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New poll shows Libs 55/45 (Read 12518 times)
mariacostel
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Re: New poll shows Libs 55/45
Reply #180 - Feb 10th, 2016 at 3:53pm
 
Bam wrote on Feb 10th, 2016 at 12:05pm:
mariacostel wrote on Feb 9th, 2016 at 6:14pm:
Its time wrote on Feb 9th, 2016 at 6:12pm:
Smell the fear , its palpable


In you, yes.  Already the media and political analysts are talking about the possibility of a GST in 2020 if it is taken to the 2019 election by a Liberal government. Not one person gives Labor a chance to even get close at the election this year.

Essential 51-49


Because Essential is so accurate? The only poll to predict a Labor victory in 2013.
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Melanias purse
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Re: New poll shows Libs 55/45
Reply #181 - Feb 10th, 2016 at 4:02pm
 
mariacostel wrote on Feb 10th, 2016 at 3:53pm:
Bam wrote on Feb 10th, 2016 at 12:05pm:
mariacostel wrote on Feb 9th, 2016 at 6:14pm:
Its time wrote on Feb 9th, 2016 at 6:12pm:
Smell the fear , its palpable


In you, yes.  Already the media and political analysts are talking about the possibility of a GST in 2020 if it is taken to the 2019 election by a Liberal government. Not one person gives Labor a chance to even get close at the election this year.

Essential 51-49


Because Essential is so accurate? The only poll to predict a Labor victory in 2013.


Longy disagreed with the very idea of polls when Mr Abbott was in, dear. They were never accurate, people lied, the pollsters were crooks, the maths were wrong, etc, etc, etc.

If he was here, he'd disagree with you completely.
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mariacostel
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Re: Feb poll shows Libs 52.5 (-2.5)/Labor 47.5 (+2.5)
Reply #182 - Feb 10th, 2016 at 6:21pm
 
Melanias purse wrote on Feb 10th, 2016 at 12:14pm:
mariacostel wrote on Feb 9th, 2016 at 6:13pm:
Aussie wrote on Feb 9th, 2016 at 6:09pm:
mariacostel wrote on Feb 9th, 2016 at 6:04pm:
Aussie wrote on Feb 9th, 2016 at 4:30pm:
mariacostel wrote on Feb 9th, 2016 at 4:22pm:
John Smith wrote on Feb 9th, 2016 at 4:07pm:
Redmond Neck wrote on Feb 9th, 2016 at 4:03pm:



hmmm, it looks like it's falling to me but surely it can't be, Maria says it's not.


Morgan is always all over the place. They had the libs at 56.5 and now 52.5 all while the majors just stay on 53/47. Now without the GST holding them back, the polls will only improve.


Nah.  Labor can justifiably say that the Libs may have taken it out of debate, but their intent will be to introduce it after the election if they win.  Labor would be nuts not to take that line.


Who would believe them? The record so far is that the GST has only eve been taken to an election. Meanwhile, Labor has the Carbon Tax fiasco as a weight on its election credibility.


Gillard's situation was entirely different from Abbott's.  Must I yet again post that video of Abbott lying his arse off on the eve of the 2013 election?


It's not at all different. Gillard made a rock-solid unconditional election promise and broke it for no reason a few days later.


Er, she formed a minority government in partnership with a minor party, dear. The carbon tax was an interim move to an emissions trading scheme. As she said, there will be no carbon tax under a government I lead...

BUT I AM DETERMINED TO PRICE CARBON.

Mr Abbott promised not to make any cuts while at the same time, he planned to make them. University reform, Welfare reform - these had been years in the planning. The cuts to the ABC and SBS were completely predictable. The massive cuts to forward state revenue, however, were a surprise to all, and were designed as such. They were a political move to shock the states into supporting a hike to the GST. The Libs went into the 2013 election with a GST rise planned for the next election.

Longy used the John Hewson argument for this: Mr Abbott would have been crazy to promise cuts during an election campaign - look what happened to John Hewson. In so doing, of course, Longy supported the use of white lies during elections. Don't tell the electorate anything, but if you do, be flexible with the truth.

Gillard, on the other hand, went into the 2010 election with no intention of a carbon tax. She agreed to an interim carbon tax to form minority government, in much the same way as David Cameron was forced to change policies to form a minority government with the Lib Dems.  The carbon tax was not Labor policy - it was the result of a post-election deal.

If the Libs had formed minority government, they would have needed to change policies too. The reason they were not asked to form government is the independents didn't trust Mr Abbott, who at one point said he'd do anything but sell his arse. Mr Abbott met them in his office, reclined in a chair with his feet on his desk. Windsor and Oakeshot thought he was just the type to go back on a deal.

