Zeihan, when explaining how the wheat-growing countries are soon all going to fail to deliver, he included Western Australia.

His reason for Western Australia failing? There is going to be a big flood in WA and all the soil in the western Wheatbelt will turn into a sludge that will prevent the entire crop from growing, thereby collapsing Australia's entire wheat-growing industry.

Athos is right you know... to some extent.
Although Russia is a shadow of the former USSR might.
It still has more than enough to cripple the NATO alliance.
NATO is heavily dependent on the USA at 2nd base.
There is no 3rd Base or home run Base for NATO.
Especially when Germany has folded on formal Military existence. It super-nova'd with NAZIsm and now is just a White Dwarf star when it comes to Military (Politics and Religion). Germany is the first of the Big Four to jilt Military/Politics/Religion back to the Middle-East where it came from. France, Italy and Britain to go.

Sadly for Russia though - it's between a Rock and a Hard place in Europe and China. Every nation is waiting to see who will blink first with that nervous twitch.
Russia has to choose if it is Pro-European or Pro-Asian??
Russia - being mostly Caucasian White (Rus') will of course capitulate towards Pro-European like it did towards Capitalism from Communism.
The thrust eastward of the USSR into Asia to help turn the Northern Hemisphere 'all white' with its default Cold War with the USA (as General Macarthur said in the Korean War: "We are here to kick the yellow mongol out of Asia!").
But of course, that 'Master Plan', didn't work. The desire of the White Man to the Darkies "If you don't give us half the world (equality) - we will destroy it!" rang true with the 'threat' of all out Nuclear War. Don't laugh - as insane as it sounds, the result would indeed have been insane even more.
Luckily Africa has offered White Man Australia to help find his way around the world and like a flaming sword that sees in all directions around the globe (see Bible).

But still, the world is stuck with the Russia/China thing as that business is yet to finish. Hell, the Brown Man of the Middle-East and the Yellow Man of Asia seek revenge and justice after the Flawed Yin/Yang plan failed to push the Browns to Australia and the Yellows into Asia.

N.Korea is what it is because of the USA presence in Korea decades ago. It fears the White Man from America invading again and also wants revenge.
USA: being a Privatised (non-Commonwealth) Political entity and based on a 'domestic' foundation, not International - had no right to be in Vietnam or Korea.

So we are left with the Russian leftovers from the USSR.
Well let's cut to the chase. When Russia capitulates 'in peace' to become Pro-European when it realises that Europe does not want to 'conquer' Russia (if you look at Russian history, they have every right to feel threatened).
That is when China will turn on Russia and get revenge over the USSR's domination of it in the past.

To soften the blow of World War 3 - the two 'baddies' will battle it out as Nostrodamus predicted -
WAR being the major conflict of WW3.

It will be jittery N.Korea that will bring a reluctant USA into the War against China even though it refused to accept Russia's cry for help originally. China will be miffed at N.Korea for bringing the USA in on it from its flank.

There is already half a million CCP citizens and military living in Russian territory. Putin knows he can't do a thing about it and fears to anger China. Putin can't even get his White Russians to return to those lands even for FREE homes, etc. China has already begun its invasion - it's just waiting to see which way Russia will turn.

India - being an ally of Russia, will also be at War with China. But it will be a grinding war restricted by the Himalayas. Pakistan & Bangladesh will also aid China and hamper the stronger India. Sadly, 'nukes' will be used especially in this conflict to the point of really decimating the Indian mass population. 

There will be other Wars in WW3 - as other nations have to adjust the fall of other nations and the rise of others.

The Catholic Philippines will go to head against Moslem Indonesia and the Indonesians will eventually fall due to the uprisings of its indigenous peoples, Timorese, full metal jacket Papuans, Micronesians, Hindu Balinese, Solomon Islanders and even Fijians... and yes, even Australian Mercenaries. It's going to be a Gang Bashing of Moslems in Indonesia right up to the Malaysian Border.

Europe will have it's hands full with the Last Great Jihad of what remains of the mighty Islamic 'Empire' (Military existence). Britain had to step up against Germany. But now it has stepped back (Brexit) to leave France out in front: "You Frogs want to rule Europe? - well go ahead and protect it!". The poor French don't know what they are in for as Islam does to the French what the Germans did to the Jews. France will burn like a Notre Dame Cathedral as Islam strips Military/Politics/Religion from the 2nd of the Big Four in France. Thus, France's 'cross' will break, like Germany broke it's (swastika). Only a Messiah sacrifice will save what remains of France, even if 'Christian' France itself is sacrificed for Europe.

There will be other wars - but not as devastating as China v Russia or Islam invading Europe or even what happens to India.

Thus will 'End'  the 1st Age of the 'Global' Era.
World Wars 4, 5, 6, 7 & 8 to go until the process towards the true plan is complete.

Stay aware and you might just make it through this currently 'insane' state of the world.

Well thought out but you said 'If'.
Well I can tell you there will be no 'if' - it won't happen that way.
The fact that Zelensky has run to Britain to push his desires shows that Britain and NATO are indeed reluctant to take the fight to Russia. Britain didn't go to Zelensky, he went to them.
A move in the wrong direction for your scenario to happen.

Russia might take Ukraine for a short time of the near future. But Europe knows Russia will lose Siberia to the Yellow Man via China. It's resource rich and the Yellow Man knows it.  Ukraine is a small prize for the Rus' compared to what it will lose in the 'far' east of its lands.

Back to Zeihan. He presents as a caricature of a Gen-X catastrophist that would not be out of place in Coupland's novel.

Jasin wrote on Feb 9^th, 2023 at 7:19pm:

No, it doesn't.

CCP expansion into Russia is the last thing NATO wants, and neither does all of southeast Asia, nor Japan, nor South Korea - with most of them being strong allies of the US and getting stronger.

Jasin wrote on Feb 9^th, 2023 at 7:37pm:

Yep, you're schizy.

Jasin wrote on Feb 9^th, 2023 at 9:03pm:

For a start, don't enter the ward dressed as a priest, I'd bet.

I figure this war has been going on for 12 months that both sides are running out of resources. They would require outside help to keep up the fight going, which is what Ukraine mainly has on its side. By May, we might see a stalemate emerge. Kind of looking forward to petrol price drop 20c/L. (Oh, and the killing to stop in Ukraine, too...).