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Emission Reduction Targets of developing economies (Read 10885 times)
Soren
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Re: Emission Reduction Targets of developing economies
Reply #45 - Dec 31st, 2009 at 7:30pm
 
muso wrote on Dec 28th, 2009 at 4:32pm:
freediver wrote on Dec 28th, 2009 at 11:05am:
If we are to enforce a global carbon trading regime, rather than forcing the poorest countries to hand over huge sums of money to wealthy nations in order to emit the same level of GHG's, the rights should be distributed evenly amongst the global population, and those nations who wish to emit more should have to ppurchase the rights from thos who don't, rather than getting them for free merely because they have already emitted so much.


What you describe sounds a bit like communism.  How do you allocate the share? By population, by GNP or by giving exactly the same allocation for each sovereign nation?

It sounds like the board game Monopoly in which everybody is given an equal amount of money at the beginning. To give any money to failed states is basically throwing money away, or giving them funds that they have not earned.  Perhaps if the credits were allocated on the basis of GNP, then the States that have the technology to solve this problem would be given the opportunity to do so. Virtually all electrical energy that is generated tends to be local in application. It's very difficult to export electricity from (say) Africa because the transmission losses are too high.

Even if we start off that way, failed states will continue to do what they do best:They will continue to fail - regardless of outside help. Saving such countries will rapidly become a luxury we can't afford as we progress down the track.

It is wasted effort that would be better spent on renewable energy projects in developed countries rather than 'non-developing' countries.

If all that sounds callous, I'm sorry, but it is a crisis. It's not a charity program. It's technology that will solve this problem, not growing bananas in the most inefficient way possible.

It sh1ts me to see people applying what amounts to communism - a failed model to something that cannot be allowed to fail.



At the risk of sounding like a mad uncle, this whole AGW caper has been, to most fellow-travellers, a gigantic opportunity for a shake-down. The old 'means of production' lingo is now used, almost word-perfect, with 'carbon emission' substituted. The 'bourgeoisie' has become the 'developing world'; the 'proles' are 'developing nations (sic)'; the 'means of production' is 'carbon-based energy'. And so on.

Now that the Copenhagen jamboree is over and forgotten, the papers are full of zzzzzzzzzzzzzz again. AGW has always been the 'next pet project' of all those middle class kids who started their march through the institutions in the 60s. It has always been about an ideal to an end.




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muso
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Re: Emission Reduction Targets of developing economies
Reply #46 - Jan 1st, 2010 at 10:50am
 
You do sound like a mad uncle, but I am becoming more and more irritated by the way that this issue is being hijacked by marxists.

It's quite a simple matter. We need to switch our technology to renew ables but keep our economy going full blast.

The non developing countries can basically go and get buggered. It's not their problem and will never be their problem. They need to butt out while we find a technological solution (actually it's more a question of building infrastructure - the technology already exists)

It's only a thriving capitalist system that will achieve that aim. China is ironically about the most capitalist country in the world right now and they have good control of their population- even better than the Americans under Bush. He did a pretty good job of using religion to control the population. If he'd had any talent, he could have gone far.  Unfortunately he was as inept as they come and made some woefully bad decisions.

I can see that China will be the place from which well packaged cheap renewable power generation technology will emerge in the future.

The unspoken mantra elsewhere is that the problem is too far in the future - so why worry? Sooner or later we need to get out of that mindset, because it will be a major problem.  
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« Last Edit: Jan 1st, 2010 at 10:56am by muso »  

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Soren
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Re: Emission Reduction Targets of developing economies
Reply #47 - Jan 1st, 2010 at 2:35pm
 
muso wrote on Jan 1st, 2010 at 10:50am:
China is ironically about the most capitalist country in the world right now and they have good control of their population- even better than the Americans under Bush. He did a pretty good job of using religion to control the population. If he'd had any talent, he could have gone far.  




Muso, I think you have become so used to speaking in hyperbole that you do not even realise it. Bush 'controlled' the population? Through religion? And better than the Chinese, who are the most capitalist?

These are glimpses into your fundamental views, not mere misunderstandings of some detail. And they barking mad views, if you prardon my frankness.

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muso
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Re: Emission Reduction Targets of developing economies
Reply #48 - Jan 1st, 2010 at 3:47pm
 
Soren wrote on Jan 1st, 2010 at 2:35pm:
muso wrote on Jan 1st, 2010 at 10:50am:
China is ironically about the most capitalist country in the world right now and they have good control of their population- even better than the Americans under Bush. He did a pretty good job of using religion to control the population. If he'd had any talent, he could have gone far.  




