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backing a currency with gold (Read 3721 times)
freediver
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backing a currency with gold
Mar 17th, 2024 at 2:23pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 17th, 2024 at 11:16am:
freediver wrote on Mar 17th, 2024 at 10:28am:
Quote:
No, because there isn't sufficient gold in the world to account for '90% of foreign exchange transactions'


You don't need more gold every time there is a transaction.


But if a nation can't pay on demand in gold, a 'run on the bank' will occur - and the whole system will collapse, which is why the US abandoned the gold standard  


You are missing the point I was making. The amount of gold needed to back a currency has nothing to do with the number of transactions.

Also, can you explain why you think the US abandoned the gold standard because doing so would cause a run on the bank?
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Bobby.
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #1 - Mar 17th, 2024 at 2:42pm
 
I read somewhere that if they brought back the Gold Standard

Gold would be valued at over US$100,000 per ounce.   

That is how much money they printed.   Shocked

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thegreatdivide
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #2 - Mar 17th, 2024 at 5:20pm
 
freediver wrote on Mar 17th, 2024 at 2:23pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 17th, 2024 at 11:16am:
freediver wrote on Mar 17th, 2024 at 10:28am:
Quote:
No, because there isn't sufficient gold in the world to account for '90% of foreign exchange transactions'


You don't need more gold every time there is a transaction.


But if a nation can't pay on demand in gold, a 'run on the bank' will occur - and the whole system will collapse, which is why the US abandoned the gold standard  


You are missing the point I was making. The amount of gold needed to back a currency has nothing to do with the number of transactions.

Also, can you explain why you think the US abandoned the gold standard because doing so would cause a run on the bank?


See bobby's post,  and read

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nixon_shock#:~:text=The%20Nixon%20shock%20was%20a,...

The Nixon shock was a series of economic measures undertaken by United States President Richard Nixon in 1971, in response to increasing inflation, the most significant of which (responses) were wage and price freezes, surcharges on imports, and the unilateral cancellation of the direct international convertibility of the United States dollar to gold.

That is, the gold standard didn't prevent inflation in the US, so Nixon abandoned it because he didn't want to face other nations making a "run" on US gold - demanding payment in gold - because they were losing faith in the US currency.  But: 

Although Nixon's actions did not formally abolish the existing Bretton Woods system of international financial exchange, the suspension of one of its key components (the gold standard) effectively rendered the Bretton Woods system inoperative.[3] While Nixon publicly stated his intention to resume direct convertibility of the dollar after reforms to the Bretton Woods system had been implemented, all attempts at reform proved unsuccessful. By 1973, the current regime based on freely floating fiat currencies de facto replaced the Bretton Woods system for other global currencies.






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« Last Edit: Mar 17th, 2024 at 5:29pm by thegreatdivide »  
 
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freediver
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #3 - Mar 17th, 2024 at 6:13pm
 
Do you understand what I posted TGD?
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thegreatdivide
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #4 - Mar 19th, 2024 at 9:14am
 
freediver wrote on Mar 17th, 2024 at 6:13pm:
Do you understand what I posted TGD?


The problem is YOU are too mentally crippled by your delusional ideology to understand the refutation in #2.
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freediver
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #5 - Mar 19th, 2024 at 9:26am
 
Suppose I give you US$1,000,000 in exchange for Euros. Then you give me the Euros back in exchange for US$. And we repeat a million times. How much gold would be required to account for all of those transactions?
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thegreatdivide
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #6 - Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:07am
 
freediver wrote on Mar 19th, 2024 at 9:26am:
Suppose I give you US$1,000,000 in exchange for Euros. Then you give me the Euros back in exchange for US$. And we repeat a million times. How much gold would be required to account for all of those transactions?


None.

Next question?
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MeisterEckhart
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #7 - Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:13am
 
The gold price is skyrocketing again.

It has hit a USD 2210 (AUD 3330) intraday high so far. This Friday's COMEX market close prices will determine whether it can be sustained.

Moves like this often immediately follow a world event (if not significant bad news about the US economy)...

I wonder what's up.
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freediver
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #8 - Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:16am
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:07am:
freediver wrote on Mar 19th, 2024 at 9:26am:
Suppose I give you US$1,000,000 in exchange for Euros. Then you give me the Euros back in exchange for US$. And we repeat a million times. How much gold would be required to account for all of those transactions?


None.

Next question?


Why did you post this?

Quote:
No, because there isn't sufficient gold in the world to account for '90% of foreign exchange transactions'
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MeisterEckhart
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #9 - Mar 21st, 2024 at 12:13pm
 
MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:13am:
The gold price is skyrocketing again.

It has hit a USD 2210 (AUD 3330) intraday high so far. This Friday's COMEX market close prices will determine whether it can be sustained.

Moves like this often immediately follow a world event (if not significant bad news about the US economy)...

I wonder what's up.

Ah... The long-awaited US rate cut.

Unemployment rate falls to 3.7pc in February, US Federal Reserve likely to cut rates in June, ASX higher after Wall Street soars
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Goose
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #10 - Mar 21st, 2024 at 4:34pm
 
MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:13am:
The gold price is skyrocketing again.

It has hit a USD 2210 (AUD 3330) intraday high so far. This Friday's COMEX market close prices will determine whether it can be sustained.

Moves like this often immediately follow a world event (if not significant bad news about the US economy)...

I wonder what's up.

