tallowood wrote on Mar 24
th, 2026 at 11:34am:
Objectives here are dismantling the nuclear program, destroying Iran’s ballistic missile capabilities, drone manufacturing and the regime change.
Thanks Tallo. The first thing that stands out is that's not a strategy, it's a wishlist. And a completely incoherent one at that.
You've just listed four objectives, dismantle the nuclear program, eliminate ballistic missiles, shut down drone production, and achieve regime change, as if they're all interchangeable outcomes of the same blunt-force approach. They're not. Each one requires a different strategy, different timelines, and in some cases they actively undermine each other.
Let's break it down with what has already happened under Trump:
1. Dismantling the nuclear programThere was already a functioning framework: the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action. It imposed inspections, limits, and transparency. Trump tore it up. The result? Iran accelerated enrichment, reduced oversight, and moved closer to weapons capability. That's not dismantling the program, it's turbocharging it.
2. Destroying ballistic missile capabilitiesAirstrikes don't magically erase a dispersed, redundant missile program. These systems are mobile, buried, and designed to survive exactly this kind of attack. Temporary disruption is all you get; permanent success is impossible without occupation. Instead, you provoke them to expand and harden the program.
3. Shutting down drone manufacturingSame story, same failure. These capabilities are decentralised, low-cost, and easily rebuilt. Bombing infrastructure doesn't stop production long-term, it delays it, at best. The collateral damage only fuels resentment and provides propaganda for the regime.
4. Regime changeHere's the kicker: Trump's actions haven't weakened Iran's leadership, they've strengthened it in all the ways that make your other objectives objectively worse. The current leadership, centred around the son who has effectively taken over, is more hardline, more pro-nuclear, and far less willing to negotiate. Every strike, every act of pressure has reinforced the regime's narrative of external threat, which consolidates internal control and accelerates nuclear development. Trump hasn't made progress; he's actively made every one of your first three objectives harder to achieve.
This is why Frank's framing is backwards. You don't start with "how do we bomb this harder?" You start with achievable outcomes.
To answer Frank's question bluntly, compared to the outcomes Trump has achieved with Iran alone, never mind the global economic damage, oil and fertiliser shortages, and general instability, the better approach would have been to do
NOTHING, just like with most Trump actions in office.
Every escalation, every "deal" or threat, has made the situation objectively worse.
But to propose alternative actions, I'd start with Nuclear containment. Stick with multilateral agreements like the JCPOA, inspections, and verification.
Regional stability? De-escalate, engage diplomatically, and work through institutions like the United Nations.
Internal political change? That comes through economic pressure, diplomacy, and fostering internal dissent, not by turning Iran into a rallying point for hardliners.
What you've outlined isn't a plan, it's maximalist fan fiction dressed up as strategy. And the fact that every "objective" you listed has objectively worsened under Trump's reckless approach proves it.
Aggression is not achievement, at least not outside the cult of MAGA, the real world...