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Climate, CO2 and the Sun (Read 3028 times)
thegreatdivide
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Re: Climate, CO2 and the Sun
Reply #30 - Jan 5th, 2024 at 12:09pm
 
lee wrote on Jan 4th, 2024 at 6:07pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on Jan 4th, 2024 at 4:50pm:
We are talking ball park figures: area to power the globe.



What is the assumption on solar efficiency, wind turbine efficiency? Something with a 30% efficiency would need far more land than something that was 100% efficient. And when the there is cloud or a lack of wind or too much wind, more land is not necessarily a panacea.


Google has taken those things into account, and is assuming sufficient battery or other storage.
Nuclear currently produces c. 10% of global power; that could be easily doubled, allowing for excess renewables to be stored - and the sun is always shining (and the wind always blowing) somewhere on the  globe.

Quote:
Keen has not proved anything. It is a MODEL.


It is a model of real, known money flows, unlike the unreal assumptions (eg DSGE models)  of mainstream economics which don't even consider the role of government debt in an economy.

Quote:
It only needs one assumption to be wrong. And he can't guarantee any one assumption.


Unlike your criticisms of AGW, which may have merit regarding assumptions etc, they do not apply with Keen's graphical description (in Minsky) of the knowm money flows in an economy. But you can't understand that because you know nothing about economics - either the delusional mainstream version, or the correct (real)  MMT description of macro money flows.

Quote:
Nope. I won't. It won't.


Spoken with the fervour of an ISIS theologian...

Quote:
.... if you are the legal currency-issuer, and the resources you wish to buy are available for purchase in the currency of issue.....


Ah yes. Nothing about international trade dealing with depreciated dollars


The dollars aren't depreciated,  because the homegrown resources were available for purchase in the nation's currency, as noted above.

Yes, indeed the resources MUST be available for purchase (by the currency-issuer); which is a limit to the ability of the currency-issuer to purchase resources on a debt free basis. 

Therefore a reformed IMF/BIS will be required to allow ALL nations some of whom lack resources)  to exercise the non-inflationary power of a currency-issuer (via resources transfer) ; but Oz - like the globe -  has all the resources needed for the green transition.   

Quote:
It never was and never will be. You really have a utopian view. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


Never say never: and if AGW projections are correct, debt free public money will become the reality sooner than you think.

Quote:
So now you have gone down the rabbit hole again. Nothing about climate, CO2 or the sun. Wink


Pollution is real, and will require the 100% circular economy,  to solve the problem.
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lee
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Re: Climate, CO2 and the Sun
Reply #31 - Jan 5th, 2024 at 12:38pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Jan 5th, 2024 at 12:09pm:
Google has taken those things into account, and is assuming sufficient battery or other storage.



And yet you can't quantify "those things taken into account". Your claim, your proof. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Jan 5th, 2024 at 12:09pm:
It is a model of real, known money flows, unlike the unreal assumptions (eg DSGE models)  of mainstream economics which don't even consider the role of government debt in an economy.


It is still a MODEL. It takes more than money flows, it takes assumptions. And as you can't cite these assumptions, you cannot verify them. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Jan 5th, 2024 at 12:09pm:
Unlike your criticisms of AGW, which may have merit regarding assumptions etc, they do not apply with Keen's graphical description (in Minsky) of the knowm money flows in an economy.


Yes they do. Minsky specifically asks for Parameters and Variables. Those are ASSUMPTIONS. They are assumptions on FUTURE payments. Unless of course you believe Keen knows the future. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Jan 5th, 2024 at 12:09pm:
Spoken with the fervour of an ISIS theologian...


And know TGD knows about ISIS theology as well. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Jan 5th, 2024 at 12:09pm:
The dollars aren't depreciated,  because the homegrown resources were available for purchase in the nation's currency, as noted above.