It's just all the BTC and ETH liquidation gains being poured into exchange reserves and driving the price.  Wink Cheesy
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MeisterEckhart
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #11 - Mar 22nd, 2024 at 8:55am
 
While it is rumoured that Russia and China are moving towards gold backing the Rouble and Yuan, the CCP currently offers convertibility to gold for Yuan on the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
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thegreatdivide
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #12 - Mar 22nd, 2024 at 10:29am
 
freediver wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:16am:
thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:07am:
freediver wrote on Mar 19th, 2024 at 9:26am:
Suppose I give you US$1,000,000 in exchange for Euros. Then you give me the Euros back in exchange for US$. And we repeat a million times. How much gold would be required to account for all of those transactions?


None.

Next question?


Why did you post this?

Quote:
No, because there isn't sufficient gold in the world to account for '90% of foreign exchange transactions'


Because that's  what Nixon concluded:  the US didn't have enough gold if US trading partners  lost faith in the US dollar and demanded payment in gold.

"Nixon publicly stated his intention to resume direct convertibility of the dollar after reforms to the Bretton Woods system had been implemented, (but) all attempts at reform proved unsuccessful".
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thegreatdivide
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #13 - Mar 22nd, 2024 at 10:32am
 
MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 12:13pm:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:13am:
The gold price is skyrocketing again.

It has hit a USD 2210 (AUD 3330) intraday high so far. This Friday's COMEX market close prices will determine whether it can be sustained.

Moves like this often immediately follow a world event (if not significant bad news about the US economy)...

I wonder what's up.

Ah... The long-awaited US rate cut.

Unemployment rate falls to 3.7pc in February, US Federal Reserve likely to cut rates in June, ASX higher after Wall Street soars


"Bad news" about the US economy?
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freediver
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #14 - Mar 22nd, 2024 at 10:35am
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 10:29am:
freediver wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:16am:
thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:07am:
freediver wrote on Mar 19th, 2024 at 9:26am:
Suppose I give you US$1,000,000 in exchange for Euros. Then you give me the Euros back in exchange for US$. And we repeat a million times. How much gold would be required to account for all of those transactions?


None.

Next question?


Why did you post this?

Quote:
No, because there isn't sufficient gold in the world to account for '90% of foreign exchange transactions'


Because that's  what Nixon concluded:  the US didn't have enough gold if US trading partners  lost faith in the US dollar and demanded payment in gold.

"Nixon publicly stated his intention to resume direct convertibility of the dollar after reforms to the Bretton Woods system had been implemented, (but) all attempts at reform proved unsuccessful".


What does the 90% of foreign exchange transactions bit mean? That there was enough gold to cover 10% of all foreign exchange transactions?
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MeisterEckhart
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #15 - Mar 22nd, 2024 at 10:38am
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 10:32am:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 12:13pm:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:13am:
The gold price is skyrocketing again.

It has hit a USD 2210 (AUD 3330) intraday high so far. This Friday's COMEX market close prices will determine whether it can be sustained.

Moves like this often immediately follow a world event (if not significant bad news about the US economy)...

I wonder what's up.

Ah... The long-awaited US rate cut.

Unemployment rate falls to 3.7pc in February, US Federal Reserve likely to cut rates in June, ASX higher after Wall Street soars


"Bad news" about the US economy?

Should have included the third reason - a fall in the value of the US dollar.
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thegreatdivide
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #16 - Mar 22nd, 2024 at 12:34pm
 
MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 10:38am:
thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 10:32am:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 12:13pm:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:13am:
The gold price is skyrocketing again.

It has hit a USD 2210 (AUD 3330) intraday high so far. This Friday's COMEX market close prices will determine whether it can be sustained.

Moves like this often immediately follow a world event (if not significant bad news about the US economy)...

I wonder what's up.

Ah... The long-awaited US rate cut.

Unemployment rate falls to 3.7pc in February, US Federal Reserve likely to cut rates in June, ASX higher after Wall Street soars


"Bad news" about the US economy?

Should have included the third reason - a fall in the value of the US dollar.


...which gets us back to the insanity of mainstream economics: interest rates set by the central bank likely to fall, consequent to an improving economy, so the 'value'  of the currency ( to exchange traders)  decreases because people are worried by increasing govt. debt (which is another mainstream myth, ie the govt's debt seen as household debt which 'must be repaid'). 
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freediver
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #17 - Mar 22nd, 2024 at 1:29pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 12:34pm:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 10:38am:
thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 10:32am:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 12:13pm:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:13am:
The gold price is skyrocketing again.

It has hit a USD 2210 (AUD 3330) intraday high so far. This Friday's COMEX market close prices will determine whether it can be sustained.

Moves like this often immediately follow a world event (if not significant bad news about the US economy)...

I wonder what's up.

Ah... The long-awaited US rate cut.

Unemployment rate falls to 3.7pc in February, US Federal Reserve likely to cut rates in June, ASX higher after Wall Street soars


"Bad news" about the US economy?

Should have included the third reason - a fall in the value of the US dollar.


...which gets us back to the insanity of mainstream economics: interest rates set by the central bank likely to fall, consequent to an improving economy, so the 'value'  of the currency ( to exchange traders)  decreases because people are worried by increasing govt. debt (which is another mainstream myth, ie the govt's debt seen as household debt which 'must be repaid'). 


So what?
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MeisterEckhart
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #18 - Mar 22nd, 2024 at 5:28pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 12:34pm:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 10:38am:
thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 10:32am:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 12:13pm:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:13am:
The gold price is skyrocketing again.

It has hit a USD 2210 (AUD 3330) intraday high so far. This Friday's COMEX market close prices will determine whether it can be sustained.

