Australian Politics Forum - Iran what next?

Bobby.

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Re: Iran what next?
Reply #45 - Mar 4^th, 2026 at 2:42pm

The new God figure:

The black turban means he is related to the prophet Mohammad.

Peace be upon him

https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/423332

Ali Khamenei’s son chosen as successor

Iran’s Assembly of Experts chooses Mojtaba Khamenei,
son of Ali Khamenei who was eliminated, as Iran’s next Supreme Leader.

Israel National News

Published: Mar 4, 2026, 12:09 AM (GMT+2)

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freediver

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Re: Iran what next?
Reply #46 - Mar 4^th, 2026 at 2:46pm

tallowood wrote on Mar 4^th, 2026 at 11:43am:

A sharp daily decline in missile launches from Iran in all directions:

Day 1: 350 missiles, 800 drones.
Day 2: 200 missiles, 400 drones.
Day 3: 120 missiles, 500 drones.
Day 4: 60 missiles, 150 drones.

https://imagizer.imageshack.com/v2/640x480q70/922/8mN2p7.jpg

Would you mind adding a trendline so we can predict when they will start sucking the missiles back into the launchers?

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People who can't distinguish between etymology and entomology bug me in ways I cannot put into words.

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Gnads

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Re: Iran what next?
Reply #47 - Mar 4^th, 2026 at 3:09pm

Quote:

When the IRGC was arresting, torturing and killing peaceful Iranian protesters, where were UNICEF, Amnesty International, and the United Nations?
Where were the emergency sessions then?
For years, Iranians were beaten in the streets and silenced by their own regime. The outrage was muted.
But the moment Israel and the United States move against that same regime, suddenly all these fake humanitarians find their voices.
Press releases. Condemnations. Urgency.
Does that look consistent to anyone?
If human rights matter, they should matter when Iranians are being crushed - not only when Israel is involved.

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Screenshot_2026-03-04_144837_001.jpg (129 KB | 2 )

"When you are dead, you do not know you are dead. It's only painful and difficult for others. The same applies when you are stupid." ~ Ricky Gervais

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Captain Nemo

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Re: Iran what next?
Reply #48 - Mar 4^th, 2026 at 11:53pm

Interesting Pentagon press conference today.

It seems that the US is about to up the pressure on Iran as the capabilities of the Iranian forces are diminished.

The US reckon they have hit around 2,000 targets so far. More is coming.

Going from as they call them : "stand-off" weapons to "stand-in" weapons. As the number of offensive weapons from Iran lessen and their defence grows weaker, the US is now about to fire off more close in weapons with more (as they claim) accurate and damaging results.

It is only 100 odd hours in so far and it looks like Iran is running out of stuff to fire.

Maybe, just maybe, the Yanks can pull this off. Undecided

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The 2025 election WAS a shocker.

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Sir Spot of Borg Gold Member Offline WE ARE BORG Posts: 26585 Australia	Re: Iran what next? Reply #49 - Yesterday at 2:48am Spot
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Captain Nemo Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 14495 Melbourne Gender:	Re: Iran what next? Reply #50 - Yesterday at 9:02am
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tallowood

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Re: Iran what next?
Reply #51 - Yesterday at 10:25am

freediver wrote on Mar 4^th, 2026 at 2:46pm:

tallowood wrote on Mar 4^th, 2026 at 11:43am:

A sharp daily decline in missile launches from Iran in all directions:

Day 1: 350 missiles, 800 drones.
Day 2: 200 missiles, 400 drones.
Day 3: 120 missiles, 500 drones.
Day 4: 60 missiles, 150 drones.

https://imagizer.imageshack.com/v2/640x480q70/922/8mN2p7.jpg

Would you mind adding a trendline so we can predict when they will start sucking the missiles back into the launchers?

I need more data from more consistent source.

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tallowood

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Re: Iran what next?
Reply #52 - Yesterday at 10:36am

Quote:

The report comes as Washington weighs support for Kurdish groups and Trump speaks with Kurdish leaders about the war with Iran; U.S. official speaking to Fox News confirmed the report

https://www.i24news.tv/en/news/middle-east/iran-eastern-states/artc-exclusive-thousands-of-kurdish-fighters-launch-ground-offensive-into-iran-against-regime-official-says

Quote:

An official from the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan (CPFIK) says Kurdish armed groups based in Iraq have already begun a military offensive against Iranian regime forces.

According to the official, Kurdish fighters affiliated with the Kurdistan Free Life Party (PJAK) began taking combat positions inside Iranian territory on Monday, March 2.

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tallowood

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Re: Iran what next?
Reply #53 - Today at 7:17am

Quote:

Esmail Qaani, the commander of the Quds Force of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps or IRGC, has reportedly been taken into custody by Iranian authorities themselves, amid suspicions that he may have links to the Israeli secret service, Mossad.

