Australian Politics Forum - I'm predicting a good bounce in polls for Oppn

Gist

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Re: I'm predicting a good bounce in polls for Oppn
Reply #60 - Aug 21^st, 2012 at 11:04am

Armchair_Politician wrote on Aug 15^th, 2012 at 7:22am:

Given that Gillard has had to do a massive policy backflip over the issue of illegal immigrants, and had to adopt a Coalition policy no less, I am predicting a jump in the polls for the Coalition by as much as five points and a similar drop in the polls by the ALP. I also reckon Abbott will increase his lead as preferred PM over Gillard.

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TheGreenLight

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Re: I'm predicting a good bounce in polls for Oppn
Reply #61 - Aug 21^st, 2012 at 11:23am

Gist wrote on Aug 21^st, 2012 at 11:02am:

TheGreenLight wrote on Aug 21^st, 2012 at 10:52am:

I am disappointed that the Coalition's vote didn't drop at all. Labor gained ground but it was at sthpppthe expense the Greens and others. Labor needs to gain votes from the Coalition.

No. Labor needs to gain the large chunk out there of (so far) uncommitted voters. Some of the Lieberal supporters would get with the program once the ball started rolling.

But how many are uncommitted? Others and uncommitted isn't the same thing. Like I said there are good signs but still a way to go yet. I remain hopeful that they can lead the polls again soon, with the election now literally a year away, plus or minus a few days.

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Gist

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Re: I'm predicting a good bounce in polls for Oppn
Reply #62 - Aug 21^st, 2012 at 11:47am

TheGreenLight wrote on Aug 21^st, 2012 at 11:23am:

Gist wrote on Aug 21^st, 2012 at 11:02am:

TheGreenLight wrote on Aug 21^st, 2012 at 10:52am:

I am disappointed that the Coalition's vote didn't drop at all. Labor gained ground but it was at sthpppthe expense the Greens and others. Labor needs to gain votes from the Coalition.

No. Labor needs to gain the large chunk out there of (so far) uncommitted voters. Some of the Lieberal supporters would get with the program once the ball started rolling.

But how many are uncommitted? Others and uncommitted isn't the same thing. Like I said there are good signs but still a way to go yet. I remain hopeful that they can lead the polls again soon, with the election now literally a year away, plus or minus a few days.

I haven't seen the latest Newspoll and don't have time now to go dig it out, but from memory there was a chunk of something like 10-15% listed as undecided in the primary vote. The challenge for all parties is to make those people decide.

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skippy. Gold Member Offline Posts: 20882 Gender:	Re: I'm predicting a good bounce in polls for Oppn Reply #63 - Aug 21^st, 2012 at 11:57am Why is the conga line so quite? Where is armpit?
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Grey Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 5341 Gender:	Re: I'm predicting a good bounce in polls for Oppn Reply #64 - Aug 21^st, 2012 at 12:19pm Margaret Thatcher won the 1979 election. But by December 1980 her job approval rating fell to 23%, the lowest for any PM in modern history. She won a third term in 1990.
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Gist Gold Member Offline I am not a sock, I am a human being! Posts: 5476	Re: I'm predicting a good bounce in polls for Oppn Reply #65 - Aug 21^st, 2012 at 12:38pm skippy. wrote on Aug 21^st, 2012 at 11:57am: Why is the conga line so quite? Where is armpit? Hospital. Seems he choked on his cornflakes this morning. So sad.
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Grey Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 5341 Gender:	Re: I'm predicting a good bounce in polls for Oppn Reply #66 - Aug 24^th, 2012 at 10:59am Well if the PM doesn't get a good bounce from yesterday's performance it aint gonna happen
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sexy_beast Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 575 Gender:	Re: I'm predicting a good bounce in polls for Oppn Reply #67 - Aug 24^th, 2012 at 11:05am Grey wrote on Aug 24^th, 2012 at 10:59am: Well if the PM doesn't get a good bounce from yesterday's performance it aint gonna happen What was so good about it? People said the same about Anna Bligh's performance after the floods and OK at how that turned out.
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Grey

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Re: I'm predicting a good bounce in polls for Oppn
Reply #68 - Aug 24^th, 2012 at 6:26pm

sexy_beast wrote on Aug 24^th, 2012 at 11:05am:

Grey wrote on Aug 24^th, 2012 at 10:59am:

Well if the PM doesn't get a good bounce from yesterday's performance it aint gonna happen

What was so good about it? People said the same about Anna Bligh's performance after the floods and OK at how that turned out.

True enough. Well soon we will see if we are all Queenslanders now Grin

Fortunately people have the added benefit of seeing exactly how Queensland and NSW are panning out under Conservative rulers; but wouldn't surprise me any if you turn out to be right.

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TheGreenLight

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Re: I'm predicting a good bounce in polls for Oppn
Reply #69 - Aug 24^th, 2012 at 7:42pm

Grey wrote on Aug 24^th, 2012 at 6:26pm:

sexy_beast wrote on Aug 24^th, 2012 at 11:05am:

Grey wrote on Aug 24^th, 2012 at 10:59am:

Well if the PM doesn't get a good bounce from yesterday's performance it aint gonna happen

What was so good about it? People said the same about Anna Bligh's performance after the floods and OK at how that turned out.

True enough. Well soon we will see if we are all Queenslanders now Grin

Fortunately people have the added benefit of seeing exactly how Queensland and NSW are panning out under Conservative rulers; but wouldn't surprise me any if you turn out to be right.

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GoddyofOz Gold Member Offline Vote 1 for Sex, cause you're gay if you don't Posts: 2397	Re: I'm predicting a good bounce in polls for Oppn Reply #70 - Aug 25^th, 2012 at 7:03pm How's that good bounce working out for ya.
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Armchair_Politician Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 30301 Gender:	Re: I'm predicting a good bounce in polls for Oppn Reply #71 - Aug 25^th, 2012 at 8:03pm Question: Does anyone know if the poll was taken before or after the Houston report was released? Was the poll taken before or after legislation was passed to enable offshore processing in Nauru & Manus Island?
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Poll
Question: How much will the Coalition rise in the polls?
1pt 2pts 3pts 4pts 5pts or more « Created by: Armchair_Politician on: Aug 15^th, 2012 at 7:33am »