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Gandalf's version of democracy (Read 22332 times)
polite_gandalf
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Re: Gandalf's version of democracy
Reply #75 - Jan 9th, 2014 at 12:54pm
 
freediver wrote on Jan 9th, 2014 at 12:05pm:
No it doesn't Gandalf. Do I really need to explain how democracy works?


Apparently you do. You can firstly explain to me why these "supporters" end up voting overwhelmingly for anti-hudud parties. The point I've been trying to impress upon you from the very beginning is that responding "yes" or "no" in a random, consequence-free survey is not the same thing as actually voting for that belief to become a reality. Do you think that just maybe its possible that when a PEW interviewer asks a muslim about their opinion on a particular islamic law, they are more interested in appearing "islamic" as opposed to expressing their heart-felt belief? This could explain why these same muslims, when actually presented the opportunity to put their money where their mouth is by ticking the 'PAS' box at election day, they overwhelmingly do not.

freediver wrote on Jan 9th, 2014 at 12:05pm:
I am saying I was referring to the functioning of democracy, not the forthiness of Muslims. I am also saying that this should have been bleeding obvious from the context.


You are not referring to the functioning of democracy at all. You have singularly failed to 1. demonstrate that a majority of the entire population is blocking the implementation of these hudud laws and 2. demonstrate that the majority of muslims who responded "yes" in a survey are even trying to get these laws through. And you especially haven't explained the clear disconnect between responses in a survey and actual voting patterns in real elections.

Those are the things you would address if you were referring to the functioning of democracy.

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Re: Gandalf's version of democracy
Reply #76 - Jan 9th, 2014 at 7:51pm
 
Quote:
Apparently you do. You can firstly explain to me why these "supporters" end up voting overwhelmingly for anti-hudud parties.


Probably because the pro-hudud candidates are lunatics. Does this sound familiar? It should, because you have asked the some question many times. One pro-killing-people party gets 14% of the vote. That is not insignificant. The main reason of course is that the major parties seek the middle ground. The respectability of a major party always has some appeal, even if they are not as extreme as you would like them to be. We see the same thing in Australian politics too. Is does not mean people do not really think what they think or would not take an opportunity to get their more extreme views represented if they were able to. The fact is, with only 1/3 support in the community, if you vote for a pro-hudud party, you are going to vote for a minor party that has no chance of gaining power, and has the respectability to match.

Quote:
Do you think that just maybe its possible that when a PEW interviewer asks a muslim about their opinion on a particular islamic law, they are more interested in appearing "islamic" as opposed to expressing their heart-felt belief?


I think they simply say what they think. They probably appreciate the opportunity to express an opinion on each separate issue, rather than having people arrogantly assuming, as you do, that they support every stance taken by whatever party they vote for. I know if someone tried to figure out what my views are on individual issues based on how I vote, they would probably get it wrong. I would think they were an idiot for even trying. When I see people attempting this in Australian politics it is face-palm time, so I'm not sure why you keep trying to do it for Malaysian politics, especially after you just explained to me that an election is not a referendum on a single issue. You already understand why you are wrong, you just can't bring yourself to judge your own opinions the same way you do others - probably something to do with being a Muslim.

Quote:
You are not referring to the functioning of democracy at all. You have singularly failed to 1. demonstrate that a majority of the entire population is blocking the implementation of these hudud laws


I never claimed it was an active process.

Quote:
demonstrate that the majority of muslims who responded "yes" in a survey are even trying to get these laws through


Again, it is not active process, and I have explained it many times.

Quote:
And you especially haven't explained the clear disconnect between responses in a survey and actual voting patterns in real elections.


Yes I have. Over and over again. You even explained it to me when I made the mistake of employing your logic. How many times do I have to explain it before you realise that it applies to you to?
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Re: Gandalf's version of democracy
Reply #77 - Jan 10th, 2014 at 7:27am
 
freediver wrote on Jan 9th, 2014 at 7:51pm:
Probably because the pro-hudud candidates are lunatics. Does this sound familiar? It should, because you have asked the some question many times. One pro-killing-people party gets 14% of the vote. That is not insignificant.


