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More facts for the deniers.... (Read 30368 times)
tallowood
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Re: More facts for the deniers....
Reply #180 - Nov 19th, 2008 at 7:19am
 
What methodology of data collection was used? Was it the same in both cases or different?
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muso
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Re: More facts for the deniers....
Reply #181 - Nov 19th, 2008 at 7:27am
 
Soren wrote on Nov 18th, 2008 at 9:48pm:
Good one. Are you consulting Lestat?

If it's preliminary data, why did GISS announce that October was the hottest month? Why not "allow the data assimilation process to settle down before we declare any assertions".


Er - GISS didn't announce anything. GISS only puts out press releases on the temperature analysis at the end of the year. That's why it's preliminary. The data is available real time. The process is completely transparent. Scientists are human. They make errors sometimes. That's why the data is strenuously checked before being reported in final form.

That part of the media report was a furfie - a lie, a total fabrication  Grin Grin

But hey, why let a good lie get in the way of a good story?

In this case, someone's programming error will be fixed and nothing will change except for the reporting of one single month's anomaly. No heads will roll, no investigations will be launched, no politicians will ask questions in parliament. This will undoubtedly be disappointing to many, but they should comfort themselves with the thought that the chances of this error happening again has now been diminished. Which is good, right?

It's very ho hum I'm afraid.
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« Last Edit: Nov 19th, 2008 at 8:18am by muso »  

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freediver
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Re: More facts for the deniers....
Reply #182 - Nov 19th, 2008 at 11:19am
 
I think scraping the bottom of the barrel is a better description than ho-hum. It captures the desperation a bit better.
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Calanen
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Re: More facts for the deniers....
Reply #183 - Dec 23rd, 2008 at 7:33pm
 
The Polar Ice Caps melted about 125,000 years ago too.

Must have been all those Flintstone mobiles the cavemen were driving.

Oh, and the sun's heliosphere has degraded by 20% in the last 50 years. That must be caused by global warming too. Amazing how much affect the burning of fossil fuels on earth has on an enormous sun 146 million kilometres away.
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Re: More facts for the deniers....
Reply #184 - Dec 25th, 2008 at 9:57pm
 
Well the denialists have done such a great job with their scientific research, they are now ready to bust the longest ongoing hoax that the poindexters have inflicted on mankind, join them now, before everyone else does, and it won't seem so revolutionary a way to "stick it to the man".

http://www.alaska.net/~clund/e_djublonskopf/Flatearthsociety.htm
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Calanen
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Re: More facts for the deniers....
Reply #185 - Dec 27th, 2008 at 7:36am
 
GISS Surface Temperature Analysis

Global Temperature Trends: 2008 Meteorological Year Summation

The meteorological year, December 2007 through November 2008, was the coolest year since 2000, according to the Goddard Institute for Space Studies analysis of surface air temperature measurements. It was the ninth warmest year in the period of instrumental measurements, which extends back to 1880. The nine warmest years all occur within the eleven-year period 1998-2008.

http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/2008/

Oh no, the Greenhouse effect has gotten so bad it has turned into the Global Cooling Phenomenon. Yes, that is part of Global Warming, near the end stage, where it goes into Global Cooling first before it gets really really warm and everyone melts.

Or actually, this decline in temperature demonstrates the very real gains Kyoto has made by getting 5% of the worlds population to adhere to it while China, India and everywhere else ignore it.
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Re: More facts for the deniers....
Reply #186 - Jan 1st, 2009 at 12:08pm
 
Did you actually read the bit you quoted Calanen? The denialists seem to think that only a monotonic increase would support AGW theory. Do you think we should change our mind about global warming every year in response to annual variations in temperature - aka frost this morning, therefor no global warming?
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Calanen
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Re: More facts for the deniers....
Reply #187 - Jan 1st, 2009 at 10:30pm
 
freediver wrote on Jan 1st, 2009 at 12:08pm:
Did you actually read the bit you quoted Calanen? The denialists seem to think that only a monotonic increase would support AGW theory. Do you think we should change our mind about global warming every year in response to annual variations in temperature - aka frost this morning, therefor no global warming?



Hey, I'm warming myself over a fire of recyclable PET bottles and aerosol cans as we speak in anticipation of the big chill.

Also, the heliosphere has degraded by 20 % - did cars on earth do that too?
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Re: More facts for the deniers....
Reply #188 - Jan 1st, 2009 at 11:21pm
 
Quote:
Or actually, this decline in temperature demonstrates the very real gains Kyoto has made by getting 5% of the worlds population to adhere to it while China, India and everywhere else ignore it.


