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Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) (Read 172605 times)
Bobby.
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #1200 - Aug 24th, 2025 at 10:38am
 
TGD,
Quote:
We know that government debt per se doesn't cause inflation -
see The US and Oz since the covid inflation spike;
both nations now have increased debt but with falling inflation.


Inflation is out of control in all western countries -
it bears no relation to the official doctored statistics.
Look at the massive rise in housing prices, food prices
and everything else.
It's all caused by quantitative easing -
a euphemism for printing money day and night.

The US Govt. is now heading towards an extra US $trillion of debt every 70 days.
That is more than their total Gold holdings.

If the US Govt. stopped printing money they would collapse overnight -
it's got that bad.
They pay their massive debts using printed money.
If creditors all demanded Gold the US would run out of all its Gold in 70 days.
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #1201 - Aug 24th, 2025 at 6:00pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 24th, 2025 at 10:38am:
TGD,
Quote:
We know that government debt per se doesn't cause inflation -
see The US and Oz since the covid inflation spike;
both nations now have increased debt but with falling inflation.


Inflation is out of control in all western countries -


Oz and the US are 'Western countries', with inflation now in the preferred 2-3% range.

What is your defintion of "out of control"?

Quote:
it bears no relation to the official doctored statistics.


Ah - I note your 'fake news' approach to the official inflation stats....cool.....

Quote:
Look at the massive rise in housing prices, food prices
and everything else.


Already addressed (you are proving to be uneducable):

Episodes of past inflation caused by market failure or government mismagement (or both) result in loss of money's purchasing power if wages don't increase enough to restore purchasing power to the pre inflation-episode levels.

Housing prices are going up in Oz because of market failure (high demand for housing in an overpriced market distorted by tax policies favouring home ownership) causing inflation in the housing sector.

Food prices have stabilized  (as with many other sectors):

(google)

Recent Trends (June Quarter 2025)

Quarterly Increase: Food and non-alcoholic beverages increased by 1.0% in the three months to June 2025.
Annual Increase: Over the 12 months to the June 2025 quarter, these prices rose by 2.1%.


Quote:
It's all caused by quantitative easing -
a euphemism for printing money day and night.


QE describes the central bank increasing bank reserves, which  doesn't cause inflation unless borrowers flock to banks  to borrow money regardless of their ability to pay. The attempt to stimulate the economy via QE didn't work during the GFC because no-one wanted to borrow money (due to high unemployment and mortgage stress cause by the 'subprime'  fiasco in the US.

Quote:
The US Govt. is now heading towards an extra US $trillion of debt every 70 daysThat is more than their total Gold holdings.


Already addressed, you are proving to be uneducable - or  unwilling to read and addrees the points made.

Quote:
If the US Govt. stopped printing money they would collapse overnight -
it's got that bad.


Partly correct:  the US is borrowing money to ensure economic growth, while reducing taxes to grow the economy - hence the US is the fastest-growing G7 economy, with low inflation despite its growing debt.

Jerome Powell has confirmed he will lower interest rates in September to increase  growth in the economy (pleasing Trump and the stock market), provided Trump's tariffs don't start pushing up prices. (Stay tuned: some black clouds are indeed emerging on the tariff front).


Quote:
They pay their massive debts using printed money.


That's what the US government SHOULD do (or rather, the durrency-issuing govt shouldn't borrow at all), rather than selling bonds to rich people (bonds which have to repaid with interest); eventually the interest payments will surpass military spending.   

Indeed the US CAN and should  'print money', but they choose to indebt the government  to rich people who want to buy risk free government bonds.

[My observation: Part of the problem with your thinking  relates to a refusal to consider the public sector's role in economic growth, and the non-market inflation control tools available to government, other than control by an independent central bank.]

Quote:
If creditors all demanded Gold the US would run out of all its Gold in 70 days.


Already addressed; the gold standard is no longer relevant.


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Daves2017
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #1202 - Aug 24th, 2025 at 9:22pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Aug 24th, 2025 at 10:20am:
Daves2017 wrote on Aug 23rd, 2025 at 10:41pm:
I just put another $100 into bitcoin and my balance is now 195..58.


Yes, until someone  with a large holding  decides to take profits and sell bitcoin.

Quote:
Given coinspot outrageous fees of $1 a transaction I calculated even losses are better then what my balance in super is losing with fees in the thousands.


?

Last year super funds grew by  10%:

(google)

For example, as of June 2025, the median Growth fund returned 10.5%, while more conservative options may have delivered around 6.68% in the same period.

