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a green future means more mines (Read 3434 times)
thegreatdivide
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Re: a green future means more mines
Reply #15 - May 14th, 2022 at 10:37pm
 
lee wrote on May 14th, 2022 at 12:42pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on May 13th, 2022 at 10:20pm:
Dear me, we are talking increasing  average atmospheric temps related to increasing man-made CO2 concentrations, over the last century, which increases rate of evaporation of sea water.


Now all you have to do is prove it was CO2 what done it. Theory says yes. But the earth is not a greenhouse. A greenhouse doesn't have a wind tunnel through it.

Apparently before the end of the LIA, when temperatures started rising, it was all natural and everything since is the evil CO2. No natural variation at all. Natural variation has never been measured. Without that you can't calculate what CO2 has or hasn't done.
[url]https://images.remss.com/msu/graphics/TLT_v40/plots/RSS_TS_channel_TLT_Global_La
nd_And_Sea_v04_0.png[/url]

Looking at that, despite greater CO2, there has been no increase in temperature since January 2013.

thegreatdivide wrote on May 13th, 2022 at 10:20pm:
Note the highlighted and underlined, above. I'm afraid you will have a difficult time convincing Queenslanders otherwise, just now.....



Yeah the magic molecule can do everything. Raise temperature, lower temperature, cause drought, cause extreme rainfall, Cause extreme heat, cause extreme cold.

Is there nothing it can't do? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


Either way, increasingly catastrophic weather events, whether CO2 related or not, are going to have to be resourced: note I said RESOURCED (since money is created out of thin air, money is not a problem, see the MMT thread).

Oh, and at the same time, we might as well increasingly power the energy grid on free sunshine and wind,
- funded by the BIS (with its unlimited currency-issuing capacity) utilizing resources as appropriate ie NOT in the profit-seeking  free market  -  to end the energy poverty in the 3rd world.

 
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lee
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Re: a green future means more mines
Reply #16 - May 15th, 2022 at 1:08pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on May 14th, 2022 at 10:37pm:
Either way, increasingly catastrophic weather events, whether CO2 related or not, are going to have to be resourced: note I said RESOURCED (since money is created out of thin air, money is not a problem, see the MMT thread).



First you have to show there is "increasingly catastrophic weather events". Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on May 14th, 2022 at 10:37pm:
Oh, and at the same time, we might as well increasingly power the energy grid on free sunshine and wind,
- funded by the BIS (with its unlimited currency-issuing capacity) utilizing resources as appropriate ie NOT in the profit-seeking  free market  -  to end the energy poverty in the 3rd world.



Ah yes. Stop third world countries from using their own fossil fuel supplies. Because you don't like them to have cheap, reliable electricity.

You still haven't said how many times increased capacity to cover for intermittency, let alone increased for greater electrification.

BTW - Now both India and China want to increase coal use.

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thegreatdivide
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Re: a green future means more mines
Reply #17 - May 15th, 2022 at 11:09pm
 
lee wrote on May 15th, 2022 at 1:08pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on May 14th, 2022 at 10:37pm:
Either way, increasingly catastrophic weather events, whether CO2 related or not, are going to have to be resourced: note I said RESOURCED (since money is created out of thin air, money is not a problem, see the MMT thread).



First you have to show there is "increasingly catastrophic weather events". Roll Eyes


Er.....the last four years, globally,  speak for themselves.

Quote:
Ah yes. Stop third world countries from using their own fossil fuel supplies. Because you don't like them to have cheap, reliable electricity.


Why do you think 700 million Indians are still burning cow dung? 

Quote:
You still haven't said how many times increased capacity to cover for intermittency, let alone increased for greater electrification.


Get back to me when the world is running on the easily achieved c. 80% renewables, to see whether we need nuclear as base load in order to turn off fossils completely.

Quote:
BTW - Now both India and China want to increase coal use.