So there is no inflation in any government that prints their own money. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Biden's misnamed Inflation Reduction Act proves that wrong. Wink
thegreatdivide wrote on Jan 5th, 2024 at 12:09pm:
Therefore a reformed IMF/BIS will be required to allow ALL nations some of whom lack resources)  to exercise the non-inflationary power of a currency-issuer (via resources transfer) ; but Oz - like the globe -  has all the resources needed for the green transition.   


Except of course only China and India will have cheap energy, fossil fuel derived. Grin Grin Grin Grin
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Climate, CO2 and the Sun
Reply #32 - Jan 6th, 2024 at 11:35am
 
lee wrote on Jan 5th, 2024 at 12:38pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on Jan 5th, 2024 at 12:09pm:
Google has taken those things into account, and is assuming sufficient battery or other storage.


And yet you can't quantify "those things taken into account". Your claim, your proof. Roll Eyes


You aren't keeping up; Vanadium  batteries on every city block will be able the store excess renewable energy needed in the night.

Quote:
It is still a MODEL. It takes more than money flows, it takes assumptions. And as you can't cite these assumptions, you cannot verify them. Roll Eyes


No assumptions, just demonstrating the real outcomes  of real money flows; whereas mainstream DSGE theory is built on unrealistic assumptions.   

Quote:
Minsky specifically asks for Parameters and Variables. Those are ASSUMPTIONS. They are assumptions on FUTURE payments. Unless of course you believe Keen knows the future. Roll Eyes


No; Keen has the data for last year's money flows -  actual real data relating to the government, private domestic,  and external sectors ...


Quote:
And now TGD knows about ISIS theology as well.


Yes... it's fundamentalist nonsense, like mainstream economic DSGE dogma.

Quote:
So there is no inflation in any government that prints their own money.


You have ignored my outline of the requirments for a currency-issuer to be able to issue non-inflationary debt free money, ie  if the resources are available then indeed the debt-free-funded spending will increase the size of the economy wihout inflation.


Quote:
Biden's misnamed Inflation Reduction Act proves that wrong. Wink


The pandemic and war wrecked supply; price controls should have been inplemented.  But the IRA is mostly a means of building supply chains outside of China, for geo-political reasons - tossing "free trade" principles overboard. 

Quote:
Except of course only China and India will have cheap energy, fossil fuel derived. Grin Grin Grin Grin


Wrong as always: China is already the world's fastest adopter of renewables, and both are committed to green by 2060.
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lee
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Re: Climate, CO2 and the Sun
Reply #33 - Jan 6th, 2024 at 2:01pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Jan 6th, 2024 at 11:35am:
You aren't keeping up; Vanadium  batteries on every city block will be able the store excess renewable energy needed in the night.



Vanadium Redox batteries have been built, but not tested to scale. Although it was expected to do so in August.

thegreatdivide wrote on Jan 6th, 2024 at 11:35am:
No assumptions, just demonstrating the real outcomes  of real money flows; whereas mainstream DSGE theory is built on unrealistic assumptions. 


MODELS can never show "real outcomes" if the model is not 100% accurate. That thgen makes it assumptions. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Jan 6th, 2024 at 11:35am:
No; Keen has the data for last year's money flows -  actual real data relating to the government, private domestic,  and external sectors ...



Last year's data cannot be relied upon for future earnings or spendings. So it is only good to last year. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Jan 6th, 2024 at 11:35am:
Yes... it's fundamentalist nonsense, like mainstream economic DSGE dogma.


Like your ramblings. The one who doesn't do economics but understands it implicitly ...because models. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Jan 6th, 2024 at 11:35am:
You have ignored my outline of the requirments for a currency-issuer to be able to issue non-inflationary debt free money, ie  if the resources are available then indeed the debt-free-funded spending will increase the size of the economy wihout inflation.



And yet apparently you can purchase at international trade with nothing to support your "debt-free money". Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Jan 6th, 2024 at 11:35am:
The pandemic and war wrecked supply; price controls should have been inplemented.  But the IRA is mostly a means of building supply chains outside of China, for geo-political reasons - tossing "free trade" principles overboard. 