100% grasping at straws. It is bad enough that you don't have a shred of evidence to support your claim that 2/3rds of the entire population "oppose" the laws, now you have to perform all sorts of contortions to explain away all the evidence that strongly suggests the opposite.

Firstly - muslims not voting for pro-hudud party because they think they are "lunatics" = completely baseless. Secondly, I already posted some statistics that showed a significant number of non-muslims who vote for PAS. So that "significant" muslim-pro-hudud vote could be even less. Thus you have not a leg to stand on to claim that 14% of votes represents a "not insignificant" vote for pro-hudud because a) you have no clue as to how many "pro-stoning/executing apostates" people voted for PAS and b) you don't even have any idea whether the "pro-stoning/executing apostates" (according to the PEW survey) even voted for PAS because of their pro-stoning/executing apostates.

freediver wrote on Jan 9th, 2014 at 7:51pm:
rather than having people arrogantly assuming, as you do, that they support every stance taken by whatever party they vote for. I know if someone tried to figure out what my views are on individual issues based on how I vote, they would probably get it wrong.


But thats completely different to "arrogantly assuming" that the vast majority of non-muslims oppose muslims enacting hudud apostasy and adultery laws on themselves - as opposed to thinking that they just maybe might consider it an issue for muslims to sort out themselves. Roll Eyes

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A resident Islam critic who claims to represent western values said:
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Re: Gandalf's version of democracy
Reply #78 - Jan 10th, 2014 at 8:24am
 
Quote:
100% grasping at straws. It is bad enough that you don't have a shred of evidence to support your claim that 2/3rds of the entire population "oppose" the laws, now you have to perform all sorts of contortions to explain away all the evidence that strongly suggests the opposite.


It is not a contortion Gandalf. An election is not a referendum on a single issue.

Quote:
Thus you have not a leg to stand on to claim that 14% of votes represents a "not insignificant" vote for pro-hudud because a) you have no clue as to how many "pro-stoning/executing apostates" people voted for PAS and b) you don't even have any idea whether the "pro-stoning/executing apostates" (according to the PEW survey) even voted for PAS because of their pro-stoning/executing apostates.


Liekwise you have no clue at all why they vote the way they do. What we do have is a survey showing that the majority of Muslims support these laws. You are taking something very simple - these people support the laws, but they never get enacted because they are a minority of the total population - and trying to turn it into something absurdly convoluted and unlikely - that the non-Muslims are somehow ambivalent on Muslims killing people in the name of Islam, and the Muslims are also ambivalent on the issue, and the laws never come to pass because the Muslims are afraid of their own extremism and would turn away from it as it approached becoming reality.

The voting patterns and party policy positions in Malaysia are entirely consistent with the survey results, and with the majority of Muslims actually wanting what they say they want, and with the majority of the entire population opposing the more barbaric laws.
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« Last Edit: Jan 10th, 2014 at 8:29am by freediver »  

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Re: Gandalf's version of democracy
Reply #79 - Jan 10th, 2014 at 10:18am
 
freediver wrote on Jan 10th, 2014 at 8:24am:
It is not a contortion Gandalf.


It absolutely is contortions and grasping at straws to explain away the clear lack of muslim voter support for hudud as "Probably because the pro-hudud candidates are lunatics" - based on no evidence whatsoever. It is also contortions, by the way, to claim that when respondents say that hudud provides justice for all, they must not actually be talking about hudud, but only bits and pieces of it - based on no evidence whatsoever.

Do you like how your arguments work FD? Each time you are forced to back up a baseless claim, you just "support" it with another baseless claim. Your entire case is just baseless claim heaped on baseless claim. Were you ever involved in amway  by any chance?

freediver wrote on Jan 10th, 2014 at 8:24am:
Liekwise you have no clue at all why they vote the way they do.


Grin Grin Hello FD? Anybody there??

