MeisterEckhart wrote on May 11
th, 2025 at 10:30am:
To summarise Sir Niall Ferguson’s book, Colossus: The Rise and Fall of the American Empire, Ferguson argues that the United States has become a global empire, comparable to the British Empire, by, among other things, establishing global trade and world markets with itself at the centre, using military projection of power, but lacks the long-term commitment of personnel and resources needed to manage its empire.
That, while the American empire has a colossus of potential, it is also at significant risk of self-inflicted overreach and decline.
Presciently, he warned that domestic financial problems, rather than external threats, would be the primary cause of the US empire's downfall.
The issue Sir Niall Ferguson highlights with the US administration of its empire is that, unlike the British, who had the Scots and Celts willing to leave Britain and live permanently in imperial outposts, Americans expect to be back stateside after they've completed their relatively short tours of duty.
That, while it has fully-equipped foreign-soil bases capable of prosecuting a major war and governing a foreign country, US personnel's desire to return after only a couple of years means that it's less effective at establishing stable, long-term US-friendly political systems and regimes. US individual personnel just do not spend enough time in US outposts to become as effective local administrators as the British.
This is evidenced by American impatience with Iraq. After the Iraqi defeat and the US decapitation of the Baath Party, Americans expected Iraqis just to get on with it alone and establish a Western-style democracy - a task that might take 50+ years, if at all.
Then in Afghanistan, where the US just walked away, having muddled through for 20 years in a country that has a historical reputation of being unconquerable... and nevermind even being there for 50 years.
Fergusson has paralleled Caesar Trajan's imperial overreach in Mesopotamia (Iraq), and Hadrian's withdrawal, having acknowledged that overreach, with the US invasion of and its disillusionment with Iraq.