2021 was somewhat after the initial pandemic. But it was Biden's Inflation Reduction Act that lifted inflation in the USA. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Jan 6th, 2024 at 11:35am:
Wrong as always: China is already the world's fastest adopter of renewables, and both are committed to green by 2060.



Rubbish.

China produces 15% of its energy from renewables. Its consumption is 12% from renewables. Renewables include hydro.

https://www.eia.gov/international/content/analysis/countries_long/China/pdf/chin...

Table 1.

India “There will be pressure again on those countries who use coal,” RK Singh, minister of power and new and renewable energy, said Nov. 6. “Our point of view is that we are not going to compromise with the availability of power for growth.”

https://www.spglobal.com/commodityinsights/en/market-insights/latest-news/energy...

That is continued growth of coal.

Promise by politicians - what could possibly go wrong? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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lee
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Re: Climate, CO2 and the Sun
Reply #34 - Jan 17th, 2024 at 10:30pm
 
More from JM's tripe...Plimer.

Who to believe? A bloke who puts his name to something or a person who doesn't.

But JM believes, so it must be ANON E Mouse. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

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lee
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Re: Climate, CO2 and the Sun
Reply #35 - Jan 18th, 2024 at 11:40am
 
More from JM's tripe -

lee wrote on Jan 17th, 2024 at 10:27pm:
Sorry got carried away.


Can’t resist denying AGW, can you?  Grin Grin Grin

Never mind, accept you posted in error.


What I had posted is my previous post which I deleted at his "forum" as I am not allowed there.

Now if you can find where I denied AGW please tell me. Wink
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Belgarion
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Re: Climate, CO2 and the Sun
Reply #36 - Jan 18th, 2024 at 8:13pm
 
The climate scam and it's consequences explained rather well:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vEFmVgjdLfs
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Re: Climate, CO2 and the Sun
Reply #37 - Jan 28th, 2024 at 12:39pm
 
More from JM's drivel -

A string of Twitter posts by:

Quote:
:
Leon Simons@LeonSimons8

Gentleman scientist

Mission: To understand & protect the home planet.

Innovator, climate research & communication, social entrepreneur.

Board Club of Rome NL




So not a climate scientist then. Roll Eyes
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Belgarion
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Re: Climate, CO2 and the Sun
Reply #38 - Jan 28th, 2024 at 4:54pm
 
From The Spectator. The 'green' movement in a nutshell:

