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The COP26 Failure And More Blah, Blah, Blah (Read 11478 times)
lee
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Re: The COP26 Failure And More Blah, Blah, Blah
Reply #15 - Nov 7th, 2021 at 6:59pm
 
Dnarever wrote on Nov 7th, 2021 at 6:02pm:
If anyone is interested I can summarize what Lee has said here.

Blah blah blah blah.


Thank you for the technical feedback. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: The COP26 Failure And More Blah, Blah, Blah
Reply #16 - Nov 7th, 2021 at 7:27pm
 
lee wrote on Nov 7th, 2021 at 3:17pm:
Renewables are weather dependent. How many Gigawatt hours is that? That is the energy required.
 

Renewables are not weather dependent when backed by pumped-hydo storage.  Northern Australian alone can create enough stored solar energy to power Oz many times over. 

Quote:
But ANU has found suitable sites? How much land needs to be drowned to create the lakes? Will it impinge on current households? Where would the Government of the states resettle them?

From ANU -
""Australia needs only a tiny fraction of these sites for pumped hydro storage - about 450 GWh of storage - to support a 100 per cent renewable electricity system," said Professor Blakers from the ANU Research School of Engineering."


Good to see you doing your own homework.

"A tiny fraction" of uninhabited areas is required for 450 GW 
(more than the 55GW I read somewhere; there may be a difference between GW and GWhours, eg the figures may relate to differences between generating versus  storage facilities. Google tells me the output of Snowy2 is 2 GW which seems low.

Quote:
Very good. The reason they were discontinued was because they don't have the energy density required for a modern society. Roll Eyes


Wrong, the ANU study shows there is no lack of renewables + storage in Oz to prevent transition to 100% green energy.

Energy density doesn't matter when you can potentially have solar + wind + storage producing far more energy than you need.

The reason why the government isnt rolling out renewables ASAP is the private sector is too conflicted -- wanting to maintain its fat profits in the fossil industry.



Quote:
Which is why we need to get rid of green tape.


No we need to nationalize the energy sector, like premier Playford did in SA after WW2. Then we can get on with the job without all the private sector contradictions including the calls for hated carbon taxes to make the market economy work...but the market won't work in a global climate emergency.  

Note: Menzies paid for the the Snowy River Scheme with deficit funding; there's something for you to study.

Quote:
Solar panels are only good from about 1000 hours to 1500 hours daily, otherwise they are not effective.


Irrelevant, if they can store more in batteries  (home)  or pumped hydro (grid scale) than you will ever need.   

Quote:
They just had a wind drought over UK and Europe that lasted for more than 7 days.


Which would have been immaterial if it wasn't for the failure of the market over the last decade -  to enable fast transition from fossils to green, nowhere near enough renewable infrastructure has been built.  Eg the Sahara desert alone could power the EU and UK, and certainly act as back up for more local infrastructure.  The market has failed.  

Quote:
Then of course they need all that steel, concrete, copper etc for the towers and turbines. More than for stationary plant as each tower needs it.


BHP, Rio etc etc can supply many more times the quantity of materials needed.

Quote:
So what would the cost be of the interconnection of WA and NT to the rest of the grid?


Good question; and this is the the main stumbling block to renewables, among people who don't understand economics.

A government owned system need not concern itself with "cost" because ultimately the government will own a facility that produces free electricity (from sun and wind) across the entire nation, with tremendous benefits for the nation's productivity.  So the currency-issuing Oz government can 'lend" the money to itself,  to fund the green infrastructure. See the Menzies example.

Quote:
EV's can become power plants? Yes I have seen that claim. So what happens when you want to use your EV and it has been supplementing the grid and the battery is flat? Roll Eyes



That's where the smart grid comes in. Customers who know they won't be using their car during a certain period, can dial the information into the grid and send excess power to the grid, instead of letting the home's roof solar output going to waste each day in the case of a fully charged EV sitting around doing nothing for days on end. ..
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« Last Edit: Nov 7th, 2021 at 7:34pm by thegreatdivide »  
 
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Re: The COP26 Failure And More Blah, Blah, Blah
Reply #17 - Nov 7th, 2021 at 8:55pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 7th, 2021 at 7:27pm:
Renewables are not weather dependent when backed by pumped-hydo storage.


having storage does not change the fact they are weather dependent. 7 day wind drought and 7 days overcast Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 7th, 2021 at 7:27pm:
"A tiny fraction" of uninhabited areas is required for 450 GW h


Now all you have to do is get greenies agree to damming places. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 7th, 2021 at 7:27pm:
more than the 55GW I read somewhere; there may be a difference between GW and GWhours, eg the figures may relate to differences between generating versus  storage facilities.


