Australian Politics Forum - WUWT – major announcement coming

progressiveslol

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WUWT – major announcement coming
Jul 28^th, 2012 at 2:38am

Could be of interest. I doubt it is anything dubious in terms of trying to get traffic and with part comment of "I’m sure will attract a broad global interest due to its controversial and unprecedented nature. "

WUWT publishing suspended – major announcement coming

Something’s happened. From now until Sunday July 29th, around Noon PST, WUWT will be suspending publishing. At that time, there will be a major announcement that I’m sure will attract a broad global interest due to its controversial and unprecedented nature.

To give you an idea as to the magnitude of this event, I’m suspending my vacation plans. I weighed the issue, and decided (much to my dismay) this was more important. I can go on vacation trips another time, but this announcement is not something I can miss now and do later.

Media outlets be sure to check in to WUWT on Sunday around 12PM PST and check your emails.

If you wish to be automatically notified of the updates, click on the “Follow Blog via Email” button about midway down the right sidebar.

Comments are closed, and I will not be responding to emails until Sunday.

Thank you for your consideration and patience – Anthony Watts

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/07/27/wuwt-publishing-suspended-major-announceme...

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MOTR Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 6646	Re: WUWT – major announcement coming Reply #1 - Jul 28^th, 2012 at 7:24am Obviously a man not shy of publicity. I wonder why he unsuccessfully tried to shut this video down.
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progressiveslol

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Re: WUWT – major announcement coming
Reply #2 - Jul 28^th, 2012 at 7:31am

MOTR wrote on Jul 28^th, 2012 at 7:24am:

Obviously a man not shy of publicity. I wonder why he unsuccessfully tried to shut this video down.

wow what a revelation that you keep recycling as if you win something. You lose.

New paper on the quality of USHCN station siting

http://pielkeclimatesci.wordpress.com/2012/07/27/new-paper-trends-in-precipitati...

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Upton Sinclair Senior Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 496	Re: WUWT – major announcement coming Reply #3 - Jul 28^th, 2012 at 3:47pm Ooh, such drama! It must be exciting to be the vanguard battling to expose a vast global conspiracy of evil scientists like Anthony Watts. I bet he wears a cape with his underwear on the outside while he works on his blog.
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progressiveslol Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 17029	Re: WUWT – major announcement coming Reply #4 - Jul 28^th, 2012 at 3:49pm Upton Sinclair wrote on Jul 28^th, 2012 at 3:47pm: Ooh, such drama! It must be exciting to be the vanguard battling to expose a vast global conspiracy of evil scientists like Anthony Watts. I bet he wears a cape with his underwear on the outside while he works on his blog. Quite possibly. You?
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Upton Sinclair Senior Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 496	Re: WUWT – major announcement coming Reply #5 - Jul 29^th, 2012 at 11:56am So it's ticking down to this imminent announcement. Your excitement must be palpable?
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progressiveslol

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Re: WUWT – major announcement coming
Reply #6 - Jul 30^th, 2012 at 8:07am

There is the best data and there is Better than best data, a paper.

Temperature upward trend doubled by badly placed thermometors.

Possibly invalidates many peer-reviewed papers that relied upon the faulty data

A reanalysis of U.S. surface station temperatures has been performed using the recently WMO-approved Siting Classification System devised by METEO-France’s Michel Leroy. The new siting classification more accurately characterizes the quality of the location in terms of monitoring long-term spatially representative surface temperature trends. The new analysis demonstrates that reported 1979-2008 U.S. temperature trends are spuriously doubled, with 92% of that over-estimation resulting from erroneous NOAA adjustments of well-sited stations upward. The paper is the first to use the updated siting system which addresses USHCN siting issues and data adjustments.

The new improved assessment, for the years 1979 to 2008, yields a trend of +0.155C per decade from the high quality sites, a +0.248 C per decade trend for poorly sited locations, and a trend of +0.309 C per decade after NOAA adjusts the data. This issue of station siting quality is expected to be an issue with respect to the monitoring of land surface temperature throughout the Global Historical Climate Network and in the BEST network.

Today, a new paper has been released that is the culmination of knowledge gleaned from five years of work by Anthony Watts and the many volunteers and contributors to the SurfaceStations project started in 2007.

This pre-publication draft paper, titled An area and distance weighted analysis of the impacts of station exposure on the U.S. Historical Climatology Network temperatures and temperature trends, is co-authored by Anthony Watts of California, Evan Jones of New York, Stephen McIntyre of Toronto, Canada, and Dr. John R. Christy from the Department of Atmospheric Science, University of Alabama, Huntsville, is to be submitted for publication.

The pre-release of this paper follows the practice embraced by Dr. Richard Muller, of the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature project in a June 2011 interview with Scientific American’s Michael Lemonick in “Science Talk”, said:

I know that is prior to acceptance, but in the tradition that I grew up in (under Nobel Laureate Luis Alvarez) we always widely distributed “preprints” of papers prior to their publication or even submission. That guaranteed a much wider peer review than we obtained from mere referees.