Maybe, but has pollution decreased or increased? If it has increased, then the 5% joining up havn't reduced global emissions, have they?
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Re: More facts for the deniers....
Reply #189 - Jan 4th, 2009 at 12:35pm
 
Yep. We are all doomed. Let's jump in to a hole and hide there. If you are so worried, why did you research all those facts which takes more emissions to research in the first place?

The Earth is warming up, I admit that. I do not believe it is completely due to human intervention. I believe it is a natural cycle.

Sure the world would be a better place if we reduce carbon emissions, I'm all for it. But stop panicking, please! The Earth goes crazy all the time. Didn't we just come out of a cold snap in the 1800s? And the mini Ice Age in the 1600s?

Think of how much the world has changed in a few 100 years. Of course it will change dramaticly over the next hundred! And the hundred after that! And after that!

Again, I don't deny that we might have some small part in global warming. But take a chill pill. The world wont end.
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Re: More facts for the deniers....
Reply #190 - Jan 4th, 2009 at 1:51pm
 
Unfortunately we see people like Ant, (BTW, welcome to OzPolitics Ant, I hope to see more opinions from you here) who react to the ridiculously overblown alarmist statements, that we see expressed in the media all too often, then taking a position which promotes the opposite end of the reality scale, ie; it is not going to be that big a deal, and even if it is, what can we do about it, so just keep on keeping on.

While I agree to some extent, that we must retain a positive outlook, I also think that diluting the importance of the issue, is more a case of sticking your head in the sand, than actually trying to maintain a fair, and balanced, opinion.

As most people now agree, it is a case of risk management, and harm minimisation, upon which we need to focus, and if we keep an open mind to all the, 'respect worthy', scientific opinions, then we will be best equipped to take the right decisions, as and when we need to.
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Re: More facts for the deniers....
Reply #191 - Jan 4th, 2009 at 1:53pm
 
I don't think Ant is taking the opposite extreme.
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Re: More facts for the deniers....
Reply #192 - Jan 4th, 2009 at 3:45pm
 
While I think that it is almost certainly the biggest crisis to hit humanity ever, I think we should beware of knee-jerk reactions.

We've seen the effects of inappropriate choices of biofuels. Some things may appear to be green, but they are actually quite harmful practices.

I agree that we need to take a global approach using the best data possible. We don't have too much time to learn from our mistakes, so each decision needs to be balanced and considered. We need to get it right first time, but at the same time, we don't have time to wait for all the data.

The current economic downturn has its positive and negative aspects. From the positive side, we are no longer using fossil fuels at quite the same elevated rates. From the negative sides, as fossil fuel prices are depressed, sustainable alternatives become relatively more costly economically, and if the economy gets hit really badly, GHG emissions will have a lower priority.

At the same time, there is a real danger that we'll concentrate too much on a single issue and miss some other higher risks, such as soil degradation, loss of biodiversity, world scale epidemics and the increasing salinity of coastal aquifers.

The increasing emphasis on GHG mitigation and abatement is a bit like a bright headlight on a highway at night. If we stare into it too much like frightened rabbits, sooner or later something else will catch us out (like a predator in the analogy). We need to be totally aware of all risks that could catch us out unexpectedly.
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Re: More facts for the deniers....
Reply #193 - Jan 6th, 2009 at 4:39pm
 
Quote:
While I think that it is almost certainly the biggest crisis to hit humanity ever, I think we should beware of knee-jerk reactions


Baloney. The ice caps melted 125,000 years ago. You werent here, none of us were - did the whole earth cease to exist? Were cars to blame?

Are cars to blame for the Heliosphere's degradation?

It can only make sense to conserve resources. But all of this the sky is falling bs, is just that bs.
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Re: More facts for the deniers....
Reply #194 - Jan 7th, 2009 at 8:15am
 
As usual, we see the denialists struggling with concepts of time.

It is not that we have not had the earth's climate change before, it is just that we have never seen it change like it is now.

The "RATE" of change, is unprecedented, by a huge factor, so that fact just does not mesh with your argument that it is all just another natural cycle.

Say after me, "rate of change, rate of change, rate of change"

Got that?

Now go back to your denialist blogosphere and find a corresponding rate of change which has occurred through natural cycles, and get back to us when you find it.
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