Nothing seems to be sinking through. This is *YOUR* claim we are talking about. I'm perfectly happy to acknowledge that I have no clue about voting patterns, just as I have no clue as to what 2/3rds of the entire population feel about passing a particular piece of legislation. You on the other hand *DO* claim to have a clue about what 2/3rds of the population think about this piece of legislation, and that is that they want to oppose it. My job is not to have "a clue" about this, but merely to point out that you have no evidence whatsoever for this claim, and therefore no leg to stand on.

freediver wrote on Jan 10th, 2014 at 8:24am:
What we do have is a survey showing that the majority of Muslims support these laws.


Thats right FD - we have a survey showing support from around 1/3 of the entire population, and slightly less oppose it. That leaves another 1/3 or so which we don't have a damn clue about. Yet that doesn't stop you ridiculing any suggestion that the vast majority of this remaining 1/3 would do anything other than "passionately" oppose it - and the mere suggestion is "having a messed up view of human rights".

freediver wrote on Jan 10th, 2014 at 8:24am:
You are taking something very simple - these people support the laws, but they never get enacted because they are a minority of the total population


Something "Very simple" that relies entirely on making a completely baseless assumption about the attitudes of 1/3 of the population towards these laws.

freediver wrote on Jan 10th, 2014 at 8:24am:
and trying to turn it into something absurdly convoluted and unlikely - that the non-Muslims are somehow ambivalent on Muslims killing people in the name of Islam


As opposed to trying to turn it into something that is blatantly dishonest and entirely misleading.

It is not absurdly convoluted and unlikely that the non-muslims might be ambivalent on muslims introducing hudud apostasy and adultery laws that apply only to muslims.

freediver wrote on Jan 10th, 2014 at 8:24am:
The voting patterns and party policy positions in Malaysia are entirely consistent with the survey results, and with the majority of Muslims actually wanting what they say they want


Um no. As I've pointed out a thousand times already, the majority of Malays (57% at last election) vote for BN, who has taken a staunchly anti-hudud position. Of the rest of the Malays, they either vote for the anti-hudud people's justice party, or the pro-hudud PAS (presuming none of them vote for the pro-Chinese DAP - which is being extremely generous). We know that PAS got 14% of the total vote last election, and we know from the evidence I have already posted that a sizeable proportion of that 14% comes from Chinese voters. That leaves a very small minority of Malays indeed that actually voted for the pro-hudud PAS. Yet according to PEW, a majority of Malays support hudud.

How the hell can you say that voting patterns are "entirely consistent" with the survey results??
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A resident Islam critic who claims to represent western values said:
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Pete Waldo
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Re: Gandalf's version of democracy
Reply #80 - Jan 11th, 2014 at 12:33am
 
Gandalf, my post was moved along with this thread to this "Extremism Exposed" section. I would appreciate it if you would exegete my post item by item, and indicate what it is you believe to be extreme. Please quote it section by section and explain:
http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1388619982/68#68

More importantly, what part of that post is untrue?
Or did you move it here because it is my post that does indeed expose the extremism of Muhammad's anti-religion, that fills his followers with complete resolve to specifically DISbelieve, another specific religion?
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« Last Edit: Jan 11th, 2014 at 12:59am by Pete Waldo »  

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Re: Gandalf's version of democracy
Reply #81 - Jan 11th, 2014 at 7:00am
 
Pete if that post was made in the 'Gandalf's version of democracy' thread (which its currently in), then that thread was moved to the EE forum by freediver, not me.

There is another thread that I did move to EE forum called "Gandalf's version of human rights, which I merged with the above mentioned thread because it was relevant to that thread. Freediver then went and split that from the democracy thread.

Long story short, it seems that particular post was either moved to EE by freediver or you posted it in the EE forum in the first place.

And by the way, you can thank freediver for all the confusion for insisting on having a billion threads on the same topic that I am forced to merge and move.
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A resident Islam critic who claims to represent western values said:
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Outlawing the enemy's uniform - hijab, islamic beard - is not depriving one's own people of their freedoms.
 
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Pete Waldo
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Re: Gandalf's version of democracy
Reply #82 - Jan 11th, 2014 at 9:01pm
 
polite_gandalf wrote on Jan 11th, 2014 at 7:00am:
Pete if that post was made in the 'Gandalf's version of democracy' thread (which its currently in), then that thread was moved to the EE forum by freediver, not me.


