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LATEST POLL UPDATES (Read 49108 times)

longweekend58

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Re: NEWSPOLL: Labor Romps In
Reply #75 - Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 10:11am

Sprintcyclist wrote on Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 10:01am:

perhaps people are uncomfortable about voting for someone who decieved their boss to the highest degree , and now is rushing us all in to vote .

perhaps voters don't like proved failures as leaders ??

the mistake they made in replacing Rudd with Gillard is that there is no identifiable difference between the two other than gender. the gender voting advanatage evaporated after 2 weeks and now they are left with rudd-in-a-dress and all the anger over his knifing. It was a very very bad mistake from a party that has done little else than make bad mistakes.

AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."

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buzzanddidj

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Re: NEWSPOLL: Labor Romps In
Reply #76 - Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 10:29am

longweekend58 wrote on Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 9:53am:

buzzanddidj wrote on Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 7:02am:

The latest Newspoll shows Labor losing its election-winning lead as the Coaltion draws level heading into the third week of the election campaign.

The poll, published in this morning's The Australian newspaper, shows a 50-50 split in the two-party preferred vote.

Labor's two-party approval rating fell by 2 per cent while the Coalition gained 2 per cent.

Labor also lost ground in the primary vote, falling three points to be on 37 per cent against the Coalition's 44 per cent. The Greens were steady on 12 per cent.

Julia Gillard is still the preferred prime minister, leading Opposition Leader Tony Abbott 50 per cent to 35 per cent.

The latest numbers follow the weekend's Nielsen poll, which had the Coalition ahead of the ALP.

That poll showed the Coalition leading Labor 52 points to 48 on a two-party preferred basis.

http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2010/08/02/2970377.htm

The latest polls are certainly m,aking a joke out of this thread's title!

And yet, a swing back to Labor from the recent Nielsen poll

Abbott leads Gillard in latest poll
July 31, 2010

JULIA Gillard has taken a battering in the latest opinion poll, which shows the Coalition would win the election if it was held now.

Support for the Prime Minister and Labor has fallen dramatically while the Opposition has taken the lead in the Herald/Nielsen poll published today.

The Coalition is now ahead of Labor on a two-party preferred basis by 52 per cent to 48 per cent - a six percentage point swing against the government since the last Nielsen poll a week ago.

http://www.news.com.au/breaking-news/abbott-leads-gillard-in-latest-poll/story-e...

Expect more erratic poll patterns over the next month
This election is ANYONES
The ONLY certainty is a Green's balance of power in the Senate

'I like your Christ, I do not like your Christians.
Your Christians are so unlike your Christ.'

- Mohandas Karamchand Gandhi

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longweekend58

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Re: NEWSPOLL: Labor Romps In
Reply #77 - Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 10:35am

||And yet, a swing back to Labor from the recent Nielsen poll||

are you really that desperate to find a silver lining? if we conclude that different pollsters wil get slightly different results then we should compare them only with themsevles. ergo, NO swing back to labor.

Just face it, the 'slaughter' you were so confident about and bragging about only 6 months ago is long gone. just winning this election wil be s surprise for labor and then only because of green preferences. If first preferences alone decided the seats then labor might lose 50 seats instead. as it is you are still looking increasingly as having to exist under PM tony Abbott.

AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."

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Dsmithy70

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Re: NEWSPOLL: Labor Romps In
Reply #78 - Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 4:27pm

The Monthly's Straw Poll

The Monthly Poll, No. 1, 30 July-1 August, 961 responses.

The Monthly Poll comprises individual predictions averaged to give a group prediction.

