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Should Abbott apologise to Flannery? (Read 72348 times)
BatteriesNotIncluded
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Re: Should Abbott apologise to Flannery?
Reply #150 - May 15th, 2011 at 2:40pm
 
The Libbos can't get over the fact CLIMATE CHANGE is a risk mangement issue.....

The Libbos who can't get over this don't understand the concept of MARKET FAILURE!!!

I believe the forum at large has asserted this, uncontested, as ECONOMICS 101!

LOL LOLLYBAG LOL!  Cool
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*Sure....they're anti competitive as any subsidised job is.  It wouldn't be there without the tax payer.  Very damned difficult for a brainwashed collectivist to understand that I know....  (swaggy) *
 
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astro_surf
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Re: Should Abbott apologise to Flannery?
Reply #151 - May 15th, 2011 at 2:46pm
 
longweekend58 wrote on May 15th, 2011 at 1:56pm:
I want some proof. REAL proof. predictions that are fulfilled,


...


Quote:
models that work.


...

Quote:
Genuine consensus among CLIMATE scientists not just chemists, economist and train engineers.


...

http://wotsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2010/08/climate-consensus-infographic.jpgw=377&h=240

The problem here isn't a lack of proof, it's you getting you information solely from people who are quite prepared to lie about the re being no proof for things that there is plenty of proof for.
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« Last Edit: May 15th, 2011 at 2:52pm by astro_surf »  

Andrei.Hicks wrote on Sep 11th, 2011 at 11:23am:
So tell me, you'd like to see more and more craphouse coloured people in Australia right?&&Yeah good idea moron.&&
 
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BatteriesNotIncluded
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Re: Should Abbott apologise to Flannery?
Reply #152 - May 15th, 2011 at 2:46pm
 
astro_surf wrote on May 15th, 2011 at 2:40pm:
longweekend58 wrote on May 15th, 2011 at 1:59pm:
astro_surf wrote on May 15th, 2011 at 11:57am:
No, you're anti-science. You have decided that a vast chunk of scientific understanding can be ignored because it doesn't suit your ideological belief structure. You're just like a creationist.


now there's a funny statement. science itself routinely throws out a 'vast chunk of scientific understanding' in its pursuit of facts. new advances in science throws out old models and repalces them with newer, better ones. it is in fact luddites who cling to the old ways and cant upgrade who are the problem. And with your attitude you are tomorrows Luddite - unable to embrace new ideas, technoligies or theories.


You keep saying this but where is the alternative explanation that is going 'replace' basic laws of physics? Either provide some evidence or STFU with this pathetically weak line of reasoning until you DO have something! Science only discards ideas when the evidence leads it to do so. Where's the evidence? I mean, science might one day find out that smoking DOESN'T cause cancer but that's no reason to keep smoking, is it? Science might one day replace thne theory of gravity but you don't see people jumping out of planes without parachutes, do you?

Ridiculous line of reasoning is ridiculous.

SMOKING THE METH AND PRETENDING THAT FREE MARKETS ACTUALLY EXIST IS RIDICULOUS!!!

FREE MARKETS REQUIRE PERFECT INFORMATION FLOW... HECK PERFECT INFORMATION FULLSTOP, THE WHOLE NOTION OF SCIENTIFIC ENDEVOUR DOESN'T FIT IN THE IMAGINARY PICTURE THAT IS 'FREE MARKETS'!

GEEZ I LOVE JIM BEAM BLACK IN A CAN ON A SUNDAY MORNING...
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*Sure....they're anti competitive as any subsidised job is.  It wouldn't be there without the tax payer.  Very damned difficult for a brainwashed collectivist to understand that I know....  (swaggy) *
 
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astro_surf
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Re: Should Abbott apologise to Flannery?
Reply #153 - May 15th, 2011 at 2:49pm
 
Ten predictions made by climate scientists that have come true (or are becoming true)

1) That the Earth would warm as more CO2 was put into the atmosphere (Svante Arrhenius in 1893)

2) That we'd begin to see noticable changes to Earth's climate by around 2000 (some IPCC scientists ).

3) That sea-level would start rising

4) That Earth's Ice would start melting rapidly (James Hanson)

5) That hurricanes would increase in intensity (this one goes back to Alfred Russel Wallace in 1900)

6) That species would start going extinct as a result of climate change.