Muso, I think you have become so used to speaking in hyperbole that you do not even realise it. Bush 'controlled' the population? Through religion? And better than the Chinese, who are the most capitalist?

These are glimpses into your fundamental views, not mere misunderstandings of some detail. And they barking mad views, if you prardon my frankness.



Let me explain where I'm coming from. In most democratic countries, economic growth is tempered by factors such as human rights, and relatively stringent safety controls, particularly in mining for example.

In China, the drive for economic growth is a very ruthless national agenda. If factory managers don't achieve their objectives, they  stand to lose somewhat more than their jobs. Basically it's untempered capitalism. Even though it's driven by the government, a lot of the investment in China comes from multinationals, but regardless of the source of the capital, it's the relatively unconstrained industry that is the key to their success.  

That's what I was driving at. The Chinese can potentially achieve a lot more because they don't have to deal with the inconvenience of the democratic process.

Anyway, maybe you think that Jim Rogers is barking mad too:
http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=102705

I was actually quoting him when I said that China was the most Capitalist country in the world. He also said that the USA was more communist than China, or words to that effect.

As far as Bush was concerned, there is little question that he used fundamentalist Christian religion as a weapon to achieve his objectives. It was made abundantly clear that "You're either with us or against us in the fight against terror",  and everything that it entailed.

It was largely a question of bundling fundamentalist Christianity and patriotism. He came a "long way from whisky and cocaine" indeed, and you'd have to question if his religious fervour was genuine or just very useful.

Anyone who disagreed could virtually be accused of treason. It was very uncomfortable for those who opposed the invasion of Iraq. Many of the more outspoken opponents of the war in Iraq found that they were subjected to all kinds of harrassment by authorities, and many jost their jobs. It was a kind of Neo-McCarthyism.

Bundling guns, Jesus and patriotism was a very effective means of controlling the populace in the Bush era. His self proclaimed war on terror was quite a useful mechanism for stifling any criticism or opposition usig the excuse of patriotism and homeland security.

Maybe he didn't control the US population quite as well as the Chinese do, but he did quite an effectve job of it.

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« Last Edit: Jan 1st, 2010 at 4:20pm by muso »  

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freediver
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Re: Emission Reduction Targets of developing economies
Reply #49 - Jan 2nd, 2010 at 1:04pm
 
Quote:
What you describe sounds a bit like communism.  How do you allocate the share? By population, by GNP or by giving exactly the same allocation for each sovereign nation?


By population is the only reasonable option out of those 3.

Quote:
To give any money to failed states is basically throwing money away, or giving them funds that they have not earned.


None of us have done anything to 'earn' the right to emit GHG's. If anything, the wealthy nations have 'unearned' the right by overexploiting it and creating the problem.

Quote:
Perhaps if the credits were allocated on the basis of GNP, then the States that have the technology to solve this problem would be given the opportunity to do so.


They would have that opportunity either way.

Quote:
Even if we start off that way, failed states will continue to do what they do best:They will continue to fail - regardless of outside help.


You seem to be getting awefully hung up on the failed state issue. How many failed states do you know of that are taking part in the scheme? None of them are. No-one would want them to be part of any international emissions trading scheme, because they would destabilise it.

Quote:
It sh1ts me to see people applying what amounts to communism - a failed model to something that cannot be allowed to fail.


This is no more communism than any of the other options you suggest. Either way, the rights have to be handed out to someone. Or do you think we should set up an international body that we have to purchase the rights from?

Quote:
Just start taxing carbon emissions and be done with it,


I agree with that Muso. It would bypass this whole problem.

Quote:
but the majority of the money should be plowed into renewable energy systems as quickly as we can do it


No it shouldn't. Reducing our consumption or making it more efficient in terms of emissions is an equally valid way to reduce emissions. We should let the market choose the best option. Renewable energy investment should be judged according to the same criteria of any other research effort clamouring for government funding.

Quote:
We have known that action was needed for over a decade, and done buggerall, so there is no more time ti p1ss about with silly feelgood schemes, we just need to start cutting emmissions now, and put as much effort as we can into renewables.


Actually, we have a couple of decades to do so. The environment won't care much whether we make the cuts now or make deeper cuts in 5 years time. The arguments in favour of early action are largely economic.

