Australian Politics Forum - Iran what next?

Bobby.

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Re: Iran what next?
Reply #135 - Yesterday at 4:25pm

Bobby. wrote Yesterday at 12:49pm:

I predict that Trump will invade Kharg island in order
to deprive Iran of 90% of their economy.

It would take 50,000 marines to do the job.
They would take heavy losses.

https://www.bbc.com/news/videos/c4g7ddn9xz0o

Watch: Why Kharg Island is a lifeline for Iran
Kharg Island is a small rocky outcrop just 15 miles (24km) off the coast of Iran - but despite its size, it is one of the most critical pieces of Iran's energy infrastructure.

US President Donald Trump recently posted on Truth Social that the US military had conducted what he called one of the most powerful bombing raids in the history of the Middle East, obliterating every military target on the island.

Security analyst Mikey Kay breaks down why Kharg Island is a lifeline for Iran, and why it is so strategically important for the US.

My opinion.

The USA doesn't want to destroy the Kharg island facilities -
they just want to control them.
If they did destroy them Iran would destroy all their neighbors facilities
in the Persian gulf – Saudi Arabia etc.

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tallowood Gold Member Offline Израиль Навсегда Posts: 7275 Gender:	Re: Iran what next? Reply #136 - Yesterday at 5:41pm Quote: If they did destroy them Iran would destroy all their neighbors facilities in the Persian gulf – Saudi Arabia etc. Degrading Islamic oil power by Muslims. I'd like to see that
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Bobby. Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 118038 Melbourne Gender:	Re: Iran what next? Reply #137 - Yesterday at 6:42pm If he takes Kharg island - Trump can say - unless you allow all ships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz we won't let you sell any oil. He can leave Kharg island undamaged so that it can start loading oil as soon as Iran agrees. It's the art of the deal.
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tallowood Gold Member Offline Израиль Навсегда Posts: 7275 Gender:	Re: Iran what next? Reply #138 - Yesterday at 7:13pm Bobby. wrote Yesterday at 6:42pm: If he takes Kharg island - Trump can say - unless you allow all ships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz we won't let you sell any oil. He could do same by mirroring Iran in blocking Hormuz but without risking lives of marines.
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Bobby.

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Re: Iran what next?
Reply #139 - Yesterday at 7:22pm

tallowood wrote Yesterday at 7:13pm:

Bobby. wrote Yesterday at 6:42pm:

If he takes Kharg island -

Trump can say -
unless you allow all ships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz
we won't let you sell any oil.

He could do same by mirroring Iran in blocking Hormuz but without risking lives of marines.

He doesn't want to stop Iranian tankers -
their oil adds to the market to stop
oil prices rising.

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tallowood

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Re: Iran what next?
Reply #140 - Yesterday at 10:56pm

Bobby. wrote Yesterday at 7:22pm:

tallowood wrote Yesterday at 7:13pm:

Bobby. wrote Yesterday at 6:42pm:

If he takes Kharg island -

Trump can say -
unless you allow all ships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz
we won't let you sell any oil.

He could do same by mirroring Iran in blocking Hormuz but without risking lives of marines.

He doesn't want to stop Iranian tankers -
their oil adds to the market to stop
oil prices rising.

Iranian tankers are under sanctions.

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Bobby.

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Re: Iran what next?
Reply #141 - Yesterday at 11:03pm

tallowood wrote Yesterday at 10:56pm:

Bobby. wrote Yesterday at 7:22pm:

tallowood wrote Yesterday at 7:13pm:

Bobby. wrote Yesterday at 6:42pm:

If he takes Kharg island -

Trump can say -
unless you allow all ships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz
we won't let you sell any oil.

He could do same by mirroring Iran in blocking Hormuz but without risking lives of marines.

He doesn't want to stop Iranian tankers -
their oil adds to the market to stop
oil prices rising.

Iranian tankers are under sanctions.

They just re- flag them - sail to Singapore and sell it.

