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Market notes (Read 32054 times)
kemal
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Re: Market notes
Reply #75 - Feb 2nd, 2018 at 7:37pm
 
bogarde73 wrote on Aug 22nd, 2017 at 6:00pm:
Reporting  season is when I spend time looking for dividend trades - stocks to get in & out of with a good yield and hopefully some profit.
Usually small to mid caps, but the fundamentals have to be good, the div yield above average and the chart promising.
Some stocks come just for the short stay, some stick around (like VLW), some repeat their visit more than once.
This year I'm looking at mostly getting out quick and staying cashed up for a possible crash in October/November. In any event I generally get out as soon as even a small profit is available.


How about looking at NOT taking a dividend!

NAB has for the last 3 halfs dropped in share price 3 to 4 dollars more than the $1 dividend just prior to the results being announced.
If? My theory works this time I will pick up 24K (DIV=$6K).
Using  this method I have already own 1.5k shares than when I first  observed this anomaly.

IF ANY PERSON ACTS ON THIS< DO NOT FORGET>
"sell in May and go away"
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Brian Ross on why Muslims kill Quote:-" It appears to be a cultural thing, rather than something they have learnt from their religion, despite what you appear to believe."
 
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Re: Market notes
Reply #76 - Feb 2nd, 2018 at 8:03pm
 
bogarde73 wrote on Aug 22nd, 2017 at 6:00pm:
Reporting  season is when I spend time looking for dividend trades - stocks to get in & out of with a good yield and hopefully some profit.
Usually small to mid caps, but the fundamentals have to be good, the div yield above average and the chart promising.
Some stocks come just for the short stay, some stick around (like VLW), some repeat their visit more than once.
This year I'm looking at mostly getting out quick and staying cashed up for a possible crash in October/November. In any event I generally get out as soon as even a small profit is available.



Fascinating difference of ideology there.
The winners I want to hold, in  the idea they will win more.
The losers, I sell, in the idea they will lose more.

But, in all regards, never let a winner turn into a loser.
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bogarde73
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Re: Market notes
Reply #77 - Feb 3rd, 2018 at 2:14pm
 
Just now I'm more worried about a Grey Monday and a Black Tuesday. I don't think I'll get out of bed.
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Know the enemies of a civil society by their public behaviour, by their fraudulent claim to be liberal-progressive, by their propensity to lie and, above all, by their attachment to authoritarianism.
 
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Sprintcyclist
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Re: Market notes
Reply #78 - Feb 3rd, 2018 at 2:27pm
 

The sun will still rise.
The World will still spin.
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bogarde73
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Re: Market notes
Reply #79 - Feb 5th, 2018 at 9:18am
 
And Trump will still be President sprint.

The AllOrds is currently down 92 but most of my stocks are up. Can't figure that.
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Know the enemies of a civil society by their public behaviour, by their fraudulent claim to be liberal-progressive, by their propensity to lie and, above all, by their attachment to authoritarianism.
 
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bogarde73
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Re: Market notes
Reply #80 - Feb 5th, 2018 at 4:17pm
 
That was definitely a grey day for the market. Now it depends how Wall St starts its week as to whether tomorrow will be a black Tuesday.
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Know the enemies of a civil society by their public behaviour, by their fraudulent claim to be liberal-progressive, by their propensity to lie and, above all, by their attachment to authoritarianism.
 
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bogarde73
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Re: Market notes
Reply #81 - Feb 6th, 2018 at 9:48am
 
Still early but this doesn't look like the big one.
That's probably still to come.
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Know the enemies of a civil society by their public behaviour, by their fraudulent claim to be liberal-progressive, by their propensity to lie and, above all, by their attachment to authoritarianism.
 
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Gordon
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Re: Market notes
Reply #82 - Feb 6th, 2018 at 2:32pm
 
I jumped in and bought some calls, ever the optimist Wink
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bogarde73
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Re: Market notes
Reply #83 - Feb 6th, 2018 at 3:19pm
 
I think the bloke from Blackrock is right, that over this year there will be a 20% fall. But it will mostly come in one major hit imo and then flatline for a while before sentiment turns back to buy.
That'll be the time to buy. But even then the banks for example won't get down to what they were in 2008.
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Know the enemies of a civil society by their public behaviour, by their fraudulent claim to be liberal-progressive, by their propensity to lie and, above all, by their attachment to authoritarianism.
 
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Gordon
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Re: Market notes
Reply #84 - Feb 6th, 2018 at 3:40pm
 
bogarde73 wrote on Feb 6th, 2018 at 3:19pm:
I think the bloke from Blackrock is right, that over this year there will be a 20% fall. But it will mostly come in one major hit imo and then flatline for a while before sentiment turns back to buy.
That'll be the time to buy. But even then the banks for example won't get down to what they were in 2008.


