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Implications for critters of Solar Cycle #25 (Read 209 times)
Jovial Monk
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Implications for critters of Solar Cycle #25
Sep 4th, 2022 at 2:00pm
 
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December 2019 marked the beginning of Solar Cycle 25. The Sun’s activity has quickly ramped up and even though we haven’t reached peak levels in this cycle, the Sun’s activity is already exceeding predictions. Solar events will continue to increase as we near solar maximum in 2025, and our lives and technology on Earth, as well as satellites and astronauts in space, will be impacted.

NASA’s Heliophysics Division is developing a mission that will provide crucial advances in our understanding of the ionosphere-thermosphere (I-T) system – the Geospace Dynamics Constellation (GDC). This mission will provide the first coordinated global-scale observations of the I-T region, where the effects of solar activity are often seen. The I-T region is a part of Earth’s upper atmosphere that extends up to about 400 miles altitude and includes low-Earth-orbit, where the International Space Station and many commercial and governmental satellites reside. The I-T system is a region that affects our technological society in many ways, from creating interference in radio signals to generating large electric currents in power distribution systems. The GDC mission’s study of the global, coupled system will enable dramatic improvements in our space weather models, which will lead to the mitigation of negative effects on space-based, air-based, and ground-based assets.


See the cycle to date below.

We can expect big solar flares. If one of these hits Earth or nearly does satellites are going to go out. E.g. GPS, weather prediction, satellite phone systems/internet.

If a flare really hits—power lines/generators will blow. Our loverly rustic copper internet—BOOM!

How will you fare? Got a map in the car in case the GPS system goes? Backup generator? Nonperishable food for when the fridge stops working? For people, for pets, for stock? Water?
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Jovial Monk
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Re: Implications for critters of Solar Cycle #25
Reply #1 - Sep 7th, 2022 at 10:15am
 
New chart, continuing to show the current solar cycle, #25 being more active than Cycle 24 at the same stage of the cycle:

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Jovial Monk
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Re: Implications for critters of Solar Cycle #25
Reply #2 - Sep 7th, 2022 at 10:20am
 
As a consequence, insolation—sunlight reaching the surface—has increased a tiny bit over each square metre of the earths surface.

Clearly—there is no GSM now and there will not be a new mini ice age soon. There just won’t.

Instead, the Thwaites glacier is hanging on by its finger nails: https://newatlas.com/environment/antarcticas-doomsday-glacier-fingernails/


If that goes the massive Pine Island glacier will slide into the sea too.

Buying a house/farm/business? Look for something well above sea levels away from the tropics or lands too close to the poies (northern USA states, Canada etc) which will have long, searingly hot summer days destroying crops.

The paper the NewAtlas was based on: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41561-022-01019-9


Lots of implications for critters! Seafront property may not be as desirable as before! The economic disruption when the Thwaites lets go and sea levels rise much more quickly then they have will be huge! The Netherlands will definitely go under the sea as will deltas like the Egyptian and Bangladeshan deltas. Before these lands go under there will be increasing salt water incursions destroying farmland.
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« Last Edit: Sep 7th, 2022 at 10:26am by Jovial Monk »  

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Jovial Monk
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Re: Implications for critters of Solar Cycle #25
Reply #3 - Sep 7th, 2022 at 10:28am
 
I posted a lot of info about the Thwaites and adjacent Pine Isl glaciers in what is laughingly called the Environment MRB. If the psychopath blackmailing cretin mismanaging that unhappy board has not deleted or hidden those posts then you can read up for more detail.
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