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What happened to 2020? (Read 8757 times)
longweekend58
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What happened to 2020?
Dec 4th, 2010 at 5:20pm
 
For years we have been inundated about the imminent climate disaster that will befall us in 2020. But now it seems that the goalposts have been moved. the currentUN Climate Conference is now focussing on 2030 instead. Why? Call it cynical, but maybe its because 2020 is now pretty close and none of the predicted calamities have eventuated. So let's move the alarm out to 2030 - just far enough away to be unprovable and close enough to scare.

Just more manoevures from the Great CLimate Scare/Con.
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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."
 
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Amadd
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Re: What happened to 2020?
Reply #1 - Dec 4th, 2010 at 6:47pm
 
If it is a con, then the most obvious reason would be that we are running out of oil and we need some motivation to point the future towards renewable fuel sources.

The downside to a con would be that we don't get to spend all available resources and leave future generations in the lurch.

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Re: What happened to 2020?
Reply #2 - Dec 4th, 2010 at 6:58pm
 
2020 ???

yes, what DID happen to rudds 2020 talkfest summit??

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muso
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Re: What happened to 2020?
Reply #3 - Dec 4th, 2010 at 7:22pm
 
longweekend58 wrote on Dec 4th, 2010 at 5:20pm:
For years we have been inundated about the imminent climate disaster that will befall us in 2020. But now it seems that the goalposts have been moved. the currentUN Climate Conference is now focussing on 2030 instead. Why? Call it cynical, but maybe its because 2020 is now pretty close and none of the predicted calamities have eventuated. So let's move the alarm out to 2030 - just far enough away to be unprovable and close enough to scare.

Just more manoevures from the Great CLimate Scare/Con.



Have we?  I think I've read all the technical reports that were ever written and haven't heard that one before. What's your reference ? - and who says that a disaster is about to occur in 2030?

COP16's strategy is to agree on Carbon reduction strategies put forward in Copenhagen. The goal remains the same - of limiting overall global temperature rise to less than 2 degrees.

I'm not aware of any additional Working Group I papers even being presented at Cancun.
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« Last Edit: Dec 4th, 2010 at 8:46pm by muso »  

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mozzaok
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Re: What happened to 2020?
Reply #4 - Dec 5th, 2010 at 7:09am
 
Thanks for that response muso, I expected that you could provide a succinct reply that would clarify the situation.
Longy seems to get all of his information from the extreme right blogosphere, and then passes on their fantastic, and almost inevitably, false assertions, as accepted facts.
He comes in with these wild statements, with links from other opinion pieces as reference material, and then proceeds to argue his case as if he has established an agreed fact, but very much like beowulf/grendel, used to do, goes missing in action, when the primary element of his case is proven false.
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longweekend58
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Re: What happened to 2020?
Reply #5 - Dec 5th, 2010 at 7:19am
 
keep deluding yourself - 'true believers'. COP16 is using 2030 as its date for 'immindent disaster'. it used to be 2020. and in 10 years time it will be 2040. it never changes. Climate Change is real. the predictions and hysteria are not. of all the predictions of global climate catastrophe, not ONE has come to pass. warming - measured in minute amounts - has been recorded and is farm far less that what has happened in the last 1000 years. the proof positive of ACC is an actual EVENT that proves it and none have been forthcoming.

and so now the date is 2030 - just far enough away to avoid having to prove it and lose enough panic the gullible.
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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."
 
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longweekend58
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Re: What happened to 2020?
Reply #6 - Dec 5th, 2010 at 7:23am
 
muso wrote on Dec 4th, 2010 at 7:22pm:
longweekend58 wrote on Dec 4th, 2010 at 5:20pm:
For years we have been inundated about the imminent climate disaster that will befall us in 2020. But now it seems that the goalposts have been moved. the currentUN Climate Conference is now focussing on 2030 instead. Why? Call it cynical, but maybe its because 2020 is now pretty close and none of the predicted calamities have eventuated. So let's move the alarm out to 2030 - just far enough away to be unprovable and close enough to scare.

Just more manoevures from the Great CLimate Scare/Con.



Have we?  I think I've read all the technical reports that were ever written and haven't heard that one before. What's your reference ? - and who says that a disaster is about to occur in 2030?

COP16's strategy is to agree on Carbon reduction strategies put forward in Copenhagen. The goal remains the same - of limiting overall global temperature rise to less than 2 degrees.

I'm not aware of any additional Working Group I papers even being presented at Cancun.


the way you talk of copenhagen makes me think you are unware that copenhagen was a failure of mammoth proportions and agreed on NOTHING AT ALL!
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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."
 
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muso
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Re: What happened to 2020?
Reply #7 - Dec 5th, 2010 at 7:30am
 
longweekend58 wrote on Dec 5th, 2010 at 7:23am:
the way you talk of copenhagen makes me think you are unware that copenhagen was a failure of mammoth proportions and agreed on NOTHING AT ALL!