Quote:

the US and Israeli airstrike on Iran on Saturday morning killed numerous Iranian officials, including Khamenei. The sole survivor was Ismail Kani, commander of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Kani, accused of spying in his own country, was reportedly detained for questioning. According to unofficial sources and reports circulating in the media and social networks, Qaani has survived several assassination attempts in recent months. According to the same sources, he was last seen in the presence of Iran's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, just a day ago. However, it is alleged that he has since disappeared from the public scene again.
Reports suggest that within the IRGC structures there are strong suspicions of Qaani, accusing him of possible collaboration with Israel. So far there has been no official confirmation from Iranian authorities regarding these claims, and the information remains unconfirmed by independent sources.

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tallowood

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Re: Iran what next?
Reply #54 - Today at 7:42am

CNN reports details of the downing of two Iranian Su-24MK frontline bombers by the Qatar Air Force on the morning of March 2. The two Su-24MK bombers were reportedly attempting to attack the US Al Udeid Air Base and Qatar's largest gas processing plant, Ras Laffan. The Iranian aircraft were already "two minutes" from their targets, one source told CNN. A second source told CNN that the aircraft were visually identified and photographed "with bombs and guided munitions."
According to the second source, the Qataris radioed a warning to the Iranians but received no response from the Iranian aircraft, which descended to an altitude of 80 feet (25 m) to avoid radar detection. Due to "limited time" and "based on available intelligence," the Iranian aircraft were "classified as hostile," the second source added. Qatar then dispatched its fighter jets to intercept them, and a Qatari Boeing F-15QA Ababil fighter jet engaged the Iranian aircraft in a dogfight and shot them down, the second source added.
The Iranian aircraft crashed into Qatari territorial waters. Qatari Foreign Ministry spokesman Majed al-Ansari said at a briefing on March 3 that a search was underway for their crews.

https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/04/middleeast/qatar-downs-iran-bombers-us-base-i
ntl

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Captain Nemo Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 14495 Melbourne Gender:	Re: Iran what next? Reply #55 - Today at 10:51am
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freediver

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Re: Iran what next?
Reply #56 - Today at 11:23am

tallowood wrote Today at 7:42am:

CNN reports details of the downing of two Iranian Su-24MK frontline bombers by the Qatar Air Force on the morning of March 2. The two Su-24MK bombers were reportedly attempting to attack the US Al Udeid Air Base and Qatar's largest gas processing plant, Ras Laffan. The Iranian aircraft were already "two minutes" from their targets, one source told CNN. A second source told CNN that the aircraft were visually identified and photographed "with bombs and guided munitions."
According to the second source, the Qataris radioed a warning to the Iranians but received no response from the Iranian aircraft, which descended to an altitude of 80 feet (25 m) to avoid radar detection. Due to "limited time" and "based on available intelligence," the Iranian aircraft were "classified as hostile," the second source added. Qatar then dispatched its fighter jets to intercept them, and a Qatari Boeing F-15QA Ababil fighter jet engaged the Iranian aircraft in a dogfight and shot them down, the second source added.
The Iranian aircraft crashed into Qatari territorial waters. Qatari Foreign Ministry spokesman Majed al-Ansari said at a briefing on March 3 that a search was underway for their crews.

https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/04/middleeast/qatar-downs-iran-bombers-us-base-i
ntl

2 days old. But why are the Iranians still able to launch bomber aircraft? Are the landing strips not being targetted?

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People who can't distinguish between etymology and entomology bug me in ways I cannot put into words.

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Sir Grappler Truth Teller OAM Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 89934 Proud Old White Australian Man Gender:	Re: Iran what next? Reply #57 - Today at 11:41am https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/04/middleeast/qatar-downs-iran-bombers-us-base-i...
Back to top	“Facts are stubborn things; and whatever may be our wishes, our inclinations, or the dictates of our passion, they cannot alter the state of facts and evidence.” ― John Adams IP Logged

Sir Grappler Truth Teller OAM Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 89934 Proud Old White Australian Man Gender:	Re: Iran what next? Reply #58 - Today at 11:43am Two minutes, you say? The F-15s (export version Qatar) were already flying CAP and locked on... two more martyrs to Paradise...
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tallowood Gold Member Offline Израиль Навсегда Posts: 7121 Gender:	Re: Iran what next? Reply #59 - Today at 11:49am freediver wrote Today at 11:23am: 2 days old. But why are the Iranians still able to launch bomber aircraft? Are the landing strips not being targetted? Probably long range (2,000km) missiles launches have had higher priority then su24 (combat radius of approximately 615 km while carrying a full payload.).
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