Moves like this often immediately follow a world event (if not significant bad news about the US economy)...

I wonder what's up.

Ah... The long-awaited US rate cut.

Unemployment rate falls to 3.7pc in February, US Federal Reserve likely to cut rates in June, ASX higher after Wall Street soars


"Bad news" about the US economy?

Should have included the third reason - a fall in the value of the US dollar.


...which gets us back to the insanity of mainstream economics: interest rates set by the central bank likely to fall, consequent to an improving economy, so the 'value'  of the currency ( to exchange traders)  decreases because people are worried by increasing govt. debt (which is another mainstream myth, ie the govt's debt seen as household debt which 'must be repaid'). 

More like, with interest rates dropping investors are not getting enough bang for their buck, so they turn to gold.
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MeisterEckhart
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #19 - Mar 22nd, 2024 at 5:31pm
 
MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 12:13pm:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:13am:
The gold price is skyrocketing again.

It has hit a USD 2210 (AUD 3330) intraday high so far. This Friday's COMEX market close prices will determine whether it can be sustained.

Moves like this often immediately follow a world event (if not significant bad news about the US economy)...

I wonder what's up.

Ah... The long-awaited US rate cut.

Unemployment rate falls to 3.7pc in February, US Federal Reserve likely to cut rates in June, ASX higher after Wall Street soars

Well, the spot price has eased (still the COMEX to go NY time).

Gold has at least posted its next aim for support - USD2200.

Next week will show whether there's enough support to get back there... if it doesn't happen by Friday 6 PM NY time.
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MeisterEckhart
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #20 - Mar 23rd, 2024 at 7:29am
 
So what's causing the upward spike in the spot gold price?

Analysts report that they're not sure.

There has been no recent serious world event.

There has been no recent downturn in the US economy.

There is a lot of speculation that US interest rates will drop in June to between 5% to 5.25% which would account for some upward pressure on gold.

Their best guess is that investors are speculating on crypto and storing their profits in gold.
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thegreatdivide
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #21 - Mar 26th, 2024 at 1:12pm
 
freediver wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 1:29pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 12:34pm:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 10:38am:
thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 10:32am:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 12:13pm:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:13am:
The gold price is skyrocketing again.

It has hit a USD 2210 (AUD 3330) intraday high so far. This Friday's COMEX market close prices will determine whether it can be sustained.

Moves like this often immediately follow a world event (if not significant bad news about the US economy)...

I wonder what's up.

Ah... The long-awaited US rate cut.

Unemployment rate falls to 3.7pc in February, US Federal Reserve likely to cut rates in June, ASX higher after Wall Street soars


"Bad news" about the US economy?

Should have included the third reason - a fall in the value of the US dollar.


...which gets us back to the insanity of mainstream economics: interest rates set by the central bank likely to fall, consequent to an improving economy, so the 'value'  of the currency ( to exchange traders)  decreases because people are worried by increasing govt. debt (which is another mainstream myth, ie the govt's debt seen as household debt which 'must be repaid'). 


So what?


So mainstream economics is insane, as explained  in the latest  MMT post.
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thegreatdivide
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #22 - Mar 26th, 2024 at 1:16pm
 
MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 5:28pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 12:34pm:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 10:38am:
thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 10:32am:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 12:13pm:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:13am:
The gold price is skyrocketing again.

It has hit a USD 2210 (AUD 3330) intraday high so far. This Friday's COMEX market close prices will determine whether it can be sustained.

Moves like this often immediately follow a world event (if not significant bad news about the US economy)...

I wonder what's up.

Ah... The long-awaited US rate cut.

Unemployment rate falls to 3.7pc in February, US Federal Reserve likely to cut rates in June, ASX higher after Wall Street soars


"Bad news" about the US economy?

Should have included the third reason - a fall in the value of the US dollar.


...which gets us back to the insanity of mainstream economics: interest rates set by the central bank likely to fall, consequent to an improving economy, so the 'value'  of the currency ( to exchange traders)  decreases because people are worried by increasing govt. debt (which is another mainstream myth, ie the govt's debt seen as household debt which 'must be repaid'). 

More like, with interest rates dropping investors are not getting enough bang for their buck, so they turn to gold.


That's right - in an insane financialized economy, where rich 'investors' don't want to create goods and services but only play the financial casino. 
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MeisterEckhart
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #23 - Mar 28th, 2024 at 10:16am
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 26th, 2024 at 1:16pm:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 5:28pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 12:34pm:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 10:38am:
thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 10:32am:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 12:13pm:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:13am:
The gold price is skyrocketing again.

It has hit a USD 2210 (AUD 3330) intraday high so far. This Friday's COMEX market close prices will determine whether it can be sustained.

Moves like this often immediately follow a world event (if not significant bad news about the US economy)...

I wonder what's up.

Ah... The long-awaited US rate cut.

Unemployment rate falls to 3.7pc in February, US Federal Reserve likely to cut rates in June, ASX higher after Wall Street soars


"Bad news" about the US economy?

Should have included the third reason - a fall in the value of the US dollar.


...which gets us back to the insanity of mainstream economics: interest rates set by the central bank likely to fall, consequent to an improving economy, so the 'value'  of the currency ( to exchange traders)  decreases because people are worried by increasing govt. debt (which is another mainstream myth, ie the govt's debt seen as household debt which 'must be repaid'). 

More like, with interest rates dropping investors are not getting enough bang for their buck, so they turn to gold.


That's right - in an insane financialized economy, where rich 'investors' don't want to create goods and services but only play the financial casino. 