The USHCN is one of the main metrics used to gauge the temperature changes in the United States. The first wide scale effort to address siting issues, Watts, (2009), a collated photographic survey, showed that approximately 90% of USHCN stations were compromised by encroachment of urbanity in the form of heat sinks and sources, such as concrete, asphalt, air conditioning system heat exchangers, roadways, airport tarmac, and other issues. This finding was backed up by an August 2011 U.S. General Accounting Office investigation and report titled: Climate Monitoring: NOAA Can Improve Management of the U.S. Historical Climatology Network

more
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/07/29/press-release-2

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« Last Edit: Jul 30^th, 2012 at 8:14am by progressiveslol »

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progressiveslol Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 17029	Re: WUWT – major announcement coming Reply #7 - Jul 30^th, 2012 at 8:26am Hide the decline comes to mind
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Gist

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Re: WUWT – major announcement coming
Reply #8 - Jul 30^th, 2012 at 12:17pm

progressiveslol wrote on Jul 30^th, 2012 at 8:07am:

The pre-release of this paper follows the practice embraced by Dr. Richard Muller, of the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature project in a June 2011 interview with Scientific American’s Michael Lemonick in “Science Talk”, said:

I know that is prior to acceptance, but in the tradition that I grew up in (under Nobel Laureate Luis Alvarez) we always widely distributed “preprints” of papers prior to their publication or even submission. That guaranteed a much wider peer review than we obtained from mere referees.

Oh, you mean the same Muller that now has concluded that AGW is real?

Quote:

Climate-change denier changes his mind
Neela Banerjee, AAP Updated July 30, 2012, 11:37 am

The verdict is in: Global warming is real and greenhouse-gas emissions from human activity are the main cause.

This, according to Richard A. Muller, professor of physics at the University of California, Berkeley, a MacArthur fellow and co-founder of the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature project.

The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and hundreds of other climatologists around the world came to such conclusions years ago.

However, the difference now is the source: Muller is a longstanding, colourful critic of prevailing climate science, and the Berkeley project was heavily funded by the Charles Koch Charitable Foundation, which, along with its libertarian petrochemical billionaire founder Charles G Koch, has a considerable history of backing groups that deny climate change.

In an opinion piece in Saturday's New York Times titled The Conversion of a Climate-Change Skeptic, Muller writes: "Three years ago I identified problems in previous climate studies that, in my mind, threw doubt on the very existence of global warming.

"Last year, following an intensive research effort involving a dozen scientists, I concluded that global warming was real and that the prior estimates of the rate of warming were correct.

"I'm now going a step further: Humans are almost entirely the cause."

The Berkeley project's research has shown, Muller says, "that the average temperature of the earth's land has risen by 2 degrees Fahrenheit over the past 250 years, including an increase of 1 degrees Fahrenheit over the most recent 50 years.

"Moreover, it appears likely that essentially all of this increase results from the human emission of greenhouse gases."

He calls his current stance "a total turnaround."

Tonya Mullins, a spokeswoman for the Koch Foundation, said the support her foundation provided, along with others, has no bearing on results of the research.

"Our grants are designed to promote independent research; as such, recipients hold full control over their findings," Mullins said in an email.

"In this support, we strive to benefit society by promoting discovery and informing public policy."
Some leading climate scientists said Muller's comments show that the science is so strong that even those inclined to reject it cannot once they examine it carefully.

http://au.news.yahoo.com/a/-/world/14402548/climate-change-denier-changes-his-mi...

Not that I expect that to change your foil hat wearing mind lolly.

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progressiveslol

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Re: WUWT – major announcement coming
Reply #9 - Jul 30^th, 2012 at 12:36pm

Gist wrote on Jul 30^th, 2012 at 12:17pm:

progressiveslol wrote on Jul 30^th, 2012 at 8:07am:

The pre-release of this paper follows the practice embraced by Dr. Richard Muller, of the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature project in a June 2011 interview with Scientific American’s Michael Lemonick in “Science Talk”, said:

I know that is prior to acceptance, but in the tradition that I grew up in (under Nobel Laureate Luis Alvarez) we always widely distributed “preprints” of papers prior to their publication or even submission. That guaranteed a much wider peer review than we obtained from mere referees.

Oh, you mean the same Muller that now has concluded that AGW is real?

Quote:

Climate-change denier changes his mind
Neela Banerjee, AAP Updated July 30, 2012, 11:37 am

The verdict is in: Global warming is real and greenhouse-gas emissions from human activity are the main cause.

This, according to Richard A. Muller, professor of physics at the University of California, Berkeley, a MacArthur fellow and co-founder of the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature project.

The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and hundreds of other climatologists around the world came to such conclusions years ago.