It was in that thread before it was moved. I guess I might have gotten my misimpression by the moved thread note, that was left behind in the Islam section.

In any event, would you care to comment section by section on the post at that link, in which I quoted you and commented on the reason for apostasy laws?
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« Last Edit: Jan 11th, 2014 at 9:10pm by Pete Waldo »  

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Re: Gandalf's version of democracy
Reply #83 - Jan 12th, 2014 at 10:02am
 
Quote:
It absolutely is contortions and grasping at straws to explain away the clear lack of muslim voter support for hudud as "Probably because the pro-hudud candidates are lunatics" - based on no evidence whatsoever.


There is no clear lack of voter support. There is you pretending that an election is a referendum on a single issue. There is a party with 14% of the vote that supports these punishments.

Quote:
It is also contortions, by the way, to claim that when respondents say that hudud provides justice for all, they must not actually be talking about hudud, but only bits and pieces of it - based on no evidence whatsoever.


It is based on the opinions expressed and questions asked obviously having nothing at all to do with executing apostates.

Quote:
Do you like how your arguments work FD? Each time you are forced to back up a baseless claim, you just "support" it with another baseless claim. Your entire case is just baseless claim heaped on baseless claim.


My argument is built on a survey that shows what Muslims actually think. Yours is based on pretending that an election is a referendum on a single issue and reading whatever you feel like into the outcome. You introduced by the election outcomes and the argument about the level of motivation among the Muslims who support these punishments. Both of these arguments are completely baseless. The only reason I am even talking about election outcomes on levels of motivation is to explain, so far with no success, that the evidence does not support you interpretation and is entirely consistent with mine. You are the one arguing that Muslims do not think what they say they think. You are the one rejecting the direct, explicit evidence of their views and replacing it with your own alternate reality.

Quote:
Nothing seems to be sinking through. This is *YOUR* claim we are talking about. I'm perfectly happy to acknowledge that I have no clue about voting patterns


You are the one who introduced the voting patterns to somehow show that Muslims do not think what they say they think.

Quote:
Thats right FD - we have a survey showing support from around 1/3 of the entire population, and slightly less oppose it. That leaves another 1/3 or so which we don't have a damn clue about. Yet that doesn't stop you ridiculing any suggestion that the vast majority of this remaining 1/3 would do anything other than "passionately" oppose it - and the mere suggestion is "having a messed up view of human rights".


Again Gandalf, you can easily quote what I actually said. Remember, you are the one who introduced the argument about motivation in an attempt to detract what what Muslims say they think.

Quote:
Um no. As I've pointed out a thousand times already, the majority of Malays (57% at last election) vote for BN, who has taken a staunchly anti-hudud position.


There you go again. An election is not a referendum on a single issue, remember?

Where do you get the racial breakdown of voting patterns from?

Quote:
Of the rest of the Malays, they either vote for the anti-hudud people's justice party, or the pro-hudud PAS (presuming none of them vote for the pro-Chinese DAP - which is being extremely generous). We know that PAS got 14% of the total vote last election, and we know from the evidence I have already posted that a sizeable proportion of that 14% comes from Chinese voters. That leaves a very small minority of Malays indeed that actually voted for the pro-hudud PAS. Yet according to PEW, a majority of Malays support hudud.
How the hell can you say that voting patterns are "entirely consistent" with the survey results??


I have already explained how many times. There is simply no contradiction. As you just finished explaining to me, an election is not a referendum on a single issue. Were the Australian public, or any other democracy, to have a similar breakdown of views on a contentious issue, I would expect similar party positions and voting patterns. Like I said, you argument is built on hypocrisy. You insist that you can read whatever you want into an election outcome, but when anyone else tries to do this, you point out that an election is not a referendum on a single issue. I have had to explain this in nearly every single post Gandalf. If you weren't so blinded in your views it would have sunk in by now. Instead you seem oblivious to it. You keep asking me to explain the same simple point over and over again, even after you have just finished explaining the exact same thing to me.
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Re: Gandalf's version of democracy
Reply #84 - Jan 12th, 2014 at 6:29pm
 
freediver wrote on Jan 12th, 2014 at 10:02am:
There is no clear lack of voter support.