Where any investor (including Chinese ones) wants to see the best return on their investment - when speculation of a weakening US dollar increases, beat the rush and convert dollars into gold, or Yuan into gold on the SSE.
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freediver
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #24 - Mar 28th, 2024 at 10:23am
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 10:29am:
freediver wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:16am:
thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:07am:
freediver wrote on Mar 19th, 2024 at 9:26am:
Suppose I give you US$1,000,000 in exchange for Euros. Then you give me the Euros back in exchange for US$. And we repeat a million times. How much gold would be required to account for all of those transactions?


None.

Next question?


Why did you post this?

Quote:
No, because there isn't sufficient gold in the world to account for '90% of foreign exchange transactions'


Because that's  what Nixon concluded:  the US didn't have enough gold if US trading partners  lost faith in the US dollar and demanded payment in gold.

"Nixon publicly stated his intention to resume direct convertibility of the dollar after reforms to the Bretton Woods system had been implemented, (but) all attempts at reform proved unsuccessful".


What does the 90% of foreign exchange transactions bit mean? That there was enough gold to cover 10% of all foreign exchange transactions?
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MeisterEckhart
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #25 - Mar 31st, 2024 at 4:08pm
 
Zimbabwe makes foray into gold-backed CBDC

Zimbabwe has turned to the gold standard in the hope of buttressing the beleaguered Zimbabwean dollar, first issuing gold coins and later digital tokens that it hopes to see used as a means of payment.

https://www.omfif.org/2023/11/zimbabwe-makes-foray-into-gold-backed-cbdc/#:~:tex...
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #26 - Mar 31st, 2024 at 4:10pm
 
Zimbabwe brings out 'Gold' in your hands.

Australia adopts a cashless economy.
Money: It's out of your hands now.  Wink
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AIMLESS EXTENTION OF KNOWLEDGE HOWEVER, WHICH IS WHAT I THINK YOU REALLY MEAN BY THE TERM 'CURIOSITY', IS MERELY INEFFICIENCY. I AM DESIGNED TO AVOID INEFFICIENCY.
 
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MeisterEckhart
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #27 - Apr 2nd, 2024 at 8:20pm
 
freediver wrote on Mar 17th, 2024 at 10:28am:
Quote:
No, because there isn't sufficient gold in the world to account for '90% of foreign exchange transactions'


You don't need more gold every time there is a transaction.

This is a misunderstanding about gold-backing a currency.

It only matters what the currency is denominated at relative to the gold weight unit.

There is a rumour that the reason the gold price is soaring is that governments and banks are preparing for gold-backed CBDCs which will raise confidence in the new digital currencies.

Zimbabwe is currently the guinea pig.

If true, the unit weight of gold (1 troy ounce) could soar to over USD 5000 (approx AUD 7500) within the next 2 years.

Let's see!
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #28 - Apr 3rd, 2024 at 8:15am
 
If it's true that governments and central banks are preparing to back their respective CBDCs with gold, then a process of accumulating gold for that reason is required.

Something like Roosevelt's Executive Order 6102 in 1933 would be the most draconian way of retrieving gold from individual gold owners to back a CBDC.

An action like that would be unacceptable in 2024 and beyond.

A much easier way is to pre-determine gold's unitary value at, say, USD 5000 or more.

Anyone who bought gold at, say, USD 1000 (even USD 2000 - 3000) might easily be persuaded to sell their physical holdings to central banks for CBDC.
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #29 - Apr 3rd, 2024 at 9:21am
 
So how would a gold accumulation process by governments and central banks work?

The Shanghai Gold Exchange provides the answer.

The SGE is offering convertibility of gold units to Yuan at spot price + 0.4% to 0.5% which is an incentive for large gold traders to buy on the COMEX at almost spot and sell on the SGE for spot + 0.4%-0.5%.

If this were to occur in Australia and available to all, the RBA, CBA, Westpac, NB and ANZ might offer a better deal to small gold holders.

If, say, spot was at AUD4000/oz, the banks might offer a pegged value of AUD 5000/oz. Anyone holding gold could convert it with these banks for $5000 CBDC dollars per gold unit.
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #30 - Apr 5th, 2024 at 2:21pm
 
freediver wrote on Mar 28th, 2024 at 10:23am:
thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 10:29am:
freediver wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:16am:
thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:07am:
freediver wrote on Mar 19th, 2024 at 9:26am:
Suppose I give you US$1,000,000 in exchange for Euros. Then you give me the Euros back in exchange for US$. And we repeat a million times. How much gold would be required to account for all of those transactions?


None.

Next question?


Why did you post this?

Quote:
No, because there isn't sufficient gold in the world to account for '90% of foreign exchange transactions'


Because that's  what Nixon concluded:  the US didn't have enough gold if US trading partners  lost faith in the US dollar and demanded payment in gold.

"Nixon publicly stated his intention to resume direct convertibility of the dollar after reforms to the Bretton Woods system had been implemented, (but) all attempts at reform proved unsuccessful".


What does the 90% of foreign exchange transactions bit mean? That there was enough gold to cover 10% of all foreign exchange transactions?


It means Nixon realized the US didn't have enough gold if
foreigners demanded payment for their exports in gold.

(By the 1970s, the US had changed from being the biggest creditor nation post WW2, on the way to becoming  the biggest debtor nation today.:

google

" The U.S. status as the one of world's largest debtor nations is due to the central position that the U.S. plays in the world's monetary and financial systems. The U.S. dollar is the world's primary reserve currency and medium of exchange for settling international trade.

