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The fallacy of the Greens (Read 61435 times)
thegreatdivide
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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #150 - Jun 18th, 2022 at 10:43pm
 
Frank wrote on Jun 17th, 2022 at 10:28am:
Environmentalists and their allies in big business have argued that batteries solve this problem. Battery technology has come a long way, with “mega-batteries” able to store and release power when the wind doesn’t blow and the sun doesn’t shine. Indeed, South Australia is home to one of the biggest lithium batteries in the world, with installation of more big batteries planned for more states and territories.

Yet to build these mega-batteries we need more mining, which in turn releases more carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. Batteries for electric cars and renewable energy storage are made out of copper, zinc, aluminium and lithium. According to a report by the ABC, “a wind turbine needs four times more minerals than a coal-fired power station to generate the same amount of electricity”. The irony is that we will need to increase our carbon emissions to reduce them.

And not only does mining produce large amounts of carbon dioxide but mines also can leak toxic materials into waterways. Mines often are opposed by environmental groups for this reason. It can take years for new mines to be approved because of Australia’s high standards of environmental protection regulation.

To complicate things further, the trend in the corporate world is to avoid investment in mining because of environmental, social and governance considerations.

The result is that demand for the minerals that go into batteries is going up while supply is going down, leading to what some analysts have called “greenflation”.
...

The experience of Germany demonstrates the impact that renewables can have on electricity markets. A 2019 report produced by Deloitte on the German electricity market says newer, more modern coal-fired plants are able to meet the “flexibility challenge” posed by renewables, but older plants cannot.

Despite having the highest share of cheap renewable energy from wind and solar, Germany has the highest electricity prices in Europe. Fossil fuels are locked in as backup power, which has led Germany to become dependent on imported gas from Russia. This is despite spending $743bn on its energy transition.

Some countries, such as France, Sweden and Iceland, do get most of their electricity from low-carbon dioxide sources. But these low-CO2 sources are not wind and solar, which make up only 2 per cent and 1 per cent of global total energy production, they are hydropower and nuclear.
Energy Minister Chris Bowen recently described the case for nuclear energy as “a complete joke” and moratoriums on gas exploration and extraction remain in place across the country. West Australian Premier Mark McGowan has announced that his state will shut two coal-fired power plants. In addition to the two plants in WA, the Liddell power plant in NSW is scheduled to close next year and Yallourn power station in Victoria is set to shut in 2028.

When the Hazelwood coal-fired plant in Victoria closed in 2017, the closure resulted in higher energy prices that lasted for years. The Australian Energy Regulator reported that in 2018 the closure of Hazelwood led to average electricity spot prices that were 85 per cent higher than the previous year in Victoria, 63 per cent higher in NSW, 53 per cent in Queensland and 32 per cent higher in SA.
...
From watching the European experience, we know baseload power can come only from coal, gas or nuclear energy. If our leaders do not manage this situation carefully and learn from other nations, Australians may have to prepare for an energy crisis that never ends.
Clare Lehman

We should build more hydro power stations and replace old coal/gas fired stations with modern ones. Also a couple of latest tech small nuclear power stations. Tiny S Korea has 24 (and massive manufacturing sector), Belgium 7, Sweden 6 (again, massive manufacturing sector).

Australia is 26 million people on an amazingly energy and resource rich CONTINENT with sky high energy prices and no real high tech, high skill industry.  Exporting Iron ore, coal/gas and education to Asia is not a smart, long-term plan, it is, rather, turning Australia into an Asian dependency.


Coal plants are too inflexible to meet changes in the supply of renewables, and hence grid demand (they have to remain operating continuously) 

According to Tim Buckley, the cheapest and  fastest form of new energy capacity in Oz, is rooftop solar and upgraded transmission  And diversion of currently produced Oz gas from exports as required for backup, until Snowy 2 and other storage comes on-line. 

And in a decade Oz can be exporting green steel rather than dirt (using green hydrogen rather than coal as fuel). Massive value-added export potential.

Earliest  energy from nuclear would be 3 decades away in Oz.    
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« Last Edit: Jun 18th, 2022 at 10:51pm by thegreatdivide »  
 
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Frank
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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #151 - Jun 19th, 2022 at 12:10pm
 



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thegreatdivide
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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #152 - Jun 20th, 2022 at 12:44pm
 
Coal plants are too inflexible to meet changes in the supply of renewables, and hence grid demand (they have to remain operating continuously)

According to Tim Buckley, the cheapest and  fastest form of new energy capacity in Oz, is rooftop solar and upgraded transmission  And diversion of currently produced Oz gas from exports as required for backup, until Snowy 2 and other storage comes on-line.

