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Is Coalition Nuclear Power Idea Electoral Suicide (Read 1322 times)
freediver
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Re: Is Coalition Nuclear Power Idea Electoral Suicide
Reply #30 - Oct 5th, 2025 at 5:02pm
 
Quote:
So Albo has nothing to do with it?


The Liberal party removed the carbon tax, committed our economy to the most expensive options for reducing GHG emissions (such as subsidies and nuclear), and initiated decades of uncertainty for investors in the power sector, before Albo became PM. Albo is of course part of the problem, to the extent that he is not part of the solution, but it is a stretch to blame him for the problems that the Liberal party are directly responsible for.

Quote:
The cost fantasy debunked....again.


Wind and solar are the cheapest energy source by a wide margin. You can build a battery to any size you want. They are easily scalable. Just build another one next door. It really is that simple.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Levelized_cost_of_electricity

...
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lee
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Re: Is Coalition Nuclear Power Idea Electoral Suicide
Reply #31 - Oct 5th, 2025 at 5:42pm
 
freediver wrote on Oct 5th, 2025 at 5:02pm:
The Liberal party removed the carbon tax, committed our economy to the most expensive options for reducing GHG emissions (such as subsidies and nuclear), and initiated decades of uncertainty for investors in the power sector, before Albo became PM.


You didn't look at the link did you? It was dated 2007. Wink

The link from Crikey 2010. All before the carbon tax.

freediver wrote on Oct 5th, 2025 at 5:02pm:
Wind and solar are the cheapest energy source by a wide margin. You can build a battery to any size you want. They are easily scalable. Just build another one next door. It really is that


For how many hours at what cost?

You don't cover what is not included in Lazard. Why is that? Wink

"Other factors would also have a potentially significant effect on the results contained herein, but have not been examined in the scope of this
current analysis. These additional factors, among others, could include: implementation and interpretation of the full scope of the IRA;
development costs of the electrolyzer and associated renewable energy generation facility; conversion, storage and transportation costs of
the hydrogen once produced; additional costs to produce alternate products (e.g., ammonia); costs to upgrade existing infrastructure to
facilitate the transportation of hydrogen (e.g., natural gas pipelines); electrical grid upgrades; costs associated with modifying end-use
infrastructure/equipment to use hydrogen as a fuel source; potential value associated with carbon-free fuel production (e.g., carbon credits,
incentives, etc.). This analysis also does not address potential environmental and social externalities, including, for example, water
consumption and the societal consequences of displacing the various conventional fuels with hydrogen that are difficult to measure
As a result of the developing nature of hydrogen production and its applications, it is important to have in mind the somewhat limited nature
of the LCOH (and related limited historical market experience and current market depth). In that regard, we are aware that, as a result of our
data collection methodology, some will have a view that electrolyzer cost and efficiency, plus electricity costs, suggest a different LCOH than
what is presented herein. The sensitivities presented in our study are intended to address, in part, such views"

Also -

"espite convergence in the LCOE of certain renewable energy and conventional generation technologies, direct comparisons must take into
account issues such as location (e.g., centralized vs. distributed) and dispatch characteristics (e.g., baseload and/or dispatchable
intermediate capacity vs. peaking or intermittent technologies"


https://www.lazard.com/media/2ozoovyg/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf
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Re: Is Coalition Nuclear Power Idea Electoral Suicide
Reply #32 - Oct 5th, 2025 at 5:45pm
 
Quote:
You didn't look at the link did you? It was dated 2007.


A lot has happened since then. Labor and the Greens introduced the carbon tax. The Liberal party removed it, committing our economy to the most expensive options for reducing GHG emissions (such as subsidies and nuclear), and continuing decades of uncertainty for investors in the power sector.
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Re: Is Coalition Nuclear Power Idea Electoral Suicide
Reply #33 - Oct 5th, 2025 at 6:07pm
 
freediver wrote on Oct 5th, 2025 at 5:45pm:
A lot has happened since then. Labor and the Greens introduced the carbon tax.


So the renewables subsidies started with Labor. Thank you.

freediver wrote on Oct 5th, 2025 at 5:45pm:
he Liberal party removed it, committing our economy to the most expensive options for reducing GHG emissions (such as subsidies and nuclear), and continuing decades of uncertainty for investors in the power sector.



