rhino wrote on Nov 17
th, 2021 at 7:52pm:
So, to summarise this, Aqua has been posting dire Covid predictions for WA for well over 12 months, still no Covid running rampant in WA. Aqua forecast the ruin of WA economy, WA now lowest unemployment in Australia and best performing economy. I would say stick to your day job but you dont seem to know much about that either. (An alleged farmer who doesnt understand anything about basic plant or crop genetics). What an absolute dill.
In Niall Ferguson's 'Doom - The Politics of Catastrophe', he describes those economic forecasters who 'predicted' the 2007-2008 GFC.
After he'd researched their work, he noted that all of them had been predicting economic meltdown every year, some for over a decade.
They were all ignored, until they jagged one. Some were then hailed as economic 'prophets' by those who'd not looked back at their regular annual failed prophecies.
It reminded me of an experiment in 'predicting' airline crashes. Data was collected from many recent (at the time) airline crashes including insignificant details like the colour of the planes' branding... Long story short, they were able to successfully 'predict' with reasonable 'accuracy' the details of the next crash including a proximal date of the disaster.