And in a decade Oz can be exporting green steel rather than dirt (using green hydrogen rather than coal as fuel). Massive value-added export potential.

Earliest  energy from nuclear would be 3 decades away in Oz.
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lee
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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #153 - Jun 20th, 2022 at 2:30pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 20th, 2022 at 12:44pm:
Coal plants are too inflexible to meet changes in the supply of renewables, and hence grid demand (they have to remain operating continuously)



Yes. Now explain why they are necessarily a bad thing as opposed to Weather Dependent Renewables. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 20th, 2022 at 12:44pm:
According to Tim Buckley, the cheapest and  fastest form of new energy capacity in Oz, is rooftop solar and upgraded transmission  And diversion of currently produced Oz gas from exports as required for backup, until Snowy 2 and other storage comes on-line.


A subsidy miner who doesn't have any engineering skills. Roll Eyes
.
thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 20th, 2022 at 12:44pm:
And in a decade Oz can be exporting green steel rather than dirt (using green hydrogen rather than coal as fuel). Massive value-added export potential.


And how do you make "green steel"? "Green Steel" still has carbon, without carbon it is not steel. Through a loss making structure from start to finish.Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 20th, 2022 at 12:44pm:
Earliest  energy from nuclear would be 3 decades away in Oz.



Only because of Green Tape. Grin Grin Grin Grin
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thegreatdivide
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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #154 - Jun 20th, 2022 at 3:59pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 20th, 2022 at 2:30pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 20th, 2022 at 12:44pm:
Coal plants are too inflexible to meet changes in the supply of renewables, and hence grid demand (they have to remain operating continuously)

Yes. Now explain why they are necessarily a bad thing as opposed to Weather Dependent Renewables. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


Because AGW is accepted as real.....

Quote:
A subsidy miner who doesn't have any engineering skills.


Btw, " Although the losses of the pumping process make the plant (pumped hydro)  a net consumer of energy overall, the system increases revenue by selling more electricity during periods of peak demand, when electricity prices are highest. If the upper lake collects significant rainfall or is fed by a river then the plant may be a net energy producer in the manner of a traditional hydroelectric plant".

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pumped-storage_hydroelectricity

Quote:
And how do you make "green steel"? "Green Steel" still has carbon, without carbon it is not steel. Through a loss making structure from start to finish.Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


Back to your dumb mode? You make green steel by burning green hydrogen rather than coking coal. Any 'carbon' additive used to improve the quality of the steel is not an emission. 

Quote:
Only because of Green Tape. Grin Grin Grin Grin


"In contrast, the costs of building and operating nuclear in Australia remain prohibitively high. Further, analysis conducted by the nuclear industry itself shows nuclear power stations take an average of 9.4 years to build – compared to 1–3 years for a major wind or solar project.18 Jan 2022".

Ok,  ONLY a decade then..... 
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lee
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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #155 - Jun 20th, 2022 at 4:50pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 20th, 2022 at 3:59pm:
Because AGW is accepted as real.....


Not in the real world. Wink

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 20th, 2022 at 3:59pm:
Btw, " Although the losses of the pumping process make the plant (pumped hydro)  a net consumer of energy overall, the system increases revenue by selling more electricity during periods of peak demand, when electricity prices are highest. If the upper lake collects significant rainfall or is fed by a river then the plant may be a net energy producer in the manner of a traditional hydroelectric plant".


So it is a net user not a net provider.  Wink

The 2nd lake is also used for power so that is not available at the end. (There are 4 lakes.)

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 20th, 2022 at 3:59pm:
You make green steel by burning green hydrogen rather than coking coal. Any 'carbon' additive used to improve the quality of the steel is not an emission.


Any carbon additive added to molten steel will generate CO2.  Roll Eyes
And green hydrogen? The stuff that embrittles metals. Leaks because the molecules are so small. Explodes at a wide variety of mixtures. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 20th, 2022 at 3:59pm:
"In contrast, the costs of building and operating nuclear in Australia remain prohibitively high. Further, analysis conducted by the nuclear industry itself shows nuclear power stations take an average of 9.4 years to build – compared to 1–3 years for a major wind or solar project.18 Jan 2022".


Oh the greenie Climate Council. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 20th, 2022 at 3:59pm:
Ok,  ONLY a decade then..


So it was another lie. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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thegreatdivide
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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #156 - Jun 20th, 2022 at 8:57pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 20th, 2022 at 4:50pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 20th, 2022 at 3:59pm:
Because AGW is accepted as real.....