Why isn’t the media challenging the $60 trillion Net Zero cult?
Alexandra Marshall The Spectator Australia 4 December 2023
Those  who believe renewable energy will save the planet generally have very little understanding about what the apocalypse is meant to look like … or the engineering reality of the proposed solution. This is not a criticism. Climate Change is a political movement. The renewable transition is a collection of opaque policies and corporate deals negotiated in secret. Their failures are a matter for complex engineering reviews and guesswork.
Expecting anyone to understand something that has been deliberately blurred from public view is unfair.
Those who are curious enough to ask questions quickly discover that politicians have no idea what their policies mean in the real world. MPs and Senators struggle to make it through cover speeches written by their advisers, tripping over the big words and mumbling their way in and out of statistics that look fabricated or, at the very least, incomplete.
Net Zero 2050? ‘Decarbonisation’? They are bits of nonsense that look good on a campaign banner.
Political parties, mining companies, and tech firms are pilfering a fortune in public and private money to ‘do things’ that sound ‘green’ – almost all of which are damaging the environment. Is there proof that anything is truly ‘net zero’? No. ‘Carbon neutral’? That is gibberish. But no one asked for proof, so it doesn’t matter.
Where are, for example, the total costings of a wind farm over a 100-year period including ripping it out of the ground and re-building it every 25 years concealed under the feel-good heading ‘re-powering’? What about the construction and maintenance of transmissions lines, the building of the battery backup, and the replacement of that backup at least four times during the life of the wind farm? We haven’t seen that on any of Chris Bowen’s glossy press releases. His department did not include those costs when formulating the ‘cheap energy’ narrative. I am not suggesting that the Minister for Climate Change and Energy (notice the priority order in that title) is hiding the figures, I am suggesting the government has not bothered figuring them out.
Green-tinged governments were either too dumb or lazy to check the detail before signing over billions. They were bamboozled by pitch meetings given by a hungry private sector chasing a piece of the tens of trillions on offer in the energy transition. This negligence in duty is almost more depressing than conspiracy.
That said, the public are starting to realise that having their pristine landscapes draped in wires, blades, solar panels, and batteries is not the environmentally-friendly Utopia they were promised. The industrialisation of our beaches, rainforests, and oceans feels wrong. It looks wrong. It is wrong.
Under Chris Bowen and state Labor Premiers, Australia is vandalising its natural assets in service of backroom handshakes at international talk-fests – the purpose of which is to make money and empower dangerous foreign governments. Ask why mining companies would support a Net Zero ideology that pretends to hate the industry. Ask how much money these companies are making from publicly-funded grants for ‘green’ solutions. Ask how much the price of previously worthless minerals has increased now that they are used for the renewable industry. Ask how much they are making on Lithium with global government policy mandating the market create unsustainable demand. Ask who is making a fortune while pretending to close down… Ask who is keeping their fossil fuel and nuclear assets in the back pocket for a time when all this green zealotry runs out of belief… Ask who profits from your good will.
Australia’s soft-press is refusing to ask these meaningful questions or to risk embarrassing politicians either because they are incapable or, more likely, they want to protect their seat on the press bus (and clicks for their network).
Politicians and the press have developed a sick dependency on each other. Politicians are frightened of the press and the press has grown lazy and ideologically obedient. Yes, those of us who ask uncomfortable questions get quickly cut out of the media circuit and there is no requirement for politicians to suffer the indignity of a tricky interview.
Meanwhile, the independent press, who are at the door with claws and teeth, are held at bay by Silicon Valley tech giants who would prefer to work with the easily-manipulated status quo. Whenever they want another billion-dollar tech contract out of the government, they send memos to the press. It’s win-win-win for them.
Big Tech has teamed up with the Climate Change movement, expanding the pool of potential revenue upward of $60 trillion worldwide. When we take into account the money to be made from Big Pharma’s global health passports, Digital Identity, ‘smart’ cities, fake food, and 15-minute surveillance towns – the cookie jar of corporate sin expands beyond description.
The public asks why there is a consensus of lies and the answer is: money.
This money doesn’t belong to politicians – it belongs to us – and because there are no consequences for this lightweight political class, they are more than happy to wedge the door open for Silicon Valley in exchange for a friendly press and zero push-back to their mistakes thanks to ‘misinformation’ and ‘disinformation’ social media guidelines. cont:
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Belgarion
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Re: Climate, CO2 and the Sun
Reply #39 - Jan 28th, 2024 at 4:55pm
 
cont: 

Look what happened during Covid. The press, including allegedly conservative-friendly media around the world, took money to promote Covid health policies and then quietly refused to openly acknowledge mounting safety concerns. They laughed at accusations of social media censorship instead of demanding the truth from the Department of Home Affairs which later had to acknowledge leaning on Facebook and Twitter to remove factual information that harmed government message of vaccine safety when those vaccines were later revealed to be as the public had warned – potentially dangerous.
This is not a functioning society. It is a democracy crumbling with the consent of those who see anything with the word ‘free’ as a risk.
During Covid, the public allowed their fear to hold them back from asking questions.
Now, when it comes to the Green Era, ‘virtue’ and embarrassment are playing the role of duct-tape.
Start asking questions.
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Climate, CO2 and the Sun
Reply #40 - Feb 7th, 2024 at 10:18am
 
Belgarion wrote on Jan 28th, 2024 at 4:54pm:
From The Spectator. The 'green' movement in a nutshell:

Why isn’t the media challenging the $60 trillion Net Zero cult?


Maybe because the never-ending simultaneous floods, droughts, temp.extremes  and storms around the globe are catching the media's attention....
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Reply #41 - Feb 7th, 2024 at 11:13am
 
lee wrote on Jan 6th, 2024 at 2:01pm:
Vanadium Redox batteries have been built, but not tested to scale. Although it was expected to do so in August.
 

