Ai_Killed_Humanity wrote on Jul 31
st, 2026 at 9:18am:
And then According to BoM, who they cite, but carefully don't quote. -
"Our long-range forecasts
are most reliable up to 3 months ahead. For July to September the forecast issued on 11 June showed:
rainfall is likely to be below average across parts of southern and eastern Australia
temperatures are likely to be above average in most areas, except parts of the north.
...
Will this year be extra hot?
Most of the southern half of Australia has had above average temperatures so far this year. But it's too soon to know how 2026 will play out.
The additional heat in the tropical Pacific that emerges during El Niño events typically boosts global temperatures in the following year.
The long-term warming trend has significantly increased the likelihood of warmer than average years. Australia has had 14 of its 15 warmest years on record since the year 2000.
Does El Niño increase drought risk?
El Niño can contribute to dry conditions, but it is only one factor.
Since January 2026, it has been drier than average in:
north-eastern New South Wales into southern Queensland
southern Victoria
western and northern Tasmania
parts of Western Australia including the south-western corner.
We publish a monthly Drought Statement to track areas with serious or severe rainfall deficiencies."
Anything more than 3 months (spring weather) is hyperbole.

And the El Nino has only recently been declared, too early for the Europe and American fires.
Interestingly, the 30 day temperatures are showing to be starting from way behind the grid in your infographic.