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LATEST POLL UPDATES (Read 49068 times)
buzzanddidj
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LATEST POLL UPDATES
Jul 19th, 2010 at 10:13am
 
LABOR'S execution of Kevin Rudd appears to be paying dividends.
The government has hit the front at the start of a lightning election campaign that ends on August 21.

Julia Gillard is also scoring off Tony Abbott personally and repairing the government's weak spots on asylum-seekers and climate change.

The first Newspoll survey taken since the Prime Minister called the election on Saturday reveals Coalition support has dropped while Labor's primary vote has held steady at 42 per cent to the opposition's 38 per cent.

It's the first time Labor has been ahead on primary vote since April.

Based on preference flows at the last election, Labor has opened a 10-point lead of 55 to the Coalition's 45 per cent. Labor would be easily returned if that two-party-preferred result were repeated uniformly on August 21, and it would be a stronger result than the 2007 victory.



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« Last Edit: Aug 14th, 2010 at 8:33am by buzzanddidj »  

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vegitamite
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Re: NEWSPOLL: Labor Romps In
Reply #1 - Jul 19th, 2010 at 10:38am
 
Woe, I hope this is right. Abbott scares the bee jesus out of moi.


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Re: NEWSPOLL: Labor Romps In
Reply #2 - Jul 19th, 2010 at 10:40am
 

the alps getting the sexist vote.


vegi - why does abbott scare you ?
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Re: NEWSPOLL: Labor Romps In
Reply #3 - Jul 19th, 2010 at 10:47am
 
Sprintcyclist wrote on Jul 19th, 2010 at 10:40am:
the alps getting the sexist vote.


vegi - why does abbott scare you ?

Abbott scares anyone with moderate views sprint, even lib voters, you are not doing yourself any favours by allowing the far right neo con extremists to run the Liberal party.
Maybe after the Libs are flogged at this election you will come to realise that the likes of Abbott are to far right wing for most people in this country.
When the Libs get a LIBERAL as leader, Labor can start to sh1t themselves, until then Labor will call the shots.
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Re: NEWSPOLL: Labor Romps In
Reply #4 - Jul 19th, 2010 at 10:51am
 

Alas! Politics is such a cynical business: I see that the Labs are preferring to quote the less definitive polls - perhaps because Newspoll and the Oz seem so keen to attribute 'underdog' status to their preferred PM, attack-dog Abbott...!?
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Re: NEWSPOLL: Labor Romps In
Reply #5 - Jul 19th, 2010 at 10:54am
 

far right - abbott ??
we live in different worlds skippy.

abbotts too far left for me by about 14 lightyears.
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Re: NEWSPOLL: Labor Romps In
Reply #6 - Jul 19th, 2010 at 10:57am
 
Quote:
Alas! Politics is such a cynical business: I see that the Labs are preferring to quote the less definitive polls


Really? please explain?
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Re: NEWSPOLL: Labor Romps In
Reply #7 - Jul 19th, 2010 at 11:03am
 

skippy. wrote on Jul 19th, 2010 at 10:57am:
Quote:
Alas! Politics is such a cynical business: I see that the Labs are preferring to quote the less definitive polls


Really? please explain?


If an incumbent looks like a shoe-in, then electors are more likely to lodge some sort of protest vote (which renders the final outcome less certain) - hence, both majors prefer to claim 'underdog' status...
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Lamenting the shift in the Australian psyche, away from the egalitarian ideal of the fair-go - and the rise of short-sighted pollies, who worship the 'Growth Fairy' and seek to divide and conquer!
 
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buzzanddidj
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Re: NEWSPOLL: Labor Romps In
Reply #8 - Jul 19th, 2010 at 11:40am
 
Just in....

The Greens have confirmed that they have struck a preferences deal with Labor, which will affect the Senate and some key House of Representatives seats in the upcoming federal election.

It is understood the deal involves more than 50 key Lower House seats.

The deal means Labor will direct its Senate preferences to the Greens, while the Greens will direct preferences to the ALP in the Lower House seats.

But it is not yet known which seats will be affected.

The deal is likely to help the Greens secure the balance of power in the Senate and may get Labor over the line in some key marginal seats.

More at ABC online

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Re: NEWSPOLL: Labor Romps In
Reply #9 - Jul 19th, 2010 at 11:40am
 
buzzanddidj wrote on Jul 19th, 2010 at 10:13am:
LABOR'S execution of Kevin Rudd appears to be paying dividends.
The government has hit the front at the start of a lightning election campaign that ends on August 21.

Julia Gillard is also scoring off Tony Abbott personally and repairing the government's weak spots on asylum-seekers and climate change.

The first Newspoll survey taken since the Prime Minister called the election on Saturday reveals Coalition support has dropped while Labor's primary vote has held steady at 42 per cent to the opposition's 38 per cent.

It's the first time Labor has been ahead on primary vote since April.

Based on preference flows at the last election, Labor has opened a 10-point lead of 55 to the Coalition's 45 per cent. Labor would be easily returned if that two-party-preferred result were repeated uniformly on August 21, and it would be a stronger result than the 2007 victory.





A poll on Saturday had it 50/50.

Do we have another rogue on our hands?
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And why not, if you will permit me; why shouldn’t I, if you will permit me; spend my first week as prime minister, should that happen, on this, on your, country - Abbott with the Garma People Aug 13
 
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Re: NEWSPOLL: Labor Romps In
Reply #10 - Jul 19th, 2010 at 11:44am
 
Sprintcyclist wrote on Jul 19th, 2010 at 10:54am:
far right - abbott ??
we live in different worlds skippy.

abbotts too far left for me by about 14 lightyears.


