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Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) (Read 114776 times)
Sir Grappler Truth Teller OAM
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #225 - Jul 25th, 2022 at 5:57pm
 
Now it's CCP Dollar Diplomacy... good-o - they can offer me a few lazy tens of millions and I'll take it, then crawfish on the deal...

Is there some comparative value between one type of Diplomatic Dollar and another .... say White Dullah Bad ... Tinted Dullah Good??

If the PIslanders play their cards right, they'll cop a motza from both sides... and funnel it all through their family connections and such... win-win-win and eating lobster every day...
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“Facts are stubborn things; and whatever may be our wishes, our inclinations, or the dictates of our passion, they cannot alter the state of facts and evidence.”
― John Adams
 
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #226 - Jul 26th, 2022 at 12:51pm
 
Sir Grappler Truth Teller OAM wrote on Jul 25th, 2022 at 5:57pm:
Now it's CCP Dollar Diplomacy... good-o - they can offer me a few lazy tens of millions and I'll take it, then crawfish on the deal...

Is there some comparative value between one type of Diplomatic Dollar and another .... say White Dullah Bad ... Tinted Dullah Good??

If the PIslanders play their cards right, they'll cop a motza from both sides... and funnel it all through their family connections and such... win-win-win and eating lobster every day...


The exchange value of a nation's fiat currency is largely (but not exclusively) dependent on the nation's productive capacity, AND the desirability of the nation's  products on overseas markets.

Post WW2, the US dollar has had the privilege of global reserve currency, but Hudson sees the end of this $US status by mid-century, simply because China's real economy is more  productive than the post-industrial,  FIRE economy of the US. China is already the world's largest trading partner with nations in both the developing and developed world 

" In 2013, China became the largest trading nation in the world. The United States previously held that position."
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #227 - Jul 26th, 2022 at 1:32pm
 
Pertinent article from Gareth Hutchens, business and economics  journalist:

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-07-24/rba-review-will-it-consider-how-money-is-...

It's the last taboo in central banking. So will the RBA review look at how money is created?
By business reporter Gareth Hutchens.

.........

So Philip Lowe should have directly funded the government's  covid rescue package, during the pandemic lock-downs, by simply paying the essential bills of locked-down workers. No more, no less; and certainly not to people who maintained their jobs, or to businesses  like Harvey Norman who prospered through the pandemic.   

That would have avoided two things:

1. creating a build up of funds in private bank accounts which are to blame for the apparent increase in consumer purchasing power (post lockdowns), in an environment of supply chain blockages. 

2. creating massive government debt which "must be repaid" to private sector financiers, an absurd situation which will burden future governments for a generation. 

MMT actually offers the opportunity to banish "inflation" to the dust-bin of history, because central banks could maintain zero interest rates, and directly fund government spending.

The real issue is maintaining a balance between the nation's productive capacity,  and demand on available resources. 

More than one way (ie manipulating central bank interest rates) to skin a cat.   


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« Last Edit: Jul 26th, 2022 at 6:58pm by thegreatdivide »  
 
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #228 - Jul 29th, 2022 at 11:31pm
 
The fascinating history of charging interest on loans.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Usury

and Thomas Aquina's thoughts:

St. Thomas Aquinas, the leading scholastic theologian of the Catholic Church, argued charging of interest is wrong because it amounts to "double charging", charging for both the thing and the use of the thing. Aquinas said this would be morally wrong in the same way as if one sold a bottle of wine, charged for the bottle of wine, and then charged for the person using the wine to actually drink it.[49] Similarly, one cannot charge for a piece of cake and for the eating of the piece of cake. Yet this, said Aquinas, is what usury does. Money is a medium of exchange, and is used up when it is spent. To charge for the money and for its use (by spending) is therefore to charge for the money twice. It is also to sell time since the usurer charges, in effect, for the time that the money is in the hands of the borrower. Time, however, is not a commodity for which anyone can charge. In condemning usury Aquinas was much influenced by the recently rediscovered philosophical writings of Aristotle and his desire to assimilate Greek philosophy with Christian theology. Aquinas argued that in the case of usury, as in other aspects of Christian revelation, Christian doctrine is reinforced by Aristotelian natural law rationalism. Aristotle's argument is that interest is unnatural, since money, as a sterile element, cannot naturally reproduce itself. Thus, usury conflicts with natural law just as it offends Christian revelation: see Thought of Thomas Aquinas. As such, Aquinas taught "that interest is inherently unjust and one who charges interest sins."

Well, an amazing philosophical examination of money; he certainly knew money is created out of thin air; and that Thatcher's dictum "there is no such thing as a magic money tree" is a simplistic misunderstanding of money. 
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #229 - Aug 1st, 2022 at 1:18pm
 
More from Gareth Hutchens (see  #227 previous)

Neoliberalism: Full employment abandoned.

