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Scientists who disagree vs computer model forecast (Read 546 times)
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Scientists who disagree vs computer model forecast
Nov 17th, 2020 at 8:39am
 
For all those that believe in AGW please have a look at the statement the IPCC made in its third assessment report 2001.

Confessions of a climate scientist: The global warming hypothesis is an unproven hypothesis by Dr. Mototaka Nakamura.


https://abix.com.au/2019/09/25/confessions-of-a-climate-scientist-the-global-war...

Quote:
Dr. Mototaka Nakamura received a Doctorate of Science from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), and for nearly 25 years specialized in abnormal weather and climate change at prestigious institutions that included MIT, Georgia Institute of Technology, NASA, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, JAMSTEC and Duke University.

https://electroverse.net/another-climate-scientist-with-impeccable-credentials-b...


...

Quote:
The IPCC in its third report (2001) conceded (emphasis added):

In climate research and modelling, we should recognize that we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that the long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible. (Chapter 14, Section 14.2.2.2.)
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« Last Edit: Nov 17th, 2020 at 9:01am by Ajax »  

1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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Ajax
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Re: Scientists who disagree vs computer model forecast
Reply #1 - Nov 17th, 2020 at 8:40am
 
Professor Valentina Zharkova’s ‘Expanded’ Analysis still Confirms Super Grand Solar Minimum (2020-2055)


Quote:
Professor Valentina Zharkova’s recent paper ‘Oscillations of the Baseline of Solar Magnetic Field and Solar Irradiance on a Millennial Timescale’ has been accepted for publishing in Nature. It confirms a Grand Solar Minimum (GSM) from 2020 to 2055, as all four magnetic fields of the sun go out of phase, while also suggesting centuries of natural warming post-Minima.

Zharkova’s team’s expanded ‘double dynamo’ calculations match-up almost perfectly with the timelines of past Grand Minimas: the Maunder Minimum (1645–1715), Wolf minimum (1300–1350), Oort minimum (1000–1050), Homer minimum (800–900 BC); as well as with the past Grand Maximas: the Medieval Warm Period (900–1200), the Roman Warm Period (400–150 BC), and so on…

Coming as somewhat of a surprise however, Zharkova’s full and expanded analysis reveals the sun, following its next GSM cycle (2020-2055), will actually enter a 300+ year spell of increased-activity warming the earth at a rate of 0.5C (0.9F) per century, running until the next GSM cycle (2370-2415).

Succeeding that cooling period (2415-onward), the world, according to Zharkova, will continue on with its warming trend, again at an average of 0.5C (0.9F) per century, until the year 2600 when the sun will flip to a prolonged cooling phase running for the next 1000 years (and likely propelling Earth into the next ice age).

It is a little confusing why Zharkova failed to mention these long spells of warming (2055-2370 and then 2415-2600) in her original ‘teaser’ presentation back in October, 2018. Whether it has been included to continue her funding and/or to see her GSM message reach a wider audience is honestly anyone’s guess.

Though to her credit, at least the 0.5C (0.9F) warming per century is driven by the sun, and not you, not CO2.

Zharkova’s work, at worst, confirms that the earth warms and cools as a part of complex natural cycles.

For a more detailed look at the paper, click here for tallbloke’s breakdown.

And, to me at least, it remains a fair takeaway that regardless of what happens post-2055, that 35 year cooling period beginning 2020 should be enough to give almost-every living organism on the planet cause for concern.

https://electroverse.net/professor-valentina-zharkovas-expanded-analysis-still-c...

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« Last Edit: Nov 17th, 2020 at 8:53am by Ajax »  

1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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Re: Scientists who disagree vs computer model forecast
Reply #2 - Nov 17th, 2020 at 8:40am
 
Quote:
NASA predicts ICE AGE with ‘DEAD SUN’ sparking fears Earth temperatures to plunge

THE Earth could be plunged into a mini ice age if the sun continues to remain dead, experts fear.

That’s the warning from a NASA scientist who said sunspot activity on the surface of our star has dropped so low that it could herald the arrival of a grim mini Ice Age.

“We see a cooling trend,” Martin Mlynczak of NASA’s Langley Research Center told Space Weather

https://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-news/weather-forecast-nasa-cold-temperat...




...

https://www.nasa.gov/feature/ames/solar-activity-forecast-for-next-decade-favora...


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« Last Edit: Nov 17th, 2020 at 12:10pm by Ajax »  

1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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Re: Scientists who disagree vs computer model forecast
Reply #3 - Nov 17th, 2020 at 8:40am
 
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« Last Edit: Nov 17th, 2020 at 11:01am by Ajax »  

1. There has never been a more serious assault on our standard of living than Anthropogenic Global Warming..Ajax
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Re: Scientists who disagree vs computer model forecast
Reply #4 - Nov 17th, 2020 at 8:40am
 
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« Last Edit: Nov 17th, 2020 at 11:04am by Ajax »  

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Re: Scientists who disagree vs computer model forecast
Reply #5 - Nov 17th, 2020 at 11:05am
 
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Re: Scientists who disagree vs computer model forecast
Reply #6 - Nov 17th, 2020 at 11:05am
 
...

[url]
https://electroverse.net/the-list-scientists-who-publicly-disagree-with-the-curr
ent-consensus-on-climate-change/[/url]
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Re: Scientists who disagree vs computer model forecast
Reply #7 - Nov 17th, 2020 at 11:07am
 
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Re: Scientists who disagree vs computer model forecast
Reply #8 - Nov 17th, 2020 at 11:12am
 
Quote:
Speaking Out

A system is in place that makes it incredibly difficult, almost impossible, for scientists to take a public stance against AGW — their funding and opportunities are shutoff, their credibility and character smeared, and their safety sometimes compromised.

Example: In 2014, Lennart Bengtsson and his colleagues submitted a paper to Environmental Research Letters which was rejected for publication for what Bengtsson believed to be “activist” reasons.

Bengtsson’s paper disputed the uncertainties surrounding climate sensitivity to increased greenhouse gas concentrations contained in the IPCC’s Fourth and Fifth Assessment Reports.

Here is a passage from Bengtsson’s resignation letter from soon after:

Quote:
“
I have been put under such an enormous group pressure in recent days from all over the world that has become virtually unbearable to me. If this is going to continue I will be unable to conduct my normal work and will even start to worry about my health and safety. I see therefore no other way out therefore than resigning from GWPF. I had not expecting such an enormous world-wide pressure put at me from a community that I have been close to all my active life. Colleagues are withdrawing their support, other colleagues are withdrawing from joint authorship etc.

I see no limit and end to what will happen. It is a situation that reminds me about the time of McCarthy. I would never have expecting anything similar in such an original peaceful community as meteorology. Apparently it has been transformed in recent years.

Lennart Bengtsson


Any person or body that holds a dissenting view or presents contradictory evidence is immediately labelled a denier — the classic ad-hominem attack designed to smear and silence those who don’t comply with the preferred wisdom of the day.

https://electroverse.net/the-list-scientists-who-publicly-disagree-with-the-curr...




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2. "One hour of freedom is worth more than 40 years of slavery &  prison" Regas Feraeos
 
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