7) That Australia would start drying out (Hadley Centre scientists)

8) That tropical diseases would increase

9) That food crops would be adversely affected

10) That the CO2 would begin to acidify the ocean

The ten biggest changes to the weather wrought by climate change

1) Shorter winters

2) Less runoff into dams and reservoirs in many regions of the world

3) More violent and longer hurricanes

4) Less chilly nights

5) Less predictable seasonal conditions

6) Less snow

7) More heat waves

8) Less rain in many regions at various seasons

9) More severe storms in the North Sea and parts of the southern Ocean

10) Generally warmer conditions

The ten places in the world / animals in the world most endangered by global warming

1) The glorious Cape Botanic province in South Africa, particularly the succulent Karoo flora.

2) Amphibians everywhere (a third of all species are already gravely endangered or extinct.

3) Coral reefs

4) Species on mountaintops (many populations are already extinct.

5) The tundra

6) The Arctic Ocean

7) The Antarctic Peninsula

8) Australia - where the drying trend is already precipitating a new wave of declines and extinctions.

9) The Amazon, where drying will affect forests and rivers

10) The boreal forests, here pest infestations are destroying vast areas of trees.
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Andrei.Hicks wrote on Sep 11th, 2011 at 11:23am:
So tell me, you'd like to see more and more craphouse coloured people in Australia right?&&Yeah good idea moron.&&
 
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longweekend58
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Re: Should Abbott apologise to Flannery?
Reply #154 - May 15th, 2011 at 3:05pm
 
freediver wrote on May 15th, 2011 at 2:33pm:
Quote:
and  IM not saying we should IGNORE advice as a general principle.


So only when it suits your political agenda? How Abbott's approach of simply lying about it?

Quote:
Im saying we should question and criticise and ask for proof before committing to huge tasks or policies on the say-so of science.


But science does not work with proof. The closest you get is failure over a long period of time to disprove. Are you saying we should ignore scientific advice and demand proof of everything?

Quote:
They've been terribly wrong in the past and will be wrong in the future. to assume they are right now without much evidence and a lot of controversy is irresponsible.


No it isn't Longy. There are rational ways to manage risk. Your approach is not a rational one.


who said anything about a political agenda? When the libs were supporting it i still opposed it. it is what is called a PRINCIPLED position.
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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."
 
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astro_surf
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Re: Should Abbott apologise to Flannery?
Reply #155 - May 15th, 2011 at 3:07pm
 
longweekend58 wrote on May 15th, 2011 at 3:05pm:
freediver wrote on May 15th, 2011 at 2:33pm:
Quote:
and  IM not saying we should IGNORE advice as a general principle.


So only when it suits your political agenda? How Abbott's approach of simply lying about it?

Quote:
Im saying we should question and criticise and ask for proof before committing to huge tasks or policies on the say-so of science.


But science does not work with proof. The closest you get is failure over a long period of time to disprove. Are you saying we should ignore scientific advice and demand proof of everything?

Quote:
They've been terribly wrong in the past and will be wrong in the future. to assume they are right now without much evidence and a lot of controversy is irresponsible.


No it isn't Longy. There are rational ways to manage risk. Your approach is not a rational one.


who said anything about a political agenda? When the libs were supporting it i still opposed it. it is what is called a PRINCIPLED position.



As did half the Liberal Party, so what's your point exactly? You have still taken a political position to deny a scientific issue. That's a political agenda if ever I've seen one.
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Andrei.Hicks wrote on Sep 11th, 2011 at 11:23am:
So tell me, you'd like to see more and more craphouse coloured people in Australia right?&&Yeah good idea moron.&&
 
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longweekend58
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Re: Should Abbott apologise to Flannery?
Reply #156 - May 15th, 2011 at 3:10pm
 
astro_surf wrote on May 15th, 2011 at 2:46pm:
longweekend58 wrote on May 15th, 2011 at 1:56pm:
I want some proof. REAL proof. predictions that are fulfilled,


http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/imagerecords/2000/2288/modis_larsb_mar05...


Quote:
models that work.


http://www.realclimate.org/images/Hansen06_fig2.jpg

Quote:
Genuine consensus among CLIMATE scientists not just chemists, economist and train engineers.


http://wotsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2010/08/doran-200901-climate-survey.jp...

http://wotsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2010/08/climate-consensus-infographic....

The problem here isn't a lack of proof, it's you getting you information solely from people who are quite prepared to lie about the re being no proof for things that there is plenty of proof for.


i could get you articles from the 50s that comprehensively show how smoking is good for you. and the bulk of science agreed.

Consensus is not a substitute for being right.
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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."
 