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-07-05/interest-rates-rise-expected-to-increase-...

Rising interest rates could spark job losses. Is this the best system we have?

"But a few weeks ago, American economist Larry Summers said if US policymakers wanted to get their inflation under control they'd have to allow unemployment to rise significantly in coming years.

He said there were few options available to them.

"We need five years of unemployment above 5 per cent to contain inflation — in other words, we need two years of 7.5 per cent unemployment or five years of 6 per cent unemployment or one year of 10 per cent unemployment," he said.

It's not uncommon to hear an economist speak so frankly, and Mr Summers is as mainstream as it gets.

But it was callous".


Indeed, flat-earth neoliberal economists like Summers should be sacked, and forced to live on the dole until full employment is reached. 
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #230 - Aug 3rd, 2022 at 4:17pm
 
Twitter today from Gareth Hutchens, ABC reporter, economics and business:

"My Twitter feed feels like it’s just economists on one side who are defending the system and saying nothing needs to change and everyone is dumb for thinking change is necessary, and then normal people on the other side who are despairing for themselves, their kids, & the planet".

Brain-dead neoliberal economists , that is....
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #231 - Aug 5th, 2022 at 5:49pm
 
https://www.bard.edu/news/bard-economist-l-randall-wray-wins-2022-veblen-commons...

Bard Economist L. Randall Wray Wins 2022 Veblen-Commons Award in Recognition of Significant Contributions to Evolutionary Institutional Economics


...the Veblen-Commons Award is presented to scholars “on the basis of their contributions to a better understanding of both the economic process and the behavior of the major institutions that shape that process and society’s goals and values” (Trebing, 1992, 333). By recognizing significant contributions to institutional analysis, this award furthers the goal of institutional economics** to make the world a better place.

** that is, public sector (government) intervention into market economics.

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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #232 - Aug 8th, 2022 at 10:31am
 
More on the disaster of privatization in employment services.

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2022/aug/06/mutual-obligations-the-money-go...

"In Australia’s welfare sector obligations are ‘mutual’, but profits flow only one way

As jobseekers face ‘humiliating’ tasks to maintain payments, vast network of job agencies rakes in hundreds of millions of taxpayer dollars".


Neoliberalism gone mad.

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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #233 - Aug 8th, 2022 at 10:50am
 
Tweet from 'Brave New Europe'

The Andalusian regional elections on 19 June showed Spain’s left coalition government is provoking political apathy amongst the poorest Spaniards

What...you mean a Left coalition can't win the support of the poor?....(given that taxes are passe', governments of any stripe can't fund policies that might benefit the poor).

Who'd have thunk it...while private financiers funding government are laughing all the way to the bank.
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #234 - Aug 11th, 2022 at 10:29am
 
https://www.crikey.com.au/2022/08/09/labor-the-new-party-of-capital/?utm_campaig...

Labor is now the party of capital. Progressive, social, groovy, but capital’s party it is.
Labor may present itself as progressive and socially conscious, but it has a commitment to capital, and that will drive its actions.


Any reform Labor is associated with will tend to be socio-cultural and individual — gender stuff, assisted dying, etc — rather than socio-economic or political. The pathway opens for Labor to be a fully integrated authoritarian neoliberal party**, increasingly the discipliner of the people it once sought to represent.
  **beginning in the Hawke/Keating era.

Hence the disinterest in lifting the jobseeker rate, while insisting on stage 3 tax cuts benefiting high paid workers. 

As opposed to the ideals of 'Nugget' Coombs, Oz' first governor of the reserve bank, 1960-1968 during the high growth Menzies years):

Coombs's political and economic views were formed by the Great Depression, which hit Australia in 1929 and caused a complete economic collapse in a country totally dependent on commodity exports for its prosperity. As a student in Perth, he was a socialist, but while he was studying at the London School of Economics, he became converted to the economic views of John Maynard Keynes. He spent the rest of his career pursuing Keynesian solutions to Australia's economic problems.

Coombs deplored the breakdown of the postwar Keynesian economic consensus represented by Thatcherism, and in his 1990 book The Return of Scarcity he proposed a Common Wealth Estate to ensure a more equitable distribution of wealth.






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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #235 - Aug 12th, 2022 at 10:30am
 
On Q&A last night, the question was asked whether capitalism is destroying  democracy

(the topic was China's 'aggression' against Taiwan).

The question received  considerable support in the audience and among some panel members, others were more interested discussing why we have to go to war against China.

But people agreed China was not responsible for the  terrible poverty, unemployment and soaring inequality around the world,  and low wages for working people leading to dissatisfaction with democracy even in first world countries. 