If you provide 100MW for 10 hours that is 1 GigaWatt hour.  But it's nice to know how technically minded you are. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 7th, 2021 at 7:27pm:
Wrong, the ANU study shows there is no lack of renewables + storage in Oz to prevent transition to 100% green energy.


At what cost? Don't forget we are continually told renewables are FREE.

" Thus, the expected cost of a 1,000 megawatt pumped hydro energy storage system with a head of 600 m and 14 hours of storage is about $1.8 billion."

https://www.aph.gov.au/About_Parliament/Parliamentary_Departments/Parliamentary_...

Now multiply that 450GWh by 1.8 Billion 450*1.8 billion.

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 7th, 2021 at 7:27pm:
nergy density doesn't matter when you can potentially have solar + wind + storage producing far more energy than you need.


So tell us how the energy density of wind and of solar. Wink

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 7th, 2021 at 7:27pm:
The reason why the government isnt rolling out renewables ASAP is the private sector is too conflicted -- wanting to maintain its fat profits in the fossil industry.



If renewables are so cheap why re investors hanging back. It would mean more fat profits if what you say is true.  Warren Buffet says the only reason to invest in renewables is the subsidies.

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 7th, 2021 at 7:27pm:
No we need to nationalize the energy sector, like premier Playford did in SA after WW2. Then we can get on with the job without all the private sector contradictions including the calls for hated carbon taxes to make the market economy work...but the market won't work in a global climate emergency.   


Playford did in SA and WA is state owned too. That's because of small population bases.

And nowhere is there a "global climate emergency". Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 7th, 2021 at 7:27pm:
Note: Menzies paid for the the Snowy River Scheme with deficit funding; there's something for you to study.


So you want to increase government deficits? Labor don't want that to happen. Wink

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 7th, 2021 at 7:27pm:
rrelevant, if they can store more in batteries  (home)  or pumped hydro (grid scale) than you will ever need.   


And yet you haven't made that case. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 7th, 2021 at 7:27pm:
Which would have been immaterial if it wasn't for the failure of the market over the last decade -  to enable fast transition from fossils to green, nowhere near enough renewable infrastructure has been built.


When 230 wind turbines put out zero multiply say1000 turbines it is still zero. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 7th, 2021 at 7:27pm:
Eg the Sahara desert alone could power the EU and UK, and certainly act as back up for more local infrastructure.


What technology? Not solar - sand scours the panels badly reduces output. Wink

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 7th, 2021 at 7:27pm:
BHP, Rio etc etc can supply many more times the quantity of materials needed.


And you have no idea what you are talking about.

"How about 50% wind power worldwide?

What would we need for wind power alone for the year 2050, with then 10 billion people worldwide? Based on current energy consumption levels, probably 80,000 terawatt hours (TWh) of wind power alone would be needed annually worldwide by 2050. That is, if we want to end hunger and lift the third world out of poverty. That would be equivalent to some 20 million wind turbines. Each wind turbine requires more than 6,000 tons of material, mainly steel and concrete, aluminium, copper and rare earth metals. That adds up to some 120 billion tons of material. "

https://notrickszone.com/2021/11/03/glasgow-the-stampede-to-mass-poverty-120-bil...

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 7th, 2021 at 7:27pm:
A government owned system need not concern itself with "cost" because ultimately the government will own a facility that produces free electricity (from sun and wind) across the entire nation, with tremendous benefits for the nation's productivity.  So the currency-issuing Oz government can 'lend" the money to itself,  to fund the green infrastructure.


So does the government then need concern itself when the renewables need changing? Grin Grin Grin Grin

tbc
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Re: The COP26 Failure And More Blah, Blah, Blah
Reply #18 - Nov 7th, 2021 at 8:57pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 7th, 2021 at 7:27pm:
That's where the smart grid comes in. Customers who know they won't be using their car during a certain period, can dial the information into the grid and send excess power to the grid, instead of letting the home's roof solar output going to waste each day in the case of a fully charged EV sitting around doing nothing for days on end.


So not a smart grid. The customer has to tell the supplier when he can't take. Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: The COP26 Failure And More Blah, Blah, Blah
Reply #19 - Nov 9th, 2021 at 6:55pm
 
lee wrote on Nov 7th, 2021 at 8:55pm:
having storage does not change the fact they are weather dependent. 7 day wind drought and 7 days overcast Roll Eyes


You forgot sunshine in north Oz, which interconnected with pumped hydro will never 'run out'. Likewise the wind is always blowing somewhere in or offshore Oz. 

Quote:
Now all you have to do is get greenies agree to damming places. Roll Eyes


Good point, but if the climate emergency is real, they'll  have to agree....at least until nuclear fusion is mastered, when they will be able to return all those dams back to nature.

