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One Nation Would Lift The Ban On Nuclear Power (Read 2749 times)
freediver
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Re: One Nation Would Lift The Ban On Nuclear Power
Reply #30 - Oct 10th, 2026 at 12:25pm
 
Quote:
Then those googles you have done must have given you the figures for you to proclaim it.


OK, I can see you do not know how to use google, so I will dumb it down for you. Google this: "Are renewables still cheaper than nuclear when you take the cost of grid storage into account".

No need to take my word for it or pretend the numbers belong to me.

Do you actually disagree with any of this, or do you just want other people to show you how to use the internet? I am pretty sure I have walked you through this at least a dozen times in separate threads already, but you always ask the same questions again. Like a broken record.
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lee
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Re: One Nation Would Lift The Ban On Nuclear Power
Reply #31 - Oct 10th, 2026 at 12:31pm
 
freediver wrote on Oct 10th, 2026 at 12:25pm:
OK, I can see you do not know how to use google, so I will dumb it down for you. Google this: "Are renewables still cheaper than nuclear when you take the cost of grid storage into account".



Ah, so you only want to include some of the costs. Bizarre. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Try this -

is nuclear cheaper than renewables under LFCOE
Duck.ai said

If by LFCOE you mean levelized full cost of electricity, then there isn’t a universal winner. Nuclear can be cheaper once the comparison includes the cost of making power reliable and available when needed—but that depends heavily on nuclear construction and financing costs, and on the renewables mix, storage, and grid assumptions.
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Re: One Nation Would Lift The Ban On Nuclear Power
Reply #32 - Oct 10th, 2026 at 12:32pm
 
Quote:
Ah, so you only want to include some of the costs. Bizarre.


You are, as ever, confused Lee.
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Re: One Nation Would Lift The Ban On Nuclear Power
Reply #33 - Oct 10th, 2026 at 12:40pm
 
lee wrote on Oct 10th, 2026 at 12:16pm:
Dnarever wrote on Oct 9th, 2026 at 9:46pm:
Do you have a nuclear model that includes the costs of storing or processing the nuclear waste for a few hundred thousand years ? They all seem to forget to mention that part.


Have you not heard? Once a fuel rod has been "used" it is not dead, it only loses about 3-4%. It can be reprocessed. How many existing fuel rods do you reckon there are already? Roll Eyes



Isn't it cheaper to make a new fuel rod than reprocess old fuel rods?    Undecided
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lee
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Re: One Nation Would Lift The Ban On Nuclear Power
Reply #34 - Oct 10th, 2026 at 12:41pm
 
freediver wrote on Oct 10th, 2026 at 12:32pm:
You are, as ever, confused Lee.



No petal. I deliberately used the full term of Levelised Full Cost Of Electricity.

I can't help it if you don't see the difference.
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Re: One Nation Would Lift The Ban On Nuclear Power
Reply #35 - Oct 10th, 2026 at 12:43pm
 
freediver wrote on Oct 10th, 2026 at 6:55am:
Quote:
Should we at least have a few nuclear reactors?


It's not something you want to do a small amount of. There are a lot of fairly fixed overheads with managing safety, nuclear waste etc.



But we got out of date - behind in technology -
we should always have had our own nuclear industry - even if small.

Also - we mine Uranium and then sell Yellowcake -
we don't manufacture fuel rods.
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Re: One Nation Would Lift The Ban On Nuclear Power
Reply #36 - Oct 10th, 2026 at 12:54pm
 
lee wrote on Oct 10th, 2026 at 12:41pm:
freediver wrote on Oct 10th, 2026 at 12:32pm:
You are, as ever, confused Lee.



No petal. I deliberately used the full term of Levelised Full Cost Of Electricity.

I can't help it if you don't see the difference.


This is what I get when I google "Levelised Full Cost Of Electricity - are renewables cheaper than nuclear":

Yes, firmed renewables (wind and solar combined with storage and transmission) are significantly cheaper than nuclear power according to major economic and engineering studies.