So Lazard means nothing to you despite their provisos in the report. Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: Is Coalition Nuclear Power Idea Electoral Suicide
Reply #34 - Oct 5th, 2025 at 6:31pm
 
Quote:
So the renewables subsidies started with Labor.


Pretty much every option for reducing GHG emissions started with Labor and the Greens. Nuclear is the only exception I can think of. I am not blaming the Liberals for starting anything, so try reading it again. I am blaming them for delaying everything and giving us decades of uncertainty, causing underinvestment in the power sector, causing the high prices we see today. I am also blaming them removing the cheapest and most economically efficient way of reducing GHG emissions and leaving us only with the most expensive options, then trying to force the most expensive one of all upon us (assuming they would actually keep their promise and not design it to fail so we waste another decade or too). I am blaming them for a colossal mismanagement of the economy in what should have been a simple, steady, seamless transition over several decades.

In the absence of a carbon tax, subsidies may well be the next best option. It is a bit hypocritical to blame Labor for giving us expensive subsidies when the Liberals got rid of the cheaper option. Who knows if we would still even have subsidies if we had stuck with the carbon tax.
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Re: Is Coalition Nuclear Power Idea Electoral Suicide
Reply #35 - Oct 5th, 2025 at 6:31pm
 
From Lazard -

"Lazard’s Long Duration Energy Storage Analysis—Executive Summary"

...

"At increasingly high wind and solar penetrations, there will be a need for resources that can provide capacity over longer durations in order to
meet overall capacity and reliability requirements
• LDES technologies could potentially serve this function and enable higher levels of decarbonized power generation as a substitute for traditional "peaking" resources
• Market structures and pricing signals may be established/adopted to reflect identified value of longer duration storage resources
• LDES technologies will compete with, among other things, green hydrogen (generation and storage), natural gas generators with carbon capture systems and advanced nuclear reactors to provide capacity to a decarbonized power grid (assuming viability/acceptability of the relevant LDES technologies)
Overview of Analysis
• The illustrative analysis presented herein includes non-lithium technologies and compares the levelized costs of several flow battery cases along with a compressed air energy system (“CAES”) case
• All systems are 100 MW, 8 hour systems with one cycle per day at maximum charge and depth of discharge (maximum stored energy output given round trip efficiency)
• Subsidized costs include the impact of the IRA. The IRA is comprehensive legislation that is still being implemented and remains subject to interpretation—important elements of the IRA are not included in our analysis and could impact outcome

ibid
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Re: Is Coalition Nuclear Power Idea Electoral Suicide
Reply #36 - Oct 5th, 2025 at 6:33pm
 
freediver wrote on Oct 5th, 2025 at 6:31pm:
Pretty much every option for reducing GHG emissions started with Labor and the Greens.


And yet there is no case for reducing GHG emissions.

But perhaps you can cite some? Wink
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Re: Is Coalition Nuclear Power Idea Electoral Suicide
Reply #37 - Oct 5th, 2025 at 6:36pm
 
Quote:
And yet there is no case for reducing GHG emissions.


And this is what the Liberal rusted-ons fall back on. The Liberals say they are committed to reducing GHG emissions. Every serious party does. But they mismanage the transition, mismanage the economy, and are now trying to make it even worse. And what do their followers say? That's OK because the Liberal party has been lying to us about the need to reduce GHG emissions in the first place. The liberal party is one huge mirror house of lies and incompetence, but that's OK because the lies cancel out the incompetence.

Have you considered applying for a job in their media room?

Quote:
with one cycle per day at maximum charge and depth of discharge


Why would you have anything else with a solar powered system?
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Re: Is Coalition Nuclear Power Idea Electoral Suicide
Reply #38 - Oct 5th, 2025 at 7:01pm
 
freediver wrote on Oct 5th, 2025 at 6:36pm:
And this is what the Liberal rusted-ons fall back on.


And so you have no science on your side. Thanks for that. Wink

freediver wrote on Oct 5th, 2025 at 6:36pm:
Why would you have anything else with a solar powered system?



Because there are cloudy days or more, when it won't even reach 30% capacity factor. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Good to know you don't understand solar energy and intermittency.  Roll Eyes
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Re: Is Coalition Nuclear Power Idea Electoral Suicide
Reply #39 - Oct 5th, 2025 at 7:04pm
 
Quote:
And so you have no science on your side. Thanks for that.


That is what you took from every serious party agreeing we need to reduce GHG emissions? Have you completely given up arguing that the Liberals are god economic managers because you think it makes them look better to say they are lying to us about the science?