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longweekend58
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Re: Should Abbott apologise to Flannery?
Reply #157 - May 15th, 2011 at 3:13pm
 
astro_surf wrote on May 15th, 2011 at 2:46pm:
longweekend58 wrote on May 15th, 2011 at 1:56pm:
I want some proof. REAL proof. predictions that are fulfilled,


http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/imagerecords/2000/2288/modis_larsb_mar05...


Quote:
models that work.


http://www.realclimate.org/images/Hansen06_fig2.jpg

Quote:
Genuine consensus among CLIMATE scientists not just chemists, economist and train engineers.


http://wotsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2010/08/doran-200901-climate-survey.jp...

http://wotsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2010/08/climate-consensus-infographic....

The problem here isn't a lack of proof, it's you getting you information solely from people who are quite prepared to lie about the re being no proof for things that there is plenty of proof for.


and if they are so convinced then why does every climate model fail on the most basic task - retrofitting the model onto past history? why does every single climate prediction fail - often miserably.

if their confidence comes from their models then why are those models ALWAYS wrong?
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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."
 
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BatteriesNotIncluded
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Re: Should Abbott apologise to Flannery?
Reply #158 - May 15th, 2011 at 3:14pm
 
Consensus is not a substitute for being right: but you are probably wrong!  Wink Wink
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*Sure....they're anti competitive as any subsidised job is.  It wouldn't be there without the tax payer.  Very damned difficult for a brainwashed collectivist to understand that I know....  (swaggy) *
 
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BatteriesNotIncluded
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Re: Should Abbott apologise to Flannery?
Reply #159 - May 15th, 2011 at 3:16pm
 
longweekend58 wrote on May 15th, 2011 at 3:13pm:
astro_surf wrote on May 15th, 2011 at 2:46pm:
longweekend58 wrote on May 15th, 2011 at 1:56pm:
I want some proof. REAL proof. predictions that are fulfilled,


http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/imagerecords/2000/2288/modis_larsb_mar05...


Quote:
models that work.


http://www.realclimate.org/images/Hansen06_fig2.jpg

Quote:
Genuine consensus among CLIMATE scientists not just chemists, economist and train engineers.


http://wotsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2010/08/doran-200901-climate-survey.jp...

http://wotsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2010/08/climate-consensus-infographic....

The problem here isn't a lack of proof, it's you getting you information solely from people who are quite prepared to lie about the re being no proof for things that there is plenty of proof for.


and if they are so convinced then why does every climate model fail on the most basic task - retrofitting the model onto past history? why does every single climate prediction fail - often miserably.

if their confidence comes from their models then why are those models ALWAYS wrong?

NEVER HEARD OF CHAOS THEORY AY?!!?  Grin
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*Sure....they're anti competitive as any subsidised job is.  It wouldn't be there without the tax payer.  Very damned difficult for a brainwashed collectivist to understand that I know....  (swaggy) *
 
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astro_surf
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Re: Should Abbott apologise to Flannery?
Reply #160 - May 15th, 2011 at 3:17pm
 
longweekend58 wrote on May 15th, 2011 at 3:10pm:
[quote author=astro_surf link=1305115643/150#151 date=1305434762]

i could get you articles from the 50s that comprehensively show how smoking is good for you. and the bulk of science agreed.

Consensus is not a substitute for being right.


LOL, first you want a REAL consensus, then when you are shown one you say that consensus is meaningless.

Oh, and I bet you can't find such articles, there was never a consensus that smoking was harmless, in the fifties it was well known to cause cancer but there was a very slick PR campaign to DENY that evidence (sound familiar? It should). And the fact that you use smoking as an example is pretty hilarious because not only does the denial industry use the EXACT same tactics as the smoking lobby did, quite often it involves the EXACT same people promoting the respective denial! Talk about shooting yourself in the foot! Cheesy

http://www.desmogblog.com/frederick-seitz-dead

http://www.desmogblog.com/richard-lindzen

Quote:
and if they are so convinced then why does every climate model fail on the most basic task - retrofitting the model onto past history? why does every single climate prediction fail - often miserably.

if their confidence comes from their models then why are those models ALWAYS wrong?
Back to top      
 


Short answer - they don't. Once again, you have been badly misled by the ideological apparatchiks that tell you how to think. This highlights the folly of only drawing on sources of information that confirm your preconceived biases Smiley

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« Last Edit: May 15th, 2011 at 3:22pm by astro_surf »  

Andrei.Hicks wrote on Sep 11th, 2011 at 11:23am:
So tell me, you'd like to see more and more craphouse coloured people in Australia right?&&Yeah good idea moron.&&
 
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longweekend58
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Re: Should Abbott apologise to Flannery?
Reply #161 - May 15th, 2011 at 3:21pm
 
Quote:
1) That the Earth would warm as more CO2 was put into the atmosphere (Svante Arrhenius in 1893)


a circular argument based on the assumption that CO2 is a cause rather than an effect.

