The ALP has won the lower house by a wide margin, so will not need the Greens or the independents to form government, though they will need Greens votes in the Senate.

The Greens have suffered a loss in the lower house, with only one seat won in QLD, down from 4 in the 2022 election, and 1 in the 2019 election. They have a firm grip as a third party in the Senate. As with other recent elections, they won one of the six seats allocated to each state (not the ACT or NT).

The other independents have been big winners, with 11 lower house seats so far claimed. While they will be on the back bench this term, the next time there is a close election it may be a group of independents who decide which party forms government. Expect to hear a lot from them in the press this term.

So who are the independents? It is hard to find a convenient summary online, so here is my own rundown. There are 9 teals (candidates supported by climate 200) in the lower house, plus 4 others:















(more details on candidates below)

An additional three teals were leading that early count, but dropped behind on late votes. I have left them in the list below, but not above.

The vast majority of the independents are left wing or centrist, and want stronger action on climate change. The possible exceptions are the three non-Teal/Green candidates:
Dai Le is generally in favour of climate change mitigation, but opposes strict targets. She is in Labor's heartland and would be expected to align more closely with Labor.
Andrew Gee is generally in favour of climate change mitigation, but opposes strict targets. He is ex-Nationals.
Given that all the major parties support some kind of action on climate change, and pretty much every major and minor party is claiming the 'cost of living' ground, the left/right divide is a bit blurred at the moment. Check the details. A lot of the candidates up for re-election make their parliamentary voting history available. The divide on climate change can be fairly subtle and tends to fall into two camps - stronger/more action or with specific targets, versus a sceptical/conservative/evidence based approach, or one that is careful to protect our interests and reject specific targets. Basically, less vs more action, with a variety of proposed strategies. Nuclear tends to be a binary divider along the left/right divide.

Combined with the massive swing to Labor and the strength of the Greens in the Senate, this is not looking good for the coalition. If they continue to ignore public opinion on issues like climate change and nuclear they may well end up a minor party.

All of the teals listed above are women, except for Andrew Wilkie, as well as 2 of the other 4.

---

Details on each candidate:

Jessie Price in Bean, ACT (Canberra South), 49.7% vs ALP
Teal, lost on late votes, but with a 12.6% swing

Nicolette Boele in Bradfield NSW (Sydney north shore), 50.0% vs LNP
Won by only 26 votes on the recunt, 2.5% swing
Left wing, focussing on cost of living and climate change
https://www.nicoletteboele.com.au/my_priorities (teal background on website)

Andrew Gee in Calare, NSW (rural), 56.8% vs National
Winning from the Nationals with a 22.2% swing
Ex-Nationals MP focussing on rural medical services
https://www.andrewgeemp.com.au/

Andrew Wilkie in Clark, TAS (Hobart), 70.4% vs ALP
Retaining with an impressive 70.4% of the vote, but a 0.4% swing to Labor
Left wing, with a full set of policies
https://andrewwilkie.org/where-i-stand/ (supported by climate 200, but not using teal colours)

Kate Chaney in Curtin, WA (Perth beachside), 53.3% vs Liberal
Retaining with a 2.0% gain
Left wing, focussing on cost of living and climate change
https://www.katechaney.com.au/ (teal background on website)

Ben Smith in Flinders, Vic, 47.7% vis Lib
always behind, but with a 3.9% swing

Dai Le in Fowler, NSW (Sydney western suburbs), 52.7% vs Labor
Retaining with a 0.9% gain, in ALP's heartland
Focussing on government services
https://daile.com.au/

Kate Hulett in Freemantle, WA (Perth beachside), 49.3% vs Labor
Lost on late votes, but with a 16.2% swing

Zoe Daniel in Goldstein, VIC (Melbourne bayside), 49.9% vs Liberal
Liberal gain from the independent with a 3.3% swing

Helen Haines in Indi, VIC (rural), 58.6% vs Liberal
Retaining but with a 0.3% swing to Liberal
Left wing with a focus on regional issues
https://www.helenhaines.org/ (supported by climate 200, but not using teal colours)