What fees are you paying?

The important thing is the value of the currency (Oz dollars) in your super funds is related to the value of Oz's productive capacity and resulting output; whereas the value of bitcoin is related to .......you tell us.....






Good question and I have been researching it and still far from certain.
My super fees are capped at $2500 p.a.  And the majority of my super is invested in overseas companies.

Australia is cute but not a real player in the world market place.

My view atm is that bitcoin is simply a speculative currency. I think I compare it to stocks of  traditional commodities.

You speculate that they will make money and that the stock price will rise. A important difference is that stocks do this by making profits  and paying a dividend ( hopefully) whereas Bitcoin seems to be completely speculative.

ATM in my complete novice opinion I believe bitcoin was created to enable peer to peer trading worldwide without government interference and monitoring and regulation and cut out the middleman, banks etc.
I suspect it was never intended to be a wealth making scheme of its own but again I don’t know F all.

I’m attracted to bitcoin because 1 it’s something new I want to understand. 2 it originally was set up to avoid government interference. 3 it has outperformed our best super returns over the last ten years.

I’m not about to put my super into a 100% bitcoin  (but that’s offered by my super company ) anytime soon but I so believe crypto currency is here to stay.

Any investment in stocks/ shares: by default your super involves physical assets. Buildings, machinery etc.

These assets all require upkeep and $$$.

Bitcoin doesn’t.

Super can also change at any time at whim of a government.

What you are guaranteed today might be gone in six months if a new law is passed.


I read a little about tokens and that was way too much.
I had to have a beer , a bex and a lie down in bed  Grin

The next generation isn’t going to be so keen to invest in mining and banking or housing.

They will be tech savvy and environmentally conscious.

All imo.


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« Last Edit: Aug 24th, 2025 at 10:02pm by Daves2017 »  

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Bobby.
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #1203 - Aug 24th, 2025 at 10:18pm
 
TGD,
Quote:
Partly correct:  the US is borrowing money to ensure economic growth,
while reducing taxes to grow the economy -
hence the US is the fastest-growing G7 economy,
with low inflation despite its growing debt.


The US is printing money out of pure desperation because they
know their whole fake house of cards is on the brink of collapse.
While the $US is the reserve currency they will get away with it for a bit longer
but not if most other countries use other currencies as their reserve.

That is what the BRICS nations are trying to do:

Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Egypt,
Ethiopia, Indonesia, Iran, and the United Arab Emirates.
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #1204 - Aug 25th, 2025 at 12:10pm
 
Daves2017 wrote on Aug 24th, 2025 at 9:22pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on Aug 24th, 2025 at 10:20am:
Daves2017 wrote on Aug 23rd, 2025 at 10:41pm:
I just put another $100 into bitcoin and my balance is now 195..58.


Yes, until someone  with a large holding  decides to take profits and sell bitcoin.

Quote:
Given coinspot outrageous fees of $1 a transaction I calculated even losses are better then what my balance in super is losing with fees in the thousands.


?

Last year super funds grew by  10%:

(google)

For example, as of June 2025, the median Growth fund returned 10.5%, while more conservative options may have delivered around 6.68% in the same period.

What fees are you paying?

The important thing is the value of the currency (Oz dollars) in your super funds is related to the value of Oz's productive capacity and resulting output; whereas the value of bitcoin is related to .......you tell us.....


Good question and I have been researching it and still far from certain.
My super fees are capped at $2500 p.a.  And the majority of my super is invested in overseas companies.

Australia is cute but not a real player in the world market place.

My view atm is that bitcoin is simply a speculative currency. I think I compare it to stocks of  traditional commodities.

You speculate that they will make money and that the stock price will rise. A important difference is that stocks do this by making profits  and paying a dividend ( hopefully) whereas Bitcoin seems to be completely speculative.

ATM in my complete novice opinion I believe bitcoin was created to enable peer to peer trading worldwide without government interference and monitoring and regulation and cut out the middleman, banks etc.
I suspect it was never intended to be a wealth making scheme of its own but again I don’t know F all.

I’m attracted to bitcoin because 1 it’s something new I want to understand. 2 it originally was set up to avoid government interference. 3 it has outperformed our best super returns over the last ten years.

I’m not about to put my super into a 100% bitcoin  (but that’s offered by my super company ) anytime soon but I so believe crypto currency is here to stay.

Any investment in stocks/ shares: by default your super involves physical assets. Buildings, machinery etc.

These assets all require upkeep and $$$.