Quote:
If you provide 100MW for 10 hours that is 1 GigaWatt hour.  But it's nice to know how technically minded you are. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


So you might answer these questions: what is the projected output  (power storage)  of  Snowy 2?   2GW or 2GW hours? And does that mean  225 Snowy2 equivalents are needed to back up (supply)  the 450 GW mentioned in the ANU study, as opposed to the 55 GW which is the size of Oz power output i read somewhere?

Quote:
At what cost? Don't forget we are continually told renewables are FREE.


After  the infrastructure is built, they ARE free.

Note: a currency-issuing government with its own treasury and central bank can spend  money into existence when the resources on which to spend the money are available.

Quote:
" Thus, the expected cost of a 1,000 megawatt pumped hydro energy storage system with a head of 600 m and 14 hours of storage is about $1.8 billion."

https://www.aph.gov.au/About_Parliament/Parliamentary_Departments/Parliamentary_...

Now multiply that 450GWh by 1.8 Billion 450*1.8 billion.

So tell us how the energy density of wind and of solar. Wink


Cost is irrelevant for the currency-issuer, if the resources are available as explained above; and energy density is only relevant for liquid fuels, not solar panels or wind turbines. 

Quote:
If renewables are so cheap why are investors hanging back. It would mean more fat profits if what you say is true.  Warren Buffet says the only reason to invest in renewables is the subsidies.


Building the green infrastructure is expensive, but once completed, there are no profits to be had from free sun and wind. That's why the private sector wants carbon taxes, to make electricity expensive enough for them to build green infrastructure while closing fossil plants - which they don't want to do, because the latter are so lucrative for private investors. . 

Quote:
Playford did in SA and WA is state owned too. That's because of small population bases.


Just to show the concept of nationalization actually works...

Quote:
And nowhere is there a "global climate emergency". Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


aha ...so I'm debating a climate denier; the science says there is a climate emergency, but let's move on...

Quote:
So you want to increase government deficits? Labor don't want that to happen. Wink


Correct. That's because they don't understand MMT either.  But if the climate emergency is cooking us all in a decade's time, they will discover MMT's applicability quick smart....

Quote:
When 230 wind turbines put out zero multiply say1000 turbines it is still zero. Roll Eyes
What technology? Not solar - sand scours the panels badly reduces output. Wink


The Sahara is not all shifting sand, PV's can be built on elevated platforms.

There is no lack of materials which would prevent transition to 100% global renewable economy.

Quote:
"How about 50% wind power worldwide?

What would we need for wind power alone for the year 2050, with then 10 billion people worldwide? Based on current energy consumption levels, probably 80,000 terawatt hours (TWh) of wind power alone would be needed annually worldwide by 2050. That is, if we want to end hunger and lift the third world out of poverty. That would be equivalent to some 20 million wind turbines. Each wind turbine requires more than 6,000 tons of material, mainly steel and concrete, aluminium, copper and rare earth metals. That adds up to some 120 billion tons of material. "

https://notrickszone.com/2021/11/03/glasgow-the-stampede-to-mass-poverty-120-bil...


That figure of 80,000 TWh is likely wrong. eg, a google site  says annual global consumption is c. 24,000 TWh or 24,000 billion kw hrs. That is obviously wrong; the latter figure (in kwh) is only 24 TWh. ie 24,000,000,000,000 kwh




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Re: The COP26 Failure And More Blah, Blah, Blah
Reply #20 - Nov 9th, 2021 at 7:33pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 9th, 2021 at 6:55pm:
You forgot sunshine in north Oz, which interconnected with pumped hydro will never 'run out'. Likewise the wind is always blowing somewhere in or offshore Oz. 


So it never rains in norther Australia? No cyclones with heavy clouds?

So you are going to move the wind turbines to wherever the wind is blowing? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 9th, 2021 at 6:55pm:
Good point, but if the climate emergency is real, they'll  have to agree.


Ah - the bid IF. Perhaps you can point to something that is existential in climate that has changed. Wink

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 9th, 2021 at 6:55pm:
So you might answer these questions: what is the projected output  (power storage)  of  Snowy 2?   2GW or 2GW hours?


I thought you were the full bottle. But it appears you haven't even checked it yourself. Grin Grin Grin Grin But it is 350,000MWh. Providing of course that it works as planned. They don't mention anything about evaporation. They just say no more water will be needed.

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 9th, 2021 at 6:55pm:
After  the infrastructure is built, they ARE free.


How about replacing the panels and wind turbines? They are part of the infrastructure. Wink

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 9th, 2021 at 6:55pm:
Cost is irrelevant for the currency-issuer, if the resources are available as explained above; and energy density is only relevant for liquid fuels, not solar panels or wind turbines. 



Nope. How many cubic kilometres of solar panels to replace 350Mw power station? How many cubic kilometres of wind turbine to replace same?