Correct - and furthermore there is no clear anything from these elections. Well done FD. It almost seems that you are starting to understand the point. Shame you can't apply the wisdom in these words and apply it to your argument though.

freediver wrote on Jan 12th, 2014 at 10:02am:
It is based on the opinions expressed and questions asked obviously having nothing at all to do with executing apostates.


Of course FD - your logic is impeccable. Unquestionably a question about "hudud promising justice for all" is only talking about bits and pieces of hudud. And by the way, that question had nothing to do with crime, you just made that up.

freediver wrote on Jan 12th, 2014 at 10:02am:
My argument is built on a survey that shows what Muslims actually think.


Your argument that 2/3rds of the entire population oppose two particular laws is based on no such thing. In fact its based on nothing at all. How many different ways do you need me to explain this?

freediver wrote on Jan 12th, 2014 at 10:02am:
Yours is based on blah blah blah


Save your breath - my argument is entirely based on pointing out that you have no shred of evidence for your case about what 2/3rds of the entire population think - nothing less nothing more.

freediver wrote on Jan 12th, 2014 at 10:02am:
You are the one who introduced the voting patterns to somehow show that Muslims do not think what they say they think.


Wrong. Please try and comprehend what I actually say. I am not asserting anything about what these voting patterns mean, but rather raising these seemingly contradictory voting patterns to raise a perfectly legitimate question about your dogmatic assertions about what a majority of muslims think and (would) do.

freediver wrote on Jan 12th, 2014 at 10:02am:
Again Gandalf, you can easily quote what I actually said.


Ok:

freediver wrote on Jan 1st, 2014 at 1:17pm:
roughly two thirds of the population oppose these laws.


freediver wrote on Jan 1st, 2014 at 1:17pm:
2/3 of the population oppose them - as "passionately" as you would expect people to oppose letting Muslims start killing people in the name of Islam.


Have I mentioned that these are completely baseless?

freediver wrote on Jan 12th, 2014 at 10:02am:
There you go again. An election is not a referendum on a single issue, remember?


LOL what is it FD? Does 14% support for PAS "demonstrate a high level of motivation on this particular issue", or does it demonstrate we don't have a damn clue since, as you say "An election is not a referendum on a single issue"? Make up your mind please.

freediver wrote on Jan 12th, 2014 at 10:02am:
you argument is built on hypocrisy.


The "elections are not a referendum on a single issue" was your point, and I only cited it back to you when you started contradicting yourself by saying 14% support for PAS "demonstrates a high level of motivation on this particular issue".

freediver wrote on Jan 12th, 2014 at 10:02am:
You insist that you can read whatever you want into an election outcome, but when anyone else tries to do this, you point out that an election is not a referendum on a single issue.


Actually, while its true that elections are never single issue referendums, I never actually argued that the voting patterns are not significant. Again I only ever mentioned it to highlight the contradiction in your own argument. The truth is, it is absurd to claim that one group of people would want to implement particular laws, but their voting behaviour in actual elections - not to mention the political context and policy platforms of the major parties is completely meaningless/irrelevant. That the group who one survey states support the implementation of particular laws - actually overwhelmingly vote for parties that openly state they oppose those very laws - is reason to cast serious doubts on the validity, or even the significance of that one survey. Thats just common sense - but I understand only too well that an argument that is based only on prejudice, such as yours, is notably lacking in common sense.
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Re: Gandalf's version of democracy
Reply #85 - Jan 13th, 2014 at 8:20am
 
Gandalf where do you get the racial breakdown of voting patterns from?

Quote:
Correct - and furthermore there is no clear anything from these elections. Well done FD. It almost seems that you are starting to understand the point. Shame you can't apply the wisdom in these words and apply it to your argument though.


We do get a very clear account of what Muslims think from the Pew survey.

Quote:
Of course FD - your logic is impeccable. Unquestionably a question about "hudud promising justice for all" is only talking about bits and pieces of hudud. And by the way, that question had nothing to do with crime, you just made that up.


There is something very wrong with that survey and you are naive to read as much into it as you do.