Bitcoin doesn’t.

Super can also change at any time at whim of a government.

What you are guaranteed today might be gone in six months if a new law is passed.


I read a little about tokens and that was way too much.
I had to have a beer , a bex and a lie down in bed  Grin

The next generation isn’t going to be so keen to invest in mining and banking or housing.

They will be tech savvy and environmentally conscious.

All imo.


Good post.

You admit there is no explanation re the basis of  bitcoin's value, other than speculative forces;  and a (Libetarian?) dislike of government and fiat currencies.

Fair enough.   

You mentioned the young losing interest in investing in mining and banking - and (unaffordable) housing - that's a good point: CBA shares are now overvalued, and BHP shares have been stuck at  c. 50 bucks for decades...  while apparently the "milloinaires factory" (MQG, in which I hold shares) include crooks who  are cleverly gambling in derivatives - which Buffett has called 'financial weapons of mass destruction'.

(I certainly don't understand their business model, thereby breaking one of Buffett's investment rules....it's speculative for me, with their shares at least related to production in the real economy. I've done very well since buying in at the depth of the GFC... both of us will need to keep an eye out for the "fall" which might be around the corner if the AI revolution doesn't deliver....you can be sure people will sell MQG and bitcoin). 

But hopefully AI will advance the real economy - producing the necessities and desirabilities of life for the benfit of all, enabling the young to invest in the real economy including mining which might at least  pay fat dividends, if not capital gains.

Finally  (for bobby) re resurrecting gold - just another commodity - as a standard for international exchange (which is exercising bobby so much); I read China has discovered potentially the world's largest  gold mine , worth $83 billion at  current prices.

$83 billion?   

Small change in terms of the size of the world's largest economies - which is why gold was abandoned as a standard by Nixon (there isn't enough gold in the world to guarantee payment on demand, for commodities exchanged in international trade  nowadays.

Much better to guarantee the maintenance of fiat currencies' value, by good government management.

Including funding the public sector for free  (while avoiding  inflation) - the topic of this thread.


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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #1205 - Aug 25th, 2025 at 12:53pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Aug 24th, 2025 at 10:18pm:
TGD wrote:[i]Partly correct:  the US is borrowing money to ensure economic growth,
while reducing taxes to grow the economy -
hence the US is the fastest-growing G7 economy,
with low inflation despite its growing debt.[i]

The US is printing money out of pure desperation because they
know their whole fake house of cards is on the brink of collapse.


Wrong again: the US is borrowing printed money which "must be repaid" to US citizens, as opposed to "printing money" for the public sector for free - which is what the US SHOULD be doing, to ensure it can maintain a minimal degree of social harmony (pity about the homeless, but they are only a small minority...and Trump can send in the national  guard...) while spending as much on defence as the next 10 nations combined - AND reducing taxation.

The US won't collapse unless Chinese science eventually enables  the PLA to tell the Pentagon where to go....not likely in the foreseeable future.

Meanwhile , it's pathetic to see Trump defunding research, and vital spending like overseas aid and Medicaid, driven by obsolete 'balanced government budget mythology; c-i governments need to manage resource allocation and development, including via the non-market economy, rather than managing  financial budgets (like you and I must do).

Quote:
While the $US is the reserve currency they will get away with it for a bit longer but not if most other countries use other currencies as their reserve.

That is what the BRICS nations are trying to do:

Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Egypt,
Ethiopia, Indonesia, Iran, and the United Arab Emirates.


Yes, and addressed above. The US is actually growing faster than China post covid at present, because the US is deficit spending way beyond China's level and the BRICS levels).   

Luckily for the US, China's leading  economists  (at the PBofC) are also mainstream 'balanced-budget', Harvard-educated fools, who can't work out how to use China's tremendous industrial "over-capacity" to benefit Chinese consumers, in the face of Western tariffs on Chinese goods.... hence the high youth unemployment and DE-flation in China caused by the US 'decoupling' from  and containment of China.
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Daves2017
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #1206 - Aug 25th, 2025 at 11:44pm
 
I am now down $15 in my bitcoin wallet and  devastated 😏.Waiting to see how deep the dip goes before investing again.

It’s nothing but fun trying to time a dip in shares and buy in.

I’m learning a lot and enjoying watching the market.

I’m just really interested in understanding crypto and how it works.

It’s not going anywhere and is a disruptive to the MMT.

I don’t think I’m a libertarian but maybe.

I travel a lot and the ability to transfer funds overseas and actually pay for goods and services overseas without using traditional methods is appealing.