Can you answer the original question? You made the assertion that we have been "inundated" about the imminent climate disaster that will befall us in 2020. Then you made the assertion that the current conference (I presume you mean Cancun) has switched the focus to 2030.

I'm curious as to your source of this "wisdom". If you make statements of this kind, you'll need to back them up to retain a modicum of credibility.

I'll make it easy for you. Here is the link to the conference programme:

http://cc2010.mx/en/about/conference-programme/conference-programme/

Now, can you provide a link to justify your initial claim?
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« Last Edit: Dec 5th, 2010 at 7:37am by muso »  

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gizmo_2655
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Re: What happened to 2020?
Reply #8 - Dec 5th, 2010 at 7:45am
 
"Now the Pentagon tells Bush: climate
change will destroy us
· Secret report warns of rioting and nuclear war
· Britain will be 'Siberian' in less than 20 years
· Threat to the world is greater than terrorism
Mark Townsend and Paul Harris in New York
The Observ er, Sunday 22 February 2004 01 .33 GMT
l arger | smal l er
Climate change over the next 20 years could result in a global catastrophe costing
millions of lives in wars and natural disasters..
A secret report, suppressed by US defence chiefs and obtained by The Observer, warns
that major European cities will be sunk beneath rising seas as Britain is plunged into a
'Siberian' climate by 2020. Nuclear conflict, mega-droughts, famine and widespread
rioting will erupt across the world."
http://jlmiller.us/articles/Pentagon_climate_The%20Observer.pdf


"Rising sea levels
Tidal gauge data have documented a global mean sea level rise of 10 to 20 cm during the 20th century.4 Approximately 70% of the world’s population live within 100 miles of seacoasts, and nearly 50 million people now live at risk of coastal flooding and displacement by tidal and storm surges.11 Sea levels are anticipated to rise by another 7.6 to 91.4 cm by 2020 due to a combination of polar ice cap and glacial meltdown, increased precipitation, coastal land erosion and subsidence, and thermal expansion form rising seawater temperatures.9,12,13 A 100 cm (1 m) rise in sea levels would flood 34% of Bangladesh, the Marshall Islands, the Florida Keys, and many other islands and coastal areas.3,4 If the entire Western Antarctic ice sheet were to melt, sea levels would rise by another 6.1 m.11 Flooding is now the most common type of natural disaster worldwide, and flash flooding, usually associated with tropical storms and hurricanes, is among the leading causes of weather-related deaths in the United States, along with heat wave-related deaths. As a result of climate changes, more frequently alternating Pacific Ocean surface and subsurface temperature oscillations, as NOAA asserts, or synergistic combinations, hurricanes of category 3 or greater now strike the continental United States approximately every 18 months."

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1708-8305.2006.00072.x/full

"Climate Change Health Check 2020 Report

Friday, 04 April 2008 11:12

The effects of climate change will not only be harmful to the health of the planet-- they will impact the health of humans as well.

Climate change dramatically disrupts some of life’s basic essential requirements for health: water, air and food.
By 2020, it is anticipated that increasing climate change will have greater impacts on the health of humans here in Australia and globally.

In 2020, it is likely that Australian doctors and other health professionals will be seeing patients with a diverse range of climate change-related illnesses, from heat stress and other heat-related illness events (affecting the heart, blood vessels and lungs) to trauma from extreme weather events such as storms and heavy rains.   

It is anticipated that there will be changes in airborne pollutants leading to increased respiratory problems, including asthma. The production of pollens, moulds and fungi, all of which cause allergic symptoms, may increase due to rising temperatures.

In those areas affected by long-term drought and other natural disasters, it is likely that patients will experience distress and more mental illness such as depression and post traumatic stress disorders.  These conditions are also expected to rise in patients who have survived severe weather events.

Diseases such as gastroenteritis and diarrhea are predicted to rise due to contaminated food and water.  One study showed that for every degree of increase in temperature the rate of hospitalisation of children with diarrhoea increased by 8 per cent. A changing climate will also affect the distribution of mosquito-related diseases such as Dengue fever and Ross River virus.  Previously, in Australia these diseases had been restricted to areas north of Broome, Katherine and Cairns, but could spread as far south as New South Wales depending on temperature rise."

http://www.climateinstitute.org.au/our-publications/reports/289-climate-change-health-check-2020-report


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longweekend58
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Re: What happened to 2020?
Reply #9 - Dec 5th, 2010 at 11:51am
 
was gizmos post a good starting point for u muso? or are you going to maintain the fiction of 'climate catastrophe'?
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muso
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Re: What happened to 2020?
Reply #10 - Dec 5th, 2010 at 11:59am
 
longweekend58 wrote on Dec 5th, 2010 at 11:51am:
was gizmos post a good starting point for u muso? or are you going to maintain the fiction of 'climate catastrophe'?