Again, google it yourself if you want the numbers.
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Re: One Nation Would Lift The Ban On Nuclear Power
Reply #37 - Oct 10th, 2026 at 3:20pm
 
This is what claude thinks:

How does duck.ai compare with google AI for answer to web search queries?

What about for hot political issues like the cost of nuclear vs renewables for electricity generation?

Quote:
How they differ:

Google AI draws on a huge index, so it usually cites well-known sources like Lazard, the IEA, IPCC, national energy agencies and big news outlets. Answers tend to be mainstream and cautious. But Overviews compress a lot, and a one-paragraph summary of a contested cost question loses the nuance that matters.
duck.ai depends on which model you pick, and the models differ in tone and in what they emphasise. The smaller models are more likely to give a generic “both have pros and cons” answer without real numbers. Its web search goes less deep, so it may lean on fewer sources.


Sounds to me like you shopped around for the answer you wanted, but the closest you could get was a bit of handwringing.
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Re: One Nation Would Lift The Ban On Nuclear Power
Reply #38 - Oct 10th, 2026 at 8:16pm
 
freediver wrote on Oct 10th, 2026 at 12:54pm:
Yes, firmed renewables (wind and solar combined with storage and transmission) are significantly cheaper than nuclear power according to major economic and engineering studies.



And when I do Google AI, it says -

"levelised full cost of electricity - are renewables cheaper than nuclear"

"Yes, firmed renewable energy (such as solar and wind paired with storage and transmission) is significantly cheaper than nuclear power on a levelised full cost of electricity (LCOE) basis" I quried why Google said LCOE, and they admitted their error.

Me: "Your anser sasys levelised foull cost of electricity and then says in brackets LCOE which is not full cost"

Google: "You are entirely correct, and I apologize for that conflation. LCOE (Levelised Cost of Energy) is not the full system cost; it only measures the "at the generator fence" cost of producing a single megawatt-hour of electricity."

G: "To account for the full costs of integrating weather-dependent renewables into the grid, economists and institutions use a different metric: LCOCE (Levelised Full Cost of Electricity) or System LCOE.

"When expert reports like Australia's CSIRO GenCost model the Levelised Full Cost (incorporating storage and transmission integration), they use a framework called "Firmed LCOE.""

I then responded ""Firmed LCOE" is also not  the the full cost"

G:  "You are completely correct, and I appreciate you pushing back on this. "Firmed LCOE" is still an incomplete metric and does not represent the true full system cost of a real-world electricity grid.
While firmed LCOE attempts to patch the flaws of standard LCOE by bundling a standardized amount of storage (like a 4-hour battery) and a fixed share of transmission, it is still a project-level calculation. It fails to capture the complex, compounding costs that occur when you try to run an entire society on a given energy "

Energy economists point out that firmed LCOE routinely leaves out four massive system-wide expenses:

1. The "Dunkelflaute" and Exponential Overbuilding

Firmed LCOE models usually assume a routine, daily cycle of storage (charging by day, discharging at night). They do not account for a Dunkelflaute—extended periods of consecutive days or weeks with near-zero wind and solar output.
To guarantee reliability through these weather events without fossil-fuel backup, a renewable grid requires either massive multi-day seasonal storage or extreme overbuilding of wind and solar capacity. This extra capacity sits idle and wasted (curtailed) most of the year, which dramatically spikes the real cost per megawatt-hour delivered.

2. Inertia and Ancillary Services (Grid Stability)

Large spinning turbines in nuclear, coal, and hydro plants inherently provide synchronous inertia, which keeps the grid’s frequency stable at 50Hz or 60Hz. Wind and solar do not provide this naturally. Replacing mechanical inertia requires complex systems like synchronous condensers or specialized fast-frequency battery software, costs that are heavily externalized and omitted from firmed LCOE.

