freediver
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This is a risk raised by Yuval Noah Harari in his book that I am reading - 21 lessons for the 21st century. He does not provide a clear answer, but does highlight a fundamental difference with what has happened in the past. Until recently, machines replaced human labour, but not cognitive ability. Thus new jobs tended to be created as fast as old jobs were destroyed, and now fewer people (but still plenty) work in manual labour.
AI threatens to take a lot of jobs that are cognitive in nature, including the ones that require you to interact with people and perceive and respond to emotions. This happened decades ago to some extent with computers, which put roomfulls of accountants out of business, as well as plenty of draftsmen. AI threatens to add the ability to search for and interpret information and present it to people in plain language to those skills that get handed over to computers.
A deeper question is, does it matter? People who work in the most cognitively intense jobs, for example lawyers, doctors and engineers, these days often work absurd hours. If they could cut back from 50 hours a week to 25 hours a week, would that be such a bad thing - for them and for us?
These days, modern technology provides people in 3rd word countries with access to enormous quantities of medical information, as well as AI servants to interpret it for them. This could bring a revolution in medical care to them - at least for those aspects that do not require expensive machinery.
Also, will it stop people working as hard? In the west, people who do the more boring or manually intensive work tend to work shorter hours. They are more likely to stick to 40 hours a week. Professionals often work far longer, not because their kids are going hungry, if they even have any, and probably not because they are struggling to pay the mortgage (though plenty buy a house that is far in excess of what they need). Rather, it is because they are interested in their work, highly competitive, have no social life, and/or they are just plain greedy. Will the future be ruled by highly paid psychopaths?
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