheit (53.3 Celsius) this month and the city of Phoenix has experienced a record-smashing 25 consecutive days of temperatures hotter than 110 degrees Fahrenheit (43.3 Celsius).

China posted an all-time national high temperature at 52.2 degrees Celsius (126 Fahrenheit) earlier this month. And in Europe, local records were broken across parts of Spain and Italy as temperatures edged towards Europe’s all-time record of 48.8 degrees Celsius (119.8 Fahrenheit).

To understand the extent to which the climate crisis affected the likelihood and intensity of this July’s extreme heat, the WWA team examined weather data and computer models to compare the world’s current climate – which is around 1.2 degrees Celsius warmer than the pre-industrial era – with the climate of the past.

They found that “the role of climate change is absolutely overwhelming,
said Friederike Otto, a senior lecturer in climate science at the Grantham Institute for Climate Change and the Environment at Imperial College London.




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Reply #976 - Jul 25th, 2023 at 9:38pm
 
Ah the natural event that causes warming and the natural event that causes cooling are still working. Wink
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Reply #977 - Jul 28th, 2023 at 7:42am
 
https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-66322608


Climate change: July set to be world's warmest month on record


    Published

3 hours ago


By Matt McGrath & Mark Poynting
BBC News Climate & Science

Amid blistering heatwaves, July is "virtually certain" to be the world's warmest month on record, say scientists.

So hot has the month been to date that researchers are confident the 2019 record will be broken, even with several days to go.

UN chief Antonio Guterres said the planet is entering an "era of global boiling".

Scientists agree the extra heat is mainly linked to fossil fuel use.

US President Joe Biden described climate change as an "existential threat" and that no one "can deny the impact of climate change anymore".

Some experts believe that July might well be the warmest month in the past 120,000 years.

    Will the Gulf Stream really collapse by 2025?
    Greta Thunberg fined over Swedish climate protest
    July heat near 'impossible' without climate change

Researchers are not surprised that July is set to break the current record for the warmest month as there have been plenty of indications in recent weeks that the world is seeing far greater levels of heating.

The world's warmest day occurred on July 6, and the hottest 23 days ever recorded were all this month, according to the Copernicus Climate Change Service.
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Reply #978 - Jul 28th, 2023 at 9:37am
 
So, idiot, you have had some time to work things out:

Why is AGW science mostly quantum mechanics?
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Reply #979 - Jul 28th, 2023 at 11:31am
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Jul 28th, 2023 at 9:37am:
So, idiot, you have had some time to work things out:

Why is AGW science mostly quantum mechanics?



Warning from moderator -
abuse is not allowed in this MRB.
Read the rules

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Reply #980 - Jul 28th, 2023 at 11:44am
 
You have left abuse of me stand, hypocrite.

You are just trying to avoid answering my question.
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Reply #981 - Jul 28th, 2023 at 12:06pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Jul 28th, 2023 at 11:44am:
You have left abuse of me stand, hypocrite.

You are just trying to avoid answering my question.



Rules:
https://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1612043899

Quote:
Don't use this forum - this MRB - to denigrate me -
or anyone else.
I reserve the right to delete, or modify any post here
if it contains abuse.
Abuse is not allowed here.

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Reply #982 - Jul 28th, 2023 at 12:21pm
 
Care to answer my question now, finally?

If you can’t, just say so.
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Reply #983 - Jul 28th, 2023 at 12:23pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Jul 28th, 2023 at 12:21pm:
Care to answer my question now, finally?

If you can’t, just say so.



No - it's your theory - you tell us why?

AGW science is mostly quantum mechanics?
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Reply #984 - Jul 28th, 2023 at 12:42pm
 
It is not my theory, it is fact!

Give your description of AGW.
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Reply #985 - Jul 28th, 2023 at 1:19pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Jul 28th, 2023 at 12:42pm:
It is not my theory, it is fact!


How much does the theory state that temperatures WILL warm from doubling of CO2?

Which scientific paper has said that they have found the human fingerprint on Global Warming? They don't quote it in the IPCC reports. Roll Eyes
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Reply #986 - Jul 28th, 2023 at 4:47pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Jul 28th, 2023 at 12:42pm:
It is not my theory, it is fact!

Give your description of AGW.



Don't tell me what to do.
In this MRB I tell you what to do.
I don't ask you - I tell you.

Now explain your statement:

AGW science is mostly quantum mechanics


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Reply #987 - Jul 28th, 2023 at 9:37pm
 
Don’t you know, Booby? Wow, such ignorance!
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Reply #988 - Jul 29th, 2023 at 9:32am
 
Climate change hits the shores of Greece as large groups of grateful climate scientists make their way into the cities.

https://twitter.com/UltraDane/status/1685039151723511811


Dutch farmer finds climate change in his field

https://twitter.com/UltraDane/status/1684749410046181376
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Reply #989 - Jul 30th, 2023 at 2:52pm
 
I've hidden the mini ice age thread for now -

that might slow Monk down.   Undecided

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Reply #990 - Jul 30th, 2023 at 4:15pm
 
Have you thought at all how AGW science = quantum mechanics?