3. Local Distribution Grid Upgrades

Firmed LCOE accounts for transmission lines (the big towers moving power across regions) but largely ignores distribution networks (the power lines on your street). Managing two-way power flows from rooftop solar, local batteries, and electric vehicle charging requires multi-billion-dollar upgrades to local substations and street-level infrastructure.

4. True System Metrics: LFSCOE and SLOE

To capture the actual macroeconomic reality, researchers use macro-system models like System Levelised Cost of Electricity (SLOE) or Levelised Full System Costs of Electricity (LFSCOE).
• These model an entire region's grid hour-by-hour over decades.
• Studies using these metrics show that while a grid with mostly renewables (e.g., 80-90%) is highly cost-effective, pushing for a 100% weather-dependent grid causes system costs to skyrocket exponentially.
• This is where dispatchable, high-capacity factors like nuclear look more competitive on a true full-system basis, because they eliminate the exponential curve of backup infrastructure.
Thank you for clarifying this—using "full cost" to describe firmed LCOE was technically inaccurate."

Source :Google AI

You're welcome. Wink


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freediver
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Re: One Nation Would Lift The Ban On Nuclear Power
Reply #39 - Oct 10th, 2026 at 8:28pm
 
lee wrote on Oct 10th, 2026 at 8:16pm:
freediver wrote on Oct 10th, 2026 at 12:54pm:
Yes, firmed renewables (wind and solar combined with storage and transmission) are significantly cheaper than nuclear power according to major economic and engineering studies.



And when I do Google AI, it says -

"levelised full cost of electricity - are renewables cheaper than nuclear"

"Yes, firmed renewable energy (such as solar and wind paired with storage and transmission) is significantly cheaper than nuclear power on a levelised full cost of electricity (LCOE) basis" I quried why Google said LCOE, and they admitted their error.

Me: "Your anser sasys levelised foull cost of electricity and then says in brackets LCOE which is not full cost"

Google: "You are entirely correct, and I apologize for that conflation. LCOE (Levelised Cost of Energy) is not the full system cost; it only measures the "at the generator fence" cost of producing a single megawatt-hour of electricity."

G: "To account for the full costs of integrating weather-dependent renewables into the grid, economists and institutions use a different metric: LCOCE (Levelised Full Cost of Electricity) or System LCOE.

"When expert reports like Australia's CSIRO GenCost model the Levelised Full Cost (incorporating storage and transmission integration), they use a framework called "Firmed LCOE.""

I then responded ""Firmed LCOE" is also not  the the full cost"

G:  "You are completely correct, and I appreciate you pushing back on this. "Firmed LCOE" is still an incomplete metric and does not represent the true full system cost of a real-world electricity grid.
While firmed LCOE attempts to patch the flaws of standard LCOE by bundling a standardized amount of storage (like a 4-hour battery) and a fixed share of transmission, it is still a project-level calculation. It fails to capture the complex, compounding costs that occur when you try to run an entire society on a given energy "

Energy economists point out that firmed LCOE routinely leaves out four massive system-wide expenses:

1. The "Dunkelflaute" and Exponential Overbuilding

Firmed LCOE models usually assume a routine, daily cycle of storage (charging by day, discharging at night). They do not account for a Dunkelflaute—extended periods of consecutive days or weeks with near-zero wind and solar output.
To guarantee reliability through these weather events without fossil-fuel backup, a renewable grid requires either massive multi-day seasonal storage or extreme overbuilding of wind and solar capacity. This extra capacity sits idle and wasted (curtailed) most of the year, which dramatically spikes the real cost per megawatt-hour delivered.

2. Inertia and Ancillary Services (Grid Stability)

Large spinning turbines in nuclear, coal, and hydro plants inherently provide synchronous inertia, which keeps the grid’s frequency stable at 50Hz or 60Hz. Wind and solar do not provide this naturally. Replacing mechanical inertia requires complex systems like synchronous condensers or specialized fast-frequency battery software, costs that are heavily externalized and omitted from firmed LCOE.