Quote:
The whole issue of the developing nations is little more than a red herring in my opinion, just another delaying tactic from big energy companies to try and postpone the inevitable


India, China etc are not red herrings. They do need to be dealt with. Unilateral action can also make it harder later on, for several reasons. One, the price of coal will go down, giving poorer countries an even greater incentive to burn it. Two, we will have less to offer them in return.

Quote:
There is another way, and that is to make it a national priority to replace coal fired power generation with renewable sources. That may end up being the only viable option yet.


It is a far, far more expensive option muso.

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We need to keep a critical eye on costs


That's we we are using pricing mechanisms.

Quote:
Better management of bushfires--fuel-load reduction burns emit much less CO2 than a full bore dinkum huge bushfire does! Keep the ban on land clearances and encourage plantations.


Do you have any evidence of this DARWIN?

Quote:
yes, but geothermal is much more competitive if the source is close to the grid.


Muso, most good geothermal sources in Australia are way out in the desert.

Quote:
It's only swimming the wrong way that causes drowning LOL. There is nothing wrong with economic activity as long as it's sustainable.


But weren't you suggesting we continue with unsustainable economic activity as a way to achieve that sustainable economic activity?

Quote:
actually that's not strictly true either - we must use fossil fuel based industry in the short term to get us out of the crisis, as long as the resulting capital goes to renewable projects


It is not necessary in any way, just cheaper.

Quote:
It's only a thriving capitalist system that will achieve that aim. China is ironically about the most capitalist country in the world right now and they have good control of their population- even better than the Americans under Bush. He did a pretty good job of using religion to control the population. If he'd had any talent, he could have gone far.  Unfortunately he was as inept as they come and made some woefully bad decisions.


American conservatives like Bush are largely to blame for the many bans on foreign aid going to family planning (ie condoms).
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freediver
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Re: Emission Reduction Targets of developing economies
Reply #50 - Jan 2nd, 2010 at 1:06pm
 
Quote:
As far as Bush was concerned, there is little question that he used fundamentalist Christian religion as a weapon to achieve his objectives. It was made abundantly clear that "You're either with us or against us in the fight against terror",  and everything that it entailed.

It was largely a question of bundling fundamentalist Christianity and patriotism. He came a "long way from whisky and cocaine" indeed, and you'd have to question if his religious fervour was genuine or just very useful.

He went to great lengths to make the war on terror not about religion, so that Muslims would fight on our side.
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muso
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Re: Emission Reduction Targets of developing economies
Reply #51 - Jan 2nd, 2010 at 3:43pm
 
freediver wrote on Jan 2nd, 2010 at 1:04pm:
American conservatives like Bush are largely to blame for the many bans on foreign aid going to family planning (ie condoms).


Unfortunate choice of words. When I said 'control the population', I should have said 'control the populace', ie limit their freedom. The former phrase was ambiguous.

In terms of his use of religion, a number of American friends tell me that it was a very stifling environment during the Bush Era. Patriotism and Religion were intertwined to the extent that religious freedom was compromised and the separation of (a very specific fundamentalist) Christianity and government, was blurred.

Even if he tried to make the point that it wasn't about fighting Islam, his use of biblical rhetoric went against that initial sentiment.
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« Last Edit: Jan 2nd, 2010 at 3:59pm by muso »  

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muso
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Re: Emission Reduction Targets of developing economies
Reply #52 - Jan 2nd, 2010 at 3:50pm
 
freediver wrote on Jan 2nd, 2010 at 1:04pm:
Quote:
There is another way, and that is to make it a national priority to replace coal fired power generation with renewable sources. That may end up being the only viable option yet.


It is a far, far more expensive option muso.


If we don't get our global act together, it could end up being our only option.  

freediver wrote on Jan 2nd, 2010 at 1:04pm:
Quote:
actually that's not strictly true either - we must use fossil fuel based industry in the short term to get us out of the crisis, as long as the resulting capital goes to renewable projects


It is not necessary in any way, just cheaper.


It's all a question of time scale.  It's cheaper in the short term, and in the absence of a low carbon infrastructure in the short term, it's the only option.

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Re: Emission Reduction Targets of developing economies
Reply #53 - Jan 2nd, 2010 at 9:22pm
 
Quote:
No it shouldn't. Reducing our consumption or making it more efficient in terms of emissions is an equally valid way to reduce emissions. We should let the market choose the best option. Renewable energy investment should be judged according to the same criteria of any other research effort clamouring for government funding
-Freediver

Undoudtedly, I mean, obviously we should not let considerations of trying to minimise the harmful effects of global warming cloud any financial considerations, the market is the only factor that should be considered.
If it is more profitable to ignore it completely, then that is what we should do.