That's because the world is still controlled by private financiers seeking profits in free markets (the mob responsible for Sri Lanka's overseas debt).  They need to be put out to pasture by a reformed international public financing system.   


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Baronvonrort
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Re: a green future means more mines
Reply #18 - May 16th, 2022 at 12:08am
 
If we stop selling Coal some other country will step up and fill the void.

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Leftists and the Ayatollahs have a lot in common when it comes to criticism of Islam, they don't tolerate it.
 
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lee
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Re: a green future means more mines
Reply #19 - May 16th, 2022 at 2:45pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on May 15th, 2022 at 11:09pm:
Er.....the last four years, globally,  speak for themselves.



Oh only four years. I thought it was about climate.

But which events have not happened before or were worse than before?

thegreatdivide wrote on May 15th, 2022 at 11:09pm:
Why do you think 700 million Indians are still burning cow dung?


Because they don't have the infrastructure. And they won't have the infrastructure building renewables.

thegreatdivide wrote on May 15th, 2022 at 11:09pm:
Get back to me when the world is running on the easily achieved c. 80% renewables, to see whether we need nuclear as base load in order to turn off fossils completely.



Another SWAG. That's the only thing you are good at. Roll Eyes

.thegreatdivide wrote on May 15th, 2022 at 11:09pm:
That's because the world is still controlled by private financiers seeking profits in free markets (the mob responsible for Sri Lanka's overseas debt).  They need to be put out to pasture by a reformed international public financing system. 



Even though China and India have their own large fossil fuel reserves it is the evil internationals who are causing it all. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

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thegreatdivide
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Re: a green future means more mines
Reply #20 - May 16th, 2022 at 7:27pm
 
lee wrote on May 16th, 2022 at 2:45pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on May 15th, 2022 at 11:09pm:
Er.....the last four years, globally,  speak for themselves.



Oh only four years. I thought it was about climate.


No, its about the increasing occurence of climate/weather catastrophes - eg, as in the last 4 years.

Quote:
But which events have not happened before or were worse than before?


Current heatwave in India, current recurrent flooding in Queensland.

Quote:
Because they don't have the infrastructure. And they won't have the infrastructure building renewables.


They don't have the infrastructure because....India is not wealthy enough to build it.

Quote:
Another SWAG. That's the only thing you are good at. Roll Eyes


Empiricism on the way to global,  cheap - mainly renewable - energy. Your desperation to save the filthy, expensive self-enriching fossil cartels is clouding your ability to think.



Quote:
Even though China and India have their own large fossil fuel reserves it is the evil internationals who are causing it all. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin 


But India, given the current evil globa system controlled by private financiers,  can't afford to develop its own reserves AND c build its own infrastructure: and why does Adani want Oz coal?

Likewise China is faced with cleaning its atmosphere, the cost of cleaning up coal plants is prohibitive.




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lee
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Re: a green future means more mines
Reply #21 - May 16th, 2022 at 7:42pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on May 16th, 2022 at 7:27pm:
No, its about the increasing occurence of climate/weather catastrophes - eg, as in the last 4 years.



And yet you haven't cited any "increasing occurrence of climate /weather catastrophes"

thegreatdivide wrote on May 16th, 2022 at 7:27pm:
Current heatwave in India, current recurrent flooding in Queensland.

.

Current heatwave in India? More frequent than when?

Recurrent flooding in Queensland? Similar to the 1890's flooding. Climate changes you have to show it is CO2 induced and not natural variation.

http://www.bom.gov.au/qld/flood/fld_history/brisbane_history.shtml
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lee
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Re: a green future means more mines
Reply #22 - May 16th, 2022 at 9:08pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on May 16th, 2022 at 7:27pm:
They don't have the infrastructure because....India is not wealthy enough to build it.



Labour is cheap in India.

thegreatdivide wrote on May 16th, 2022 at 7:27pm:
Empiricism on the way to global,  cheap - mainly renewable - energy.


