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Emission Reduction Targets of developing economies (Read 10839 times)
Paella
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Emission Reduction Targets of developing economies
Dec 14th, 2009 at 5:56pm
 
I have long felt a great deal of frustration by the lack of understanding in the community as to why developed nations should rightly bear the bulk of the cost of de-carbonising the global economy.

To put it in the most simple terms: it's because the developed economies caused the problem. We made the mess, we should clean it up. The carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases that have so far caused warming of 0.8 degrees have been emitted over the past 250 years. When we look to see which countries were responsible for putting most of it there, you'll see a Who's Who list of OECD nations.

So that means the developed nations should be cutting their emissions by the most. For a start, we've got the most emissions per capita to cut. But it means more than that: we have put so much carbon in the atmosphere that it's dangerous for developing economies to power their economic growth in the same way we did. We have made such a mess that we're now asking the developing economies to forego the right to free carbon emission that we enjoyed for 250 years.

Therefore, the developed economies ought to compensate the developing economies for losing the right to power their growth with cheap fossil fuels. This can be done a number of ways, and by far the most sensible is by way of renewable energy technology transfer. Developing economies should make the switch to clean energy as soon as possible, and the developed economies should foot the bill. It's only fair.

Much fanfare is also made of "the biggest emitting nation in the world", being China (strangely, that accolade was not bandied about so much before 2008, when it belonged to the USA). This is a meaningless label. What if we divided China into two countries, so it's no longer the biggest emitter in the world? Would that do anything for global emissions? Not at all, so who cares? The only measure of this type that counts is PER CAPITA emissions. We are, after all, talking about anthropogenic climate change. In any case, "the biggest emitting nation in the world" has only been at it for five minutes, so if you count up how much of the 250 years of carbon actually came from China, it looks paltry when compared to Europe and the USA.

The purpose of giving developing economies a break in a global climate deal is only about fairness and equity. It has nothing to do with the provision of aid to third world countries, and it is time this was properly reported and understood by the people of the developed world.
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Soren
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Re: Emission Reduction Targets of developing economies
Reply #1 - Dec 14th, 2009 at 6:09pm
 
Fine, the West will cut its emissions but will also cut th amount of goods it would buy from 'developing' countries like China.
Third world countries will no longer need to be exploited by the rich countriesm, they can sell to each other at the true value of what they produce. Production and consumption will plumet. The Chinese can sell their cars and go back to working the land with th help of a couple of low emission buffalos.
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aikmann4
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Re: Emission Reduction Targets of developing economies
Reply #2 - Dec 15th, 2009 at 3:29am
 
I always wonder whenever I hear the term 'developing country' how long the vast majority of them have been 'developing' and when the hell we should expect them to complete their 'development'. Latin America has been a perpetual state of abject poverty since its colonization; Africa still continues to drag its knuckles as the basketcase of the world and despite unwarranted predictions of imminent superpowerdom, India is basically still the shithole it has always been.

You say that our 'hogging' of carbon emissions is basically unfair to poorer countries that should be able to develop but can't because the pollution stresses on the planet would be too high coupled with our excessive emissions. But I say that most of these countries are going nowhere. Period. A properly industrialized India, Latin America or Africa is not 'just around the corner'; rather, the idea of any of these things to me is a chimerical pipe-dream. Therefore, we have little to worry about regarding carrying forward the development of the third world so that it can industrialize without burdening the carbon capacity of the planet. It's going nowhere. They'll continue to produce insignificant levels of carbon emissions relative to the rest of world for perhaps forever, as they are evidently civilizations that lack the capacity for 'advanced' civilization (in the modern sense).
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muso
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Re: Emission Reduction Targets of developing economies
Reply #3 - Dec 15th, 2009 at 8:16am
 
Paella wrote on Dec 14th, 2009 at 5:56pm:
I have long felt a great deal of frustration by the lack of understanding in the community as to why developed nations should rightly bear the bulk of the cost of de-carbonising the global economy.

To put it in the most simple terms....


What's your background, Paella? You seem to have a good grasp of the situation.  You can reply in private if you want, but I have my suspicions LOL.