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tallowood

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Re: Iran what next?
Reply #142 - Yesterday at 11:12pm

Bobby. wrote Yesterday at 11:03pm:

tallowood wrote Yesterday at 10:56pm:

Bobby. wrote Yesterday at 7:22pm:

tallowood wrote Yesterday at 7:13pm:

Bobby. wrote Yesterday at 6:42pm:

If he takes Kharg island -

Trump can say -
unless you allow all ships to pass through the Strait of Hormuz
we won't let you sell any oil.

He could do same by mirroring Iran in blocking Hormuz but without risking lives of marines.

He doesn't want to stop Iranian tankers -
their oil adds to the market to stop
oil prices rising.

Iranian tankers are under sanctions.

They just re- flag them - sail to Singapore and sell it.

Tankers re-flagged at sea are seized.

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Bobby.

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Re: Iran what next?
Reply #143 - Today at 6:17am

As I predicted – Trump is thinking about sending troops to Kharg island.

https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/iran-war-news-trump-may-send-troops-to-capture-k...

Trump May Send Troops To Capture "Crown Jewel Of Iran"US officials told Axios that Trump is inclined towards the idea of seizing Kharg because it would constitute "an economic knockout of the regime", essentially defunding Tehran.

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tallowood Gold Member Offline Израиль Навсегда Posts: 7275 Gender:	Re: Iran what next? Reply #144 - Today at 6:49am We'll see soon enough. USS Tripoli pass Singapore on Monday. So now probably near Sri Lanka and in area of operation on weekend. At the moment more interesting is what happened to AC G. Ford and how it may affect any plans.
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tallowood

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Re: Iran what next?
Reply #145 - Today at 7:02am

Quote:

USS Gerald R. Ford Headed to Souda Bay for Repairs After Fire — USNI News

https://defensemirror.com/news/41331/Sailors_Abroad_US_Aircraft_Carrier__CVN_78_
Sleeping_on_Floors_After_Beds_Destroyed_in_Fire_Amid_Iran_Ops

Quote:

Sailors on the USS Gerald R. Ford aircraft carrier, (CVN-78), battled flames for over 30 hours last week, after a fire that started in the ship’s main laundry area, spread through ventilation to several other areas of the ship, including multiple berthing.

More than 600 sailors and aircraft crew lost their beds in the fire and have since been bunking down on floors and tables throughout the ship, the New York Times reported.

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tallowood

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Re: Iran what next?
Reply #146 - Today at 7:16am

So what was the cause?

1 Shahed attack? Unlikely as there was no confirmation from Iranian regime propaganda.

2 Sabotage? Can be.

3 Maintenance negligence? Highly likely, IMHO. Fluff accumulation in air-con duct not properly cleaned.

In any case 30hrs is long enough to do damage to structural steel.

Thankfully there are no fatalities, only couple sailors hurt.

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Bobby.

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Re: Iran what next?
Reply #147 - Today at 7:30am

tallowood wrote Today at 7:16am:

So what was the cause?

1 Shahed attack? Unlikely as there was no confirmation from Iranian regime propaganda.

2 Sabotage? Can be.

3 Maintenance negligence? Highly likely, IMHO. Fluff accumulation in air-con duct not properly cleaned.

In any case 30hrs is long enough to do damage to structural steel.

Thankfully there are no fatalities, only couple sailors hurt.

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/us-carrier-ford-deployed-in-war-wit...

Today, 11:09 pm

The US aircraft carrier Gerald R. Ford, deployed in operations against Iran, is expected to temporarily pull into port after a fire on board, US officials say on the 18th day of the war with Tehran.

The carrier, America’s newest and the world’s largest, is currently located in the Red Sea. It is expected to temporarily go to Souda Bay on the Greek island of Crete, the two officials say.

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tallowood Gold Member Offline Израиль Навсегда Posts: 7275 Gender:	Re: Iran what next? Reply #148 - Today at 7:49am Also, Quote: Iran's Tasnim News Agency says projectile hit near Bushehr atomic power plant, no damages reported
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tallowood Gold Member Offline Израиль Навсегда Posts: 7275 Gender:	Re: Iran what next? Reply #149 - Today at 10:06am Iran's Fars News Agency issued a statement confirming the death of Ali Larijani. The statement also stated that his son Morteza, Alireza Bayat, deputy for security affairs at the Secretariat of the Supreme National Security Council, and a group of his bodyguards were also killed.
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