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Coalition To Dump Australia's Climate Target (Read 8779 times)
John Smith
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Re: Coalition To Dump Australia's Climate Target
Reply #165 - Jun 19th, 2024 at 1:40pm
 
Captain Nemo wrote on Jun 19th, 2024 at 1:38pm:
John Smith wrote on Jun 19th, 2024 at 1:31pm:
Mr potato Head doesn't care about nuclear.  This is just his latest tactic to try and extend coal. In 20 yrs time,  when they're still waiting for the first nuclear plant to go live,  they will be paying billions to coal to keep propping it up


It is a given that most coal-fired power plants will be gone over the next few decades. I think it is about 90% of the generating power from coal powered plants that is slated to be removed from the grid over the medium term. Yes, some are going to be given a slightly longer extension as it has become clear that the grid is facing black-outs or brown-outs given the intermittent nature of renewable sources. No politician (not even Dutton) is going to run on a policy of extending coal-powered electricity plants indefinitely.



No one said indefinitely.
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Our esteemed leader:
I hope that bitch who was running their brothels for them gets raped with a cactus.
 
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Coalition To Dump Australia's Climate Target
Reply #166 - Jun 19th, 2024 at 1:41pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 18th, 2024 at 4:58pm:
The AR6 Synthesis Report disagrees with the Physical Science Basis. But we know you don't do science. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


So, disagreement among the scientists re AGW? But there is no disagreement  the filthy polluting fossil industry (not counting  CO2) has to go. And the majority of scientists are definitely on board with the AGW-CO2 proposition. 

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So tell us about this Climate emergency, you haven't yet, just offered dribs and drabs of BS. Wink

See above; the majority disagrees with you. 

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The Synthesis Report is used for the SPM. The Summary Pack for Morons, otherwise known as the Summary for Policymakers. And they go through the report line by line and decide what should be said. And that's precisely what they do. It does not reflect the science. Wink

"The Summary for policymakers (SPM) [1] is a summary of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reports intended to aid policymakers. The form is approved line by line by governments: "Negotiations occur over wording to ensure accuracy, balance, clarity of message, and relevance to understanding and policy.""

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IPCC_Summary_for_Policymakers

So much for AGW scientists. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


What part of this don't you understand:

"Negotiations occur over wording to ensure accuracy, balance, clarity of message, and relevance to understanding and policy

Obviously, given disagreement over urgency, negotiations to accurately reflect the science are necessary. 


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Ah the unknown experts, with unknown qualifications. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


No, people who have passed necessary exams.

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But you seem to know more about Sky News tha me. Why is that? Wink


Because microsoft news keeps me up to date with Sky News nonsense,  daily.


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Captain Nemo
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Re: Coalition To Dump Australia's Climate Target
Reply #167 - Jun 19th, 2024 at 1:47pm
 
I think the sensible mix will be: Solar / battery; Wind; Gas and Nuclear for the foreseeable future.

I love renewables myself, especially Solar and battery storage, but for heavy industry, I reckon "base-load" is the go.

Solar / wind and battery storage just doesn't cut it on an industrial scale.

For houses? .. fine - and I have invested over $20,000 on my own home to harness Solar and use battery storage.

On a small to medium scale it works pretty well.

Heavy industry needs a lot of electricity 24/7. I reckon nuclear generation in the mix has merit.

This is a big risk politically for Dutton but I think the tide is turning in favor of a more balanced approach to electricity generation.
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Coalition To Dump Australia's Climate Target
Reply #168 - Jun 19th, 2024 at 1:48pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 19th, 2024 at 12:31pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 18th, 2024 at 4:43pm:
Climate Change 2023 finds that, despite progress in policies and legislation around climate mitigation since the previous such report in 2014, it's “likely that warming will exceed 1.5°C during the 21st century”.20 Mar 2023

ie, same conclusions as the UN NDC report.



BTW - You do know the 1.5C target was the result of COP21, The Paris Agreement, made by governments, not scientists?

So where are these AGW scientists you keep spruiking about but never name?