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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #31 - Apr 5th, 2024 at 2:59pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 5th, 2024 at 2:21pm:
freediver wrote on Mar 28th, 2024 at 10:23am:
thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 10:29am:
freediver wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:16am:
thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:07am:
freediver wrote on Mar 19th, 2024 at 9:26am:
Suppose I give you US$1,000,000 in exchange for Euros. Then you give me the Euros back in exchange for US$. And we repeat a million times. How much gold would be required to account for all of those transactions?


None.

Next question?


Why did you post this?

Quote:
No, because there isn't sufficient gold in the world to account for '90% of foreign exchange transactions'


Because that's  what Nixon concluded:  the US didn't have enough gold if US trading partners  lost faith in the US dollar and demanded payment in gold.

"Nixon publicly stated his intention to resume direct convertibility of the dollar after reforms to the Bretton Woods system had been implemented, (but) all attempts at reform proved unsuccessful".


What does the 90% of foreign exchange transactions bit mean? That there was enough gold to cover 10% of all foreign exchange transactions?


It means Nixon realized the US didn't have enough gold if
foreigners demanded payment for their exports in gold.


You mean literally shipping goods one way (into the US) and shipping gold the other (out of the other)?
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #32 - Apr 29th, 2024 at 3:44pm
 
freediver wrote on Apr 5th, 2024 at 2:59pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on Apr 5th, 2024 at 2:21pm:
freediver wrote on Mar 28th, 2024 at 10:23am:
thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 22nd, 2024 at 10:29am:
freediver wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:16am:
thegreatdivide wrote on Mar 21st, 2024 at 9:07am:
freediver wrote on Mar 19th, 2024 at 9:26am:
Suppose I give you US$1,000,000 in exchange for Euros. Then you give me the Euros back in exchange for US$. And we repeat a million times. How much gold would be required to account for all of those transactions?


None.

Next question?


Why did you post this?

Quote:
No, because there isn't sufficient gold in the world to account for '90% of foreign exchange transactions'


Because that's  what Nixon concluded:  the US didn't have enough gold if US trading partners  lost faith in the US dollar and demanded payment in gold.

"Nixon publicly stated his intention to resume direct convertibility of the dollar after reforms to the Bretton Woods system had been implemented, (but) all attempts at reform proved unsuccessful".


What does the 90% of foreign exchange transactions bit mean? That there was enough gold to cover 10% of all foreign exchange transactions?


It means Nixon realized the US didn't have enough gold if
foreigners demanded payment for their exports in gold.


You mean literally shipping goods one way (into the US) and shipping gold the other (out of the other)?


On demand by an exporting country, yes. Nixon didn't like the possibility...
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #33 - Apr 29th, 2024 at 6:53pm
 
People would just start shipping gold back into the US, as it would very soon be worth more in the US than in other countries.

Or they would just be smart enough to not physically ship huge amounts of gold back and forth around the world.

I think you are very confused about what Nixon was actually thinking.
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #34 - May 3rd, 2024 at 1:44pm
 
freediver wrote on Apr 29th, 2024 at 6:53pm:
People would just start shipping gold back into the US, as it would very soon be worth more in the US than in other countries.

Or they would just be smart enough to not physically ship huge amounts of gold back and forth around the world.

I think you are very confused about what Nixon was actually thinking.


Er.....Nixon and all his advisors - fully intended to reinstate the gold standard, but he discovered it was impossible.

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/n/nixon-shock.asp

"Nixon cited tax cuts and a 90-day hold on prices and wages as the best options for boosting the job market and tamping down inflation. As for speculative behavior toward the U.S. dollar (USD), Nixon supported suspending the dollar’s convertibility into gold.

..meant to be a tempory suspension, but proved impossible to return to the gold standard later.

And earlier (re quantity of physical gold) :

" However, a global dollar surplus imperiled the system in the 1960s. At the time, the U.S. did not have enough gold to cover the volume of dollars circulating throughout the world. That led to an overvaluation of the dollar.

Office of the Historian. "Nixon and the End of the Bretton Woods System, 1971–1973."


 
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #35 - May 3rd, 2024 at 3:04pm
 
From what I read once -
the USA has printed so much money that the true price of an ounce of Gold
would be about US$120,000 per ounce not $2,300 per ounce
if we went back to the Gold Standard.

In other words -
the USA has printed 52 times more money than the equivalent Gold Standard.
The printing presses have been running hot -
24 hours a day -
the US Govt. is now in $33 trillion of debt.


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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #36 - May 4th, 2024 at 12:55pm
 
Bobby. wrote on May 3rd, 2024 at 3:04pm:
From what I read once -
the USA has printed so much money that the true price of an ounce of Gold
would be about US$120,000 per ounce not $2,300 per ounce
if we went back to the Gold Standard.

In other words -
the USA has printed 52 times more money than the equivalent Gold Standard.
The printing presses have been running hot -
24 hours a day -
the US Govt. is now in $33 trillion of debt.


Yes, but you are drawing the wrong conclusions

Despite the $33 trillion of debt, post-covid inflation is falling:

https://www.faithfulcitizensnetwork.org/inflation-drops-for-holidays?gad_source=...

The US inflation rate fell to 3.2% in October 2023, marking the first time it has been below 4% since December 2022. This is down from 4.2% in September and 7.1% in March, the highest level in 40 years.

The decline in inflation was driven by a drop in energy prices, which fell 4.6% in October. Food prices also fell slightly, by 0.2%.

