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The joy- if not flat out mirth- of infinity... (Read 1051 times)
BatteriesNotIncluded
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The joy- if not flat out mirth- of infinity...
Apr 27th, 2015 at 12:40am
 
...

Guess what the error value on this factoid approximates  Cheesy Cheesy

source: http://www.climatecentral.org/news/earth-day-climate-trends-18907
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*Sure....they're anti competitive as any subsidised job is.  It wouldn't be there without the tax payer.  Very damned difficult for a brainwashed collectivist to understand that I know....  (swaggy) *
 
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progressiveslol
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Re: The joy- if not flat out mirth- of infinity...
Reply #1 - Apr 27th, 2015 at 1:19am
 
BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 12:40am:

Please show error bars and confidence level or lack there of..
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BatteriesNotIncluded
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Re: The joy- if not flat out mirth- of infinity...
Reply #2 - Apr 27th, 2015 at 1:25am
 
progressiveslol wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 1:19am:
BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 12:40am:

Please show error bars and confidence level or lack there of..

I just said it approximated infinity: how dumb are you  Roll Eyes Roll Eyes
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*Sure....they're anti competitive as any subsidised job is.  It wouldn't be there without the tax payer.  Very damned difficult for a brainwashed collectivist to understand that I know....  (swaggy) *
 
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progressiveslol
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Re: The joy- if not flat out mirth- of infinity...
Reply #3 - Apr 27th, 2015 at 6:58am
 
BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 1:25am:
progressiveslol wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 1:19am:
BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 12:40am:

Please show error bars and confidence level or lack there of..

I just said it approximated infinity: how dumb are you  Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

Didn't think you would, because that little graphy of yours is complete BS
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Chimp_Logic
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Re: The joy- if not flat out mirth- of infinity...
Reply #4 - Apr 27th, 2015 at 10:16am
 
BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 12:40am:


But Sir Booby has assured everyone in here that the ice age has only just commenced in 2014

Are you aware of Sir Booby's findings and excellent research analysis and references to back up every claim?

Nobody can argue with Dr Sircus - an acupuncturist who can cure cancer sufferers by administering Baking soda and magnesium, and who is also an expert climate scientist apparently in his spare time.

Poor Jethro - trapped in his own web of lies and self delusional fossil fuel and banking cartel spin
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Mini Ice Age (2014-2029)
Dr Sircus cures cancer with Baking Soda and Magnesium - Jethro the MENTAL GIANT & his flute madness
 
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lee
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Re: The joy- if not flat out mirth- of infinity...
Reply #5 - Apr 27th, 2015 at 10:48am
 
2014? har-de-har-har.

NOAA says with 48% confidence, NASA says with 38% confidence.

'Using a Monte Carlo approach (Arguez et al, 2013), NCDC considered the known uncertainty of the global land and ocean annual temperature in the 2014 annual ranking. Taking into account the uncertainty and assuming all years (1880-2014) in the time series are independent, the chance of 2014 being

    Warmest year on record: 48.0%
    One of the five warmest years: 90.4%
    One of the 10 warmest years: 99.2%
    One of the 20 warmest years: 100.0%
    Warmer than the 20th century average: 100.0%
    Warmer than the 1981-2010 average: 100.0%

NCDC follows these conventions to categorize the confidence associated with assertions made with respect to ranks used in the report:
Probability      Descriptor
> 99%      "almost certain"
90% - 99%      "very likely"
66.7% - 90%      "likely"
50% - 66.7%      "more likely than not"
33.3% - 50%      "more unlikely than likely"
10% - 33.3%      "unlikely"
1% - 10%      "very unlikely"
< 1%      "almost certainly not"  '

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/2014/13/supplemental/page-1

So at 48% - "more unlikely than likely"

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progressiveslol
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Re: The joy- if not flat out mirth- of infinity...
Reply #6 - Apr 27th, 2015 at 11:41am
 
lee wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 10:48am:
2014? har-de-har-har.

NOAA says with 48% confidence, NASA says with 38% confidence.

'Using a Monte Carlo approach (Arguez et al, 2013), NCDC considered the known uncertainty of the global land and ocean annual temperature in the 2014 annual ranking. Taking into account the uncertainty and assuming all years (1880-2014) in the time series are independent, the chance of 2014 being

    Warmest year on record: 48.0%
    One of the five warmest years: 90.4%
    One of the 10 warmest years: 99.2%
    One of the 20 warmest years: 100.0%
    Warmer than the 20th century average: 100.0%
    Warmer than the 1981-2010 average: 100.0%

NCDC follows these conventions to categorize the confidence associated with assertions made with respect to ranks used in the report:
Probability      Descriptor
> 99%      "almost certain"
90% - 99%      "very likely"
66.7% - 90%      "likely"
50% - 66.7%      "more likely than not"
33.3% - 50%      "more unlikely than likely"
10% - 33.3%      "unlikely"
1% - 10%      "very unlikely"
< 1%      "almost certainly not"  '

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/2014/13/supplemental/page-1

So at 48% - "more unlikely than likely"


Thanks for sharing. I knew deadhorse wouldn't.