China is already testing the biggest Vanadium battery in the world (google).

Quote:
Last year's data cannot be relied upon for future earnings or spendings. So it is only good to last year. Roll Eyes


The point is Keen describes real world money flows using real word data. 

Quote:
...
mainstream DSGE dogma


Like your ramblings.


Can't address the point?

Quote:
And yet apparently you can purchase at international trade with nothing to support your "debt-free money".


As a matter of fact, the COP meetings wil eventully wake up to how to find the money required for ALL nations to transition to green, regardless of individual national resource endowments and national wealth.

Quote:
2021 was somewhat after the initial pandemic. But it was Biden's Inflation Reduction Act that lifted inflation in the USA. Roll Eyes


"somewhat after the initial pandemic" ...when supply chains were still diminished and Russia decided to start a war...

As for the IRA, don't be fooled by the name; it is an anti-free-trade bill designed to protect US industry against Chinese competition, especially in green industries. 

Quote:
China is already the world's fastest adopter of renewables, and both are committed to green by 2060.



Rubbish.

China produces 15% of its energy from renewables. Its consumption is 12% from renewables. Renewables include hydro.


Both statements are correct, because of the huge size of China's economy; it is rapidly reducing the percentage of coal useage, as an energy source, even while opening new coal; the increase in renewables is faster  than in the increase in coal.  China expects to peak emissions by 2030.

As to the year 2060 , that's the claim by both countries, just as most other countries claim emissions' free status by. 2050. 

Quote:
India “There will be pressure again on those countries who use coal,” RK Singh, minister of power and new and renewable energy, said Nov. 6. “Our point of view is that we are not going to compromise with the availability of power for growth.”


Yes, that's the anti-green stance of the Coal-ition in Oz.

Quote:
Promise by politicians - what could possibly go wrong? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


The persistance  of mainstream neoliberal economics is a greater catastrophe...
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lee
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Re: Climate, CO2 and the Sun
Reply #42 - Feb 7th, 2024 at 12:08pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7th, 2024 at 11:13am:
China is already testing the biggest Vanadium battery in the world (google).


Testing is not the same as proven. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7th, 2024 at 11:13am:
The point is Keen describes real world money flows using real word data. 



And it still can't be relied upon. "past performance is no guarantee of future performance".  Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7th, 2024 at 11:13am:
Can't address the point?


You had a point? Apart from your lack of knowledge of course. Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7th, 2024 at 11:13am:
As a matter of fact, the COP meetings wil eventully wake up to how to find the money required for ALL nations to transition to green, regardless of individual national resource endowments and national wealth.



So that would be COP number 5230? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7th, 2024 at 11:13am:
"somewhat after the initial pandemic" ...when supply chains were still diminished and Russia decided to start a war...


So now it is only supply chains diminished and Russia? Better tell the Houthis that. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7th, 2024 at 11:13am:
As for the IRA, don't be fooled by the name; it is an anti-free-trade bill designed to protect US industry against Chinese competition, especially in green industries.


You would probably, but not necessarily, know there are many people who don't believe it. How does a bill that is so green it will never burn, become a USA protection method? They would need more fossil fuel use or nuclear to produce solar panels and wind turbine blades. In fact offshore wind is really on the nose, not just in  the USA, but elsewhere. Roll Eyes

Semiconductor making needs a stable source of power, as do making turbine blades, making copper windings etc, etc.


thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7th, 2024 at 11:13am:
Both statements are correct, because of the huge size of China's economy; it is rapidly reducing the percentage of coal useage, as an energy source, even while opening new coal; the increase in renewables is faster  than in the increase in coal.



It is not RAPIDLY reducing anything. Roll Eyes

Not according to Statista.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/302233/china-power-generation-by-source/

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7th, 2024 at 11:13am:
China expects to peak emissions by 2030.