Quote:
Your argument that 2/3rds of the entire population oppose two particular laws is based on no such thing.


It is perfectly reasonable to assume non-Muslims oppose Muslims killing people in the name of Islam, which is exactly what this is about, and why there is something wrong with your survey for never mentioning this detail.

Quote:
Save your breath - my argument is entirely based on pointing out that you have no shred of evidence for your case about what 2/3rds of the entire population think - nothing less nothing more.


So you have abandoned your claim that the Muslims who support these laws don't really support them and that the absence of these laws in Malaysia can be attributed to some kind of lack of will on their part?

Quote:
I am not asserting anything about what these voting patterns mean, but rather raising these seemingly contradictory voting patterns to raise a perfectly legitimate question about your dogmatic assertions about what a majority of muslims think and (would) do.


Are you asserting that they are contradictory? What are they contradicting?

Quote:
The truth is, it is absurd to claim that one group of people would want to implement particular laws, but their voting behaviour in actual elections - not to mention the political context and policy platforms of the major parties is completely meaningless/irrelevant.


I did not say it is irrelevant. I said it is consistent. I have explained why, many times. You either dismiss these explanations off-hand, or completely ignore them.
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Re: Gandalf's version of democracy
Reply #86 - Jan 13th, 2014 at 10:09am
 
freediver wrote on Jan 13th, 2014 at 8:20am:
Gandalf where do you get the racial breakdown of voting patterns from?


http://www.iseas.edu.sg/ISEAS/upload/files/analysis_of_general_election13results...

page 14 - BN received 59% of Malay votes. Page 16 - racial breakdown for opposition PR. No breakdown provided for PAS - but 81% of Chinese voted for PR, and the evidence I provided previously indicates that a not-insignificant number of them voted directly for PAS. Its also a safe bet that a large proportion of the 41% of Malays who voted PR voted for Anwar's People's Justice party. Though it needs to be pointed out that many of the electorates had the PR on a group ticket.

freediver wrote on Jan 13th, 2014 at 8:20am:
It is perfectly reasonable to assume non-Muslims oppose Muslims killing people in the name of Islam


Quite possibly. Like for example I don't think its reasonable to assume non-muslims would not oppose muslims walking into a shopping mall with assault rifles and shooting everyone, or stepping on to a bus and blowing it up.

Those are examples of "killing people in the name of Islam". And I agree non-muslims would be mad to not oppose them.

Yet it is perfectly reasonable to think that non-muslims might not be opposed to muslims enacting their own hudud laws on apostasy and adultery (hint: note the difference between saying this and "assuming" that non-muslims definitely do think this). What is *NOT* reasonable is to assume so dogmatically that non-muslims would oppose such moves. You are arrogantly projecting your own values onto other people.

freediver wrote on Jan 13th, 2014 at 8:20am:
So you have abandoned your claim that the Muslims who support these laws don't really support them


Stick to what I actually say FD. I claimed no such thing.

freediver wrote on Jan 13th, 2014 at 8:20am:
I did not say it is irrelevant. I said it is consistent. I have explained why, many times. You either dismiss these explanations off-hand, or completely ignore them.


You haven't explained anything.

Of the group that PEW says are mostly supportive of hudud apostasy and adultery laws, 59% of them vote for the anti-hudud ruling coalition. Thats a *SEEMING* inconsistency right there. It is also inconsistent for you to claim that responses in a survey must necessarily translate into political motivation for that issue - even though the issue is very far from the political agenda, there is no mass political protests like for example we saw with the 'bersih' movement, and the fact that the ruling coalition can even afford to take the anti-hudud path and *STILL* get a huge majority of muslim votes. Of course you can come up with other possible explanations for this, but you cannot say that it is "perfectly consistent".

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Re: Gandalf's version of democracy
Reply #87 - Jan 13th, 2014 at 10:41am
 
Quote:
Stick to what I actually say FD. I claimed no such thing.


So what was your claim?

Quote:
You haven't explained anything.


Yes I have. Over and over again.

Quote:
Of the group that PEW says are mostly supportive of hudud apostasy and adultery laws, 59% of them vote for the anti-hudud ruling coalition.