The decline in inflation is a welcome relief for consumers, who have been struggling to keep up with rising prices. The Federal Reserve has been raising interest rates in an effort to bring inflation under control, and the recent decline suggests that its efforts are starting to pay off.


Also, G7 countries (except Japan) with lower debt than the US have lower GDP growth than the US. Japan has a higher  debt to GDP ratio, but Japan's inflation rate is low - proving your concerns re "money printing", and debt and inflation, are unfounded.

The important thing is: who are the beneficiaries of the "money printing". In the current Friedmanite monetary orthodoxy, private sector money lenders benefit, while currency-issuing governments are subjected to 'austerity'** which hurts the less well-off. 

** because governments are forced to sell interest bearing bonds to rich people aka "money printing"(when the central bank sell bonds).

Also government debt is merely the result of taxing less back from taxpayers  than the government spent; as MMT shows, the government's debt is the private sector's savings (mostly in the hands of rich people). 


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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #37 - May 4th, 2024 at 1:39pm
 
This financial year the US is on track to spend about $US870bn on interest, which is equivalent to 17 per cent of tax revenues, the highest since the 1980s. That’s already more than the defence budget, and soon will eclipse even social security as the single biggest government expense.


Unprecedented central bank money creation during the Covid-19 pandemic has cast doubt on the long-term stability of financial systems, not to mention economic experts who failed comprehensively to predict the return of high inflation.

More and more people are avoiding saving in cash and bank deposits to avoid a sudden collapse in their purchasing power.

Soaring asset prices throughout rich countries (where similar if not quite so bad economic policies have been introduced) could reflect a decline in value of fiat currencies used to buy them as much as a genuine increase in asset values for fundamental reasons. In terms of gold or bitcoin, they haven’t gone up at all.

The lesson of the past few years for politicians should have been caution, but instead the pandemic has fuelled hubris and a return to artificially complex, vast subsidy schemes that would make the planners of generations ago proud.

Whoever wins the presidential election in November could well inherit an economic disaster. Far from cutting taxes again, as he did in his first term, a re-elected Donald Trump might have to increase them significantly to restore faith in US economic policy.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/inquirer/bidenomics-hits-the-skids-as-costly-po...
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #38 - May 4th, 2024 at 2:35pm
 
Frank wrote on May 4th, 2024 at 1:39pm:
This financial year the US is on track to spend about $US870bn on interest, which is equivalent to 17 per cent of tax revenues, the highest since the 1980s. That’s already more than the defence budget, and soon will eclipse even social security as the single biggest government expense.


Yes, but who is the recipient of that interest payment?

Answer: the private sector bond holders. They love it.

Quote:
Unprecedented central bank money creation during the Covid-19 pandemic has cast doubt on the long-term stability of financial systems, not to mention economic experts who failed comprehensively to predict the return of high inflation.


Appealing to  "experts" in that paragraph is laughable.

The government's debt is the private sector's savings - use your brain to work it out: debt means the government taxed-back less than it spent, creating the debt (and re inflation,  see below)

Quote:
More and more people are avoiding saving in cash and bank deposits to avoid a sudden collapse in their purchasing power.


A sudden collapse? High inflation (eg 8-9% post covid) lasted less than a year, it's now down to c.4%.

Quote:
Soaring asset prices throughout rich countries (where similar if not quite so bad economic policies have been introduced) could reflect a decline in value of fiat currencies used to buy them as much as a genuine increase in asset values for fundamental reasons. In terms of gold or bitcoin, they haven’t gone up at all.


Nonsense: supply chain disruptions (and poorly designed government covid-rescue packages) caused the post covid inflation, not decline in fiat currency value. 

And in terms of Bitcoin? Bitcoin value collapsed last year, not much stability there....

Quote:
The lesson of the past few years for politicians should have been caution, but instead the pandemic has fuelled hubris and a return to artificially complex, vast subsidy schemes that would make the planners of generations ago proud.


Er...the US government was  determined not to repeat the mistakes of the GFC,  where 'fiscal rectitude' and monetary timidity resulted in a decade long recession (and Obama losing cotrol of Congress) .

Quote:
Whoever wins the presidential election in November could well inherit an economic disaster.


An ignorant statement from an economic ignoramus: the US government can't run out of money.

Quote:
Far from cutting taxes again, as he did in his first term, a re-elected Donald Trump might have to increase them significantly to restore faith in US economic policy.


Trump latched onto the MMT story back in 2017, namely  "everyone knows government debt doesn't matter", as reported by Ross Limbaugh (of all people!) back then.

Trust the OZ to print garbage....
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #39 - May 4th, 2024 at 3:04pm
 
TGD,
Quote:
Also government debt is merely the result of taxing less back from taxpayers  than the government spent;
as MMT shows, the government's debt is the private sector's savings (mostly in the hands of rich people).


That's obvious.
I think Govts should have to balance their books like everyone else -
they should borrow money only in emergencies and
when there is a plan for more taxes to pay it off.

It's out of control everywhere we look:
https://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1714798277/0#1

Politicians have a thought bubble -
and the next thing there goes another $200 billion on some idea
and no one knows how it will ever be paid for.


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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #40 - May 4th, 2024 at 8:07pm
 
None of our Labor politicians have any plan other than to borrow more money.  WTF?
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #41 - May 5th, 2024 at 2:30pm
 
Bobby. wrote on May 4th, 2024 at 3:04pm:
That's obvious.
I think Govts should have to balance their books like everyone else -
they should borrow money only in emergencies and
when there is a plan for more taxes to pay it off.