You were rude enough to imply I was mad or drunk when I mentioned that.

I am serious.

What happens when a photon of the right wavelength hits an atom?
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Reply #991 - Jul 30th, 2023 at 4:22pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Jul 30th, 2023 at 4:15pm:
Have you thought at all how AGW science = quantum mechanics?

You were rude enough to imply I was mad or drunk when I mentioned that.

I am serious.

What happens when a photon of the right wavelength hits an atom?



Do you suffer from bipolar disorder?

https://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1617167598/588#588

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Reply #992 - Jul 30th, 2023 at 4:55pm
 
Did you see where John Clauser gave a talk to the Quantum Korea, but was cancelled by the IMF?
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Reply #993 - Jul 31st, 2023 at 1:37pm
 
Frank wrote on Jul 29th, 2023 at 9:32am:
Climate change hits the shores of Greece as large groups of grateful climate scientists make their way into the cities.


"Most fires in Greece were started ‘by human hand’, government says"

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jul/28/greece-fires-arsonists-extreme-wea...

But still there are some to always blame climate change (AGW). Roll Eyes
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Reply #994 - Aug 1st, 2023 at 12:45am
 
Australian geologist, Ian Plimer, blows the UN's "human-induced climate catastrophe" fear mongering completely out of the water:

"Every single prediction they've ever made has been wrong... They still haven't, after 30 years, shown us that human emissions [of CO2] drive global warming."

"There's been a relentless campaign of propaganda for 30 years, and the basics haven't been shown."

Source: https://youtube.com/watch?v=8ic-iqWm9ng

https://twitter.com/wideawake_media/status/1685218992292556800
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Reply #995 - Aug 2nd, 2023 at 9:35pm
 
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/08/02/americas/mexico-cloud-seeding-drought-rain-cl...

Drought-stricken Mexico is turning to a controversial technology to make it rain


By Laura Paddison, CNN
Updated 6:00 AM EDT, Wed August 2, 2023



As an extreme drought grips Mexico, leading to crop losses, a lack of water and higher food prices, the government is trying to bring desperately-needed rain by turning to a controversial technology: cloud seeding.

In July, the country kicked off the latest phase of a cloud seeding project that aims to artificially stimulate rainfall. It is targeting 62 municipalities clustered in its north and northeast, with the aim of “combating the effects of drought and contributing to the recharge of aquifers,” according to a statement from the Ministry of Agriculture.

Cloud seeding is a technology first discovered in the 1940s. Since then, it has been used in around 50 countries, including in the United States and China. Mexico has been experimenting with weather modification for more than seven decades.

However, some scientists remain very cautious about the effectiveness of cloud seeding and warn that it is not a solution to drought.

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Reply #996 - Aug 3rd, 2023 at 12:44pm
 
Oh dear. Poor JM any warming is AGW. Of course according to the IPCC before about mid last century CO2 was to low to cause any warming, but JM reckons AGW all the way back to pre-industrial (which was during the LIA). The world started to industrialise in the remnants of the LIA. Wink

So now we know DOKTOR  Strong is an alarmist as well. Apparently he doesn't know that a natural event (El Nino) causes warming. Wink
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Reply #997 - Aug 5th, 2023 at 2:58pm
 
Meanwhile much ado about nothing. The guardian (and others) proclaim the highest SST EVAH. Unfortunately for them it comes from "the Copernicus climate modelling service."

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/aug/04/oceans-hit-highest-ever-reco...

Climate science where the models defeat the observations. Roll Eyes
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Reply #998 - Jul 31st, 2025 at 8:01pm
 
After suffering the coldest day of the year so far, Sydney is expected to experience another wet and wintry day on Thursday.

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Reply #999 - Jul 31st, 2025 at 8:59pm
 
Frank wrote on Jul 31st, 2025 at 8:01pm:
After suffering the coldest day of the year so far, Sydney is expected to experience another wet and wintry day on Thursday.




Yes - your top temperature in Sydney was 12.5 degrees C yesterday:

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/dwo/202507/html/IDCJDW2124.202507.shtml

Meanwhile Melbourne was the same low temp and we're expecting a low of 4 degrees overnight:

http://www.bom.gov.au/vic/forecasts/melbourne.shtml



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Reply #1000 - Jul 31st, 2025 at 11:09pm
 

Wow - it's gonna be 3 degrees C in Hobart overnight and a lot colder where Monk is - inland.

http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/hobart.shtml

I hope Socks - his tropical dog - will be warm?



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Reply #1001 - Aug 1st, 2025 at 12:23am
 

Google AI:


Yes, greyhounds get cold easily in the winter due to their thin skin, low body fat, and short coat. They are more susceptible to the cold than many other dog breeds and may need extra protection, such as coats or sweaters, during colder months.
Here's why greyhounds feel the cold more:

Thin skin:
Greyhounds have thin skin, which provides minimal insulation against the cold.