Pew says that just over 50% of Muslims support the law. If the election were actually a referendum on this particular issue, you would expect just over 50% of them to vote in favour. As an election is in fact not a referendum on a single issue, it is not in any way surprising that 59% vote for the ruling coalition.

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Thats a *SEEMING* inconsistency right there.


Only if you keep forgetting that an election is not a referendum on a single issue, and if you keep ignoring the nature of representative democracy.

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It is also inconsistent for you to claim that responses in a survey must necessarily translate into political motivation for that issue


You are the only one making an argument about the level of motivation.

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even though the issue is very far from the political agenda


This is an example of your argument about motivation.

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and the fact that the ruling coalition can even afford to take the anti-hudud path and *STILL* get a huge majority of muslim votes


This is an example of you not understanding representative democracy. It is to be expected that  the ruling coalition adopt this policy.

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Of course you can come up with other possible explanations for this, but you cannot say that it is "perfectly consistent".


It is entirely consistent. It is exactly what you would expect.
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freediver
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Re: Gandalf's version of democracy
Reply #88 - Jan 13th, 2014 at 10:59am
 
Gandalf, Malaysia has first-past-the-post voting. Any vote for a minor candidate in such a system indicates a high level of motivation and interest, as a voter abandons the opportunity to choose between the two leading candidates. This is usually referred to as strategic or insincere voting, with the "spoiler effect" referring to the tendency of minor candidates to split the vote from one side of the political spectrum and influence the outcome of the election, even though they have no chance of winning themselves.

Furthermore, Malaysia does not have a free press.

Trying to read intent or motivation on a single issue into an election outcome under such a system is fraught with danger. Even under our system, where we have preferential voting and a free press, it is nearly impossible. In comparison to our system, Malaysia has several more layers of obscurity.
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Re: Gandalf's version of democracy
Reply #89 - Jan 13th, 2014 at 2:56pm
 
freediver wrote on Jan 13th, 2014 at 10:41am:
You are the only one making an argument about the level of motivation.


No. Recall your sentence immediately above this statement:

freediver wrote on Jan 13th, 2014 at 10:41am:
If the election were actually a referendum on this particular issue, you would expect just over 50% of them to vote in favour.


"expecting" them to vote on this issue signifies political motivation wouldn't you say? Thats what I disagree with. Saying they agree with a hypothetical concept in a meaningless, consequence-free survey is a long way from actually deciding to vote in favour of it becoming a reality if ever given the chance.

freediver wrote on Jan 13th, 2014 at 10:59am:
Gandalf, Malaysia has first-past-the-post voting. Any vote for a minor candidate in such a system indicates a high level of motivation and interest


motivation and interest in what though? You can't even make an educated guess as to what "issues" Malaysians had in mind when they voted for PAS. So merely saying this "indicates a high level of motivation and interest" is completely meaningless and worse than useless.

freediver wrote on Jan 13th, 2014 at 10:59am:
Trying to read intent or motivation on a single issue into an election outcome under such a system is fraught with danger. Even under our system, where we have preferential voting and a free press, it is nearly impossible.


I agree. The point is though, an election in which the leading muslim candidates are tripping over themselves to promote their anti-hudud credentials, and even the one pro-hudud party has to quietly pretend that the issue is not really there - is not exactly the sort of election environment you would expect if muslims really do want these laws enacted. Irrespective of all the intricacies of the Malaysian system, you would still expect there to be political capital on this issue for the parties that primarily stand for muslims - and that these parties would attempt to exploit this capital. About the last thing you would expect is for them to sell themselves as these overtly anti-hudud candidates. 

Personally, I prefer to exercise caution when judging an entire group of people to be "little Hitler's" and demonize them based solely on one survey in which they are asked to answer "yes" or "no" to a hypothetical. I think its fair to judge them on their actual behaviour - and quite frankly it is not the behaviour of "little Hitler's" to live in harmony with their non-muslim neighbours, nor to overwhelmingly reject the extremist policies you accuse them of wanting, election after election.
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Outlawing the enemy's uniform - hijab, islamic beard - is not depriving one's own people of their freedoms.
 
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