Bob Katter in Kennedy, QLD (rural), 65.8% vs LNP
Retaining with a 2.7% gain
Katter's Australia Party
Conservative, pushing castle law (you are allowed to shoot intruders  )
https://kattersaustralianparty.org.au/home/

Monique Ryan in Kooyong, VIC (Melbourne inner), 50.7% vs Liberal
Retaining, but with a 1.5% swing towards the Liberals
Left wing, focussing on climate change and cost of living
https://www.moniqueryan.com.au/ (teal background on website)

Sorry, FD, did you just say left wing?

Oo-er, sounds a bit rude.

So how come you think everybody's left wing?

Do you think the wings have changed sides? Or maybe someone else?

You?

Updated with the latest results. 80% of the vote has been counted.

Three of the teals have fallen just behind. The rest look safe, though two are on only 50.5%. A lot of the late votes (postal votes?) seem to be going against the independents. There is another teal independent on 48.4% - Ben Smith in Flinders, VIC. Unlikely to win, but has a 4.6% swing away from Liberal, so in with a chance next time. The Greens also seem to have the lower house seat of Ryan in the bag, with 56.5%.

Karnal, if you are trying to say something, perhaps you should just say it?

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-05-08/bean-electorate-too-tight-postal-votes/103907506

Referring to one of the electorates:

Quote:

Fixed the Sydney thing.

The teals are usually described as socially liberal. Pretty much the opposite of conservative. The big disctinction between them and the greens is on economics. The greens are basically socialists on a lot of economic issues, whereas the teals are more centrist. So, vote teals to get environmentalism (focussed on climate change) without the communism.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Teal_independents

Quote:

“doctors’ wives” hmmm rings a bell.

Independent for Riverina declares political independence from Australia.

Daves2017 wrote on May 8^th, 2025 at 10:27pm:


And a Dome. A beautiful iron dome against illegal immigrating missiles from the Wimmera in Victoria.

Aquarius wrote on May 8^th, 2025 at 5:58pm:


Just shows the type of people you choose to live among.

Gnads wrote on May 9^th, 2025 at 12:39pm:


I didn't choose these type of people!  I've lived here all my life but "they" chose us - a huge ongoing influx of Eastern Suburbs residents that have been buying up relentlessly on our "insular peninsula."  Plus the South Africans that have been moving down here from St Ives.   

I'm blaming them. 

Aquarius wrote on May 9^th, 2025 at 12:14pm:


Again, they are the opposite of conservative values. They openly paint themselves as socially liberal and environmentally progressive, particularly on climate change. The only thing about them that is conservative is their economic views. That is why they are taking Liberal seats. People want economically literate politicians, but not at the cost of scientific illiteracy.

Also, if you look at their policy platform, cost of living dominates every single one, usually even over climate change. I do not recall a single candidate, from major or minor parties or the teals, who did not have a significant portion of their policy dedicated to cost of living, including housing.

Also, they are not in the seats that are doing it tough.

The teals are not independents, they are a party that act as shills for the renewable energy lobby. Holmes a court's whores. 

Likely, they're the political granddaughters of the 'doctor's wives' who had a strong hand in founding the Liberal Party of Menzies.

Just after WW2, The Australian Women's National League, a powerful conservative women's organisation, merged with the new [Liberal] party.

Updated with the latest results.

I added the Greens seat, which has now been called, to the list, as well as Bob Katter.

One more teal has fallen behind. One of them is behind by only 80 votes.

Updated with the final results, unless there is a challenge.

Gnads wrote on Jun 12^th, 2025 at 1:43pm:


Would you like to reveal your nutty conspiracy theory for why the public all happened to vote for people pushing the same policy platform? The policy that the people had been demanding from the Liberals for several decades, to no avail?

If there's a conspiracy in there somewhere, it needs to explain why it took so long for this to happen.