Forum

 
  Back to OzPolitic.com   Welcome, Guest. Please Login or Register
  Forum Home Album HelpSearch Recent Rules LoginRegister  
 

Page Index Toggle Pages: 1
Send Topic Print
Wildfires burning larger and larger areas. (Read 92 times)
Jovial Monk
Moderator
*****
Offline


Dogs not cats!

Posts: 50614
Gender: male
Wildfires burning larger and larger areas.
Oct 21st, 2025 at 2:38pm
 
Quote:
Picture a map of the world. The vast subcontinent of India spans roughly 3.2 million square kilometres.

An area larger than that burned in wildfires across the globe in the past year alone. From thousands of bushfires in Australia, to the deadly Los Angeles wildfires, to record-breaking blazes ravaging the Amazon and Congo, our planet has been burning.

Is this devastation attributable to climate change? Scientists from around the world worked together to find out. They used satellite imagery and computer models to confirm the answer, and have now published their findings in a landmark study.

That answer? Yes. The climate crisis is fuelling Earth’s extreme wildfires. But the scientists also want you to know – it’s not too late to act.


Quote is from The Conversation email. On to the article.

Link: https://theconversation.com/the-climate-crisis-is-fuelling-extreme-fires-across-...

Quote:
Human-caused climate change increased the area burned by wildfires, called bushfires in Australia, by a magnitude of 30 in some regions in the world. Our snapshot offers important new evidence of how climate change is increasing the frequency and severity of extreme fires. And it serves as a stark reminder of the urgent need to rapidly cut greenhouse gas emissions.

The evidence is clear – climate change is making fires worse.Human-caused climate change increased the area burned by wildfires, called bushfires in Australia, by a magnitude of 30 in some regions in the world. Our snapshot offers important new evidence of how climate change is increasing the frequency and severity of extreme fires. And it serves as a stark reminder of the urgent need to rapidly cut greenhouse gas emissions.

The evidence is clear – climate change is making fires worse.


You can just picture lee, can’t you? Quivering, ready to jump into action. Will his fatuous “More from JM” thread in what is supposed to be the Environment MRB go over 13 pages of fatuous crap? Who cares?

The article is based on this report:
https://essd.copernicus.org/articles/17/5377/2025/


More later.
Back to top
 

OzPolitic needs a >real< Environment MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Food MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Health MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Economics MRB now!

Topics in the right MRB!
 
IP Logged
 
Jovial Monk
Moderator
*****
Offline


Dogs not cats!

Posts: 50614
Gender: male
Re: Wildfires burning larger and larger areas.
Reply #1 - Oct 21st, 2025 at 4:49pm
 
LOL, that desperate idiot lee did write about this in the so–called Environment board, “More from JM” thread.

Of course, I doubt the bonehead even read the very lengthy Abstract to the paper I cited.
Back to top
 

OzPolitic needs a >real< Environment MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Food MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Health MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Economics MRB now!

Topics in the right MRB!
 
IP Logged
 
Jovial Monk
Moderator
*****
Offline


Dogs not cats!

Posts: 50614
Gender: male
Re: Wildfires burning larger and larger areas.
Reply #2 - Oct 21st, 2025 at 9:11pm
 
LOL, Booby has added his dribble to whatever crap desperate lee wrote.

Did the silly, empty headed Booby write “JM doesn’t know?” Likely.
Back to top
 

OzPolitic needs a >real< Environment MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Food MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Health MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Economics MRB now!

Topics in the right MRB!
 
IP Logged
 
Jovial Monk
Moderator
*****
Offline


Dogs not cats!

Posts: 50614
Gender: male
Re: Wildfires burning larger and larger areas.
Reply #3 - Oct 22nd, 2025 at 6:37am
 
From the extremely long Abstract to the paper cited above:


Quote:
Abstract


Climate change is increasing the frequency and intensity of extreme wildfires globally, yet our understanding of these high-impact events remains uneven and shaped by media attention and regional research biases. The State of Wildfires project systematically tracks global and regional fire activity of each annual fire season, analyses the causes of prominent extreme wildfire events, and projects the likelihood of similar events occurring in future climate scenarios. This, its second annual report, covers the March 2024 to February 2025 fire season. During the 2024–2025 fire season, fire-related carbon (C) emissions totalled 2.2 Pg C, 9 % above average and the sixth highest on record since 2003, despite below-average global burned area (BA). Extreme fire seasons in South America's rainforests, dry forests, and wetlands and in Canada's boreal forests pushed up the global C emissions total. Fire C emissions were over 4 times above average in Bolivia, 3 times above average in Canada, and ∼ 50 % above average in Brazil and Venezuela. Wildfires in 2024–2025 caused 100 fatalities in Nepal, 34 in South Africa, and 31 in Los Angeles, with additional fatalities reported in Canada, Côte d'Ivoire, Portugal, and Türkiye. The Eaton and Palisades fires in Southern California caused 150 000 evacuations and USD 140 billion in damages. Communities in Brazil, Bolivia, Southern California, and northern India were exposed to fine particulate matter at concentrations 13–60 times WHO's daily air quality standards.