Not in the real world. Wink


Oh....the "real world' is your evil neoliberal dog eat dog/survival of the fittest, law of the jungle slaughterhouse, we know that much...

Thankfully AGW - real or not -  will usher in a new world powered by free sun and wind, to engender  universal well-being and prospeity.

Quote:
So it is a net user not a net provider.  Wink


Excess ...oh never mind

Quote:
The 2nd lake is also used for power so that is not available at the end. (There are 4 lakes.)


Pumped-hydro schemes only need two lakes. Snowy 2 may need extra lakes because it was not originally designed as storage for renewables.

Quote:
Any carbon additive added to molten steel will generate CO2.  Roll Eyes


How?

Quote:
And green hydrogen? The stuff that embrittles metals. Leaks because the molecules are so small. Explodes at a wide variety of mixtures. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


Back to you dumb mode. Additives strengthen steel, hydrogen replaces coaking coal. 

Quote:
So it was another lie. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


Wide variety of estimates on google:

"Construction of a commercial-scale plant would take at least 15 years. If Australia had started work on a nuclear reactor before the pandemic, it would not be in operation until about 2035. The small or “modular” reactors that are held up as the future of the industry won't be affordable until 2050.12 Oct 2021".

So no lie - 3 decades for your modular systems.




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lee
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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #157 - Jun 20th, 2022 at 9:29pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 20th, 2022 at 8:57pm:
Thankfully AGW - real or not -  will usher in a new world powered by free sun and wind, to engender  universal well-being and prospeity.


Jeez you just can't stop bullshitting. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 20th, 2022 at 8:57pm:
Excess ...oh never mind


A net loss is not excess. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 20th, 2022 at 8:57pm:
Pumped-hydro schemes only need two lakes. Snowy 2 may need extra lakes because it was not originally designed as storage for renewables.


Snowy 2 is actually designed to provide storage. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 20th, 2022 at 8:57pm:
How?



Carbon burns in molten anything over 450 F. As it burns it  creates CO2. B asic chemistry. Another one of those things you don't know about. Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 20th, 2022 at 8:57pm:
Back to you dumb mode. Additives strengthen steel, hydrogen replaces coaking coal. 



Hydrogen can't add carbon. H2 is not C. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 20th, 2022 at 8:57pm:
Wide variety of estimates on google:



The guradian? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Now you are getting desperate. Roll Eyes
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thegreatdivide
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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #158 - Jun 21st, 2022 at 2:23pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 20th, 2022 at 9:29pm:
Jeez you just can't stop bullshitting. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
 

So says the mindless 'survival of fittest'/ classical-neoliberal ideologue.


Quote:
A net loss is not excess. Roll Eyes


Dumb mode again, excess is not net loss.


Quote:
Snowy 2 is actually designed to provide storage. Roll Eyes

Didn't I make it clear enough for you?

Snowy was originally designed to produce power, not store it....that's snowy 2's function.

Quote:
Carbon burns in molten anything over 450 F. As it burns it  creates CO2. B asic chemistry. Another one of those things you don't know about. Grin Grin Grin Grin


oh dear, dumb mode again. The carbon is deposited in the steel.

Quote:
Hydrogen can't add carbon. H2 is not C. Roll Eyes


Dumb mode; hydrogen replaces coking coal to make steel. Additives to the steel are another matter. 

Quote:
The guradian? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
Now you are getting desperate. Roll Eyes


Not as desperate as you in the coming years, as the globe moves to renewables.
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lee
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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #159 - Jun 21st, 2022 at 4:38pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 21st, 2022 at 2:23pm:
So says the mindless 'survival of fittest'/ classical-neoliberal ideologue.


Oh good comeback. Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 21st, 2022 at 2:23pm:
Dumb mode again, excess is not net loss.


An excess in a point in time is not the same as an excess all the time. So you wish for the excess to occur when you need it, which isn't necessarily so.

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 21st, 2022 at 2:23pm:
Didn't I make it clear enough for you?


The original Snowy was not designed to be. Snowy 2 is. And Snowy2 is not going to work as planned. You can't fit a larger lake into a smaller lake. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 21st, 2022 at 2:23pm:
oh dear, dumb mode again. The carbon is deposited in the steel.


Some is.  Most is not. You really are dumb.

.thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 21st, 2022 at 2:23pm:
Dumb mode; hydrogen replaces coking coal to make steel. Additives to the steel are another matter. 


So hydrogen which has round trip conversion of between 18% - 42% is going to make steel. 58% - 82% losses and its going to be economic? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

And that's beside the losses due to leakage, Embrittlement etc

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 21st, 2022 at 2:23pm:
Not as desperate as you in the coming years, as the globe moves to renewables. .