Tell me when they actually show that. So according to you that is another 6 years of increasing coal use, but coal is inherently bad. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7th, 2024 at 11:13am:
As to the year 2060 , that's the claim by both countries, just as most other countries claim emissions' free status by. 2050. 


Yes and claims are not worth the paper they are written on. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7th, 2024 at 11:13am:
Yes, that's the anti-green stance of the Coal-ition in Oz.


No that's the anti-green stance of the people in India. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7th, 2024 at 11:13am:
he persistance  of mainstream neoliberal economics is a greater catastrophe...


So says the bloke that doesn't understand models, economics, engineering etc, etc.
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Re: Climate, CO2 and the Sun
Reply #43 - Feb 7th, 2024 at 12:50pm
 
lee wrote on Feb 7th, 2024 at 12:08pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7th, 2024 at 11:13am:
China is already testing the biggest Vanadium battery in the world (google).


Testing is not the same as proven. Roll Eyes


We'll see. And if proven, every suburb on Oz will run on free renewable energy (both roof-top and grid-derived including wind)

Quote:
And it still can't be relied upon. "past performance is no guarantee of future performance".  Roll Eyes


We (and Keen)  aren't taliokng about "future performance", we are taliking about money flows in the real economy. 

Quote:
You had a point? Apart from your lack of knowledge of course. Grin Grin Grin Grin


Your resort to crippled-brain mode is noted, the point is  delusional DSGE mainsteam dogma

Quote:
So that would be COP number 5230? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


No, much sooner, as everyone realizes the transition is urgent and low-resource poor countries need assistance.

Quote:
So now it is only supply chains diminished and Russia? Better tell the Houthis that. Roll Eyes


Your crippled brain mode: not only, but also, and more, including trade wars....

Quote:
How does a bill that is so green it will never burn, become a USA protection method?


By state subsidization of PV and EV industry  , to bring those industries back to the US from China  - which is what the IRA aims to achieve.

Quote:
They would need more fossil fuel use or nuclear to produce solar panels and wind turbine blades. In fact offshore wind is really on the nose, not just in  the USA, but elsewhere. Roll Eyes
 

1. Not if they build renewables to power industry. 2. Offshore wind is a powerful tool to cut emissions especially in Europe which doesn't have arid deserts for PV farms.

Quote:
Semiconductor making needs a stable source of power, as do making turbine blades, making copper windings etc, etc.


Yep, solar/wind backed by sufficient storage of all kinds IS stable, by definition.  

Quote:
It is not RAPIDLY reducing anything. Roll Eyes


China is rapidly  increasing renwables as an energy source, eventually renewables will take over as the maon energy source. 

Quote:
Tell me when they actually show that.


?? I can only "tell you that"  in 2030, obviously

Quote:
So according to you that is another 6 years of increasing coal use, but coal is inherently bad. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


coal is bad -  but reducing the necessary rate of increase in energy consumption required to improve living standards, is worse.  Get back to me in 2030, to see if coal has peaked while renewables are forging ahead. 

Quote:
Yes and claims are not worth the paper they are written on. Roll Eyes


the COPs accept them....

Quote:
No that's the anti-green stance of the people in India. Roll Eyes


ROTFL - thanks  (but you omitted some of the people in India); yes, bias is in the eye of the beholder...but your anti-renewables crusade is doomed to failure, since all nations intend to attend the next scheduled COPS


Quote:
So says the bloke that doesn't understand models, economics, engineering etc, etc.


Descriptions of money flows in the real economy aren't models.  And there is no lack of resources required to build sufficient solar/wind/backup, to run the planet on free sun and wind. 
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Re: Climate, CO2 and the Sun
Reply #44 - Feb 7th, 2024 at 5:46pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7th, 2024 at 12:50pm:
And if proven, every suburb on Oz will run on free renewable energy (both roof-top and grid-derived including wind)


Ah dream the impossible dream. You still haven't figured out if it is paid for it is not free. And the batteries are not free either. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7th, 2024 at 12:50pm:
We (and Keen)  aren't taliokng about "future performance", we are taliking about money flows in the real economy.