Please are you serious???
Can you point to any left leaning policies announced by Abbott.
Oh that's right they have not told us any except for increasing corporate tax to fund women's maturnity leave.
But that was a promise from opposition, I'm sure if government is obtained it will become too hard/expensive to go ahead.
Please don't take this as me supporting Labor, as far as I'm concerned they are just as bad, at time of writting I'm thinking Greens
1st pref Aus Dems(are they still around?)
2nd Mary jane party
3rd 4x4/fishing party
4th lib
5th lab

I even shake my head at myself reading that, being someone who is interested and actually enjoys politics.
Shows what a sh!thouse choice we have this time around.
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« Last Edit: Jul 19th, 2010 at 11:52am by Dsmithy70 »  

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vegitamite
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Re: NEWSPOLL: Labor Romps In
Reply #11 - Jul 19th, 2010 at 11:52am
 
vegi - why does abbott scare you ?
=================


Seriously,  I am not sure where to start. But to keep it simple. I don’t trust him. He has NOT been clear on any issue or policy. Plus I know I don’t like many policy ideas he 'lightly' thrown around.

I question how he made his admission to telling  lies an  ok - giving liars  permission !

I really don't know what his morals and values are- yet he has  put himself under the religious 'priest hood' umbrella in the past . I have to many unsettling unanswered questions about Abbott . More so than any other Liberal minister. Instinct.
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Re: NEWSPOLL: Labor Romps In
Reply #12 - Jul 19th, 2010 at 11:57am
 
Quote:
vegi - why does abbott scare you ?
=================


Seriously,  I am not sure where to start. But to keep it simple. I don’t trust him. He has NOT been clear on any issue or policy. Plus I know I don’t like many policy ideas he 'lightly' thrown around.

I question how he made his admission to telling  lies an  ok - giving liars  permission !

I really don't know what his morals and values are- yet he has  put himself under the religious 'priest hood' umbrella in the past . I have to many unsettling unanswered questions about Abbott . More so than any other Liberal minister. Instinct.



What Abbott said was sometimes in the heat of battle you take things too far.

Much like Gillard claiming at the miners only paid 13% tax, based on a US uni students report, a report where the findings were canned because the sample size was too small, the same report that didnt include one Oz mining company.

Abbott was honest in his answer, and it is true, how many times have pollies in the heat of debate taken things too far, yet you have the hide to call Abbott a liar.

Try this one instead - "There is more chance of me playing full forward for the bulldogs than challanging for the Prime Minstership."
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And why not, if you will permit me; why shouldn’t I, if you will permit me; spend my first week as prime minister, should that happen, on this, on your, country - Abbott with the Garma People Aug 13
 
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buzzanddidj
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Re: NEWSPOLL: Labor Romps In
Reply #13 - Jul 19th, 2010 at 11:58am
 
The latest opinion poll has Labor in trouble at the election, with the coalition getting an early swing.

A Galaxy poll conducted for the Nine Network in the 24 hours after Prime Minister Julia Gillard called the election showed Labor's primary vote had dropped to 38 per cent.

The coalition's vote was up to 44 per cent, putting both parties at 50 per cent, a 2.7 per cent swing to the coalition.

A Galaxy poll conducted for News Ltd newspapers ahead of the election call had Labor leading with 52 per cent to the coalition's 48 per cent on a two-party preferred basis, aided by preferences from the Greens.

Labor's primary vote had slipped since Ms Gillard became prime minister on June 24 in the News Ltd poll, with the decline put down to the government's handling of the asylum seeker policy.

But Ms Gillard maintained a strong lead as the more trusted leader, with 46 per cent of those surveyed in the Nine Network poll believing she was more trustworthy ahead of Mr Abbott on 35 per cent.

Ms Gillard was still streets ahead as the preferred prime minister for 44 per cent of those surveyed compared to Mr Abbott at 35 per cent.


Sydney Morning Herald
July 18, 2010

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buzzanddidj
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Re: NEWSPOLL: Labor Romps In
Reply #14 - Jul 19th, 2010 at 3:36pm
 
TONY Abbott has staked out his first campaign battleground, claiming $47 billion in spending cuts he is promising would lead to lower interest rates and help families with the cost of living.
But Julia Gillard immediately retorted that the Opposition Leader was mimicking John Howard's 2004 promise "Who do you trust to keep interest rates low?" which preceded six rate rises.

"Haven't we heard this from the Liberal Party before and does everyone remember what happened afterwards?" Ms Gillard said in Brisbane.

"Gee whiz, Tony Abbott must think everybody in Australia was born yesterday."

Mr Abbott visited the five-bedroom home of a friend of the new state Liberal MP for Penrith to open his campaign, claiming his government would introduce policies to enable the Reserve Bank to lower rates.

Mr Abbott offered no new policy on his first day on the trail, except to reaffirm a government under him would make swingeing cuts.


http://www.couriermail.com.au/news/national/prime-minister-julia-gillard-mocks-tony-abbott-on-interest-rates/story-fn5z3z83-1225893590437





Further interest rate rises are INEVITABLE - no matter who is in government
A move away from artificial, emergency lows indicates a further recovery from GFC effects

I'll be interested to see how the "we will keep interest rates low" encore will play out in the next polling of the electorate

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'I like your Christ, I do not like your Christians.
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