ProudKangaroo
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The Sandstorm is coming 🎵Doo doo doo doo🎵
Posts: 21906
Meeanjin (Brisbane)
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This has been such a typical Trump cock-up from start to finish.
First the administration cannot even get its story straight. Did they attack Iran because of nukes, did they do it because Israel would not listen and was going to attack anyway, did they do it because they told Israel to attack, or is it suddenly about "liberating the people"? The justification changes by the day.
Then we are told they can carry out a "precision strike" on the Ayatollah, yet somehow schools and hospitals keep getting "accidentally" blown up again, just like we saw in Gaza.
They also vastly underestimated Iran's capabilities, apparently believing that cutting off the head would collapse the state the way they imagined it would with Saddam.
Instead, US air bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar and Iraq have already been attacked and crippled, others across the region have been targeted, and Washington is now scrambling for help from allies that Trump has spent his entire term attacking diplomatically and economically, with countries like Spain already telling them no.
Trump's leadership team are woefully incompetent and manifestly unqualified for an actual conflict, with boots on the ground increasingly looking like the next step.
Especially since Iran destroyed the main radar system for the Iron Dome.
Even his base is beginning to fracture. Some of the most ardent Trump supporters are now filming themselves peeling Trump stickers off their cars at petrol stations.
And we are already seeing pressure on oil supplies. Australia's reserves were gutted under the Liberals and cannot be rebuilt overnight, but you would still expect the Albanese government to have added more than a handful of days to the stockpile by now. We are going to feel this.
Even without Australia being dragged into boots on the ground, which should be unthinkable, the trajectory is grim. Iraq was bad enough, but the differences in preparation, military capability and terrain mean this would look far more like Vietnam than anything else.
This is shaping up to be a huge strategic loss for Trump. Even if he drags it out until the midterms and starts floating emergency powers, the mistake itself cannot be undone.
Either the US backs down and withdraws, accepting the loss, perhaps we will hear complaints that the war was somehow "rigged", or the conflict escalates into something far more dangerous.
And all of it stems from Trump's obsession with erasing Barack Obama's name from the Iran nuclear deal. He tore it up claiming he could secure a better agreement, failed to do so in his first term, and eventually circled back to proposing something remarkably similar to the deal he had already destroyed, only with his own name attached. After trying to strong arm Iran and destroying any trust build up by Obama, of course they said No.
He's removed career counter terrorism experts from high ranking position, gutted USAID which would play a huge role in soft diplomacy and time and time again, experts have been swapped for loyalists.
And now the world has to put our faith in the most incompetent US leadership in living memory that they won't destroy us all? Yikes.
It is remarkable that people are still lining up behind him after all of this. But then again, if the racism, the sexism and the paedophilia were not enough to shake that loyalty, perhaps another Republican war, destabilised oil markets and fresh economic turmoil will not do it either.
Stupid is stupid.
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