PRIMARY VOTE

Q: If a federal election for the House of Representatives was held today, what percentage of the vote do you believe each of the following would secure:

PRIMARY VOTE

COALITION % 42

LABOR % 43

GREENS % 11

OTHERS % 4

30 July-1 August

TWO PARTY PREFERRED

Q: After preferences what do you believe the two party preferred share of the vote would be:

TWO-PARTY PREFERRED

COALITION 48

LABOR 52

30 July-1 August

PRIME MINISTER'S APPROVAL

Q: How satisfied or dissatisfied do you believe voters are with the way Julia Gillard is doing her job as prime minister:

PRIME MINISTER'S APPROVAL

SATISFIED 48

DISSATISFIED 36

UNCOMMITTED 16

30 July-1 August

OPPOSITION LEADER'S APPROVAL

Q: How satisfied or dissatisfied do you believe voters are with the way Tony Abbott is doing his job as leader of the Opposition:

OPPOSITION LEADER'S APPROVAL

SATISFIED 39

DISSATISFIED 45

UNCOMMITTED 16

30 July-1 August

BETTER PRIME MINISTER

Q: Who do you believe voters think would make the better prime minister:

BETTER PRIME MINISTER

JULIA GILLARD 58

TONY ABBOTT 42

30 July-1 August

This is not your average joe's being polled on a Sunday night by phone here, it's individuals who subscribe to a monthly political magazine.
The uncommited for both Abbott & Gillard in Job approval is interesting

REBELLION is not what most people think it is.
REBELLION is when you turn off the TV & start educating & thinking for yourself.
Gavin Nascimento

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longweekend58

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Re: NEWSPOLL: Labor Romps In
Reply #79 - Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 4:30pm

Dsmithy70 wrote on Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 4:27pm:

The Monthly's Straw Poll

The Monthly Poll, No. 1, 30 July-1 August, 961 responses.

The Monthly Poll comprises individual predictions averaged to give a group prediction.

PRIMARY VOTE

Q: If a federal election for the House of Representatives was held today, what percentage of the vote do you believe each of the following would secure:

PRIMARY VOTE

COALITION % 42

LABOR % 43

GREENS % 11

OTHERS % 4

30 July-1 August

TWO PARTY PREFERRED

Q: After preferences what do you believe the two party preferred share of the vote would be:

TWO-PARTY PREFERRED

COALITION 48

LABOR 52

30 July-1 August

PRIME MINISTER'S APPROVAL

Q: How satisfied or dissatisfied do you believe voters are with the way Julia Gillard is doing her job as prime minister:

PRIME MINISTER'S APPROVAL

SATISFIED 48

DISSATISFIED 36

UNCOMMITTED 16

30 July-1 August

OPPOSITION LEADER'S APPROVAL

Q: How satisfied or dissatisfied do you believe voters are with the way Tony Abbott is doing his job as leader of the Opposition:

OPPOSITION LEADER'S APPROVAL

SATISFIED 39

DISSATISFIED 45

UNCOMMITTED 16

30 July-1 August

BETTER PRIME MINISTER

Q: Who do you believe voters think would make the better prime minister:

BETTER PRIME MINISTER

JULIA GILLARD 58

TONY ABBOTT 42

30 July-1 August

This is not your average joe's being polled on a Sunday night by phone here, it's individuals who subscribe to a monthly political magazine.
The uncommited for both Abbott & Gillard in Job approval is interesting

and the fact that it is by no means a random sample and is at odds with the latest polls means...???

AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."

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bwood1946

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Re: NEWSPOLL: Labor Romps In
Reply #80 - Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 4:37pm

longweekend58 wrote on Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 4:30pm:

Dsmithy70 wrote on Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 4:27pm:

The Monthly's Straw Poll

The Monthly Poll, No. 1, 30 July-1 August, 961 responses.

The Monthly Poll comprises individual predictions averaged to give a group prediction.

PRIMARY VOTE

Q: If a federal election for the House of Representatives was held today, what percentage of the vote do you believe each of the following would secure:

PRIMARY VOTE

COALITION % 42

LABOR % 43

GREENS % 11

OTHERS % 4

30 July-1 August

TWO PARTY PREFERRED

Q: After preferences what do you believe the two party preferred share of the vote would be:

TWO-PARTY PREFERRED

COALITION 48

LABOR 52

30 July-1 August

PRIME MINISTER'S APPROVAL

Q: How satisfied or dissatisfied do you believe voters are with the way Julia Gillard is doing her job as prime minister:

PRIME MINISTER'S APPROVAL

SATISFIED 48

DISSATISFIED 36

UNCOMMITTED 16

30 July-1 August

OPPOSITION LEADER'S APPROVAL

Q: How satisfied or dissatisfied do you believe voters are with the way Tony Abbott is doing his job as leader of the Opposition:

