It's a grind alright.
Russia's mass-production numbers show a severe lack of quality which luckily for Ukraine's less amount, gives them something to go on.
Russia has always relied on 'mass production' and sometimes it just doesn't work.

I hope Trump can force a settlement early next year.

JC Denton wrote on May 19^th, 2024 at 1:13pm:


Yes, but I do like Trump's disdain for war (if I understand his position correctly).

Unlike the commedian Zelensky.   

chimera wrote on May 19^th, 2024 at 2:02pm:


it won't matter eitherway chimera besides the final causality rate as ukraine isn't going to win long-term

why don't you volunteer if you care so much

thegreatdivide wrote on May 19^th, 2024 at 1:17pm:


Are you suggesting Zelensky enjoys having the Russians invade?

The US has spent about $175 billion supporting Ukraine since February 2022. Far more than they spend supporting Israel.

JC Denton wrote on May 19^th, 2024 at 1:00pm:


What makes you think the Russian figures are more reliable, or that the Ukrainian ministry of defence is the source for all the other estimates?

Russia has two offensives going already, one towards Karkhiv.

freediver wrote on May 19^th, 2024 at 3:32pm:


i didn't cite russian figures, because i don't treat official ministry of defense statements on eitherside as reliable (and nor should you). i cited mediazona which is a BBC affiliated organisation. and it has a clear methodology for determining russian casualties based on actual empirical evidence (looking at obituaries, social media posts of soldiers families, funeral schedules, graveyards, etc). it does this directly to get around the fact that both sides are obviously going to be lying about their own casualties and inflating those of the other side. the casualty rate provided by mediazona is somewhat of an underestimate though as it doesn't include the DPR/LPR militias etc, so it's likely to be a bit higher than that, but not much more.

it would be extremely unlikely ukraine is inflicting more casualties than russia is, as russia has far more artillery and firing capacity, and artillery is the most deadly weapon on a modern battlefield. even if ukraine was 'breaking even' casuality wise (unlikely) that is disasterous for them as the overall russian manpower pool is much greater. ukraine needs to be inflicting a casuality ratio that even the wehrmacht was barely capable of achieving, and the wehrmacht were the most operationally effective army in modern history and perhaps all history; to pretend the ukrainians are somehow as good as the werhmacht was relative to the modern russian army despite having obviously less artillery, no strategic rocket force and a mostly non-operational air force is silly. it's just not likely, though it makes a pretty good story (and that's the whole point).