"Renewable energy sources can take up to 1000 times more space than fossil fuels"

"They found that power densities can vary by as much as 1000 times, with biomass the lowest (at 0.8 W/m2) and natural gas the highest (at 1000 W/m2). Solar and wind power needs around 40-50 times more space than coal and 90-100 times more space than gas."

https://phys.org/news/2018-08-renewable-energy-sources-space-fossil.html

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 9th, 2021 at 6:55pm:
Just to show the concept of nationalization actually works...


And ignore the size of the land mass to be covered. Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 9th, 2021 at 6:55pm:
aha ...so I'm debating a climate denier; the science says there is a climate emergency, but let's move on...


No I don't deny climate. I don't even deny climate changes. But perhaps you can direct me to a site that shows our climate is suffering a catastrophic change? Wink

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 9th, 2021 at 6:55pm:
But if the climate emergency is cooking us all in a decade's time, they will discover MMT's applicability quick smart....


Do you have the paper that says that? Not Chuckles or Greta.

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 9th, 2021 at 6:55pm:
The Sahara is not all shifting sand, PV's can be built on elevated platforms.


So how high are these elevated platforms. Do you really mean sandstorms only blow a couple of feet off the ground? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 9th, 2021 at 6:55pm:
That figure of 80,000 TWh is likely wrong. eg, a google site  says annual global consumption is c. 24,000 TWh or 24,000 billion kw hrs. That is obviously wrong; the latter figure (in kwh) is only 24 TWh. ie 24,000,000,000,000 kwh


So people won't increase power consumption over the next 30 years? That is so comforting. Not. An increase i population, people in poorer countries wanting better or at least some electricity.

"It is not an exaggeration to say energy poverty is one of our continent’s most pressing problems: Only 56% of Africa’s population has access to electricity today, and in many places that power is still inadequate and unreliable at best. We address this topic in our recently released report, The State of African Energy 2022.

“Comprehensive energy access across the continent remains a central target, with some 600 million people without access to electricity today,” says the report. “Moreover, households themselves, facing low and inadequate supply of electricity, often rely on highly polluting traditional energy sources such as hard biomass, which constitutes 45% of total primary energy demand in Africa.”"

https://energychamber.org/gas-to-power-an-opportunity-that-africa-cant-toss-away...

But the world wants them to be the poor cousins and not have reliable energy.

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Re: The COP26 Failure And More Blah, Blah, Blah
Reply #21 - Nov 10th, 2021 at 11:01am
 
lee wrote on Nov 9th, 2021 at 7:33pm:
But it is 350,000MWh. Providing of course that it works as planned. They don't mention anything about evaporation. They just say no more water will be needed.


350 GWh? That's certainly more impressive than the 2GW I previously found on google. But another google search  explains the discrepancy:

"Snowy 2.0 will provide an additional 2,000 megawatts of dispatchable, on-demand generating capacity and approximately 350,000 megawatt hours of large-scale storage to the National Electricity Market. To provide context, this is enough energy storage to power three million homes over the course of a week."
 

The difference in the two figures is between generating capacity (in GW) and storage (in GWh). Thanks for highlighting  the difference. That means Oz would only need a dozen or so Snowy equivalents (with sufficient solar/wind as supply) to go 100% renewable. Certainly do-able. 

Quote:
How about replacing the panels and wind turbines? They are part of the infrastructure. Wink


All paid for by the government which should own the electricity generation system, by spending the money into existence (as already explained).

Quote:
Nope. How many cubic kilometres of solar panels to replace 350Mw power station? How many cubic kilometres of wind turbine to replace same?


Surprisingly small area of land required. Haven't looked for the figures for OZ yet,  but I recall a google search I made for the US: an area of c.140 square miles of PVs  in a US desert is sufficient to power the entire US economy (15 times the size of the Oz economy).

Quote:
"Renewable energy sources can take up to 1000 times more space than fossil fuels"


Ah...yes but who cares,  if that 140 square miles of desert is sufficient (in the US)?

Quote:
"They found that power densities can vary by as much as 1000 times, with biomass the lowest (at 0.8 W/m2) and natural gas the highest (at 1000 W/m2). Solar and wind power needs around 40-50 times more space than coal and 90-100 times more space than gas."


Like I said, so what, when we can utilize a small percentage of  otherwise useless desert and run the economy on free electricity.  Which is why - climate emergency or not - we should go green, for a healthier, cleaner atmosphere... vital in Asia where the air smells like exhaust fumes and looks like smog.

Quote:
And ignore the size of the land mass to be covered. Grin Grin Grin Grin


Addressed above. Just think, by utilizing  a fraction of the world's deserts, the globe can run on free electricity, managed by a UN agency,  even before we master nuclear fusion. 

