quote author=Jovial_Abbott link=1758632781/0#0 date=1758632781]
Quote:Dangerous climate change threatens Northern Australia’s big ‘food bowl’ dreams
Australia’s worrying future under climate change was laid bare last week when the first National Climate Risk Assessment was released. It revealed extreme heat, fires, floods, droughts and coastal inundation already threatens lives and livelihoods – and will wreak further havoc in coming decades.
Much media attention focused on the effects in the continent’s south, where most Australians live. But the assessment found Northern Australia will be hardest hit on many fronts, including extreme heat.
This has major implications. Big plans are afoot to turn Northern Australia into Asia’s “food bowl”, as part of broader development for the region. It would involve building large-scale irrigation, dam and water infrastructure to increase agricultural production, create jobs and boost local economies.
But any discussion about transforming Northern Australia must confront the climate hazards threatening the region’s prosperity.
I have not had a detailed, in depth look at the National Climate Risk Assessment but I will and report here. We know from
State of the Climate reports that the north will get hotter and wetter.
Quote:What’s the food bowl idea?
Northern Australia comprises roughly 53% of Australia’s land mass.
Turning the region into a food bowl would involve irrigating savannas and other ecosystems across northern parts of Western Australia, the Northern Territory and Queensland. The concept
dates back decades, but gained momentum in 2015 when the Abbott government released a
national white paper on developing Northern Australia.
But AGW is going to potentially cause major problems to this concept—read the rest of the article.
https://theconversation.com/dangerous-climate-change-threatens-northern-australi... [/quote]
Ah the models. Bow down before the models.
Interesting fact - Cyclone intensity is a function of the differences bewtween the high and low pressure. In a warming world the difference NARROWS, so would mean the intensity would drop. Sea Surface Temperatures have been cited as a possible intensifier, but SST's are limited to about 30C, before convective cooling.
Jovial Monk wrote on Sep 24
th, 2025 at 7:45am:
Tropical cyclones Ragasa and Yasi represent one dangerous threat to a northern Australian food bowl. Ragasa being significantly stronger than Yasi indicates AGW is making tropical cyclones stronger.
True supposition. Haiyan was stronger than Ragasa. So according to JM that means no AGW.
Jovial Monk wrote on Sep 24
th, 2025 at 6:09am:
It was worse than Yasi, HUGE gusts!
Ragasa - Wind gusts 295Km/h
Haiyan - wind gusts 379Km/h