OPPOSITION LEADER'S APPROVAL

SATISFIED 39

DISSATISFIED 45

UNCOMMITTED 16

30 July-1 August

BETTER PRIME MINISTER

Q: Who do you believe voters think would make the better prime minister:

BETTER PRIME MINISTER

JULIA GILLARD 58

TONY ABBOTT 42

30 July-1 August

This is not your average joe's being polled on a Sunday night by phone here, it's individuals who subscribe to a monthly political magazine.
The uncommited for both Abbott & Gillard in Job approval is interesting

and the fact that it is by no means a random sample and is at odds with the latest polls means...???

hhmmm i wonder what the mag is called

TPI VETERAN

bwood1946

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mellie

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Re: NEWSPOLL: Labor Romps In
Reply #81 - Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 4:37pm

It's still too early to call...

And rather than engage in Labors poll-driven campaign politics, and vapour trail policies, I'd like to see her doing something more interesting than posing seductively in a Woman's Weekly magazine.

This woman is supposed to be our PM, and when I saw her on the front cover of the Woman's Weekly, she came off as more 'celebrity', not someone we should be taking seriously.

Would be great if Gillard would accept Tony Abbotts invitation to more live public debates.

All together now Labor voters.......&&&&lap-tops, pink-bats refugees and Clunker-cars&&&&insurance.AES256

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skippy.

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Re: NEWSPOLL: Labor Romps In
Reply #82 - Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 4:39pm

Why is it that when the Libs were being beaten by 56/44 last week it was an outlier, but when the Libs are 50/50 it is "at odds"?
You cant take one poll and call it fact, you need to do an average over the polls and so far Labor are still ahead.
I will give it to the Libs though, they are as untruthfull with their smear campaigns as they were under the lying little rodent.

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Verge

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Re: NEWSPOLL: Labor Romps In
Reply #83 - Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 4:41pm

skippy. wrote on Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 4:39pm:

Why is it that when the Libs were being beaten by 56/44 last week it was an outlier, but when the Libs are 50/50 it is "at odds"?
You cant take one poll and call it fact, you need to do an average over the polls and so far Labor are still ahead.
I will give it to the Libs though, they are as untruthfull with their smear campaigns as they were under the lying little rodent.

Its your own party leaks that are doing the damage champ, not the Libs.

And why not, if you will permit me; why shouldn’t I, if you will permit me; spend my first week as prime minister, should that happen, on this, on your, country - Abbott with the Garma People Aug 13

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longweekend58

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Re: NEWSPOLL: Labor Romps In
Reply #84 - Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 4:43pm

skippy. wrote on Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 4:39pm:

Why is it that when the Libs were being beaten by 56/44 last week it was an outlier, but when the Libs are 50/50 it is "at odds"?
You cant take one poll and call it fact, you need to do an average over the polls and so far Labor are still ahead.
I will give it to the Libs though, they are as untruthfull with their smear campaigns as they were under the lying little rodent.

maybe because a 12point margin disappearing ina week is unlikely. or it could be that every other poll at the time had it at 52/48 - a big difference. it WAS an outlier as the polls before and after it showed and the other polls proved.

none of which chanegs the fact that labor looks set to loose 10 seats in QLD, 7 in NSW and 3 in VIC and 3 in WA and probably one in NT. That translates to a comfortable majority for Abbott.

AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."

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longweekend58

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Re: NEWSPOLL: Labor Romps In
Reply #85 - Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 4:44pm

Verge wrote on Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 4:41pm:

skippy. wrote on Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 4:39pm:

Why is it that when the Libs were being beaten by 56/44 last week it was an outlier, but when the Libs are 50/50 it is "at odds"?
You cant take one poll and call it fact, you need to do an average over the polls and so far Labor are still ahead.
I will give it to the Libs though, they are as untruthfull with their smear campaigns as they were under the lying little rodent.

Its your own party leaks that are doing the damage champ, not the Libs.

who needs to smear Labor when they are smearing themselves far more efectively!!!

AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."

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Dsmithy70

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Re: NEWSPOLL: Labor Romps In
Reply #86 - Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 4:49pm

mellie wrote on Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 4:37pm:

It's still too early to call...

