Australian Politics Forum - SA Election Saturday 21 March, Who Will Win?

Bobby.

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Re: SA Election Saturday 21 March, Who Will Win?
Reply #15 - Mar 21^st, 2026 at 9:55pm

Bobby. wrote on Mar 21^st, 2026 at 9:50pm:

Labor wins by a landslide:

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03-21/a-mountain-to-a-cliff-for-sa-liberals-in-...

When Ashton Hurn took on the role of South Australian Liberal leader just a few months ago, she likened the challenge to climbing a "mountain".

Rather than climbing the mountain, the Liberal Party has now fallen off a cliff.

The party has not just lost, but has suffered one of the most staggering election disasters in Australian political history.

In a country that has had an entrenched two-party system for 80 years, the Liberals appear to have somehow slipped to third, at least on the primary vote.

"You do have to concede the people have spoken and there has been quite a loud message sent," Liberal Senator Anne Ruston said on the ABC's election night coverage.

If you had told even the most pessimistic Liberal when Ms Hurn took the leadership that their vote would fall this far, it's highly unlikely they would have believed you.

Across Adelaide, once very safe Liberal seats are now in Labor hands.

Perhaps most significantly, the Liberals appear to have finished significantly behind One Nation on the primary vote.

Labor always wins no matter how bad they are.

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greggerypeccary

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Re: SA Election Saturday 21 March, Who Will Win?
Reply #16 - Mar 21^st, 2026 at 10:22pm

Bobby. wrote on Mar 21^st, 2026 at 9:55pm:

Bobby. wrote on Mar 21^st, 2026 at 9:50pm:

Labor wins by a landslide:

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03-21/a-mountain-to-a-cliff-for-sa-liberals-in-...

When Ashton Hurn took on the role of South Australian Liberal leader just a few months ago, she likened the challenge to climbing a "mountain".

Rather than climbing the mountain, the Liberal Party has now fallen off a cliff.

The party has not just lost, but has suffered one of the most staggering election disasters in Australian political history.

In a country that has had an entrenched two-party system for 80 years, the Liberals appear to have somehow slipped to third, at least on the primary vote.

"You do have to concede the people have spoken and there has been quite a loud message sent," Liberal Senator Anne Ruston said on the ABC's election night coverage.

If you had told even the most pessimistic Liberal when Ms Hurn took the leadership that their vote would fall this far, it's highly unlikely they would have believed you.

Across Adelaide, once very safe Liberal seats are now in Labor hands.

Perhaps most significantly, the Liberals appear to have finished significantly behind One Nation on the primary vote.

Labor always wins no matter how bad they are.

Pete's a good guy.

He deserved to win.

Wipeout! Grin

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Bobby. Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 118436 Melbourne Gender:	Re: SA Election Saturday 21 March, Who Will Win? Reply #17 - Mar 21^st, 2026 at 10:31pm Pecca, it was the same here in Victoria, Dan was a fiend and they still voted him back in.
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greggerypeccary Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 151362 Gender:	Re: SA Election Saturday 21 March, Who Will Win? Reply #18 - Mar 22^nd, 2026 at 6:28am Bobby. wrote on Mar 21^st, 2026 at 10:31pm: Pecca, it was the same here in Victoria, Dan was a fiend and they still voted him back in. Pete's not a fiend - he's a very nice guy. His government was always gonna be voted back in. The real story is the Libs - it was a wipeout
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Ai_Took_Our_Jobs

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Re: SA Election Saturday 21 March, Who Will Win?
Reply #19 - Mar 22^nd, 2026 at 7:34am

21% of S.Oz gave their primary vote to O.N. Not a good sign for the federal election in a couple of year.
Even throughout suburban Adelaide, O.N polled well.

In some safe Labor seats, Labor's swing against was 20% to O.N. Greens gains insulated Labor through preferences.

Liberals, decimated, is always great news.

O.N was kept at bay by Liberals & Labor not preferencing.

Next November, lets see if ON can replicate in Victoria's election.