I realise the reasoning, but I think that China can handle its emissions strategy quite well on its own, and they have demonstrated that they are capable of developing renewable power generation. Africa is totally irrelevant in this context. With the exception of perhaps South Africa and Equatorial Guinea, they can safely be ignored in the context of global emissions.  

As far as the historical context is concerned, I understand what you're saying, but we can't go back and change history. What's done is done.

In a way, it's like the Aboriginal issue. While I think there is no problem with a national apology, we should not go back and change history. Once we start doing that, what's next? We'd have to restore every single monarchy that was overturned, perhaps getting the Italians to announce an apology and pay reparations due to the Roman invasion of Britain, followed closely by the French, who can pay reparations on behalf of William the Conqueror. Of course, the Danes will have to come up with some big bucks too. We all know what the Vikings did. (staring at soren here with an accusing glare   Tongue) The stolen generation pales into insignificance by comparison.

History can not be undone. We need to look at the problem that exists now, and seek out the best solutions to that problem with each country contributing according to their ability. I somehow think that China has a lot of ability.  

We don't have the resources to waste on paying massive handouts to Africa to be squandered by corrupt regimes, handouts that will do nothing to curb greenhouse gas emissions. Africa and Kyoto are both red herrings. The world's highest emitters should work on a strategy together.
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« Last Edit: Dec 15th, 2009 at 9:25am by muso »  

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Sprintcyclist
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Re: Emission Reduction Targets of developing economies
Reply #4 - Dec 15th, 2009 at 8:35am
 

imperium - excellent posting

10/10
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mozzaok
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Re: Emission Reduction Targets of developing economies
Reply #5 - Dec 15th, 2009 at 8:54am
 
The points made by Paella are very well made, and on the surface at least, seem a pretty fair and equitable approach, with the exception that they require the economic, political and cultural standards they hold, to be overlaid onto the equation to take into consideration the points made by Soren and Imperium.

While China has not had the past emmissions that western countries have had, it does not follow that it is in the best interests of the world to allow them to catch up, we cannot change the past, but the present we can shape, and with their population, and economic strength, China could easily lead the world in converting to clean energy.

To offer them a pass on needing to do so would only delay the comittment to making the transition sooner rather than later, and that would benefit no-one, and would only appease the consciences of those trying too hard to be perfectly fair in the most extreme Politically Correct manner.

Other nations however do not have the same abilities as China and so a different standard could be applied in those cases when absolutely necessary, but the reality is we need to get the major polluters to start the transition away from CO2 heavy energy options, to cleaner greener ones, and that should be applied as comprehensively as possible to all the countries who can possibly do it, of which China is one.
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muso
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Re: Emission Reduction Targets of developing economies
Reply #6 - Dec 15th, 2009 at 9:24am
 
Mozz,

As always, you said what I think but much more fluently.
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Paella
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Re: Emission Reduction Targets of developing economies
Reply #7 - Dec 16th, 2009 at 3:47pm
 
We can argue about why developing countries are still developing while others are developed, and we could no doubt carry that on all the way back to when Columbus thought he could sail to the East Indies by going the other way. But it is not really the point. The reality is that it was the developed nations that put an additional 140 ppm of carbon in to the atmosphere, and the developing countries did not.

Imagine I get home early one day and proceed to soil every dish in the house. My housemate then arrives and finds no clean dishes. I might say that, since we both have an equal need for dishes, we must each clean an equal amount. After all, I arrived home first, and was therefore entitled to mess every dish I could find. I’ve no doubt that my housemate would say that since it was I who soiled the dishes, I must clean them. “But I was here first” I would say. “That’s irrelevant”, my housemate says, “you soiled the dishes, you clean them up”.

I think the ethical values of almost everyone would side with my housemate in this situation. I also think the ethical values of almost everyone would side with the developing economies when negotiating global emissions reductions, if they properly understood the issue.

The fact that China is still developing its economy is irrelevant. And even if it was relevant, the developed nations do not have clean hands in how that set of circumstances came about. China, and every other nation, ought to be able to develop it’s energy generation and distribution systems up to the same level of gigawatts per capita  as the developed nations. It should be able to do so at the same cost per capita, AND it should be able to do so in a manner that will not cause global temperatures to rise.