Quote:
Because there are cloudy days or more, when it won't even reach 30% capacity factor.


Even then it will still be cheaper than nuclear. In addition to actually existing.
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Re: Is Coalition Nuclear Power Idea Electoral Suicide
Reply #40 - Oct 5th, 2025 at 7:33pm
 
freediver wrote on Oct 5th, 2025 at 7:04pm:
That is what you took from every serious party agreeing we need to reduce GHG emissions?


Yes. And consensus is politics not science. Wink

freediver wrote on Oct 5th, 2025 at 7:04pm:
Have you completely given up arguing that the Liberals are god economic managers because you think it makes them look better to say they are lying to us about the science?



Talk about taking a long bow to something. They are politicians. Most don't have any science.

But perhaps you can tell us the truth about "the science"? Wink

freediver wrote on Oct 5th, 2025 at 7:04pm:
Even then it will still be cheaper than nuclear.



If it is not generating enough is it still cheap? Shocked
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Re: Is Coalition Nuclear Power Idea Electoral Suicide
Reply #41 - Oct 5th, 2025 at 7:38pm
 
Quote:
Yes. And consensus is politics not science.


Consensus is integral to science. That's the only way we know what the current scientific paradigm says.

Politics on the other hand is not consensus. Name one issue, other than the need to reduce GHG emissions, that the serious parties all agree on?

Quote:
They are politicians.


So you are claiming that the coalition is lying to us about the need to reduce GHG emission? Why even bother arguing the details of how to do it then?

Quote:
If it is not generating enough is it still cheap?


If it is not generating enough, you need more of them. And yes, if it is still cheaper than nuclear at 30% capacity, it is still cheaper than nuclear.
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Re: Is Coalition Nuclear Power Idea Electoral Suicide
Reply #42 - Oct 5th, 2025 at 8:30pm
 
If nuclear energy doesn't stack up economically, why is it a risk to remove the ban?

This is what I have never understood when Bowen & Co. say they aren't opposed to nuclear power (e.g. submarines, other G20 nations using it), but say it " doesn't stack up economically".

How do they know unless they remove the ban and then remove all the renewable subsidies and "picking winners" government investments.

Labor is more pro-coal than the coalition.

The coalition at least had a policy of replacing coal-fired power stations with nuclear power stations at the same sites. An actual policy of shutting down coal.

Labor? Every time we get close to a date of shutting down a major coal-fired power station, for example, Eraring in New South Wales, the State governments step in, strike a deal with the operator to keep it running.

Because unlike Bowen, the State governments will be the ones held responsible for blackouts, not him. They will be the ones responsible for passengers being trapped in railway tunnels when the blackout happens, not Bowen. They will be the ones held responsible when the backup diesel generators in hospitals run out, not Bowen.
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Re: Is Coalition Nuclear Power Idea Electoral Suicide
Reply #43 - Oct 5th, 2025 at 8:39pm
 
Quote:
If nuclear energy doesn't stack up economically, why is it a risk to remove the ban?


Because, as the Liberal party keeps demonstrating to us, we cannot trust politicians to act in an economically rational manner. The Liberal party removed the cheapest and most economically efficient mechanism to reduce GHG emissions, and is now telling us we should go with the most expensive option available.

In any case, why does it matter? It's one and the same question. If we build nuclear power plants, we need to remove the ban first. If we are not going to build them, it's a purely academic question.
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Re: Is Coalition Nuclear Power Idea Electoral Suicide
Reply #44 - Oct 6th, 2025 at 9:27am
 
freediver wrote on Oct 5th, 2025 at 8:39pm:
Quote:
If nuclear energy doesn't stack up economically, why is it a risk to remove the ban?


Because, as the Liberal party keeps demonstrating to us, we cannot trust politicians to act in an economically rational manner. The Liberal party removed the cheapest and most economically efficient mechanism to reduce GHG emissions, and is now telling us we should go with the most expensive option available.

In any case, why does it matter? It's one and the same question. If we build nuclear power plants, we need to remove the ban first. If we are not going to build them, it's a purely academic question.


Sounds like you're ideologically opposed to nuclear, not economically. But like Bowen & Co. use an economic argument to maintain the ban.

It makes no sense.

Remove the ban and remove all subsidies for energy generation and storage. Then let the market decide.
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