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Optional preferential voting (Read 55032 times)
freediver
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Re: Optional preferential voting
Reply #60 - Nov 22nd, 2008 at 9:31am
 
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For the sake of the argument, let's not worry about Candidate C.


Why not? Does he not matter?

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The voters gave equal preferences (5) to each of the major parties.


Why are you explaining it this way? Are you saying 10 people voted for candidate C? And 75 for D and E?

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75 disgruntled people who would rather not have helped either of them win


30 of them are just disgruntled because they lost. Their least favourite candidate won. It sucks, but that's democracy for you. Not everyone wins. The other 45 still got to have a say, and because they had a say, the outcome changed for the better, from their perspective. This is a good thing, not a bad thing as you seem to argue.

45 people are better off because they voted in the election between A and B. Like I said, ranking all candidates cannot possibly work against your interest. Not a single voter in your scenario ended up worse off because they ranked all candidates.

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Result - Candidate B wins, and we have 75 people who might not like the result, but are at least are comfortable in the knowledge that they had no part in his election.


That is totally absurd. The outcome is worse. The same logic would say that these people would be just as happy with a dictatorship, so long as they didn't actually help the dictator gain office. It is irrational to rpefer a worse outcome specifically because you didn;t have a say in the matter. It is some kind of logical fallacy.

A candidate won who is less favoured by the general public than his main competitor. You argue that the people are happier because of this, even though the outcome is worse, because they didn't have a say in the matter. Their response is irrational. No-one in their right mind would prefer a worse outcome just because they missed their opportunity to make it better. And either way, one of the two main candidates wins, so your argument that MPV helps the two main candidates is wrong. If all you care about is the two main candidates vs the minor candidates, then it makes no difference. No-one is worse off. If, as is the case in reality, you also care about who actually wins office, then the people are better off.

The people who are disgruntled in the first example are only disgruntled because they don't understand how the system works. They think it was a single election in which they helped B win over C. that is wrong. It never happened. It was four elections. Their favourite candidate lost the first 3 elections. Then there was a fourth election between A and B. In that election, the more popular candidate won.

In an election with 5 candidates, not everyone is going to see their favourite candidate win. This is not a flaw. Not everyone can win.

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Now you're going to say that you can look inside the minds of these 75 people and say that they could have put the preferences the other way round


No. Why would I say that? The system requires people to rank honestly.

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and that they mostly wanted to vote in a major party as a last resort


No. That is not how it works. It doesn't matter whether they value voicing their support for C or D most or having a say in the real battle between A and B most. What matters is that they voted in all 4 elections, and had their say in all 4 elections. This is the beauty of preferential voting. If people understood it better, the whole OPV thing would disappear overnight. The fact that C, D and E lost an election is not a sound argument for not voting in an election where only A and B are candidates.

In this case, people want two things. They want to voice their support for a minor candidate (C, D or E). They also want to have a say in whether A or B wins. There is no tradeoff between these two things. They can do both. They can vote in an election where only A and B are candidates. Doing so in no way diminishes their support for the other candidates.

Note however that OPV can actually benefit the two main candidates. OPV can cause one of the two major candidates to win, even though the majority of the public would have preferred a third candidate. OPV benefits the major parties.

Arguing for OPV is no different to arguing that you shouldn't have to vote at all because you don't like C or D either. The principle is the same. People just get confused and think it is a different principle because they rank candidates rather than voting for a single candidate. However, even with preferential voting, you still only vote for one candidate in each election, and that candidate is always your favourite out of those on the ballot. The only difference is you don't have to turn up to the polls a dozen times.

I think it would be easier for you to understand if you viewed it as a number of completely separate elections. That is what it is. It's just that you only have to turn up to the polls once.
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Grendel
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Re: Optional preferential voting
Reply #61 - Nov 22nd, 2008 at 9:38am
 
I don't know what it is fd...  what the blockage is...  but you are never going to get it are you?
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mantra
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Re: Optional preferential voting
Reply #62 - Nov 22nd, 2008 at 10:28am
 
It is very confusing FD - but Muso is almost right in this regard.  No matter who votes for who - one of the two major parties will always win - although I think in the future we will see more coalitions - not just the Liberals/Nationals.

OPV is really what we should all be doing - the big problem is - most people haven't got a clue where the preferences are going from the party they voted for.  They could put Liberal last and the Marijuana party first - yet through elimination from the bottom up - their vote could still go to the Liberals.

I might have this wrong - but for example - the Marijuana Party might give their preferences to the Shooters Party, who might pass it onto the Christian Right who then give it to the Liberals.

