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The fallacy of the Greens (Read 67719 times)
lee
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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #450 - May 4th, 2023 at 7:35pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on May 4th, 2023 at 12:26pm:
I agree they are only looking at Oz, whereas we are facing a global problem.


What global problem? Roll Eyes
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thegreatdivide
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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #451 - May 5th, 2023 at 12:11pm
 
lee wrote on May 4th, 2023 at 7:35pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on May 4th, 2023 at 12:26pm:
I agree they are only looking at Oz, whereas we are facing a global problem.


What global problem? Roll Eyes


Your 'survival of the fittest' ideology....
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lee
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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #452 - May 5th, 2023 at 3:08pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on May 5th, 2023 at 12:11pm:
Your 'survival of the fittest' ideology....


So you don't have any idea of these "global problems"?  Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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thegreatdivide
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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #453 - May 5th, 2023 at 3:24pm
 
lee wrote on May 5th, 2023 at 3:08pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on May 5th, 2023 at 12:11pm:
Your 'survival of the fittest' ideology....


So you don't have any idea of these "global problems"?  Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


I know your ideology is the cause of them....

You of course deny they are real, typical of comfortable conservatives.
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lee
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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #454 - May 5th, 2023 at 3:32pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on May 5th, 2023 at 3:24pm:
I know your ideology is the cause of them....

You of course deny they are real, typical of comfortable conservatives.



The fact that you can't point to them, while not proof of no problems, is telling. Roll Eyes
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thegreatdivide
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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #455 - May 5th, 2023 at 10:31pm
 
lee wrote on May 5th, 2023 at 3:32pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on May 5th, 2023 at 3:24pm:
I know your ideology is the cause of them....

You of course deny they are real, typical of comfortable conservatives.



The fact that you can't point to them, while not proof of no problems, is telling. Roll Eyes


we've had the arguement before, you still claim ffs don't cuase illness.
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lee
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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #456 - May 6th, 2023 at 4:50pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on May 5th, 2023 at 10:31pm:
we've had the arguement before, you still claim ffs don't cuase illness.



You haven't shown they have.

Did you read about PM2.5? You know the one it is supposed to be a killer.

"In 2012, a group with which I am affiliated, sued EPA for conducting illegal human clinical research experiments involving PM2.5. By the early 2000s, EPA had concluded that any exposure to PM2.5 could kill in a matter of hours and that elderly and sick people were most at risk. To prove its point, conducted numerous experiments on elderly and sick people in which diesel exhaust from a truck was pipelined into an actual gas chamber where the human guinea pigs inhaled very high levels of PM2.5 for hours at a time.This was illegal because researchers are not allowed to conduct Nazi-like experiments where the purpose is to cause harm, especially without the informed consent of the human guinea pigs.

In its defense to our lawsuit, the EPA stated that it conducted the PM2.5 experiments because the PM2.5 epidemiology was only statistics, and as all researchers know, statistics only demonstrate correlation and correlation is not the same as causation. The EPA told the court that the human experiments were needed to establish needed biological plausibility for the claims of the epidemiology studies.

The EPA’s unequivocal admission that epidemiology alone was an insufficient basis to conclude that PM2.5 kills obviates any further need to consider the many significant flaws of the PM2.5 epidemiology.

And what were the results of those clinical experiments?

Despite exposing hundreds of elderly (as old as 80) and sick people (with asthma and heart disease) to extraordinary levels of PM2.5 (as high as 75 times the level in average US outdoor air), not so much as a gasp, wheeze or cough, much less any death, was reported. The clinical research, in fact, provided not an ounce of biological plausibility to the (dubious) epidemiology."

...

"When smokers inhale, they inhale a lot of PM2.5. If you live in the US and inhale average air, you will inhale about 240 millionths of a gram of PM2.5 every day. And EPA claims that is a potentially deadly dose of PM2.5.

Now if you are a smoker, not only will you inhale that 240 millionths-of-a-gram every 24 hours, but for every filtered cigarette you smoke, you will inhale and astounding 8,000 to 10,000 millionths-of-a-gram in the five minutes or so it takes to smoke a cigarette. But no one dies from smoking a single cigarette. The PM2.5 exposure is even higher for a marijuana joint, on the order of 100,000 millionths-of-a-gram. We give sick people medical marijuana. Have you ever heard of one of them dying from smoking a joint? No."

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2023/03/09/pm2-5-mass-killer-or-mass-fraud/

So the EPA did an Epidemiological, and they said they needed more. You just believe because there was a study. Roll Eyes
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thegreatdivide
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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #457 - May 7th, 2023 at 12:11pm
 
lee wrote on May 6th, 2023 at 4:50pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on May 5th, 2023 at 10:31pm:
we've had the arguement before, you still claim ffs don't cuase illness.



