Interesting article about Walter...
How Civil Wars Start by Barbara F Walter review – sounding the alarm.
Barbara Walter does not expect to see a civil war in the US of the order of the conflict that
tore the nation apart in the 1860s, but that’s chiefly because civil wars are fought differently
these days.
The key concept is that of “anocracy”, a transition stage of government between autocracy
and democracy. The transition can be made in either direction, and it is during the transition
that most civil wars erupt. Autocracies possess sufficient powers of repression to keep potential
insurgents in check; democracies allow dissidents means to effect change without resorting
to violence. But when autocracies weaken, repression can fail, and when democracies ossify,
the release valves get stuck.