I'm in it for the bounce and will be out by the end of the week, for richer or poorer.
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Gordon
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Re: Market notes
Reply #85 - Feb 9th, 2018 at 10:29am
 
Gordon wrote on Feb 6th, 2018 at 3:40pm:
bogarde73 wrote on Feb 6th, 2018 at 3:19pm:
I think the bloke from Blackrock is right, that over this year there will be a 20% fall. But it will mostly come in one major hit imo and then flatline for a while before sentiment turns back to buy.
That'll be the time to buy. But even then the banks for example won't get down to what they were in 2008.


I'm in it for the bounce and will be out by the end of the week, for richer or poorer.


Another nice drop today but I'm not going to jump in. I hate buying options on a Friday, plus I think it's going to be another day of pain on Monday.
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bogarde73
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Re: Market notes
Reply #86 - Feb 12th, 2018 at 9:41am
 
Goldman calls regime change.
The buy-the-dip is out, the sell-the-rally is in.
Sounds good advice in part, but selling should have been done last year and buying should be done when the BIG dip comes.
Except of course for the long holds - a loss can become a profit.
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Know the enemies of a civil society by their public behaviour, by their fraudulent claim to be liberal-progressive, by their propensity to lie and, above all, by their attachment to authoritarianism.
 
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bogarde73
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Re: Market notes
Reply #87 - Feb 28th, 2018 at 9:51am
 
I suspect after recent events like the RFG saga, Caltex will not be the only large company to take this decision:

The staff under payments scandal at some of its franchisees exposed two years ago by the media has seen Caltex Australia reverse course and commit $120 million to taking out all its franchisees over the next three years.

By 2020 it will own only company-controlled outlets, Caltex said the yesterday in its 2017 financial results announcement.
While full-year profit result was largely in line with guidance, it was the results of a two-year review into its convenience retail model that generated news. That followed the emergence of a wage underpayment scandal within its franchise system.

Franchisees operate 433 Caltex sites and the company currently operates 314 sites, up from 152 sites a year ago.
“Caltex aims to transition all retail franchise sites to company operations by mid-2020,” Caltex said.

"Franchising has been an integral part of growing the retail business," the company said in a statement.

"Caltex appreciates that this is a significant decision and it will affect many of our franchisees. Caltex will work with our franchisees to manage the impact of this change, including by offering franchisees transition support and offering employment to all franchisee employees.”

Total costs of the store conversion is estimated to be around $100 million to $120 million over the next three years.

This includes money for franchisees who agree to a reduced tenure and acquisition of working capital and fixed assets.

CEO Julian Segal denied the change had anything to do with the underpayment scandal which is still being investigated by the Fair Work Commission. "The decision to take over the operations has nothing to do with the franchise underpayment issue," he told reporters on Tuesday.

Caltex said yesterday that it is about halfway through an audit of its franchise network following the media reports about staff underpayments and so far 77 franchisees have left the business due to breaches.

Another 116 agreements were terminated after franchisees left the network without participating in the audit, 29 sites are resolving minor issues while 70 sites have been cleared.

According to media reports Mr Segal said taking control “of the core business” would allow Caltex to best achieve its growth targets. “This is key to accelerating the changes required to provide a more consistent customer experience, to roll out new platforms, to standardise services and to simplify supply arrangements,” he said.

Caltex has already rolled out 26 of its new format “The Foodary” pilot stores that offer healthy food on-the-go and convenient services like internet parcel pick-up and dry cleaning (a bit like Seven Eleven outlets in Japan, for example).

But this is retailing where it will be up against similar chains run by Shell, BP and Seven Eleven, for example.
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Know the enemies of a civil society by their public behaviour, by their fraudulent claim to be liberal-progressive, by their propensity to lie and, above all, by their attachment to authoritarianism.
 
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bogarde73
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Re: Market notes
Reply #88 - Mar 8th, 2018 at 9:50am
 
The Fin Review says today RFG may close up to 400! stores.

I wonder is any one of their brands most likely to be severely chopped. Gloria Jeans? Donut King is it? I wouldn't think Michelle's Patisserie.

A lot of jobs, part time of course mostly, in 400 stores.
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Know the enemies of a civil society by their public behaviour, by their fraudulent claim to be liberal-progressive, by their propensity to lie and, above all, by their attachment to authoritarianism.
 
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Re: Market notes
Reply #89 - Mar 8th, 2018 at 10:57am
 
I do better on Roulette than you guys on Stocks.  Cheesy
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AIMLESS EXTENTION OF KNOWLEDGE HOWEVER, WHICH IS WHAT I THINK YOU REALLY MEAN BY THE TERM 'CURIOSITY', IS MERELY INEFFICIENCY. I AM DESIGNED TO AVOID INEFFICIENCY.
 
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