Just look how right they were. Mr Abbott is now down as being the most untrustworthy politician in Australian history. The Libs themselves acknowledge that they couldn't continue with a PM who had lost such trust with the Australian people. Mr Abbott based his campaign on integrity, and meanwhile, he was planning to do the opposite of his election promises. When he got in, his economic policies proved so different from his election promises, most were rejected in the senate.

There are too many of Mr Abbott's lies to mention. They put Gillard's shift to a carbon tax "lie" to bed. Mr Abbott's fibs, along with the gall of his "integrity" mantras (under-promise and over-deliver, say what you'll do and do what you say, etc), have had the effect of redeeming Gillard. Until Mr Abbott came to power, Australia had not seen such a scale of lies and broken promises. There is no comparison in Australian history. What the electorate could never fathom was how Mr Abbott could keep pretending he never went back on a promise. To this day, according to journalists who've interviewed him, Mr Abbott doesn't seem to get it. He blames the press. He blames the senate. He even blames sexism for the "attacks" on his chief of staff.

Mr Abbott has outdone JuLiar in every possible way imaginable. Truth is stranger than fiction, eh?

No one could have made this up.


Anyone who believes Bob Brown would have supported a Liberal Abbott government if Gillard wouldnt put a carbon tax in place really needs some mental health treatment. She could have abused the Greens every day and they still would have supported her.  When the ALP finally tore up the Greens agreement, what changed? NOTHING.
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Bam
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Re: New poll shows Libs 55/45
Reply #183 - Feb 10th, 2016 at 8:01pm
 
mariacostel wrote on Feb 10th, 2016 at 3:53pm:
Bam wrote on Feb 10th, 2016 at 12:05pm:
mariacostel wrote on Feb 9th, 2016 at 6:14pm:
Its time wrote on Feb 9th, 2016 at 6:12pm:
Smell the fear , its palpable


In you, yes.  Already the media and political analysts are talking about the possibility of a GST in 2020 if it is taken to the 2019 election by a Liberal government. Not one person gives Labor a chance to even get close at the election this year.

Essential 51-49


Because Essential is so accurate? The only poll to predict a Labor victory in 2013.

You don't get to pick and choose. You were wrong, admit it.
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You are not entitled to your opinion. You are only entitled to hold opinions that you can defend through sound, reasoned argument.
 
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Its time
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Re: New poll shows Libs 55/45
Reply #184 - Feb 10th, 2016 at 8:07pm
 
Smell that , what ? FEAR
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Melanias purse
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Re: Feb poll shows Libs 52.5 (-2.5)/Labor 47.5 (+2.5)
Reply #185 - Feb 11th, 2016 at 9:33am
 
mariacostel wrote on Feb 10th, 2016 at 6:21pm:
Anyone who believes Bob Brown would have supported a Liberal Abbott government if Gillard wouldnt put a carbon tax in place really needs some mental health treatment. She could have abused the Greens every day and they still would have supported her.  When the ALP finally tore up the Greens agreement, what changed? NOTHING.


No, what Gillard got out of the Greens is an agreement to support policy. This was quid pro quo for the carbon tax. There was only one Green, I think, in the lower house - the house that forms government.

The independents drove the process. Windsor, Oakshot and Wilkie wanted action on climate change. Windsor and Oakshot were both ex-Nats. They were expected to put the Libs in. Indeed, Longy never forgave them for not doing this.

The carbon tax was not just to get the support of the Greens. The transition to a floating carbon price (the ETS) was the key. This is what the independents wanted. Gillard delivered.

Mr Abbott made noises about selling his arse.
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« Last Edit: Feb 11th, 2016 at 1:11pm by Melanias purse »  
 
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Redmond Neck
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Re: New poll shows Libs 55/45
Reply #186 - Feb 11th, 2016 at 9:43am
 
"The only poll that counts is on erection day!" eh Karnal?
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BAN ALL THESE ABO SITES RECOGNITIONS.

ALL AUSTRALIA IS FOR ALL AUSTRALIANS!
 
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Melanias purse
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Re: New poll shows Libs 55/45
Reply #187 - Feb 11th, 2016 at 1:11pm
 
Redmond Neck wrote on Feb 11th, 2016 at 9:43am:
"The only poll that counts is on erection day!" eh Karnal?


That's what Longy used to say.

I miss him, Redneck.
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John Smith
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Re: New poll shows Libs 55/45
Reply #188 - Feb 11th, 2016 at 1:16pm
 
Melanias purse wrote on Feb 11th, 2016 at 1:11pm:
Redmond Neck wrote on Feb 11th, 2016 at 9:43am:
"The only poll that counts is on erection day!" eh Karnal?


That's what Longy used to say.

I miss him, Redneck.


He'll be back just as soon as Maria takes her skirt off
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Our esteemed leader:
I hope that bitch who was running their brothels for them gets raped with a cactus.
 