Once equilibrium is reached the developed nations will have had every opportunity to attain the same GDP per capita as every other nation, and every nation will bear the same level of responsibility for the carbon in the atmosphere as any other nation. It’s a little known concept called fairness. It’s a very simple concept, but it will not be inexpensive to anyone, least of all to the people who made the problem in the first place. But it will be an awful lot cheaper than the alternative, which would leave us nothing but a dead planet.
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Soren
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Re: Emission Reduction Targets of developing economies
Reply #8 - Dec 16th, 2009 at 6:57pm
 
Paella wrote on Dec 16th, 2009 at 3:47pm:
We can argue about why developing countries are still developing while others are developed, and we could no doubt carry that on all the way back to when Columbus thought he could sail to the East Indies by going the other way. But it is not really the point. The reality is that it was the developed nations that put an additional 140 ppm of carbon in to the atmosphere, and the developing countries did not.

Imagine I get home early one day and proceed to soil every dish in the house. My housemate then arrives and finds no clean dishes. I might say that, since we both have an equal need for dishes, we must each clean an equal amount. After all, I arrived home first, and was therefore entitled to mess every dish I could find. I’ve no doubt that my housemate would say that since it was I who soiled the dishes, I must clean them. “But I was here first” I would say. “That’s irrelevant”, my housemate says, “you soiled the dishes, you clean them up”.

I think the ethical values of almost everyone would side with my housemate in this situation. I also think the ethical values of almost everyone would side with the developing economies when negotiating global emissions reductions, if they properly understood the issue.

The fact that China is still developing its economy is irrelevant. And even if it was relevant, the developed nations do not have clean hands in how that set of circumstances came about. China, and every other nation, ought to be able to develop it’s energy generation and distribution systems up to the same level of gigawatts per capita  as the developed nations. It should be able to do so at the same cost per capita, AND it should be able to do so in a manner that will not cause global temperatures to rise.

Once equilibrium is reached the developed nations will have had every opportunity to attain the same GDP per capita as every other nation, and every nation will bear the same level of responsibility for the carbon in the atmosphere as any other nation. It’s a little known concept called fairness. It’s a very simple concept, but it will not be inexpensive to anyone, least of all to the people who made the problem in the first place. But it will be an awful lot cheaper than the alternative, which would leave us nothing but a dead planet.



Your 'housemate' has no right to your dishes, dirty or clean. He used to eat off banana leaves and lived under a tree. His extended family still do and so would he if it wasn't for you generously sharinng the mod cons of the house. He can negotiate houserules but he cannot dictate how he accesses your dishes, fridge, kitchen, TV, laptop, phone etc.

Your 'housemate' brought none of these thing to the house. If he'd rather move back under the tree and the 'old' ways, then yes, you should clean the dishes. Or hire him to do them for you.



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« Last Edit: Dec 16th, 2009 at 8:23pm by Soren »  
 
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Soren
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Re: Emission Reduction Targets of developing economies
Reply #9 - Dec 16th, 2009 at 7:06pm
 
Paella wrote on Dec 16th, 2009 at 3:47pm:
Once equilibrium is reached the developed nations will have had every opportunity to attain the same GDP per capita as every other nation, and every nation will bear the same level of responsibility for the carbon in the atmosphere as any other nation. It’s a little known concept called fairness. It’s a very simple concept, but it will not be inexpensive to anyone, least of all to the people who made the problem in the first place. But it will be an awful lot cheaper than the alternative, which would leave us nothing but a dead planet.



So called 'developing' nations have had every opportunity to actualy develop. Most of them are mighty reluctant to do it because i It would require one thing they have been unwilling to consider: to buckle down.

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aikmann4
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Re: Emission Reduction Targets of developing economies
Reply #10 - Dec 16th, 2009 at 8:14pm
 
Quote:
We can argue about why developing countries are still developing while others are developed, and we could no doubt carry that on all the way back to when Columbus thought he could sail to the East Indies by going the other way. But it is not really the point. The reality is that it was the developed nations that put an additional 140 ppm of carbon in to the atmosphere, and the developing countries did not.