I’m still devastated I have lost $15 so far.

I suggest avoiding any financial advice I might give 😂

Cheers
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #1207 - Aug 27th, 2025 at 1:01pm
 
Daves2017 wrote on Aug 25th, 2025 at 11:44pm:
I
It’s nothing but fun trying to time a dip in shares and buy in.


Provided you can afford to lose money,  if the market goes thge wrong way.

Quote:
I’m just really interested in understanding crypto and how it works.

It’s not going anywhere and is a disruptive to the MMT.


Here is MMT prof. Bill Mitchell's latest article on digital currencies:

https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=62736

Cryptocurrencies are not currencies
August 25, 2025

You will find it an interesting read.

As to "disruptive to MMT": MMT sowed the seeds of its own rejection by post-Keynesian economists promoting  [i]free-enterprise, "invisible hand" free market dogmas including "other peoples' money", because MMTers did not develop non-market inflation control methods.

Hence leading to mainstream accusations (like Booby's) that  "printing money will cause inflation".

MMT didn't consider non-market inflation control tools because MMT's  founders were bankers or academics in the free enterprise world.   

Quote:
Cheers


Thanks.
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #1208 - Aug 27th, 2025 at 2:29pm
 
Trump's efforts to replace federal taxes (in the US) with tariffs appear to be working, but will price rises spoil the party?

(Fortune)

Trump’s tariffs are becoming such an important revenue source that they’re now propping up America’s debt rating

S&P Global reaffirmed its AA+ credit rating and stable outlook last week owing in part to “robust tariff income,” which should help offset the impact of tax cuts and spending in the federal budget. While S&P doesn’t see meaningful improvement in the fiscal deficit, it doesn’t expect steep deterioration either. However, reciprocal tariffs face legal challenges and could be struck down.
Ratings agency S&P Global had some good news and bad news on the U.S. deficit outlook. The good news is that it won’t get much worse. The bad news is that it won’t get much better, either.

A key factor for the deficit forecast is President Donald Trump’s tariffs, which should help offset the impact of tax cuts and spending in the federal budget.

S&P reaffirmed its AA+ rating on U.S. debt last week, citing the overall strength of the economy, institutions that provide effective checks and balances, proactive monetary policy, and the dollar’s status as the world’s top reserve currency.

The outlook on the credit rating, which is a notch below the top AAA grade, remains stable because the deficit won’t muddy the picture.

“This incorporates our view that changes underway in domestic and international policies won’t weigh on the resilience and diversity of the U.S. economy,” S&P said in a statement. “And in turn, broad revenue buoyancy, including robust tariff income, will offset any fiscal slippage from tax cuts and spending increases.”

Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act is expected to add trillions of dollars to the deficit over the next decade as new tax cuts were added while spending saw cuts to some programs and hikes to others. At the same time, the Congressional Budget Office sees tariffs shaving trillions of dollars off the deficit.

S&P actually sees some improvement in the deficit, which is expected to shrink to 6% of GDP from 2025 to 2028, down from 7.5% in 2024 and an average of 9.8% from 2020 to 2023. But that will not stop the total debt from soaring past record highs last seen during World War II.

Meanwhile, S&P sees GDP growth accelerating to an average pace of 2% in 2027 and 2028, from 1.7% in 2025 and 1.6% in 2026.

“The combined implementation and execution of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, higher tariff revenue gains, and their effect on growth and investment will inform whether the fiscal trajectory improves or worsens,” S&P added.

So a lot is riding on tariffs. And given Washington’s reluctance to raise revenue via income tax hikes, analysts have pointed out an estimated $300 billion to $400 billion a year in tariff revenue would be too much to turn away, meaning levies are likely here to stay.

But so-called reciprocal tariffs are facing legal challenges that dispute their legal justification under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA).

A decision from a federal appeals court is expected by the end of September, but could come as soon as late August. And a letter from Justice Department officials with doomsday warnings about what would happen if tariffs are struck down suggested to some on Wall Street that the administration fears a court loss.

“In such a scenario, people would be forced from their homes, millions of jobs would be eliminated, hardworking Americans would lose their savings, and even Social Security and Medicare could be threatened,” the officials wrote. “In short, the economic consequences would be ruinous, instead of unprecedented success.”

Considering how important tariff revenue is to the U.S. credit rating, what would happen if the reciprocal duties are struck down? Would the U.S. be downgraded? S&P didn’t respond to a request for comment.