Quote:
No I don't deny climate. I don't even deny climate changes. But perhaps you can direct me to a site that shows our climate is suffering a catastrophic change? Wink


What I can point out is that people - including global  insurance companies - are becoming increasingly concerned by an apparent increase in climate related catastrophes all around the world. After having experienced record temps.(49C) and fires in Canada last year, record floods in Europe and Asia,  people are not so inclined to dismiss scientific projections re sea-level rise etc

Quote:
Do you have the paper that says that? Not Chuckles or Greta.


The point is: we can do what we must do, if the AGW climate emergency is real,  meaning we can no longer burn fossil fuels.  Finance is not the issue; resource mobilization is (to build the necessary green infrastructure NOW,  not in 30 years time).  "Planning, not pricing" .

btw if you want to learn about the difference between resources and money, read Stephanie Kelton's best seller 'The Deficit Myth'.

Quote:
So how high are these elevated platforms. Do you really mean sandstorms only blow a couple of feet off the ground? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Of course engineers are capable of designing cleaning systems to deal with that problem.


Quote:
So people won't increase power consumption over the next 30 years? That is so comforting. Not. An increase i population, people in poorer countries wanting better or at least some electricity.


They will increase power consumption; and China, which intends to be as wealthy as the US on a per capita basis by mid century, has the plans to achieve net zero emissions by then. And if China, then so the rest of the world.

Quote:
"It is not an exaggeration to say energy poverty is one of our continent’s most pressing problems: Only 56% of Africa’s population has access to electricity today, and in many places that power is still inadequate and unreliable at best. We address this topic in our recently released report, The State of African Energy 2022.


Africa has c. the same population as China. The same solutions for green resource mobilization can apply, in order to power the continent with renewables, AND eliminate poverty. 

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Re: The COP26 Failure And More Blah, Blah, Blah
Reply #22 - Nov 10th, 2021 at 1:30pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 10th, 2021 at 11:01am:
The difference in the two figures is between generating capacity (in GW) and storage (in GWh). Thanks for highlighting  the difference. That means Oz would only need a dozen or so Snowy equivalents (with sufficient solar/wind as supply) to go 100% renewable. Certainly do-able. 


And the cost? oh that's right put on the credit card. Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 10th, 2021 at 11:01am:
All paid for by the government which should own the electricity generation system, by spending the money into existence (as already explained).


Ok So they are going to be replaced for free or will consumers have to pay for it? Actually consumers always pay. Even the creation of money has a cost.Wink

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 10th, 2021 at 11:01am:
Surprisingly small area of land required. Haven't looked for the figures for OZ yet,  but I recall a google search I made for the US: an area of c.140 square miles of PVs  in a US desert is sufficient to power the entire US economy (15 times the size of the Oz economy).


Can I have the link? In Australia 1,000 hectares is good for 529GWh. According to Energy Australia we use 264,000 GWh. 1,000 Ha is 10Sq Km. So about 500sq km of panels. That's 193 sq mile. But apart from that desert sands abrade the the panels. They won't last 5 years let alone 25.

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 10th, 2021 at 11:01am:
Ah...yes but who cares,  if that 140 square miles of desert is sufficient (in the US)?


I have already shown it isn't. Not even under optimal conditions.

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 10th, 2021 at 11:01am:
Like I said, so what, when we can utilize a small percentage of  otherwise useless desert and run the economy on free electricity.


So they just sit there and generate electricity day after day. No cleaning required to remove dust or anything. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 10th, 2021 at 11:01am:
vital in Asia where the air smells like exhaust fumes and looks like smog.


But we are not in Asia. We don't have anywhere near the population density. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 10th, 2021 at 11:01am:
What I can point out is that people - including global  insurance companies - are becoming increasingly concerned by an apparent increase in climate related catastrophes all around the world.


OK can you point me to the study that says the costs are increasing above the cost of GDP? We know costs go up every day, month, year. We can't use 1980's dollars to compare to 2020 dollars.

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 10th, 2021 at 11:01am:
The point is: we can do what we must do, if the AGW climate emergency is real,  meaning we can no longer burn fossil fuels.  Finance is not the issue; resource mobilization is (to build the necessary green infrastructure NOW,  not in 30 years time).  "Planning, not pricing" .


Temps 49C in Canada? That's weather. If it remains at 49C for 30 years ( as per WMO) that is climate. Record floods in Europe and Asia? Only if you don't go back in history. Wink

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 10th, 2021 at 11:01am:
The point is: we can do what we must do, if the AGW climate emergency is real,  meaning we can no longer burn fossil fuels.  Finance is not the issue; resource mobilization is (to build the necessary green infrastructure NOW,  not in 30 years time).  "Planning, not pricing" .

No- The point is you haven't provided the paper that show that. BTW- not a modelled study either. Models can show anything and everything dependent on the underlying assumptions.Wink

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 10th, 2021 at 11:01am:
Of course engineers are capable of designing cleaning systems to deal with that problem.


