Sir Grappler Truth Teller OAM wrote on Mar 31
st, 2014 at 10:54am:
So - are you suggesting that if we close the shutters a little - as a small country we will be invaded?
No, I am saying that protectionist views of the world - which is what you are suggesting with this - is a very dangerous game to play if you don't have a decent hand of cards.
Think of it this way - the global trading market is made up of three major global spheres -
NAFTA - The USA, Canada and Mexico
The European Union
Asia Pacific - More loose but made up of the tiger economies backed up somewhat by the more regional powers of China and Japan.
Global trade is set on policy by a kind of "You mess with me, you mess with my whole family" kind of thing.
The EU can be protectionist in nature of somethings - eg bananas which it imports first from the West Indies due to the old colonies of Spain, France and the UK. The US doesn't like it but it can't get into a trade war with the size of the EU.
Now Australia sits in none of these. It is a tiny country on its own. It has a couple of decent cards in its natural resources but it isn't in a cartel, it isnt in a trading bloc so its vulnerable massively to retaliation trade protections.
Why do you think Saudi, Kuwait, Oman, UAE form the OPEC cartel on the oil policy?
For the exact reason I point out - you can't set protectionist agendas on your own.
There are 2 countries in the world in my opinion which can strike it alone and are big enough to call the shots - the United States and China.
The two largest markets in the world. They can because everyone else needs them.
Australia would be belted from pillar to post if it tried to hinder the free market and place bans on export - particularly over an issue such as energy.
If you want to play in the global market, you have to accept its conditions.