Unfortunately, even though I vehemently disagree, I do accept the reality that we will only see meaningful progress, when businesses and governments can see a profit coming from it.

I completely agree with muso in regard to wasting money by trying to assuage the collective guilt we are supposed to assume with stupid equalising schemes to compensate those countries who did not get on the mass consumption bandwagon early enough, it is just extremist political correctness which would merely divert funds from areas where they could do some good, into areas where it will just be wasted or stolen, and either option would be a shameful waste.

The simple fact is that we need to see emmissions taxed to inhibit unnecessary over use, and to promote development of zero, or low emmission options becoming more economically viable.

We seem to have so many people taking varied stances on this issue, and it is reflective of the degree of importance they place on the whole Global Warming issue.
We have some, like myself, who consider it paramount, the most important issue to face mankind, since the nuclear arms race, which also had the potential for causing catastrophic outcomes for the planet, and mankind, in particular.

We have some who think it is pretty important, but not so much that we should take any drastic measures to try and ameliorate the possible effects. This group has an optimistic belief that even if we do suffer some adverse changes to our climate, we will still have science to help us cope, and private enterprise, and human ingenuity will come to the fore and save the day, somehow.

We have some that think it probably is real, but nowhere near as bad as people make out, and if we get a few slightly hotter summers, who cares. So we should put a little effort into it, but definitely not worth making any tough decisions over, and definitely do not think emmissions should be taxed, because the new SUV is a real thirsty beast, and fuel costs enough already.

Then we have the denialists, who deny it is even real.
We know this lot will resist any action, ever.

So, with such a diverse range of views, and with the probable majority of people fitting into the second category, it will be a tough sell for any government to get any really effective schemes happening, so I guess we are going to have to just hope they are right, and blind dumb luck will get us through this, because good sense and forward planning are anathema to the majority of our species.

As a footnote, I will venture a little prediction here, that when the effects become so obvious, and so negative, that we all are forced into accepting extreme measures, just to survive, then the groups who are most vocally supporting sitting on our hands, will be the most vocal in complaining about why didn't "they" do something sooner, forgetting that "they" were the problem.
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Re: Emission Reduction Targets of developing economies
Reply #54 - Jan 2nd, 2010 at 10:46pm
 
Quote:
I completely agree with muso in regard to wasting money by trying to assuage the collective guilt we are supposed to assume with stupid equalising schemes to compensate those countries who did not get on the mass consumption bandwagon early enough, it is just extremist political correctness which would merely divert funds from areas where they could do some good, into areas where it will just be wasted or stolen, and either option would be a shameful waste.


This is where I have an extreme difference in opinion with you Mozz.
Are we talking about projected crimes or reality crimes?
This is a western way of thinking that is entirely incorrect IMO. The fact is that our actions have resulted in the situation that we have today. We must be responsible for our own actions.
It's all fine and dandy to say that if they had the opportunity then they would have done exactly the same thing. But the fact is that they didn't.
Our laws deem that if I drive at more than 3km/h over the speed limit then I have committed a crime by referring to an average of projected results.
This is a ridiculous mentality that we need to release ourselves from, much less attempt to enforce it on the rest of the (more matured) world.

We have materially gained from our lack of concern for other cultures, we need to grow up and be responsible for our own actions.


So do you think that there is a requirement to discern between a crime committed and a crime imagined?

I doubt that very much, because you are always right.

..Charlatan  Wink








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Amadd
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Re: Emission Reduction Targets of developing economies
Reply #55 - Jan 3rd, 2010 at 12:40am
 
Frikin' weak Mozz.
Your idealisms are covered with words. Display some logic to back your words.
Tell me why we must punish the threat of crime as opposed to actual crime.

So why is it Mozz?
Why should the threat of action be regarded as the same thing as committed action in the eyes of the law?

Plaese tell me Mozz. Exert your infinite wisdom upon me and make me believe.

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muso
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Re: Emission Reduction Targets of developing economies
Reply #56 - Jan 3rd, 2010 at 10:46am
 
freediver wrote on Jan 2nd, 2010 at 1:04pm:
Muso, most good geothermal sources in Australia are way out in the desert.


I remember reading about a project being developed near Geelong.  Then there is the Frome Project:

Quote:
Geothermal Resources:

    * Operates two 100% owned geothermal projects in SA that are well located with respect to power grids and potential markets for electricity.
'

http://www.geothermal-resources.com.au/index.html
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