Actually no they can't. Suppose you design a sprinkler system for them. One head blocks up. What happens. You also need to put wipers n the to dry the surface otherwise it dribbles down the glass leaving streaks, which impacts the output. Water at the bottom can't drain of the support mechanism - leads to rust.

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 10th, 2021 at 11:01am:
They will increase power consumption; and China, which intends to be as wealthy as the US on a per capita basis by mid century, has the plans to achieve net zero emissions by then.


Actually China has said they will try. They have also said that they will do what is best for China. Same with India. They also want 1 trillion dollars to try to achieve it. That money of course come from everyone but them.

You know there is a difference between saying and achieving?

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 10th, 2021 at 11:01am:
Africa has c. the same population as China. The same solutions for green resource mobilization can apply, in order to power the continent with renewables, AND eliminate poverty.


They haven't as yet applied in China. So do you want them to be your guinea pig?Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


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Re: The COP26 Failure And More Blah, Blah, Blah
Reply #23 - Nov 10th, 2021 at 6:52pm
 
lee wrote on Nov 10th, 2021 at 1:30pm:
Ok So they are going to be replaced for free or will consumers have to pay for it? Actually consumers always pay. Even the creation of money has a cost.Wink


The 'cost' you are talking about refers what economists call  'opportunity costs',  which is the consumption which is foregone, by mobilizing resources toward green infrastructure, rather than non-essential, discretionary market based consumption such as advertising, transporting, constructing more factories, to sell.... more grog, for example.
For a currency-issuer, 'cost' is immaterial, resource availability is all important.  So - apart from the 'opportunity cost' defined above, there is no cost to consumers if the transition is managed by the currency-issuer.

Quote:
Can I have the link? In Australia 1,000 hectares is good for 529GWh. According to Energy Australia we use 264,000 GWh. 1,000 Ha is 10Sq Km. So about 500sq km of panels. That's 193 sq mile.


(quick google yields the following):

"With the conservative numbers from NREL’s land use report, we can estimate that roughly 14,000,000 acres or 22,000 square miles of solar panel-filled land would be required to generate enough electricity to solar-power the U.S. This is about the size of the Mojave desert."

ok an area 220 times 100 miles  in the US. Lets say 2000 sq.miles in Oz, 200 by 10  miles. ?? this is 10 times more than shown in your own link.

I note also discrepancy in these figures from google:

storage capacity in GWh, whereas the total generating capacity  - in GW  - required to power OZ via renewables alone, is given as c. 50GW.

eg the answer to the question (on google): what is Australia's power generating  capacity,  is c.65GW .

cf .."how much power does oz use?" answer 265TWh.

I don't understand  the discrepancy in these figures.

Quote:
But apart from that desert sands abrade the the panels. They won't last 5 years let alone 25.


Check out the massive PV plan for the Pilbara, the engineers don't see that problem.

(to be continued)
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Re: The COP26 Failure And More Blah, Blah, Blah
Reply #24 - Nov 11th, 2021 at 11:52am
 
lee wrote on Nov 10th, 2021 at 1:30pm:
But we are not in Asia. We don't have anywhere near the population density.


News flash: the whole world must eliminate CO2 emissions if the AGW science is correct. As for smog and other health-destroying pollution produced by burning fossil fuels, (cancerous particulates etc), it's worse in high-population density areas.

Quote:
OK can you point me to the study that says the costs are increasing above the cost of GDP? We know costs go up every day, month, year. We can't use 1980's dollars to compare to 2020 dollars.


Stop worrying about "costs" . Admittedly the Left  think we need carbon taxes and 'green bonds' but the Left is as mis-led by orthodox economists are you are (on the Right, obviously) .

http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=48650

It's all to do with the necessary resource mobilization
(by the public sector); cost is immaterial to a currency- issuer. (Repeat that 100 times, before leaving the class-room).

Quote:
Temps 49C in Canada? That's weather. If it remains at 49C for 30 years ( as per WMO) that is climate. Record floods in Europe and Asia? Only if you don't go back in history. Wink


OK you dispute the AGW science. But like I said, with global co-operation , the world can run on free electricity with present technology. Exit global poverty and inequality.

Quote:
No- The point is you haven't provided the paper that show that. BTW- not a modelled study either. Models can show anything and everything dependent on the underlying assumptions.Wink


By now you might notice I'm not particularly interested in climate models. I want a global economy that is powered by sunshine and wind in a nationalized power sector.

Quote:
Actually no they can't. Suppose you design a sprinkler system for them. One head blocks up. What happens. You also need to put wipers n the to dry the surface otherwise it dribbles down the glass leaving streaks, which impacts the output. Water at the bottom can't drain of the support mechanism - leads to rust.


I had jets of compressed air in mind. But there is also a wonderful employment opportunity (cleaning), in a continent that has high unemployment

Quote:
Actually China has said they will try. They have also said that they will do what is best for China. Same with India. They also want 1 trillion dollars to try to achieve it. That money of course come from everyone but them.


