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the precautionary principle (Read 3348 times)
Frank
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Re: the precautionary principle
Reply #15 - May 1st, 2021 at 10:28am
 
freediver wrote on Apr 28th, 2021 at 6:39pm:
Not understanding the consequences of what you do should make you less confident about doing it, not more. Only a moron would argue the opposite.

Although they cannot bring themselves to say it, several of the lunatic climate "skeptics" here seem to have an assumption that the greater the uncertainty we have regarding the impact of GHG emissions on the climate, the more confident we should be in our ability to get away with polluting the atmosphere.

So, they feverishly try to sow doubt doubt over the ability of the scientific community to predict whether it will be raining in western Sydney on this night in 40 years time, all the while completely missing the point that the more doubt that exists, the more cautious we should be.


Indeed. Needless (?) to say, it works both ways.  There is little to no understanding of the consequences of 'climate action', not least because there is no understanding of what the concept itself entails. Like so much else, it is politicised out of all proportion by agitators and activist with axes to grind, axes largely unrelated to the climate itself. Carbon dioxide is confused with air pollution and even water vapour (know-nothing media plonkers love to illustrare 'carbon pollution' with cooling towers billowing steam).

Most climate predictions by experts over the last 50- 100 years went unfulfilled. Strangely, however, they continue to boldky make gloomy predictions. They evidently do not know the consequences of their prescriptions for action since their predicted consequebces for no action are not materislising.

Not understanding the consequences of what they are advocating should make them less confident about proscribing them, not more. Only a moron would argue the opposite.
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Re: the precautionary principle
Reply #16 - May 3rd, 2021 at 8:31am
 
Quote:
There is little to no understanding of the consequences of 'climate action', not least because there is no understanding of what the concept itself entails.


Sure there is. Economists have been on this from the beginning. Both what the consequences will be and how to minimise the cost. You are projecting your own ignorance onto everyone else.
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Re: the precautionary principle
Reply #17 - May 3rd, 2021 at 6:34pm
 
freediver wrote on May 3rd, 2021 at 8:31am:
Quote:
There is little to no understanding of the consequences of 'climate action', not least because there is no understanding of what the concept itself entails.


Sure there is. Economists have been on this from the beginning. Both what the consequences will be and how to minimise the cost. You are projecting your own ignorance onto everyone else.


What have economists got to do with the principles of science....?!?!
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Re: the precautionary principle
Reply #18 - May 3rd, 2021 at 7:47pm
 
One of the things they don't look at is people in poverty. The developing countries have people in poverty diminishing by reliable energy.

...

Of course there will be those who will say it is not a response to reliable energy.
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Re: the precautionary principle
Reply #19 - May 4th, 2021 at 11:52am
 
freediver wrote on May 3rd, 2021 at 8:31am:
Quote:
There is little to no understanding of the consequences of 'climate action', not least because there is no understanding of what the concept itself entails.


Sure there is. Economists have been on this from the beginning. Both what the consequences will be and how to minimise the cost. You are projecting your own ignorance onto everyone else.

Well,  it's all sorted then, nuffin' to see here. The science and the economics are settled.

Sorry? What IS the settled science and settled economics, you ask?

Oh, well, that's  just such an ignorant question, beneath for any climate doom goblin to stoop to answering it.

Cuppa?
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Re: the precautionary principle
Reply #20 - May 6th, 2021 at 6:20pm
 
Ajax wrote on May 3rd, 2021 at 6:34pm:
freediver wrote on May 3rd, 2021 at 8:31am:
Quote:
There is little to no understanding of the consequences of 'climate action', not least because there is no understanding of what the concept itself entails.


Sure there is. Economists have been on this from the beginning. Both what the consequences will be and how to minimise the cost. You are projecting your own ignorance onto everyone else.


What have economists got to do with the principles of science....?!?!


Because the consequences of climate action are economic.

Quote:
Sorry? What IS the settled science and settled economics, you ask?


The settled science is the impacts of ongoing GHG emissions. The settled economics is the cost of reducing GHG emissions: a tax is the cheapest way to reduce GHG emissions, and the cost is capped at replacing our electricity supply with a renewables based system. That is, the cost of renewables and appropriate storage is the maximum cost of climate change avoidance.
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Re: the precautionary principle
Reply #21 - May 6th, 2021 at 6:30pm
 
freediver wrote on May 6th, 2021 at 6:20pm:
That is, the cost of renewables and appropriate storage is the maximum cost of climate change avoidance.



So just how much storage should there be? One day, 7 days?

Australia 265TWh (that's 726,000 MWh/day) of electricity. 79% of it fossil fuelled. In 2019.
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« Last Edit: May 6th, 2021 at 6:36pm by lee »  
 
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Re: the precautionary principle
Reply #22 - May 8th, 2021 at 7:46am
 
Quote:
So just how much storage should there be? One day, 7 days?


The government should get out of the way and let it happen. How much storage we *should* have depends on how much people actually value peak electricity. At the moment people are charged the same amount regardless of the real price. The "problem" would likely disappear with more rational pricing.