So you don't have empirical evidence.  ":It is on the way" Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Not one country advance or not relies solely on renewables.

thegreatdivide wrote on May 16th, 2022 at 7:27pm:
But India, given the current evil globa system controlled by private financiers,  can't afford to develop its own reserves AND c build its own infrastructure: and why does Adani want Oz coal?


Ask Adani, Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on May 16th, 2022 at 7:27pm:
Likewise China is faced with cleaning its atmosphere, the cost of cleaning up coal plants is prohibitive.



Another SWAG. But it must be why China is building more coal plants.

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thegreatdivide
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Re: a green future means more mines
Reply #23 - May 17th, 2022 at 2:10pm
 
lee wrote on May 16th, 2022 at 9:08pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on May 16th, 2022 at 7:27pm:
They don't have the infrastructure because....India is not wealthy enough to build it.


Labour is cheap in India.


..er..labour is cheap in the 3rd world, yet governments cannot afford vital infrastructure; and private companies - if they see an opportunity -  only extract profits for themselves, not the nation.


Quote:
So you don't have empirical evidence.  ":It is on the way" Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


By definition, "empirical evidence" is gained by doing, not by theory.

Quote:
Not one country advance or not relies solely on renewables.


Solely? The limit will be discovered empirically. eg how much of the world's hot-desert solar power/off-shore wind can be stored, in sufficient quantity, for a 100% renewable energy economy.

Quote:
Ask Adani, Roll Eyes


Apparently there isn't enough coal in India.

Quote:
Another SWAG.
But it must be why China is building more coal plants.


Wrong.

1. Chinese economists haven't liberated themselves from neoliberal market economy dogma, hence their  misplaced concerns over debt.  China, like everyone else, could be transitioning to green much faster than is possible in the private sector market economy, by building the large scale storage needed - paid for the the PBofC, not by privately financed debt.

Hence China is still building coal plants because they are "cheaper" to achieve secure back-up, cf. eg, large scale, pumped-hydro storage.

2. But China is seeking pollution-free energy sources, ie free from CO2 (since China accepts climate science), and fossil-generated, health-damaging filth, to achieve clean air in the cities;  so the drive to renewables will continue.








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lee
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Re: a green future means more mines
Reply #24 - May 17th, 2022 at 3:07pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on May 17th, 2022 at 2:10pm:
er..labour is cheap in the 3rd world, yet governments cannot afford vital infrastructure; and private companies - if they see an opportunity -  only extract profits for themselves, not the nation.



And yet renewables will do it. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on May 17th, 2022 at 2:10pm:
By definition, "empirical evidence" is gained by doing, not by theory.



So that's a "No" then.  It hasn't been done. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on May 17th, 2022 at 2:10pm:
Solely? The limit will be discovered empirically. eg how much of the world's hot-desert solar power/off-shore wind can be stored, in sufficient quantity, for a 100% renewable energy economy.


So once  again. Nowhere has it been done. But you want to impose that on poor countries anyway. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on May 17th, 2022 at 2:10pm:
Apparently there isn't enough coal in India.


Only the fifth largest reserves in the world behind Australia and China. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on May 17th, 2022 at 2:10pm:
Hence China is still building coal plants because they are "cheaper" to achieve secure back-up, cf. eg, large scale, pumped-hydro storage.



What cheaper than renewables?  Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on May 17th, 2022 at 2:10pm:
2. But China is seeking pollution-free energy sources, ie free from CO2 (since China accepts climate science), and fossil-generated, health-damaging filth, to achieve clean air in the cities;  so the drive to renewables will continue.



Another SWAG.

Edit: Heatwaves in India -

https://149366104.v2.pressablecdn.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/image_thumb-55....

Data from - https://climexp.knmi.nl/data/xgdcnIN022021900.dat

Edit Rainfallk Eastern States -

"The ENSO Outlook remains at LA NIÑA."

"Even in decline, La Niña increases the chances of above-average rainfall for eastern Australia."