I'm disappointed that even China doesn't seem to be  aware the PBofC can pay for the transition in China. and doesn't need your $1 trillion. Hopefully in the next decade they will understand they are being led astray by Western economic orthodoxy...orthodoxy based on classical economics which we ourselves must abandon. 

Quote:
You know there is a difference between saying and achieving?
Yes, tell it to Morrison.

Meanwhile, Africa, unlike China , will need outside assistance to develop its engineering capacity.







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Re: The COP26 Failure And More Blah, Blah, Blah
Reply #25 - Nov 13th, 2021 at 3:53pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 11th, 2021 at 11:52am:
News flash: the whole world must eliminate CO2 emissions if the AGW science is correct. As for smog and other health-destroying pollution produced by burning fossil fuels, (cancerous particulates etc), it's worse in high-population density areas.


That's because of energy poverty. Many small fires because there is no electricity.

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 11th, 2021 at 11:52am:
Stop worrying about "costs" . Admittedly the Left  think we need carbon taxes and 'green bonds' but the Left is as mis-led by orthodox economists are you are (on the Right, obviously) .


The costs will be inherited by the grandchildren; not me.

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 11th, 2021 at 11:52am:
It's all to do with the necessary resource mobilization
(by the public sector); cost is immaterial to a currency- issuer. (Repeat that 100 times, before leaving the class-room).


yeah, only the poor slobs paying tax.

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 11th, 2021 at 11:52am:
But like I said, with global co-operation , the world can run on free electricity with present technology. Exit global poverty and inequality.


And yet you haven't provided any evidence. Why is that?

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 11th, 2021 at 11:52am:
I want a global economy that is powered by sunshine and wind in a nationalized power sector.


Ah now we are getting to the nitty-gritty. A global economy will need a global government.

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 11th, 2021 at 11:52am:
I had jets of compressed air in mind.



Who replaces the compressed air?

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 11th, 2021 at 11:52am:
But there is also a wonderful employment opportunity (cleaning), in a continent that has high unemployment


Oh yeah, Thousands of low paying jobs for people to go out to the boonies to do it. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 11th, 2021 at 11:52am:
I'm disappointed that even China doesn't seem to be  aware the PBofC can pay for the transition in China. and doesn't need your $1 trillion.


Then why do they want it? Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 11th, 2021 at 11:52am:
Meanwhile, Africa, unlike China , will need outside assistance to develop its engineering capacity.


They need more than that. They have energy poverty to start with. Stable electricity supplies enable growth, enables education, enables higher paying jobs. And as I said there is nowhere in the world running on 100% renewables. Why do you want the Africans to be a mendicant class? New Age Slavery?
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Re: The COP26 Failure And More Blah, Blah, Blah
Reply #26 - Nov 13th, 2021 at 4:46pm
 
lee wrote on Nov 13th, 2021 at 3:53pm:
That's because of energy poverty. Many small fires because there is no electricity.


And energy consumption based on dirty fossils in 'the world's factory' (China).

Quote:
The costs will be inherited by the grandchildren; not me.
Old wives' tale. Sovereign currency issuing governments don't need to issue debt which "will be a burden on our grandchildren".  Governments  need to mobilize resources to maximize productivity potential - and hence the standard of living for our grand- children.
Taxes are not required to fund government spending. Drop down to the lower class .... 

Quote:
And yet you haven't provided any evidence. Why is that?


1+1 = 2 doesn't need evidence.

Quote:
Ah now we are getting to the nitty-gritty. A global economy will need a global government.


Only in power generation.. 'the nitty gritty' indeed, but not  government  which decides whether abortion is legal, what traffic speed limits apply,  type of judicial system etc which are in the jurisdiction of  national governments; "world government" is a misnomer, because only international, not national  matters are adjudicated.

Ready for free electricity yet - all around the world? 

Quote:
Who replaces the compressed air?


The on site compressed air machines operated remotely by dust storm sensors etc.

Quote:
Oh yeah, Thousands of low paying jobs for people to go out to the boonies to do it. Roll Eyes


No, high paying jobs, to maintain the free electricity supply.

China doesn't want money, India is the country asking for $1 trillion. China only needs the time to build the green infrastructure, since it already has the engineering capacity to proceed ASAP (with the largest engineering capacity in the world)

Quote:
They need more than that. They have energy poverty to start with. Stable electricity supplies enable growth, enables education, enables higher paying jobs. And as I said there is nowhere in the world running on 100% renewables. Why do you want the Africans to be a mendicant class? New Age Slavery?


Yes the transition, including education and industrial capacity building etc  will need to be supported by rich  countries in the case of Africa and India. Note: "rich" means having transferable technological and engineering  capacity.

In fact, I want to eliminate all poverty, via national economies based on free electricity.