Quote:
2) That we'd begin to see noticable changes to Earth's climate by around 2000 (some IPCC scientists ).


expect there HASNT been any such events.

Quote:
3) That sea-level would start rising


but it hasnt outside the usual cyclical rise and fall of a few mm

Quote:
4) That Earth's Ice would start melting rapidly (James Hanson)


theres that pesky prediction of the artic ice disappearing which simply refuses to happen. and the antarctic has actually MORE ice on one side of the continent. bummer that one.

Quote:
5) That hurricanes would increase in intensity (this one goes back to Alfred Russel Wallace in 1900)


the worlds foremost expert on hurricanes explicity rejetced that notion saying that hurricanes had been far worse in the past.

Quote:
6) That species would start going extinct as a result of climate change.


theyve been going extinct for a couple centuries now. nothing new.

Quote:
7) That Australia would start drying out (Hadley Centre scientists)


tell that to QLD NSW VIC and SA now inundated with RECORD rain. EPIC FAIL.

Quote:
8) That tropical diseases would increase


unsupported fanciful imagination

Quote:
9) That food crops would be adversely affected


simply not true. food supply problems are because of population growth and war - not climate.

Quote:
10) That the CO2 would begin to acidify the ocean


despite the fact that the CO2 level is 1/10th of what it has been in histry.
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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."
 
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longweekend58
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Re: Should Abbott apologise to Flannery?
Reply #162 - May 15th, 2011 at 3:23pm
 
astro_surf wrote on May 15th, 2011 at 3:07pm:
longweekend58 wrote on May 15th, 2011 at 3:05pm:
freediver wrote on May 15th, 2011 at 2:33pm:
Quote:
and  IM not saying we should IGNORE advice as a general principle.


So only when it suits your political agenda? How Abbott's approach of simply lying about it?

Quote:
Im saying we should question and criticise and ask for proof before committing to huge tasks or policies on the say-so of science.


But science does not work with proof. The closest you get is failure over a long period of time to disprove. Are you saying we should ignore scientific advice and demand proof of everything?

Quote:
They've been terribly wrong in the past and will be wrong in the future. to assume they are right now without much evidence and a lot of controversy is irresponsible.


No it isn't Longy. There are rational ways to manage risk. Your approach is not a rational one.


who said anything about a political agenda? When the libs were supporting it i still opposed it. it is what is called a PRINCIPLED position.



As did half the Liberal Party, so what's your point exactly? You have still taken a political position to deny a scientific issue. That's a political agenda if ever I've seen one.


and labor supporting it, isnt??? why exactly do u think Gillard put up a carbon tax??? PRINCIPLE??? it was demned of her from the Greens in order to be PM. there is nothing more politically motivated that that.
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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."
 
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longweekend58
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Re: Should Abbott apologise to Flannery?
Reply #163 - May 15th, 2011 at 3:26pm
 
BatteriesNotIncluded wrote on May 15th, 2011 at 3:16pm:
longweekend58 wrote on May 15th, 2011 at 3:13pm:
astro_surf wrote on May 15th, 2011 at 2:46pm:
longweekend58 wrote on May 15th, 2011 at 1:56pm:
I want some proof. REAL proof. predictions that are fulfilled,


http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/imagerecords/2000/2288/modis_larsb_mar05...


Quote:
models that work.


http://www.realclimate.org/images/Hansen06_fig2.jpg

Quote:
Genuine consensus among CLIMATE scientists not just chemists, economist and train engineers.


http://wotsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2010/08/doran-200901-climate-survey.jp...

http://wotsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2010/08/climate-consensus-infographic....

The problem here isn't a lack of proof, it's you getting you information solely from people who are quite prepared to lie about the re being no proof for things that there is plenty of proof for.


and if they are so convinced then why does every climate model fail on the most basic task - retrofitting the model onto past history? why does every single climate prediction fail - often miserably.

if their confidence comes from their models then why are those models ALWAYS wrong?