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/outlook/
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« Last Edit: May 17th, 2022 at 3:17pm by lee »  
 
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thegreatdivide
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Re: a green future means more mines
Reply #25 - May 18th, 2022 at 12:46pm
 
lee wrote on May 17th, 2022 at 3:07pm:
And yet renewables will do it. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


Of course -  with at least 80% (or higher) security with present technology; get on with it, and deal with the last 20% when we come to it.

Btw, climate 'hysteria' on the media is  driving the Oz election, just in case you didn't know.

And even if this very real 'hysteria' is wrongly based - ie,  it's actually a  symptom of the failure of current dysfunctional global capitalist markets to serve the real needs of  people,  action for positive change will still be demanded by the people.

Hence you lose, regardless of the veracity of climate change theory; the fact is the global economy is imploding all around us.

https://scheerpost.com/2022/05/04/ellen-brown-a-monetary-reset-where-the-rich-do...

Ellen Brown: A Monetary Reset Where the Rich Don’t Own Everything

May 4, 2022

"We have a serious debt problem, but solutions such as the World Economic Forum’s “Great Reset” are not the future we want. It’s time to think outside the box for some new solutions".

Quote:
So that's a "No" then.  It hasn't been done. Roll Eyes


It's being done, despite of the resistance from fossil interests. Of course it can be sped up remarkably....

Quote:
So once  again. Nowhere has it been done. But you want to impose that on poor countries anyway. Roll Eyes


No, I want the World Bank/IMF/BIS to pay for it in the developing world.

Quote:
Only the fifth largest reserves in the world behind Australia and China. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


India has the equal largest population in the world (with China); their supplies aren't sufficient which is why Adani wants Oz coal, to increase his own profits from extracting filthy fossils. 

Quote:
What cheaper than renewables?  Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


With large scale storage,  yes.  That's where the BIS is needed.

Quote:
Another SWAG.


Eliminating filthy fossil pollution in India's and China's populous  cities isn't a SWAG, it's a matter of life and death. 

Quote:
Edit: Heatwaves in India -

https://149366104.v2.pressablecdn.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/image_thumb-55....

Data from - https://climexp.knmi.nl/data/xgdcnIN022021900.dat

Edit Rainfallk Eastern States -

"The ENSO Outlook remains at LA NIÑA."

"Even in decline, La Niña increases the chances of above-average rainfall for eastern Australia."

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/outlook/


A 74 year-old  Indian yesterday saying "he has never experienced a heat wave like this'.

Hysteria? But anyway, your privately-financed, global market economy is responsible for nations' economies  failing everywhere.

Time's up, as noted by Ellen Brown, above. 

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« Last Edit: May 18th, 2022 at 12:56pm by thegreatdivide »  
 
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lee
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Re: a green future means more mines
Reply #26 - May 18th, 2022 at 3:36pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on May 18th, 2022 at 12:46pm:
Of course -  with at least 80% (or higher) security with present technology; get on with it, and deal with the last 20% when we come to it.

Crap.

thegreatdivide wrote on May 18th, 2022 at 12:46pm:
https://scheerpost.com/2022/05/04/ellen-brown-a-monetary-reset-where-the-rich-do
...

Ellen Brown: A Monetary Reset Where the Rich Don’t Own Everything


Scheer Sch!t.

thegreatdivide wrote on May 18th, 2022 at 12:46pm:
It's being done, despite of the resistance from fossil interests.


Nowhere is it even 30% despite subsidies to renewables.

thegreatdivide wrote on May 18th, 2022 at 12:46pm:
No, I want the World Bank/IMF/BIS to pay for it in the developing world.



And where do they get their money? Not a sovereign nation. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on May 18th, 2022 at 12:46pm:
India has the equal largest population in the world (with China); their supplies aren't sufficient which is why Adani wants Oz coal, to increase his own profits from extracting filthy fossils. 