It also depends how you define storage. A peaking gas fired power station with 500 years supply of gas could be counted as storage for example. As could a hydroelectric facility, even if it is not pumped storage, if it can consume water at a faster rate than enters into the dam. As could an electric car plugged into a two way charger. As could a hot water system. People will find all sorts of creative ways to store energy as soon as the need arises.
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Re: the precautionary principle
Reply #23 - May 8th, 2021 at 9:29am
 
freediver wrote on May 6th, 2021 at 6:20pm:
Ajax wrote on May 3rd, 2021 at 6:34pm:
freediver wrote on May 3rd, 2021 at 8:31am:
Quote:
There is little to no understanding of the consequences of 'climate action', not least because there is no understanding of what the concept itself entails.


Sure there is. Economists have been on this from the beginning. Both what the consequences will be and how to minimise the cost. You are projecting your own ignorance onto everyone else.


What have economists got to do with the principles of science....?!?!



Because the consequences of climate action are economic.


Human economics is man made and only exists because people co-operate with in a certain set of rules and laws.

The problem is the economy is run by a hand full of people that can only see dollar signs in their eyes.

You think economists really worry about climate or are they worried about that trillion dollar carbon derivatives market.

Once all countries jump on board the ETS or carbon tax system then CO2 and climate change will slowly die out on MSM and news.

Once all countries are paying for the air above their land there will no longer be a need to scare the sheep.

Quote:
“International carbon markets will cover billions of consumers this decade. Ask the bankers at your table whether they want Australia to clip that ticket. We’re going to help them get their share." Julia Gillard

http://www.pm.gov.au/press-office/speech-business-council-australia-dinner


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Re: the precautionary principle
Reply #24 - May 8th, 2021 at 9:56am
 
Quote:
You think economists really worry about climate or are they worried about that trillion dollar carbon derivatives market.


Economists frame everything in terms of how much value people place on it. The appropriate price on GHG emissions for example depends on how much value people place on having a climate free from them and their effects. This includes both the direct financial costs (insurance premiums going up) and the value that people place on the environmental impacts.

That's the economics. But at the end of the day they are also people. Economics is not a religion. You will find just as many lunatic skeptics and extreme lefties among them as you would among lawyers, doctors etc.

But they still all agree on the economics. That's why the economist that either you or Lee recently held up as some kind of hero is in favour of carbon taxes.

Also, economists do not necessarily benefit from the new markets more than anyone else. You are inventing yet another a vague, miserable, mindless conspiracy. The good ones tend to be academics. They are not suddenly going to be running an emissions bank or trading platform by virtue of having an economics degree. The people who do have a stake are shareholders in coal mines and coal fired power plants etc. That's why they are doing their best to steer the government towards a trading scheme rather than a tax, with the expectation that they will be gifted valuable emissions rights that the government then has to buy back.
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« Last Edit: May 8th, 2021 at 10:02am by freediver »  

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Re: the precautionary principle
Reply #25 - May 8th, 2021 at 11:53am
 
freediver wrote on May 8th, 2021 at 7:46am:
It also depends how you define storage. A peaking gas fired power station with 500 years supply of gas could be counted as storage for example.


How about storage because of renewables - ex hydro? You know for when the sun don't shine and the wind don't blow. Wink

As for gas petal. NO. It is a Source of CO2. Roll Eyes
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Re: the precautionary principle
Reply #26 - May 10th, 2021 at 5:38pm
 
Quote:
As for gas petal. NO. It is a Source of CO2.


And your point is?
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Re: the precautionary principle
Reply #27 - May 10th, 2021 at 6:02pm
 
freediver wrote on May 10th, 2021 at 5:38pm:
And your point is?



You're the one crapping himself about CO2. Roll Eyes

BTW - What source for your magical mystery precautionary principle?

Your own from the sounds of it. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: the precautionary principle
Reply #28 - May 10th, 2021 at 6:04pm
 
Ajax wrote on May 3rd, 2021 at 6:34pm:
freediver wrote on May 3rd, 2021 at 8:31am:
Quote:
There is little to no understanding of the consequences of 'climate action', not least because there is no understanding of what the concept itself entails.


Sure there is. Economists have been on this from the beginning. Both what the consequences will be and how to minimise the cost. You are projecting your own ignorance onto everyone else.


What have economists got to do with the principles of science....?!?!


well, for example, if we raise the cost of energy by, say, denying the poor in india and africa  cheap coal to cook on, they will have no option but to chop down the forrests to cook dinner.

so science is usurped by economics
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Re: the precautionary principle
Reply #29 - May 12th, 2021 at 6:22pm
 
lee wrote on May 10th, 2021 at 6:02pm:
freediver wrote on May 10th, 2021 at 5:38pm:
And your point is?



You're the one crapping himself about CO2. Roll Eyes

BTW - What source for your magical mystery precautionary principle?

Your own from the sounds of it. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


You are the one crapping yourself every time you open your mouth.

Do you have a point or not?
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