Climate change is increasing the frequency and intensity of extreme wildfires globally

I don’t think this can be argued. Wildfires occur from the tropics to boreal forests in Siberia and boreal Canada.


During the 2024–2025 fire season, fire-related carbon (C) emissions totalled 2.2 Pg C, 9 % above average and the sixth highest on record since 2003, despite below-average global burned area (BA).

This is a positive feedback loop: AGW increased wildfire likelyhood and intensity and the fires increase CO2 emissions.


Wildfires in 2024–2025 caused 100 fatalities in Nepal, 34 in South Africa, and 31 in Los Angeles, with additional fatalities reported in Canada, Côte d'Ivoire, Portugal, and Türkiye.

Not just nature is burned in wildfires, people can be burned to death as well and this will likely increase. As well, housing and infrastructure is damaged or destroyed by wildfires.


Communities in Brazil, Bolivia, Southern California, and northern India were exposed to fine particulate matter at concentrations 13–60 times WHO's daily air quality standards.Communities in Brazil, Bolivia, Southern California, and northern India were exposed to fine particulate matter at concentrations 13–60 times WHO's daily air quality standards.

Bigger and bigger wildfires cause more and more pollution and this can travel long distances: I saw smoke from the Victorian bush fires last summer here in Tasmania. Some time before that, waiting in Pt Melbourne for the ferry I saw thick smoke wrapping buildings, highrises, in the city, from bushfires somewhere in country Victoria.



More later.
Back to top
 

OzPolitic needs a >real< Environment MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Food MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Health MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Economics MRB now!

Topics in the right MRB!
 
IP Logged
 
Jovial Monk
Moderator
*****
Offline


Dogs not cats!

Posts: 50614
Gender: male
Re: Wildfires burning larger and larger areas.
Reply #4 - Oct 22nd, 2025 at 12:09pm
 
cont’d

Quote:
We evaluated the causes and predictability of four extreme wildfire episodes from the 2024–2025 fire season, including in Northeast Amazonia (January–March 2024), the Pantanal–Chiquitano border regions of Brazil and Bolivia (August–September 2024), Southern California (January 2025), and the Congo Basin (July–August 2024).

Anomalous weather created conditions for these regional extremes, while fuel availability and human ignitions shaped spatial patterns and temporal fire dynamics.

In the three tropical regions, prolonged drought was the dominant fire enabler, whereas in California, extreme heat, wind, and antecedent fuel build-up were compounding enablers.

Our attribution analyses show that climate change made extreme fire weather in Northeast Amazonia 30–70 times more likely, increasing BA roughly 4-fold compared to a scenario without climate change. In the Pantanal–Chiquitano, fire weather was 4–5 times more likely, with 35-fold increases in BA.

Meanwhile, our analyses suggest that BA was 25 times higher in Southern California due to climate change. The Congo Basin's fire weather was 3–8 times more likely with climate change, with a 2.7-fold increase in BA.

Socioeconomic changes since the pre-industrial period, including land-use change, also likely increased BA in Northeast Amazonia.



Anomalous weather created conditions for these regional extremes, while fuel availability and human ignitions shaped spatial patterns and temporal fire dynamics.

Anomalous weather would be mainly absence of usual rain. Logging in the Amazon basin, removing deep-rooted large trees would contribute to the lack of rain. AGW may also be a cause for anomalous weather.

Human ignitions include arson but also careless use of welding and machinery in fire emergency areas. Human factors are not the only factors causing fires—dry lightning causes all fires in very remote areas.


In the three tropical regions, prolonged drought was the dominant fire enabler, whereas in California, extreme heat, wind, and antecedent fuel build-up were compounding enablers.

Because of AGW the fire season increases in length (State of the Climate report 2018) so removing fuel for wildfires by controlled burns becomes more difficult. Ways of removing wildfire fuel without burning would be nice  Smiley  What is particularly bad is fuel that stretches vertically: bark hanging from a tree, a branch broken and resting on the ground while still partially attached to a trunk etc let fires jump from the ground to the crown then spread very quickly among the tree canopy.


Our attribution analyses show that climate change made extreme fire weather in Northeast Amazonia 30–70 times more likely. . . .

Not much to say about that. Hotter weather means more dry fuel for fires, less fire resistance/more flammable vegetation.



More later.
Back to top
 

OzPolitic needs a >real< Environment MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Food MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Health MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Economics MRB now!

Topics in the right MRB!
 
IP Logged
 
Jovial Monk
Moderator
*****
Offline


Dogs not cats!

Posts: 50614
Gender: male
Re: Wildfires burning larger and larger areas.
Reply #5 - Oct 22nd, 2025 at 2:37pm
 
LOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOL!

I was right!

Desperate lee didn’t read the abstract or the paper or even the The Conversation article. The clown just comments on what I post. Guess reading science makes his head hurt.

Is Booby going to add his fatuous crap to lee’s nonsense again?
Back to top
 

OzPolitic needs a >real< Environment MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Food MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Health MRB now!
OzPolitic needs a >real< Economics MRB now!

Topics in the right MRB!
 
IP Logged
 
Page Index Toggle Pages: 1
Send Topic Print