Pretty funny using a graph that is "more unlikely than likely" and then try to use it as truth, but that's what we get from the AGW side of pseudo science.
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BatteriesNotIncluded
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Re: The joy- if not flat out mirth- of infinity...
Reply #7 - Apr 27th, 2015 at 12:33pm
 
Chimp_Logic wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 10:16am:
BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 12:40am:


But Sir Booby has assured everyone in here that the ice age has only just commenced in 2014

Are you aware of Sir Booby's findings and excellent research analysis and references to back up every claim?

Nobody can argue with Dr Sircus - an acupuncturist who can cure cancer sufferers by administering Baking soda and magnesium, and who is also an expert climate scientist apparently in his spare time.

Poor Jethro - trapped in his own web of lies and self delusional fossil fuel and banking cartel spin

He's got a facebook page and all  Cheesy Cheesy
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*Sure....they're anti competitive as any subsidised job is.  It wouldn't be there without the tax payer.  Very damned difficult for a brainwashed collectivist to understand that I know....  (swaggy) *
 
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BatteriesNotIncluded
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Re: The joy- if not flat out mirth- of infinity...
Reply #8 - Apr 27th, 2015 at 12:35pm
 
progressiveslol wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 11:41am:
lee wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 10:48am:
2014? har-de-har-har.

NOAA says with 48% confidence, NASA says with 38% confidence.

'Using a Monte Carlo approach (Arguez et al, 2013), NCDC considered the known uncertainty of the global land and ocean annual temperature in the 2014 annual ranking. Taking into account the uncertainty and assuming all years (1880-2014) in the time series are independent, the chance of 2014 being

    Warmest year on record: 48.0%
    One of the five warmest years: 90.4%
    One of the 10 warmest years: 99.2%
    One of the 20 warmest years: 100.0%
    Warmer than the 20th century average: 100.0%
    Warmer than the 1981-2010 average: 100.0%

NCDC follows these conventions to categorize the confidence associated with assertions made with respect to ranks used in the report:
Probability      Descriptor
> 99%      "almost certain"
90% - 99%      "very likely"
66.7% - 90%      "likely"
50% - 66.7%      "more likely than not"
33.3% - 50%      "more unlikely than likely"
10% - 33.3%      "unlikely"
1% - 10%      "very unlikely"
< 1%      "almost certainly not"  '

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/2014/13/supplemental/page-1

So at 48% - "more unlikely than likely"


Thanks for sharing. I knew deadhorse wouldn't.

Pretty funny using a graph that is "more unlikely than likely" and then try to use it as truth, but that's what we get from the AGW side of pseudo science.

Something tells me you still don't understand my first post  Shocked Shocked
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*Sure....they're anti competitive as any subsidised job is.  It wouldn't be there without the tax payer.  Very damned difficult for a brainwashed collectivist to understand that I know....  (swaggy) *
 
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BatteriesNotIncluded
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Re: The joy- if not flat out mirth- of infinity...
Reply #9 - Apr 27th, 2015 at 12:36pm
 
progressiveslol wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 6:58am:
BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 1:25am:
progressiveslol wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 1:19am:
BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 12:40am:

Please show error bars and confidence level or lack there of..

I just said it approximated infinity: how dumb are you  Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

Didn't think you would, because that little graphy of yours is complete BS

You still don't read too well...  Roll Eyes
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*Sure....they're anti competitive as any subsidised job is.  It wouldn't be there without the tax payer.  Very damned difficult for a brainwashed collectivist to understand that I know....  (swaggy) *
 
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Re: The joy- if not flat out mirth- of infinity...
Reply #10 - Apr 27th, 2015 at 3:46pm
 
BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on Apr 27th, 2015 at 12:40am:


Ahhhhh  NOAA....corrupting data for decades. Meaningless dross sucking in the weak minded fools in society. Certainly captures the usual 'consensus' brainwashed mental delinquents.
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Re: The joy- if not flat out mirth- of infinity...
Reply #11 - Apr 27th, 2015 at 11:56pm
 
There is an ice age coming, Dr Sircus said so

Thats why Abbott is handing out 2.5 billion dollars to the Fossil fuel power generators and polluters to reduce their emissions.

There is an ICE AGE COMING - BUY YOUR WINTER WARE NOW
...
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Mini Ice Age (2014-2029)
Dr Sircus cures cancer with Baking Soda and Magnesium - Jethro the MENTAL GIANT & his flute madness
 
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