Sorry Gold, You Are Being Left In The Stone Age
Gold (NYSEARCA:GLD) is being left behind by technology. The technology is Bitcoin (Pending:COIN)(OTCQX:GBTC). It is not even the recent price action that gives Bitcoin it's advantage, it's the functionality. Below a chart that explains the differences between different traits of money.
The biggest advantage of Bitcoin is the ease of transfer over Gold. How long would it take you to send an oz in the cross coast in the US? Well you could overnight it and insure it which will cost at least $75. So your gold would arrive in about 12 hours. Compared to Bitcoin, you can send it anywhere in the world instantly and confirmed on its ledger within hours. All for pennies, a 99.9% savings over gold. It is also difficult to spend gold. Typically you will need to sell gold to buy fiat currency to then buy what you want/need. For most products and services, there is no need to convert before spending.
Gold does have historical value over Bitcoin. Salt used to be more valuable than Gold. Historical usage is put to side by new technology. Historically, horse usage was much higher until it was replaced by engine. Often the last argument for Gold is intrinsic value. Sure it looks pretty and can transfer electricity well but many other metals do that as well. If the price of Gold skyrockets, producers will look for cheaper alternatives (which exist) which would push down price.
Bitcoin will continue to press down on Gold. Bitcoin as a new technology, many fear it. Humans have a history of fearing or rejecting new technology. Bitcoin is currently 2.8% of the silver market and .25% of the Gold market. I see Bitcoin growing to a larger percentage by 2020. I see Bitcoin at $4000-5000 by the 2020 halving event which will reduce new supply even further. At In that same time frame I do not see Gold passing $1750.
http://seekingalpha.com/article/4032485-sorry-gold-left-stone-age