You still gonna bleat about "world government"? ...which make you the one who wants to maintain poverty-wage slavery in Africa.
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Re: The COP26 Failure And More Blah, Blah, Blah
Reply #27 - Nov 13th, 2021 at 6:30pm
 
thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 13th, 2021 at 4:46pm:
And energy consumption based on dirty fossils in 'the world's factory' (China).


So no peer-reviewed paper for you because you just know things. Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 13th, 2021 at 4:46pm:
Governments  need to mobilize resources to maximize productivity potential - and hence the standard of living for our grand- children.


Yep no spending needed. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 13th, 2021 at 4:46pm:
Taxes are not required to fund government spending.

Gee you are funny. Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 13th, 2021 at 4:46pm:
1+1 = 2 doesn't need evidence.


But power generation does. So we need a peer-reviewed paper that says it is workable not someone who says unfunded economics will work. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 13th, 2021 at 4:46pm:
Only in power generation..


So not a global economy then. Do make up your mind.

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 13th, 2021 at 4:46pm:
"world government" is a misnomer, because only international, not national  matters are adjudicated.


So no global energy mandate then. Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 13th, 2021 at 4:46pm:
The on site compressed air machines operated remotely by dust storm sensors etc.


Ah onsite compressed air machines. Machines that need grease and oil. machines that need servicing. Machines that break down especially in dusty environments. Roll Eyes

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 13th, 2021 at 4:46pm:
No, high paying jobs, to maintain the free electricity supply.


High paying jobs? to dust solar panels? And the electricity will be free despite the on costs. So how does the worker get paid? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 13th, 2021 at 4:46pm:
China doesn't want money, India is the country asking for $1 trillion.


They are both "developing" countries. The Green fund is for "developing" countries.

"China, India and Other Developing Nations Seek $1.3 Trillion a Year in Climate Finance"

"African nations and a group called the Like-Minded Developing Countries, which includes China, India and Indonesia, said in a document they submitted to the United Nations at the summit that half the money should go toward funding renewable energy in the developing world and half toward protecting these countries from the effects of global warming."

https://www.wsj.com/articles/climate-finance-china-india-11636039142

thegreatdivide wrote on Nov 13th, 2021 at 4:46pm:
Yes the transition, including education and industrial capacity building etc  will need to be supported by rich  countries in the case of Africa and India. Note: "rich" means having transferable technological and engineering  capacity.

In fact, I want to eliminate all poverty, via national economies based on free electricity.


That won't happen with Weather Dependent Renewables.

Ah yea free electricity again. No one pays for it. Everyone can use as much as they like. But somehow there is going to be a limit; because you have already said it won't be that large. And of course if you have a cyclone - no sun, too much wind - absolutely no power and that 450GWh storage will supply Australia for how long? Don't forget we need the industry and the homes.

So it seems we used 4.57Twh/day in 2019-20 and that was somewhat low because of Covid. I will let you work out how big a 450Gwh storage would last. Wink

[url]https://www.energy.gov.au/sites/default filesAustralian%20Energy%20Statistics%202021%20Energy%20Update%20Report.pdf[/url]
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Re: The COP26 Failure And More Blah, Blah, Blah
Reply #28 - Nov 13th, 2021 at 6:40pm
 
"MMT burst on the scene in an unusual way. From its name, one might guess that it arose at top universities, as prominent scholars debated the fine points of macroeconomic theory. But that is not the case. Instead, MMT was developed in a small corner of academia and became famous only when some high-profile politicians—particularly Senator Bernie Sanders and Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez—drew attention to it because its tenets conformed to their policy views.

https://scholar.harvard.edu/files/mankiw/files/skeptics_guide_to_modern_monetary...

Well that there is serious knowledge. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: The COP26 Failure And More Blah, Blah, Blah
Reply #29 - Nov 14th, 2021 at 7:39am
 
https://www.iass-potsdam.de/en/news/making-aircraft-fuel-sunlight-and-air

Making Aircraft Fuel From Sunlight and Air


Scientists at ETH Zurich have built a plant that can produce carbon-neutral liquid fuels from sunlight and air. The next goal will be to take this technology to industrial scale and achieve competitiveness. In a paper published in the scientific journal "Nature", researchers from Zurich and Potsdam describe how this novel solar reactor functions and outline a policy framework that would provide incentives to expand the production of "solar kerosene".



04.11.2021

Carbon-neutral fuels are crucial for making aviation and maritime transport sustainable. The plant developed in Zurich can be used to produce synthetic liquid fuels that release as much CO2 during their combustion as was previously extracted from the air for their production. CO2 and water are extracted directly from ambient air and split using solar energy. This process yields syngas, a mixture of hydrogen and carbon monoxide, which is then processed into kerosene, methanol, or other hydrocarbons.



...
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