Poor lee: the Paris agreement followed the science which says 1.5C  is the limit we cannot exceed. 
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Coalition To Dump Australia's Climate Target
Reply #169 - Jun 19th, 2024 at 2:05pm
 
Frank wrote on Jun 18th, 2024 at 5:52pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 18th, 2024 at 1:50pm:
people who are elected by the non-scientific electorate ..... or   ...... representatives chosen by consensus    


What is the difference? Whose consensus are you talking about if not the consensus of an electorate?



Chosen by a consensus among educated peers, taking  account of the abilities of the chosen individual's expertise.

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And if not of the electorate - who gets to be in on the consensus and who is left out?
How is it decided whether you are in our out of consenting?


See above. A one-party consensus meritocracy is an alternative to blind leading the blind 2- party adversarial elections. 

btw, I have heard some experts today disagreeing over the cost of nuclear energy, so that's where the debate should be continued and resolved - ie, among the experts.

5 minute news and media interviews with politicians won't cut the mustard.
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Coalition To Dump Australia's Climate Target
Reply #170 - Jun 19th, 2024 at 2:35pm
 
The most remarkable thing about the Coalition's nuclear policy is its funding via taxpayer money.

After 4 decades of conservative post-Thatcher privatization policy (admittedly followed by both sides of politics) which has failed dismally to provide cheap electricicty and has sold-off the nation's public housing stock,  resulting in the current housing crisis,  the Libs have now decided to revert to using  taxpayer money to pay for it.

...the height of hypocrisy. 
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Frank
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Re: Coalition To Dump Australia's Climate Target
Reply #171 - Jun 19th, 2024 at 2:38pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 19th, 2024 at 2:05pm:
Frank wrote on Jun 18th, 2024 at 5:52pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 18th, 2024 at 1:50pm:
people who are elected by the non-scientific electorate ..... or   ...... representatives chosen by consensus    


What is the difference? Whose consensus are you talking about if not the consensus of an electorate?



Chosen by a consensus among educated peers, taking  account of the abilities of the chosen individual's expertise.

Quote:
And if not of the electorate - who gets to be in on the consensus and who is left out?
How is it decided whether you are in our out of consenting?


See above. A one-party consensus meritocracy is an alternative to blind leading the blind 2- party adversarial elections. 

btw, I have heard some experts today disagreeing over the cost of nuclear energy, so that's where the debate should be continued and resolved - ie, among the experts.

5 minute news and media interviews with politicians won't cut the mustard.


So an oligarchy of self-appointed experts.

In modern times, “oligarchy” is a term generally applied to China and Iran. China describes itself as a communist “people’s republic,” but leadership of the country has been maintained by a select few for several decades. Members of the oligarchy have included those who were part of the Communist Party and the revolution in 1949, as well as those who came into wealth and power since the opening of China to the global market in the 1980s (often descendants of the early revolutionaries). This system has helped the wealthy and powerful maintain their control, while providing relatively little power or freedom to most citizens.
https://education.nationalgeographic.org/resource/oligarchy/
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Estragon: I can’t go on like this.
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Frank
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Re: Coalition To Dump Australia's Climate Target
Reply #172 - Jun 19th, 2024 at 2:39pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 19th, 2024 at 2:35pm:
The most remarkable thing about the Coalition's nuclear policy is its funding via taxpayer money.

After 4 decades of conservative post-Thatcher privatization policy (admittedly followed by both sides of politics) which has failed dismally to provide cheap electricicty and has sold-off the nation's public housing stock,  resulting in the current housing crisis,  the Libs have now decided to revert to using  taxpayer money to pay for it.

...the height of hypocrisy. 

Mais non.

They will just print the money.

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JC Denton
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Re: Coalition To Dump Australia's Climate Target
Reply #173 - Jun 19th, 2024 at 2:45pm
 
maybe if we actually wanted to mitigate our impact on global carbon emissions, and we should, we should stop importing millions of people from low per capita emitter countries as the first step. there's no reconciling our putative ecological goals with the notion of a big australia. all this talk about our future energy mix would be null and irrelevant if our population was small and not eternally growing.
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lee
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Re: Coalition To Dump Australia's Climate Target
Reply #174 - Jun 19th, 2024 at 4:11pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 19th, 2024 at 1:48pm:
Poor lee: the Paris agreement followed the science which says 1.5C  is the limit we cannot exceed. 