It's a stupid system, and so entangled that no-one can really understand it thoroughly except the politicians and those involved in the electoral process or counting the votes.  I just wonder how many counters are involved to check & double check each vote properly.

Plus our system is open to rort.  Everything is done manually.  You can go to 5 or 6 different voting booths in your area and vote for the same party and who has the manual ability to ensure that people only vote once.  Occasionally there's a random check, but not often.

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muso
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Re: Optional preferential voting
Reply #63 - Nov 22nd, 2008 at 11:32am
 
freediver wrote on Nov 22nd, 2008 at 9:31am:
Arguing for OPV is no different to arguing that you shouldn't have to vote at all because you don't like C or D either.


Well to some extent, I think it's a violation of our rights to require everybody to vote in the first place. Opting not to vote is a perfectly valid option as far as I'm concerned. Voting informal is the only we we can do that legally at the moment.

freediver wrote on Nov 22nd, 2008 at 9:31am:
In this case, people want two things. They want to voice their support for a minor candidate (C, D or E). They also want to have a say in whether A or B wins. There is no tradeoff between these two things. They can do both.


Here you're assuming that everybody has a preference of A over B or vice versa. Some people would rather not encourage A or B in any way. By going to OPV, we give them that option, plus retain the right to have a say in whether A or B wins. If they choose to fill in all the boxes, then they have that right. If they choose not to fill in all the boxes, they still have that right, but choose not to exercise it.

Is that really so difficult to understand?
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« Last Edit: Nov 22nd, 2008 at 11:41am by muso »  

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freediver
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Re: Optional preferential voting
Reply #64 - Nov 22nd, 2008 at 1:12pm
 
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No matter who votes for who - one of the two major parties will always win


No matter who votes for who? The major parties win because so many people vote for them.

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They could put Liberal last and the Marijuana party first - yet through elimination from the bottom up - their vote could still go to the Liberals.


Actually the candidate you rank last is the one candidate your vote cannot possibly end up with.

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I might have this wrong - but for example - the Marijuana Party might give their preferences to the Shooters Party, who might pass it onto the Christian Right who then give it to the Liberals.


That only happens with above the line voting in the senate. If you are in NSW or QLD and you 'vote 1' for a state election, it means no preferences are distributed. On the other hand, if you do that in the federal lower house, your vote is tossed out and doesn;t count for anyone. Yes that is confusing, and you can blame OPV for it.

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It's a stupid system, and so entangled that no-one can really understand it thoroughly except the politicians and those involved in the electoral process or counting the votes.


I'll try explaining it to you. Suppose there are ten candidates. There will be nine elections. In each election, the candidate who comes last is eliminated, until only one victor remains. Your vote in each election goes to whichever of the remaining candidates you have ranked higher. Rather than thinking of it as preference distribution, it's easier to think of it as separate elections.

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You can go to 5 or 6 different voting booths in your area and vote for the same party


That's the price of a secret ballot.

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Well to some extent, I think it's a violation of our rights to require everybody to vote in the first place. Opting not to vote is a perfectly valid option as far as I'm concerned. Voting informal is the only we we can do that legally at the moment.


Then argue for optional voting. Not for compulsory optional preferential voting, which is an absurdity. That way fewer people will be confused into thinking there is a flaw in instant runoff voting. The reason that OPV gets passed, but not optional voting, is that people understand the issues surrounding optional voting. But they get all confused about OPV, because they think that distributing preferences can work against them.

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Here you're assuming that everybody has a preference of A over B or vice versa.


Even if they don't, it does not harm them to have to rank them. Of course in practice, there is always some difference between the major candidates. You don't have to like one to be able to tell the difference between them. This is no different to saying you don't want to vote at all because they are all politicians. Voting is a civic duty, even if you don't like politics.
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Re: Optional preferential voting
Reply #65 - Nov 22nd, 2008 at 1:48pm
 
freediver wrote on Nov 22nd, 2008 at 1:12pm:
Then argue for optional voting. Not for compulsory optional preferential voting, which is an absurdity. That way fewer people will be confused into thinking there is a flaw in instant runoff voting. The reason that OPV gets passed, but not optional voting, is that people understand the issues surrounding optional voting. But they get all confused about OPV, because they think that distributing preferences can work against them.



Well it can work against them. I made a personal resolution never to contribute to the re-election of Howard following the Iraq invasion. ALP was equally unpalatable to me. The fact that I had to vote for one of them as a higher preference than the other thwarted my intention of voting for neither.  It worked against my personal principles and resolutions.