Meanwhile, not everyone is as sanguine about tariffs as S&P and the CBO are. Fitch ratings also reaffirmed its AA+ U.S. credit rating last week—but sees deficits worsening despite the tariff revenue windfall.

The deficit should shrink this year to 6.9% of GDP from 7.7% in 2024, as the resilient economy, solid stock market, and tariff revenues send federal receipts higher. But when new tax cuts take hold next year, the situation will actually become worse than in 2024, as overall revenue drops. Fitch sees deficits spiking to 7.8% of GDP in 2026 and 7.9% in 2027.

“Government revenues will fall, driven by additional tax exemptions on tips and overtime, expanded deductions for state and local taxes (SALT), and additional deductions for people over 65 included in the OBBBA, despite the continued increases in tariff revenues, which Fitch expects to average USD300 billion in both years,” the ratings agency said in a statement.


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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #1209 - Aug 28th, 2025 at 11:48am
 
Re Bobby's and Ray Dalio's government debt concerns: currency-issuing governments shouldn't issue debt (ie. borrow money) at all.

Their task is to ensure public sector spending doesn't cause inflation. 

'Independent' central bank  tools  - aka monetary policy - are not suitable for public sector inflation control, because the public sector's task is different to the private sector's task (which is to incentivize profit-seeking creativity among individuals competing for private wealth accumulation), and should  ensure housing, education, work skills, and employment for all (regardless of the private sector business cycle) - goals which are impossible for the private sector to achieve.

Therefore central banks should not be independent of government which should oversee mandated full employment and zero central bank interest rates, as part of ensuring effective operations in both sectors.

.....

Meanwhile prof Steve Keen  is working  to relieve the mainstream of their government debt delusions: 

New YouTube video explaining government money creation to Ray Dalio
Both Government and Private Debt Create Money


Steve Keen
Aug 25


"The sequel to my very popular video on what Ray Dalio gets right about credit is now up on YouTube":

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f2kRVQaTPRc

"I’ll do a more detailed video soon on what economists don’t understand about money, which is the root cause of the paranoia that people like Ray have about government debt".


Meanwhile reports that France might be forced to go to the IMF for a  'bailout',  due to its government debt, are making news in Europe. Certainly France is now facing political chaos, if not actual financial chaos.

Meanwhile mainstream economists are content to trash democracy, rather than  ensure the essentials for all.




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« Last Edit: Aug 28th, 2025 at 11:55am by thegreatdivide »  
 
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #1210 - Aug 28th, 2025 at 12:10pm
 
Re 'Public Money. Public Good'.

https://publicmoneypublicgood.net/

The public money of the Commonwealth of Australia (as opposed to 'tax-payer money')  must be used to enable our collective material, social and existential well-being.

Our currency can and should mobilise resources that are required for our fundamental human rights. Free and first-class healthcare, free education, a socially acceptable wage, secure meaningful employment, sufficient, safe and secure housing, fair access to transport, the right to public commons and the right to belong in society are our fundamental human rights. The Commonwealth can fund these essentials sufficiently and indefinitely without risk of financial instability or insolvency.

There is an alternative to the destructive path we are on. We face the escalating and causally entangled crises of entrenched inequality, persistent manufactured insecurity, destruction of our ecosphere pending imminent ecological collapse, intentional destruction of public trust, growing misplaced distrust of public institutions and rise of authoritarianism. Yet, we have a clear choice to help avoid these multiple catastrophes.

We cannot wait any longer for the wellbeing we deserve in our society.

Join us if you are a committed individual, union, social justice movement, community organisation, work in social services and anyone who knows that we deserve better. This group will lobby politicians and build a network of organisations.

Let’s demand Public Money for the Public Good.


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Reply #1211 - Aug 28th, 2025 at 5:54pm
 
More political disillusionment - in  the UK as well as France - caused by the mainstream's paranoia re government debt, and the resulting rise of populist parties:

(Daily Mirror)

Labour sinks to its lowest poll rating in six years - as Reform UK enjoys eight-point lead

Sir Keir Starmer has been dealt another blow after Labour's popularity was revealed to have sunk to its lowest level in six years.

A YouGov poll, published while the Prime Minister enjoys a family holiday abroad, showed just 20 per cent of voters would back Labour at a general election.

This is both the party's worst result since Sir Keir took office and their lowest rating since 2019.

Reform UK were shown to hold an eight-point lead over Labour, with Nigel Farage's party backed by 28 per cent of voters.