They have plenty. It only needs to be mined. When or if that runs out you may have a case.

thegreatdivide wrote on May 18th, 2022 at 12:46pm:
With large scale storage,  yes.  That's where the BIS is needed.


But the large scale storage is a cost associated with renewables. So not cheap then. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on May 18th, 2022 at 12:46pm:
Eliminating filthy fossil pollution in India's and China's populous  cities isn't a SWAG, it's a matter of life and death.


India - " According to the Census 2011, The life expectancy at birth in 2011 was 66.87 years for men and 69.96 years for women. Over the years life expectancy at birth has increased in India and all the states. As per the Census population projection expected Life expectancy at birth in 2022 is 69.4 years for men and 72.7 years for women."

https://www.findeasy.in/indian-states-by-life-expectancy/

Still going up. "It steadily rose from 1920 onwards and is 69.96 years in 2021. Life expectancy of Indians is expected to rise to 80 years in the next three decades."

Shanghai - Still rising from 73.33 in 1980 to 84.11 in 2021

thegreatdivide wrote on May 18th, 2022 at 12:46pm:
A 74 year-old  Indian yesterday saying "he has never experienced a heat wave like this'.



Yeah. I have the same trouble remembering hot weather from 50 years ago. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on May 18th, 2022 at 12:46pm:
But anyway, your privately-financed, global market economy is responsible for nations' economies  failing everywhere.


Only in your tiny little bubble. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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thegreatdivide
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Re: a green future means more mines
Reply #27 - May 18th, 2022 at 11:37pm
 
lee wrote on May 18th, 2022 at 3:36pm:
Only in your tiny little bubble. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


From the latest IPCC report, 2022:

https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg2/resources/spm-headline-statements


D2. Climate resilient development is enabled when governments, civil society and the private sector make inclusive development choices that prioritise risk reduction, equity and justice, and when decision-making processes, finance and actions are integrated across governance levels, sectors and timeframes (very high confidence). Climate resilient development is facilitated by international cooperation and by governments at all levels working with communities, civil society, educational bodies, scientific and other institutions, media, investors and businesses; and by developing partnerships with traditionally marginalised groups, including women, youth, Indigenous Peoples, local communities and ethnic minorities (high confidence). These partnerships are most effective when supported by enabling political leadership, institutions, resources, including finance, as well as climate services, information and decision support tools (high confidence).

Like I said, the  days of private, market-based energy production  are over.




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lee
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Re: a green future means more mines
Reply #28 - May 19th, 2022 at 11:58am
 
Oh the AR6 report that says both RCP8.5 is implausible (the Physical Science Basis) and also says it is business-as-usual (Impacts,Adaptation and Vulnerability).

So from WG2 which ignored the Science. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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thegreatdivide
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Re: a green future means more mines
Reply #29 - May 19th, 2022 at 1:21pm
 
lee wrote on May 19th, 2022 at 11:58am:
Oh the AR6 report that says both RCP8.5 is implausible (the Physical Science Basis) and also says it is business-as-usual (Impacts,Adaptation and Vulnerability).

So from WG2 which ignored the Science. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


Are you claiming the IPCC is divided in its findings?

Meanwhile:

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/hottest-years-record-climate-change-copernicus/

"The past seven years have been the hottest ever recorded globally "by a clear margin," according to findings released Monday by scientists with the European Union's Copernicus Climate Change Service. Though 2021 was not quite as warm as other recent years, scientists warned that global greenhouse gas emissions are continuing to rise".
Carbon dioxide and methane concentrations are continuing to increase year on year and without signs of slowing down," Vincent-Henri Peuch, director of the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service, said in the release. "Only with determined efforts backed up by observational evidence can we make a real difference in our fight against the climate catastrophe."

The heat was especially repressive in Europe last summer. The continent experienced its warmest summer on record, and Sicily broke the European record for hottest recorded temperature when it reached 119.8 degrees Fahrenheit (though the findings have not yet been confirmed by the World Meteorological Organization).


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