To some people, resolving not to vote for a particular party or parties is a personal resolution. It's a matter of principle. Not voting is as important as voting in some instances for many people. The outcome of the Election is an impersonal thing by comparison.  

We're never going to agree on this, so we might as well leave it at that.
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Re: Optional preferential voting
Reply #66 - Nov 22nd, 2008 at 2:35pm
 
I have less of an issue with optional voting. At least people can make a rational argument for it. Just as you may resolve never to vote for one party, or a group of parties, some people may resolve never to vote at all, or not to vote for any of the running candidates. It's when they try to mislead others into thinking it is somehow a different issue to not voting where it becomes irrational, and where I object, because it promotes a misunderstanding of instant runoff voting.

Because of this misunderstanding, the major parties in QLD and NSW have managed to trick people into supporting optional voting after the least important round of elections. They tricked people into thinking it was a scheme that would beneift the minor parties, when in fact it benefits the major parties. It also reintroduces the spoiler effect and a degree of randomness to the outcome of an election.
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Re: Optional preferential voting
Reply #67 - Nov 22nd, 2008 at 3:18pm
 
Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
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muso
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Re: Optional preferential voting
Reply #68 - Nov 22nd, 2008 at 4:29pm
 
freediver wrote on Nov 22nd, 2008 at 2:35pm:
Because of this misunderstanding, the major parties in QLD and NSW have managed to trick people into supporting optional voting after the least important round of elections. They tricked people into thinking it was a scheme that would beneift the minor parties, when in fact it benefits the major parties. It also reintroduces the spoiler effect and a degree of randomness to the outcome of an election.


Tell me what you mean by the spoiler effect. It sounds like democracy at work.
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Re: Optional preferential voting
Reply #69 - Nov 23rd, 2008 at 10:22am
 
The spoiler effect refers to the ability of an election outcome to be altered due to the presence or absence, on the ballot, of a minor candidate who has no chance of winning. It creates a disincentive for minor candidates to run because their presence on the ballot can result in a worse outcome for their supporters. It makes the election outcome hinge on what are essentially arbitrary or random factors.

If no third parties were running and the only two candidates were Labor and Liberal, would you rank one of them?
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Re: Optional preferential voting
Reply #70 - Nov 23rd, 2008 at 10:25am
 
freediver wrote on Nov 23rd, 2008 at 10:22am:
If no third parties were running and the only two candidates were Labor and Liberal, would you rank one of them?


At this very moment I would.
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Re: Optional preferential voting
Reply #71 - Nov 23rd, 2008 at 11:58am
 
Do you think that many people would vote for Labor or Liberal if there were only two candidates, but would choose not to rank them if there were other parties listed?
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Re: Optional preferential voting
Reply #72 - Nov 23rd, 2008 at 12:23pm
 
Lots of minor party candidates win and so do independents.

The world isn't just liberal or labor and we shouldn't be forced to give votes to anyone we don't wish to vote for.

Some people just vote for their candidtate choice at 1 and donkey vote the rest...  this is an obvious distortion of the vote.  Luck of the electoral draw nominates who gets their preferences not educated decision making.
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Re: Optional preferential voting
Reply #73 - Nov 23rd, 2008 at 7:00pm
 
Grendel wrote on Nov 23rd, 2008 at 12:23pm:
Lots of minor party candidates win and so do independents.

The world isn't just liberal or labor and we shouldn't be forced to give votes to anyone we don't wish to vote for.

Some people just vote for their candidtate choice at 1 and donkey vote the rest...  this is an obvious distortion of the vote.  Luck of the electoral draw nominates who gets their preferences not educated decision making.


I vote LIBERAL .......  I follow the Liberal Party ticket.  If they removed the compulsory voting I would do the same or not bother going to vote.  Grin

Because ...........  they are all a bunch of wankers.  Embarrassed
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Re: Optional preferential voting
Reply #74 - Nov 24th, 2008 at 8:57am
 
Neferti wrote on Nov 23rd, 2008 at 7:00pm:
Grendel wrote on Nov 23rd, 2008 at 12:23pm:
Lots of minor party candidates win and so do independents.

The world isn't just liberal or labor and we shouldn't be forced to give votes to anyone we don't wish to vote for.

Some people just vote for their candidtate choice at 1 and donkey vote the rest...  this is an obvious distortion of the vote.  Luck of the electoral draw nominates who gets their preferences not educated decision making.


I vote LIBERAL .......  I follow the Liberal Party ticket.  If they removed the compulsory voting I would do the same or not bother going to vote.  Grin

Because ...........  they are all a bunch of wankers.  Embarrassed


Slumming it nef?
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