We are in a drought right now - that explains it.
https://www.skynews.com.au/australia-news/weather/severe-drought-fire-fears-for-...Severe drought, fire fears for eastern states as Australia
stares down likely El Nino in 2026,
Sky News predicts
Australia's scorched eastern states are set to fry further in 2026,
according to a Sky News analysis that puts the chance of an El Nino forming this year as high as 75 per cent.

The Melbourne CBD is seen under a blanket of smoke from Yarra Bend Road bridge in Fairfield. Picture: Brendan Beckett
Rob Sharpe
Sky News Australia Meteorologist
4 min read
January 28, 2026 - 5:00AM
South-eastern Australia is experiencing one of its worst heatwaves on record as drought lingers and fires burn.
And there are signs that conditions will get even worse in the next 12 months.
I can reveal that La Nina is about to end and an El Nino is on the horizon.
Drought and fire
South Australia, Victoria and parts of New South Wales and Tasmania have endured drought for much of the past two years.
The dry landscape has played a key role in the current fire situation in Victoria – the worst since the last major drought which culminated in the Black Summer of 2019/20.
During spring many of the hardest hit drought regions got decent rainfall, but the substantial falls hoped for didn’t materialize.
The key was the Sudden Stratospheric Warming event from October to December.
It brought extra cold fronts to southern Australia – particularly benefiting Tasmania.
However, it reduced rainfall in NSW – seeing its driest spring in six years.