Then it is the duty of Western countries if what is happening is actually serious to repair their own problems in the best way that they can; it has never been their duty to assist the rest of the "developing" world in developing with environmental responsiblity. If we're the problem, then obviously the solution is to deal strictly with ourselves. Africa, India, Latin America, etc. are not the problem and never will be a problem, because, well, you know..

...

Their development train only has one stop: Nowheresville. All aboard!
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« Last Edit: Dec 16th, 2009 at 8:32pm by aikmann4 »  
 
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muso
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Re: Emission Reduction Targets of developing economies
Reply #11 - Dec 17th, 2009 at 8:39am
 
Now is not the time to be allowing any latitude for developing countries. We need to get the renewable technology in place first - then and only then can we give the developing countries a 'leg up'. To do anything else is counter productive to survival. You know the safety briefing in Aircraft where they tell you to put on your own oxygen mask first and then help out infants and children? It's a message with a similar rationale.

I agree with many views expressed here that some countries are going nowhere. That's not racism - that's fact and it's unrelated to race. This is an important nexus for mankind. To hijack something like this and start redistributing wealth to the undeserving is paramount to stupidity. At this juncture in time, it's obscene.  We need to take the Pareto approach and put all our energies into replacing fossil fuel combustion processes with clean processes, regardless of where it's occurring in the world.

Those countries which have a negligible impact on the global carbon footprint can be safely ignored. What little footprint they do have will disappear as the global technology changes. They will follow the rest of the world as stragglers as they always have done. Concentrate on the main issues first.  

This 2 degree  guard-rail is not going to be without casualties. The weak will die- possibly as much as a billion people. It's sad, but it is going to happen regardless of how much money we waste on them.
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« Last Edit: Dec 17th, 2009 at 8:54am by muso »  

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Paella
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Re: Emission Reduction Targets of developing economies
Reply #12 - Dec 17th, 2009 at 6:07pm
 
A couple of important points are being missed.

Firstly, the purpose of a global emissions treaty is to reduce emissions. It is not to redistribute wealth. This is why, in my initial post, I made the point that being fair to the developing economies has nothing to do with the provision of aid to the third world. It is about reducing emissions quickly and efficiently. That’s all. The denial movement incessantly brings the redistribution issue in to the picture: they are the only ones doing this. I suspect that they don’t actually understand that this is NOT about redistribution. They are simply not capable of seeing it in any other way. Many of the posts in this thread demonstrate this point.

The second point is that it is cheaper to reduce emissions in under developed nations than it would be to achieve the same reduction in a developed economy. This is simply because, as the economy is not fully developed, the energy generation and distribution systems are less efficient. It is cheaper and easier to improve an inefficient system than it is to improve an efficient system. The purpose of the Kyoto Protocol’s Clean Development Mechanism and the Joint Implementation Scheme is exactly that: to encourage developed economies to achieve reductions where it is the least costly to do so.

The trick that the rich nation-states are trying to pull off is to try to screw as much out of the developing economies as they can. This strategy is as immature and short-sighted as it is predictable.

We need to cut the planet’s carbon emissions, and quickly. It doesn’t make any difference where we cut them, as a ton of carbon emitted in Bangladesh or Uzbekistan  goes into the same atmosphere that we breathe in Germany, the UK or Australia. So let’s all just act like grownups and agree to cut our emissions and share the cost of doing so equitably.
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Soren
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Re: Emission Reduction Targets of developing economies
Reply #13 - Dec 17th, 2009 at 7:01pm
 
muso wrote on Dec 17th, 2009 at 8:39am:
The weak will die- possibly as much as a billion people. It's sad, but it is going to happen regardless of how much money we waste on them.



Muso, you are talking like an apocalyptic nutter, like the General Turgidson of warmerists.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HgyjlqhiTV8


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Soren
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Re: Emission Reduction Targets of developing economies
Reply #14 - Dec 17th, 2009 at 7:03pm
 
Paella wrote on Dec 17th, 2009 at 6:07pm:
The denial movement incessantly brings the redistribution issue in to the picture: they are the only ones doing this. I suspect that they don’t actually understand that this is NOT about redistribution. They are simply not capable of seeing it in any other way. Many of the posts in this thread demonstrate this point.



The denialists and the group of 77, numbering 126 - the 'developing' countries. To them, it is ALL about the money.

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