3. Local Distribution Grid Upgrades

Firmed LCOE accounts for transmission lines (the big towers moving power across regions) but largely ignores distribution networks (the power lines on your street). Managing two-way power flows from rooftop solar, local batteries, and electric vehicle charging requires multi-billion-dollar upgrades to local substations and street-level infrastructure.

4. True System Metrics: LFSCOE and SLOE

To capture the actual macroeconomic reality, researchers use macro-system models like System Levelised Cost of Electricity (SLOE) or Levelised Full System Costs of Electricity (LFSCOE).
• These model an entire region's grid hour-by-hour over decades.
• Studies using these metrics show that while a grid with mostly renewables (e.g., 80-90%) is highly cost-effective, pushing for a 100% weather-dependent grid causes system costs to skyrocket exponentially.
• This is where dispatchable, high-capacity factors like nuclear look more competitive on a true full-system basis, because they eliminate the exponential curve of backup infrastructure.
Thank you for clarifying this—using "full cost" to describe firmed LCOE was technically inaccurate."

Source :Google AI

You're welcome. Wink




That's a lot of bloviating. But it still says that renewables are cheaper than nuclear. For example from your own quote:

Quote:
Studies using these metrics show that while a grid with mostly renewables (e.g., 80-90%) is highly cost-effective.


Why does the remaining 10-20% even need to be nuclear? Why not gas or hydro? Our existing coal fired power stations won't reach the end of their life for several decades. And even if 10 to 20% is nuclear, that is still not saying that nuclear is cheaper.

Quote:
pushing for a 100% weather-dependent grid causes system costs to skyrocket exponentially


No-one is doing that Lee. This is merely the sort of idiotic assumption you need to make in order to make nuclear look not quite so terrible as an option. You keep being told that renewables are cheaper than nuclear, even by your own evidence, but you still desperately seek some way to convince yourself of the opposite.
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« Last Edit: Oct 10th, 2026 at 8:35pm by freediver »  

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lee
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Re: One Nation Would Lift The Ban On Nuclear Power
Reply #40 - Oct 10th, 2026 at 8:36pm
 
freediver wrote on Oct 10th, 2026 at 8:28pm:
But it still says that renewables are cheaper than nuclear. For example from your own quote:

Quote:
Studies using these metrics show that while a grid with mostly renewables (e.g., 80-90%) is highly cost-effective.


Why didn't you complete what it said?lee wrote on Oct 10th, 2026 at 8:16pm:
pushing for a 100% weather-dependent grid causes system costs to skyrocket exponentially.


Or do you only want four hours of battery?freediver wrote on Oct 10th, 2026 at 8:28pm:
Why does the remaining 10-20% even need to be nuclear? Why not gas or hydro? And even if 10 to 20% is nuclear, that is still not saying that nuclear is cheaper.


The fact that in only covers 80-90% shows that it isn't viable, even on average. AT ALL. Cool


Just go nuclear. No need for intermittent, weather dependant power at all.

What happens under a Dunkelflaute? Freeze in the dark?
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Re: One Nation Would Lift The Ban On Nuclear Power
Reply #41 - Oct 10th, 2026 at 8:39pm
 
Quote:
The fact that in only covers 80-90% shows that it isn't viable, even on average.


No it doesn't Lee. And your evidence does not even say that renewables "only covers 80-90%". You are so confused you post evidence that backs up my argument, and even whn it is pointed out to you, you don't realise.
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Re: One Nation Would Lift The Ban On Nuclear Power
Reply #42 - Oct 10th, 2026 at 9:00pm
 
lee wrote on Oct 10th, 2026 at 12:16pm:
Dnarever wrote on Oct 9th, 2026 at 9:46pm:
Do you have a nuclear model that includes the costs of storing or processing the nuclear waste for a few hundred thousand years ? They all seem to forget to mention that part.