And rather than engage in Labors poll-driven campaign politics, and vapour trail policies, I'd like to see her doing something more interesting than posing seductively in a Woman's Weekly magazine.

This woman is supposed to be our PM, and when I saw her on the front cover of the Woman's Weekly, she came off as more 'celebrity', not someone we should be taking seriously.

Would be great if Gillard would accept Tony Abbotts invitation to more live public debates.

Want to be careful there millie or you'll get skewered as Ackerman did on Insiders yesterday.
All p!ss & wind about Julia in Women's Weekly & how it is poor form & she shouldn't do it & how Tony doesn't, When low & behold it's revealed Tony's on the cover with a 7 page spread inside of the next edition of Men's Health PLUS he & his family featured in Womens Weekly 2 months ago.
Here's the link watch it is bloody funny.
http://www.abc.net.au/insiders/
scroll down to Gillards magazine spread attracts attention

REBELLION is not what most people think it is.
REBELLION is when you turn off the TV & start educating & thinking for yourself.
Gavin Nascimento

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skippy.

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Re: NEWSPOLL: Labor Romps In
Reply #87 - Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 4:50pm

Verge wrote on Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 4:41pm:

skippy. wrote on Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 4:39pm:

Why is it that when the Libs were being beaten by 56/44 last week it was an outlier, but when the Libs are 50/50 it is "at odds"?
You cant take one poll and call it fact, you need to do an average over the polls and so far Labor are still ahead.
I will give it to the Libs though, they are as untruthfull with their smear campaigns as they were under the lying little rodent.

Its your own party leaks that are doing the damage champ, not the Libs.

Are the GREENS smearing Labor,chump?

freedivers other forum- POLITICAL ANIMAL
Click onWWW below

WWW

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skippy.

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Re: NEWSPOLL: Labor Romps In
Reply #88 - Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 4:53pm

longweekend58 wrote on Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 4:43pm:

skippy. wrote on Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 4:39pm:

Why is it that when the Libs were being beaten by 56/44 last week it was an outlier, but when the Libs are 50/50 it is "at odds"?
You cant take one poll and call it fact, you need to do an average over the polls and so far Labor are still ahead.
I will give it to the Libs though, they are as untruthfull with their smear campaigns as they were under the lying little rodent.

maybe because a 12point margin disappearing ina week is unlikely. or it could be that every other poll at the time had it at 52/48 - a big difference. it WAS an outlier as the polls before and after it showed and the other polls proved.

none of which chanegs the fact that labor looks set to loose 10 seats in QLD, 7 in NSW and 3 in VIC and 3 in WA and probably one in NT. That translates to a comfortable majority for Abbott.

I'll assume you're not lying ,what seats are they seeing as though you seem so certain? lets go through them and see how they fall.

freedivers other forum- POLITICAL ANIMAL
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WWW

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longweekend58

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Re: NEWSPOLL: Labor Romps In
Reply #89 - Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 4:56pm

skippy. wrote on Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 4:53pm:

longweekend58 wrote on Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 4:43pm:

skippy. wrote on Aug 2^nd, 2010 at 4:39pm:

Why is it that when the Libs were being beaten by 56/44 last week it was an outlier, but when the Libs are 50/50 it is "at odds"?
You cant take one poll and call it fact, you need to do an average over the polls and so far Labor are still ahead.
I will give it to the Libs though, they are as untruthfull with their smear campaigns as they were under the lying little rodent.

maybe because a 12point margin disappearing ina week is unlikely. or it could be that every other poll at the time had it at 52/48 - a big difference. it WAS an outlier as the polls before and after it showed and the other polls proved.

none of which chanegs the fact that labor looks set to loose 10 seats in QLD, 7 in NSW and 3 in VIC and 3 in WA and probably one in NT. That translates to a comfortable majority for Abbott.

I'll assume you're not lying ,what seats are they seeing as though you seem so certain? lets go through them and see how they fall.

It was in a newspapaer article on the weekend. I wil look for it and see what I can find. the problem for Labor is not so much the 2PP but the fact that they are losing worse in the marginals. THATS where the action is and could have Abbott win even if the 2PP is slightly in labor's favour.

AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."

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