So you can't quote anyone else other than the Climate Council and the Garudian and I am supposed to be impressed? Grin Grin Grin

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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #160 - Jun 21st, 2022 at 4:41pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 21st, 2022 at 4:38pm:
So you can't quote anyone else other than the Climate Council and the Garudian and I am supposed to be impressed? Grin Grin Grin



smacking love the Garudian
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lee
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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #161 - Jun 21st, 2022 at 6:32pm
 
I see Albo is offering subsidies to fossil fuel generation, so they don't have to run at a loss. Roll Eyes
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Frank
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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #162 - Jun 22nd, 2022 at 10:38am
 



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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #163 - Jun 22nd, 2022 at 2:29pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 21st, 2022 at 4:38pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 21st, 2022 at 2:23pm:
So says the mindless 'survival of fittest'/ classical-neoliberal ideologue.


Oh good comeback. Grin Grin Grin Grin


To advance toward collective well-being and security, one must understand political and economic realities.  'Every man for himself'/ dog eat dog/ survival of the fittest' neoliberal markets will only lead to extinction. 


Quote:
An excess in a point in time is not the same as an excess all the time.
 

Correct , (though you don't need excess all the time) that's why you need to store the excess, so that you can have sufficient supply all the time.

Quote:
So you wish for the excess to occur when you need it, which isn't necessarily so.


See above: the wind will always be blowing somewhere in Oz when the sun isn't shining. 

Quote:
The original Snowy was not designed to be.
 

That's what I said.

Quote:
Snowy 2 is. And Snowy2 is not going to work as planned. You can't fit a larger lake into a smaller lake. Roll Eyes


Well then, Snowy 2 will need to be redesigned. Perhaps you can supply some plans to the engineers....

Quote:
Some is.  Most is not. You really are dumb.


(google)

"Can steel be made without carbon?
Swedish green steel venture HYBRIT said that it had made the world's first customer delivery of steel produced without using coal as it looks to revolutionize an industry that accounts for around 8% of global greenhouse gas emissions".


Quote:
So hydrogen which has round trip conversion of between 18% - 42% is going to make steel. 58% - 82% losses and its going to be economic? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


Yes; sun and wind  - to make hydrogen via electrolysis - are free.

Quote:
And that's beside the losses due to leakage, Embrittlement etc


"losses" are  irrelevant; em- brittlement is solved with additives.

Quote:
So you can't quote anyone else other than the Climate Council and the Garudian and I am supposed to be impressed? Grin Grin Grin


You are supposed to be impressed by the fact that virtually every nation is committed to turning  up to the COP meetings.
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« Last Edit: Jun 22nd, 2022 at 2:34pm by thegreatdivide »  
 
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lee
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Re: The fallacy of the Greens
Reply #164 - Jun 22nd, 2022 at 4:21pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 22nd, 2022 at 2:29pm:
To advance toward collective well-being and security, one must understand political and economic realities.  'Every man for himself'/ dog eat dog/ survival of the fittest' neoliberal markets will only lead to extinction. 


As will mass hysteria. Wink

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 22nd, 2022 at 2:29pm:
Correct , (though you don't need excess all the time) that's why you need to store the excess, so that you can have sufficient supply all the time.


You need the excess at a time you can use it. You can't store more than is available. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 22nd, 2022 at 2:29pm:
See above: the wind will always be blowing somewhere in Oz when the sun isn't shining. 


Will this wind be enough to provide an excess? Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 22nd, 2022 at 2:29pm:
Well then, Snowy 2 will need to be redesigned.


Ah back to MMT and free money. :: Grin Grin Grin
.
thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 22nd, 2022 at 2:29pm:
(google)

"Can steel be made without carbon?
Swedish green steel venture HYBRIT said that it had made the world's first customer delivery of steel produced without using coal as it looks to revolutionize an industry that accounts for around 8% of global greenhouse gas emissions".



Did you actually comprehend that? Roll Eyes So they didn't use coal; what carbon did they use? How much CO2 was generated?

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 22nd, 2022 at 2:29pm:
Yes; sun and wind  - to make hydrogen via electrolysis - are free.


and the panels and wind turbines aren't. Roll Eyes how much over capacity will be needed?

thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 22nd, 2022 at 2:29pm:
"losses" are  irrelevant; em- brittlement is solved with additives.



Which ones? At what cost? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

.thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 22nd, 2022 at 2:29pm:
You are supposed to be impressed by the fact that virtually every nation is committed to turning  up to the COP meetings.


Really? I would be impressed by outcomes.   Only 37 countries have met their NDC's. .Roll Eyes
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