Have you not heard? Once a fuel rod has been "used" it is not dead, it only loses about 3-4%. It can be reprocessed. How many existing fuel rods do you reckon there are already? Roll Eyes


You do know that The USA and many other countries do not re process? The MOX fuel produced in re processing can only be used in some reactors and is more expensive.

Also for a material that will be around for a few hundred thousand years how big an impact would be re processing it the once or twice which is the current limit. That is re processing may get you an extre ten years? This doesnt really solve the problem and it is also not costed in the plans.

With nuclear if the full cost of managing the waste for a hundred thousand years were to be included would the cost work out to be something like ten billion dollars a megawatt ?
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Re: One Nation Would Lift The Ban On Nuclear Power
Reply #43 - Oct 10th, 2026 at 9:10pm
 
lee wrote on Oct 10th, 2026 at 8:36pm:
freediver wrote on Oct 10th, 2026 at 8:28pm:
But it still says that renewables are cheaper than nuclear. For example from your own quote:

Quote:
Studies using these metrics show that while a grid with mostly renewables (e.g., 80-90%) is highly cost-effective.


Why didn't you complete what it said?lee wrote on Oct 10th, 2026 at 8:16pm:
pushing for a 100% weather-dependent grid causes system costs to skyrocket exponentially.


Or do you only want four hours of battery?freediver wrote on Oct 10th, 2026 at 8:28pm:
Why does the remaining 10-20% even need to be nuclear? Why not gas or hydro? And even if 10 to 20% is nuclear, that is still not saying that nuclear is cheaper.


The fact that in only covers 80-90% shows that it isn't viable, even on average. AT ALL. Cool


Just go nuclear. No need for intermittent, weather dependant power at all.

What happens under a Dunkelflaute? Freeze in the dark?


Quote:
The fact that in only covers 80-90% shows that it isn't viable, even on average


All the plans are for some sort of mix even with nuclear. Your logic here would mean that nothing is viable. 80 - 90% is really good I doubt what ever is used will meet that standard.
If we can reduce the dirty fuels by 90% I would think it would be a good result.
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« Last Edit: Oct 10th, 2026 at 10:04pm by Dnarever »  
 
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Re: One Nation Would Lift The Ban On Nuclear Power
Reply #44 - Oct 10th, 2026 at 9:12pm
 
BTW - I just installed Claude, just for you.


Me: levelised Full Cost Of Electricity - are renewables cheaper than nuclear

Claude: On plain LCOE, yes: new wind and solar come out far cheaper than new nuclear. Once you add the cost of making the grid reliable, the gap narrows, and it depends on the assumptions.

Headline numbers (Lazard’s 2026 report, US, unsubsidised)

Utility-scale solar is roughly $40-98/MWh, and onshore wind is roughly $37-99/MWh.
pv-magazine-usa
New nuclear is roughly $175-255/MWh, mainly because of high capital requirements and long development timelines.
pv-magazine-usa
Lazard’s nuclear figure is based on public cost estimates for Vogtle Units 3 and 4, which were notoriously over budget. A smoother build programme would likely come in lower, and Lazard’s own commentary suggests costs would fall as more plants are built.

There is that pesky Subsidy again.

Me: LCOE is not the levelised full cost of electricity

C: You’re right. I treated your question as plain LCOE, and the figures I gave were only generation costs. Levelised full cost of electricity (LFCOE, also called levelised full system cost) adds the system-level costs LCOE leaves out. Let me check the current evidence on that.

Once you count full system costs, firmed renewables still come out cheaper than new nuclear in most of the studies I found. The gap is smaller than the plain LCOE figures suggest, and the studies disagree about method.

Now the CSIRO next Gen report 25-26, says by 2030 we need 33GWh of battery storage. The east coast of Australia uses about 655GWh per day. That's about 3 minutes.

It then says we need 12GWh of hydro, 7 already existing and hoping Snowy2 finishes in time. Add that to the batteries and we get to 4 minutes. Wink



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