So money flows in a real economy are static? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7th, 2024 at 12:50pm:
Your resort to crippled-brain mode is noted, the point is  delusional DSGE mainsteam dogma


And yet it is you that can't explain it. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7th, 2024 at 12:50pm:
No, much sooner, as everyone realizes the transition is urgent and low-resource poor countries need assistance.


So to China it isn't urgent but to others it is? Got it. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7th, 2024 at 12:50pm:
Your crippled brain mode: not only, but also, and more, including trade wars....


Oh trade wars. Isn't that something that is supposed to be a thing of the past, as every one gets along. Kumbaya. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7th, 2024 at 12:50pm:
By state subsidization of PV and EV industry  , to bring those industries back to the US from China  - which is what the IRA aims to achieve.


But closing down fossil fuels will not achieve that. Subsidies only work when you have enough electricity to do something with. Degrowth of energy is not going to cut it, with EV's etc being an increasing drain. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7th, 2024 at 12:50pm:
1. Not if they build renewables to power industry.


It hasn't worked in the real world yet. And nowhere is close to doing so. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7th, 2024 at 12:50pm:
2. Offshore wind is a powerful tool to cut emissions especially in Europe which doesn't have arid deserts for PV farms.


And yet the major builders of offshore wind are bailing as it doesn't pay enough.  Orsted, Siemens etc.

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7th, 2024 at 12:50pm:
Yep, solar/wind backed by sufficient storage of all kinds IS stable, by definition. 


Ah yes. "Sufficient storage". Have you got a figure for that yet? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7th, 2024 at 12:50pm:
China is rapidly  increasing renwables as an energy source, eventually renewables will take over as the maon energy source. 



At what percentage overbuild? Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7th, 2024 at 12:50pm:
?? I can only "tell you that"  in 2030, obviously


Exactly. Pie in the sky stuff. But you "believe". Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7th, 2024 at 12:50pm:
coal is bad -  but reducing the necessary rate of increase in energy consumption required to improve living standards, is worse.


And yet we have headlines like "Over the next several years, many regions of the US and Canada may struggle to ensure a reliable electricity supply amid soaring energy demand from the tech industry and electrification of buildings and vehicles"

https://www.newscientist.com/article/2409679-much-of-north-america-may-face-elec...

The same thing is happening in the UK, in the rush to net zero.

"Wind Farms Are Overstating Their Output — And Consumers Are Paying For It"


"Electricite de France SA’s Fallago Rig wind farm near the Scottish border claimed that it would generate 27.1% more power than it did during the five-and-a-half-year period. Just a few miles away, Fred. Olsen Renewables’ Crystal Rig II wind farm said it would produce 35.5% more energy than it delivered. Ventient Energy, backed by JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s asset management arm, overstated the output at its Farr wind farm by 28.7%."

https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2024-uk-wind-farms-overstate-output/

That overstatement of wind means they get paid more, but there is less available to the consumer.

"In 2020, even before the recent surge in energy costs, everyday Britons were paying about 75 percent more for electricity than Americans, the result of a double whammy—cap-and-trade policies on the one hand and renewable subsidies on the other. And then came the Ukraine shock. During the 2022 energy crisis, electricity rates for British businesses were more than double the average paid by U.S. businesses.

In Britain, the impact of cap-and-trade on the cost of fuel to generate electricity is massive. In 2022, government-imposed carbon costs averaged $128 per megawatt hour (MWh) for coal-generated electricity and $51 per MWh for natural gas. Those costs are on top of actual fuel costs, which averaged $150 per MWh for electricity generated from coal and $160 per MWh for natural gas. These mean that it cost $278 to generate 1 MWh of electricity from coal and $211 from natural gas."

https://www.heritage.org/energy/commentary/britains-disastrous-path-net-zero-war...

thegreatdivide wrote on Feb 7th, 2024 at 12:50pm:
since all nations intend to attend the next scheduled COPS

And will actually achieve something? Grin Grin Grin Grin

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