Oh, was that a response? So a leaked secret report from the Pentagon with one oblique reference to the year 2020 is what you call an inundation? I'd suggest that for every report referencing 2020, you'll find about 5 referencing 2050. Here are 5 from about the same time:

http://www.abc.net.au/science/articles/2004/02/23/1051090.htm
http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2004/01/0107_040107_extinction.html

http://www.themotorreport.com.au/22545/automotive-manufacturers-urged-to-halve-e...
http://www.buzzle.com/editorials/1-7-2004-49202.asp

http://foodsecurity.stanford.edu/publications/shifts_in_african_crop_climates_by...



OK, it's kind of weak, but please continue to explain the inferred emphasis on the year 2030 by the Cancun conference?



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mozzaok
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Re: What happened to 2020?
Reply #11 - Dec 5th, 2010 at 1:44pm
 
If the report prepared for the pentagon is their concern, they should be aware that their brief was to assume worse case scenarios, for every aspect of potential change from global warming, and then speculate on the worse case scenarios from that point of view.
Now only a pathetic and deceitful nimrod, would try and portray that as the opinion, of any scientific organisation.

What is it about the lunatic fringe and outright deceit, are they actually so stupid that they think anyone but their rusted on cheer squad will accept this garbage at face value?
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muso
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Re: What happened to 2020?
Reply #12 - Dec 5th, 2010 at 1:49pm
 
OK, Let me translate,

longweekend58 wrote on Dec 4th, 2010 at 5:20pm:
For years we have been inundated about the imminent climate disaster that will befall us in 2020.

"If you Google climate, disaster and 2020, you might find some oblique references that will back up my assertion." (of course, the same will work for 2030, 2040, 2050 and so on up to 2100). 2020 has never held any particular significance for so called climate disasters.

Quote:
But now it seems that the goalposts have been moved. the currentUN Climate Conference is now focussing on 2030 instead.


However the UN Climate conference in Cancun has not made any such reference to 2030 whatsoever, except for the after dinner speaker on the 1st December, who starts speaking at 20:30.

Quote:
Why? Call it cynical, but maybe its because 2020 is now pretty close and none of the predicted calamities have eventuated. So let's move the alarm out to 2030 - just far enough away to be unprovable and close enough to scare.


None of the predicted calamities (by the Pentagon) have eventuated. (Of course it's not 2020 yet, so maybe the Pentagon at the time of George Bush may be proven right eventually)

Quote:
Just more manoevures from the Great CLimate Scare/Con.


You're talking about the Pentagon under Dubya? That was the only article you've come up with that mulled around the prospect of catastrophes in any vague way.

Unless you can substantiate your claims in some way, I'll lock this thread.
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« Last Edit: Dec 5th, 2010 at 1:59pm by muso »  

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longweekend58
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Re: What happened to 2020?
Reply #13 - Dec 5th, 2010 at 2:29pm
 
muso wrote on Dec 5th, 2010 at 1:49pm:
OK, Let me translate,

longweekend58 wrote on Dec 4th, 2010 at 5:20pm:
For years we have been inundated about the imminent climate disaster that will befall us in 2020.

"If you Google climate, disaster and 2020, you might find some oblique references that will back up my assertion." (of course, the same will work for 2030, 2040, 2050 and so on up to 2100). 2020 has never held any particular significance for so called climate disasters.

Quote:
But now it seems that the goalposts have been moved. the currentUN Climate Conference is now focussing on 2030 instead.


However the UN Climate conference in Cancun has not made any such reference to 2030 whatsoever, except for the after dinner speaker on the 1st December, who starts speaking at 20:30.

Quote:
Why? Call it cynical, but maybe its because 2020 is now pretty close and none of the predicted calamities have eventuated. So let's move the alarm out to 2030 - just far enough away to be unprovable and close enough to scare.


None of the predicted calamities (by the Pentagon) have eventuated. (Of course it's not 2020 yet, so maybe the Pentagon at the time of George Bush may be proven right eventually)

Quote:
Just more manoevures from the Great CLimate Scare/Con.


You're talking about the Pentagon under Dubya? That was the only article you've come up with that mulled around the prospect of catastrophes in any vague way.

Unless you can substantiate your claims in some way, I'll lock this thread.


Go ahead. lock the thread. that would be SO IN KEEPING with the attitude about global warming - agree with us or be banned. there was an MSN report on COP16 which made multiple references to 2030. Frankly, I dont care if you believe me or not. I could show you the article - but it wouldnt matter. In the end you will just end up locking this thread.

All you have done is shown the contempt for free speech and ideas not pre-packaged by the UN and other climate alarmists that so typifies your type. Threatening to lock the thread was the most apalling thing Ive heard here.
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AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."
 
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muso
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Re: What happened to 2020?
Reply #14 - Dec 5th, 2010 at 2:48pm
 
If you actually have something that backs up your claims, feel free to post it. If your claims can not be substantiated, they are false claims, and there is no point in continuing the thread. It's as simple as that.

I have never banned anybody.
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