Actually not true.

"Beginning in 2013 and ending at the COP21 in Paris in 2015, the first review period of the long-term global goal largely consisted of the Structured Expert Dialogue (SED). This was a fact-finding, face-to-face exchange of views between invited experts and UNFCCC delegates. The final report of the SED3 concluded that ‘in some regions and vulnerable ecosystems, high risks are projected even for warming above 1.5°C’. "

https://www.ipcc.ch/sr15/faq/faq-chapter-1/

No mention there about AGW scientists or any scientists.

Nor is there any mention of scientists in the SED3 report being part of the panel.

https://unfccc.int/files/science/workstreams/the_2013-2015_review/application/pd...

So you still haven't established that there were scientists AGW or otherwise. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

I found the invited experts. One Professor Patre Petra Tshakert - a professor in media, social justice. Roll Eyes
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« Last Edit: Jun 19th, 2024 at 4:44pm by lee »  
 
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Re: Coalition To Dump Australia's Climate Target
Reply #175 - Jun 19th, 2024 at 4:47pm
 
I am a bleeding heart lefty and as much of a realist as I can be, BUT, I really hate Labor's smacking response of calling this "risky reactors".

There is no need to junk the tech on those grounds, especially after we know traditional coal generation kills far more than Nuclear.

Drop that bullshit.

There are plenty of reasons to challenge the policy, don't try to be Trump.  You lot, Labor, and especially Bowen, while he might pronounce nuclear like Trump, he's no Trump.  You don't have the charisma or the brain dead supporters to pull that bullshit.

It's still a bad idea, but shoot it down for legit reasons.

Lack of Details: The plan was announced without providing essential information such as costs, detailed modelling, and specific energy output (gigawatts or megawatts).

Delayed Implementation: Even under the proposed ambitious timeline, nuclear reactors would not be operational until 2035-2037, making it one of the fastest nuclear rollouts globally in a country without an existing nuclear industry.

Site Issues: Of the seven proposed sites, six owners are not interested in hosting nuclear power plants. Additionally, most sites are in states with bans on nuclear power that are unlikely to be overturned.

Risks: The plan is deemed risky because it may delay investment in renewable energy, prolong reliance on aging coal-fired power stations, and is considered expensive and slow to build.

The alternative proposed is to continue with the current plan aiming for 82% renewable energy, which is cheaper, quicker to implement, and has already shown significant progress.
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ProudKangaroo
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Re: Coalition To Dump Australia's Climate Target
Reply #176 - Jun 19th, 2024 at 4:50pm
 
The Libs plan also raises more questions,

Cost Details: What are the estimated costs associated with implementing the nuclear energy plan, including construction, operation, and maintenance of nuclear reactors?

Energy Output: How many gigawatts or megawatts of energy will the nuclear reactors add to the Australian energy system?

Timelines and Feasibility: Given the ambitious timeline, what is the detailed schedule for the development and commissioning of nuclear reactors by 2035-2037?

Site Selection: How will the Liberal Party address the lack of interest from six out of the seven proposed site owners in hosting nuclear power plants?

State Bans on Nuclear Power: How does the Liberal Party plan to overcome the existing state bans on nuclear power in New South Wales, Victoria, and Queensland?

Community Opposition: What is the plan if local communities oppose the establishment of nuclear reactors, and how will the party secure alternative sites?

Reliance on Coal: How does the plan ensure that Australia will not have to rely on aging and increasingly unreliable coal-fired power stations for longer periods?

Economic Viability: Considering the high costs and long construction times, how does the Liberal Party justify nuclear power as a viable economic option compared to renewable energy sources?

Safety and Risk Management: What measures will be in place to address the risks associated with nuclear energy, including safety protocols and emergency response plans?