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LNP never again Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 2003 Gender:	Re: SA Election Saturday 21 March, Who Will Win? Reply #20 - Mar 22^nd, 2026 at 8:55am Looks like the libs were smashed to smithereens .... how many seats dumb nation win ?
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Ai_Took_Our_Jobs Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 531 Gender:	Re: SA Election Saturday 21 March, Who Will Win? Reply #21 - Mar 22^nd, 2026 at 9:03am Labor ~ Liberals did a preference deal. That said, O.N are close in a couple seats, yet likely to fail. https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/sa/2026/guide/mack https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/sa/2026/guide/hamm
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Carl D Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 10803 Rivervale, Perth Gender:	Re: SA Election Saturday 21 March, Who Will Win? Reply #22 - Mar 22^nd, 2026 at 10:08am LNP never again wrote on Mar 22^nd, 2026 at 8:55am: Looks like the libs were smashed to smithereens .... how many seats dumb nation win ? Be sure to let me know as soon as anything changes for the better as far as the average South Australian is concerned, OK? I'll be waiting...
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Bailey New Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 26 Gender:	Re: SA Election Saturday 21 March, Who Will Win? Reply #23 - Mar 22^nd, 2026 at 10:16am Liberal bloodbath.
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Daves2017

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Re: SA Election Saturday 21 March, Who Will Win?
Reply #24 - Mar 22^nd, 2026 at 10:41am

Ai_Took_Our_Jobs wrote on Mar 22^nd, 2026 at 9:03am:

Labor ~ Liberals did a preference deal. That said, O.N are close in a couple seats, yet likely to fail.

https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/sa/2026/guide/mack

https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/sa/2026/guide/hamm

The uni party?

It’s only a matter of time before labor and the LNP merge

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“In the rural seat of Hammond, One Nation’s primary vote was up 20 percentage points with the Liberals 21 points down.”

Goodbye Angus, goodbye the nation party.

Goodbye

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greggerypeccary Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 151362 Gender:	Re: SA Election Saturday 21 March, Who Will Win? Reply #25 - Mar 22^nd, 2026 at 12:24pm LNP never again wrote on Mar 22^nd, 2026 at 8:55am: Looks like the libs were smashed to smithereens .... how many seats dumb nation win ? Currently, zero. Zilch. None. Nada. Zip. Nil. Nulla.
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Daves2017

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Re: SA Election Saturday 21 March, Who Will Win?
Reply #26 - Mar 22^nd, 2026 at 1:36pm

Greg you are missing how our “ democracy “works.

One Nation just took 21% of election funding away from both the labor and liberal parties.

That’s real hard cash that will not be preference away.

The seats one and lost is irrelevant.

The amount of taxpayer funds that you receive is what makes the game important.

My undoubted rough estimate is Pauline Hanson just collected $556,453.006

The real issue is that this money has been taken away from the uni party.

The cake doesn’t get bigger there slice just got 21% smaller.

And that hurts them. It hurts them hard.

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« Last Edit: Mar 22^nd, 2026 at 1:46pm by Daves2017 »

“In the rural seat of Hammond, One Nation’s primary vote was up 20 percentage points with the Liberals 21 points down.”

Goodbye Angus, goodbye the nation party.

Goodbye

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Ai_Took_Our_Jobs Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 531 Gender:	Re: SA Election Saturday 21 March, Who Will Win? Reply #27 - Mar 22^nd, 2026 at 4:13pm O.N has got it's first S.A. lower house seat https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/sa/2026/guide/ngad
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greggerypeccary Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 151362 Gender:	Re: SA Election Saturday 21 March, Who Will Win? Reply #28 - Mar 22^nd, 2026 at 4:23pm Ai_Took_Our_Jobs wrote on Mar 22^nd, 2026 at 4:13pm: O.N has got it's first S.A. lower house seat https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/sa/2026/guide/ngad Just one?
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Ai_Took_Our_Jobs Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 531 Gender:	Re: SA Election Saturday 21 March, Who Will Win? Reply #29 - Mar 22^nd, 2026 at 4:29pm So far. Leading in at least one other. And this without preferences from Lib & Lab.
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