Dsmithy70 wrote on Aug 10
th, 2010 at 3:40pm:
The thought of Tone thinking on his feet next week causing sweaty palms?
I'd be worried if I wanted Abbot to win, but then if Turnbull was still around you'd be sitting about 10 points ahead in prefered PM and & 60 to 40 in 2pp & just counting down the days.
Sorry Smithy but I have to seriously disagree buy making the following points;
- Liberal under Turnbull was well behind in the polls.
- Turnbull was miles behind also.
- Turnbull was going to give Rudd his ETS.
- Abbotts challange to overthrow Turnbull was based on an anti-ETS stance.
- Abbott blocked the ETS.
- And again.
- This lead to the ALP not taking it DD trigger.
- ALP drops ETS, huge voter backlash.
It was that backlash that gave the Libs a sniff.
If Rudd got his ETS he would still be in the chair and the ALP would have made a lot of extra seats comes this election.
Thats my take anyway.
Your take is very much like my own only I believe that if Turnbull was still leader when Rudd went to water we'd have my predicted senario.
But its all really hypothetical because we'd have an ETS if Turnbull defeated Abbott & Rudd would still be PM & well ahead in the polls.
Then again has any done a poll since Labor dumped the ETS between Gillard/Abbott/Turnbull that's a result I'd be very interested to see.
Basically I'm just a Turnbull/Liberal tragic who is pining for his parties return from this foolish ultra conservative experiment