I used to think that too, until I learnt about the currency-issuing capacity of sovereign governments - which makes their budgetary constraints ("balancing their books") completely  different "to everyone else", ie, you and me, who have to earn or borrow money.   

I'm offering no taxes, no government borrowing, zero central bank interest rates,  and price controls to manage inflation....a pity you reject it.....

Quote:
Politicians have a thought bubble -
and the next thing there goes another $200 billion on some idea
and no one knows how it will ever be paid for.


In short: if the government has the resources to build/service it  (the "thought bubble") , the government can pay for it - for free, ie, via keystrokes on computers in the Department of Treasury.

 
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #42 - May 5th, 2024 at 2:55pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on May 5th, 2024 at 2:30pm:
Bobby. wrote on May 4th, 2024 at 3:04pm:
That's obvious.
I think Govts should have to balance their books like everyone else -
they should borrow money only in emergencies and
when there is a plan for more taxes to pay it off.


I used to think that too, until I learnt about the currency-issuing capacity of sovereign governments - which makes their budgetary constraints ("balancing their books") completely  different "to everyone else", ie, you and me, who have to earn or borrow money.   

I'm offering no taxes, no government borrowing, zero central bank interest rates,  and price controls to manage inflation....a pity you reject it.....

Quote:
Politicians have a thought bubble -
and the next thing there goes another $200 billion on some idea
and no one knows how it will ever be paid for.


In short: if the government has the resources to build/service it  (the "thought bubble") , the government can pay for it - for free, ie, via keystrokes on computers in the Department of Treasury.
 



No - you're wrong -
every dollar they print causes inflation.
It robs people with savings -
it's taxing people with savings - an indirect tax.
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #43 - May 5th, 2024 at 3:50pm
 
Bobby. wrote on May 5th, 2024 at 2:55pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on May 5th, 2024 at 2:30pm:
Bobby. wrote on May 4th, 2024 at 3:04pm:
That's obvious.
I think Govts should have to balance their books like everyone else -
they should borrow money only in emergencies and
when there is a plan for more taxes to pay it off.


I used to think that too, until I learnt about the currency-issuing capacity of sovereign governments - which makes their budgetary constraints ("balancing their books") completely  different "to everyone else", ie, you and me, who have to earn or borrow money.   

I'm offering no taxes, no government borrowing, zero central bank interest rates,  and price controls to manage inflation....a pity you reject it.....

Quote:
Politicians have a thought bubble -
and the next thing there goes another $200 billion on some idea
and no one knows how it will ever be paid for.


In short: if the government has the resources to build/service it  (the "thought bubble") , the government can pay for it - for free, ie, via keystrokes on computers in the Department of Treasury.
 



No - you're wrong -
every dollar they print causes inflation.


I'm offering no taxes and no inflation. You?


Quote:
It robs people with savings -
it's taxing people with savings - an indirect tax.


See above.



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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #44 - May 5th, 2024 at 4:45pm
 
Dear TGD,
your ideas are based on fallacies.
Study the Weimar republic and the Zimbabwe catastrophe.

You needed one of these to buy a loaf of bread:


...
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #45 - May 6th, 2024 at 6:39am
 
https://apnews.com/article/zimbabwe-zig-new-currency-5173a73586eef8ad413964f3341...


Zimbabwe’s ZiG is the world’s newest currency
and its latest attempt to resolve a money crisis


May 1, 2024

HARARE, Zimbabwe (AP) — Out with the Zimbabwe dollar, in with the ZiG.

Zimbabwe on Tuesday started circulating a new currency to replace one that has been battered by depreciation and often outright rejection by the people. The ZiG was introduced electronically in early April, but people are now able to use banknotes and coins.

It’s the southern African country’s latest attempt to halt a long-running currency crisis underlining its persistent economic troubles. The government had previously floated various ideas to replace the Zimbabwe dollar, including introducing gold coins to stem inflation and even trying out a digital currency.

Since it was launched electronically on April 5, the ZiG —
short for Zimbabwe Gold and backed by the country’s gold reserves

appears to be heading down the same path of mistrust, with some government departments refusing to accept it.

The ZiG is the sixth currency Zimbabwe has used since the spectacular 2009 collapse of the Zimbabwe dollar amid hyperinflation of 5 billion percent, one of the world’s worst currency crashes to date. That set off a chaotic series of events: first the U.S. dollar was allowed as legal tender, then banned, then unbanned.

A new “bond note” became legal tender, the Zimbabwe dollar was reintroduced before the gold coins and digital currency were tried.

However, nothing brought any currency stability and the U.S. dollar remains the most trusted for ordinary Zimbabweans.

As the shiny new ZiG banknotes hit the streets, the mistrust was evident.

Kudzanayi Mande, a vegetable trader at the crowded Mbare market in the capital of Harare, said she would rather forgo a sale than accept the ZiG. She was confused, the 56-year-old said.

“Already there is an official exchange rate and a depreciated black market rate, so I will wait a bit to see what its real value is,” she said. “The U.S. dollar is still a safer bet.”

The government has allowed some businesses, such as gas stations, to refuse to accept the ZiG in favor of U.S. dollars. Some departments, like the office that issues and renews passports, accept only U.S. dollars.

At the same time, other businesses are being ordered to only use the ZiG, and face punishment if they don’t.





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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #46 - May 6th, 2024 at 6:41am
 
Dear TGD,
your ideas are based on fallacies.
Study the Weimar republic and the Zimbabwe catastrophe.

