MattE wrote on Jan 15
th, 2026 at 6:57pm:
Bobby. wrote on Jan 15
th, 2026 at 6:29pm:
Yes MattE but there are reports
of between 2,000 and 12,000 protestors murdered on the streets.
True.
But there would be a lot more without the intervention of Donald Trump. When he says there is a RED LINE, regimes know there will be consequences.
The Iranian regime is on its last legs, but without a viable and organised alternative (like in Syria), there is no use hitting it and causing its collapse, because something worse may happen.
I think this is where the focus of the he United States should be, the fostering of an organised opposition and also providing it with weapons.
If Trump goes in oil cut be cut off at the Strait of Hormuz
and oil could reach $200 per barrel.
Oil refineries could be hit in the Gulf and so could US bases -
also Israel will be hit too.
The Middle East is a powder keg.
It's a very worrying time.
The Strait of Hormuz is a narrow, strategically vital waterway connecting the Persian Gulf to the Gulf of Oman, crucial for global energy transit, with about 20% of the world's oil passing through, largely controlled by Iran and Oman. Its narrowness, just 33km wide at its narrowest, with tight shipping lanes, makes it a significant global chokepoint, often a point of tension due to threats of closure by Iran, which could severely impact oil prices and global trade.