Low body fat:
They have very little body fat, which is crucial for insulation and retaining body heat.

Short coat:
Their short coat offers little protection against the cold compared to breeds with longer or double coats.

Breeding:
Greyhounds have been bred for speed, and their physiology has adapted to help them cool down quickly after running, making them less efficient at retaining heat in cold weather.

Signs that a greyhound is cold:
Shivering, Holding their paws up, Curling up tightly, Cold ears and paws, and Reluctance to go for walks.

Keeping greyhounds warm in winter:

Coats and sweaters:
Provide a warm coat or sweater when temperatures drop, especially during walks.

Warm bedding:
Ensure they have a warm bed with soft bedding and blankets, and consider a raised bed to keep them off the cold ground.

Indoor temperature:
Maintain a comfortable temperature indoors, especially in their sleeping area.

Avoid wetness:
Protect them from rain and snow, as wet fur can make them even colder.

Short walks:
Limit the duration of walks in cold weather and ensure they don't stay out for too long.

Warm up before exercise:
A warm-up period before exercise is crucial to prepare their muscles for activity.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #1002 - Aug 1st, 2025 at 9:37am
 

Quote:
........  Snow could fall this week in every Australian state and territory except the Northern Territory, according to Weatherzone.

After a weekend of heavy snow in the alpine regions of New South Wales, Victoria, Tasmania and the Australian Capital Territory, a cold air mass has settled over Australia’s south-east. On Thursday, light snow showers were occurring above 1,000 metres.        .........


https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2025/jul/31/snow-predicted-to-fall-in...
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #1003 - Aug 1st, 2025 at 9:41am
 
Sprintcyclist wrote on Aug 1st, 2025 at 9:37am:
Quote:
........  Snow could fall this week in every Australian state and territory except the Northern Territory, according to Weatherzone.

After a weekend of heavy snow in the alpine regions of New South Wales, Victoria, Tasmania and the Australian Capital Territory, a cold air mass has settled over Australia’s south-east. On Thursday, light snow showers were occurring above 1,000 metres.        .........


https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2025/jul/31/snow-predicted-to-fall-in...



Wow that's cold and especially in Tassie.

Poor Monk and his tropical dog.   Shocked
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #1004 - Aug 1st, 2025 at 12:53pm
 
Sprintcyclist wrote on Aug 1st, 2025 at 9:37am:
Quote:
........  Snow could fall this week in every Australian state and territory except the Northern Territory, according to Weatherzone.

After a weekend of heavy snow in the alpine regions of New South Wales, Victoria, Tasmania and the Australian Capital Territory, a cold air mass has settled over Australia’s south-east. On Thursday, light snow showers were occurring above 1,000 metres.        .........


https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2025/jul/31/snow-predicted-to-fall-in...


Oh noes, we need more CO2. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #1005 - Aug 3rd, 2025 at 5:17pm
 
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-08-02/vehicles-stuck-and-people-stranded-with-h...


Wild weather in NSW triggers hundreds of SES calls as
parts of state see deepest snow in 20 years



By Brigitte Murphy and James Paras
ABC New England

Sat 2 Aug


...



In short:
New England North West residents have seen some of the biggest snowfalls in the region, with dozens of warnings in place across the state.

The SES said snow falling in the Northern Tablelands had never been seen at these depths before, with reports of up to 200 vehicles stuck in heavy snowfall.

Emergency services say unusual snow levels were reported at Armidale and Guyra, where falls of up to 50cm were forecast.

The heavy snow left hundreds of cars stranded as the New England North West region received its deepest snow in 20 years.

The SES has also responded to more than 750 calls since the onset of the severe winter weather.

Mr Robinson warned people to proceed with caution on the roads.

"It's so risky, unless you've actually got snow chains, even a dusting of snow can hide the black ice underneath," he said.

"Before you know it, you're sliding and you're not in control of your vehicle."

Over 27,500 homes are still without power

Mr Robinson said the mid-north coast, particularly Kempsey, was "absolutely smashed" by rain and wind.
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #1006 - Aug 3rd, 2025 at 5:55pm
 
But, but ... CO2 theory hypothesis says it will be warmer, colder, more snow, less snow, more precipitation, less precipitation, more extreme weather, less extreme weather, higher winds, slower winds. A cornucopia of alarm, and none falsifiable... so it can't be a science. Wink
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Re: Evidence for global warming.
Reply #1007 - Aug 3rd, 2025 at 5:57pm
 
lee wrote on Aug 3rd, 2025 at 5:55pm:
But, but ... CO2 theory hypothesis says it will be warmer, colder, more snow, less snow, more precipitation, less precipitation, more extreme weather, less extreme weather, higher winds, slower winds. A cornucopia of alarm, and none falsifiable... so it can't be a science. Wink



Monk believes it.
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Reply #1008 - Aug 3rd, 2025 at 6:00pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 3rd, 2025 at 5:57pm:
Monk believes it.


Well, he is into his dotage.
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