thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7
th, 2024 at 12:50pm:
And if proven, every suburb on Oz will run on free renewable energy (both roof-top and grid-derived including wind)
Ah dream the impossible dream. You still haven't figured out if it is paid for it is not free. And the batteries are not free either.
thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7
th, 2024 at 12:50pm:
We (and Keen) aren't taliokng about "future performance", we are taliking about money flows in the real economy.
So money flows in a real economy are static?
thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7
th, 2024 at 12:50pm:
Your resort to crippled-brain mode is noted, the point is delusional DSGE mainsteam dogma
And yet it is you that can't explain it.
thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7
th, 2024 at 12:50pm:
No, much sooner, as everyone realizes the transition is urgent and low-resource poor countries need assistance.
So to China it isn't urgent but to others it is? Got it.
thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7
th, 2024 at 12:50pm:
Your crippled brain mode: not only, but also, and more, including trade wars....
Oh trade wars. Isn't that something that is supposed to be a thing of the past, as every one gets along. Kumbaya.
thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7
th, 2024 at 12:50pm:
By state subsidization of PV and EV industry , to bring those industries back to the US from China - which is what the IRA aims to achieve.
But closing down fossil fuels will not achieve that. Subsidies only work when you have enough electricity to do something with. Degrowth of energy is not going to cut it, with EV's etc being an increasing drain.
thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7
th, 2024 at 12:50pm:
1. Not if they build renewables to power industry.
It hasn't worked in the real world yet. And nowhere is close to doing so.
thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7
th, 2024 at 12:50pm:
2. Offshore wind is a powerful tool to cut emissions especially in Europe which doesn't have arid deserts for PV farms.
And yet the major builders of offshore wind are bailing as it doesn't pay enough. Orsted, Siemens etc.
thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7
th, 2024 at 12:50pm:
Yep, solar/wind backed by sufficient storage of all kinds IS stable, by definition.
Ah yes. "Sufficient storage". Have you got a figure for that yet?
thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7
th, 2024 at 12:50pm:
China is rapidly increasing renwables as an energy source, eventually renewables will take over as the maon energy source.
At what percentage overbuild?
thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7
th, 2024 at 12:50pm:
?? I can only "tell you that" in 2030, obviously
Exactly. Pie in the sky stuff. But you "believe".
thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7
th, 2024 at 12:50pm:
coal is bad - but reducing the necessary rate of increase in energy consumption required to improve living standards, is worse.
And yet we have headlines like "Over the next several years, many regions of the US and Canada may struggle to ensure a reliable electricity supply amid soaring energy demand from the tech industry and electrification of buildings and vehicles"
https://www.newscientist.com/article/2409679-much-of-north-america-may-face-elec...The same thing is happening in the UK, in the rush to net zero.
"Wind Farms Are Overstating Their Output — And Consumers Are Paying For It"
"Electricite de France SA’s Fallago Rig wind farm near the Scottish border claimed that it would generate 27.1% more power than it did during the five-and-a-half-year period. Just a few miles away, Fred. Olsen Renewables’ Crystal Rig II wind farm said it would produce 35.5% more energy than it delivered. Ventient Energy, backed by JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s asset management arm, overstated the output at its Farr wind farm by 28.7%."
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2024-uk-wind-farms-overstate-output/That overstatement of wind means they get paid more, but there is less available to the consumer.
"In 2020, even before the recent surge in energy costs, everyday Britons were paying about 75 percent more for electricity than Americans, the result of a double whammy—cap-and-trade policies on the one hand and renewable subsidies on the other. And then came the Ukraine shock. During the 2022 energy crisis, electricity rates for British businesses were more than double the average paid by U.S. businesses.
In Britain, the impact of cap-and-trade on the cost of fuel to generate electricity is massive. In 2022, government-imposed carbon costs averaged $128 per megawatt hour (MWh) for coal-generated electricity and $51 per MWh for natural gas. Those costs are on top of actual fuel costs, which averaged $150 per MWh for electricity generated from coal and $160 per MWh for natural gas. These mean that it cost $278 to generate 1 MWh of electricity from coal and $211 from natural gas."
https://www.heritage.org/energy/commentary/britains-disastrous-path-net-zero-war...thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7
th, 2024 at 12:50pm:
since all nations intend to attend the next scheduled COPS
And will actually achieve something?