Regulatory Approvals: What is the strategy for obtaining the necessary regulatory approvals at both federal and state levels?

Long-term Sustainability: How does the plan fit into Australia’s long-term energy strategy, particularly in relation to sustainability and carbon emission targets?

Reliance on Coal, that's the biggest standout, it's the whole motivation behind this...
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Coalition To Dump Australia's Climate Target
Reply #177 - Jun 20th, 2024 at 11:53am
 
lee wrote on Jun 19th, 2024 at 4:11pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 19th, 2024 at 1:48pm:
Poor lee: the Paris agreement followed the science which says 1.5C  is the limit we cannot exceed. 



Actually not true.

"Beginning in 2013 and ending at the COP21 in Paris in 2015, the first review period of the long-term global goal largely consisted of the Structured Expert Dialogue (SED). This was a fact-finding, face-to-face exchange of views between invited experts and UNFCCC delegates. The final report of the SED3 concluded that ‘in some regions and vulnerable ecosystems, high risks are projected even for warming above 1.5°C’. "

https://www.ipcc.ch/sr15/faq/faq-chapter-1/

No mention there about AGW scientists or any scientists.

Nor is there any mention of scientists in the SED3 report being part of the panel.

https://unfccc.int/files/science/workstreams/the_2013-2015_review/application/pd...

So you still haven't established that there were scientists AGW or otherwise. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

I found the invited experts. One Professor Patre Petra Tshakert - a professor in media, social justice. Roll Eyes


"Invited experts" - more thn the one you found - in AGW science, and advising the summary IPCC reports.
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lee
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Re: Coalition To Dump Australia's Climate Target
Reply #178 - Jun 20th, 2024 at 11:57am
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Jun 20th, 2024 at 11:53am:
"Invited experts" - more thn the one you found - in AGW science, and advising the summary IPCC reports.


Invited experts has no known AGW affiliates. So we had an "expert" on social justice. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

BTW - There was also one with Special Education studies. Another not an AGW or any scientist. Wink

Lars-Otto Rierson an expert on phytoplankton. Another not an AGW scientist.
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« Last Edit: Jun 20th, 2024 at 12:02pm by lee »  
 
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Re: Coalition To Dump Australia's Climate Target
Reply #179 - Jun 20th, 2024 at 12:20pm
 
ProudKangaroo wrote on Jun 19th, 2024 at 4:50pm:
The Libs plan also raises more questions,

Cost Details: What are the estimated costs associated with implementing the nuclear energy plan, including construction, operation, and maintenance of nuclear reactors?


I've heard on radio today c.$50-100 billion, probably similar to 2 Suncable-scale  developments  with connections to 2 Snowy 2.0 long-term storage equivalents. 

Guess what: if the AGW scientists  could actually prove that 2050 is the deadline to totally exit fossils,  then governments all around the world would find the money immediately (with free treasury-issued public money, rather than private-sector debt-based bank money.

Just so you know.

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Energy Output: How many gigawatts or megawatts of energy will the nuclear reactors add to the Australian energy system?


Baseload nuclear - with output of say 10% of the renewables output from that outlined above, might be sufficient  insurance against the possibility of long term storage failure in the case of unusually long periods of wind-less and cloudy weather. But we have to build both  to find out, since  nuclear is a long time away even if we start its development now. 

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Timelines and Feasibility: Given the ambitious timeline, what is the detailed schedule for the development and commissioning of nuclear reactors by 2035-2037?


Depends how urgent society  thinks it is.

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Site Selection: How will the Liberal Party address the lack of interest from six out of the seven proposed site owners in hosting nuclear power plants?


Dutton says the Commonwealth has the  power to compulsorily acquire, with just compensation. Free marketeers won't like anything about it at all.

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Reliance on Coal, that's the biggest standout, it's the whole motivation behind this...


Most likely; it's a pity the AGW science can't prove the deadline for exit from fossils is 2050. 
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« Last Edit: Jun 20th, 2024 at 12:35pm by thegreatdivide »  
 
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