You haven't shown they have.

Did you read about PM2.5? You know the one it is supposed to be a killer.


The flaw in your article is: the "experiment" only lasted for days.

Compared with real world findings:

https://www.hsph.harvard.edu/c-change/news/fossil-fuel-air-pollution-responsible...

Exposure to particulate matter from fossil fuels accounted for 21.5% of total deaths in 2012, falling to 18% in 2018 due to tightening air quality measures in China.
In India, fossil fuel pollution was responsible for nearly 2.5 million people (aged over 14)  in 2018; representing over 30% of total deaths in India among people over age 14.











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lee
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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #458 - May 7th, 2023 at 12:53pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on May 7th, 2023 at 12:11pm:
https://www.hsph.harvard.edu/c-change/news/fossil-fuel-air-pollution-responsible...

Exposure to particulate matter from fossil fuels accounted for 21.5% of total deaths in 2012, falling to 18% in 2018 due to tightening air quality measures in China.
In India, fossil fuel pollution was responsible for nearly 2.5 million people (aged over 14)  in 2018; representing over 30% of total deaths in India among people over age 14.


Another epidemiological study. Not real world.

From the underlying paper -

"We used the chemical transport model GEOS-Chem to estimate global exposure levels to fossil-fuel related PM2.5 in 2012. Relative risks of mortality were modeled using functions that link long-term exposure to PM2.5 and mortality, incorporating nonlinearity in the concentration response. "

We know you have no science, but do you have to accept EVERYTHING at face value.

And did you read the bit about smoking? There should be millions in the street dying from their first smoke. Roll Eyes

Edit: Link to the study - https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0013935121000487
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« Last Edit: May 7th, 2023 at 1:03pm by lee »  
 
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thegreatdivide
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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #459 - May 7th, 2023 at 2:05pm
 
lee wrote on May 7th, 2023 at 12:53pm:
Another epidemiological study. Not real world.

From the underlying paper -

"We used the chemical transport model GEOS-Chem to estimate global exposure levels to fossil-fuel related PM2.5 in 2012. Relative risks of mortality were modeled using functions that link long-term exposure to PM2.5 and mortality, incorporating nonlinearity in the concentration response. "

We know you have no science, but do you have to accept EVERYTHING at face value.


I'm content that  Harvard Uni and its associates have a pretty good grasp on the relevant science.

Quote:
And did you read the bit about smoking? There should be millions in the street dying from their first smoke. Roll Eyes


You still denying smoking is a cause of lung cancer?

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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #460 - May 7th, 2023 at 3:21pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on May 7th, 2023 at 2:05pm:
I'm content that  Harvard Uni and its associates have a pretty good grasp on the relevant science.



Models aren't science. Why do you think the EPA subjected old, infirm people to hours of high concentrations of PM 2.5? Why do you think people never died or got sick from it?

thegreatdivide wrote on May 7th, 2023 at 2:05pm:
You still denying smoking is a cause of lung cancer?



I have never denied smoking causes lung cancer. Carcinogens cause cancer. PM2.5 being a particle size has not been shown to be a carcinogen. Some of PM2.5 particles may be carcinogenic, but it hasn't been shown.

You should try not to confuse yourself further. Roll Eyes

According to the EPA 240 millionths of a gram will kill. Smoking one cigarette results in 8,000-10,000 millionths of a gram. No first time smoker has died as a result of PM2.5.

"In its defense to our lawsuit, the EPA stated that it conducted the PM2.5 experiments because the PM2.5 epidemiology was only statistics, and as all researchers know, statistics only demonstrate correlation and correlation is not the same as causation."

"I subsequently convinced prominent and expert researchers to obtain 12 years-worth of California death certificate and air quality data and do their own rigorous study. Their study of all deaths in California between the years 2000 to 2012 (more than 2 million) reported no correlation between PM2.5 and death."

Ibid
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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #461 - May 8th, 2023 at 12:53pm
 
lee wrote on May 7th, 2023 at 3:21pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on May 7th, 2023 at 2:05pm:
I'm content that  Harvard Uni and its associates have a pretty good grasp on the relevant science.



Models aren't science. Why do you think the EPA subjected old, infirm people to hours of high concentrations of PM 2.5? Why do you think people never died or got sick from it?


Such experiments are illegal - and useless because we are talking years of exposure to filthy fossils  to cause illness.


Quote:
I have never denied smoking causes lung cancer. Carcinogens cause cancer. PM2.5 being a particle size has not been shown to be a carcinogen. Some of PM2.5 particles may be carcinogenic, but it hasn't been shown.


quick google:

"Effect of PM 2.5 on human health
PM2. 5 (particles less than 2.5 micrometers in diameter) can penetrate deeply into the lung, irritate and corrode the alveolar wall, and consequently impair lung function.