Unfortunately no-one noted the problem is not capitalism per se, but rather the evil monetary system which forces governments to borrow money from private financiers, meaning that public services are always woefully underfunded (eg age care workers, teachers, and social workers).

Neoliberal toad Chalmers rejects MMT, I hope his tenure is short.    
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #236 - Aug 13th, 2022 at 12:26pm
 
Some random questions and answers (via google):

1. Do governments buy their own bonds?
When Fed policymakers decide they want to lower interest rates, the Fed buys government bonds. This purchase increases the price of bonds and lowers the interest rate on these bonds. (We can think of this as the Fed increasing the money supply, which makes money more plentiful and drives down the price of borrowing.)

MMT comment: prof Bill Mitchell supports a central bank zero interest rate policy.

2. Why does the government buy or sell bonds?
If the Fed buys bonds in the open market, it increases the money supply in the economy by swapping out bonds in exchange for cash to the general public. Conversely, if the Fed sells bonds, it decreases the money supply by removing cash from the economy in exchange for bonds.

MMT comment: smoke and mirrors, to hide the process of money creation from the public.

3.Where does Fed get money to buy bonds?
The Fed creates money by purchasing securities on the open market and adding the corresponding funds to the bank reserves of commercial banks. Banks then increase the money supply in circulation even more by making loans to consumers and businesses

MMT comment: The government (with its own treasury + central bank) should directly fund  government spending without borrowing (buying or selling bonds) , the limit of the funding being determined by the nation's productivity as manifested by whatever is available for sale to the government in the nation's currency. 

This what Ross Gittins means by "money printing":

Quote:
http://www.rossgittins.com/2021/03/funding-budget-by-printing-money-is.html


Funding the budget by printing money is closer than you think


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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #237 - Aug 16th, 2022 at 11:53am
 
MMT to save the climate:

https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/16/5908

Funding of the Energy Transition by Monetary Sovereign Countries

Abstract
If global energy consumption returns to its pre-pandemic growth rate, it will be almost impossible to transition to a zero-emission or net-zero-emission energy system by 2050 in the absence of large-scale CO2 removal. Since relying on unproven technologies for CO2 removal is speculative and risky, this paper considers an energy descent scenario for reaching zero greenhouse gas emissions from energy by 2050. To drive the rapid transition from fossil fuels to carbon-free energy sources and ensure demand reduction, funding is needed urgently in order to implement four strategies: (i) technology change, i.e., implementing the growth of zero-carbon energy production, end-use energy efficiency and ‘green’ energy carriers, together with ongoing R&D on CO2 removal; (ii) reducing climate impacts; (iii) reducing energy consumption by social and behavioural changes; and (iv) improving human wellbeing while increasing social justice. Modern monetary theory explains how monetary sovereign governments, with their own fiat currencies, can create the necessary funding without financial constraints, although constraints do result from the productive capacities of their economies. The energy transition could be part-funded by a significant transfer of resources from monetary sovereign countries of the global North to the global South, financed by currency issuance.
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #238 - Aug 18th, 2022 at 5:37pm
 
Article examining the wrong responses of the BofE , to counter inflation:

https://www.taxresearch.org.uk/Blog/2022/08/18/inflation-is-a-passing-phase-what...

Inflation is a passing phase: what we need is help to get through it rather than pain to punish us for it
Posted on August 18 2022,

"The second stage of this is recovery. This could happen in late 2023, but is more likely in 2024. The chance of this relatively short-term recovery depends entirely on the actions taken by the government now. If the plan by the government is to support people with all the help that they need with the aim of keeping people and families well, fit, fed, together and in both their homes and jobs then the recovery stage will be relatively quick. All the foundations for a return to normal will be in place if this is the policy.

Unfortunately, this is not the policy. Tory leadership candidates are saying that they cannot help because there is no money (which we all know to be a lie, because they can create it) whilst the Bank of England is seeking to destroy the chance of people affording heat and food and the prospect of staying in their homes by increasing interest rates. Their intention is to crush spending power when it is already shattered. As a consequence, they want to force business closures and unemployment. They also want to create credit, rent and mortgage crises, all based on making debt unaffordable. In other words, their plan is to leave us in the worst possible place for recovery once prices stabilise, which they will despite, but most definitely not because of, the Bank of England's policies."
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #239 - Aug 19th, 2022 at 12:05pm
 
Tweet from Dr Steven Hail:

Steven Hail
@StevenHailAus


"Chris Bowen is a very intelligent man. I must admit to frustration when in his Climate Council conversation tonight he just hoped for more private investment in renewables.

The option of major public investment to shift more rapidly didn't seem to be up for consideration."



Of course, the ALP are thoroughly captured by neoliberal market orthodoxy; Andrew Leigh cites Larry Summers as a guide to economics..... Embarrassed
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