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Redmond Neck
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Re: New poll shows Libs 55/45
Reply #189 - Feb 11th, 2016 at 2:09pm
 
I dont suppose Longy is being banned regularly which coincides with Maria appearing!

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BAN ALL THESE ABO SITES RECOGNITIONS.

ALL AUSTRALIA IS FOR ALL AUSTRALIANS!
 
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Aussie
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Re: New poll shows Libs 55/45
Reply #190 - Feb 11th, 2016 at 2:11pm
 
Redmond Neck wrote on Feb 11th, 2016 at 2:09pm:
I dont suppose Longy is being banned regularly which coincides with Maria appearing!



I doubt that.  The GMods would be all over it.
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« Last Edit: Feb 11th, 2016 at 2:33pm by Aussie »  
 
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Redmond Neck
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Re: New poll shows Libs 55/45
Reply #191 - Feb 11th, 2016 at 2:29pm
 
I dont suppose Longy is being banned regularly which coincides with Maria appearing!
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BAN ALL THESE ABO SITES RECOGNITIONS.

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mariacostel
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Re: New poll shows Libs 55/45
Reply #192 - Feb 11th, 2016 at 5:40pm
 
Bam wrote on Feb 10th, 2016 at 8:01pm:
mariacostel wrote on Feb 10th, 2016 at 3:53pm:
Bam wrote on Feb 10th, 2016 at 12:05pm:
mariacostel wrote on Feb 9th, 2016 at 6:14pm:
Its time wrote on Feb 9th, 2016 at 6:12pm:
Smell the fear , its palpable


In you, yes.  Already the media and political analysts are talking about the possibility of a GST in 2020 if it is taken to the 2019 election by a Liberal government. Not one person gives Labor a chance to even get close at the election this year.

Essential 51-49


Because Essential is so accurate? The only poll to predict a Labor victory in 2013.

You don't get to pick and choose. You were wrong, admit it.


How am I wrong about the Libs leading in the polls? Essential will probably show 54/46 next week and 50/50 the week after that. Newspoll - an actual accurate polls - has had them on 53/47 for a couple months. I dont feel very motivated in accepting Essential after they tipped Rudd would win the last election a few weeks out.
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Re: New poll shows Libs 55/45
Reply #193 - Feb 11th, 2016 at 5:45pm
 
Melanias purse wrote on Feb 10th, 2016 at 12:17pm:
THERE WILL BE NO CARBON TAX UNDER A GOVERNMENT I LEAD, DEAR.

...
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*Sure....they're anti competitive as any subsidised job is.  It wouldn't be there without the tax payer.  Very damned difficult for a brainwashed collectivist to understand that I know....  (swaggy) *
 
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Bam
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Re: New poll shows Libs 55/45
Reply #194 - Feb 11th, 2016 at 6:28pm
 
mariacostel wrote on Feb 11th, 2016 at 5:40pm:
Bam wrote on Feb 10th, 2016 at 8:01pm:
mariacostel wrote on Feb 10th, 2016 at 3:53pm:
Bam wrote on Feb 10th, 2016 at 12:05pm:
mariacostel wrote on Feb 9th, 2016 at 6:14pm:
Its time wrote on Feb 9th, 2016 at 6:12pm:
Smell the fear , its palpable


In you, yes.  Already the media and political analysts are talking about the possibility of a GST in 2020 if it is taken to the 2019 election by a Liberal government.
Not one person gives Labor a chance to even get close at the election this year.

Essential 51-49


Because Essential is so accurate? The only poll to predict a Labor victory in 2013.

You don't get to pick and choose. You were wrong, admit it.

How am I wrong about the Libs leading in the polls?

You said (which I have highlighted): "Not one person gives Labor a chance to even get close at the election this year." 51-49 not close enough for you?  Huh

Shifting the goalposts doesn't convince anyone.

mariacostel wrote on Feb 11th, 2016 at 5:40pm:
Essential will probably show 54/46 next week and 50/50 the week after that.

This shows how poorly informed you are on opinion polls, especially the methodology used by the major pollsters. Essential uses rolling averages. No wonder nobody takes your views on opinion polls seriously - or any other topic, for that matter.

mariacostel wrote on Feb 11th, 2016 at 5:40pm:
Newspoll - an actual accurate polls - has had them on 53/47 for a couple months. I dont feel very motivated in accepting Essential after they tipped Rudd would win the last election a few weeks out.

You don't feel motivated to accept ANY opinion pollster who has results you don't like. Your hatred of Morgan is well known, but you suddenly changed your mind when they had a few large leads for the Coalition.
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You are not entitled to your opinion. You are only entitled to hold opinions that you can defend through sound, reasoned argument.
 
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