Over many years....and no doubt PM2.5 isn't the ONLY issue with filthy fossils; several years back I experienced  the air in Bombay like breathing exhaust gases from diesel engines.   Horrible.

Quote:
You should try not to confuse yourself further. Roll Eyes


You need to stop defending the indefensible. China - and India - are desperately trying to clean up air quality - for a reason...

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lee
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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #462 - May 8th, 2023 at 2:24pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on May 8th, 2023 at 12:53pm:
Such experiments are illegal - and useless because we are talking years of exposure to filthy fossils  to cause illness.



But the EPA says that even a small amount is a killer and it didn't. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on May 8th, 2023 at 12:53pm:
quick google:

"Effect of PM 2.5 on human health
PM2. 5 (particles less than 2.5 micrometers in diameter) can penetrate deeply into the lung, irritate and corrode the alveolar wall, and consequently impair lung function.

Over many years....and no doubt PM2.5 isn't the ONLY issue with filthy fossils; several years back I experienced  the air in Bombay like breathing exhaust gases from diesel engines.   Horrible.

Quote:


Nothing there about it being carcinogenic. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on May 8th, 2023 at 12:53pm:
You need to stop defending the indefensible. China - and India - are desperately trying to clean up air quality - for a reason...


So what is the life expectancy in China, say Shanghai?

" In 2021, the average life expectancy for the registered population in Shanghai municipality was 84.11 years. In that particular year, the life expectancy of registered female persons was 86.56 years, while that of male persons was 81.76 years."  PM2.5 must really be a killer.

Mumbai - 69. Not good but they have a vast slum where life expectancy is lower, but the air is the same.

Wollongong - 85

So again you have failed.


The reason for the clean air drives is because it makes life more amenable. Not deaths from PM2.5. n Roll Eyes
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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #463 - May 8th, 2023 at 3:50pm
 
lee wrote on May 8th, 2023 at 2:24pm:
[quote author=AusbetterWorld link=1653176030/461#461 date=1683514406]Such experiments are illegal - and useless because we are talking years of exposure to filthy fossils  to cause illness.



But the EPA says that even a small amount is a killer and it didn't. Roll Eyes

"is a killer" , without specifying time scales.

Quote:
Nothing there about it being carcinogenic. Roll Eyes


Poor dumb Lee, thinks cancer is the only illness affecting  humans...

Quote:
So what is the life expectancy in China, say Shanghai?


Rapidly increasing over the last decade, as China closes coal plants near cities.

Quote:
Mumbai - 69. Not good but they have a vast slum where life expectancy is lower, but the air is the same.


Of course its the same: the "vast slum' is a square mile area located within a traffic-chocked metropolis of 20 million peolel.

Quote:
Wollongong - 85 . So again you have failed.
.

China's life expectancy, though higher than the US, is lower than Wollongong; poor Lee, again he can't see  other factors are involved apart from filthy-fossil-polluted air.

Quote:
The reason for the clean air drives is because it makes life more amenable. Not deaths from PM2.5. n Roll Eyes


Addressed above: other causes of ff-related illness, as well as differences in population density, ff use, etc.   
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lee
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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #464 - May 8th, 2023 at 4:10pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on May 8th, 2023 at 3:50pm:
"is a killer" , without specifying time scales.


They say as little as 270 millionth of a gram can kill you. It doesn't matter if that is over a lifetime or when you take your first smoke.Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on May 8th, 2023 at 3:50pm:
Poor dumb Lee, thinks cancer is the only illness affecting  humans...



And yet you were the one who highlighted carcinogenic. So now you want us to believe you highlighted it in error? Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on May 8th, 2023 at 3:50pm:
Rapidly increasing over the last decade, as China closes coal plants near cities.


But they still have pollution problems. SO what you mean is that life expectancy is increasing depite the high levels of PM2.5. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on May 8th, 2023 at 3:50pm:
Of course its the same: the "vast slum' is a square mile area located within a traffic-chocked metropolis of 20 million peolel.



And PM2.5 is only located within that square mile? Did they put up a big fence? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on May 8th, 2023 at 3:50pm:
China's life expectancy, though higher than the US, is lower than Wollongong; poor Lee, again he can't see  other factors are involved apart from filthy-fossil-polluted air.



You are the one trying to prove PM2.5 is a killer. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on May 8th, 2023 at 3:50pm:
Addressed above: other causes of ff-related illness, as well as differences in population density, ff use, etc.   



But you only mentioned PM2.5. Now all you have to do is list the other "ff -related illnesses". With citation of course. Roll Eyes

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