NEVER HEARD OF CHAOS THEORY AY?!!?  Grin


obviously youve HEARD of it yet have zero understanding.
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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."
 
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astro_surf
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Re: Should Abbott apologise to Flannery?
Reply #164 - May 15th, 2011 at 3:44pm
 
longweekend58 wrote on May 15th, 2011 at 3:21pm:
Quote:
1) That the Earth would warm as more CO2 was put into the atmosphere (Svante Arrhenius in 1893)


a circular argument based on the assumption that CO2 is a cause rather than an effect.


It's been shown to you why this is an erroneous assumption on your part. CO2 definitively and demonstrably DOES cause warming, and it is easily proved:



Pretty basic stuff. Also, care to comment on why the Earth isn't a giant ball lof ice, if indeed CO2 DOESN'T warm the planet?

Quote:
2) That we'd begin to see noticable changes to Earth's climate by around 2000 (some IPCC scientists ).


expect there HASNT been any such events. [/quote]

Yes there has.

Quote:
3) That sea-level would start rising


but it hasnt outside the usual cyclical rise and fall of a few mm [/quote]

Sea rise isn't 'cyclical', you nonce. We can measure the rate of thermal expansion which, unlike your simplistic assumption about CO2, really IS a function of temperature change.

Quote:
4) That Earth's Ice would start melting rapidly (James Hanson)


theres that pesky prediction of the artic ice disappearing which simply refuses to happen. and the antarctic has actually MORE ice on one side of the continent. bummer that one. [/quote]

Actually, the Arctic sea ice has declined WAy faster than anyone could ever have predicted

http://nsidc.org/sotc/sea_ice.html



Once again you've been sorely misled.

As for the Antarctic, scientists have predicted for well over thirty years that initially AGW would lead to an increase in Antarctic ice mass in Eastern Antarctic (due to increased precipitation and the nature of the Southern ocean which would circulate a lot of cold water), while the Western Antarctic would warm. Well, the Western Antarctic is in a state of decline as the massive collapse of the Larsen B ice sheet demonstrated so graphically. While the Eastern Antarctic is for the first time showing signs of mass loss decades and deecades before anyone had previously predicted:

http://www.nasa.gov/topics/earth/features/20100108_Is_Antarctica_Melting.html

Quote:
5) That hurricanes would increase in intensity (this one goes back to Alfred Russel Wallace in 1900)


the worlds foremost expert on hurricanes explicity rejetced that notion saying that hurricanes had been far worse in the past. [/quote]

Source?

Quote:
6) That species would start going extinct as a result of climate change.


theyve been going extinct for a couple centuries now. nothing new. [/quote]

No but the CAUSE is, and that's the point.

Quote:
7) That Australia would start drying out (Hadley Centre scientists)


tell that to QLD NSW VIC and SA now inundated with RECORD rain. EPIC FAIL. [/quote]

Due to La Nina, which has been amplified by the record high Pacific Ocean temps and have resulted in u unprecedented rainfall events and flooding emergencies across the southern hemisphere. And, we will soon go back to an extreme and extended El Nino, cycles which have demonstrably gotten worse in terms of intensity and duration, longer and hotter, meaning more intense droughts of greater intensity and duration - just like climate scientists have been opredicting for over thirty years.

Quote:
8) That tropical diseases would increase


unsupported fanciful imagination [/quote]

http://scholar.google.com.au/scholar?q=tropical+disease+increase+climate+change&...

Quote:
9) That food crops would be adversely affected


simply not true. food supply problems are because of population growth and war - not climate. [/quote]

For starters, this article was written a year or two BEFORE the global food shock, however there is very GOOD evidence that climate change played a critical role in the emergency. We'll get to that later.

Secondly, he is 100% right. Climate change HAS adversely affected food crops, and it will get worse.

http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=climate-change-impacts-staple-c...

Quote:
10) That the CO2 would begin to acidify the ocean


despite the fact that the CO2 level is 1/10th of what it has been in histry. [/quote]

Yes, and the ocean was much, much more acidic:

http://theotherco2problem.wordpress.com/what-do-studies-about-past-climate-and-o...

So, once again I have demonstrated that you understanding of the issue is based on serious misconceptions and that this is because you limit your information sources to those that confirm your biases becasue this is primarily a political, not scientific issue, for you.
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Andrei.Hicks wrote on Sep 11th, 2011 at 11:23am:
So tell me, you'd like to see more and more craphouse coloured people in Australia right?&&Yeah good idea moron.&&
 
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