Meanwhile, the Tories were on 17 per cent, one point ahead of the Liberal Democrats on 16 per cent, and the Green Party was supported by 11 per cent of respondents.

It came as Labour stepped up its attacks on Reform today, although a senior minister denied the party is 'running scared' of Mr Farage's outfit.

Ahead of a Westminster speech in which he repeatedly hit out at Mr Farage, Cabinet Office minister Nick Thomas-Symonds acknowledged the Labour Government viewed Reform as the 'real opposition' ahead the Tories.

'At the moment that is the case because the Conservatives are essentially, they're like a party that has simply nothing to say, they're not on the pitch,' he told BBC Radio 4's Today programme.


....

That's correct: the mainstream Conservatives are irrelevent, but the so-called 'progressive' UK Labour party is also rendered useless, as Reeves tries to 'balance the budget'  - hence Labour's  rapidly evaporating vote, crippled by the need to raise taxes (which is politically toxic) or reduce spending, which hurts the lower half of the population.

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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #1212 - Aug 29th, 2025 at 8:08am
 
Another country experiencing political violence caused by the false belief that government must balance its budget: now in Indonesia - which is still a developing economy, unlike the UK and France who are also facing political dysfunction.

Trump's tariffs haven't helped; companies have been laying off workers a a result of US tariffs, for several months.   

Students and workers are protesting the high wages of politicians who are imposing  austerity on the rest of the population, as the President seeks to balance the budget in his term of office.

The resulting rioting and fights with police in the streets of the capital and elsewhere are the logical outcome, as economic orthodoxy fails to promote the general welfare - only the welfare of politicians and rich people.

https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2025/8/26/indonesian-police-clash-with-...

Indonesia Riot Police Clash With Students| Stones Pelted, Tear Gas Fired| Protests Over MP Salaries
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #1213 - Aug 30th, 2025 at 10:31am
 
Re the feud over the "independence" of the reserve bank, and the US (read Trump) government's rejection of this "independence:

(Raw Story)

JD Vance just said the 'quiet part out loud' in Trump's escalating feud: analyst

The government's view:

Vance later shared the White House's viewpoint on the Fed.

"Isn’t it a little preposterous to say that the president of the United States — the elected president of the United States, working of course in concert with Congress — doesn’t have the ability to make these determinations? I don’t think that we allow bureaucrats to sit from on high and make decisions about monetary policy and interest rates without any input from the people that were elected to serve the American people."


cf. the economic mainstream's view:

On Friday, Steve Benen, a producer for "The Rachel Maddow Show" and editor of MaddowBlog, flagged recent remarks from Trump's No. 2 about Cook's ouster, which Benen found revealing.

Benen noted it should be "obvious" why the Fed is largely independent and "makes its own decisions about interest rates: It’s because politicians are really bad at it."

"The whole point of removing partisan, electoral and political considerations from the process is because, in some instances, it’s necessary to deliberately slow economic growth in order to address broader concerns about problems such as inflation. But because elected officials, who fear a backlash from voters, are always going to be reluctant to make the economy worse on purpose, our system puts these decisions in the hands of Senate-confirmed professionals at the Fed," he wrote.

Benen concluded that Trump either wants to "bully them into submission or replace them with knee-jerk loyalists" so he can boost economic growth regardless of the long-term repercussions.


.......

The flaws in the mainstream view presented by Bennen are numerous:

1. "Politicians are really bad at setting interest rates" - why?

Because pollies "don't like slowing the economy to...... control inflation".

Yet mainstream economists supporting the 'invisible hand' free markets ARE ok with raising interest rates to "slow the economy", regardless of the higher unemployment, and transfer of wealth from poor borrowers to rich savers resulting from higher interest rates.  Obviously mainstream economists won't be the ones losing their jobs in a deliberately-engineered downturn.

2.  "Elected officials will always fear a backlash from the public", and are therefore "reluctant to make the economy worse on purpose." 

...surely pointing a systemic failure of Neoclassical economics: why must the economy be made worse, to control inflation?

Deplorable mainstream economics.




 



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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #1214 - Aug 30th, 2025 at 10:41am
 
Who'd have thunk it?

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-08-29/sovereign-citizen-growing-movement-region...

Why regional Australia is fertile ground for sovereign citizen movement

In short:

A leading expert on extremist and ideological groups says inequality is contributing to the growth of fringe groups in rural and regional Australia.

Deakin University's associate professor Josh Roose says housing shortages and a lack of opportunities are making some people susceptible to groups offering simple solutions to complex problems.


"It's the economy, stupid"....
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