However, the difference now is the source: Muller is a longstanding, colourful critic of prevailing climate science, and the Berkeley project was heavily funded by the Charles Koch Charitable Foundation, which, along with its libertarian petrochemical billionaire founder Charles G Koch, has a considerable history of backing groups that deny climate change.

In an opinion piece in Saturday's New York Times titled The Conversion of a Climate-Change Skeptic, Muller writes: "Three years ago I identified problems in previous climate studies that, in my mind, threw doubt on the very existence of global warming.

"Last year, following an intensive research effort involving a dozen scientists, I concluded that global warming was real and that the prior estimates of the rate of warming were correct.

"I'm now going a step further: Humans are almost entirely the cause."

The Berkeley project's research has shown, Muller says, "that the average temperature of the earth's land has risen by 2 degrees Fahrenheit over the past 250 years, including an increase of 1 degrees Fahrenheit over the most recent 50 years.

"Moreover, it appears likely that essentially all of this increase results from the human emission of greenhouse gases."

He calls his current stance "a total turnaround."

Tonya Mullins, a spokeswoman for the Koch Foundation, said the support her foundation provided, along with others, has no bearing on results of the research.

"Our grants are designed to promote independent research; as such, recipients hold full control over their findings," Mullins said in an email.

"In this support, we strive to benefit society by promoting discovery and informing public policy."
Some leading climate scientists said Muller's comments show that the science is so strong that even those inclined to reject it cannot once they examine it carefully.

http://au.news.yahoo.com/a/-/world/14402548/climate-change-denier-changes-his-mi...

Not that I expect that to change your foil hat wearing mind lolly.

Muller was never a skeptic. There is plenty of material that says otherwise. He is fooling you, not me.

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Upton Sinclair Senior Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 496	Re: WUWT – major announcement coming Reply #10 - Jul 30^th, 2012 at 12:41pm LOL! he breathlessly suspended publication (putting off his vacation at that!!!) for this??? Come back when it passes peer review /yawn
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progressiveslol Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 17029	Re: WUWT – major announcement coming Reply #11 - Jul 30^th, 2012 at 12:45pm Upton Sinclair wrote on Jul 30^th, 2012 at 12:41pm: LOL! he breathlessly suspended publication (putting off his vacation at that!!!) for this??? Come back when it passes peer review /yawn No, as with Muller, everyone should just accept it now.
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progressiveslol Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 17029	Re: WUWT – major announcement coming Reply #12 - Jul 30^th, 2012 at 4:50pm It would seem that there are plenty of AGW sites using the berkley (so called) best data without it being peer-reviewed. Cant remember anyone being upset about that, but go figure. Hypocrisy abound with you lot http://www.skepticalscience.com/BEST-October-2011.html
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BatteriesNotIncluded Gold Member Offline MediocrityNET: because people died for this! Posts: 26966	Re: WUWT – major announcement coming Reply #13 - Jul 30^th, 2012 at 7:00pm Upton Sinclair wrote on Jul 30^th, 2012 at 12:41pm: LOL! he breathlessly suspended publication (putting off his vacation at that!!!) for this??? Come back when it passes peer review /yawn progs job is to chew up the entire internet address space: you'll get used to it!
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Upton Sinclair

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Re: WUWT – major announcement coming
Reply #14 - Jul 30^th, 2012 at 8:56pm

progressiveslol wrote on Jul 30^th, 2012 at 4:50pm:

It would seem that there are plenty of AGW sites using the berkley (so called) best data without it being peer-reviewed. Cant remember anyone being upset about that, but go figure. Hypocrisy abound with you lot

Not upset. Just think it's amusing considering what happened last time Watts breathlessly released his last "ground breaking" research before getting reviewed Grin

From The Guardian - Google the text for the source link.

Quote:

He set up a site called surfacestations**** for readers to post photos of poorly located weather stations, particularly in places that could be influenced by artificial heat, such as air conditioning units or car parks. The photos were compiled into a book published by the right-wing thinktank the Heartland Institute. In it, Watts wrote: "The conclusion is inescapable: The US temperature record is unreliable. And since the US record is thought to be 'the best in the world,' it follows that the global database is likely similarly compromised and unreliable."

But scientists at the National Climatic Data Centre (NCDC) in North Carolina have analysed the weather station data to see what difference poor location actually makes. Watts had ranked the stations by his estimation of the quality of their location, so Dr Matthew Menne and colleagues compared the results from high- and low-ranked stations. They described their results as "counterintuitive" – poorly located stations were actually more likely to be cooler than those in better locations. This is probably because the poorly located stations are more likely to use more up-to-date measuring equipment called Maximum-Minimum Temperature System (MMTS), which has a slight "cool" bias that is already well documented.

Mene et. al. even went so far as to thank Watts and Surfacestations**** for their diligent efforts in discovering this cooling bias in the US temperature record Grin

"We wish to thank Anthony Watts and the many volunteers at surfacestations.org for their considerable efforts in documenting the current site characteristics of USHCN stations."

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