You needed one of these to buy a loaf of bread:


...
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #47 - May 6th, 2024 at 1:23pm
 
Bobby. wrote on May 5th, 2024 at 4:45pm:
Dear TGD,
your ideas are based on fallacies.
Study the Weimar republic and the Zimbabwe catastrophe.

You needed one of these to buy a loaf of bread:

https://media.gab.com/system/media_attachments/files/110/473/207/original/e5a6a6...


Stop making out I haven't already explained your errors re hyperinflation in  Zimbabwe, Weimar republic and Venezuela (in the MMT thread). 

Inflation is always the result of supply chain failures (whether inter- or intra-national), or loss of capacity to pay for imports because your exports fall in value.   



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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #48 - May 6th, 2024 at 1:33pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on May 6th, 2024 at 1:23pm:
Bobby. wrote on May 5th, 2024 at 4:45pm:
Dear TGD,
your ideas are based on fallacies.
Study the Weimar republic and the Zimbabwe catastrophe.

You needed one of these to buy a loaf of bread:

https://media.gab.com/system/media_attachments/files/110/473/207/original/e5a6a6...


Stop making out I haven't already explained your errors re hyperinflation in  Zimbabwe, Weimar republic and Venezuela (in the MMT thread). 

Inflation is always the result of supply chain failures (whether inter- or intra-national), or loss of capacity to pay for imports because your exports fall in value.   




The high inflation we see now is already the symptom of money printing
and is the start of what could become hyper-inflation.

The RBA should have said  NO -
we're not going to print money to
buy more of your Govt. bonds -
live within your means.


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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #49 - May 6th, 2024 at 2:18pm
 
Bobby. wrote on May 6th, 2024 at 1:33pm:
The high inflation we see now is already the symptom of money printing


Simple-minded 'government as household' orthodoxy; it's a question of who is doing the money printing, and what for. 

Govt. can print money AND control inflation, by ensuring balance between supply and demand for resources.

Quote:
and is the start of what could become hyper-inflation.
 

The US, Japan, Oz, the UK, France, and many more,  have never experienced hyperinflation, so it's not likely in the future.

Quote:
The RBA should have said  NO -
we're not going to print money to
buy more of your Govt. bonds -
live within your means.
 

Correct: when the RBA was called upon to pay the bills of locked-down workers - to keep them alive - the RBA should have joined with Treasury in issuing free money, to avoid creating debt which must be repaid to bond holders. 

And the nation would still  have been "living within its means", without creating a build-up in citizen's purchasing power which would later cause inflation due to supply chain failures.



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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #50 - May 6th, 2024 at 2:27pm
 
TGD,
Quote:
The US, Japan, Oz, the UK, France, and many more,
have never experienced hyperinflation, so it's not likely in the future.


I would say - it is likely - it's already starting.
Have you been to a supermarket lately?
It's the same all around the world -
the prices for many products have doubled in the last 5 years.
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #51 - May 6th, 2024 at 2:35pm
 
Bobby. wrote on May 6th, 2024 at 2:27pm:
TGD,
Quote:
The US, Japan, Oz, the UK, France, and many more,
have never experienced hyperinflation, so it's not likely in the future.


I would say - it is likely - it's already starting.
Have you been to a supermarket lately?
It's the same all around the world -
the prices for many products have doubled in the last 5 years.

Er-- you are confusing inflation with hyper-inflation., which most countries have never experienced.

Do try to keep up....

And the 2nd part of my post you completely ignored......


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Bobby.
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Australian Politics

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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #52 - May 6th, 2024 at 2:48pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on May 6th, 2024 at 2:35pm:
Bobby. wrote on May 6th, 2024 at 2:27pm:
TGD,
Quote:
The US, Japan, Oz, the UK, France, and many more,
have never experienced hyperinflation, so it's not likely in the future.


I would say - it is likely - it's already starting.
Have you been to a supermarket lately?
It's the same all around the world -
the prices for many products have doubled in the last 5 years.

Er-- you are confusing inflation with hyper-inflation., which most countries have never experienced.

Do try to keep up....

And the 2nd part of my post you completely ignored......




The Govt locking down workers was crazy.
The Covid-19 virus was only bad when it got into old people's homes.
It had a 99.9% survival rate with most people.

The Govt over reacted and borrowed about half a $trillion.   Roll Eyes
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thegreatdivide
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Re: backing a currency with gold
Reply #53 - May 7th, 2024 at 11:15am
 
Bobby. wrote on May 6th, 2024 at 2:48pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on May 6th, 2024 at 2:35pm:
Bobby. wrote on May 6th, 2024 at 2:27pm:
TGD,
Quote:
The US, Japan, Oz, the UK, France, and many more,
have never experienced hyperinflation, so it's not likely in the future.


I would say - it is likely - it's already starting.
Have you been to a supermarket lately?
It's the same all around the world -
the prices for many products have doubled in the last 5 years.

Er-- you are confusing inflation with hyper-inflation., which most countries have never experienced.

Do try to keep up....

And the 2nd part of my post you completely ignored......


The Govt locking down workers was crazy.


Nevertheless  many nations around the planet did it - perhaps they had information you didn't? (And poor Boris's career was destroyed because he had a party while everyone else was locked up).

Quote:
The Covid-19 virus was only bad when it got into old people's homes.
It had a 99.9% survival rate with most people.


And yet it was accepted by most governments as a global pandemic. Even India banned travel within the country.

Quote:
The Govt over reacted and borrowed about half a $trillion.   Roll Eyes


That's correct; and I explained to you what it SHOULD have done, which you can't - or refuse - to refute in any intelligent manner.   
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